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Elon Musk: If a comet hits Earth, it's game over. “Earth does not currently have any ability to stop asteroids. Now, with Starship, we then have some ability to stop an asteroid. Technically, a comet would be the real danger because there are billions, if not more than billions,...

348,206 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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ELON: MARS COULD SAVE EARTH JUST LIKE AMERICA SAVED EUROPE “I do think there is an important threshold if we are able to make life multiplanetary, that you can get to the point on Mars where Mars can grow by itself, even if the resupply ships from Earth stop coming. That's the critical threshold where the probable lifespan of civilization is dramatically greater. So, it's not enough just to go to Mars and have a small base or something like that. You've got to actually have enough resources on Mars that if resupply ships stop coming for any reason, and it could be that things on Earth ended with a bang or a whimper, and currently it's trending to end, it's sort of tragic, currently things are trending to end with a whimper in adult diapers because of the lack of birth rate, but as soon as we can make life multiplanetary, sustainably multiplanetary, the probable lifespan of civilization is dramatically greater. And I think that's really the fundamental test, can we get to that point before civilization collapses? Can we make life multiplanetary, sustainably multiplanetary before something happens on Earth to prevent that from occurring? And if we do, the future is exciting and bright, and Mars may one day come back and save Earth, just like America came back and saved Europe and saved the rest of the world three times last century. Three times, America saved the world last century. And what a disaster would have been if America had not existed. And one day, Mars may play that same role on Earth.” Source: Town hall in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, October 18, 2024

Mario Nawfal

20,677,545 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

"If I saw that 3I/Atlas was...zigzagging, or approaching Earth, or releasing some mini probes...then obviously, you know, the stock market may crash." ~Avi (Pretty solid answer here from today's podcast/debate with the added bonus of some light shots at Shermer.) Dr. Avi Loeb: "The truth is not decided by authority. I don't care about what Alan Stern says. I don't care about what P(David|Kipping) ∝ P(Kipping|David) P(David) says. If the data shows something really anomalous, they can continue to say that it's a dark comet. "On January 2, 2025, there was an object catalogued by the minor planets...the main authority designated by the international astronomy union. They found a near-Earth asteroid and gave it a name. And then [later] they realized that, 'Oh, that one follows the path of the Tesla Roadster car that was launched by SpaceX in 2018.' Removed it immediately from their catalog. "And there were dozens of cases like that, where astronomers say, 'It's a rock! Oh, wait a minute. No, it's a spacecraft or some space debris that we launched.' Now, what about spacecraft or space debris that other civilizations launched? We don't know their trajectories. And those same astronomers that Michael Shermer calls experts would say and insist that they must be rocks of a type that we've never seen before. That was done for Oumuamua. "There were experts that Michael would really respect that said, 'You know, it's a hydrogen iceberg. It's a nitrogen iceberg. It's a dust bunny.' These were the mainstream suggestions. Can you believe it? Things we've never seen before. A dust bunny being Oumuamua? A hydrogen iceberg. These are the experts that Michael wants us to listen to (I love these little jabs at Shermer. ~Joe)! And I'm saying, science depends on the level of evidence. So obviously, eventually, if we have enough evidence... "So, what I would like, you know, if I saw that 3I/Atlas was maneuvering, just to give an example, if it was maneuvering, then obviously, you know, the stock market may crash. Because that kind of a maneuver that cannot be accounted for by the rocket effect of a comet - if it's like, zigzagging or approaching Earth or releasing some mini probes - you know, that would be clear indication that it's technological. Or if it broadcasts something or has artificial lights. "However, if it becomes, you know, clear that it has a cometary tail of the type that is expected from natural objects, I would... You know, I invented the scale last month. Now it's called the Loeb scale, where zero means natural, ten means artificial and likely to threaten Earth. And so far, I gave it a four, 3I/Atlas. But, I would bring it down to zero if we get more data as it comes close to the sun and it erupts just like a comet, I would say, 'Yeah, it's natural. I bring it down to zero.' "Now you may ask, 'How is it that you are changing your mind? Is it under pressure?' No, it's because we have more data and science. You know, whoever pretends that scientists know the answer is wrong, because, you know, we thought that we detected B-mode polarization from inflation. It ended up being dust from, you know, the Milky Way Galaxy. And that's just an example of how science is done in iterations. It takes more and more data, eventually, to figure out what's going on."

Joe Murgia

26,271 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

Elon Musk: There are grander things we should be considering than the pettiness of everyday life. “I'd say life on Mars is difficult, dangerous, so many people might die. It's just fundamentally, are we going to become a multiplanet species or not? Even if we're sure Earth would be fine forever, do you want to be here forever? I think we want to be a spacefaring civilization. It's not like let's escape to Mars. Do we have a spirit of adventure? Do we want to go out there and see the rest of the universe? Who do we want to find out what's out there? Maybe meet some alien civilizations? Do we want science fiction to not be fiction forever? And if so, we need to be a multiplanet species. That's the next step. And then we can go from there to being a multistellar species and get to other star systems. I disagree with the notion of rationalizing becoming a multiplanet species with advancements on Earth. It is good in and of itself. It is important that we do this because eventually there's something that will do us in. It might be in 100 years, it might be in a million years, but something will do us in. What it comes down to is do we want civilization to survive on Earth until eventually it is extinguished and all life is extinguished? Or do we want to get out there and understand the nature of reality. There are grander things that we should be considering than the pettiness of everyday life.” Jay Leno's Garage, September 21, 2022

ELON CLIPS

37,946 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce