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Dario Amodei says Nobel-laureate-level AI (Superintelligence) by 2026–27 still looks surprisingly close - and the turbocharger is a feedback loop where AI writes code and accelerates AI research to build even better models. He thinks full end-to-end AI software engineering could be just 6–12 months away - meaning the...

117,340 views • 7 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Dario Amodei just announced the end of software engineering as a profession. The timeline is 6 to 12 months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say, I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code. I edit it.” Not a prediction. Current reality inside the frontier lab. The engineers who built the most advanced AI in the world have stopped writing code. They supervise. They edit. They manage architecture. The craft they spent careers mastering has been handed to the system they built. Amodei says models will do most, maybe all, of what software engineers do end-to-end within six to twelve months. Not assisting. Not autocompleting. Handling the entire development process independently. If you are learning syntax today, you are learning a dead language. Amodei: “Then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close?” The loop is this. AI writes code. Code builds better AI. Better AI writes better code. Faster. Without sleep. Without the cognitive limits that cap how quickly any human engineer can work. Once that loop closes, technological progress stops being constrained by human output. It becomes self-sustaining. Exponential. Operating at a pace no human workforce can match or direct. Software engineering isn’t ending. It’s becoming supervision. The developers who survive won’t be the best coders. They’ll be the best supervisors. The ones who can direct AI output, catch its failures, and architect what it builds toward. The skill that matters stops being implementation. It becomes judgment. Most developers are still optimizing for a skillset about to become as obsolete as stenography. While the people who built the systems replacing them already stopped doing the work themselves. The window to develop that judgment before the loop closes is exactly as long as Amodei’s timeline. Six to twelve months.

Dustin

44,304 views • 5 months ago

The CEO of the company behind Claude went on the record. Saying things that should be front page news in every country on Earth. His name is Dario Amodei and he runs Anthropic. He just said we are “near the end of the exponential.” The end of the climb as in like we’re about to arrive. He says AI will handle end to end software engineering in 1 to 2 years. Build, test, compile ship with no humans in the loop. He calls it “a country of geniuses in a data center.” Millions of AI instances, each one at the level of a Nobel Prize winner, running 24/7, thinking at superhuman speed. His best guess is 1 to 3. He puts 90% odds on it happening within a decade and says it would be “crazy” to bet against it by 2035. The only reason he won’t say 99%? Someone might invade Taiwan and blow up the chip factories. Now here’s where it gets dark. He says AI could wipe out half of all entry level white collar jobs. Lawyers, consultants, analysts within 1 to 5 years. Anthropic’s own research says programmers are the most exposed profession on Earth. 74.5% of their tasks can already be done by AI. And this isn’t the part that scared him most. He described this AI as the single most serious national security threat humanity has faced in a century. A digital nation with the IQ of 50 million geniuses. He’s not some doomer on Reddit, he built this and he’s building the next version right now. The most powerful man in AI just told the world exactly what’s coming. Almost nobody is listening.

StockMarket.News

222,383 views • 5 months ago

Anthropic's CEO just leaked the most INSANE revenue numbers in AI history. And what he said about the next 12 months will change how you think about every business decision you're making right now. Dario Amodei told Dwarkesh Patel on the interview that Anthropic went from: - 2023: $0 to $100M - 2024: $100M to $1B - 2025: $1B to $9-10B That's 10x revenue growth. Every. Single. Year. "In January alone, we added another few billion to revenue." One month. A few billion dollars. Think about what that means. Most companies would kill for $1B in annual revenue. Anthropic added multiple billions in 30 days. But Dario said something even more interesting: "We are near the end of the exponential." Not the end of AI progress. The end of people understanding how close we actually are. His exact words: "It is absolutely wild that you have people talking about the same tired political issues, when we are near the end of the exponential." What does "end of the exponential" mean? In 1-3 years, we get what he calls a "country of geniuses in a data center." AI systems that can: - Do end-to-end software engineering - Navigate any computer interface - Learn new skills like humans do - Replace entire categories of knowledge work And here's the contradiction: If Anthropic really believed this was 1-3 years away, why aren't they buying $1 trillion in compute? Dario's answer exposes the real game: "If you're off by only a year in your prediction, you go bankrupt." So even the CEO who's most bullish on AI timelines is hedging. He's buying hundreds of billions in compute. Not trillions. Because the gap between "AI can do the job" and "companies actually pay for it" is massive. He calls it "economic diffusion." I call it the gap that's going to make some people very rich and destroy everyone who ignores it. The models are already better than people think. Claude Code writes 90% of code at Anthropic right now. But Dario says there's a huge difference between: - 90% of code written by AI - 100% of code written by AI - 90% of end-to-end SWE tasks done by AI - 100% of end-to-end SWE tasks done by AI We're moving through that spectrum "very quickly." His prediction: FULL end-to-end software engineering in 1-2 years. But here's what's scary: The technology is advancing faster than anyone outside the AI labs understands. And the revenue is following faster than any technology in history. But it's still not instant. Dario expects 10-20% annual GDP growth. Not 300%. Which means we're in this weird middle zone: Fast enough to destroy unprepared businesses. Slow enough that most people are ignoring it. Dario's big takeaway: If you're running a business right now, you have maybe 12-18 months to figure out how AI changes your model. Not to "add AI features." To fundamentally rethink what you're selling and who can do the work. Because the companies that get this right will 10x. And the ones that don't will be explaining to investors why revenue is flat while everyone else is printing money. The exponential is ending. But most people literally still don't even know it started.

Ricardo

62,043 views • 6 months ago

Dario Amodei just told software engineers exactly how long they have. Six to twelve months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code, I edit it, I do the things around it.” The people building the most powerful AI in history have already stopped writing code. That is not a forecast. That is the current working condition inside the lab closest to the frontier. Amodei: “We might be six to 12 months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all, of what SWEs do end-to-end.” The tech industry spent a decade making software engineers its highest-paid, most protected class. That era has a last day now. When a model can execute an entire software build end-to-end, the ability to write syntax stops being a skill. It becomes a credential for a job that no longer exists. Amodei: “And then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close.” That is the sentence everyone skipped. The code was never the hard part. The hard part was everything around it. The model just learned everything around it. Writing the code is already nearly gone. Testing is next. Deployment is next. When all three collapse into a single autonomous execution loop, the machine no longer needs a human in the chain at all. The corporation or sovereign state that closes that loop first does not gain a competitive advantage. It gains a category of speed that biological engineers cannot match, track, or reverse. That is not disruption. That is replacement at a systems level. Amodei is not describing a future disruption. He is describing the current state of his own building. The loop is already closing. The only question is whether you are inside it or outside it when it seals.

Dustin

318,457 views • 5 months ago