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Dario Amodei says scaling will get us to AGI, but without a single arrival moment Every few months, models get better at coding, science, and math — now winning Olympiads and doing new mathematics Progress has reached a point where Anthropic engineers no longer write code from scratch; they...

28,296 views • 9 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Dario Amodei just announced the end of software engineering as a profession. The timeline is 6 to 12 months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say, I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code. I edit it.” Not a prediction. Current reality inside the frontier lab. The engineers who built the most advanced AI in the world have stopped writing code. They supervise. They edit. They manage architecture. The craft they spent careers mastering has been handed to the system they built. Amodei says models will do most, maybe all, of what software engineers do end-to-end within six to twelve months. Not assisting. Not autocompleting. Handling the entire development process independently. If you are learning syntax today, you are learning a dead language. Amodei: “Then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close?” The loop is this. AI writes code. Code builds better AI. Better AI writes better code. Faster. Without sleep. Without the cognitive limits that cap how quickly any human engineer can work. Once that loop closes, technological progress stops being constrained by human output. It becomes self-sustaining. Exponential. Operating at a pace no human workforce can match or direct. Software engineering isn’t ending. It’s becoming supervision. The developers who survive won’t be the best coders. They’ll be the best supervisors. The ones who can direct AI output, catch its failures, and architect what it builds toward. The skill that matters stops being implementation. It becomes judgment. Most developers are still optimizing for a skillset about to become as obsolete as stenography. While the people who built the systems replacing them already stopped doing the work themselves. The window to develop that judgment before the loop closes is exactly as long as Amodei’s timeline. Six to twelve months.

Dustin

44,304 views • 6 months ago

Dario Amodei just told software engineers exactly how long they have. Six to twelve months. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say I don’t write any code anymore. I just let the model write the code, I edit it, I do the things around it.” The people building the most powerful AI in history have already stopped writing code. That is not a forecast. That is the current working condition inside the lab closest to the frontier. Amodei: “We might be six to 12 months away from when the model is doing most, maybe all, of what SWEs do end-to-end.” The tech industry spent a decade making software engineers its highest-paid, most protected class. That era has a last day now. When a model can execute an entire software build end-to-end, the ability to write syntax stops being a skill. It becomes a credential for a job that no longer exists. Amodei: “And then it’s a question of how fast does that loop close.” That is the sentence everyone skipped. The code was never the hard part. The hard part was everything around it. The model just learned everything around it. Writing the code is already nearly gone. Testing is next. Deployment is next. When all three collapse into a single autonomous execution loop, the machine no longer needs a human in the chain at all. The corporation or sovereign state that closes that loop first does not gain a competitive advantage. It gains a category of speed that biological engineers cannot match, track, or reverse. That is not disruption. That is replacement at a systems level. Amodei is not describing a future disruption. He is describing the current state of his own building. The loop is already closing. The only question is whether you are inside it or outside it when it seals.

Dustin

318,698 views • 6 months ago

Dario Amodei just announced the death date of your profession. At Davos, Anthropic’s CEO said coding as a human skill has 6 to 12 months left. Not as hyperbole. As timeline. Amodei: “We might be 6 to 12 months away.” Not prediction. Observation. His engineers already quit writing code. Amodei: “I have engineers within Anthropic who say: ‘I don’t write any code anymore.’” They don’t touch syntax. They don’t debug loops. Models generate flawless code. Humans curate, validate, direct. The job isn’t building anymore. It’s conducting. The transformation happened silently. While bootcamps taught React, the actual profession mutated into something unrecognizable. Still typing functions manually? You’re not being diligent. You’re already obsolete and haven’t realized it. Amodei: “We would make models that were good at coding and use that to produce the next generation of model.” The loop closes. AI writes the code that births superior AI. Recursion without human dependency. Once sealed, progress stops being gated by people. Only by semiconductors. One year. Requirements to production, fully autonomous. Humans set strategy. Machines execute perfectly, instantly, infinitely. Syntax is dead. Only intent remains. You don’t build software now. You conceive it with precision, and intelligence manifests it before you finish the thought. The skill isn’t coding anymore. It’s knowing what to demand in the three seconds before the system delivers something you could never have built yourself. Your profession didn’t evolve. It evaporated. And the people still learning to code are training for jobs that won’t exist when they graduate.

Dustin

279,244 views • 6 months ago