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DROPS E38: Vanta Trading - The Best Traders Won't Be Human Arrash is the founder and CEO of Vanta Trading, a decentralized prop trading platform built on Bittensor. He spent years as a quant trader building his own strategies before deciding the entire funded-account industry needed to be rebuilt...

37,896 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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🎙 The Sujal Show Ep. 11: Arthur Hayes “Why I’m Betting Big on Hyperliquid (Over Bitcoin)” The man behind BitMEX, Arthur Hayes, reveals why 90% of traders lose money, says decentralization is “mostly marketing,” why he’s all-in on Hyperliquid & Zcash, 3 altcoins, & gives his 2028 election thesis and how it will affect Bitcoin. We Discussed on The Sujal Show: - The 2017 moment BitMEX started printing real money - Why insider trading should be legal - Why 90% of traders lose money (90/10 rule of trading) - How to build wealth in crypto - His $150 price target for Hyperliquid by end of August - Why Hyperliquid could become the largest exchange in the world - His take on Gracy Chen's "Hyperliquid is centralized" claim - Narrative that will make stupid money - His portfolio revealed - The timeline for Bitcoin to hit $500k (gave a specific year) - Why Ethereum is still the best L1 - Zcash to $2,000–$3,000? & 10% Of Bitcoin His privacy thesis - 3 coins to outperform Bitcoin TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Intro 02:08 How to Get Rich in Crypto Without Gambling 03:30 Why 90% of Traders Lose Money 05:32 Will AI Replace 99% of Traders? 06:23 How Salaried People Should Build Wealth in Crypto 07:25 Arthur Hayes’ Current Portfolio 07:35 Is Ethereum Still a Long-Term Bet? 08:19 Zcash to $2,000–$3,000? 09:09 Can Quantum Computing Threaten Bitcoin & Zcash? 09:42 Hyperliquid Price Prediction 10:14 How Big Can Hyperliquid Become? 11:05 Is Hyperliquid Really Decentralized? 13:11 Is Bitcoin Truly Decentralized? 13:50 Has Bitcoin Bottomed Already? 14:47 Bitcoin Future Prediction 16:34 Should Insider Trading Be Legal? 17:37 Would Legal Insider Trading Make Markets More Manipulative? 19:25 The Sujal Show Prediction Round 23:59 Is Trump Good or Bad for Crypto? 25:22 Advice for the Younger Generation From Citibank fired to crypto billionaire. His trading psychology will good for to recover loss Watch now 👇

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MUST-WATCH: Why SIG Dominated Options Trading — Explained by an 8-Year Insider Kris Abdelmessih (Kris) spent 8 years trading energy derivatives at SIG, then ran options businesses at Parallax & Prime before founding Moontower —one of the world's most popular newsletters on options & volatility trading. "SIG understood there was an abnormal amount of edge in the market. They came from gambling—sports betting, poker—where edge was tiny. A bookie makes 5% margins. But trading a $2.5 call spread for $2.20 when it's worth $2.50? That's a ridiculous amount of edge compared to gambling, with the same risk distribution." We cover: - Why SIG was called "the evil empire" & how they crushed competitors by trading massive size for tighter spreads - The exact structure of prop shop deals: 50/50 splits, escrow accounts, how you get to 60% then 70% payouts - Why markets look efficient from most vantage points & how trading is ultimately about labor—getting your vantage point close enough that it stops looking random - The tyranny of beta: why the best operator in a melting ice cube business will lose to a mediocre performer in a great market - How to escape the "striver" trap & tune out status optimization (hint: find what you got obsessed with before college applications mattered) - Teaching his 12-year-old options market making & involving his 9-year-old in building a trading card game—scattered cards on the bedroom floor that'll become a finished product Thanks to Kris for the masterclass. Highlights: 02:05 How Kris first recognized real trading edge 04:01 How early market structure created easy edge 05:27 Why improvement in trading comes from hindsight 07:08 The core SIG frameworks that shaped his edge 09:37 Why uncovering edge requires labor and precision 11:02 How informed order flow forces trader humility 12:53 What truly differentiated SIG from competitors 13:23 How SIG built a world-class education pipeline 16:30 How SIG captured edge by refusing to hedge 18:11 How centralized risk controlled exposure and variance 19:09 How SIG used size and spreads to dominate markets 23:20 What Kris learned working with Jason McCarthy 25:40 Why elite traders share extreme competitiveness 26:06 How top performers operate across domains and PM roles 28:22 How Kris transitioned from SIG to prop trading 31:56 What shifting into senior roles taught him about trading 33:46 How Kris built training and feedback systems for traders 35:00 How the backer model works inside prop shops 38:41 How escrow capital protects traders from tail events 41:03 How natural gas options trading changed with regime shifts 42:13 How Kris applies trading edge concepts to life decisions 45:46 Why personal alignment beats chasing status in trading 47:13 How status games distort decision-making for young traders 52:23 Why striver behavior is actually risk management 56:27 How Kris teaches opportunity cost through parenting 1:01:28 How exposing kids to decisions builds intuition 1:04:46 How Kris teaches EV using homemade trading games 1:08:05 How iteration and feedback loops shape real learning

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233,306 views • 7 months ago

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13,718 views • 2 months ago

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41,057 views • 9 months ago

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93,188 views • 1 year ago

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18,148 views • 3 months ago