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Consensus expects a negative headline CPI print, the first since 2020. The driver is straightforward: AAA data shows average gasoline prices in June running 10% below May. That alone takes 0.4 to 0.5 percentage points off the headline number. The negative print is an energy story, not a broader signal.

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The CPI leans on substitution and reweighting that understate what you really pay for: housing, gas, groceries. The old formula tracked real cost of living; today's basket is built to print a smaller number. Energy can jump 30% and the headline still says inflation is 'cooling.'

The CPI leans on substitution and reweighting that understate what you really pay for: housing, gas, groceries. The old formula tracked real cost of living; today's basket is built to print a smaller number. Energy can jump 30% and the headline still says inflation is 'cooling.'

Jake Claver, QFOP

17,346 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Eurozone headline inflation came in at 2.8%, below many forecasts. That is awkward timing for the ECB. The June hike is now looking premature, and markets were already questioning how much tightening was really required. It does not help the ECB's credibility.

Eurozone headline inflation came in at 2.8%, below many forecasts. That is awkward timing for the ECB. The June hike is now looking premature, and markets were already questioning how much tightening was really required. It does not help the ECB's credibility.

LiveSquawk

11,971 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 HOLY CRAP! Democrats are fuming after local news is forced to report gas prices are PLUMMETING near $2 under President Trump in certain areas, the lowest in 4 YEARS 🇺🇸 "It is PERCECT timing for everyone that is leaving and heading out to wherever their holiday destination is!" "The last time that the national gas price average was below $3 was four years ago!" "This time last year, the prices were up about a dollar." "AAA says that right now the national average is about $2.86. This is the first time in the gas price average was below $3 since May of 2020." "But the tri-state is sitting at even lower prices in the Cincinnati area. A gallon of regular unleaded gas is right around $2.54!" "In northern Kentucky, the average is a bit higher at $2.60 and prices in our highest, if you can even call it that, in southeastern Indiana with an average of $2.80."

🚨 HOLY CRAP! Democrats are fuming after local news is forced to report gas prices are PLUMMETING near $2 under President Trump in certain areas, the lowest in 4 YEARS 🇺🇸 "It is PERCECT timing for everyone that is leaving and heading out to wherever their holiday destination is!" "The last time that the national gas price average was below $3 was four years ago!" "This time last year, the prices were up about a dollar." "AAA says that right now the national average is about $2.86. This is the first time in the gas price average was below $3 since May of 2020." "But the tri-state is sitting at even lower prices in the Cincinnati area. A gallon of regular unleaded gas is right around $2.54!" "In northern Kentucky, the average is a bit higher at $2.60 and prices in our highest, if you can even call it that, in southeastern Indiana with an average of $2.80."

Eric Daugherty

268,912 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

Fox Business on June CPI: "Month-over-month, we came down 0.4%, so negative read... we were looking for 0.1% to the downside." "Core year-over-year—all of this better than expected—2.6% is the core number. We were looking for 2.8%. That is also a nice decline from last month."

Fox Business on June CPI: "Month-over-month, we came down 0.4%, so negative read... we were looking for 0.1% to the downside." "Core year-over-year—all of this better than expected—2.6% is the core number. We were looking for 2.8%. That is also a nice decline from last month."

Rapid Response 47

103,494 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

BREAKING: Inflation posting the biggest one-month drop since April 2020. New June CPI data shows prices fell 0.4% from the previous month — the biggest monthly decline since April 2020 — bringing the annual inflation rate to 3.5% as price pressures continue to ease. The report lands just as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh heads to Capitol Hill for his first congressional testimony since taking over the central bank, putting inflation and the path for interest rates back in the spotlight.

BREAKING: Inflation posting the biggest one-month drop since April 2020. New June CPI data shows prices fell 0.4% from the previous month — the biggest monthly decline since April 2020 — bringing the annual inflation rate to 3.5% as price pressures continue to ease. The report lands just as Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh heads to Capitol Hill for his first congressional testimony since taking over the central bank, putting inflation and the path for interest rates back in the spotlight.

Fox News

184,987 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Everyone is watching crude prices. Wrong number. Crude inventories are only 6% below normal. Fine, seemingly. But gasoline stocks just dropped 5 million barrels in a week. Diesel is 12% below average, even with soft freight demand. This isn't a demand story. US gasoline demand is down 2.2% year over year. It's a supply story. Refineries are running at 95.8% and still can't keep up. That gap between crude and refined product is the crack spread, and it's at record highs. Which means the refinery, not the oil field, is setting your price at the pump.

Everyone is watching crude prices. Wrong number. Crude inventories are only 6% below normal. Fine, seemingly. But gasoline stocks just dropped 5 million barrels in a week. Diesel is 12% below average, even with soft freight demand. This isn't a demand story. US gasoline demand is down 2.2% year over year. It's a supply story. Refineries are running at 95.8% and still can't keep up. That gap between crude and refined product is the crack spread, and it's at record highs. Which means the refinery, not the oil field, is setting your price at the pump.

Jeffrey P. Snider

89,481 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

🇺🇸 TRUMP JUST SAID THE QUIET PART OUT LOUD: I DON'T CARE ABOUT AMERICANS' FINANCIAL SITUATION. "It's only about Iran not possessing a nuclear weapon." Meanwhile: because of the exact conflict trying to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon… Oil prices have soared and remain critically elevated. CPI (US inflation) is already following, like it always does. Everything gets more expensive when energy prices are through the roof. Latest US CPI print: 3.8%. Highest level since 2022. Inflation growth just overtook paycheck growth for the average American. Average American consumers are paying the price for the US-Iran conflict.

🇺🇸 TRUMP JUST SAID THE QUIET PART OUT LOUD: I DON'T CARE ABOUT AMERICANS' FINANCIAL SITUATION. "It's only about Iran not possessing a nuclear weapon." Meanwhile: because of the exact conflict trying to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon… Oil prices have soared and remain critically elevated. CPI (US inflation) is already following, like it always does. Everything gets more expensive when energy prices are through the roof. Latest US CPI print: 3.8%. Highest level since 2022. Inflation growth just overtook paycheck growth for the average American. Average American consumers are paying the price for the US-Iran conflict.

Crypto Rover

36,165 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

A study in the Netherlands shows that the total net contribution of “first generation non-Western immigrants” is consistently net negative over the course of their lives. Maybe immigration is not necessarily a problem, but a certain type of it definitely is.

A study in the Netherlands shows that the total net contribution of “first generation non-Western immigrants” is consistently net negative over the course of their lives. Maybe immigration is not necessarily a problem, but a certain type of it definitely is.

Rothmus 🏴

82,689 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Walmart just cut prices on thousands of items. Groceries, household goods, even lawn mowers. Sounds like good news. It is not the story you think it is. Retailers do not slash prices across the board because demand is strong. They do it when customers start saying no. And Walmart already told us why. Tax refund money ran dry. Gasoline stayed painfully expensive even as oil moved lower. Savings are razor thin. Line that up with last week's labor data. Plunging participation. A headline payroll number that was almost certainly negative. Line it up with the flat yield curve. With forward rates and tips breakevens plunging. The curve has been saying this for months. Walmart is just the part of the story you can see on a shelf. The Fed's inflation theory has no good answer for why the largest retailer in America is discounting groceries to convince people to buy more.

Walmart just cut prices on thousands of items. Groceries, household goods, even lawn mowers. Sounds like good news. It is not the story you think it is. Retailers do not slash prices across the board because demand is strong. They do it when customers start saying no. And Walmart already told us why. Tax refund money ran dry. Gasoline stayed painfully expensive even as oil moved lower. Savings are razor thin. Line that up with last week's labor data. Plunging participation. A headline payroll number that was almost certainly negative. Line it up with the flat yield curve. With forward rates and tips breakevens plunging. The curve has been saying this for months. Walmart is just the part of the story you can see on a shelf. The Fed's inflation theory has no good answer for why the largest retailer in America is discounting groceries to convince people to buy more.

Jeffrey P. Snider

25,868 Aufrufe • vor 25 Tagen

defining love is not a curse. publicising a relationship leads to too many people sending negative energy your way. we forget that life and death is in the tongue

defining love is not a curse. publicising a relationship leads to too many people sending negative energy your way. we forget that life and death is in the tongue

Mageba

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Fox host: Q1 GDP final read was -0.5%. We were expecting a loss of 0.2% for Q1 GDP. This is the first negative read that we've actually clocked since Q1 of 2022. This is actually even more of a loss in the range

Fox host: Q1 GDP final read was -0.5%. We were expecting a loss of 0.2% for Q1 GDP. This is the first negative read that we've actually clocked since Q1 of 2022. This is actually even more of a loss in the range

FactPost

231,134 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

White House Senior Counselor Peter Navarro: "I got to say just one thing about today's news. That's the best 'negative' print I have ever seen in my life... We had a 22% increase in domestic investment. That is OFF THE CHARTS... we really like where we're at now."

White House Senior Counselor Peter Navarro: "I got to say just one thing about today's news. That's the best 'negative' print I have ever seen in my life... We had a 22% increase in domestic investment. That is OFF THE CHARTS... we really like where we're at now."

Rapid Response 47

257,419 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Trump before the election: “My plan will cut energy prices in half within 12 months of taking office. We’re going down and getting gasoline below $2 a gallon, bring down the price of everything…” The AAA national average for regular gas today is $4.44, the highest in four years. Are you tired of winning yet?

Trump before the election: “My plan will cut energy prices in half within 12 months of taking office. We’re going down and getting gasoline below $2 a gallon, bring down the price of everything…” The AAA national average for regular gas today is $4.44, the highest in four years. Are you tired of winning yet?

Republicans against Trump

570,608 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

CNBC: "Very disappointing. It was a weak number. This is private sector jobs for September. The total comes in negative 32,000. And that was a surprise because economists were looking for an increase of 51,000. Also, the revision was not good. August was revised down sharply, the month now showing negative 3,000 compared to the initial read of positive 54,000 ... the labor market is softening."

CNBC: "Very disappointing. It was a weak number. This is private sector jobs for September. The total comes in negative 32,000. And that was a surprise because economists were looking for an increase of 51,000. Also, the revision was not good. August was revised down sharply, the month now showing negative 3,000 compared to the initial read of positive 54,000 ... the labor market is softening."

Aaron Rupar

1,466,702 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

TRUMP: “Inflation is down. All costs are down. Everything is down, other than the thing that you carry the babies around in. Energy is down. Gasoline is down. Far ahead of schedule. So people that were paying a lot of groceries, they are paying a lot less.” FACT Check: - Gasoline is up since Trump took office (from $3.13 to $3.17) - Grocery prices, on average, are up since he took office. - Inflation is still here, still above where it should be. - Energy prices are down mostly because of recession fears. - All costs are definitely not down. Most are up.

TRUMP: “Inflation is down. All costs are down. Everything is down, other than the thing that you carry the babies around in. Energy is down. Gasoline is down. Far ahead of schedule. So people that were paying a lot of groceries, they are paying a lot less.” FACT Check: - Gasoline is up since Trump took office (from $3.13 to $3.17) - Grocery prices, on average, are up since he took office. - Inflation is still here, still above where it should be. - Energy prices are down mostly because of recession fears. - All costs are definitely not down. Most are up.

Ed Krassenstein

578,197 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

JD Vance is making history as the least liked VP nominee (non-incumbent) since 1980 following his/her party's convention. He's the first to have a net negative favorable rating. Not surprising given how weak he ran in Ohio in 2022. Far worse than the average Ohio Republican.

JD Vance is making history as the least liked VP nominee (non-incumbent) since 1980 following his/her party's convention. He's the first to have a net negative favorable rating. Not surprising given how weak he ran in Ohio in 2022. Far worse than the average Ohio Republican.

(((Harry Enten)))

7,242,192 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is heading toward a collision with physical reality, and central banks may not be able to print their way out of it this time. Peak Prosperity analyst Chris Martenson warns that if the Gulf shipping crisis isn’t resolved, treasury yields could spike while energy markets spiral deeper into chaos. His point is simple: governments can print money endlessly, but they cannot print the physical energy needed to keep economies functioning. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is heading toward a collision with physical reality, and central banks may not be able to print their way out of it this time. Peak Prosperity analyst Chris Martenson warns that if the Gulf shipping crisis isn’t resolved, treasury yields could spike while energy markets spiral deeper into chaos. His point is simple: governments can print money endlessly, but they cannot print the physical energy needed to keep economies functioning. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

23,306 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 THE MOST POWERFUL BOTTOMING SIGNAL IN $BTC IS ABOUT TO PRINT ON THE WEEKLY!!! Bullish RSI divergence. Price will make lower lows, RSI refuses to follow. It's the same exact setup that fired in late 2022. From that signal, $BTC rallied +713% over the following 3 years. History doesn't repeat. But it sure rhymes. The bottom is a process. This is the first step.

🚨 THE MOST POWERFUL BOTTOMING SIGNAL IN $BTC IS ABOUT TO PRINT ON THE WEEKLY!!! Bullish RSI divergence. Price will make lower lows, RSI refuses to follow. It's the same exact setup that fired in late 2022. From that signal, $BTC rallied +713% over the following 3 years. History doesn't repeat. But it sure rhymes. The bottom is a process. This is the first step.

Crypto Rover

124,260 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The negative energy needed to produce a warp drive is achieved by focusing intense electromagnetic fields onto a small spot. This rips the zero point energy out of equilibrium producing a 'negative energy' effect. These 'black holes' in spacetime disappear quickly. This effect can be used to produce a warp drive or traversable wormhole that can teleport an object faster than light.

The negative energy needed to produce a warp drive is achieved by focusing intense electromagnetic fields onto a small spot. This rips the zero point energy out of equilibrium producing a 'negative energy' effect. These 'black holes' in spacetime disappear quickly. This effect can be used to produce a warp drive or traversable wormhole that can teleport an object faster than light.

Ashton Forbes

190,955 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr