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ELON MUSK: IF YOUR JOB INVOLVES MOVING ATOMS, YOU’RE SAFE. IF IT INVOLVES MOVING DIGITS, AI IS TAKING OVER LIKE LIGHTNING "AI is really still digital. Ultimately, AI can improve the productivity of humans who do things with their hands Literally welding, electrical work, plumbing, anything that involves physically...

1,812,503 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Plumbing will outlast coding. Welding will outlast desk jobs. Farming will outlast email. Elon Musk: "Anything that isn't physically moving atoms will be eliminated like lightning by AI." He spent 5 minutes explaining why physical work is the last to go: The filter is simple. "Anything that is digital, which is just someone at a computer doing something, AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning." "Coding, anything along those lines. It's going to take over those jobs like lightning." "Just like digital computers took over the job of people doing manual calculations. But much faster." What survives longer? "AI can improve the productivity of humans who build things with their hands or do things with their hands." "Welding. Electrical work. Plumbing. Anything that's physically moving atoms." "Cooking food. Farming. Anything that's physical. Those jobs will exist for a much longer time." The desk jobs go first. "There's just so many desk jobs where really what people are doing is processing email or answering the phone." "Anything that isn't moving atoms. Anything that is not physically doing physical work." "Those jobs will be and are being eliminated by AI at a very rapid pace." Here's where it ends: "Ultimately, working will be optional." "Because you'll have robots plus AI." "In a benign scenario, universal high income. Not just universal basic income. Universal high income." "Meaning anyone can have any products or services that they want." "We'd essentially eliminate poverty." But there's a catch. "There will be a lot of trauma and disruption along the way." "There's a lot of ways this movie can end." "The reason I'm so concerned about AI safety is that one of the possibilities is the Terminator scenario." "It's not 0%."

Jaynit Makwana

432,857 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Elon Musk just described the white-collar extinction event. On Joe Rogan. Casually. Musk: “Anything that is digital, which is like just someone at a computer doing something, AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.” Not gradually. Not eventually. Lightning. The assumption most professionals are operating on is that AI will assist them. Make them faster. Augment what they do. That assumption is the most expensive mistake a person can make right now. Musk: “Just like digital computers took over the job of people doing manual calculations. But much faster.” Think about that analogy for a moment. We used to employ entire rooms of people whose sole function was arithmetic. Highly educated. Well-compensated. Essential to every organization that ran on numbers. Then the computer arrived and the entire category disappeared. Not shrank. Disappeared. Nobody talks about it as a tragedy anymore because the transition happened before most people alive today were born. It’s just history. A curiosity. That same transition is happening right now to coding, writing, analysis, research, legal work, financial modeling. Every profession whose output lives entirely on a screen. The difference is the speed. Digital computers took decades to displace manual calculation. This is moving in years. If your work begins and ends on a screen, you are not competing with a tool that makes someone else more productive. You are competing with a replacement that does not sleep, does not need benefits, and gets cheaper every six months. Musk is not predicting this future. He is describing the present tense.

Dustin

427,844 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Elon Musk says every job done at a computer is going like lightning. The last time this happened, the people it happened to came out ahead. Musk: “Anything that is digital, which is like just someone at a computer doing something, AI is going to take over those jobs like lightning.” Most people in his position soften that. He said it on a podcast without hedging once. Musk: “Just like digital computers took over the job of people doing manual calculations.” Computer was a job title before it was a machine. Rooms full of people working out by hand the arithmetic that kept aircraft in the air and put rockets past the atmosphere. The machines arrived and the title disappeared. Everyone who held it kept working. Dorothy Vaughan taught herself to program the IBM brought in to replace her section, then ran it. Katherine Johnson stopped doing arithmetic and started calculating the path to the moon. Musk: “But much faster.” Speed is the part everyone hears as the threat. It is closer to mercy. They spent years in limbo while an institution worked out what to do with them. Faster means less time waiting for permission to matter. The machine takes the part of your work that was already mechanical, the part you could write down as a procedure. What survives is the judgment about what is worth doing, which never fit in a procedure to begin with. The obvious objection is scale. Manual calculation was one occupation, and this reaches every screen in every industry at once. That same breadth is why the tools are everywhere. They needed an institution to put them on the new machine. Nobody is waiting on that now. The thing doing the replacing runs on a laptop and answers to whoever opens it. Musk gets called a doomer for saying this out loud. Telling people while there is still time to move is the opposite of that. The arithmetic left the building. The people who had been doing it went to the moon.

Dustin

33,223 görüntüleme • 19 gün önce