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CPIM's Educational Qualifications -- While Calling Others "Uneducated" •Jyoti Basu: Barrister on four occasions; never practiced for a single day. •Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee: B.A. with 42%. •Promode Dasgupta: Passed Class 12. •Hare Krishna Konar: Passed Class 8. •Binoy Konar: Passed Class 4. •Shailen Dasgupta: School dropout. •Saroj Mukherjee: Passed Class...

18,380 просмотров • 5 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Ayush Kumar Nath, an 8-year-old Class 3 student at Maharishi Vidyamandir School in Tollygunge, informed his class teacher on May 13th that he was feeling unwell at school. His class teacher instructed him to sit with his head bowed. After being made to sit with his head down under the scorching sun from morning until late afternoon, he began to feel even more unwell. Nevertheless, his class teacher ordered him to carry his own bag. While descending the stairs with the heavy bag, the ailing Ayush lost his balance and tumbled down. He sustained a severe head injury and was admitted to the hospital. Ayush suffered a brain hemorrhage and slipped into a coma; ten days later last Tuesday he passed away. Subsequently, the parents of the students erupted in protest. They alleged that, over the past ten days, the school authorities had not even bothered to make a single inquiry. They demanded the arrest of the Head of Management, Shaktipada Jana; the Principal, Susmita Chakraborty; and the class teacher in question, Pragya Sahu. They were indeed arrested, but for some 'unknown' reason, they were released within just one day. When the parents reiterated their demand for re-arrest today, the police baton-charged them. Is this the change people wanted where protesting to demand justice for the death of a child results in a baton charge? Where, even if the culprits are arrested, they are released within moments? #JusticeForAyush

Satyaki

15,087 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

A letter to #RanbirKapoor 🖊️📝: Dear Ranbir, You’ve always portrayed “FALLACY OF BEING A MAN” on screen so beautifully. The fallacy of a man: when a man struggles to find his true self when the world continuously wants something else from him. In Wake Up Sid, you struggled to break the shackles of generational expectations & comfort of wealth to stand up on your own. In Rajneeti you struggled to keep yourself away from the dirty game of politics & failed- you’ve become what you used to despise. In Rocket Singh, your struggle was to be an honest entrepreneur with integrity. In Rockstar, you fought in your way to be loved by all & when you achieved that you lost the love of your life. In Barfi you carried the burden of insecurities caused by rejections due to class differences & different abilities. In YJHD you carried the baggage of regrets even while chasing your dreams. In Bombay Velvet, your poverty-ridden dreams of becoming a big man d!ed with your character. In Tamasha, you faced a great ordeal to find your true calling amidst all the pressure from your loved ones. In Animal, you did everything to be an ideal son to get the warmth of your father & lost him & other dear ones in the process. When the Hindi film industry was filled with male protagonists chasing girls or winning over villains or showing heroism, you chose films that talked about men fighting inner demons, films that had vulnerable flawed male protagonists wearing their beating hearts on their sleeves. Became your fan when I was a teenager. Many things have changed since then. People left. People passed away. Dreams got buried. Aspirations got forgotten. I can’t sometimes remember who I was back then. Change has been constant. The struggle to live on has been constant. And the only other thing that has been constant in life is the love for you & respect for your dedication to your craft. THANK YOU FOR EVERYTHING RK. Thank you for giving characters that stayed with our anxious insecure hearts, characters in which we, being inherently flawed, found solace. Thank you for being a friend through thick and thin. And I know this relationship will be constant too- kyun ke dosto ke beech kabhi kuchh nehi badalta. A very happy birthday to you. Onwards & upwards. Godspeed. #HappyBirthdayRanbirKapoor

Raymond.

12,693 просмотров • 1 год назад

🚨WOW! TEXANS CONTINUE TO RISE UP “Wylie ISD is Catering to Islam While Our Schools Are Being Islamicized by Choice” - Powerful Demand to Fire Wylie East Principal At tonight’s March 24 Wylie ISD board meeting - the third packed meeting since the Muslim Brotherhood-tied “Why Islam” dawah scandal - a passionate speaker, Chris, delivered a direct message to the board. The scandal began in February when outside Islamic proselytizers, working with the school’s MSA, set up a booth during lunch at Wylie East High School and handed out hijabs, Qurans, and “Understanding Sharia” pamphlets to students. Here is what the speaker said: “Wylie ISD is catering to Islam, while the ISD is being Islamized by choice. This is a choice! Four Muslim professional proselytizers came in and passed out hijabs, Qurans, and ‘Understanding Sharia’ — meaning Sharia. Sharia (Islamic law) treats women like cattle, and our American women are not cattle. You are sending a message to them that they are, and they should understand Sharia and embrace it. We have forms that when guest speakers come in, the principal is supposed to sign off. Wylie East principal — we all believe she signed off on this, and we need to proceed with termination. Not one person got slapped on the wrist. The principal signs off on these forms every time somebody comes in. Nobody has been fired. Fire the Wylie East principal now. Menus are announcing halal food being served in your district. Cooper Middle School - Muslims serving Muslim foods to teachers. Not too long ago, passing out pamphlets and books on how to teach Islamic children. An eighth grader passing out a Quran and candy in the middle of class. This is not educational material. I look forward to passing out Bibles and tracts in Wylie East High School with the blessings of the principal… who should be held accountable and fired. Wylie ISD is intentionally inviting and courting Islamists. We are a team, and we are just getting started. We’re not done.” Parents continue showing up because they see a clear pattern: prayer rooms, hijab celebrations, halal menus, and now open Islamic proselytizing - all while the district does little to stop it. The message is growing louder: Public schools are for education - not Islamic indoctrination. Don’t Sharia our children. Let's Go, Texas Parents - America is cheering you on!

Amy Mek

35,038 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Before England. Before Britain. Before the Romans. 🌿 There was a class of people in this island who held everything in their heads. The Romans called them Druids. 🌳 They were the doctors. The lawyers. The judges. The astronomers. The philosophers. The poets. All in one. In one lifetime. They could walk between two armies about to fight and stop the battle. With a raised hand. ✋ Caesar recorded this. Strabo recorded this. Diodorus Siculus recorded this. Three independent sources. Caesar himself wrote that Britain was the origin of Druidism 🇬🇧 Training took up to twenty years. Medicine. Law. Astronomy. Philosophy. History. The size of the cosmos. ⭐ All of it memorised. Not one word written down. On the sixth day of the moon a Druid in white climbed an oak tree with a golden sickle and cut the mistletoe. Others caught it in white cloth below. It must never touch the ground. They called it the all-healing. 🌿 They believed the soul was immortal. After death it passed from one body to the next. The fear of death was cast aside. 💀 Once a year they marked the barrier between the living and the dead. October the thirty-first. 🎃 Every fire across Britain was extinguished. The Arch-Druid climbed a sacred hill in gold robes and lit a single new fire. They burned the bones of animals in it. The bone-fire. 🔥 We call it a bonfire now. People dressed as monsters to hide from the spirits of the dead. We call it Halloween. The Druids invented Halloween. 👻 In 60AD Rome came for them. Flat-bottomed boats crossed the Menai Strait. The cavalry swam alongside their horses. On the opposite shore women in black robes brandished torches. Druids with their hands raised to heaven. Screaming curses. Tacitus wrote that the Roman soldiers, hardened legionaries, were frozen with terror. 😨 They stood motionless. Shields not raised. Exposed to wounds. Their commanders had to shout at them to remember they were soldiers. They crossed. They massacred. They cut down the sacred groves. And Britain went silent. 🌑 No buildings. No inscriptions. No graves. Their temples were forest clearings. Everything we know about them comes from the people who destroyed them. And yet. 🌳 Halloween. The word bonfire. The oak groves they called sacred still stand. Be Proud Of Us. 🇬🇧 Your support goes straight into educating fellow Britons on the history they were never taught. Be part of us:

Proudofus.uk

57,097 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

2024 was absolutely the best year of my life. I expect 2025 to be full of continued exponential growth. 2024 Recap: I will start with the bad: I didn’t have very many bad things happen to me in 2024 but I did have the worst single week of my life in October. In one 7 day period I lost my grandmother that has lived 5 minutes away from me for my entire life, my lifelong best friends Dad, who was like a second father to me growing up, killed himself, and I roundtripped my biggest trade (at the time) to date($350k) which was 2/3 of my port at the time. My grandmother passed from pancreatic cancer. She was 82 and lived a beautiful life. I knew it was coming for about a month and I got to hangout with her for her last good weekend. We took her down to our land and we got to sit and talk with her for hours on the front porch. It was beautiful and incredibly sad. It was simply her time to go and although it was/is sad, I know that she is celebrating upstairs and watching over me with a smile. She told my little brothers lifelong best friend who plays college baseball she would help him hit his a home run and he hit his first of college the afternoon she passed. She went out knowing I had run up 6 figures and that she didn’t need to worry about me. She’s the only person that knew/knows besides my little brother. The morning I found out she passed I turned my phone off and just lifted all day. Over the next few days my +$350k upnl trade diminished to an L because I checked out and went on tilt. My brother and I went home the following weekend to grieve with family. I had been in town for a few hours when my Mom got a text about my best friends Dad. Nobody knew he was in as dark of a place as he was and it caught us completely by surprise. I’m thankful I was in town bc I was able to be there for a guy I truly consider family during his darkest time. He spent the night w me the night it happened and we stayed up til 6am just talking. My Grandmother passing was sad but reasonable, this was not and it simply did not make sense. It was selfish and uncalled for and he had a ton of ppl that truly loved him that would have helped him out in a heartbeat. My grandma passing was more sad to me personally bc she was blood and a huge part of my life still, but I had many more questions for God about my best friends Dad. Through all of this I kept my faith and realized that sometimes I don’t get to know why things happen. The Good: There were a million great things about this year but I will only touch on the big ones. I started trading Memes 15 months ago with $180 after being a mediocre options trader. I round tripped ~$200-$300k last cycle and had nothing left. I turned this $180 into ab $100k via holding Wif for 4+ months being fully convicted that it would be the doge of Solana. I not only hit my first 6 figs at one time ever, but I’ve since hit my first 7 figs. I’ve been trying for that $1m number since I was 17 and I always said I’d have it by my 23rd birthday. I didn’t make it happen, was ab 4 months late, but I hit $2m within 24h of touching 1 and did it while I’m still 23. I’ve since been bouncing btw the two but I have a feeling that is going to change soon. I am 1 semester away from graduating from a top ~50 school w a major in Econ and a double minor in Entrepreneurship and business admin and a decent GPA. I’m taking the LSAT soon and if I want to will probably become a lawyer. My second semester freshman year I made a .7 and nuked my gpa simply bc I stopped going to class altogether and didn’t withdraw. I have been clawing my way back ever since. I broke up w my gf of 4+ years over 2 years ago and had been praying for a girl for me for 2+ years. I had gone on some dates but hadn’t met anyone I adored/ considered a potential wife until about 4 months ago. She is now my girlfriend and she is absolutely incredible. Easily the most wonderful girl I have ever met. Over the past year I’ve also gotten much closer with my little brother.

DLN

21,177 просмотров • 1 год назад

So, it took the passing of a law to hang Palestinians, for some 'Christian Zionists' and brainwashed zealots to notice the stench of genocide? It's amazing it has taken a literal hangman's law for them to see what has been right in front of them. For decades, this regime has worn the mask of the persecuted while operating the most well-funded state-sponsored terror machine on earth. They've hijacked Judaism as a moral cover for a regime that is the single greatest threat to global peace - all while your strings are pulled, engineering a sideways hate that blinds you. Millions of good Jews see this for what it is: a state ruled by the Epstein Class and Satan-worshipping gangsters, like much of the Western world. And we've been dancing with the devil way too long. Now, the mask hasn't just slipped; it's been traded for a noose. Much of the world finally sees them for what they are: perpetrators of calculated slaughter and genocide who thought they could hide behind PR and lies forever. That immunity is dead. 'Settler' violence continues; foreigners and Israelis continue to steal land, hijack homes, and assault and kill innocent Palestinians across the West Bank and Israel. It is a systematic erasure disguised as a 'conflict.' Israel's new execution law has no age exemption for children; it currently applies only to 'fatal attacks' against Israelis and 'settlers.' So they've passed a law to execute Palestinian's while 'settler' violence escalates and Palestinians are murdered regularly, with impunity and without prosecution. All the while, Isreal already holds over 450 Palestinian children in custody - 200 of them without any charge at all. Given that children as young as 12 are routinely tried in military courts, what do you think happens next? Over 20,000 children murdered since 2023 and another 20,000 'missing' - likely crushed under the rubble - or orphaned and alone. This is documented slaughter and destruction of precious innocent lives. And still, a Palestinian child's only shield is a stone. History is closing in, and no amount of engineered 'prophecy' or propaganda can scrub away the blood of the innocent. The reckoning isn't coming - it's already here, and the weight of it will be absolute. It's been a staggering display of moral rot for decades that your taxes are actively subsidising - and some of you are still cheerleading it. Any person with a conscience can see this slaughter for what it is. To deny this is anything less than pure evil, or worse; to manufacture excuses for it - is a sickness I can no longer look away from or forgive. Ignorance is no longer an excuse; it's a choice. Clip from Gerard Horton and journalist John Lyons 2014 collaborative investigation into the treatment of Palestinian child prisoners by the Israeli military "Stone Cold Justice." As of late 2015 (after this documentary) Israeli law established a minimum sentence of three years for stone-throwing. Just as stone-throwing went from a minor offence to a mandatory three-year minimum in 2015, and now potentially to death in 2026, the 'legal floor' for what constitutes a capital crime is constantly sinking. If the legal definition shifts to include 'intent to kill' regardless of the outcome, a stone thrown at a vehicle could technically qualify as a capital offence - and don't think they won't do it. History will judge every person who stays silent while a state legalises the hanging of the occupied.

Fiona Rose Diamond

36,786 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

I’ve been waiting for this… 🇺🇸 President Trump is now on the Verge of a Federal Takeover of Washington D.C. We’ve heard him say it on the campaign trail.. but it now looks like we have some movement. I cannot underscore how huge this potentially could be… The article implies he intends to strip DC of its special status, and revoke “The Home Rule”, which I just learned Sen. Mike Lee has legislation ongoing since February called “The BOWSER ACT”. Still ongoing, but it’s there. The BOWSER Act would repeal the Home Rule Act one year after its passage, effectively returning full congressional control over D.C.'s governance. This shift would effectively treat D.C. as a federal enclave under Article I, Section 8, Clause 17 of the Constitution, undoing the limited autonomy granted in 1973. What happens from there is still a mystery… To understand the significance this represents, we must take a look at what they did not teach us in school… the speculation that DC has a special status as one of Three Corporate Empires. The Three Corporate Empires of Control: • London - Financial Control • The Vatican - Spiritual Control • The District of Columbia - Military Control The flag of the District of Columbia is made up of three red stars, one for three city states for three city empires. The Constitution for the District of Columbia operates under a tyrannical Roman Law, known as Lex Fori— “the law of the country in which an action is brought.” Which bears no resemblance to the US Constitution. When Congress passed the Act of 1871, it created a separate corporate government for the District of Columbia. This treasonous act allowed the District of Columbia to act as a Corporation outside the original Constitution of the United States. The United States has always been & still is (was) a British Crown Colony. In 1913, the US Congress committed the greatest theft in World History… Signing the Federal Reserve Act, handing over Americas Gold & Silver reserves, and total control of Americas economy. The Federal Reserve is a Privately Owned Banking System whose majority CLASS A shareholders are: • Rothschilds • Lazard bros • Israel Seiff • Kuhn Loeb • Warburg • Lehman bros • Goldman Sachs • Rockefeller • JP Morgan This private banking cartel is The Fed & is never audited & never pays taxes. They print & design Americas Money, which displays their symbols. They also collect Americans taxes through the IRS, then they loan it back again with Interest to pay for roads, bridges etc The United States is not a country. It is a Corporation, and the President is President of the Corporation. The United States is (was) another crown colony. Crowned colonies are controlled by the empire of the three city states. At the center of each city state are towering obelisks. Ours is known as the National Monument. 🔴 Final Thoughts… The way things are going, and this is only speculation on my part, with the one year passage clause, I’m thinking by 2027 this may happen. Video Read the article

MJTruthUltra

33,029 просмотров • 1 год назад

I wish the Nanjing Massacre in China had never happened just like I wish so many other horrors in human history had never happened. But since it did, you need to hear this. I know you probably think of Japan as one of the kindest, most polite societies in the world. And in many ways, that’s true. I have Japanese friends and they feel genuine grief and shame over this part of history after they learnt about it. But many others simply don’t acknowledge it at all mostly because they don’t even learn about it in school. It’s not a chapter in their history textbooks. Many Japanese children grow up never hearing about it, never knowing it happened. If you don’t learn it, you can’t mourn it or feel ashamed about it. And maybe you’ve been carrying around this quiet assumption that anything good coming out of Asia must come from Japan. That’s a bias worth breaking. I didn’t even learn about the Nanjing Massacre until 2014, when my school in China held a memorial day for the victims. I remember the cold shock running through me when I first heard the details. My colleagues told me what happened I wish I could unhear. Later, I began reading more about it and eventually went to Nanjing. It wasn’t a trip for sightseeing. My heart was heavy. The same heaviness I felt when I walked through the killing fields of Phnom Penh, a silence so loud, it follows you long after you leave. At that time, I had a Japanese student in my class. But the other kids didn’t want to sit next to him or talk to him. And there I was, as a teacher, tasked with keeping the classroom equal and fair. His father’s work had brought them to China. One day his father told me his son had mentioned how I tried to make sure he was treated equally. In the end, though, they moved him to another school. I understood why. My students from Nanjing carried stories in their blood, grandparents or great grandparents who had survived the Nanjing Massacre or never came back at all. For them, this wasn’t distant history. It was inherited grief, passed down like an unwanted heirloom no one ever asked to hold. In the winter of 1937, during the early stages of the Second Sino-Japanese War, Japanese troops invaded Nanjing, then the capital of China. Over six weeks, 300,000 civilians and prisoners of war were slaughtered. 80,000 women, including girls and elderly women were raped. And when I say “sexual violence,” I mean the nightmare that comes to your mind, multiplied by a hundred. Their bodies were violated, most intimate parts torn with bayonets, bamboo sticks, tree branches, left to bleed to death after hours of relentless rape and assault. The word “war” sugarcoats it. It was extreme sadism wearing a uniform. Amidst the horror, a few foreigners like businessman John Rabe and American missionary John Magee created the Nanjing Safety Zone, sheltering over 200,000 Chinese civilians. Magee even smuggled out footage, one of the only surviving visual records of what happened. That’s how the world learned to call it the Nanjing Massacre or, chillingly, “The Rape of Nanjing”. Nearly 90 years later, Japan’s relationship with this history is complicated. Yes, there have been official apologies, like the 1995 Murayama Statement. But Japan has never truly owned the full scale of its wartime crimes in China. Some politicians still deny it ever happened, as if 300,000 dead and mountains of testimony can be erased with political amnesia. Dead to Rights movie has smashed box office records in China since its July 25 release, over ¥7 billion. I saw the movie and bawled my eyes out. Chinese social media flooded with raw, emotional memories. Many are calling this one of the most important historical films. December 13 is now marked in China as the National Memorial Day for the Victims of the Nanjing Massacre. In Nanjing itself, the Memorial Hall, built in 1985, still stands, visited by millions each year. They come to remind the rest of us: what is forgotten, is repeated.

Evrim Kanbur

41,265 просмотров • 1 год назад

Delivering the Commencement Speech at Hertie School in the heart of Europe was a true honor. Their warm welcome, generous applause, and hopeful faces made it an unforgettable experience. As they set out on their new journey, we stood together. LEAD WITH LOVE Commencement Address Hertie School 2025 By the Former President of Mongolia, ELBEGDORJ Tsakhia Thank you to the Deans, faculty, proud families, and most of all, to the graduating class of Hertie School 2025. I have come here from more than 9,000 kilometers away to say: Congratulations, Class of 2025. When I say Class of 2025, I feel your energy! In my country, when we have this kind of celebration, we shout together: “ “Uukhai! Uukhai!” It means: Yes! We are here. Let’s go! I think the whole world should know, you are here and ready. So let’s try it together: Class of 2025! “Uukhai! Uukhai!” Yes! That’s what I’m talking about. That’s the spirit! And that spirit tells us something true: You are never too young to lead. And, we are never too old to learn. What an honor it is to share this moment with you. I was born in western Mongolia, the youngest of eight children in a sheep herder’s family. I grew up in the sharp winds of socialism, but wrapped in the deep warmth of my parents’ compassion and love, as many of you are here today. Our home stood in a long valley, surrounded by mountains. When the wind picked up, and it always did, my father would rush to fasten our ger and then ride out to help the neighbors. He moved like an arrow with wings, his horse flying across the steppe. When the storm passed and no one lost their homes, people came to thank him. I still remember the quiet pride in his smile. From those days, I learned one idea: Every good thing begins with you and grows with the help of others. Now, it is your turn. You are about to begin your journey. Seeing you here, side by side with your families and loved ones, brings me joy. What a beautiful moment of reunion, of hope, and pride. I see many mothers in the audience. In my country, we have an old saying; Always listen to your mother. The mother is always right. My father was a soldier and an infantryman during the war. Amid the smoke and chaos, he taught himself to write and sent one letter home. That letter reached my mother. And she waited five long years. Five winters and five springs. Five summers and five autumns. With only that one letter in her hands and hope in her heart. One evening, from the sunset side across the dusty plain, a horseman appeared. That was my father. This story taught me never to lose hope. No matter how long or hard the road, keep going. You will meet your happiness. Your journey will continue. Dear Class of 2025, “Uukhai, Uukhai” Many of you will now enter public life and work in policy, governance, or advocacy. Let me share this truth: Public service is not about power. It is about people. It is about giving more than you take. It is about helping others rise, just as others once helped you. Imagine the people providing you with everything, including their support, hope, and vote. Now, it is your turn to give back. Give people more rights. More opportunities. More freedom. When the people succeed, you succeed. My country, Mongolia, has been the only vibrant democracy between Russia and China since 1990. Our people rose for freedom after a long, hard winter, cracking through snow and ice. We did not spill a single drop of blood in our peaceful revolution. We brought democracy to one of the world’s most remote places. Today, Mongolia’s democratic example shines like a northern star across Eurasia’s vast and uncertain skies. Thanks to my people’s trust, I became Prime Minister at thirty-five. I rushed to tell my mother, who was in her eighties. “Mom,” I said, “I became Prime Minister.” She paused. “What is a Prime Minister?” She was unfamiliar with the term. In her time, leaders were called Secretaries General or Politburo members. I tried to explain. My mother listened, then said: “Whatever it is, be grateful for your people. Work hard.” That has guided me ever since. I believe every heartbeat carries a call for freedom. God has planted in every human heart the desire to live free. Even if that desire is crushed for a while, it rises again. In Mongolia, we speak not only for our freedom but also for the freedom of others. When I was in office, I had the opportunity to lecture at Kim Il-sung University in North Korea. They agreed on one condition: I must not mention three words: “Democracy, Human Rights, Market Economy.” So I did not say those words in my lecture. Instead, I titled my talk: “No Dictatorship Lasts Forever.” That title cost me my meeting with the “Dear Leader.” But later, I was told that South Korean freedom activists had picked up my speech. They had flown it again into the North by air balloon. Words can travel farther than we imagine. You must master them. Words have more power than any other human innovation. One day, you may speak the truth in places it is forbidden. When you deal with autocrats, you must always put their people first. Dictators rarely listen to others but fear their people’s voices and awareness. Europe, too, has shown the power of humanity. When war returned to Ukraine, Europe showed the best of itself. You welcomed millions of mothers and children by opening your homes, hospitals, and schools. You even paid in advance for buses, cars, and everything else they needed. You did not wait to be asked. You helped. That is Europe at its best. Europe has become the warm heart of humanity. You are at your best when you care and share with others. This brutal war has also been harsh on ethnic minorities inside Russia. They have been sent to the frontlines as cannon fodder. When Russia announced its first mobilization, I called on young Russian men, especially minorities. I asked them to escape death through the Mongols’ embrace and come to Mongolia. Tens of thousands did. If one less man holds a gun against Ukraine, we count that as our contribution to peace in Europe. Mongolians have a saying: “The good in history is my teacher and the bad in history is my teacher.” History has taught us this: In today’s world, war has become obsolete. Every issue, no matter how difficult, can be resolved peacefully through dialogue, negotiation, and understanding. As Nelson Mandela once said, “The most powerful weapon is to sit down and talk.” Today, we are no longer voiceless. We have these tools to express our concerns, grievances, and truths. But even now, some still reach for old maps to justify new aggression. President Putin once cited a Russian imperial map to claim that Ukraine belonged to his empire. Then, I responded with a map of the Great Mongol Empire. And I wrote on Twitter: “After Putin’s talk, I found a Mongolian historical map. Don’t worry. We are a peaceful and free nation.” That single post reached more than twelve million people worldwide. (Please follow me on “X.”) Dear Class of 2025, This is the world we live in now, where words and knowledge can fly farther than missiles. We live in a new renaissance, when ideas are created and shared at a scale and speed unimaginable in any earlier age. But in this fast-moving world, the most critical battlefield you will ever face is yourself. If you want to serve, first, serve your conscience. If you want to build a better world, make a better you. Character is not a gift. It is something you practice every day. Build a ‘hope habit.’ Leadership is not a title; it is a decision you make in silence and noise, in crisis and calm. So first, become the person you would want to follow. I began today by speaking of compassion. Now, let us make this moment unforgettable. Please, close your eyes. Imagine someone who loves you deeply. See their face and feel their presence. Imagine them, they are next to you. Take a slow, deep breath. Quietly, in your heart, say to them: “I love you.” Now, open your eyes. Breathe that love in. Let it fill you. Let it stay with you. Carry that feeling into the world. Please share it. Lead with love. Congratulations. I love you. Thank you.

Mongol Tsakhia ELBEGDORJ

17,446 просмотров • 1 год назад

Second. All you need to know is one single Order. Executive Order 13848 with National Emergency. Which is one of those National Emergencies that "Joe and the Hoe" continued 4 years in a row just to hand back to PDJT on January 20, 2025. 1 National Emergency invokes 120 Statutory Powers / Emergency Powers. There are 24 National Emergencies in Executive Orders invoked and still active from 1979 to 2015. Even though they are the same 120 Statutory Powers / Emergency Powers, that's still 120 each NE. The International Economic Emergency Powers Act is one of those Statutory Powers under a National Emergency. It was passed by Jimmy Carter in 1977. Therefore if PDJT's actions are that of a king, dictator, totalitarian, fascist, nazi, and threat... all those NE's from Presidents from 1979 to 2015, were as well. Tariffs are presidential. They were made Presidential authority in 1934. Expanding such authority in 1962 and 1974. EO 13848 with National Emergency was signed Sept. 12, 2018, and continued from 2021-2025 to Jan. 20, 2025, to present day, just continued for another year in Sept. 2025. Why would "Joe" continue an EO for Election Interference just to hand back to PDJT on Jan. 20, 2025? It's a directive to manage Operations. So, let's take a look at some things that would have been a violation of EO 13848 with National Emergency: Texas 2024. PDJT was the ONLY person with a Presidential title to be seen with Governor and Adjutant General of Texas. However, in 2024, to the general public and target audience, PDJT was a 'Former' President to them. The Adjutant General reports to the Governor UNLESS the National Guard have been Federalized by Title 10. 14 States deployed to Texas before and after February. The only Title 10 Orders for this was from Proclamation 9844 in Feb. 2019 and EOs 13912 and 13919 in 2020. If "Joe" had been a real president, PDJT in Texas would have not only been a Breach of National Security in a Federal Operation of a 'sitting' president, but also Election Interference as this was in 2024, Election year. PDJT met with 12 Foreign Leaders, 13 different times, from April to December 2024. This would have not only been a violation of the Logan Act, Title 18, Federal Law, but also Election Interference as this was in 2024, Election year. In 2018, a National Guard Federal Call-up was ordered via Title 32, for the Elections of 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024. If PDJT is a king, dictator, fascist, nazi, totalitarian, and threat... then why would "Joe" and "crew" keep the National Guard on the same Title 32 Orders for Elections in 2022 and 2024? The ONLY reason they're there is capturing the real time votes which is what's going to provide the real time data of who added or deleted votes in the digital systems. In December 2020, PDJT filed via the State of Texas through the United States Supreme Court against 7 Swing States. The same 7 Swing States from 2020, were the same 7 Swing States in 2024... the 'Swing States' are how the swamp kept their balances of their game they played. Once you learn that, it's a no brainer. "We have it ALL. We've caught them ALL." For the audience that thought or thinks "Joe" is/was real... "they" could have terminated and abolished every single thing by PDJT but didn't. "They" could have terminated and let the 8 EOs with 8 NEs automatically terminate but continued them to hand right back to PDJT and still active to date. 'Yes on 50' is an additional and visual cheating for the whole world to see. That's Election Interference for the whole world to see. Now you need to learn the rest of the components and believe in the Military Operation and stop wanting everything on your time and schedule. You need to believe in getting things right from top to bottom... as we've been doing. That's what 45 - 47 is. Everything that's happened to date in 45 - 47, that the target audience thinks was real, was all pre-planned and strategic.

Derek Johnson

19,562 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

kimi k3 vs gpt 5.6 sol vs fable 5 vs grok 4.5 Kimi.ai just dropped kimi k3 – a 2.8t param native multimodal model, the first open 3t-class release. key facts: • 1m token context. stable latentmoe activating 16 of 896 experts, built on kimi delta attention (kda) and attention residuals • quantization-aware training from the sft stage onward – mxfp4 weights, mxfp8 activations. moonshot claims ~2.5x scaling efficiency over k2 • max thinking effort by default. low- and high-effort modes are "coming in updates" – there is no way to turn the thinking down today, and you feel it in every run • pricing: $0.30/mtok cache-hit input, $3.00/mtok cache-miss, $15.00/mtok output. claims >90% cache hit rate on coding workloads • benchmarks: swe marathon 42.0 (1st – fable 5: 35.0, sol: 39.0, opus 4.8: 40.0), terminal bench 2.1 88.3, browsecomp 91.2 (1st), program bench 77.8 (1st), gpqa-diamond 93.5. loses frontierswe 81.2 vs fable's 86.6, and deepswe 67.5 vs sol's 73.0 our test – 3 prompts, single-file html, Three.js, fully procedural, no assets: 1. photorealistic european roulette wheel – 37 pockets in the real sequence, mahogany clearcoat bowl, chrome turret, diamond deflectors, flick-to-spin, ball that spirals inward and settles on a mathematically real number 2. las vegas slot machine – 3 reels behind transmissive glass, drag the chrome lever to play, mechanical odometer counters modelled in 3d, coin physics on win 3. full pinball table – 6.5° tilted playfield, flipper impulse physics, spline ramps, drop targets, 6 bumpers, mechanical score reels in the backbox we ran the test on AI/ML API platform results: - cost #1 grok 4.5 – $0.30 #2 kimi k3 – $0.71 #3 gpt 5.6 sol – $2.05 #4 fable 5 – $7.69 - tokens #1 grok 4.5 – 34,241 #2 gpt 5.6 sol – 51,748 #3 fable 5 – 144,126 #4 kimi k3 – 157,999 - lines of code #1 gpt 5.6 sol – 3,054 #2 grok 4.5 – 3,047 #3 kimi k3 – 2,255 #4 fable 5 – 1,950 - generation time #1 grok 4.5 – 5.1 min #2 gpt 5.6 sol – 22.0 min #3 fable 5 – 31.5 min #4 kimi k3 – 75.6 min observations: • kimi k3 is cheap and it is slow. 75.6 minutes across three prompts against grok's 5.1. it is 2.4x grok's price and 15x grok's wall clock. the roulette took 15 min, the slot 18, the pinball 42 • it failed 2 of 3. only the roulette works. the slot machine has reel cutouts on both faces of the cabinet and the symbols face backwards – you can only read your spin by walking around to the rear of the machine. the pinball table stands vertically on its edge with the legs floating detached beside it. • 81% of kimi's output tokens are reasoning, not code. grok: 22%. you are not paying for a bigger answer, you are paying for a longer argument with itself • price per 100 shipped lines – grok $0.010, kimi $0.031, sol $0.067, fable $0.394. a 39x spread for the same three files kimi k3's code quality: upsides: • the roulette is genuinely good – procedural wood grain with real specular breakup, correct european sequence (0-32-15-19-4...), chrome turret, diamond deflectors, clean console • the pinball artwork is the best in the test – a synthwave "nova strike / deep space" field with six individually coloured neon bumper rings, a retro sun on a grid horizon, a nova burst, and a scoring legend printed on the apron. no other model printed the rules on the machine. it is a beautiful texture on a broken object • physics reasoning is real – it derived a 480hz substep for the collider, worked out ball settle conditions and termination guarantees, and checked every ramp exit vector by hand before writing any of it • it is the only model that saw the importmap trap coming. sol shipped a blank white page twice because three.js addons import the bare specifier 'three' and die without an import map downsides: • it dodged that trap on the slot by loading three.js r128 through classic script tags – a 2021 build with no working transmission. its slot glass rendered fully opaque and buried all three reels behind a white pane. the code asks for transmission: 0.93, ior: 1.5 – correct, and silently ignored by a renderer that predates the feature • after 42 minutes and 212k characters of reasoning, the pinball cabinet is not assembled. the table stands vertically on its edge like a wardrobe – the prompt asked for 6.5° from horizontal, it delivered 90°. the legs float detached in the void beside it. head-on it photographs beautifully; orbit ten degrees and it is a painted slab with four chrome rods hovering nearby • the playfield z-fights with the glass – hard black banding across the whole field as soon as you pull the camera back a note on the pinball, in fairness to kimi: nobody passed it. every model shipped broken ball physics and controls you cannot trust. it is the hardest prompt we have run and the whole field failed it, each in its own way kimi k3 reasons better than anything else here and it shows exactly where reasoning pays – physics constants, sequences, edge cases, traps the others walked into follow thehype. for 24/7 ai news, analysis and breakdowns

thehype.

2,183,762 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Islamization of France... Once again, Hamas supporters have seized control of the streets and overpowered police. Sadly, the French have surrendered their country and have begun to accept their Islamic future... Let's take a look at what Muslims living in France believe and how they behave. Most importantly, let's see what they think about the country they have moved to and its non-Muslim natives. In January, the French weekly Le Journal du Dimanche published the most comprehensive and detailed survey on what Muslims in France think. The first question in the survey was about Jews. 17% of French Muslims admit that they hate Jews. 39% say they have a bad, or very bad, opinion of Judaism. France is the only country in 21st-century Europe where Jews regularly have been murdered simply because they are Jews. Since the kidnapping, torture and murder of Ilan Halimi in January 2006, all Jews murdered in France have been killed by Muslims. Year after year, for more than twenty years, almost all violent anti-Semitic acts committed in France are committed by Muslims. 45% of French Muslims say they want the total destruction of Israel. An equivalent number of French Muslims define the massacre rape, torture, beheadings and burning alive of Jews by Hamas terrorists in Israel on October 7, 2023, as an "act of resistance". 42% of French Muslims place respect for Islamic Sharia law above respect for the laws of the French Republic (the percentage rises to 57% among young Muslims aged 18 to 25). 37% of French Muslims say they support the Muslim Brotherhood -- also not surprising: the main French Muslim organization, Musulmans de France ("Muslims of France"), is the French branch of the Muslim Brotherhood. Pay attention, Christians.... 49% of French Muslims want Catholics to convert to Islam, and 36% percent want churches to be transformed into mosques. Hoarders of churches have already been transformed. The survey also discloses that 25% of French Muslims said that the word "France" is a word they reject. France is one of the only countries in the Western world where Muslims have beheaded men. (The other is the United Kingdom, where two Muslims tried to behead British Soldier Lee Rigby in 2013.) Samuel Paty, a schoolteacher, was beheaded on October 16, 2020. Herve Cornara, a small business entrepreneur, was beheaded on June 26, 2015, in Romans-sur-Isère, a small town in the southeast of France. And Father Jacques Hamel had his throat slit and was beheaded on July 26, 2016, in Saint-Étienne-du-Rouvray, Normandy, while saying mass in an almost empty church. France is also the country in Europe with the largest number of "no-go zones." There are at least 751 designated Zones Urbaines Sensibles ("sensitive urban zones"), where Muslim gangs and radical imams are in charge. Non-Muslims can still live there on the condition that they accept the status of dhimmi (tolerated second-class citizen), bow their heads, and admit that they live in a territory ruled by Islam. Members of Muslim gangs have no respect for the police. If an incident between a police officer and a member of a gang breaks out, riots follow, and the police receive orders that if the situation risks escalation, they are not to arrest anyone. France is a country where more than 70% of prison inmates are Muslim. According to reports, the crime rate among the Muslim population is high. Three decades ago, Seine-Saint-Denis, a French district in the Paris suburbs, had a large Jewish community. Almost the entire Jewish population of the district, after being subjected to constant threats, moved away to live elsewhere. The few Jews who remain hide that they are Jews. Throughout France, Jewish men conceal their skullcaps under a hat, Jewish women tuck their Star of David necklaces inside their clothing, and many Jewish families no longer place mezuzahs at the entrance to their homes. Jewish families in France, out of caution, have abandoned the public education system and have enrolled their children in private schools. For years, when a Jewish student is bullied in a public school, the authorities take no disciplinary action against the bullies; instead, they might ask the Jewish child's parents to place him in another school. French Christians visibly wearing a cross on the street receive insults. Every year, dozens of French churches are desecrated and ransacked. More than 120 knife attacks take place in France every day and can happen anytime, anywhere. Most of these attacks are committed by Muslim men who then tell the police that they did it because they hate infidels and hate France. Only the knife attacks that result in death appear in the newspapers; the others are passed over in silence. In the main French cities, muggings and beatings have become commonplace. There are also more than two hundred rapes every day in France, most perpetrated by Muslim men who entered France illegally. Only 7% of illegal immigrants ordered to leave France are ever actually deported. As former politician Jean Messiha, an Egyptian-born Coptic Christian who moved to France, has warned about the growing threat of an Islamized France, he stated, "I’d advise you to learn Islamic prayers in Arabic to avoid getting knifed."

Amy Mek

995,723 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Mark Carney, the unelected banker-turned-savior of the Liberal Party, stood on a stage at Durham College on April 19 and did what professional economic grifters do best—he smiled politely, gestured at some numbers, and attempted to sell Canadians on a $130 billion illusion. He called it a “costed platform.” What it really was, was a pitch deck for national decline—a warmed-over slab of recycled Trudeauism, backed by deficit delusion and framed as “bold leadership.” And yes, the numbers are real. Terrifyingly real. The Liberal platform promises $130 billion in new spending over four years, while running deficits of $62.3 billion this year, $59.9 billion next year, and still sitting at $48 billion in the red by 2028. To balance all of this out? A magical $28 billion in “unspecified cuts.” Not outlined. Not itemized. Just floated in the air like a promise from a door-to-door vacuum salesman. Carney, in his perfectly rehearsed banker tone, assures us it’s not spending. No, it’s “investment.” Which is hilarious, because that’s exactly what Justin Trudeau said when he kicked off a decade of reckless spending, capital flight, and housing inflation. Carney has simply pulled off the Liberal magic trick of rebranding debt as growth. But this isn’t just fiscal mismanagement. This is coordinated, high-level dishonesty. Let’s be clear: Mark Carney is not new to any of this. He isn’t some white knight riding in to clean up Trudeau’s mess. He is the mess. He was Trudeau’s economic consigliere. He sat in the backrooms when they passed Bill C-69, which throttled Canada’s energy sector. He championed ESG, oversaw the implosion of GFANZ (his climate finance alliance), and helped drive $500 billion in investment out of this country. Now he’s back—wearing a new title, making the same promises, using the same playbook. Only this time, he’s brought a spreadsheet. In one breath, Carney says we need to “diversify trade.” In the next, he’s counting on $20 billion in one-time countertariff revenues to prop up his platform. In one paragraph, he says Canada will be “fiscally responsible.” In the next, he admits the deficit will nearly double this year. He claims he’ll spend 2% of GDP on defense—but not until 2029, because, of course, there’s no urgency when you’re protected by the American military umbrella you secretly resent. And his housing plan? If you thought things couldn’t get worse than Justin Trudeau’s housing disaster, buckle up. Carney’s solution is modular housing—yes, government-subsidized, prefabricated micro-boxes dropped onto federally controlled land. Mark Carney will never live in modular housing. His children will never live in modular housing. But for you, the taxpayer? That’s the future he envisions—managed housing, managed economy, managed speech, managed life. He’s not here to lift Canadians up. He’s here to lock them down—into a permanent, bureaucratically engineered middle class, dependent on state subsidies and grateful for whatever dignity Ottawa hasn’t yet taxed away. And when asked how he’ll find the $28 billion in cuts needed to make this plan remotely plausible, his answer was priceless: “Technology, attrition, and a review of consultant contracts.” Translation: “We don’t know.” And here’s where the grift goes full throttle—the accounting scam. Carney is trying to redefine the deficit by splitting it into two categories: “operating” and “capital”—a little trick borrowed from UK public finance to confuse voters and dodge political accountability. It’s not something Canada has ever used in federal budget reporting, and there’s a reason for that: it’s misleading by design. Here’s how it works: Carney claims that by 2028, the government will run an “operating surplus.” Sounds responsible, right? Like the books are balanced? Wrong. Because even while he’s claiming an “operating surplus,” the federal government will still be running a $48 billion deficit overall. That’s real debt—borrowed money the country doesn’t have. So how does he square the circle? Simple: he relabels infrastructure and program spending as “capital investment”, pushes it off to the side, and tells you the main budget is in good shape. But guess what? You still owe the money. The debt still grows. And interest payments still stack up. It’s like maxing out your credit card, then saying “no problem—I only overspent on long-term purchases, not day-to-day expenses.” Try that line with your bank. Let me know how it goes. This isn’t honest budgeting. It’s spreadsheet manipulation by a guy who knows how to massage the optics while the house burns down. And let’s not forget who we’re talking about here. This is the man who moved his financial headquarters to New York while lecturing Canadians about economic sovereignty. This is the guy with a Cayman Islands tax haven, who built his fortune offshore and now wants to manage your budget while shielding his own. This is the architect of GFANZ—the so-called climate finance alliance—that imploded under his leadership. The same alliance that saw JPMorgan, Citigroup, and the Big Six Canadian banks bail because Carney couldn’t keep the cartel together without running afoul of antitrust laws. This is the same man mentioned in Marco Mendicino’s Emergencies Act texts—the man who said, Move the tanks on the protesters. That’s right. He wasn’t calling for dialogue. He wasn’t calling for democracy. He was calling for force—on peaceful Canadians exercising their rights. That’s who this is. A man who smiles like a diplomat and governs like a tyrant. So let’s drop the fantasy. Mark Carney isn’t here to save you. He’s not here to build a country. He’s not here to restore prosperity. He’s here to finish what Justin Trudeau started—with less flair and even less accountability. This election is your moment. Not just to vote against failed leadership—but to vote for something better. Vote for Canadian workers. Vote for Canadian resources. Vote for Canadian sovereignty. Vote Canada First.

Dan Knight

127,474 просмотров • 1 год назад

Over the last decade, Western media, academics, and policymakers have understandably viewed right-wing nationalist victories as temporary aberrations soon to be corrected. After Britons voted to leave the European Union in June 2016 and Americans elected Donald Trump that November, prominent commentators predicted a swift return to deepening globalization. And indeed, Europe extended its globalist project. The United Kingdom’s globalist Conservative governments allowed net migration to rise to a record 906,000 in the year ending June 2023, more than four times pre-Brexit levels. Those same Conservatives passed a “net zero” emissions by 2050 into law in 2019, accelerated subsidies for offshore wind, and failed to tap North Sea oil and gas, even as energy bills climbed. And conservative ministers adopted World Health Organization guidance for Covid lockdowns, masking, and vaccination, and they expanded gender self-identification guidance in English schools. German and French establishment parties enforced a cordon sanitaire or firewall against the “far-right” Alternative for Germany (AfD) and the Rassemblement National (RN) parties, denying them coalition partners and most mainstream coverage, and American voters in 2020 elected Joe Biden, who reversed Trump’s border policies and rejoined the Paris climate accord on his first day in office. Biden restored Obama-era diversity, equity, and inclusion frameworks across the federal bureaucracy and revived federal pressure on social media companies to remove disfavored speech. But then, the reelection of Donald Trump in November 2024 dashed those hopes. Trump returned to power on promises to seal the southern border, deport illegal immigrants, end the electric vehicle mandate, withdraw from the Paris accord, and dismantle federal censorship of social media. Within hours of taking office, he signed an executive order banning federal involvement in online censorship and stripped the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency of its role in policing so-called misinformation. Vice President JD Vance told a stunned Munich Security Conference audience in February 2025 that “the threat I worry the most about vis-à-vis Europe is not Russia, it’s not China, it’s not any other external actor. What I worry about is the threat from within.” In February 2025, Trump called the European Union an “atrocity” and announced new tariffs. Democrats may yet retake the White House in 2028 and one or both chambers of Congress in this fall’s midterms. The Trump administration’s war with Iran, which began on February 28, 2026, has triggered the largest oil supply shock on record, rising gasoline prices, and a potential recession. Trump’s net approval rating sits at minus 23 points with 60% disapproving and 37% approving. California Governor Gavin Newsom unveiled a balanced $350 billion budget last week and called Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent “dumb and dumber” as he positioned himself for a 2028 run. And both Newsom and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez spoke at the Munich Security Conference in February, implicitly responding to Vance, with Newsom telling the audience, “Donald Trump is temporary. He’ll be gone in three years.” And the globalists are fighting back in Europe. European Commission officials in Brussels are tightening their censorial grip on the digital public square through the Digital Services Act and a “Democracy Shield” program to demand censorship of the Right ahead of upcoming elections. In Britain, Labor leadership challengers Andy Burnham and Wes Streeting have openly called for the United Kingdom to rejoin the European Union. Streeting formally launched his leadership bid in May 2026 by calling Brexit “a catastrophic mistake” and saying “Britain’s future lies with Europe, and one day back in the European Union.” And France’s Marine Le Pen lost her right to run for the 2027 presidency on March 31, 2025, when a Paris court convicted her of embezzling EU funds and immediately barred her from public office for five years. But right-wing nationalists are not far from taking power in major European capitals. In Britain, the right-wing Reform UK party gained more than 1,400 seats in the May 7, 2026, local elections, while Labor lost more than 1,300 seats and the Conservatives lost over 500. Ninety-seven Labor MPs last week called on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to resign. Seventy percent of British respondents told YouGov in May 2026 that Starmer was performing “poorly.” In France, Jordan Bardella of the RN leads in the polls for the 2027 presidential election with 35 - 37.5% support, with Marine Le Pen close behind at 34% before her ban. President Emmanuel Macron’s approval rating fell to 11% in late 2025, the lowest the Verian polling firm had ever recorded. And in Germany, the AfD leads national polling at 29% against the center-right CDU/CSU’s 22%, the Greens’ 14%, and the SPD’s 12% as of mid-May 2026. Berlin polls now put the AfD in second place behind the CDU, a position once considered politically impossible in the capital. And mainstream conservative parties are already moving to the right on migration and climate. German Chancellor and CDU leader Friedrich Merz passed a non-binding migration motion in January with AfD support, breaking a seventy-five-year taboo against cooperating with the “far right.” Merz adopted much of the AfD’s migration language during his campaign, promising to turn migrants away at the border and to accelerate deportations. The cordon sanitaire that excluded the right has cracked, and the political center of gravity in Germany, and in much of Europe, has shifted toward the very positions that establishment leaders spent a decade demonizing. The implications for Europe, NATO, and the broader Western order are massive. NATO’s basic premise rests on a shared American and European commitment to defending an open liberal order, but Vance told European leaders in Munich that US support would depend on whether they honored free speech and democratic legitimacy, which they have not done. Tariffs and trade disputes between Washington and Brussels have replaced the steady tariff reductions that defined the postwar order. And the institutions that defined the transatlantic system since 1945, including NATO, the World Trade Organization, the World Health Organization, the United Nations climate accords, the World Economic Forum, and the European Union itself, are weaker than ever. Meanwhile, historic US support for maintaining open shipping lanes and Taiwan appears to be weakening. For nearly a decade, the legacy media and progressive activists demonized Trump, Farage, Bardella, and Weidel as fascists or Nazis bent on destroying democracy. President Biden in 2022, speaking against a blood-red backdrop at Philadelphia’s Independence Hall, declared that “Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations of our Republic.” Yet today those same figures are governing or on the verge of governing major Western nations and cities. The question is why. Why did nationalism return? Why did the globalist consensus that ruled the West from 1945 to 2024 collapse so quickly? And why are right-wing nationalists winning despite sustained attacks from the establishment? Please subscribe now to support Public's defense of free speech, read the rest of the article, and watch the full video!

Michael Shellenberger

26,078 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

I JUST CRUNCHED THE NUMBERS ON TRUMP'S VENEZUELA OIL PLAN And there's a huge problem. Everyone's expecting Venezuela to pump 3M+ barrels per day and crash oil prices. But here's what nobody's talking about: The infrastructure is DEAD. 30 years of socialist mismanagement destroyed everything. PDVSA (Venezuela's state oil company) went from world-class operator to complete disaster. Refineries are rusting. Pipelines are leaking. Equipment is ancient. The realistic cost to fix it? $100-180 BILLION over 10-15 years. Nobody has that kind of money. Especially not for a country that just stole billions from foreign investors. The Exxon Problem: Venezuela owes $60 billion in unpaid arbitration awards. Exxon, ConocoPhillips, and others got their assets seized in 2007. They won in international court. Venezuela never paid. Now Trump's calling oil execs saying "invest in Venezuela." Their response: "Show us rule of law first." Translation: We're not putting billions into a country that might nationalize us again. The Chevron Reality Check: Chevron's the ONLY major still there. They're operating under special US license. Best case scenario with their current setup? Add 200-500k barrels per day. That brings Venezuela from 900k bpd to maybe 1.1-1.5M bpd. Still 50% below their historical peak. And that's the OPTIMISTIC scenario. The Orinoco Problem: Venezuela's oil is heavy crude from the Orinoco Belt. It's thick, sulfurous, expensive to extract. Needs special refineries to process. At current oil prices, the margins are horrible. Why would any company invest billions for 8-12% returns when they can get 15-20% in US shale? They wouldn't. And here's the part that kills me: Trump keeps saying he wants $50 oil. But $50 oil DESTROYS the investment case for Venezuelan production. You can't spend $180 billion rebuilding infrastructure if oil prices are suppressed. The economics don't work. So either: 1. Oil stays at $50 and nobody invests in Venezuela 2. Oil rises to $80+ and Venezuela becomes viable but prices don't crash anyway Trump can't have both. So even IF someone could rebuild the infrastructure... Venezuela's political situation is still a mess. Maduro's supposedly leaving. But to who? Maria Corina Machado? Another strongman? Nobody knows what the government will look like in 12 months. Major oil companies don't invest billions into that level of uncertainty. They need 10-year stability guarantees. Venezuela can't provide that. The US Shale Comparison: Meanwhile, Trump's threatening to cut oil prices. US rig count is already falling. Shale producers are pulling back on new drilling. If you artificially suppress oil prices, you REDUCE future supply. Not just in Venezuela. Everywhere. Low prices = less investment = tighter supply later. It's basic economics. The Realistic Timeline: Absolute best case with Chevron's existing operations: - 18-24 months to add 200-500k bpd - Total Venezuelan production hits 1.1-1.5M bpd - Still nowhere near the 3M bpd everyone's expecting That's not a game-changer for global oil markets. My Take on Energy Stocks: I don’t see much downside in oil prices from here (geopolitics providing a floor), and I believe energy stocks remain attractive on the cycle. But Trump's $50 oil talk is exactly that - talk. The gap between political promises and physical reality has never been wider. You can't tweet oil fields into existence. You can't executive order decades of infrastructure neglect away. And you definitely can't rebuild a collapsed petro-state while simultaneously crashing the price of its only export. Energy reality > political promises Every. Single. Time.

George Noble

473,719 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад