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🚨 BREAKING: IRAN NOW SEEKING CEASEFIRE — AFTER BEING CRUSHED A major shift is unfolding. Iran’s leadership is now signalling a desire for a ceasefire. President Trump’s response is clear: No deal… until the Strait of Hormuz is OPEN. “We will consider it when Hormuz is free, open, and...

24,338 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Global reset. Listen closely — this is one of the most important breakdowns yet of what’s unfolding around the Iran situation. It is a peek behind the curtain to President Trump’s longterm strategy. After Trump ordered U.S. Naval forces to begin a blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, Maria Bartiromo laid out what she says is the broader geopolitical shift now underway. BARTIROMO: “Very big news. We have major developments this morning with the president directing the Navy to begin this blockade of ships in the Strait of Hormuz.” “This is very important because Iran tried hard to extort the global economy and take over securing the Strait of Hormuz.” “It is not working.” “As you just saw, the president’s post this morning on Truth Social, that the U.S. Navy is beginning this blockade right now of the Strait of Hormuz.” “Why is this important? Because the strait is a narrow waterway. Typically, the strait is the choke point where 20% of the oil and gas of the world is traveling through this strait and as a result of what you are seeing this morning with the Navy beginning this blockade, it will be able to stop ships.” “What we are seeing as a result? We are seeing a complete diversion.” “You’re seeing major super tankers change direction and go to the Gulf of America for oil and gas.” “The president was very clear they his address to the nation a week and-a-half ago.” “He said that the United States right now is operating at 95% capacity.” “He said that the United States right now is producing more oil and gas than Saudi Arabia and Russia combined and if you remember, he said it twice, he said let me say that again.” “The U.S. Is producing more oil and gas that Saudi Arabia and Russia combined.” “He directed allies to buy oil and gas from America.” “The U.S. and allies are increasing their naval presence in the Strait of Hormuz right now, to indicate to the world that, yes, Iran wanted the strait closed.” “It will then be closed and all the traffic will be redirected to the Gulf of America where the United States will up its capacity and up its sales of oil and gas to the rest of the world.”

Overton

69,267 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: TALKS FAIL, PRESSURE CONTINUES - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours The diplomatic track did not produce a result in this window. After extended, high-level negotiations in Islamabad, the United States and Iran left without an agreement, despite what both sides described as a final round of talks. At the same time, Lebanon remains active, the Strait of Hormuz is still unresolved, and the broader regional pressure structure has not changed. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇵🇰 ISLAMABAD TALKS: FAILED ROUND, NOT A BREAKTHROUGH The most important development in this window is straightforward: • U.S. and Iranian delegations held 21 hours of direct talks • No agreement was reached • Both sides left without accepting terms • Each side blamed the other The core issues did not move: • U.S. demands: nuclear rollback and unrestricted access to the Strait of Hormuz • Iranian demands: sanctions relief, reparations, control over Hormuz, and a regional ceasefire including Lebanon Those positions remain fundamentally incompatible. At its core, this is not just a ceasefire negotiation. It is a negotiation over Iran’s long-term ability to project power: • The U.S. is pushing to dismantle that capability, including nuclear, missile, and proxy elements • Iran is trying to preserve enough of it to remain a regional power Both sides are still signaling willingness to continue talks, but this round produced no progress. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇱🇧 LEBANON: CONTINUED STRIKES, NO LINK TO CEASEFIRE Lebanon remains the most active battlefield and was not affected by the failed negotiations. Israeli strikes continued across southern Lebanon, with reporting confirming: • Multiple strike waves across southern towns • At least 11 killed in recent operations • Continued targeting of Hezbollah infrastructure and positions At the same time, Hezbollah continues: • Intermittent rocket fire toward Israel • Ongoing clashes along the border This reinforces the established fact that there is no operational pause in Lebanon. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ STRAIT OF HORMUZ: NAVAL MOVEMENTS AND PARTIAL OPENING The most important operational shift in this window is in the Strait itself. Two U.S. Navy destroyers transited the Strait of Hormuz, tied to planned mine-clearing operations. Three supertankers successfully exited the Gulf, while hundreds remain queued, and Iran continues to signal control and leverage over access. At the same time, the U.S. has now moved beyond signaling: • President Trump announced the Navy will interdict vessels that pay tolls to Iran • He indicated a willingness to impose a de facto blockade of the Strait • The stated objective is to eliminate Iran’s ability to monetize or control passage This creates a new reality: • Hormuz is not fully closed • It is not fully open • It is now becoming an actively contested maritime zone ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GLOBAL ENERGY RESPONSE Markets are already adapting to the disruption. • Tankers are rerouting away from the Gulf • U.S. exports are rising toward record levels • Gulf Coast refineries are running near capacity • Major buyers are competing for non-Gulf supply The effect is clear. Iran disrupted supply, the global market began rerouting around it, that does not remove Iran’s leverage. It limits how long that leverage can be sustained. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW • U.S.–Iran talks failed to produce an agreement • Both sides left Islamabad without accepting terms, though talks may continue • Lebanon remains an active battlefield, with continued Israeli strikes and Hezbollah fire • The U.S. has begun direct naval movement through Hormuz, including destroyer transits and upcoming mine-clearing operations • Shipping is partially resuming, but the Strait remains unstable and contested ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 ASSESSMENT This was a real negotiation attempt. It failed. And the reason it failed is becoming clearer. Iran continues to negotiate as if it holds structural leverage over the outcome. The battlefield suggests otherwise. Its position is weaker than its posture. But it is not without leverage. That leverage is concentrated in two places: • The ability to disrupt Hormuz and global energy flow • The ability to keep secondary fronts, especially Lebanon, active The first creates economic pressure. The second prevents clean diplomatic separation. At the same time, the United States is signaling something equally important: It is willing to test those limits directly. Naval transits through Hormuz are not symbolic. They are the early stages of forcing open the most important pressure point Iran still holds. That is the real signal underneath the headlines. Not just that talks failed. But that both sides are now preparing for what happens if they continue to fail.

Inside_Israel_Intel

22,034 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce