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China’s Electric Vehicle Industry Is Imploding | BYD Caught in Massive Fraud Scheme. In this video, I expose the shocking truth behind China’s new energy vehicle (NEV) industry collapse — and how BYD, once hailed as the "China Tesla," is now caught in a web of fake sales, financial...

248,838 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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E23: Leland Miller Breaks Down The China Threat. IP Theft, GDP Fabrication, Taiwan Takeover. What is Really Going On? Leland is the Cofounder of China Beige Book, which according to some media reports has been labelled as a firm having more data on China than even the CIA. He is also a Commissioner on the U.S.-China Economic & Security Review Commission (U.S.-China Commission). He has advised Fortune 50 CEOs and top government officials including the Congress on China. In this conversation we talk about: —> The espionage in the tech industry from universities to companies —> Why China has long-term strategy for Taiwan where they expect the West to self-implode —> How U.S banks including JP Morgan were partially responsible for covering up China’s real economic condition —> How China fabricated their GDP —> What happened to the great China opportunity? —> China’s military readiness And more. Full episode now available wherever you get your podcasts. Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 01:26 - China 101: The death of the “China Dream” 09:26 - Surveillance, residency permits, and the reality of internal environment 11:04 - Supply chain leverage: Why critical minerals are national security 13:50 - The pharmaceutical threat: Chinese control of U.S. medication supply chains 16:34 - Strategic decoupling: Reshoring and friendshoring national security nexuses 19:45 - Dependence on Chinese foundational materials 24:21 - The military balance in the Pacific: Why everyone thinks they would lose 27:56 - Command readiness: Xi Jinping’s military purges and wartime memory loss 31:13 - Geostrategy in the neighborhood: Japan, Philippines, and missile distance 35:20 - Made in China 2025: The fourth industrial revolution playbook 37:46 - Reindustrialization hurdles: Shipbuilding, chips, and bipartisan focus 39:50 - Breaking the rare earth processing monopoly 43:54 - An Economic Security Strategy: A 5-point master plan for the US 49:19 - IP theft and clones: The deep-rooted issue of technological espionage 52:01 - The STEM dilemma: Training talent in the U.S. and letting them go back 55:27 - China’s compute disadvantage and U.S incentives 01:00:23 - The Food and Energy problem 01:06:12 - Xi Jinping’s psyche: Paranoia, time horizons, and the Taiwan ticking clock 01:10:56 - Economic sensibilities: Global frustration with the imbalanced trade model 01:16:35 - Why China doesn’t drive global growth 01:19:02 - GDP Fabrication: Trillon-Yuan exaggeration 01:28:41 - Tracking credit and stimulus in a “non-commercial” system 01:33:59 - AI, Quantum, and Biotech integration 01:45:18 - Counterbalancing industrial policy 01:58:19 - Why China uses 12x more robots than prediction 02:08:52 - Why Xi doesn’t care about consumers 02:14:35 - Closing thoughts

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25,253 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: CHINA’S REAL ESTATE BUBBLE JUST COLLAPSED!! China’s real estate just crashed 25% and wiped out TRILLIONS. But this is not a China-only crisis. It’s a GLOBAL market event. Stocks. Metals. Crypto. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST know what's coming next: This is a global liquidity event in motion. The collapse of the largest property bubble in modern history. For decades, China’s economy was built on one thing: Real estate. Developers borrowed endlessly. Households concentrated wealth into property. Local governments funded themselves through land sales. That entire system is now breaking. Home sales are collapsing. Prices are falling. Developers are defaulting. Liquidity is evaporating. Confidence is disappearing fast. And when housing breaks in an economy this large - everything gets hit. Banks absorb losses. Consumers cut spending. Construction activity freezes. Debt stress spreads. THIS IS EXTREMELY, EXTREMELY SERIOUS. Because China is not just a domestic economy. It is the second-largest economy in the world. And when China slows - global demand slows. That means commodities get crushed. Industrial metals weaken. Energy demand falls. Export economies take damage. And then financial markets react. Global equities reprice lower. Bond markets shift into risk-off mode. Emerging markets face capital flight. And risk assets get hit hardest. Bitcoin does not escape liquidity shocks. When global stress rises, capital pulls back fast. Speculation gets unwound first. Crypto gets sold first. High-growth tech stocks get hit next. Then broader equities follow. That is how risk cascades through markets. This is how contagion starts. China’s housing market was one of the largest stores of wealth on Earth. Its collapse destroys confidence. And confidence is the foundation of every financial system. When confidence breaks in China - global markets feel it. And history is clear: property busts trigger financial stress. Financial stress destroys risk appetite. And when risk appetite disappears - stocks fall. Bitcoin falls harder. Speculative assets get crushed. This is not a correction. This is the deflation of a global macro bubble. And the market has not fully priced it in. I’ve spent years tracking macro turning points and market reactions like this. When the next move becomes clear, I’ll share it here. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning BEFORE the headlines catch up.

0xNobler

39,564 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

CBS Sunday Morning went to a London auto showroom and interviewed British car owners, traditional dealers and industry experts about the rise of Chinese EVs in Europe. What they found quietly destroys a lot of American mythology. British car owner Justin Watson is replacing his Lexus with a BYD. He described the ride as “like sitting on a throne” and said its technology, comfort and handling surpassed anything he had driven before. His conclusion was blunt: The era of “cheap Chinese cars don’t last” is over. A London dealer with more than 50 years in the business, long associated with Volkswagen, said he never imagined he would one day sell Chinese cars. Then he saw the quality, the technology and the sales growth. He changed his mind. Ben Nelmes of New Automotive explained why. Chinese EV makers now hold major advantages across batteries, supply chains and manufacturing integration. BYD started with batteries and built upward, controlling far more of its own production chain and allowing it to make cars at least 25% cheaper than Western competitors. And the technology is no longer “cheap imitation.” Chinese EVs are producing the things Western social media keeps going viral over: 360-degree tank turns. Emergency floating capability. Ultra-long range. Charging from 10% to 70% in minutes. The old stereotype of “Made in China = cheap and inferior” is collapsing in real time. Then comes the American part. The Biden administration imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese EVs. Trump kept the wall in place. In practical terms, Chinese EVs are shut out of the U.S. market. When CBS asked whether that protects American jobs, Nelmes gave the more uncomfortable answer: protectionism may protect jobs in the short term, but over time it kills competition, slows innovation, weakens consumer choice and leaves domestic automakers sheltered from the very future they are supposed to compete in. If the future of cars is electric, then blocking the world’s strongest EV competitors does not prepare American automakers for that future. It protects them from it. The irony gets worse. Before the segment ended, the British owner laughed that he had relatives in New Jersey who were “absolutely jealous” that he could drive such a good Chinese car. And here is the fact protectionists cannot explain away: BYD is effectively shut out of the U.S. market behind a 100% tariff wall, while Tesla is allowed to sell normally in China. And BYD still became the world’s top-selling battery-electric vehicle maker. China did not need to ban Tesla to compete with it. It let Tesla enter. Build locally. Sell freely. Fight for Chinese consumers. The United States looked at BYD and chose a wall. Yet even without access to the American market, BYD still outsold Tesla globally. That says more about competitiveness than a thousand speeches about “fair competition.” If your company needs its biggest rival excluded from your home market while that rival beats you everywhere else, you are not defending competitiveness. You are hiding from it.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

15,864 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

China spent 25 years failing to build a globally competitive domestic car industry through hundreds of billions of dollars of subsidies and forced partnerships. Then they tried something radical. In 2018, they invited Tesla to build a wholly-owned factory in Shanghai. No joint venture required. Chinese officials called it the "catfish effect" - Tesla would force domestic companies to compete or die. The impact was brutal. When Tesla's Model 3 launched in 2020, it quickly became China's best-selling EV. BYD's total vehicle sales actually fell 7.7% that year to just 427,000 units. By competing with the world's best, BYD was forced to address what they were missing: Chinese EVs had great battery tech and software, but the cars weren't appealing. So BYD learned design. Sales exploded. Today BYD sells over 4 million vehicles annually - 10x their 2020 numbers, and more than Tesla globally. America should do the same thing. In the long run, the only way to win high-tech manufacturing is to actually compete against the very best in the world. We should encourage BYD and other leading Chinese companies to build factories in America in exchange for the access to the U.S market. This would allow us to build up process knowledge and the the relevant supply chains domestically, and force American companies to catch up. The alternative is to fall further and further behind. I talked to Arthur Kroeber Arthur Kroeber, one of the sharpest observers of China’s economy, about this and much more. Full episode out tomorrow.

Dwarkesh Patel

424,418 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr