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Dario Amodei says Nobel-laureate-level AI (Superintelligence) by 2026–27 still looks surprisingly close - and the turbocharger is a feedback loop where AI writes code and accelerates AI research to build even better models. He thinks full end-to-end AI software engineering could be just 6–12 months away - meaning the...

117,340 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Dario Amodei just announced the end of software engineering as a profession. The timeline is 6 to 12 months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say, I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code. I edit it.” Not a prediction. Current reality inside the frontier lab. The engineers who built the most advanced AI in the world have stopped writing code. They supervise. They edit. They manage architecture. The craft they spent careers mastering has been handed to the system they built. Amodei says models will do most, maybe all, of what software engineers do end-to-end within six to twelve months. Not assisting. Not autocompleting. Handling the entire development process independently. If you are learning syntax today, you are learning a dead language. Amodei: “Then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close?” The loop is this. AI writes code. Code builds better AI. Better AI writes better code. Faster. Without sleep. Without the cognitive limits that cap how quickly any human engineer can work. Once that loop closes, technological progress stops being constrained by human output. It becomes self-sustaining. Exponential. Operating at a pace no human workforce can match or direct. Software engineering isn’t ending. It’s becoming supervision. The developers who survive won’t be the best coders. They’ll be the best supervisors. The ones who can direct AI output, catch its failures, and architect what it builds toward. The skill that matters stops being implementation. It becomes judgment. Most developers are still optimizing for a skillset about to become as obsolete as stenography. While the people who built the systems replacing them already stopped doing the work themselves. The window to develop that judgment before the loop closes is exactly as long as Amodei’s timeline. Six to twelve months.

Dustin

44,304 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

The CEO of the company behind Claude went on the record. Saying things that should be front page news in every country on Earth. His name is Dario Amodei and he runs Anthropic. He just said we are “near the end of the exponential.” The end of the climb as in like we’re about to arrive. He says AI will handle end to end software engineering in 1 to 2 years. Build, test, compile ship with no humans in the loop. He calls it “a country of geniuses in a data center.” Millions of AI instances, each one at the level of a Nobel Prize winner, running 24/7, thinking at superhuman speed. His best guess is 1 to 3. He puts 90% odds on it happening within a decade and says it would be “crazy” to bet against it by 2035. The only reason he won’t say 99%? Someone might invade Taiwan and blow up the chip factories. Now here’s where it gets dark. He says AI could wipe out half of all entry level white collar jobs. Lawyers, consultants, analysts within 1 to 5 years. Anthropic’s own research says programmers are the most exposed profession on Earth. 74.5% of their tasks can already be done by AI. And this isn’t the part that scared him most. He described this AI as the single most serious national security threat humanity has faced in a century. A digital nation with the IQ of 50 million geniuses. He’s not some doomer on Reddit, he built this and he’s building the next version right now. The most powerful man in AI just told the world exactly what’s coming. Almost nobody is listening.

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222,383 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce