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Demis Hassabis on the final frontier for AI in science 🧬 : it’s not just about solving the math, it’s about having the creativity to ask the question in the first place. While coding and math are verifiable and easier to automate, natural science requires a "missing ingredient" that...

12,890 次观看 • 6 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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AGI before 2030 or after 2030? Sergey Brin: "Before." Demis Hassabis: "Just after." Sergey Brin laughed. "No pressure, Demis." "I can ask for it. He needs to deliver it." They spent 4 minutes answering rapid-fire questions: The first question was about the web. Alex: "What does the web look like in 10 years?" Sergey paused. "10 years, because of the rate of progress in AI, is so far beyond anything we can foresee." "Not just the web. I don't think we really know what the world looks like in 10 years." Demis agreed. "The web is going to change quite a lot if you think about an agent-first web." "It doesn't necessarily need to render things the way we do as humans using the web." "Things will be pretty different in a few years." They were asked about hiring. Alex: "Would you hire someone who used AI in their interview?" Demis: "Depends how they used it. Using today's models and tools, probably not. But it depends how they would use it, actually." Sergey: "I mean, I've never interviewed at all." The room laughed. Demis: "I haven't either, actually." Then they were asked about simulation theory. Demis had tweeted a video of AI generating a natural scene. The caption: "Nature to simulation at the press of a button. Does make you wonder." Headlines said he thinks we're in a simulation. His answer. "Not in the way that Nick Bostrom and people talk about." "I don't think this is some kind of game, even though I wrote a lot of games." "I do think that ultimately underlying physics is information theory. We're in a computational universe. But it's not just a straightforward simulation." "The fact that these systems are able to model real structures in nature is quite interesting and telling." "I've been thinking a lot about our work with AlphaGo and AlphaFold." "Maybe at some point I'll write up a scientific paper about what I think that really means in terms of what's actually going on here in reality." Sergey pushed further. "That argument applies recursively." "If we're in a simulation, then by the same argument, whatever beings are making the simulation are themselves in a simulation. For roughly the same reasons. And so on and so forth." "You're going to have to either accept that we're in an infinite stack of simulations. Or that there's got to be some stopping criteria." Alex: "What's your best guess?" "I think we're taking a very anthropocentric view." "When we say simulation, we mean some kind of conscious being is running a simulation that we are then in. And that they have some kind of semblance of desire and consciousness that's similar to us." "That's where it kind of breaks down for me." "I just don't think that we're really equipped to reason about one level up in the hierarchy."

Jaynit

101,919 次观看 • 24 天前