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🚨🇷🇺💥🇪🇺BREAKING: Heightened activity at Russia’s Kapustin Yar missile test range is fueling serious concerns of a potential large scale strike as early as tonight. Intelligence reports indicate possible preparations involving the Oreshnik intermediate range ballistic missile. Oreshnik missile has such a long range that it can strike even NATO...

23,089 次观看 • 8 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Defense Intelligence

21,186 次观看 • 2 个月前

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War Radar

117,759 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇷🇺 RUSSIA'S "UNINTERCEPTABLE" HYPERSONIC MISSILE GOES LIVE IN BELARUS - BY NEW YEAR'S Belarus just confirmed: the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile system will be on combat duty in December 2025. That means Putin will have nuclear-capable missiles that can hit anywhere in Europe, travel at Mach 10+, and evade existing European defenses - deployed roughly 60 km from Minsk by year’s end. What Oreshnik is: An intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) derived from Russia’s RS-26 Rubezh ICBM. It carries multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) - six warheads, each dispersing submunitions, a capability previously associated almost exclusively with nuclear systems. Estimates go up to 36 submunitions per missile. The speed: Putin claims speeds up to Mach 10. Ukrainian military officials told CNN it reached Mach 11. Russian officials insist its warheads are effectively immune to interception. The range: Russia’s missile forces chief says Oreshnik can reach all of Europe. Russian state media claims: 11 minutes to Poland 17 minutes to NATO headquarters in Brussels First combat use: November 21, 2024 - strike on Dnipro, Ukraine. The missile reportedly carried inert or “dummy” warheads, but the kinetic energy alone caused significant damage. A CSIS director noted that even non-explosive hypersonic impacts can be devastating. Why it matters: Most European missile defenses are ineffective against Oreshnik. It flies above the engagement envelope of many systems and descends too quickly for terminal defenses like Patriot. Only Arrow 3 and SM-3 Block IIA have theoretical intercept capability - and inventories are limited. The conventional threat: In a NATO conflict, Russia could strike air bases, command centers, and missile sites with conventional Oreshniks, achieving strategic effects without using nuclear weapons. Foreign Policy notes it may take dozens of Iskanders to neutralize a major air base, but far fewer Oreshniks. Production status: August 1, 2025: Putin says Oreshnik entered service and first batch delivered November 4, 2025: Putin claims serial production underway The constraint: Zelensky claims Russia can produce only about six Oreshnik missiles per year. Ukrainian forces also claim one system was destroyed at Kapustin Yar, leaving two operational. The deployment: Belarusian President Lukashenko confirmed combat duty by December: “Oreshnik is a scary weapon. It will be put on combat duty in December.” Satellite imagery in late August 2025 showed launch-site preparation about 60 km south of Minsk. The strategic shift: Belarus already hosts Russian tactical nuclear weapons. Adding IRBMs places most European capitals within minutes of impact and shortens NATO reaction time dramatically. Expert assessment: Nonproliferation expert Jeffrey Lewis says Oreshnik combines existing technologies rather than introducing revolutionary ones. A University of Oslo defense expert estimates no more than 10% new components. However, analyst Mathieu Boulegue argues its real value is psychological - intimidating Western audiences rather than changing battlefield dynamics. Putin’s messaging: Putin warned Oreshnik could be used against NATO allies enabling Ukrainian strikes inside Russia. In December 2024, he said the missile brings Russia “close to having no need to use nuclear weapons.” The context: The November 2024 strike came days after Putin revised Russia’s nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for nuclear response to include certain conventional attacks supported by nuclear powers. What’s actually happening: Russia is deploying intermediate-range missiles banned under the INF Treaty until the U.S. withdrawal in 2019 - capable of delivering conventional or nuclear warheads along trajectories Europe struggles to intercept. Decades of NATO base consolidation mean airpower is concentrated in a few high-value sites, making them uniquely vulnerable to Oreshnik’s submunition dispersal. Bottom line: By December 31, 2025, Russia will have Oreshnik missiles on combat alert in Belarus - roughly 60 km from Minsk - aimed at NATO bases, command centers, and capitals. 11 minutes to Warsaw. 17 minutes to Brussels. Conventional or nuclear. You don’t know which until impact. The deterrence calculus has shifted. Russia can now threaten massive conventional damage without crossing the nuclear threshold - using missiles Europe largely cannot stop. And they’re going live in 2 weeks. Source: The Kyiv Independent, CNN, Defense Feeds, Foreign Policy, Business Standard, TASS

Mario Nawfal

46,590 次观看 • 9 个月前

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Zelensky confirms successful Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo missile strikes on Volgograd’s Titan-Barrikady plant, a major Russian producer of strategic missiles, Iskander systems, and artillery. 🇺🇦 Volodymyr Zelensky: 📌 “Every Russian defense facility working on the war against Ukraine is a fair target for our long-range sanctions. Tonight, FP-5 ‘Flamingo’ type missiles successfully struck the ‘Titan-Barrikady’ enterprise in Volgograd. This is a large industrial complex where the enemy produces artillery systems and special military equipment, in particular, elements of rocket launchers for strikes on our people. Hits were recorded, followed by a fire on the plant’s territory. I thank our Defense Forces warriors for their precision.” 🚀 “The geography of Ukrainian long-range sanctions is constantly expanding and it is precisely our pressure that creates the basis every day for a worthy peace to finally come. I am grateful to every Ukrainian engineer and warrior who ensures our long-range capabilities. Glory to Ukraine!” 🏭 The Volgograd Federal Scientific and Production Center “Titan-Barrikady” (part of the Rostech corporation) is one of the most important and strategic facilities of the Russian military-industrial complex. It is mainly specialized in the following areas: 1Launchers for strategic missile complexes: The plant produces mobile launchers and technical units for Russia’s main nuclear missile complexes, such as Topol-M, Yars, and the naval intercontinental ballistic missile Bulava. 2Tactical missile systems: Launchers for the well-known operational-tactical missile complexes Iskander-M are produced here, which Russia actively uses to bomb Ukrainian cities. 3Large-caliber artillery and naval systems: The plant produces artillery units for ground forces (for example, parts of self-propelled howitzers - 2S7 Pion; MSTA-B/MSTA-S), as well as automatic artillery systems for naval fleet ships and coastal defense missile complexes. Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

269,760 次观看 • 3 个月前

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Mario Nawfal

270,819 次观看 • 5 个月前

The competition between strike systems and air defense/interceptor systems continues to evolve on both sides. In response to Russia’s growing use of jet-powered Geran-4 loitering munitions and Geran-5/Banderol cruise missiles, Ukraine has begun developing jet-powered interceptor drones. The aim is to address a class of faster aerial threats that can be difficult for conventional propeller-driven interceptors to engage. Ukraine has also used Bars jet-powered drones in at least one strike campaign against Moscow. Their numbers are still believed to be limited, with propeller-driven drones making up the majority of Ukraine’s long-range strike fleet. This highlights a broader issue for Russia: the need to develop and deploy compact interceptor drones before faster targets become more widespread. The challenge is not simply intercepting them, but doing so economically. Traditional air-defense systems and MANPADS can engage such targets, but using them against relatively inexpensive strike drones can be difficult to justify economically. One potentially relevant example comes from Iran. Several years ago, Iran developed and deployed the 358 missile, a specialized system intended to engage UAVs. It is a subsonic weapon with a reported speed of around 700 km/h, an infrared seeker, and a turbojet engine, with a claimed engagement range of up to 100 km. Its design reflects a different approach to countering relatively slow aerial targets, without relying on the speed and cost associated with conventional high-performance surface-to-air missiles. The missile has demonstrated its effectiveness, having shot down a number of U.S. and Israeli UAVs. This is not necessarily an argument for simply copying the 358. The more important point is anticipating what types of drones may be heading toward Russian cities in the future and developing an interceptor that is capable of engaging them while remaining cheaper than the strike systems it is designed to counter.

OSINTWarfare

39,591 次观看 • 26 天前