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Charlie Munger: "Warren talks about these discounted cash flows. I've never seen him do one."

889,083 просмотров • 3 лет назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 10

Фото профиля Brian Feroldi
Brian Feroldi3 лет назад

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Фото профиля Brad Freeman
Brad Freeman3 лет назад

Yeah I wholeheartedly agree with Munger & Buffett's POV on this. Spending more than 30 minutes on financial modeling is wasting time. Simplistic, overarching assumptions work better than in depth calculus. Revenue bucket proportions, margins for each bucket while accounting for potential tailwinds/headwinds, a pessimistic multiple assumption to build a margin of safety & done.

Фото профиля Michael Girdley
Michael Girdley3 лет назад

If I could pick someone to live forever, it'd be Charlie. (Me 2nd though.)

Фото профиля Henry Chien, CFA ⭐️
Henry Chien, CFA ⭐️3 лет назад

he's trained himself to do do a simple DCF in his head if i remember correctly

Фото профиля Analyst Frank
Analyst Frank3 лет назад

If you're a beginner don't listen to this out of context video. Do a DCF, the more complex the better cause that's how you learn. You can find Buffett saying in some other video that he's been doing it for so long he knows most of the companies so it takes him less time.

Фото профиля Sam Hollanders - Valuing Dutchman
Sam Hollanders - Valuing Dutchman3 лет назад

Discussed this with some investment buddies earlier tonight. We agreed that you have to learn to value a company. You need to know the ins and outs of this and DCF is one of the best methods. But once you reach a certain amount of experience in this, you don't need to do the DCF anymore. You process all the steps that make the DCF valuable in your head. You have to earn to use multiples.

Фото профиля Rose Premium Signals 🌹
Rose Premium Signals 🌹3 лет назад

Munger's wit shining through! 😄 Shows the importance of intuition in investing.

Фото профиля The PeFi CFO
The PeFi CFO3 лет назад

Discounted cash flow is a concept you can get a feel for, without having to go through the details.

Фото профиля Matt Gunter 🔭
Matt Gunter 🔭3 лет назад

it’s valuable to have a mathematical model to help with decision-making. It’s even more valuable to have that model in the form of intuition . math without intuition is too slow and intuition without math is to imprecise.

Фото профиля Hoda Mehr
Hoda Mehr3 лет назад

It's disheartening! Isn't it? At the same time, it is also good news. You really don't need to do too much math. Just a back-of-the-envelope intuitive math should be enough.

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