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BTC is down over 3.5% on Wednesday's daily candle close. Eight green candles in a row was manipulation. We had our pivot high on March 17th - the bear flag has resolved. Next pivot low is likely $65K-$67K. After that, the support break, retest as resistance, and we go lower. Based on previous drawdowns of 84% and 77%, a 70% drop from $126K lands around $37K-$38,555 - lining up with our artificial supports. Bear markets have lasted 52-54 weeks. We're still a couple of months out. RSI confirmed the reversal with a lower high at 76.83 versus January's 82.07. BTC wicked into the fast line and risks closing back below the cloud - that flips us from bullish consolidation back to strong bearish. ETH took a 5% close with RSI reset from 84 Monday to 57 Wednesday. ETHBTC is overbought at resistance - underperformance trade stays on. Stablecoin dominance RSI reset below 23.33 on Monday. Check please. DXY hit 100.314 and RSI flipped - dollar may be weakening, which should help stocks. The yen is the real danger: second TBO breakout on Wednesday, confirmed bearish divergence. If it keeps weakening, it tanks everything. VIX back in the rejection zone. S&P, Dow, Nasdaq all still strong bearish. Gold dumped 3% and printed a TBO close long in bearish consolidation - choppy May 2025 replay. Silver has two 4H TBO breakdowns. Copper confirmed a TBO open short. HYPE, Kaspa, QNT, Fartcoin, River all have TBO breakouts - Kaspa the cleanest setup, up 25%. BNB, PEPE, Bonk, and Fluid pulled back to the fast line after TBO close shorts Sunday - that's the entry window. TAO is overbought for day nine with two TBT bearish divergences. Fetch short still open. Pippin down 75% on the week. Merlin down 12% with a TBO breakdown cluster. XRP, Solana, Doge, Render, Trump, Syrup, and Zero all have 4H TBO close longs. Siren up 94% off the springboard bounce. Monero working on a second weekly TBO close long - very bearish. SoFi showing bullish divergence on the daily. Circle pushed above the 0.5 fib - next target $150.88. Western Digital TBO resistance jumped from $294 to $319 - strong bullish.

Aaron Dishner

24,611 views • 7 months ago

BTC just confirmed the bearish divergence I have been waiting for, and for me that changes the whole map. With BTC now joining the TOTALES warning, I am no longer looking at this as a normal pullback. I think the market is setting up for a much deeper move over the next two months, and that is why I am treating any short term bounce as noise unless price can reclaim key levels with real strength. ETH is starting to crack in the same way. It has not printed the same daily divergence as BTC yet, but the structure is weakening, RSI broke support, and price is losing the fast line. Stablecoin dominance keeps pressing higher, TOTALES has already rolled over, and that combination still points to broad market weakness instead of a healthy reset. TradFi is not helping the bulls either. DXY looks ready for another push higher, USDJPY is back in the danger zone, and if Japan is forced into another intervention cycle the Nikkei, U.S. equities, and crypto could all get hit together again. At the same time, WTI looks overextended after filling its gap, while gold and silver are still chopping without giving me a strong risk-on signal. For today’s picks, I am still leaning toward bearish setups over heroic longs. XRP, QNT, ICP, NEAR, TRUMP, DCR, RENDER, ATOM, CHZ, and MORPHO all still look vulnerable if this broader risk-off move keeps building. A few names like DOGE, SKY, and some smaller caps can still bounce, but for me the bigger message today is simple: the warning signs are stacking up, and I would rather stay patient and defensive than fight the trend. 00:00 BTC confirms the bearish divergence 03:03 ETH weakness and stablecoin dominance 05:25 TOTALES breakdown and market-wide risk 06:54 DXY, USDJPY, and Japan intervention risk 13:41 WTI, gold, and silver check-in 20:12 Altcoin picks and short-side setups

Aaron Dishner

19,582 views • 5 months ago

BREAKING: Introducing All Access from Every 📧, our new membership tier for the best builders in AI All Access subs get the Builder Pack which includes $7,000 in credits and free usage to the models + tool stack we use Every 📧. All Access subscribers get: - $1,000 in Codex / @ChatGPTapp for Work credits - 12 months free of Cursor Pro+ - $4,000 in PostHog credits including self-driving to automatically fix bugs and identify issues in your production app - 1 year free of Framer - 6 months free of Notion And much more! (Did I mention $1,000 in Codex credits? It's time to build!) Get all access: Why All Access and the Builder Pack This is the best time in history to build something. For a long time, it’s been possible to one-shot impressive demos, but they’d fall flat the minute they hit production. But the release of GPT-5.6-Sol and Fable 5 heralds a new era: Everyone can build, launch, and maintain the software that they’ve always dreamed of. Everyone is a builder now. There’s just one catch: Building with AI is very expensive. (Ask me how I know.) (Alright, I’ll tell you. I accidentally used 2 billion tokens overnight this week on a big GPT-5.6-Sol run. Worth it.) This is unique in the history of technology. For most of the personal computing era, a billionaire and a solo builder could buy essentially the same top-of-the-line Mac. AI changes that: The more tokens you can afford, the more you can make. And we want to make that accessible to more people. That’s why the main feature of our new All Access plan is the Builder Pack: more than $7,000 in credits and discounts on the full stack we use to run Every, from idea to production—Codex, Claude, PostHog, Render, Gemini, FLORA, and more. Early-bird membership is only $500/year for the next 24 hours—and the Codex credits alone are worth $1,000. (I could’ve used it for my overnight run this week.) Now we’re handing it to you. Get all access: Meet the Builder Pack It's got more than $7,000 in offers from 10 of the AI products we use to write, design, build, and run Every 📧: BUILD - $1,000 in Codex credits plus one month of ChatGPT for business - Twelve months free of Cursor Pro+ - One month free of Claude Max - Three months free of Google AI Pro DESIGN - One year free of Framer Pro - One month free of FLORA © Max HOST - $300 in Render credits IMPROVE - $4,000 in PostHog credits - Six months free of Notion Business - Six months free of AgentMail We rely on these every day, and we tried to put together a package that helps you comprehensively for each part of the process of building and running software in AI. What comes with All Access - Everything in an existing paid Every membership: our daily writing, guides, camps, and software like Monologue, Cora, Sparkle, and Spiral - The Builder Pack, with more than $7,000 in partner offers - Unlimited email accounts use of Cora and unlimited Spiral usage - Members-only programming with me and the Every team and me Get All Access:

Dan Shipper

183,615 views • 3 months ago

HERMES AGENT v0.17.0 JUST SHIPPED. "THE REACH RELEASE." 1,475 COMMITS. 800 PRs. 245 CONTRIBUTORS. HERMES NOW REACHES IMESSAGE, RAFT NETWORK, AND CURSOR'S COMPOSER MODEL. the highlights: Nous Research iMESSAGE WITHOUT A MAC RELAY Photon Spectrum integration ships native iMessage support. no Mac in a closet. no BlueBubbles bridge. hermes photon login → device code auth → done. Hermes lives in the blue bubbles now. ASYNC SUBAGENTS NO LONGER BLOCK YOUR CHAT delegate_task(background=true) dispatches a subagent that runs in the background. returns a handle immediately. you keep working. result re-enters as a new turn when it finishes. long research dives stop blocking your main session. IMAGE EDITING, NOT JUST GENERATION image_generate now edits source images. "make this logo blue." "remove the background." "turn this sketch into a render." works across every supported image provider. same tool, new mode. CURSOR'S COMPOSER MODEL VIA GROK OAUTH grok-composer-2.5-fast is in the xAI model picker. 200k context window. fast coding model behind Cursor. your Grok subscription. Hermes's agent loop. no separate API key needed. AUTOMATION BLUEPRINTS schedule tasks without learning cron syntax. "daily news briefing at 8am" becomes a form. one blueprint definition renders everywhere: dashboard form, CLI slash command, Telegram chat, docs catalog entry. answer questions, not memorize 0 8 * * *. FULL PROFILE BUILDER IN DASHBOARD build a complete Hermes profile from the browser. pick model. choose skills. attach MCPs. no config.yaml editing. plus unified multi-profile view with global switcher. SKILLS HUB BROWSER REHAUL connected hubs (OpenAI, Anthropic, HuggingFace, NVIDIA). Featured section. full skill previews before install. security scan on each skill. browsing skills is a real browsing experience now. ATOMIC MEMORY OPERATIONS memory tool gained an operations array. batch add/replace/remove edits applied atomically. the model can free space and add entries in ONE call even when individual adds would overflow the budget. memory updates no longer fail mid-edit. CURATOR STOPPED SPENDING TOKENS BY DEFAULT deterministic skill pruning still runs free. LLM-powered consolidation now opt-in only: curator.consolidate: true to enable. routine background curation costs you zero tokens. WHATSAPP BUSINESS CLOUD API official Meta adapter alongside existing Baileys bridge. no QR-scanning bridge process to keep alive. hosted, first-party WhatsApp channel. TELEGRAM RICH MESSAGES (BOT API 10.1) proper rich formatting. cleaner long-message handling. native markup instead of flattened text. on by default. opt-out available. DESKTOP APP IS NOW A DAILY DRIVER rebindable keyboard shortcuts. native OS notifications. live subagent watch-windows streaming activity. composer model selector with per-model presets. automatic RTL/bidi text. resizable VS Code terminal pane. per-thread composer drafts. install ANY VS Code Marketplace theme. RAFT AGENT NETWORK new bundled adapter connects Hermes to raft. build as an external agent. wake-channel bridge. privacy by contract: wake payloads carry metadata only, never message bodies. SECURE DASHBOARD LOGIN every token-required endpoint returns 401 behind OAuth gate. websocket auth uses served dashboard token. public_url override warnings. exposing your dashboard to the network is safer by default. upgrade: hermes update 300+ issues closed. security round included. hermes-agent ecosystem now at 198K GitHub stars.

YanXbt

35,261 views • 4 months ago

BTC is showing the textbook signs of a pivot high. RSI confirmed overbought and reversed in a single day - the last time we saw a one-and-done RSI move like this was back in January before a meaningful pullback. OBV's moving average is still pointing up, which keeps the door open for one more push to around $77K, but the bear flag has been fulfilled. Higher lows and higher highs are done. We can go home. If BTC does put in a higher high from here, I'd expect to see a lower high on RSI - that would just reinforce the setup. Support sits around $65K-$67K, and based on the pace of the last drawdown, something like that by end of weekend isn't unreasonable. Ethereum held up stronger than BTC this week, with RSI staying overbought across three days - Sunday at 73, Monday at 84, Tuesday at 76. ETHBTC is right at resistance. The multiple factor effect means whatever BTC does, ETH does 1.5x to 2x. Ethereum could still push higher, but we're deep into risky territory. Stablecoin dominance flipped green after eight consecutive red days. RSI confirmed oversold on Monday. The trend is starting to shift, and when this chart pumps it typically corresponds to selling pressure across crypto. DXY closed below support from Friday's push after going overbought on the 13th. RSI cracked below 61.78. A pullback to 98.708 is on the table, which should bring some relief to the euro and yen. The yen is still dangerously overbought - second TBT bearish divergence now printing on the weekly. If it keeps pushing up, the Bank of Japan's hand gets forced. We all know what happened last time that went too far. VIX is still inside the rejection zone it's been in since March 2023. Fear hasn't left the building. S&P futures have a TBO close long on the weekly - same pattern that printed before a 16% drop. NVIDIA's daily cloud is now compressed to under 1%. When the cloud gets that tight, explosive moves follow - not necessarily up. On the picks side: XRP had a real volume spike and an 8.8% move after 4H TBO breakouts, but I'm not convinced the momentum holds. Solana's OBV moving average is genuinely bullish - one more leg is possible. Tron is the biggest surprise - perfect three-in-a-row TBO breakout cluster and a 4% move, which for Tron is wild. HYPE printed a second TBO breakout with RSI at 82.34 - the level to beat is 83.86. Kaspa RSI hit 91.5 after a 9% move - that's danger territory. TAO has been overbought on the daily RSI since March 11th - day eight. OBV is genuinely bullish but the warning signs are piling up. Walrus protocol jumped 24% out of nowhere - probably news related and likely AI adjacent. Pippin is down 31% on Tuesday's close. Pi Network is now down 39% from its high after a textbook RSI divergence setup played out exactly as expected. Bitcoin Cash printed a TBT bearish divergence. Render, Morpho, Fetch AI, Syrup all showing exhaustion signals on the 4H.

Aaron Dishner

16,640 views • 7 months ago

BTC closed green again on Thursday, but I still read this market as caution, not confidence. The lower wick to $73,309 helped the candle, but daily RSI pushed overbought at 70.76 while printing lower highs than both April 11 and March 16. That keeps BTC pinned under what I’m now calling iron fortress resistance, while spaghetti support looks increasingly fragile. On the 4-hour, I still do not see the clean bearish reversal signal I would normally want, and that is exactly why this price action feels so weird to me. Price looks propped up, not strong. Ethereum is showing the same kind of weakness. ETH has now spent five straight days failing to close above TBO resistance at 23.76, and I still think a pullback toward the Fast line near 22.26 makes more sense than a clean breakout. At the same time, BTC dominance dropped hard, stablecoin dominance also moved lower, and alts exploded across the board. Normally that would sound bullish, but this move looks too aggressive and too suspicious for me to trust. OTHERS, TOTALE50, and TOTALE100 all ripped higher in a way that feels more like rotation, short squeezing, or outright exit-pump behavior than healthy trend continuation. TradFi is not making me feel any safer either. DXY confirmed a pivot low and now looks ready to move higher toward the open gap, which would add more pressure on USDJPY and keep macro conditions hostile. ES futures printed a fresh all-time high, the Nikkei also pushed higher, and Tesla ripped, but volume has been fading on the move, which makes the rally look unstable to me. Oil still has an upside gap that may need filling, gold is chopping inside the cloud, and uranium just broke out above its bull flag. On my watchlist, I’m focused on the charts that pumped hardest into resistance and now look the most vulnerable if this move fades, including XRP, BNB, SOL, LINK, SUI, ENA, LDO, INJ, FIL, AAVE, PENGU, PUMP, VIRTUAL, ADA, APT, HYPE, Binance Life, RAVE, Monad, Render, CHZ, XLM, SIREN, CFX, ZBCN, PIPPIN, and WAL. My main takeaway today is simple: this market is moving in a very weird way, and in a bear market I would rather respect the macro trend and take profit on suspicious pumps than assume this is the start of a clean breakout.

Aaron Dishner

13,849 views • 6 months ago

The Elusive Concept of Time. Your instincts treat time like a background meter the whole universe shares. Relativity does not take time away, it forces you to earn it operationally. Events are points. Motion is a curve through them. A clock is not a metaphor, it is a worldline with a number attached to it. Two observers can disagree on which distant events are simultaneous, and nothing contradictory happens, because causal structure is still pinned down by light cones and invariants. Even in weak gravity the rule shows up. A clock deeper in a gravitational potential ticks more slowly relative to one far away. Near a compact object the difference becomes hard to ignore. Add rotation and spacetime itself picks up a twist. That twist is frame dragging, not a new force, just geometry telling you that time and angle are coupled in a rotating spacetime. In the animation You are watching a geometry lesson disguised as a black hole scene. The fabric is a visualization of the field shaping clock-rates and the paths light can take. The ripples are driven by local proper time, so their phase visibly slows as you approach the horizon. The accretion disk is lensed through Kerr ray tracing, and its brightness is pushed by redshift and beaming so the approaching side can flare while the receding side dims. Beacon points at different radii pulse at different rates, so you can see time dilation without any labels. The bead ring is a redshift tracer, with intensity scaled by a g³ proxy so deeper emission arrives weaker and shifted. The math breakdown Start with what a clock actually measures. Proper time τ is the accumulated time along an observer’s worldline. In special relativity, the invariant interval is ds² = c² dt² − dx² − dy² − dz² Along a timelike path, dτ = (1/c) √(ds²) = √( dt² − (1/c²)(dx²+dy²+dz²) ) If the observer moves with speed v, so dx²+dy²+dy²+dz² = v² dt², then dτ = dt √(1 − v²/c²) That is time dilation as geometry. The moving clock accumulates less τ between the same pair of events. Now add gravity. General relativity replaces the flat interval with a metric gᵤᵥ that depends on position: ds² = gᵤᵥ dxᵘ dxᵛ For a stationary clock in Schwarzschild geometry (mass M), the time component is g_tt = −(1 − 2GM/(rc²)) If the clock sits at fixed r (no spatial motion), ds² = g_tt c² dt², so dτ = dt √(1 − 2GM/(rc²)) Closer to the mass means a smaller factor, so the clock ticks more slowly relative to a clock far away. That is the rule used to drive the fabric phase in the animation. Now connect time to light. A gravitational field shifts photon frequency. Between an emitter at rₑ and an observer at rₒ, f_obs / f_emit = √( (1 − 2GM/(rₑ c²)) / (1 − 2GM/(rₒ c²)) ) For a far-away observer rₒ → ∞, f_obs / f_emit = √(1 − 2GM/(rₑ c²)) Deeper emission arrives redshifted. Lower frequency. Lower energy per photon. In the render, the disk intensity uses a Kerr-derived redshift factor g (clipped for stability). The bead ring uses a simple radiative proxy I_obs ∝ g³ I_emit to make that effect visible. Finally, why rotation looks like a twist. A rotating black hole is Kerr geometry. The key structural change is a nonzero g_tφ term, which couples time to angle. That coupling is frame dragging in equations. Near the hole, being stationary is not the same notion everywhere, because the local inertial frames are being pulled around the spin axis. So the moral stays clean. Time is not a universal substance flowing everywhere at one rate. It is what clocks accumulate along worldlines. Light cones constrain what can influence what. Invariants are what everyone agrees on. The rest is operational detail that only feels universal because our daily corner of the universe is slow and mild. #GeneralRelativity #Gravity #FrameDragging #BlackHoles #Spacetime

Mathelirium

150,385 views • 8 months ago

Here's my list of every coin I could find above ~3mil market cap that is at least worth researching. PLEASE reply with your own research or thoughts on any coin(s) you like or dislike. The goal is to actually learn everything and win # Coins That Are Money (or want to be) ## Base Money - Bitcoin - Ethereum - New Age Money? - Litecoin - Kaspa ## Private Money - Zcash - Monero - Dash ## AI Money - Pearl - Bittensor - Chutes - Lium - Targon - EfficientFrontier - Score - Affine - Vanta Network - Templar ## Protocol Money - Ohm - Ore ## Quantum Money - Qtum - Quantus ## Memes - Pengu - Rekt - Purr - ORDI — Look at Ordinals. Is that entirely dead? - The Black Bull - SPX6900 --- # Coins That Make Money (or say they will) ## Layer 1s - Solana - Seeker — Pair with Solana, why not? - Tron — Crazy revenue, good crime - Canton - GRAM - Quant - Celestia - Tezos — Cool art scene - Monad - Peaq - Zama - Nillion - IoTeX - Filecoin - Flare — Probably not, but data, so maybe - Arweave - Theta — Theta Fuel - Akash - Ozone Chain - Quantum Resistant Ledger - Zano - Nervos Network - Keeta — Crime - Qubic — Evil miners? - Zig Finance - DUSK - APEX (AP3X) - Somnia - REAL - Fractal Bitcoin - Sui ## Layer 2s ### Infrastructure *Makes money by other chains using their stack.* - Arbitrum - Optimism - Espresso — Chart looks good? - Zksync - SOON ### Networks - MegaETH — Is it really an L2? - Aurora - Prom - Kinetiq ### Bitcoin Programmability - BOB (Build on Bitcoin) - Citrea - Merlin Chain - Stacks ## Oracles - Chainlink - Pyth - RedStone - Tellor Tributes - WINkLink — Tron oracle - API3 - Band - UMA ## DEXes ### Spot - Uniswap - PancakeSwap - Aero — Merger of Aerodrome & Velodrome - Raydium - Curve - Orca - Meteora - Sushi - HumidiFi - Bancor - Nest — HL protocol, very small - $WAGYU Farming — Used to be Fwog? Tied to XMR bridging - CoW Protocol - SUN — Also has a launchpad; figure out what's more important to the bull case - RHEA — DeFi on NEAR - - LCX — Crime pump? ### Exchange Coins - WhiteBIT - BNB - LEO - OKB - Mantle - HTX DAO - Bitget - KuCoin - MX - GRX - BTSE ### Perpetuals - Hyperliquid - Aster - Lighter - Drift - EdgeX - dYdX - GMX - MYX Finance - Synthetix — Totally dead ### Options - Derive - Paradex - Hypercall — Synapse, Cortex - Aevo ### Prediction Markets - RAIN - True - Pumpcade ## Launchpads - Pumpfun - Bonk — Also Bonkbot, so maybe terminal? - PONS - MetaDAO - Stonk - Argus — Arc launchpad (maybe this chain matters?) - Baseline — Base launchpad? ## Aggregators & Terminals - Jupiter - 1inch - Yearn - Peapods Finance - Convex - Genius - 0x Protocol - Tensor - ## Stablecoins - Sky — USDS - USDe & ENA — Also somewhat neobank-ish - Stable - Liquity - Usual USD - A7A5 - Falcon Finance - Re Protocol — reUSD - USX — Solstice, the yield layer? - Do they have a coin? Solstice - AUSD — Agora, RH cabal? - apyUSD — APYX token? DAT-based, RIP, but revenue - Reserve Rights - Resupply USD - Felix feUSD — On hEVM? Felix Protocol - Crown BRLV — Maybe this too? Brazilian Digital (or a different project) - RE - Frax - Spell - Unitas ## Lending - Spark - Aave — GHO - Morpho - Maple - Compound - — CHIP - Hastra AUTO — CHIP, but for cars? - Lombard - Kamino - Nexo — Fine, maybe CeFi junk? - 3Jane — USD3 - Venus — Binance lending - Euler - Yield Basis — More of a yield protocol, but let's see ## RWAs / Tokenization / Issuance - Ondo - Backpack - Securitize - Centrifuge - Kenesis — Token RWA slop? Also has a tokenized silver coin - Plume — Don't get RWA nerdsniped - Anvil - RNT - Lorenzo — Related to USD1? ## Miscellaneous - Worldcoin - Just - Kaito - Pendle - DoubleZero - Gnosis — Safe - ENS - SPACE ID - CARDS - StonkBroker - Succinct - Flying Tulip - BAT - Tree — Related to TON? - GoPlus Security - Render - Livepeer - Arkham - Forta - Gitcoin - Bubblemaps - BIO Protocol - Metaplex - Nexus Mutual - Zora - Echelon Prime - Doppler Finance - Radworks - Graphite Protocol - Prize Protocol - NovaChargeX Coin — Researching crime ## AI - Venice — Maybe AI "money" because Venice (or DIEM?) gets you daily credits? Not money-money, but money like membership points, so there's some value there - Dolphin - - REPPO - Numeraire - Orbio - Nosana - Unibase - Kite — x402 for agents; chart not bad? - Sentient - Quack AI - Aethir - UnifAI Network - Nesa — Private AI - ZetaChain — Hot during perps meta? - BankrCoin - OpenServ - Arcium - FastX Network Token - Veranta — Perps on Base - Concordium - Acurast ## Neobank - ETHFI - Plasma ## Staking - Lido - Jito - Sanctum - SSV Network — Staking? - Rocket Pool - Marinade ## Bridges / Cross-Chain Infrastructure - deBridge - LayerZero - Wormhole - Across Protocol - Axelar — Acquired? Rugged holders - Threshold Network ## Wallets - Trust Wallet - Ambire Wallet - WalletConnect Token - UnityWallet Token - TokenPocket Token ## Metaverse - Decentraland — Maybe crime pump like Sandbox - Sandbox — Recent pump? Crime or insiders front-running? ## DePIN - Geodnet - JasmyCoin — Japanese KLED? - Kled AI - Grass - Helium - World Mobile Token - Phala - GoMining Token — Bitcoin mining? - AIOZ Network - Pocket Network - Ankr — RPC ## GameFi - Fren Pet — IMD - Catizen — Gaming on TON? - FUNToken - ONEchain - Nexpace - Unipoly - Pentagon Chain ## Privacy - Beldex - KOGE - Railgun - Horizen - iExec RLC - Tornado Cash - Aztec - The Interfold - Zip Coin - ANyONe Protocol ## Data - BitTorrent - TAGGER — Data - XYO Network — Does AI data now? Maybe empty pivot - Space and Time — Data or something? ## Gambling - Shuffle - Rollbit ## PayFi - Zebec - Huma Finance - Credible Finance - Ozapay ## NFTs - Magic Eden - Fake World Assets --- # Coins I Don't Understand - rlUSD & XRP — Big stablecoin, what is up here? - NEAR - Bitway - Algo — Unfortunately, because quantum - Starknet - Mina - Eigen --- # Research Later *Not for today, but Google eventually.* - Neo — GAS? Second coin? Interesting

Tulip King 🌷

104,161 views • 6 days ago