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🇹🇼🇺🇸 Chamath just said something that should reframe EVERY conversation about Taiwan. In 18 months, it may no longer matter strategically the way it does today. The reason Taiwan matters right now is almost entirely economic, it produces the semiconductors that power everything from iPhones to F-35s, and the...

26,771 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇨🇳🇹🇼🇺🇸 While America was fighting in Iran, China may have made its most significant move on Taiwan in decades... Taiwan's opposition leader Cheng Li-wun is in Beijing right now on a six-day "journey for peace" at Xi Jinping's personal invitation. The first visit by a Taiwanese opposition leader in a decade. At the same time, Taiwan's opposition-controlled parliament blocked a $40 billion defense budget meant to fund U.S. arms deals. The defense money is frozen. The opposition leader is toasting Chinese officials in Shanghai. This is happening weeks before the Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15, where Xi hopes to shift U.S. policy on Taiwan toward Beijing's view that the island is a breakaway province. China is building the political groundwork on multiple fronts simultaneously. Mediating the Iran ceasefire for diplomatic credit with Trump. Hosting Taiwan's opposition to show "peaceful reunification" is possible. Blocking the defense budget that would make Taiwan harder to take. The Iran war pulled U.S. carrier groups, missile batteries, and strategic attention away from the Pacific for six weeks. It seems China watched, took notes, and started moving pieces while Washington was looking the other way. Xi told Trump in February: "Taiwan will never be allowed to separate from China." The question is whether Trump, who now owes Beijing a diplomatic favor over Iran, pushes back on that or trades it away in May. Source: Euronews, WSJ

Mario Nawfal

262,555 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад