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Don't bother Mammon, He already knows... WE ALL KNOW ✨🍎🐍 #HelluvaBoss #HazbinHotelLucifer #Fizzarolli #Fizzarozzie #fizzmodeus #Asmodeus #HelluvaBossFanart #LuciferHazbinHotel #HazbinHotelFanart

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I stepped inside the shelter and asked a question most people never voice: "Which dog here has been waiting the longest?" eg The woman at the front desk didn't smile or reach for paperwork. She exhaled slowly, as if the weight of that question pressed down on her. "Okay," she said quietly, then grabbed a set of keys and started walking without checking if I was following. We passed the bright, bustling areas first-puppies bouncing with excitement, friendly dogs pressing against gates, that hopeful energy that makes adoption feel easy. But we kept moving. Down a quieter hallway. Somehow colder, even though it was the same building. The lights buzzed overhead I, every sound echoing off the concrete. "Most people don't come back here," she said. Her name tag read Maya. "I figured," I replied. She nodded slightly, as if she'd already known. At the very end, she stopped at a kennel that felt too big for the dog inside. He had that look older dogs get-not small or fragile, just worn down by time. His coat was faded, gray settling around his face. One ear drooped slightly, as if even holding it up had become too much. His eyes were cloudy, but not empty. They were still searching. Not for toys or attention. For something that mattered. Heaned closer to read the card. Max. 16 years old. Pitbull mix. Quiet. Senior. Overlooked. Notes about needing a calm home, soft food, patience-the kind of words shelters use when they're trying to stay neutral while quietly hoping someone will care. Sixteen. For most people, that number feels like a ticking clock. Max didn't try to impress me. No barking. No jumping. He just sat there. Still. Steady. Like he'd already decided he wouldn't beg to be chosen. Maya spoke softly. "He's been passed over more times than I can count." "Why?" I asked, even though I already knew. She glanced at the card. "Because people don't want something that comes with an ending they can already see." That stayed with me. Because it wasn't just about him. We all tend to choose what feels safe. What won't hurt too soon. What doesn't ask too much. But Max wasn't safe. He was real. Maya unlocked the kennel. I expected hesitation-maybe fear. But Max stepped out slowly, like he wasn't sure he was allowed to anymore. He paused, looked at me, and let out a long, quiet breath. Not frustration. Relief. I knelt without thinking. He didn't rush. He moved carefully, like every step mattered. When he reached me, he didn't jump or wag wildly. He simply rested his head against my chest. Not asking. Just... leaning. Like he'd been holding everything in for so long and finally didn't have to anymore. Maya cleared her throat. "He does that sometimes," she said, though her voice wavered. I noticed a folded piece of paper tucked behind his kennel card. "What's that?" I asked. "It came with him," she said softly. "I forget it's there sometimes." I didn't open it yet. Max was still leaning into me, and I didn't want to break the moment. The drive home was quiet. He didn't whine or pace. He curled up beside me like he trusted the motion of the car. At a stoplight, I glanced over-his paws tucked neatly under him, completely still. He wasn't trying to leave. He was trying to stay. When we got home, he stepped inside slowly, taking it all in like he was memorizing it. Then he came over to me. And leaned again. Just contact. Like he needed to know I wouldn't disappear. I finally unfolded the paper. If someone chooses him, please tell him he was a good dog. He wasn't left behind because he wasn't loved. Life just got in the way. Please let him rest somewhere he can feel seen. I read it twice. Then I looked at Max. He had climbed onto the couch, turning in a slow circle before settling down with a soft sigh. I sat beside him and placed my hand near his head. He leaned into it and closed his eyes. And in that moment, something became clear. Max didn't need a new life. He needed peace. " That night, he slept on something soft. No noise. No cold floors. 👇

DE GOLDSMITH🪙🪙🪙⭐ ⭐⭐

42,921 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

HOW WE MAKE OUR TRIPS MAGICAL - Cooking classes. In Mexico City, our guide took us to the market, then we all made extra-spicy salsa together. This is a beautiful way to visit places you wouldn't know about and get involved in a tactile activity. Perfect for families and older parents and very inexpensive. - The $325 underwear. We'd been traveling for weeks and needed to do our laundry. Our hotel, Aman Kyoto, would have charged $325 for a small bag of laundry (standard price for all ultra-luxury hotels). I said "NO WAY!!!" and we decided to go into town and find a laundromat. It turned into an adventure (as we stumbled into place after place that wasn't quite right -- one lady translated for us and said, "Are you trying to wash your clothes? This isn't the right place. This place restores kimonos"). We finally found a local laundromat, took our best guess if it would work, and went to lunch. Now this is a fun ritual for us every time we travel. Sometimes cheaper is way more fun - We hire a local photographer. We love our memories of our trips and local photographers know the best spots/time to take photos. Find the best ones on Instagram. In Tokyo, we use the same photographer every year - On complex trips, I work with a travel advisor. I used a larger firm for a 6-week trip across multiple continents, which was invaluable: They helped us navigate different transportation, recommended which safari lodges to visit (and in what order), and even suggested where to economize & where to splurge. Sometimes I know exactly where I want to go so I call a more surgical travel advisor. In the video, he got our NYC hotel triple-upgraded. Or sometimes I just do it myself. TAs are especially helpful for Disney trips, honeymoons, and multi-generational trips. (They also cost you nothing, but you should look into how they work. I find them very valuable) - 1 major activity every two days. The ultimate luxury is time, so we have a rule: 4+ days in any location. We also book 1 major thing (food tour, museum, etc). The rest of the time, we've pinned a bunch of stuff and we wander where we feel like that day - We know exactly what we DON'T want to see. When I'm attending a private tour, I tell them what I want to experience and what I'm not interested in. Most tour guides will take you to the usual hotspots because it's safe and people can say they saw X or ate Y. I know exactly what I want to see. For example, on a coffee tour, I told them the exact kind of beans I wanted to try and what I was not into. People in hospitality love someone who knows what they want!! This level of intentionality means you get to experience magic (it's not rude) I travel several months per year and I want my travel to be incredibly meaningful for my loved ones and me. These are some of the ways I do it If you want to know more, let me know in the comments More details on the next post

Ramit Sethi

31,445 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

We don't agree with the comparison that #MunawarFaruqui and #ElvishYadav game was like #IndiaVsPakistan. Although there can be an argument that #MunawarFaruqui represents a secular ideology hence he is symbolic of #India and since #ElvishYadav is a religious hardliner like #Pakistan but the fact remains that both of them are Indian and represent #India only. While #MunawarFaruqui's nature of love and respect for all is like an open book and we have seen so many instances where he has shown the traits of "Sarva Dharma Sambhava". #ElvishYadav also just keeps a facade of being a religious bigot. Elvish's bigotry is only for his bigot fans who are in huge numbers otherwise if you look back at his #BBOTT2 journey, he was as liberal as #PoojaBhatt or #FalaqNaaz. You must have seen him eating from the plate of #FalaqNaaz and flirting with her in a healthy way. We know both the ladies Falaq and PB hold strong anti-right-wing ideologies, still, Elvish was bonding with them well and showing his liberal side. In fact, there has not been any personal animosity between #ElvishYadav and #MunawarFaruqui ever. #MunawarFaruqui is a good friend of Raghav Sharma who openly supported him in #BB17. Elvish is a good friend of Raghav so it is possible that offline they must have been already on good talking terms. Why would Elvish Yadav just after coming out of #BBOTT2 follow #MunawarFaruqui? He followed him on Instagram and then due to backlash from fans he unfollowed. But the question remains, why did he follow in the first place? It seems Elvish has no personal problem with Munawar, it is just fear of backlash from his fans and subscribers, he keeps a distance. Anyway, once anyone knows Munawar Faruqui personally, it is very hard for him/her to not like him. Not everyone is a #Joker in this world. So, #MunawarFaruqu is India and #ElvishYadav is Pakistan or vice-versa is not true. Both are India and the co-existence of both is the soul and the very basic idea of India.

GlamWorldTalks

33,651 просмотров • 2 лет назад

A Polymarket bot developer mass deleted his code last week. I found his Reddit confession before it disappeared. I'm done. Not because the money stopped. Because I can't sleep anymore. He built prediction algorithms for 3 years. Made $2.1M. Then wrote 47 paragraphs explaining why he's walking away. The part that haunts me: Every time you place a bet, you're not competing with other humans. You're feeding data to systems that learned your patterns months ago. Your hesitation. Your favorite markets. The exact moment you check your phone after news breaks. We have all of it. He described the architecture: Layer 1: Sentiment scrapers reading 140,000 tweets per minute. Before a rumor becomes a headline, the position is already built. Layer 2: Exchange bridges. The bot sees BTC move on Coinbase, calculates Polymarket impact, and executes. Total latency: 80ms. Your finger hasn't touched the screen yet. Layer 3: Behavioral modeling. They know retail traders panic-sell at -15%. So they push prices to -14.8%. Wait. Then buy your shares at discount when you finally crack. The worst part? We call regular traders yield. Not competitors. Not opponents. Yield. Like crops we harvest seasonally. Stop being yield: He ended with this: The only retail traders making money are the ones who stopped trading. They just copy the wallets that copy us. I read it three times. Then I deleted my indicators. My charts. My strategy. Because there's no strategy against someone who sees your cards, knows your tells, and moves before you think. There's only one play left: Stop being yield. Start being a shadow. They spend millions on infrastructure. You spend nothing. They take the risk. You take the same entry. They do the math. You copy the answer. In Polymarket, you're either the algorithm or the agriculture. Choose. Not financial advice.

Blaze

868,813 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

"The Man Behind the Mask: The Soldier Who Cheated Death in Pulwama and Saved Lives in Wayanad."🇮🇳 You might have seen a photo of an Indian Army officer wearing a hard shell mask over his face. You probably scrolled past it, thinking it was tactical gear or a style choice. It isn’t. That mask hides a face that took 3 bullets for you. That mask covers a jaw that was shattered, so you could sleep safely. This is the story of Lt. Col. Rishi Rajalakshmi (Nair), the man they call "India's Most Fearless." THE NIGHTMARE IN PULWAMA (2017) -->It was March 4, 2017. Tral, Pulwama. Intel confirmed that terrorists were fortified inside a civilian house. It was a death trap. Sending men in was suicide; bombing it from afar would kill civilians. -->Major Rishi (then with 42 Rashtriya Rifles) made a choice that defies human instinct. He didn't order his men to go. He volunteered to go himself. -->His mission was to plant an IED to bring down the specific section of the house hiding the terrorists. THE IMPACT As he crawled into the kill zone, all hell broke loose. -->Bullet 1: Grazed his helmet. -->Bullet 2: Tore through his nose. -->Bullet 3: Shattered his jaw completely. -->Most men would die from the shock alone. Others would collapse. Rishi? He kept firing. -->With his face mutilated, blood pouring out, and unable to speak, he refused to evacuate until the terrorists were neutralized and his team was safe. He didn't just survive; he ensured the mission was a success. THE RESURRECTION -->The aftermath was brutal. 28 major surgeries. A face reconstructed from bone grafts and metal plates. A permanent loss of normal speech and eating abilities. -->The Medical Board prepared his discharge papers. "You've done enough, soldier. Go home." -->But Lt. Col. Rishi had other plans. He didn't want a pension; he wanted his uniform. He rehabilitated himself with a ferocity that scared even his doctors. He returned to active duty. THE WAYANAD SAVIOR (2024) Years later, when the devastating landslides hit Wayanad, Kerala, who was leading the rescue on the ground? The Masked Man. Lt. Col. Rishi Rajalakshmi was there, wading through mud and death, pulling his own people out of the debris. From fighting terrorists in Kashmir to saving civilians in Kerala, his war for India never ended. WE HAVE FAILED HIM We live in a society that will make a stranger famous for a 15-second dance reel, yet we scroll right past the man who literally sacrificed his face to keep us safe. We feast on hollow entertainment while he eats through a tube. That mask isn't a choice; it’s the receipt for our freedom, and the fact that we don't know his name is our collective shame. Lt. Col. Rishi Rajalakshmi is not just a soldier; he is a living testament to the fact that the Indian Army is not made of flesh and blood, but of iron and will. Don't let this story die on your timeline. RT this. Share this. Make sure the world knows the name Lt. Col. Rishi Rajalakshmi. Jai Hind. 🇮🇳🫡 Col AJ🇮🇳 Colonel Mayank Chaubey Major Sammer Pal Toorr (Infantry Combat Veteran) Brig Brijesh Pandey TheGlobalDecoder Aman singh #IndianArmy #RealHero #LtColRishi #Pulwama #Wayanad #IndiaFirst #JaiHind

The Sacred Scroll

186,784 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

🔊 CHURCH: THIS IS WHAT THE ENEMY DOESN'T WANT US TO DO TODAY!! He wants us distracted, discouraged, exhausted, and spiritually worn out because he knows that when God's people pray, God moves! Just as Abraham pleaded for Sodom, and Moses stood in the gap for Israel, let’s stand in the gap today for our family, friends, neighbors, and all who are still lost. This is where the battle is! We're living in the final seconds of the Age of Grace!! LET'S STAND IN THE GAP ONE MORE TIME WHILE THERE IS STILL TIME!!! Lord,🕊️ We come before You in the name of Jesus—not in our own wisdom or strength, but covered by the blood of the Lamb—we declare that You are the God who seeks and saves the lost, not willing that any should perish, but that all should come to repentance and eternal life with You!!! 🔥So many today are walking toward this fire—unaware or unwilling to turn! 👉🏼This is where rebellion leads. This is where deception ends. This is where excuses are stripped away! 🔁Father, we stand in the gap now—while there is still breath, while mercy is still available, while repentance is still possible! 👉🏼We present before You our mothers and fathers, wives and husbands, sisters and brothers, nieces and nephews, cousins, aunts and uncles, friends, neighbors, and all who are deceived; all who are hardened; all who are wounded; all who are bound by sin, fear, pride, trauma, addictions, false beliefs, or false peace!!! ⚔️In the authority of Jesus Christ, we stand against every work of the enemy assigned against their souls. We ask You to bind every spirit of deception, confusion, blindness, rebellion, pride, unbelief, false doctrine, false religion, and false peace. 🪢Lord, silence every lie that exalts itself against the knowledge of God—every false identity and every argument raised against the truth! 💣Tear down every idol exalted above You: love of self, love of comfort, love of pleasure, love of money, love of the world, and every identity not rooted in Christ alone! Tear down every stronghold built in their minds: 👉🏼strongholds of trauma, 👉🏼strongholds of fear and anxiety, 👉🏼strongholds of shame, guilt, and condemnation, 👉🏼strongholds of bitterness, offense, resentment, and unforgiveness, 👉🏼strongholds of rebellion and stubbornness, 👉🏼strongholds of self-sufficiency and control, 👉🏼strongholds of hopelessness, despair, and fatalism. 💣Tear down every false belief formed through pain, loss, abuse, disappointment, or deception. 💥Break every agreement—knowingly or unknowingly—with lies spoken over them, lies they believed, and lies passed down generationally!! ❌Lord, cancel every repeating cycle of bondage, addiction, immorality, unbelief, broken relationships, and destruction! 💣Break the power of every fear—fear of surrender, fear of truth, fear of obedience, fear of rejection, fear of loss, and fear of DEATH! ⚔️Break every bond of addiction, lust, perversion, escapism, and hidden sin!!! ❌Cancel every word spoken over them that contradicts Your truth. ❌Cancel every generational pattern that keeps repeating destruction. ❌Cancel every demonic assignment sent to blind, deceive, delay, distract, or destroy them. 💥Destroy every resistance to the Holy Spirit—every quenched conviction, delayed obedience, and HARDENED HEART!!! Father, we ask that You would remove the veil from their eyes. 👉🏼Let scales fall. 👉🏼Let truth pierce through every layer of deception. 👉🏼Let hearts be softened where they have grown calloused. 🕊️Holy Spirit, we ask You to pursue them relentlessly, yet gently! ✅Meet them in dreams and in the moments of silence. Meet them in the middle of their pain and in the questions they cannot escape! ✅Cause divine interruptions! Send sisters and brothers across their path who speak truth with love! ✅Remove influences that keep them bound! Expose what is false and collapse what is built on sand! Lord Jesus, reveal Yourself to them as You truly are—not religion, not control, not condemnation, but —The Way, The Truth and The Life!! 👉🏼Let them feel the weight of eternity—not terror, but urgency. Let them hunger for truth and become restless in sin and unable to find peace apart from You! 📖Your Word is clear: Eternity is real, hell is real! Salvation is NOW!!! FATHER, SAVE THEM, BEFORE THE TRIBULATION BEGINS!!! 🔥Pull them back from the edge! Rescue them from a destiny they were never created for! Let this be the moment where fear gives way to repentance, and repentance gives way to salvation!! 👉🏼We declare that today is the day of salvation! 👉🏼We declare that mercy still stands! 👉🏼We declare that the cross is ENOUGH! 👉🏼We stand on Your promises! That You draw all people to Yourself, that Your arm is not too short to save, and that You leave the ninety-nine to go after the one!! Even when we do not see it, even when nothing seems to change, we trust that You are working behind the scenes! 🤲🏼We place our loved ones fully into Your hands!! 👆🏼We declare that salvation belongs to You! 👆🏼We declare that chains will break! 👆🏼We declare that prodigals will return! 👆🏼We declare that what the enemy meant for evil, You will turn for good! 🩸Cover them with the blood of Jesus. Protect them from deception and from taking the MARK OF THE BEAST! Preserve them until the moment You bring them home! 🙏🏼Lord, we pray that if they are not saved before You come, then during the Tribulation may they see the light of Christ shining brighter than ever before. Draw them to Yourself, seeking refuge in Your grace and finding hope in Your promises. Help them remember the truth they have heard today. Use the testimony of the two witnesses, the 144,000, and the three angels to awaken their hearts and lead them to repentance and faith. Surround them with believers who will encourage them, strengthen them, and point them to Jesus. Let Your Holy Spirit work powerfully in their hearts until they surrender completely to You. 💙 Lord... You also see us!! You see the ones who have been praying for years. The ones who cry for the same people over and over again. The ones who have watched loved ones reject You... again and again. Lord... we're tired. 👉🏼Some of us are running on empty. Some of us wonder if anything we say even matters anymore. Some of us have become discouraged watching this world grow darker by the day. You hear us constantly whisper every day saying, "Lord... I just want to come Home!!!!" Lift us up today, strengthen our weary hearts. Fill us again with Your Holy Spirit. 🛎️Remind us that You are still saving. 🛎️Remind us that You are still pursuing them. 🛎️Remind us that You are still working behind the scenes—even when we can't see it. ❌Don't let us grow cold. ❌Don't let us become distracted. ❌Don't let us lose our urgency. ❌Don't let us stop praying. ❌Don't let us stop sharing the Gospel. 🔥Give us boldness! 🔥Give us endurance! 🔥Give us fresh fire for these last moments before You come! Lord... if there's one more person You want us to reach... give us the strength to stand in the gap one more time... 🙌🏼We thank You in advance for what You are already doing—even now. To You alone belong all the glory, all the honor, all the praise, and all the power, forever and ever! ....and Lord, PLEASE COME!!!! We pray in the mighty Name of Jesus Christ! Amen. MARANATHA! COME, LORD JESUS, COME!!!🤍

Maranatha777

24,595 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Two years ago one guy won $579K on sports betting and wrote a detailed thread about how he did it. His model was completely public: formulas entry logic match selection criteria. Hundreds of people copied the approach and started trading using his system. 3 months later the edge completely disappeared bookmakers adapted lines started moving faster windows closed. Everyone who copied lost their deposits. He himself hasn't shown his profile to anyone since and doesn't write publicly about his bets. This is a standard story in the world of sports betting: any advantage dies the moment the crowd finds out about it. Yesterday I found a wallet that contradicts everything I know about this market. > $4M+ in pure profit in 14 days. This wallet doesn't know how to lose: The profile is completely public every position every entry every exit visible to anyone with internet. He absolutely doesn't care that you're watching. The first thing that catches your eye when you open the stats the numbers just don't match reality. The most profitable sports models in the world the ones that feed professional syndicates in Vegas give 54-57% accuracy. That's the ceiling. That's the edge. That's enough to live off betting for decades. > This wallet has 1207 closed positions in two weeks of trading. I scrolled through every one. Won. Won. Won. Won. Won. Scroll further. Won. Won. Won. Won. All the way to the end of the list. > Zero losses. Not 90%. Not 99%. Zero. This is not betting in the sense we understand the word betting by definition assumes you sometimes lose. Then what am I even looking at? I open his largest closed trade to understand the scale. > Bills vs. Jaguars NFL playoff final. > Entry: $1.13M. Exit: $2.45M+. > Pure profit of $1.32M+ from one football game. And the most interesting part this wasn't even a simple bet on the winner where you just need to guess who wins. This was point spread: Bills -3.5. To take the money he needed Bills to not just win but win by at least four points. Not guess the match outcome guess by exactly what margin the game ends. And he bet over a million dollars on it. I scroll through the rest of the closed positions and see the same pattern. > Packers vs. Bears invested $781K took $1.79M+ pure profit over a million. > Stade Rennais FC 1901 invested $602K took $1.56M+ pure profit $964K. > Patriots spread -3.5 invested $600K took $1.27M+ pure profit $675K. > Rams spread -3.5 invested $613K took $1.25M pure profit $641K. Every position hundreds of thousands of dollars on the line. Every one closed in profit. I start looking for any pattern in his match selection trying to understand the logic. > NFL American football. > NBA basketball. > NHL hockey. > Premier League English football. > Bundesliga German football. > La Liga Spanish football. > Ligue 1 French football. > Serie A Italian football. He doesn't focus on one league and doesn't specialize in one sport. This completely kills the insider information theory it's physically impossible to have reliable sources simultaneously in all professional leagues in the world. I look at the timing of his entries when exactly he opens positions relative to match start. > Average entry price in his positions: 35-50 cents per share. > Price of the same positions at match start: 70-85 cents. He consistently enters when the price is still low hours sometimes a day before the main mass of players starts loading money in the same direction. Two possible explanations. 1. He somehow knows match results in advance. 2. He sees something in publicly available data that hundreds of thousands of other people looking at the same matches don't see. I can't think of a third option. > The fattest win in the wallet's history: $1.32M+ pure profit from one position. That's more than most people will earn in their entire lives. He did it in three hours while a football game was on. I look at current open positions he didn't stop and didn't withdraw the money. > Right now he has $4.2 million in active bets. And all of them are already in profit even before closing. > Spread: Indiana -7.5 entered at 50 cents now price 100 cents profit +100%. > Sharks vs. Lightning entered at 73 cents now price 100 cents profit +37%. > Wild vs. Maple Leafs entered at 50 cents now price 100 cents profit +100%. > Tottenham win entered at 35 cents now price 100 cents profit +185%. He didn't just not stop he's accelerating and increasing position size every day. > 64 thousand people are already watching this profile right now. People are trying to copy his trades in real time. They can't keep up. By the time a new position appears in the public profile the price is already completely different because his entry itself moves the market. He doesn't hide and doesn't conceal trades because speed is his protection from copying.

Blaze

251,298 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Elon Musk pays one wallet $115K. He doesn't even know about it. Every time he opens Twitter and starts typing someone on the other end earns money. Quietly. Methodically. Tweet by tweet. I stumbled upon this wallet by accident. Was scrolling through the Polymarket leaderboard. Looking for interesting strategies. Most tops are politics crypto mix of everything. And then I saw Prexpect → Opened the profile. Looked at positions. Closed it. Opened again. Thought it was a bug. Every position is the same market. Will Elon Musk post X tweets this week? Not ten different bets. No hedge on politics. One market. Over and over. For months. Scrolled through closed trades history. Won. Won. Won. Won. Scrolled further. Won. Won. Won. This is not trading. This is harvesting. Started breaking down how this works. Every Monday Polymarket opens fresh markets on Elon's tweets. Buckets of 20: 400-419 tweets 420-439 440-459 and so on. At the moment of opening chaos. Nobody knows where to set prices. Zero liquidity. Spreads like a canyon. Prexpect is already there. Pours in limit orders on YES at 1-2 cents across several buckets simultaneously. Becomes the order book before the order book exists. Looking at his active positions right now: 10000 shares 400-419 tweets entry 1¢ now 22¢ 10000 shares 420-439 tweets entry 1¢ now 18¢ 10000 shares 380-399 tweets entry 1¢ now 17¢ x17-x22 in a few days. The week isn't even over. But that's only half of it. Elon is a chaotic poster. 50 tweets in the morning then silence. Night raid at 3am then sleep. The market reacts slowly. People at work. People sleeping. People don't count tweets manually every hour. Prexpect counts. Imagine: you're watching football on TV. Score is 0-0. But someone at the stadium already saw the goal. For him it's 1-0. He places a bet while your picture catches up to reality. Prexpect is at the stadium. Always. Elon starts speeding up at 2am? Prexpect sees the pacing. Recalculates probabilities. Adjusts positions. By morning the market wakes up and prices have already moved. Closed positions tell the whole story: $3280 → $14871 March $11450 → $22979 November $27123 → $44597 December $41117 → $60388 January The fattest gain 353%. On tweets. Just on counting how many times a person hit Post. Scrolling further. Looking for at least one other bet. Maybe crypto. Maybe elections. Something for variety. Nothing. Only Elon. Week after week. Month after month. No diversification. No just in case. One edge sharpened to automation. While all of Twitter argues about WHAT Elon wrote one trader quietly collects money for HOW MUCH he wrote. $115314 and growing. Right now while you're reading this post Elon is possibly typing another tweet. And someone already bet on it.

Blaze

389,496 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

🇷🇺 Nothing says ‘wartime leadership’ and ‘patriotism’ quite like throwing a $112,000 birthday party at one of Moscow's most expensive restaurants. After an explosion struck Balzi Rossi during Russian Aerospace Forces commander Alexander Chaiko's birthday party, Z-channels spent less time condemning the attack than questioning what Chaiko was doing there in the first place. “Only in our country are important facilities burning every day while some f*cking general celebrates his birthday with a 9-million-ruble party.” — TG channel ‘Боевой резерв’ “If the target of the terrorist attack was senior military officers, why were they in a restaurant? Have we already won the war? Are there no problems at the front? A strange place to be stationed.” — TG channel ‘На связи АДМИН RSOTM’ “The Khokhols tried to kill yet another top military commander — this time the commander of an entire branch of the armed forces. Along with all his guests, meaning a whole crowd of elite officers. Only the professionalism and heroism of the security officer, may he rest in peace, prevented it. And let me add, in case anyone hasn't noticed: in just one week they've tried to kill a top general and two drone manufacturers (one of whom is in critical condition). Meanwhile, we still insist on being ‘better than them.’ We don't assassinate anyone. We don't even try. What are we waiting for? Until they go after the grandpa at the top? And what if they succeed?” — TG channel ‘ШЕКСПИР’ “What's the takeaway? The commander should focus on the war and defeating terrorists instead of wandering around restaurants where soup costs 6,000 rubles. He felt like the 'elite' a little too early. During wartime, anniversaries should be celebrated with family and trusted friends. Elite restaurants can wait until after victory.” — TG channel ‘СВАРЩИКИ’ “Nothing surprising here. Everyone knows the condition the Aerospace Forces' infantry regiments are in... The commander, who has never distinguished himself as a military leader anywhere, somehow... was trying to conquer a banquet hall instead.” — TG channel ‘Репортер Filatov’ “There's a war on, and they're out partying in restaurants, holding banquets, for f*ck's sake.” — TG channel ‘No Pasaran’ “Balzi Rossi is one of the most expensive restaurants in Moscow. In 2021 it was put up for sale for nearly one billion rubles. It's a restaurant for the very wealthy: Yana Rudkovskaya, Victoria Bonya, government officials, and politicians have all celebrated birthdays there. The prices are eye-watering... The situation has generated not so much sympathy as disappointment and outrage. People say that a recently appointed general chose one of Moscow's most fashionable venues to celebrate his birthday. Our people still can't seem to grasp that there's a war on and we're all in the crosshairs. And then there's the elitist attitude of those in uniform — not barbecuing at the dacha, but renting out an ultra-expensive restaurant.” — Anastasia Kashevarova. Video: Balzi Rossi staff prepare for Chaiko's birthday party.

Natalka

51,806 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Polymarket introduced fees 3% to crush automated trading. A week ago in a Discord with developers we spent an hour doing the math: is it even possible to squeeze $250 a day on 15-minute markets with the new fees? The consensus: margin is dead. One developer didn't let that stop him from quietly making $98K a week. He automated the full pipeline: data parsing, entry calculation, trade execution. While everyone was counting fees, he was collecting money. Second place on the Polymarket leaderboard. I stared at his chart and couldn't figure it out: either I'm missing something, or the entire Discord was wrong. I found him by accident. Scrolling through top wallets and stumbled on numbers that didn't compute. $313 to start. Now $912K. Two months. I recalculated three times: $12-24K per day, and these aren't peak days, this is every day. The profit curve looks like someone drew it with a ruler. Not a single serious drawdown. Not one. For three weeks I watched this wallet. Entry timing. Position sizes. Which markets. What time of day. Looking for what separates him from hundreds of other automated traders. Then I noticed a pattern that made me uncomfortable. There's a 30-second window. Thirty seconds where Polymarket and reality don't match. BTC moves on Binance. The price already changed. But Polymarket odds are still frozen. Old numbers. Outdated prices. The world already shifted, but the prediction market is still asleep. Imagine an auction. You're standing in the room and hear the hammer drop. The lot sold for $50,000. But the other bidders are sitting in the next room watching a delayed broadcast. For them the bidding is still going. They're still raising their paddles trying to outbid. You know the lot already sold. They don't. This wallet is the one standing in the room. Every 15 minutes. Entry while odds are frozen. Wait. Window closes. Pays 30 cents, takes a dollar. No manual intervention. The developer automated the entire process and now just watches. The system only enters after a confirmed impulse on Binance and Coinbase, when Polymarket hasn't caught up to reality yet. The mechanics are laughably simple: Calculates fair value based on the last 10 trades. Price above FV, accumulate YES. Below, accumulate NO. No magic. Just basic math that takes money from people trading on emotions. And here's what got me. When Polymarket introduced fees, everyone wrote: end of automation. Now it'll be a fair game. Know what actually happened? Small players died. The ones with thin margins. The ones who couldn't afford to pay fees on every trade. And this titan? He just knocked off competitors. Less competition in the queue, more liquidity for him. Fees? Just a cost of doing business. At $98K a week it's a rounding error. Polymarket thought they were crushing freeloaders. In reality they cleared the field for one predator. $889K profit. Largest single win $28K. 723 thousand profile views. Profit curve goes straight up without a single serious drop. A human without automation can't even come close to this result. We blink. Think. Hesitate. While your finger reaches for the mouse, his system already closed the position. A week ago I decided to test it. Not analyze. Not build theories. Just copy. He entered a position, I followed. BTC market, 15-minute window. Nothing complicated. I didn't even understand what was happening, just copied. Four hours later I closed. +$247. It didn't change my life. But it changed how I see money working on this market. I spent three years drawing lines in TradingView. Reading analysis. Watching streams. $247 in 4 hours copying someone else's trade blindly. Know what I felt? Not joy. Anger. At myself. For all those years trying to be smarter than the market instead of just standing behind someone who already is. Here he is: Most traders try to predict the future. This one just watches the present arrive 30 seconds early. Right now somewhere BTC is moving on Binance. Polymarket is still asleep. You have 30 seconds. Will you be the one selling to him at old prices? Or the one standing beside him?

Blaze

94,122 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Instead of just talking about it, I wanted to go through it and really break it down to figure out the exact reason for the difference in Jalen Duren's play between the regular season and the playoffs. *LONG BREAKDOWN COMING* First, lets list how much the difference was: Iso in RS: 82nd %ile Iso in PS: 21st %ile Post-ups in RS: 88th %ile Post-ups in PS: 59th %ile PPP on drives in RS: 1.18 ppp PPP on drives in PS: 0.80 Layups in RS: 79th %ile Layups in PS: 19th %ile It was a staggering drop off. Shocking to many of us who watched him all season. So, what happened? Well, #1 I think mentally he was letting his struggles get to him and he started to play out of control. Something that suggests this to me is this stat: He started to figure some things out himself in isolation over the last 2 games against the Cavs. He had six isolation possessions in the final two games against the Cavs; he scored on five of those possessions and drew a foul on the other. Game 6 he started to look confident and really made them pay out of isolation. I really think a ton of it was he got hit with a punch early against ORL and really struggled to handle the pressure and struggles after, and just kept stacking and stacking. So, him being in his own head is #1 for me. #2: His handle got exposed quite a bit. In the regular season, he only had a 4.2 TO% in isolation, which is incredible. In the playoffs, though, that spiked to 20 TO%. On drives in the RS, he had a TO% of 4%. In the PS, it jumped to 13.3%. The first clip below shows how the right-to-left cross he loved doing all season was really taken away from him. Too loose of a handle, and he often got his pocket picked trying this exact move over and over. I think having his go-to move taken from him shook him a bit and left him scrambling a bit in his head to find a counter. The second clip shows, imo, him starting to lose trust in his handle. He immediately turns his back to the defender, which is what you do when you're worried about losing the ball. But, even then, he loses control of the handle and it ends up in a turnover. If I'm the Pistons, I'm showing all his turnovers due to his handle and working with him on tightening his handle and also helping him get comfortable with a counter/second move so defenders don't just sit on the right-to-left cross. #3: I think he really struggled to adjust to the playoff whistle. In the regular season, he drew free throws on 21% of his isolations and 31% of his post-ups. In the PS, it dropped to 14% and 11%, respectively. There were many possessions where in the RS he would've got free throws, but did not in the PS and he was frustrated. In the third clip, you'll see how physical he was being played by Mobley (which we all want physicality in the game). But, in the RS, he probably is getting FTA's here. There are many examples of this where it felt like a lot of his value during the RS was being able to draw FTA's on his drives, and in the PS, refs just allowed more physicality, and he struggled to deal with it. #4: Ausar-Duren duo. I believe in this duo, and I do not think this was the main reason Duren struggled. However, I am not blind to the fact that there were obviously some possessions that hurt Duren. In the regular season, Duen actually got less efficient when Ausar wasn't on the floor. However, in the playoffs, Duren went from 51 TS% with Ausar on the floor (302 minutes) to 64 TS% with Ausar off the floor (121 minutes). In the 4th clip, you really see how the lack of spacing caused a tough shot from Duren. He gets a step on WCJ going right, and probably would prefer to then just use his strength to create spearation. However, he sees Suggs sitting in the right gap off of Ausar, which forces him to spin left. Once he spins left, Paolo is completely leaving Tobias open. This is one of the reasons I really think DET needs a spacing 4 because this should be an easy kickout from Duren to a shooter. He still should've made this pass to Tobias, but a legit shooting 4 I think would relocate to the corner and make an easier outlet/easier to see for Duren. But, he still coulda made the pass, tbf. Either way, you see how the lack of spacing from both Ausar and Tobias forced Duren into a really awkward drive where he was forced into an extremely tough shot. I think if the passing returned from Duren, some of these situations wouldn't happen. Hitting Ausar early as he cuts into the space would work, or hitting Tobias (who again shoulda be making himself more available) beyond the arc results in better offense. But, also, having better spacing probably allows Duren to just get to his original move once he beats WCJ off the dribble. and lastly #5: He really just didn't play well. I can't include any more clips (I'll put some in the immediate thread reply to display), but he really just didn't play well. Missed *a lot* of looks we're used to him making. His touch around the rim left him, looked like he really felt rushed in the paint. He was struggling to secure rebounds after dominating the glass all season (during the RS, he averaged 4.3 second chance points a game, in the PS it dropped to 2.3). During RS, he had a 22.0 DREB%, which dropped to 16.0% in the playoffs. So, I think a lot of factors played into why he struggled so much in the playoffs. My takeaway is I don't think these things are unfixable; actually, I think they're very fixable. Experience of dealing with what playoff physicality is I think is going to help moving forward. All young players have to adjust to that--I think Cade really learned that from NY series to this playoff run. Tightening his handle and just having a second move to go to is not something that should be considered impossible. I'd like to believe it's pretty likely with how much he works and the raw skill he already has with his handle. Pistons adding a legit spacer at the four I think solves a lot and will make Duren's life a lot easier. The most concerning part is mental. And we won't know an answer to that until the next playoffs. Did this experience help him on his journey towards becoming mentally strong and prepared enough to move forward? Did this run help him find a routine that helps him lock in mentally, as many players have said they had to discover? Or will the pressure from struggling last postseason get to him this upcoming postseason? Will he let mistakes get into his head, compound them, and start playing rashly? I don't think the second option will be the case, but no one will know until the next postseason. Honestly, I'm more concerned and critical of his defense in the playoffs (which at times was pretty good and at other times was an incredible struggle), but that would require its own thread. My ending thoughts: I still very much believe in Duren. This playoff run showed he has areas he must sharpen up and learn from, but at 22 that shouldn't be a shocker. He is incredibly talented and made a large jump during the RS. The PS posed challenges he didn't quite have answers to yet. But another run of experience, another offseason of training, and another year older should lead him down a good path. I am fully supportive of paying Duren and extending him. I am not at close to 50 million dollars. 35-40 million is where I think they'll settle on, and I'm fine with that. But, he's gotta learn from these playoffs! Every offseason he's gotten better, I don't have a reason to believe Jalen Duren won't learn and improve again this summer. He's only 22.

Ku 🦉

33,635 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад