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BJP getting a mere 27 seats in NDA could be a rumor - please don't fall for it! BJP got 20 seats in 2021 sitting on 3.53% from 2019. That was an election where BJP was defending ADMK's 10-year anti-incumbency. Today, BJP sits on a pretty 11.24% and is...

30,684 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Despite all the serious mistakes, the bitter truth is DMK will most likely get re-elected! In Tamil Nadu, only alliances and not anti-incumbencies determine election outcomes. Let me give some examples! The greatest CM Tamil Nadu had, Kamaraj was defeated because of a strong opposition alliance. Had Moopanar gone alone in 1996, the then hugely unpopular ADMK government would have retained power. Had Vijayakanth gone alone in 2011, the then hugely unpopular DMK government would have retained power. DMK's latest achievement is the TASMAC scam to the tune of 1000 crores. I feel this is an underestimate. I am sure the actual number will be several 10s of 1000s. But will this cut ice with voters? Most likely not. Anti-incumbency plays a role, but that role has never been good enough to unseat a government without a strong opposition alliance. There should be an opposition alliance that people can channelize their anger towards and catapult it to power. Unfortunately, such an alliance doesn’t exist in Tamil Nadu today. Tamil Nadu Elections - If the present arithmetic continues till 2026! DMK+ will win 190 – 200 seats ADMK+ will win 25 – 30 seats NDA will win 0 – 5 seats TVK will win 0 – 1 seat(s) NTK will win 0 seats None of the opposition parties can defeat DMK+, alone! Only a united opposition can defeat DMK! JVC Sreeram (Bulls Eye) Sir will not agree any more than that! We have just over a year left and there has not been a strong opposition alliance and on the other hand, the DMK alliance is sitting pretty! Unless the opposition leaders kill their egos and come together, DMK will most likely get re-elected! Edappadi K Palaniswami-SayYEStoWomenSafety&AIADMK K.Annamalai செந்தமிழன் சீமான் Dr S RAMADOSS Dr ANBUMANI RAMADOSS Captain Vijayakant Premallatha Vijayakant 𝐆.𝐊.𝐕𝐀𝐒𝐀𝐍 OFFICIAL AIADMK - SayYesToWomenSafety&AIADMK BJP Tamilnadu நாம் தமிழர் கட்சி | Naam Tamilar Katchi Pattali Makkal Katchi DMDK Party AMMA MAKKAL MUNNETTRA KAZAGAM

Dr. Praveen Vijaykumar

42,328 views • 1 year ago

How Annamalai and TN BJP evolved through a tough yet symbiotic relationship - A rollercoaster ride indeed! Amateurish & Ambitious Annamalai! When Annamalai took charge in 2021, BJP was in still in a very good understanding with ADMK. However, Annamalai wanted to take 10 years to grow his party in the state, position BJP against DMK, capture power in 2031 and yet remain in cordial relationship with ADMK. That was ludicrously ambitious, and a tight rope walk especially in Tamil Nadu politics where the two Dravidian parties have dominated the scene since 1972. But Annamalai had a vision. Assertive Annamalai! An ambitious Annamalai met with his first big challenge. During the 2022 Tamil Nadu local elections, Annamalai asked for a certain % of wards to contest in alliance with ADMK and when EPS refused at the last minute, Annamalai boldly decided to contest alone. BJP got around 5% votes and sent the only councilor to the Chennai Corporation. Her name is Uma Anandan. After showing growth in the local elections, came the Erode East by election 2023. There was some friction, but BJP still supported ADMK. Aggressive Annamalai! An assertive Annamalai’s biggest political landmark was ahead of 2024 Lok Sabha polls just before the beginning of the 'En Mann En Makkal' Yatra. He still wanted to stay in an alliance with ADMK and yet grow his party. He demanded 12 seats for BJP, which he thought would commensurate what his party deserved. EPS was not willing to give more than 6 seats. Annamalai, convinced Delhi HQ and boldly decided to contest alone or lead a front of his own. Adversity Annamalai! Adversity hit him. I was one of the most vociferous voices on Twitter to back Annamalai’s NDA in 2024. I believed India-BJP would get an absolute majority on its own. That is why I wrote that for Annamalai in TN, is all about votes and not seats. Unfortunately, BJP fell short and got just 240. "I am really sorry - Annamalai" Now suddenly Annamalai’s decision to contest alone with Zero MPs becomes a topic of immense scrutiny. However, it was widely credited to Annamalai that his decision to go alone made his party grow to 11.24%. In hindsight, his decision seems like a bad one. But this is politics for you. Situation is important. Arduous Annamalai! Annamalai’s next challenge was to convince the BJP HQ that it will be better to continue the 2024 alliance to 2026 too evoking his 10-year plan to grow his party and eventually capture power in 2031. However, political compulsions and fast-evolving dynamics made BJP HQ to change its Modus Operandi. Despite initial hiccups, Annamalai is now backing NDA 200%. Final words about Annamalai! Annamalai may not be a typical puppet like other state presidents of national parties. But he is flexible enough to do politics according to the interest of his Delhi leadership to DETHRONE DMK! K.Annamalai

Dr. Praveen Vijaykumar

25,405 views • 7 months ago