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🚨🇷🇺🇵🇱 BREAKING: FIGHTER JETS HEARD OVER EASTERN POLAND Multiple Polish/NATO fighter jets reportedly heard tonight over Lublin in Eastern Poland, adding to growing military activity reports. Current unconfirmed activity: -Fighter jets over Lublin (Eastern Poland) -Italian G-550 CAEW heading south from Estonia -Dutch tanker with escorts from Germany -Polish...

214,651 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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‼️🇺🇲🇷🇺🇵🇱 BIG | Russia is preparing for a large-scale military provocation, which could take place against Poland or one of the Baltic states. The US has warned Poland that the Russian Federation is preparing an armed provocation in the coming months, The Telegraph and the Polish publication Onet report, citing intelligence services. Russia's target could be Poland's critical infrastructure via missiles and drones, or Russian soldiers might cross the border into NATO territory. Washington has already sent several warnings to Warsaw about this plot, sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki told the Polish news outlet Onet, which, along with The Telegraph, is owned by Axel Springer and is part of its Global Reporters Network. The purpose of the Russian provocation would be to escalate tensions and force Western allies to halt aid to Ukraine. This could begin in a few months. Polish security service sources also do not rule out a more conventional attack, such as a small-scale ground incursion by Russian soldiers onto NATO's eastern flank. According to Onet's security service sources, provocation scenarios could include drone attacks on critical infrastructure like power plants, or simulated airstrikes, forcing Poland to activate its air defense systems. A Polish intelligence source stated that in the most extreme scenario, a "hybrid attack in the border region" could occur. According to the same source, an armed incursion involving Russian or Belarusian soldiers is possible. This could be presented by Russia as an accidental crossing into Polish territory due to a GPS malfunction, or as a suspicious rescue mission to retrieve a damaged helicopter. Polish sources told Onet that Russia hopes that in such a situation, instead of opening fire on Russian or Belarusian soldiers, the US would pressure Poland to negotiate with Russia or Belarus rather than respond with force. A scenario in which the Russians leave Poland as a result of these negotiations, rather than through military coercion, would be seen as a victory from Moscow's perspective. During such negotiations, in exchange for withdrawing troops from Poland, Russia's main demand could even be the termination of Western support for Ukraine. "The US systematically provides information to Poland about new Russian plans for a conventional attack on NATO's eastern flank, from which Poland is by no means excluded," said a source close to the Polish President. A second source, an ambassador of one of Poland's NATO allies, also confirmed that a provocation in the Baltic states and Poland is a serious risk. This information was confirmed by a third source within the Polish Ministry of Defense. A fourth security source from the Baltic states confirmed to The Telegraph that such plans are indeed being discussed in Moscow. Following this, Russia might attempt to claim that the provocation was carried out by Ukraine. Any ground attack by Russia could be launched either from Kaliningrad—Russia's exclave north of Poland where nuclear weapons are stationed—or from the east, via Belarusian territory. Such methods are Russia's only realistic way to stage a provocation. Because its forces are bogged down in Ukraine, it lacks the resources to wage a full-scale war against NATO allies. Although Poland remains a committed security ally of Ukraine, relations have become strained in recent months due to differing views on World War II-era history and the competitive agricultural industries of the two countries. There are fears that Moscow will attempt to widen this rift even further. In the worst-case scenario for NATO, Russia's goal would be to undermine Polish sovereignty, portray NATO as a "paper tiger" (demonstrate its helplessness), and force the cessation of Western support for Ukraine—all without triggering a conventional war with the alliance. Video is made Grok AI

Visioner

238,259 просмотров • 12 дней назад

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Tyler Robinson, 22, the trade school student accused of executing Charlie Kirk with a single rifle shot from a rooftop, is set to appear in court later today via video from jail. 2.⁠ FBI Director Kash Patel said the suspect in the Charlie Kirk shooting had confessed to killing him: “After the shooting and assassination of Charlie Kirk, the suspect admitted to it.” 3.⁠ After striking over 850 Hamas targets, Israeli forces have begun a full-scale ground invasion of Gaza City. Thousands are fleeing south in what is now Gaza’s largest displacement wave since the assault began. 4.⁠ U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio landed in Doha just one week after an Israeli strike in Qatar targeting Hamas leaders mid-negotiation. Rubio says the U.S will still push Qatar to continue mediating the Gaza war - despite the attack taking place on its soil. 5.⁠ After a massive overnight assault across multiple regions, Zelensky said Ukraine is under relentless “aerial terror” and urged Europe to deploy a joint, multi-layered air defense system. 6.⁠ Trump ordered a second strike on a boat carrying drugs in the Caribbean: “The Strike occurred while these confirmed narcoterrorists from Venezuela were in International Waters transporting illegal narcotics.” 7.⁠ American military officers made a surprise visit to huge war drills in Belarus, where Russia was showing off hypersonic missiles and even practicing with tactical nukes. Belarus’s defense minister told the U.S. team they could watch “whatever they want.” 8.⁠ A UN Commission of Inquiry has concluded Israel is committing genocide in Gaza - citing mass killings, forced displacement, aid blockages, and the destruction of a fertility clinic. 9.⁠ Trump is suing The New York Times for a jaw-dropping $15 billion, calling it a “virtual mouthpiece” for Democrats and accusing it of defamation over its Epstein coverage. 10.⁠ UK fighter jets are being sent to Poland as part of NATO’s Eastern Sentry mission, after Russian drones entered Polish airspace in what’s being called Putin’s most serious violation of NATO territory yet. The UK joins Denmark, France, and Germany in reinforcing NATO’s eastern flank with jets, Patriots, and refuelling support from RAF Brize Norton.

Mario Nawfal

318,613 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

#Breaking Coordinated U.S.-Israel Strikes on Iranian Targets – February 28, 2026: Tehran, Iran – February 28, 2026 – A series of rapidly escalating military strikes targeted key Iranian government, military, and leadership sites early Saturday morning local time. Israel described the operation as a “pre-emptive strike” to neutralize threats to its security, with confirmed U.S. participation in joint air and sea operations. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated the attacks aimed to “remove threats to the State of Israel.” President Donald Trump announced that the United States had initiated “major combat operations” in Iran. Initial Strikes and Targets in Tehran At least four explosions were reported in western Tehran, affecting high-profile locations including: - The Supreme Leader’s compound (Bit-e Rahbari) on Pasteur Street. - The Atomic Energy Organization building. - The Ministry of Intelligence headquarters (reportedly destroyed). Additional strikes hit the Ministry of Defense, the Parchin military complex, Mehrabad Airport, the presidential residence, and areas such as Velenjak (near parliament) and Khavaran Road in eastern Tehran. Footage showed thick smoke rising from urban zones. Unconfirmed reports also indicated aerial attacks on the Palace of Justice and Supreme Court. Mossad reportedly stated: “The game has just begun; even underground is not safe.” Wider Strikes Across Iran Explosions were reported beyond Tehran in cities including Qom (multiple sites), Isfahan, Khorramabad, Tabriz, Karaj, Kermanshah, Ilam, and Lorestan. Israeli radio claimed approximately 30 targets were struck nationwide, including the president’s residence and intelligence facilities. Images from Tabriz depicted explosions, while multiple blasts were heard in eastern and western Tehran. Reported Targeted Assassinations (Initial, Unconfirmed) - President Masoud Pezeshkian (allegedly killed in Israeli airstrikes on Tehran). - Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje’i. - Army Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Hatami. These incidents were described as part of numerous simultaneous high-value target operations. Military Operations - Israeli cruise missiles were observed in flight; some strikes originated from Damascus airspace. - U.S. fighter jets and bombers, operating from regional bases and an aircraft carrier, employed Tomahawk cruise missiles and other munitions (per The New York Times). - Fighter jets flew over Tehran (claimed not to be Iranian; Iranian airspace reportedly closed). Cyber and Psychological Operations - Websites of major Iranian news agencies (IRNA, ISNA, Asr Iran, Tabnak) were hacked. - The popular azan app “Bade Saba” displayed messages such as “Help has arrived,” interpreted as opposition or foreign interference. Broader Context and Developments - Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was reportedly relocated to a secure site outside Tehran. - Warnings circulated of a challenging 96-hour period ahead, with advice to avoid government, military, hospital, school, and mosque sites and to stock essentials. - Accusations emerged of Arab nations facilitating the strikes (“backstab”). - Regime sources claimed overhead jets were Iranian (dismissed as disinformation). These events mark the onset of intensified confrontation, with potential for significant regime impact. Details are drawn from live citizen reports, videos, photos of explosions and smoke, and cited media/official statements. Many specifics remain unverified by independent sources at this early stage.

🇮🇷 OSINT WWIII 🇺🇸

16,223 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

BREAKING: For the first time since the start of the war in Iran under Operation Lion’s Roar, the Israeli Air Force has conducted airstrikes against targets in Bojnord, in the northeast of Iran. At approximately 18:50 local time, air defense systems in Bojnord were activated, with multiple eyewitness reports confirming the sound of anti-aircraft fire across the city. This marks the first known engagement in this area since the beginning of the war, indicating a geographic expansion of Israeli Air Force operations into northeastern Iran. Simultaneously, a wave of coordinated strikes appears to have hit the wider Khorasan region—particularly Mashhad—between 18:45 and 18:54, suggesting a multi-target strike package. Eyewitness reports from Mashhad describe: 6–7 explosions in rapid succession around 18:48 Continuous air defense activity in western districts, especially Vakilabad, Qasemabad, and Elahiyeh Severe ground tremors following at least one major impact at 18:52 Sustained anti-aircraft fire lasting up to a minute, indicating attempted interception Some reports point to a possible strike near sensitive security-related locations, including areas around the Ministry of Intelligence and Vakilabad Prison, though this remains unconfirmed. The timing is critical: - 18:45–18:48 → Initial explosions in Mashhad - 18:48–18:52 → Peak strike intensity and air defense response - 18:50 → Air defenses activated in Bojnord This synchronization strongly indicates a coordinated Israeli Air Force strike across multiple cities, likely targeting pre-selected fixed sites using precision-guided munitions. The pattern of repeated impacts in a confined area suggests deliberate targeting rather than dispersed strikes. The activation of air defenses in Bojnord—despite no prior activity in the region—suggests either: Incoming threats detected late, or Secondary strike routes or diversionary flight paths used by Israeli aircraft or stand-off munitions There are also parallel reports of air defense activity in eastern Tehran at the same time, pointing to either a nationwide alert status or a multi-axis operational design. At this stage, Iranian authorities have not released official details regarding targets or damage. However, the consistency of reports and the synchronized timeline confirm that this was a significant expansion of Israeli strike operations into northeastern Iran, with Bojnord now entering the operational battlespace for the first time in this war. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch

19,746 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🇵🇱 Poland is weaponizing its domestic industry for a massive conflict by striking a deal to build thousands of cheap, long-range American Barracuda cruise missiles every year. This massive production run creates a nightmare scenario for Moscow, giving Warsaw the independent firepower to strike targets deep inside Russian territory. ✅ The giant of the Polish defense industry, the company Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa, plans to master the production of the Barracuda-500M cruise missile developed by the American company Anduril. 🔻 Signing the corresponding agreement with Anduril is a highly important event for the Polish military industry. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated that this is "bad news for Mordor," implying Russia. It is planned to jointly produce several thousand Barracuda-500Ms annually. 🔻 The Barracuda-500M is a small-sized cruise missile designed for mass production and is distinguished by its low cost compared to counterparts. The warhead is 45 kg, but the flight range reaches 900 km when launched from an aircraft. The Barracuda-500M can also be launched from a ground launcher using a rocket booster, though in this case, the flight range drops to 700 km. The Poles plan to use Barracuda-500M cruise missiles from F-16 and F-35 fighter jets. This industrial leap completely alters Eastern Europe's military balance by removing the cost barrier of traditional cruise missiles. By turning F-16s and F-35s into ultra-long-range launchpads capable of reaching 900 km, Poland is surrounding "Mordor" with a cheap, un-interceptable swarm of precision weapons, making any potential Kremlin aggression a suicidal move. Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

186,428 просмотров • 8 дней назад

🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦UKRAINE WAR 12-HOUR NEWS RECAP 1. Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) claims to have foiled a plot by Ukrainian and British intelligence to recruit Russian pilots to steal a MiG‑31 fighter jet armed with a Kinzhal missile. 2. Russian forces claim deeper advances into the eastern Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk and near Kupiansk, showing video of “Mad Max”‑style vehicles entering Pokrovsk. Ukraine contests the full encirclement. 3. Ukraine reports a major corruption investigation: five people detained, seven suspects identified in a $100 M energy‑sector kickback scheme tied to the national atomic company Energoatom. 4. Ukraine’s defence intelligence says that over 600 Russian troops from the Central Military District have died in the past two years due to non‑combat causes such as drug abuse, food poisoning and suicide. 5. Russia claims to have taken parts of Pokrovsk, which it calls the “gateway to Donetsk,” with around 300 Russian troops reportedly inside the city; meanwhile, Ukraine says it is holding supply lines to Myrnohrad. 6. In the eastern Myrnohrad area near Pokrovsk, Ukraine reports heavy battles and says logistics are “challenging but ongoing”; Russia claims to have captured two districts of the town. 7. Russia’s push in the Donetsk region is described as involving around 150,000 troops concentrated in the drive to capture Pokrovsk. 8. Russia accuses Ukraine and Britain of planning a “large‑scale provocation” by hijacking a fighter jet to be flown into NATO territory, signaling broader espionage and intelligence escalation in the conflict. 9. Ukraine’s anti‑corruption probe explicitly links the energy‑infrastructure war (ongoing Russian attacks on power/energy infrastructure) with internal vulnerabilities and the need for clean governance to bolster war‑resilience. 10. During his visit to Kherson, Zelensky awarded Andry, a volunteer who evacuates civilians from the zero line, risking his own life every day.

Mario Nawfal

103,288 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ T⁠rump left the G7 meeting in Canada early, returning to DC to deal with the escalating situation between Israel and Iran, stating: “It certainly has nothing to do with a Cease Fire. Much bigger than that.” 2.⁠ ⁠The Israeli Air Force intercepted around 30 drones launched overnight, all reportedly from Iran. Many were downed outside Israeli airspace, with several intercepted over the Golan Heights. 3.⁠ At least 2 ballistic missile impacts were reported in and around Tel Aviv. Emergency medical teams from Magen David Adom responded to the scenes to assess and treat possible injuries. 4.⁠ Iran claimed its missile strikes on Israel hit a military intelligence center and a Mossad operations planning site. Israeli reports confirmed a missile impact in Herzliya, describing it as a “sensitive site” - a term often used for military or strategic facilities. 5.⁠ U.S officials said that America has no plans to participate in Israel's military offensive against Iran, despite heightened diplomatic activity as Trump returned early from the G7 summit. 6.⁠ Iran announced a fresh wave of intensified missile attacks targeting Israel. Army Ground Forces Commander Kiomars Heidari said the strikes involve “new and advanced weapons” and will “intensify in the coming hours.” 7.⁠ Russia unleashed a massive 10-hour assault on Ukraine's capital overnight, killing at least 14 people including a 62-year-old American citizen, with over 40 injured. 8.⁠ China slammed Trump’s warning for Tehran residents to evacuate, accusing the U.S of worsening the Iran-Israel crisis. 9.⁠ G7 leaders, including Trump, issued a joint statement supporting Israel's right to defend itself while describing Iran as "the principal source of regional instability and terror" and declaring that Iran can never obtain nuclear weapons. 10.⁠ At least 51 Palestinians were killed and 200 wounded, reportedly by Israeli tank fire, while waiting for humanitarian aid in Khan Yunis, according to Gaza’s health ministry.

Mario Nawfal

208,698 просмотров • 1 год назад

🚨🇮🇱 🇵🇸 12 HOUR NEWS RECAP: ISRAEL–GAZA 1. Israel confirmed the recovery of the remains of two hostages -Sahar Baruch (25) and Amiram Cooper (84)- through the Red Cross, only hours after launching air and tank strikes near Khan Younis and eastern Gaza City, despite reiterating its commitment to a ceasefire. 2. Israel bombs Lebanon: Overnight, Israeli jets hit Hezbollah positions near Tyre and Baalbek after rocket fire from southern Lebanon. At least six people, including civilians, were reported killed. 3. Intelligence reports suggest Hezbollah has repositioned several missile batteries and radar systems closer to the Israeli border, prompting heightened alerts within the IDF and fears of a broader northern escalation. 4. Israel’s security cabinet and the heads of its security establishment convened with Netanyahu to discuss the strengthening of Hezbollah, described by an Israeli official as “a significant discussion in light of Hezbollah’s actions on the ground.” 5. Since the ceasefire began, more than 200 Palestinians have been killed and over 600 wounded in Gaza by renewed Israeli strikes. Many of the victims are children. 6. The attacks -primarily Israeli air and artillery strikes targeting suspected Hamas positions across central and southern Gaza- further strain the fragile ceasefire declared on October 10, with both Israel and Hamas accusing each other of repeated violations. 7. The IDF described the Gaza operations as “precise strikes” on terrorist infrastructure that allegedly threatened Israeli troops. No confirmed casualties were reported. 8. In the West Bank, Israel has erected nearly 1,000 new roadblocks and barriers since the war began, severely restricting Palestinian movement and access to basic services. 9. Under the ongoing hostage-remains exchange, Israel has recovered 17 hostages’ remains, while 11 are still missing. Israel has returned 195 Palestinian bodies, with many still unidentified. 10. The U.S. administration reaffirmed support for the ceasefire framework but stressed that Israel retains the right to respond to attacks from Gaza or Lebanon. Trump restated Washington’s backing of Israel’s security operations.

Mario Nawfal

57,165 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH IRAN - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours The last 24 hours reinforce the structure that has been developing across the war. Activity remained steady across Iran, Israel, Lebanon, and the Gulf, with no single breakthrough moment but continued pressure applied across every layer of the conflict. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ STRIKES INSIDE IRAN Strikes continued across multiple areas inside Iran, including Tehran, Shiraz, Kermanshah, and Ahvaz. The targeting profile remains consistent with recent days, focused on systems tied to weapons development and military sustainment. In Tehran, reporting points to continued strikes on military-industrial infrastructure, including: *⃣ Weapons production and research facilities *⃣ Infrastructure around Mehrabad Airport *⃣ Sites linked to Iran’s advanced weapons programs, including SPND-related supply nodes There are also indications that some of these locations had secondary roles, including use by Basij-linked personnel. That aligns with the broader pattern of targeting not just hardware, but the networks that support it. The key point in this 24 hour window is continuity. The same categories of targets are being hit repeatedly, suggesting an effort to ensure these systems are not just damaged, but unable to recover quickly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 IRANIAN RESPONSE Iran continues to respond. Current intelligence assessments indicate that roughly half of Iran’s missile launchers remain intact, along with a large drone inventory. At the same time, the operational pattern remains limited. Iran is still launching missiles and conducting attacks, but still not at the scale seen earlier in the war. The response appears to rely on: *⃣ Smaller salvos rather than sustained barrages *⃣ Continued willingness to strike civilian-adjacent targets *⃣ Expansion of pressure beyond Israel itself This reflects pressure on launch systems and coordination, not a lack of overall capability. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 LEBANON FRONT The Lebanon front remained active during this window, with both ground and air components continuing. Israeli forces carried out a targeted ground operation in southern Lebanon, resulting in direct engagement with Hezbollah fighters. Reporting indicates: *⃣ Israeli troops pushed deeper into southern لبنان *⃣ Hezbollah operatives were killed in close-quarters combat *⃣ Additional strikes were carried out against infrastructure using air, naval, and ground assets This is consistent with ongoing efforts to shape the immediate border area and reduce launch capability from southern Lebanon. At the same time, the front remains contained geographically, but active in terms of daily engagement. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GULF AND REGIONAL ACTIVITY Regional expansion continues to be one of the most consistent elements of the war. Over the last 24 hours, Iranian attacks again targeted Gulf infrastructure, including: *⃣ A Kuwaiti oil refinery and desalination facility *⃣ Additional aerial threats across UAE airspace, including ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones *⃣ Civilian injuries linked to interception and debris in the UAE These are functional targets tied to energy and water systems, reinforcing the broader strategy of applying pressure beyond Israel. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ STRAIT OF HORMUZ Hormuz remains central to the strategic picture. Developments in this window include: *⃣ Ongoing discussions among multiple countries regarding how to reopen and secure the strait *⃣ Continued Iranian signaling around its ability to influence maritime traffic *⃣ Early indications of mediation channels involving Oman There is no resolution here yet, but the focus on Hormuz is becoming more operational and less theoretical. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚠️ IRAQ Iraq emerged more clearly in this window the last 24 hours as a continued potential point of escalation. The U.S. embassy issued a warning that Iran-aligned militias could conduct attacks in Baghdad within 24 to 48 hours, with potential targets including: *⃣ Diplomatic facilities *⃣ Commercial and infrastructure sites *⃣ Areas frequented by U.S. personnel This aligns with the broader pattern of pressure expanding through proxy channels when direct options are constrained. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW The structure of the war remains stable, but fully active: *⃣ Inside Iran, strikes continue to focus on production and sustainment systems *⃣ Iran retains significant capability, but is operating under constraints *⃣ Lebanon remains an active front with ongoing ground and air operations *⃣ The Gulf is consistently targeted, particularly energy and infrastructure systems *⃣ Iraq is showing early signs of becoming more active through proxy activity ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 MY ASSESSMENT This 24-hour window of time does not introduce a new dynamic. It confirms the current one. Israel is continuing to apply pressure across the systems that allow Iran to produce and coordinate military activity. Iran is continuing to respond within its constraints while expanding pressure across the region where it can. The result is a conflict that is not concentrated in one place, but distributed across multiple active fronts at once. That remains the defining characteristic of the war right now.

Inside_Israel_Intel

49,879 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

RC-135 Deployments Signal Imminent Attack: Myths and Realities of Iran's Military Power The RC-135 is a family of large reconnaissance aircraft operated by the ISAF. These jets are designed for ISR missions, providing near real-time data to military commanders and national leaders. The primary variant focuses on detecting, identifying, and geolocating electromagnetic signals, such as communications, radar emissions, and electronic warfare activities. Based on past experience, the early arrival of these aircraft often signals that an attack may be very close. But what about Iran, what capabilities does it actually have? There are many myths surrounding Iran's military power. Here are some key points: 1. Israel did not overfly Iran during the 12-day war This is implausible. Most part of the munitions used included bombs like the GBU-28 and GBU-31, both with ranges under 25 km, which suggests they could only have been dropped from inside Iranian territory. 2. Iranian missiles have poor accuracy In 2025, several Iranian missiles were launched against targets in Erbil, Iraq, with excellent precision. During the 12-day war, Iran struck the Weizmann Institute and the Haifa refinery with high accuracy, as well as some Israeli launchers, all in an environment of heavy jamming. The truth is that Iranian missile accuracy depends on the model. Iran has missiles in its arsenal that are more than 15 years old, but there is no evidence that the precision of its modern anti-ship missiles is deficient. 3. Iranian air defenses are of very poor quality This cannot be stated with absolute certainty because they were never fully tested. Israel's ground sabotage operations were highly effective, successfully disabling radars and most short-range air defense systems. Iran does not keep its long- and medium-range air defenses permanently deployed, and consequently none of them were destroyed during the 12 days of war. 4. Iran has no radars capable of detecting stealth aircraft In 2024, Iranian radars locked onto Israeli F-35s while they were still over Iraqi territory. In 2025, Iranian-supplied radars integrated into missile batteries in Yemen also locked onto and fired at U.S. F-35s on multiple occasions, nearly downing one. 5. The high technology of U.S. ships and aircraft will paralyze Iranian weapons This would only happen if the Iranians turned their systems off, as reportedly occurred in the Venezuela case. So far, Iranian equipment has proven extremely resistant to interference. Shahed drones continue to operate accurately, and after years of Western efforts, they have not been successfully jammed. This will pose a major challenge for the Americans. 6. The U.S. Carrier Strike Group will easily crush the Iranian navy They would destroy Iran's large ships in minutes, but they would face enormous difficulty against mini-submarines, USVs, UAVs, UUVs, and fast attack craft equipped with missiles. In additional, the U.S. drones would not have complete freedom for target acquisition and would have to rely on LEO/ISR sats. Iran possesses drones like the Karrar, a jet-powered interceptor equipped with air-to-air missiles that can operate at 15,000 meters to deny U.S. drones freedom of action. The Israelis lost an unknown number of drones during the 12-day war, though losses were reported. Summary Does Iran have any advantage? At sea, against the current Carrier Strike Group and considering all of Iran's resources, I would say Iran holds an advantage, evidenced by factors such as missile range, number of containers, tubes, VLS cells, drones, mines, submarines, anti-ship missiles, and other assets. However, once the focus shifts from the sea to the air, the American advantage is overwhelming, both in satellite intelligence and in combat aviation. And this is the type of war the Americans know best.

Patricia Marins

30,566 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨🇻🇪🇺🇸 TRUMP’S VENEZUELAN BLITZ: PRECISION, FIRE, AND FURY Trump has officially kicked the door down in Venezuela. What started as a slow-motion “anti-narcotics” campaign has now turned into a fireworks display of targeted bombings across the Maduro regime’s military infrastructure. After months of maritime skirmishes and ambiguous drone kills, the gloves came off in spectacular fashion when U.S. forces lit up Caracas. Trump signed off. Drones flew low. Explosions followed. Venezuela screamed imperialism. The Pentagon nodded silently. Let’s rewind. The appetizer came on December 18, 2025, with a quiet but deliberate drone strike in the Alta Guajira region, near the Colombian border. The target? A remote shack allegedly used by Tren de Aragua’s drug runners - nothing but a glorified cocaine closet, depending on who you ask. The site went boom with textbook Hellfire precision. No bodies, no real infrastructure, but a message was clearly delivered: “We see you.” The U.S. stayed coy, but satellite images confirmed the crater. That was just the warm-up act. The real show started in the pre-dawn hours of today. Caracas residents awoke to the sound of low-flying aircraft and blasts echoing through the capital. The sky lit up, electricity went down, and Venezuela’s military command went dark - literally and figuratively. First on the hit list was Fuerte Tiuna, the crown jewel of Venezuelan military infrastructure and the headquarters of the Ministry of Defense. It's where the regime parks its helicopters, armored toys, and top brass. One well-placed missile reportedly took out enough hardware to cancel a parade. Lights out, communications scrambled, and panic fully activated. Next, the U.S. struck La Carlota Air Base. Known formally as Generalissimo Francisco de Miranda, it’s a compact but strategic base nestled in eastern Caracas, housing presidential jets, military transports, and - more recently - Russia’s favorite export: the Buk-M2E surface-to-air missile system. Satellite images had already shown those toys parked there late last year. Post-strike footage suggested ammo depots and maybe a few SAMs went up in flames. Call it a preemptive unboxing of Moscow’s latest shipment. Down by the coast, the Port of La Guaira caught its own taste of American firepower. It’s Venezuela’s second-busiest port, but also home to the Coast Guard Command and a few naval vessels, plus the nearby naval academy. Officially, it’s about cargo containers and cruise ships. Unofficially? It’s a convenient military logistics site that just got barbecued. The U.S. says it was used for drug trafficking. Venezuela says it was a civilian port. The smoldering wreckage says someone is lying. Further east, Higuerote Airport took a direct hit. On paper, it’s a sleepy airstrip for rich kids’ skydiving adventures and weekend charters to Los Roques. But secondary explosions and towering flames suggest it had become a convenient home for something a bit more explosive - fuel dumps, ammo, maybe a SAM system or two. Also hit: a radar or comms antenna near El Volcán. It's one of those strategic-but-forgotten installations that quietly makes the rest of the military function. After the strike, not so much. El Libertador Air Base, Venezuela’s biggest and baddest air hub, is where the Su-30MK2 fighters sleep - what’s left of them, anyway - and where Venezuela’s once-proud Air Force still pretends it has an air force. If the U.S. wanted to neuter Maduro’s wings, this was the jugular. All of this sits atop months of maritime operations, during which U.S. drones and patrol ships have shredded more than 100 drug boats in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific. These strikes weren’t random - they were paving stones on the path to January’s open-air bombardment. Venezuelan military losses remain unclear, mostly because the Maduro regime has been too busy shouting about sovereignty to admit how badly they got smoked. But one thing is clear: what used to be covert is now undeniable, another full-blown regime change operation is now underway. Sources: CBS News, Reuters, The Guardian, ABC, AP

Mario Nawfal

158,053 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1. Trump ordered U.S fighter jets and armed drones to launch a major assault on Houthi targets in Yemen. He issued a statement telling the Houthis: "Your time is up, and your attacks must stop." 2. A missile fired from Yemen struck Egypt's Sinai Peninsula near the resort city of Sharm el-Sheikh. The IDF is investigating whether Israel was the intended target but has not yet confirmed this. 3. SpaceX's Dragon capsule docked with the ISS, delivering 4 astronauts in a NASA crew swap. It will also bring back 2 stranded astronauts who have been on the ISS for 9 months since their Boeing Starliner was deemed too unsafe to return them. 4. Macron declared that Russia has no say in whether NATO troops enter Ukraine, stating that the decision lies solely with Kyiv. Britain and France are considering deploying thousands of peacekeepers as part of a ceasefire plan, while Russia outright rejects any NATO forces in Ukraine. 5. Todd Lyons, Acting ICE Director, said that Biden had cooked the books on ICE arrest data: "They were purposely misleading the American people by categorizing individuals processed and released into the interior of the United States as ICE arrests." 6. Over 300,000 Serbians took part in anti-government protests, calling for the resignation of President Aleksandar Vučić. It was Serbia's largest protest ever. 7. A fire at Club Pulse in Kocani, North Macedonia, killed at least 50 people and injured over 100. The blaze started during a concert by the band DNA when pyrotechnics were used, rapidly spreading through the crowded venue. 8. Kim Kardashian is reportedly taking legal action to remove Ye's new track from X after it featured their 11-year-old daughter, North. The song, 'Lonely Roads Still Go To Sunshine,' includes what appears to be Diddy's voice, despite his ongoing legal troubles, as well as a verse from North. 9. Trump signed an order to downsize the U.S Agency for Global Media, cutting wasteful spending at taxpayer-funded media outlets. It led to most Voice of America journalists being placed on administrative leave. 10. Israel's Defense Minister confirmed that the Iron Beam, a high-power laser air defense system, will be operational by the end of 2025. The Rafael-developed system is designed to intercept rockets, mortars, UAVs, and cruise missiles - at just $2-$3.50 per shot, compared to $40,000-$50,000 per Iron Dome interceptor.

Mario Nawfal

206,057 просмотров • 1 год назад

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Trump is considering reviving a "Safe Third Country" deal with El Salvador to deport non-Salvadoran migrants to the country, forcing them to seek asylum there instead of in the U.S. The plan could include deporting suspected members of Venezuela's Tren de Aragua gang. 2.⁠ After Colombia refused to accept deportation flights from the U.S, Trump slapped 25% tariffs on them. Shortly afterward, the Colombian government fully agreed to Trump's demands, including the immediate and unrestricted acceptance of deported Colombian nationals, even via U.S military aircraft. 3.⁠ Trump revealed he's talking to "substantial people" about TikTok's future, including deals that could potentially give the U.S government a 50% stake in the platform. 4.⁠ In a statement issued to mark International Holocaust Remembrance Day, Netanyahu slammed the International Criminal Court: "Founded in the shadow of the Holocaust, the ICC has disgraced itself with antisemitic attacks on Israel." 5. 3,000 people, including 50 international delegations, gathered at Auschwitz-Birkenau to mark the 80th anniversary of its liberation by Soviet troops. Macron, King Charles III, and Chancellor Scholz attended, while Netanyahu declined over the risk of his possible arrest after the ICC issued a warrant against him. 6.⁠ Trump signed an executive order establishing a review council for FEMA, just days after suggesting the agency could be shuttered. The council will hold its first public meeting within 90 days and is tasked with submitting a report to the president within 180 days of that meeting. 7.⁠ After a rapid offensive, M23 rebels say they've seized Goma, a city of over a million people in eastern DR Congo. The government denies the claim, insisting it still controls strategic points, including Goma's airport, despite reports of gunfire and looting. 8.⁠ More Brazilians now disapprove of Lula (49%) than approve of his Presidency (47%), according to a Genial/Quaest poll. It marks the first time disapproval has surpassed approval during his term, with ratings hitting their lowest point since January 2023. 9.⁠ Polish President Andrzej Duda has urged the dismantling of Russia's Nord Stream gas pipelines, even if a peace deal is reached between Russia and Ukraine: "This pipeline is a threat to Ukraine, Poland, Slovakia, and other Central European nations - not just militarily, but economically." 10.⁠ Chris Martin kicked off Coldplay's explosive Republic Day performance at Ahmedabad's Narendra Modi Stadium with a powerful "Happy Republic Day, India!" that had 132,000 fans lighting up the stadium with their bracelets.

Mario Nawfal

82,565 просмотров • 1 год назад

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/11 to 3/12 • Iran widened pressure on the Gulf energy system, with tankers hit near Basra, a container vessel struck near the UAE, and fuel infrastructure targeted in Bahrain and Oman, sending oil back above $100. • Israel expanded its campaign inside Iran, striking IRGC command infrastructure, missile production sites, and drone launch networks in and around Tehran. • Hezbollah launched one of its largest rocket barrages of the war, triggering heavy Israeli strikes on command centers and weapons infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs. • Iranian proxies and aligned forces continued attacks on U.S. positions across the region, bringing the total number of incidents targeting American sites or personnel to at least 25 since the war began. The central story of the last 24 hours is that the conflict is increasingly moving beyond the battlefield and into the systems that keep the region functioning. Iran continues to pressure shipping, energy infrastructure, and U.S. positions across the Middle East, while Israel is pushing deeper into the regime’s military and security architecture. The result is a war that now looks less like a contained exchange of strikes and more like a widening struggle over the region’s economic stability, military balance, and internal political control. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ PERSIAN GULF: IRAN CONTINUES TO PRESSURE THE ENERGY SYSTEM The Persian Gulf remained the most strategically significant theater over the last 24 hours. Multiple reports confirmed additional attacks affecting shipping and energy infrastructure across the region. Two oil tankers were reported burning in Iraqi waters near Basra after earlier strikes on vessels in the Gulf, while another container ship was reportedly hit near the UAE. Fuel and logistics infrastructure also came under pressure. Bahraini authorities reported that Iranian aggression targeted fuel tanks at a facility in Muharraq near Bahrain International Airport, while additional reports indicated that oil storage facilities at Oman’s Port of Salalah were struck. These attacks reinforce a clear pattern: Iran may not be able to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, but it is demonstrating that it can disrupt the broader logistical network surrounding the Gulf’s energy system. The market reaction was immediate. Oil prices moved back above $100 despite coordinated moves by the United States and its partners to release large volumes from strategic petroleum reserves. The International Energy Agency and several governments have moved to inject supply into the market, but these measures are temporary buffers. As long as shipping through the Gulf remains at risk, the global energy market will continue to price in disruption. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ TEHRAN: THE CAMPAIGN IS NOW HITTING THE REGIME’S CORE SECURITY NETWORK The latest strike waves inside Iran appear to be moving beyond general bombardment and toward a systematic dismantling of the regime’s security infrastructure. Israeli strikes reportedly targeted the IRGC Air Force headquarters in Tehran, ballistic missile storage and production facilities, Basij paramilitary command centers, and a compound at Imam Hossein University that functions as an operational hub for the Revolutionary Guards. Additional strikes were reported against Iranian intelligence ministry facilities and internal security infrastructure, indicating that the campaign is beginning to focus not only on missile capability but on the regime’s ability to control events inside the country. Separate strikes in western Iran reportedly hit drone launch teams preparing attacks toward Israel, suggesting that launch infrastructure is now being targeted dynamically as it emerges rather than only through preplanned strikes against fixed installations. Satellite imagery also confirmed damage to Iranian F-14 fighter aircraft at Isfahan’s 8th Tactical Air Base, further degrading an already aging Iranian air force that has struggled to contest Israeli and U.S. air superiority throughout the conflict. Taken together, the targeting pattern suggests that the coalition is increasingly focusing on the regime’s operational nervous system: command networks, launch infrastructure, and internal security forces that allow the government to coordinate and sustain military operations. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ LEBANON: ISRAEL IS NOW TARGETING HEZBOLLAH’S OPERATIONAL COMMAND STRUCTURE The northern front also escalated sharply over the last 24 hours. Hezbollah launched one of its largest barrages of the war, firing large numbers of rockets and drones toward northern Israel in coordinated strikes linked to Iran’s broader regional campaign. Israel’s response focused heavily on Hezbollah’s command and operational infrastructure rather than simply retaliating against launch sites. Israeli aircraft struck multiple facilities in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahieh), including command centers, operational headquarters, and weapons storage sites linked to Hezbollah’s Radwan forces, the elite unit responsible for cross-border operations against Israel. Additional strikes targeted missile launch infrastructure and militant positions across southern Lebanon, as well as logistical sites used to support ongoing rocket attacks. The concentration of strikes in Dahieh is significant. The area functions as Hezbollah’s central military and intelligence hub, and repeated attacks there suggest Israel is attempting to disrupt the group’s command-and-control structure rather than merely suppress individual launch cells. This shift indicates that the northern theater may be entering a new phase where Israel seeks to systematically degrade Hezbollah’s operational leadership and coordination networks, not just reduce the immediate rocket threat. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ REGIONAL SPILLOVER: U.S. POSITIONS AND GLOBAL SECURITY CONCERNS Regional spillover continues to grow. Iranian proxies and aligned groups have carried out repeated attacks targeting American facilities or sites hosting U.S. personnel across the Middle East. Analysts now count at least 25 attacks targeting U.S. sites or locations housing American personnel since the war began. One of the most significant recent incidents involved a drone strike on a large U.S. diplomatic facility near Baghdad International Airport. The attack caused damage but did not produce casualties, and U.S. officials suspect it was carried out by Iranian-aligned militias operating in Iraq. Beyond the Middle East itself, intelligence warnings suggest the conflict could reach further. U.S. authorities have warned about potential Iranian retaliation targeting American interests abroad, including scenarios involving drone launches from maritime platforms. Cyber activity linked to Iran has also been detected in Europe, including an attempted attack on a nuclear research facility in Poland that officials say bears multiple indicators of Iranian involvement. These developments show that while the war’s kinetic center remains in the Middle East, the broader confrontation between Iran and its adversaries is beginning to manifest across multiple domains: military, cyber, and economic. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW The key takeaway from the past 24 hours is that the war is continuing to widen in practice even as some political messaging suggests it could be nearing a conclusion. Iran is still capable of imposing meaningful costs through attacks on shipping, energy infrastructure, and proxy operations across the region. Israel, meanwhile, is expanding its strike campaign into deeper layers of Iran’s military and security architecture while escalating pressure on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Neither side appears close to a decisive breakthrough. Iran’s leadership structure remains intact despite heavy strikes, and its network of proxies continues to generate pressure across multiple fronts. At the same time, Israel and the United States retain overwhelming military superiority and appear committed to degrading Iran’s ability to sustain a prolonged conflict. For now, the trajectory remains clear: the war is evolving from a direct exchange of strikes into a broader contest over the region’s economic stability, military balance, and political future. --------------------------------- END REPORT

Inside_Israel_Intel

30,124 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours Heavy strike activity continued across Iran, while Iran maintained intermittent but still damaging attacks into Israel and across the Gulf. Open-source reporting, civilian footage, and mainstream outlets including The New York Times, AP, The Guardian, Ynet, and The Jerusalem Post all point to the same picture: sustained pressure across multiple fronts with no meaningful slowdown. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ INSIDE IRAN The most concrete strike detail in this window is the continued targeting of Iran’s energy and industrial base. Multiple sources, including The Guardian, AP, and Ynet, confirm Israeli strikes on the South Pars gas field, specifically a major petrochemical facility responsible for roughly half of Iran’s petrochemical production. Additional reporting indicates that, combined with prior strikes, a large portion of Iran’s export-linked petrochemical capacity has now been taken offline. This sits alongside continued strikes in and around Tehran, with open-source reporting and local accounts indicating ongoing explosions, air defense activity, and damage to both infrastructure and regime-linked sites. At the same time, Majid Khademi, head of the IRGC Intelligence Organization, was killed in strikes attributed to Israel and the United States. That removes a senior figure tied directly to internal security, intelligence coordination, and regime control. Taken together, this window reinforces what has already been visible: *⃣ Energy and industrial infrastructure are being hit directly *⃣ Senior regime figures remain active targets *⃣ Tehran itself continues to absorb repeated strike activity ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 IRANIAN STRIKES ON ISRAEL Iran continued to launch missiles into Israel, with the most detailed reporting coming from Ynet and corroborated by open-source imagery and emergency response reports. A cluster munition missile dispersed submunitions across central Israel, creating 20 to 28 separate impact sites across the Tel Aviv metropolitan area. Residential buildings, vehicles, and infrastructure were damaged, and at least one person was wounded. Separately, rescue operations in Haifa confirmed four civilian fatalities after a direct missile strike caused a structural collapse in a residential building. This is consistent with what you’ve already been reporting: *⃣ Iran still has the ability to penetrate defenses at times *⃣ Civilian impact remains real even at reduced launch tempo *⃣ Cluster munitions continue to increase the number of impact sites per strike ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 LEBANON FRONT Lebanon remained active, though not the central focus of this window. Israeli strikes continued in Beirut’s southern suburbs, targeting Hezbollah positions, with large secondary explosions and visible damage. Reporting from Asharq Al-Awsat and additional regional sources indicates continued evacuation patterns and reduced civilian presence in targeted areas. There is also continued reporting of internal Lebanese tension, with criticism of Hezbollah growing in some areas as strikes expand geographically. This front remains active, but its role in this window is supportive rather than dominant. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GULF AND REGIONAL PRESSURE Iran continued applying pressure beyond Israel, particularly in the Gulf. Reporting from The National indicates Kuwait has now intercepted hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles since late February, with continued targeting of: *⃣ Oil refineries *⃣ Power infrastructure *⃣ Desalination facilities Daily life in Kuwait is continuing, but under persistent alert conditions. This reinforces the broader pattern already established that Iran is sustaining regional pressure even as its direct strike tempo into Israel fluctuates. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ HORMUZ AND THE POLITICAL CLOCK The most consequential non-kinetic development remains tied to the Strait of Hormuz. Reporting across The New York Times, AP, and Al Jazeera confirms that the U.S. has again issued a deadline for Iran to reopen the strait, with explicit threats to strike power plants, bridges, and national infrastructure if that does not occur. Iran has responded by signaling it will retaliate if those strikes are carried out. At the same time, there are indications of ongoing diplomatic efforts, including proposals being circulated through regional intermediaries, though none appear close to resolution. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW • Israeli strikes continue to hit energy infrastructure and regime leadership targets inside Iran • Iran maintains the ability to cause civilian damage inside Israel, including multi-impact cluster strikes • Civilian fatalities inside Israel were confirmed in this window • Hezbollah positions in Beirut continue to be targeted • Gulf infrastructure remains under sustained Iranian pressure • The Hormuz deadline remains the clearest trigger for possible escalation ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 ASSESSMENT The pattern across the war is holding. Israel continues applying pressure across military, industrial, and economic systems inside Iran. Iran continues to respond within its constraints, maintaining the ability to strike while distributing pressure across multiple fronts. The most important variable is not a new development. It is timing. The U.S. has now attached a clear deadline to Hormuz, with specific targets named publicly. If that deadline passes without resolution, escalation will not be gradual. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📖 BOOK PLUG If you want the deeper context behind everything you’re watching play out right now, I break it down in: Contested Land, Uncontested Truth It goes beyond daily updates and explains the history, strategy, and narratives shaping this conflict. Continued thanks to Michael W for continuing to contribute to the open-source picture behind these reports.

Inside_Israel_Intel

24,295 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🚨12 HOUR NEWS RECAP 1.⁠ Trump is scheduled to make an “announcement” from the Oval Office today at 2 PM ET. The White House hasn’t released any details yet, but Oval Office addresses typically signal major developments worth watching. Speculation is swirling... which city is getting the National Guard treatment next? 2.⁠ President Xi and Putin met in Beijing, hailing their alliance as “unprecedented.” Putin praised their “strategic” bond, calling Xi a “dear friend” and declaring, “We were always together then, and we remain together now.” Xi returned the love, backing Putin with calls for a “more just global governance system” - code for a world less controlled by the West. 3.⁠ Trump fired back after a federal appeals court ruled his use of emergency powers to impose tariffs unconstitutional. He said if tariffs fall, a record $15 trillion in planned U.S. investment will be “immediately cancelled”, warning America would “become a Third World Nation.” 4.⁠ China’s throwing a massive military parade tomorrow - and they’re promising a death ray. A laser air defense system mounted on a truck is set to roll through Tiananmen Square, hyped as the “most powerful” on the planet. Putin, Kim Jong-Un, and Iran’s president will watch alongside Xi as the PLA shows off Mach 8 missiles, stealth drones, and enough sci-fi hardware to make DARPA sweat. 5.⁠ Shahed kamikaze drones slammed into Ukraine’s Kyiv region in an unusually bold daytime assault, with explosions reported in Irpin. Air raid alerts hit phones as parents were sending kids back to school - a not-so-subtle reminder that the war doesn’t pause for the academic calendar. 6.⁠ French hospitals have been told to prepare for a “major engagement” in Europe by March 2026, as fears of a full-scale war with Russia surge across NATO. Leaked documents reveal France is bracing for mass casualties - not just from its own forces, but wounded soldiers from across Europe. 7.⁠ South Korea now says 2,000 North Korean soldiers have died fighting for Russia - a brutal update from the original 600. Kim Jong Un sent over 10,000 troops to the front lines, and he’s not done: another 6,000 are on the way, including combat engineers already landing in Russia. 8.⁠ Trump is pressing drug companies to release full data on COVID vaccines saying the fight over their effectiveness has torn apart the CDC. He claimed Pfizer and others hold extraordinary results but refuse to share them with the public. 9.⁠ North Korea’s Supreme Leader, Kim Jong Un arrived in China aboard his armored train Taeyangho (“Sunshine”) ahead of tomorrow’s “Victory Day” parade marking 80 years since Japan’s WWII surrender. The fortress on rails carries 20 armored carriages with bulletproof windows, reinforced steel, and weapons from SAMs to anti-tank missiles. 10.⁠ Israel said a joint operation by the 99th Division and Shin Bet led to the deaths of dozens of Hamas fighters in northern and central Gaza. Among them was Talab Sadki Talab Abu Itaywi, a Nukhba unit commander involved in the October 7 attack on Israel.

Mario Nawfal

102,505 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

🇷🇺 RUSSIA'S "UNINTERCEPTABLE" HYPERSONIC MISSILE GOES LIVE IN BELARUS - BY NEW YEAR'S Belarus just confirmed: the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile system will be on combat duty in December 2025. That means Putin will have nuclear-capable missiles that can hit anywhere in Europe, travel at Mach 10+, and evade existing European defenses - deployed roughly 60 km from Minsk by year’s end. What Oreshnik is: An intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) derived from Russia’s RS-26 Rubezh ICBM. It carries multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) - six warheads, each dispersing submunitions, a capability previously associated almost exclusively with nuclear systems. Estimates go up to 36 submunitions per missile. The speed: Putin claims speeds up to Mach 10. Ukrainian military officials told CNN it reached Mach 11. Russian officials insist its warheads are effectively immune to interception. The range: Russia’s missile forces chief says Oreshnik can reach all of Europe. Russian state media claims: 11 minutes to Poland 17 minutes to NATO headquarters in Brussels First combat use: November 21, 2024 - strike on Dnipro, Ukraine. The missile reportedly carried inert or “dummy” warheads, but the kinetic energy alone caused significant damage. A CSIS director noted that even non-explosive hypersonic impacts can be devastating. Why it matters: Most European missile defenses are ineffective against Oreshnik. It flies above the engagement envelope of many systems and descends too quickly for terminal defenses like Patriot. Only Arrow 3 and SM-3 Block IIA have theoretical intercept capability - and inventories are limited. The conventional threat: In a NATO conflict, Russia could strike air bases, command centers, and missile sites with conventional Oreshniks, achieving strategic effects without using nuclear weapons. Foreign Policy notes it may take dozens of Iskanders to neutralize a major air base, but far fewer Oreshniks. Production status: August 1, 2025: Putin says Oreshnik entered service and first batch delivered November 4, 2025: Putin claims serial production underway The constraint: Zelensky claims Russia can produce only about six Oreshnik missiles per year. Ukrainian forces also claim one system was destroyed at Kapustin Yar, leaving two operational. The deployment: Belarusian President Lukashenko confirmed combat duty by December: “Oreshnik is a scary weapon. It will be put on combat duty in December.” Satellite imagery in late August 2025 showed launch-site preparation about 60 km south of Minsk. The strategic shift: Belarus already hosts Russian tactical nuclear weapons. Adding IRBMs places most European capitals within minutes of impact and shortens NATO reaction time dramatically. Expert assessment: Nonproliferation expert Jeffrey Lewis says Oreshnik combines existing technologies rather than introducing revolutionary ones. A University of Oslo defense expert estimates no more than 10% new components. However, analyst Mathieu Boulegue argues its real value is psychological - intimidating Western audiences rather than changing battlefield dynamics. Putin’s messaging: Putin warned Oreshnik could be used against NATO allies enabling Ukrainian strikes inside Russia. In December 2024, he said the missile brings Russia “close to having no need to use nuclear weapons.” The context: The November 2024 strike came days after Putin revised Russia’s nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for nuclear response to include certain conventional attacks supported by nuclear powers. What’s actually happening: Russia is deploying intermediate-range missiles banned under the INF Treaty until the U.S. withdrawal in 2019 - capable of delivering conventional or nuclear warheads along trajectories Europe struggles to intercept. Decades of NATO base consolidation mean airpower is concentrated in a few high-value sites, making them uniquely vulnerable to Oreshnik’s submunition dispersal. Bottom line: By December 31, 2025, Russia will have Oreshnik missiles on combat alert in Belarus - roughly 60 km from Minsk - aimed at NATO bases, command centers, and capitals. 11 minutes to Warsaw. 17 minutes to Brussels. Conventional or nuclear. You don’t know which until impact. The deterrence calculus has shifted. Russia can now threaten massive conventional damage without crossing the nuclear threshold - using missiles Europe largely cannot stop. And they’re going live in 2 weeks. Source: The Kyiv Independent, CNN, Defense Feeds, Foreign Policy, Business Standard, TASS

Mario Nawfal

46,590 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад