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Did you know short squeeze in #Silver? For subscribers sharing view on #Silver from 1L to now 3.5L level.. Video credit: Boring Metal YT Channel

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Anirban (Derivative Certified)

46,866 subscribers

13,114 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Silver is ripe for a short squeeze even as metal dealers are drowning in inventory. WTF is going on? #SilverSqueeze h/t bob coleman
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Alasdair Macleod sees silver as an immediate squeeze risk, driven by physical metal being withdrawn from the global market and retail investors using silver as the cheaper way into the gold bull market. He believes the move could happen far quicker than many expect, possibly within weeks or months. In his view, the real risk sits in credit markets, while gold and silver remain legal money with no counterparty risk.
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Alasdair Macleod sees silver as an immediate squeeze risk, driven by physical metal being withdrawn from the global market and retail investors using silver as the cheaper way into the gold bull market. He believes the move could happen far quicker than many expect, possibly within weeks or months. In his view, the real risk sits in credit markets, while gold and silver remain legal money with no counterparty risk.

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Are we close to a structural break in the silver market? Willem Middelkoop warns an extreme short squeeze could push silver toward $200, $300, $400… even $500, hurting banks and hedge funds and triggering a rush for physical metal. 🎥 Watch The Real Story with Michelle Makori:
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CHINESE BILLIONAIRE JUST SHORTED MORE SILVER THAN PHYSICALLY EXISTS 🚨 The paper manipulation game is finally cracking—one greedy bet could ignite the mother of all squeezes. 🕵️‍♂️ - Subject: Massive naked short on Shanghai Futures Exchange - The Victims: We the people—robbed by decades of suppressed silver prices - The Villains: Billionaire Bian Ximing and the endless paper silver schemers THE CRIME 🔥 He slammed 30,000 contracts short. That’s 450 metric tons betting silver drops. Shanghai deliverable inventory? Barely 420 tons. He’s short more metal than is even there. THE EVIDENCE 📊 Made billions riding gold higher. Now flips to crush silver. Exchange panics—bans him from adding new shorts for a full month. Credit to Gold Ventures 🟡 for blowing this wide open. Force him to cover in empty warehouses and watch the fireworks. THE COVERUP 🛡️ They slap restrictions to buy time. But physical reality doesn’t negotiate. The shortage they’ve hidden for years is now exposed. 📅 Shanghai is ground zero—squeeze could detonate any moment. 1. Retweet if you’ve waited years for silver justice 2. Reply with “SQUEEZE HIM DRY” 3. Tag someone holding real metal who needs to see this #Silver #SilverSqueeze Entertainment purposes only • DYOR

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Rick Rule: On why he sold 80% of his physical silver. - He bought silver because it was hated - Now that it is no longer hated, he sold it When the reason for owning an asset goes away, the asset has to go away. - He sold physical silver to buy silver mining stocks - Silver miners are discounting $40 silver In other words, even if silver corrects, miners should outperform. Silver miners are, at this point, a superior speculation.

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For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.
0:43

For decades, the global silver market operated on a simple assumption: Nobody would actually demand delivery of the metal they owned on paper. That assumption just collapsed. In the first seven days of January, 33.45 million ounces of silver were physically withdrawn from COMEX for delivery. That's 26% of COMEX's registered inventory gone in a single week. Traders who had March futures contracts were paying premiums to ROLL BACKWARDS to January, demanding immediate delivery weeks early. They weren't willing to wait. They wanted metal in hand. Here's the China problem you have to understand if you're buying silver: On January 1, 2026, Beijing implemented export controls that fundamentally changed global silver supply. This wasn't a minor tweak. They reclassified silver as a strategic material, putting it in the same category as rare earths. To export silver from China now, companies need government licenses. Only 44 firms qualified. They must have annual refining capacity of 80+ tonnes and credit lines exceeding $30 million. Why does this matter? China controls 60-70% of global refined silver exports. The world's dominant refining hub just effectively ring-fenced its supply for domestic use. The physical-paper divergence: Here's where it gets uncomfortable... In Shanghai, physical silver trades at 12-13% premiums over Western paper prices. In Dubai, premiums hit 40%. In Japan, secondary market premiums reached 60%. Meanwhile, the paper-to-physical ratio on COMEX sits at 356:1. For every one ounce of deliverable silver, there are 356 ounces of paper claims. The system worked because nobody called the bluff. But now they're calling it. The supply deficit reality: The silver market has been in structural deficit for five consecutive years. Cumulative shortfalls from 2021-2025 total roughly 820 million ounces. Nearly an entire year of global mine production. Mine production peaked in 2016. Roughly 71% of mined silver comes as a byproduct from gold, copper, lead, and zinc mines. So even if silver prices double, miners can't easily ramp production. Their operations are driven by base-metal economics, not silver prices. The industrial demand trap: Unlike gold, silver isn't primarily a monetary metal. Industrial demand now represents 59% of total consumption. Solar panels. EVs. AI data centers. Semiconductors. This demand is price-inelastic. Factories don't stop production because silver got expensive... They pay whatever it takes to keep lines running. So what does this mean? Silver is now in backwardation. Spot prices above futures prices. That's rare. And it's significant. Backwardation tells you buyers want metal NOW, not paper promises for later. The last time silver showed this kind of sustained backwardation was before the 2011 spike to $49. The gold-silver ratio has compressed from over 100:1 in recent years to around 50:1 now. Historically, that ratio has traded as low as 15-20:1 in extreme moves. If gold holds and the ratio compresses further, silver will go beyond $150. It's math. My take: Silver is no longer just an industrial metal with monetary characteristics. It's becoming a triple-identity asset: industrial input, monetary metal, and strategic material. When China weaponizes export controls, when Western inventories drain, when paper claims vastly exceed physical supply, and when industrial demand is non-negotiable, you get exactly what we're seeing... A structural repricing. Pullbacks will be sharp. The CME has already raised margin requirements. But the underlying dynamics aren't speculation. They're geology, geopolitics, and supply-demand math. Physical silver in your possession has no counterparty risk. Paper claims on silver that may or may not exist? That's a different bet entirely. If you don't hold it, you don't own it.

George Noble

447,837 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten