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DeepMind co-founder Shane Legg: AI won't bring sudden disruption; it will quietly take over economic work, domain by domain Within a few years, sectors like software engineering will see massive efficiency gains, with 20 engineers using AI doing the work of 100

61,895 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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The Laptop Test. Why most remote jobs will disappear within 10 years. Insights from an interview with Shane Legg, cofounder of Google DeepMind. A short clip, but it lands like a brick. Legg lays out a framework that quietly nukes a huge chunk of today’s job market. •The Laptop Test If your job can be done fully remote with just a laptop, screen, and internet, it’s pure cognitive labor. No physical presence. No embodiment. That is exactly the domain advanced AI will dominate. Conclusion: most remote, computer-only jobs are on a countdown. •Yes, humans still matter but less than we think Some digital work survives because people follow people. Influencers, creators, personalities. The value isn’t the task, it’s the human behind it. But that’s the exception, not the rule. •Experts are behind the curve Legg points out something uncomfortable: many academics and professionals seriously underestimate AGI. They judge AI by outdated capabilities, not by where it is actually heading. The pace of progress is faster than their mental models. •Why “normal people” often get it first Non-experts look at AI and think: it writes better, knows more, speaks more languages, solves more problems than I do. Why wouldn’t it replace jobs? Experts, meanwhile, assume their niche is too special. That belief is often more ego than evidence. Bottom line: If your income depends on work that lives entirely on a screen, you are not competing with AI yet, but you are on borrowed time. The question is no longer if, but how society adapts when this becomes obvious.

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236,008 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад