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15,879 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Bitcoin closed up 2.39% on July 1st and I watched TBO support drop from 62k down to 57k after a surprising low. It came close to a massive bullish engulfing candle, wick to wick BTC was up 6%, but it didn't close above Tuesday's open at 60,276 so the reversal isn't confirmed yet. RSI is showing me clear bullish divergence with higher lows since June 10th even as price made lower lows, volume exceeded the moving average at 1.5 billion, and on balance volume is flattening out just like it did before the last major reversal, so I still believe we're close to a July bounce even though this remains a bear market. Ethereum bounced a similar 2.39% with its own bullish divergence cluster and a closed short on the four hour, though volume and on balance volume still need to confirm. I also went through stablecoin dominance, Bitcoin dominance, and Solana dominance, plus DXY and USDJPY which are both flashing dangerously overbought conditions eerily similar to July 2024 right before Bank of Japan intervention. On the macro side I covered S&P futures, the Fear and Greed Index closing its third TBO close long as a warning to take profit, oil grinding down toward 68 to fill its gap, and gold and silver both showing early bullish RSI resets inside otherwise bearish structures. For my picks I walked through a long list of oversold setups I like for a July bounce including Solana, Litecoin, Crow, Cardano, Bitcoin Cash, Sui, Ethereum Classic, Ondo, Vechain, Monad, and Worldcoin, along with take profit zones on Morpho and Curve. I also flagged charts I'm more cautious on like Velvet and Adam despite bullish RSI resets, shared my Kraken short trade recap on Bitcoin, and closed out with stock picks including Palantir, Bloom Energy, DRAM, and SEI, plus a reminder that my deeper explainer video on all of this drops Sunday. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin recap and near bullish engulfing candle 02:10 RSI bullish divergence and on balance volume setup 04:30 Ethereum bounce and four hour close short 06:15 Stablecoin, Bitcoin, and Solana dominance 08:00 DXY and USDJPY overbought warning signs 10:20 S&P futures, Fear and Greed Index, oil, gold and silver 13:40 Kraken trade recap and Better Traders Club 16:30 Altcoin picks: Solana, Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash, Sui 19:45 Ethereum Classic, Ondo, Morpho, Curve profit zones 22:30 Caution charts: Velvet and Adam 25:00 Worldcoin, Fartcoin, and oversold plays 27:40 Stock picks: Palantir, Bloom Energy, DRAM, SEI

Aaron Dishner

11,176 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Hey guys, welcome back. BTC closed inside of the TBO cloud, up 1.66% on Friday, my third green day in a row, the first close inside since it fell out back on May 26. My macro trend is still bearish since all four TBO lines point down, but I'm expecting Bitcoin to stay bullish through July after catching a bullish OBV cross above the 21SMA on Thursday. I'm watching for this week's candle to close above last week's high at 65,622, which is a tall order, but Bitcoin's RSI at 59.69 tells me there's still room to run before overbought. Ethereum had a fantastic day too, closing up 3.3% and shooting up 14% since Wednesday, with a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly and a bullish RSI reset that I like a lot, targeting around 2,080. Solana dropped another 1.9% and remains in bearish consolidation, which I actually see as healthy given Bitcoin dominance staying bearish, since that's keeping alts strong. My total altcoin cap chart closed inside the cloud with a bullish OBV cross too, which I think marks the start of a regime shift, though I'm still telling anyone on a DCA strategy to keep taking profits since we're in a macro bear market overall. On the TradFi side, I saw a bearish TBO reversal print on Thursday plus a wick into the cloud, so I'm on the fence there, watching the Dixie closely since a break above 102 would be real trouble. The Nikkei and KOSPI both bounced, oil stayed oversold for a tenth straight bar, and gold and silver both printed TBO reversal signs that I'm watching for a tag of the fast line before I'd consider taking profit or flipping short. For my picks, I bought Bitcoin cash on its RSI reset, I'm watching Solana, Farcoin, and Whiff for pullback entries, and I flagged Morpho and Aerodrome as showing early bearish reversal signs worth watching this weekend. CHAPTER MARKERS 00:00 Bitcoin closes inside the TBO cloud 02:46 Ethereum strength and RSI room 04:53 Bitcoin dominance and altcoin breadth 06:53 TradFi setup, Dixie, and USDJPY 09:27 Nikkei, KOSPI, oil, gold, and silver 12:01 Better Traders resources and bot trading 14:17 Kraken, prop trading, Phemex, and AFX 16:20 Bitcoin Cash, Solana, and TBO close shorts 18:30 XRP, SUI, PEPE, VVV, and LAB warnings 20:56 XLM, ALLO, GWEI, FAI, and Fetch 23:21 Micron and MELI pullback setups

Aaron Dishner

11,627 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

NIFTY50 🚨 Repost for reach!🙏 Watch the video completely to see the perspective from 2027. In today’s video, I took a deep look at Nifty 50 through the lens of higher timeframes — the 3M, 6M, and 12M charts. Each candle here represents significant time, so the signals are powerful and less noisy. My main thesis is clear: We are setting up for a Triple Top formation on the 3M chart, followed by a violent downward ride. Let me walk you through what I’m seeing step by step. 3M Chart View On the 3-month chart, we’ve already seen a green candle. The RSI, which had fallen sharply, is now trying to pull itself back up. But don’t get too excited yet — this is a higher timeframe, so moves are smoother and slower. I’m expecting the index to form green candles ahead, but they won’t be those massive bullish ones we saw during the strong momentum phase. Instead, we’ll likely trade in a strict range, building toward a Triple Top near or slightly above the last all-time high. The price may try to push to that previous peak (or even create a small spillover) to confuse the market. However, if the RSI shows a hidden bearish divergence and forms a lower high, it will be a strong warning. RSI denial at those levels should trigger the real downside move. This is not about bending or curving randomly — it’s a structured formation I’m watching closely from pure price action and RSI. 6M Chart View On the six-month chart, we’ve already formed a top, and the RSI is sitting comfortably in the momentum zone. The upside action I’m anticipating should mostly play out within the next one year. We might see the next candle body complete somewhere around the 25,612 – 25,692 zone. I’m looking at a four-candle base here. It generally doesn’t form a clean double top without curves — we’ve already seen one curve, and I expect another. There could be some spillover beyond the all-time high, but it won’t sustain. Everything points to major developments unfolding within 2027 itself. If we make a higher high in this structure, it will definitely influence how I manage my portfolio (more on that in future videos). 12M Chart View The 12-month chart is always trickier because each candle covers a full year. We may see a retrace over the next six months, forming a small top. After that, there’s potential for a move toward the red zone (downside territory). If the bigger moves play out within 2026 itself, the next 12M candle could turn out to be super strong. But for now, I’m leaning more on the clearer signals coming from the 3M and 6M charts.

Cryptified Soul (Garima)

10,879 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce