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ELON MUSK: "People don't quite understand just how much intelligence there will be, or just how far it will exceed human intelligence to a degree that is impossible to fully understand, because you can totally imagine a situation where we will let's say a million times more energy is...

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DogeDesigner

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49,146 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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I don't think how much intelligence we can unlock with just the sun's energy. The outcomes are COUNTLESS! Elon: "You can certainly imagine a situation where we let's say a million times more energy is harnessed [from the sun] than all of Earth's current electricity usage. That would still only be roughly a millionth of the sun's energy output." "Essentially, if you increase the economy by a factor of a million, it's still 1 millionth only of the sun's energy harnessed. What does an economy or an intelligence using a million times more electricity than all of Earth's civilization think about, look like, or do? It's going to be something pretty magnificent."
0:56

I don't think how much intelligence we can unlock with just the sun's energy. The outcomes are COUNTLESS! Elon: "You can certainly imagine a situation where we let's say a million times more energy is harnessed [from the sun] than all of Earth's current electricity usage. That would still only be roughly a millionth of the sun's energy output." "Essentially, if you increase the economy by a factor of a million, it's still 1 millionth only of the sun's energy harnessed. What does an economy or an intelligence using a million times more electricity than all of Earth's civilization think about, look like, or do? It's going to be something pretty magnificent."

Peter H. Diamandis, MD

38,810 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: If we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is gonna sound crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million, and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy. So current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the Sun's energy output. It's just humbling to think about. We're really tiny, when you see the true size of earth relative to the Sun, we're a tiny dust moat in a vast darkness.”
0:38

ELON MUSK: If we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is gonna sound crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million, and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy. So current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the Sun's energy output. It's just humbling to think about. We're really tiny, when you see the true size of earth relative to the Sun, we're a tiny dust moat in a vast darkness.”

Dima Zeniuk

19,569 просмотров • 25 дней назад

ELON MUSK: The Future of Energy Is Beyond Earth. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard, so if we wanted to say double the electricity usage of the United States, which is on average about 500 gigawatts, we would have to build, about twice as many power plants, which I don't think people are, well, most communities are not super excited about that, but actually, if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy, so current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the sun's energy output, which is kind of humbling to think about."
3:06

ELON MUSK: The Future of Energy Is Beyond Earth. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard, so if we wanted to say double the electricity usage of the United States, which is on average about 500 gigawatts, we would have to build, about twice as many power plants, which I don't think people are, well, most communities are not super excited about that, but actually, if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy, so current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the sun's energy output, which is kind of humbling to think about."

DogeDesigner

118,153 просмотров • 1 день назад

ELON MUSK: The Future of Energy Is Beyond Earth. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard, so if we wanted to say double the electricity usage of the United States, which is on average about 500 gigawatts, we would have to build, about twice as many power plants, which I don't think people are, well, most communities are not super excited about that, but actually, if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy, so current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the sun's energy output, which is kind of humbling to think about."
3:06

ELON MUSK: The Future of Energy Is Beyond Earth. "It's increasingly difficult to build power plants on the ground. There are very few people who want a power plant in their backyard, so if we wanted to say double the electricity usage of the United States, which is on average about 500 gigawatts, we would have to build, about twice as many power plants, which I don't think people are, well, most communities are not super excited about that, but actually, if we go to space, we can go far beyond the electricity generation of Earth. In fact, this is going to sound kind of crazy, but you could actually increase harnessed energy by a factor of a million and still be using much less than a millionth of the sun's energy, so current human civilization uses much less than a trillionth of the sun's energy output, which is kind of humbling to think about."

DogeDesigner

1,091,758 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Elon: People underestimate what’s coming. Intelligence. The future in energy terms. Imagine intelligence powered by a million times Earth’s current electricity use. That would still be a fraction of the Sun’s output. Scale that kind of energy, and intelligence rises beyond anything familiar. AI and robotics amplify economic output by orders of magnitude. It will solve everything you can possibly think of, with longevity certainly among them. The intelligence in the solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than the intelligence on Earth itself. Elon Musk
1:18

Elon: People underestimate what’s coming. Intelligence. The future in energy terms. Imagine intelligence powered by a million times Earth’s current electricity use. That would still be a fraction of the Sun’s output. Scale that kind of energy, and intelligence rises beyond anything familiar. AI and robotics amplify economic output by orders of magnitude. It will solve everything you can possibly think of, with longevity certainly among them. The intelligence in the solar system will be many orders of magnitude greater than the intelligence on Earth itself. Elon Musk

Mario Nawfal

98,356 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Elon Musk: I go to sleep and there’s some massive AI breakthrough… and when I wake up, there’s another one. It’s honestly hard to keep track. According to Musk, the pace of AI progress has reached a point where breakthroughs are happening almost daily. He says Grok is already performing extremely well — and by some metrics, especially prediction, it’s the best. “The new Grok 4.20 is really, really good.” Right now, Musk says the main focus is catching up and surpassing competitors in coding. In fact, he was late because he was in a “giant all-hands coding session” working through everything needed to push Grok ahead. “I think we’ll catch up and exceed our competitors on coding… probably by the middle of this year.” But the bigger point Musk makes is that most people still don’t grasp how much intelligence is coming. “I think people don’t quite understand just how much intelligence there will be… or how far it will exceed human intelligence to a degree that’s impossible to fully understand.” He explains it through energy. If humanity harnessed a million times more electricity than all of Earth uses today, our entire civilization would still only be using about one-millionth of the Sun’s energy output. Now imagine an economy and intelligence operating at that scale. “What does an intelligence using a million times more electricity than all of Earth’s civilization think about… look like… or do?” “It’s going to be something pretty magnificent.” Musk says the real challenge may not be building that level of intelligence — but even vaguely appreciating it. But one thing, he says, is clear: It will solve everything you can possibly think of.
2:40

Elon Musk: I go to sleep and there’s some massive AI breakthrough… and when I wake up, there’s another one. It’s honestly hard to keep track. According to Musk, the pace of AI progress has reached a point where breakthroughs are happening almost daily. He says Grok is already performing extremely well — and by some metrics, especially prediction, it’s the best. “The new Grok 4.20 is really, really good.” Right now, Musk says the main focus is catching up and surpassing competitors in coding. In fact, he was late because he was in a “giant all-hands coding session” working through everything needed to push Grok ahead. “I think we’ll catch up and exceed our competitors on coding… probably by the middle of this year.” But the bigger point Musk makes is that most people still don’t grasp how much intelligence is coming. “I think people don’t quite understand just how much intelligence there will be… or how far it will exceed human intelligence to a degree that’s impossible to fully understand.” He explains it through energy. If humanity harnessed a million times more electricity than all of Earth uses today, our entire civilization would still only be using about one-millionth of the Sun’s energy output. Now imagine an economy and intelligence operating at that scale. “What does an intelligence using a million times more electricity than all of Earth’s civilization think about… look like… or do?” “It’s going to be something pretty magnificent.” Musk says the real challenge may not be building that level of intelligence — but even vaguely appreciating it. But one thing, he says, is clear: It will solve everything you can possibly think of.

Ian Miles

145,755 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: “In order to ascend the Kardashev scale, in order to get to any meaningful percentage of the sun's energy harness, you have to go to space. If you want to get to, say, a millionth of the power output of the sun, you would have to increase civilizational energy harness by much more than a millionth. We currently use much less than a trillionth of the power output of the sun. And a trillion is a million times a million. So basically, we're basically practically nowhere on the Kardashev 2 scale.”
0:44

ELON MUSK: “In order to ascend the Kardashev scale, in order to get to any meaningful percentage of the sun's energy harness, you have to go to space. If you want to get to, say, a millionth of the power output of the sun, you would have to increase civilizational energy harness by much more than a millionth. We currently use much less than a trillionth of the power output of the sun. And a trillion is a million times a million. So basically, we're basically practically nowhere on the Kardashev 2 scale.”

Dima Zeniuk

1,214,061 просмотров • 24 дней назад

ELON MUSK: If you want million times more energy, then you must go to space "The way to think of AI in space is that in order to achieve any meaningful percentage of a Kardashev Type 2 civilization, where you are using even a millionth of the sun's energy, you must have solar-powered AI satellites in deep space Once you think in terms of a Kardashev Type 2 civilization, which is 'what percentage of the sun's energy are you turning into useful work,' then it becomes obvious that space is overwhelmingly what matters Earth only receives roughly one two-billionth of the sun's energy. So, if you want to have something that is, say, a million times more energy than Earth could possibly produce, you must go into space. And so, it’s kind of handy to have a space company, I guess"
1:00

ELON MUSK: If you want million times more energy, then you must go to space "The way to think of AI in space is that in order to achieve any meaningful percentage of a Kardashev Type 2 civilization, where you are using even a millionth of the sun's energy, you must have solar-powered AI satellites in deep space Once you think in terms of a Kardashev Type 2 civilization, which is 'what percentage of the sun's energy are you turning into useful work,' then it becomes obvious that space is overwhelmingly what matters Earth only receives roughly one two-billionth of the sun's energy. So, if you want to have something that is, say, a million times more energy than Earth could possibly produce, you must go into space. And so, it’s kind of handy to have a space company, I guess"

X Freeze

84,037 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

“The sun is ENORMOUS… The way to actually scale civilization is to scale power in space… All of civilization is only about a TRILLIONTH of the sun’s energy. Which means if you increase civilizational power output by a million, you would still only be a MILLIONTH of the sun’s energy” Let that sink in.
0:55

“The sun is ENORMOUS… The way to actually scale civilization is to scale power in space… All of civilization is only about a TRILLIONTH of the sun’s energy. Which means if you increase civilizational power output by a million, you would still only be a MILLIONTH of the sun’s energy” Let that sink in.

NIK

21,743 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: "The way to think about scaling long term is that Earth only receives about half a billionth of the sun's energy. And the sun is essentially all the energy. This is a very important point to appreciate because sometimes people will talk about marginal nuclear reactors or any various fusion on Earth, but you have to step up a second and say if you're going to climb the Kardashev scale and have some non trivial and harness some non trivial percentage of the sun's energy, like let's say you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, which sounds pretty small, that would be about, call it roughly 100,000 times more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization, give or take an order of magnitude. So obviously the only way to scale is to go to space. With solar, from launching from Earth you can get to about a terawatt per year. Beyond that, you want to launch from the moon, you want to have a mass driver on the moon, and that mass driver on the moon you could do probably a petawatt per year."
5:36

ELON MUSK: "The way to think about scaling long term is that Earth only receives about half a billionth of the sun's energy. And the sun is essentially all the energy. This is a very important point to appreciate because sometimes people will talk about marginal nuclear reactors or any various fusion on Earth, but you have to step up a second and say if you're going to climb the Kardashev scale and have some non trivial and harness some non trivial percentage of the sun's energy, like let's say you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, which sounds pretty small, that would be about, call it roughly 100,000 times more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization, give or take an order of magnitude. So obviously the only way to scale is to go to space. With solar, from launching from Earth you can get to about a terawatt per year. Beyond that, you want to launch from the moon, you want to have a mass driver on the moon, and that mass driver on the moon you could do probably a petawatt per year."

DogeDesigner

31,407 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

"Things will just be free in the future. Sounds nuts, but if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it" 一 Elon Musk
1:01

"Things will just be free in the future. Sounds nuts, but if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it" 一 Elon Musk

DogeDesigner

73,951 просмотров • 13 дней назад

"Things will just be free in the future. Sounds nuts, but if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it" 一 Elon Musk
1:01

"Things will just be free in the future. Sounds nuts, but if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it" 一 Elon Musk

DogeDesigner

1,073,435 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Elon Musk: We're at the very early stage of the Intelligence Big Bang. “I hope civilization's around in 100 years. If it is around, it's going to look very different from civilization today. I'd predict that there's going to be at least five times as many humanoid robots as there are humans. Maybe 10 times. One way to look at the progress of civilization is percentage completion Kardashev. So if you're in a Kardashev scale 1, you've harnessed all the energy of a planet. In my opinion, we've only harnessed maybe 1% or 2% of Earth's energy. So we've got a long way to go to the Kardashev scale 1 then Kardashev 2, you've harnessed all the energy of a sun, which would be I don't know, a billion times more energy than Earth, maybe closer to a trillion. And then Kardashev 3 would be all the energy of a galaxy, we're pretty far from that. So we're at the very, very early stage of the Intelligence Big Bang.” Elon Musk at Y Combinator, June 16, 2025
1:07

Elon Musk: We're at the very early stage of the Intelligence Big Bang. “I hope civilization's around in 100 years. If it is around, it's going to look very different from civilization today. I'd predict that there's going to be at least five times as many humanoid robots as there are humans. Maybe 10 times. One way to look at the progress of civilization is percentage completion Kardashev. So if you're in a Kardashev scale 1, you've harnessed all the energy of a planet. In my opinion, we've only harnessed maybe 1% or 2% of Earth's energy. So we've got a long way to go to the Kardashev scale 1 then Kardashev 2, you've harnessed all the energy of a sun, which would be I don't know, a billion times more energy than Earth, maybe closer to a trillion. And then Kardashev 3 would be all the energy of a galaxy, we're pretty far from that. So we're at the very, very early stage of the Intelligence Big Bang.” Elon Musk at Y Combinator, June 16, 2025

ELON CLIPS

63,138 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: "I think things will be free in the future. It sounds nuts, but you know, if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to a million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it. Which means anyone could have a trip to Saturn. It won't be, you know, just a few people. If you want it, you can have it. Then we go beyond the moon, beyond Mars."
0:51

ELON MUSK: "I think things will be free in the future. It sounds nuts, but you know, if you've got an AI or robotics economy that is anywhere close to a million times the size of the current Earth economy, literally any need you possibly want can be met. If you can think of it, you can have it. Which means anyone could have a trip to Saturn. It won't be, you know, just a few people. If you want it, you can have it. Then we go beyond the moon, beyond Mars."

DogeDesigner

77,776 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: The future is fundamentally AI and Robots. “Our AI revenue will exceed all other SpaceX revenue probably in September, like next month, and will significantly exceed all other SpaceX revenue in the fourth quarter. So, AI has become an extremely important part of SpaceX’s future. I think it’s actually vital that we succeed in AI, not just in hardware, but also in software. So, yeah, the future is fundamentally AI and robots. Assuming civilization continues to progress, I think that AI will probably, the amount of digital intelligence will probably be more than a trillion times the amount of biological intelligence. So, not sort of equal to human intelligence, but probably a trillion times higher. I’d say a billion times higher than the amount of artificial intelligence that we have today. I’d say a billion times is an easy prediction, and probably a trillion. So, as you harness more and more of the sun’s energy, the ability to turn that into intelligence is fundamentally a digital computer thing, because it’s pretty hard for humans to go live in deep space without any support. I mean, some of the math is interesting to think about, which is that if you increased civilizational energy usage, the amount of energy that we have harnessed as a civilization by a factor of a million, you would still be using much less than one millionth of the sun’s energy. Now, most of this is in deep space, obviously, but the future is very much AI, very much, and I suppose it was always going to be that way. But it’s important that we have an AI that cares about humanity, that fosters humanity and helps take us to other planets and other star systems, and this is why I think it’s essential that SpaceX succeed, not just with AI hardware, but also with AI software.”
3:08

ELON MUSK: The future is fundamentally AI and Robots. “Our AI revenue will exceed all other SpaceX revenue probably in September, like next month, and will significantly exceed all other SpaceX revenue in the fourth quarter. So, AI has become an extremely important part of SpaceX’s future. I think it’s actually vital that we succeed in AI, not just in hardware, but also in software. So, yeah, the future is fundamentally AI and robots. Assuming civilization continues to progress, I think that AI will probably, the amount of digital intelligence will probably be more than a trillion times the amount of biological intelligence. So, not sort of equal to human intelligence, but probably a trillion times higher. I’d say a billion times higher than the amount of artificial intelligence that we have today. I’d say a billion times is an easy prediction, and probably a trillion. So, as you harness more and more of the sun’s energy, the ability to turn that into intelligence is fundamentally a digital computer thing, because it’s pretty hard for humans to go live in deep space without any support. I mean, some of the math is interesting to think about, which is that if you increased civilizational energy usage, the amount of energy that we have harnessed as a civilization by a factor of a million, you would still be using much less than one millionth of the sun’s energy. Now, most of this is in deep space, obviously, but the future is very much AI, very much, and I suppose it was always going to be that way. But it’s important that we have an AI that cares about humanity, that fosters humanity and helps take us to other planets and other star systems, and this is why I think it’s essential that SpaceX succeed, not just with AI hardware, but also with AI software.”

DogeDesigner

67,681 просмотров • 20 дней назад

Elon Musk reveals the vision he's most excited to see in his lifetime "Earth only receives about half a billionth of the Sun's energy. The Sun is essentially all the energy" "If you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, that would be about 100,000x more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization" "The only way to scale is to go to space with solar. Launching from Earth, you can get to about a terawatt per year" "Beyond that, you want to launch from the moon. You want to have a mass driver on the moon" "With that mass driver on the moon, you could do probably a petawatt per year"
2:06

Elon Musk reveals the vision he's most excited to see in his lifetime "Earth only receives about half a billionth of the Sun's energy. The Sun is essentially all the energy" "If you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, that would be about 100,000x more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization" "The only way to scale is to go to space with solar. Launching from Earth, you can get to about a terawatt per year" "Beyond that, you want to launch from the moon. You want to have a mass driver on the moon" "With that mass driver on the moon, you could do probably a petawatt per year"

Jaynit

54,723 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨NEW: Elon Musk explains the reason behind the SpaceX and xAI merger. "In order to understand the universe, you must explore the universe. That's the motivation behind the combination of SpaceX and xAI is to accelerate humanity's future in understanding the universe and extending the light of consciousness to the stars. So in the grand scheme of things, when you look at how much energy Earth is actually using for civilization, we're only right now using, call it roughly 1% of the potential energy of Earth. And if we wanted to use even a millionth of the sun's energy, that would be roughly a million times more energy than civilization currently uses. The only way to access that energy, the energy of the sun is to extend beyond Earth. Earth is really a tiny, tiny dust Mote in a vast darkness. The sun is 99.8% of all mass in the solar system, so you have to expand beyond the tiny dust mode that is earth to make any significant dent in using the sun's energy like says, you'd have to expand roughly a million times just to get to 1,000,000th of our sun's energy, and then going beyond that, exploring extending to the Galaxy. So the the next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital data centers, and we'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100 to 200 gigawatt per year level, not cumulative, I mean, per year. And ultimately, we see a path to maybe launching as much as a terawatt per year of compute from Earth."
1:25

🚨NEW: Elon Musk explains the reason behind the SpaceX and xAI merger. "In order to understand the universe, you must explore the universe. That's the motivation behind the combination of SpaceX and xAI is to accelerate humanity's future in understanding the universe and extending the light of consciousness to the stars. So in the grand scheme of things, when you look at how much energy Earth is actually using for civilization, we're only right now using, call it roughly 1% of the potential energy of Earth. And if we wanted to use even a millionth of the sun's energy, that would be roughly a million times more energy than civilization currently uses. The only way to access that energy, the energy of the sun is to extend beyond Earth. Earth is really a tiny, tiny dust Mote in a vast darkness. The sun is 99.8% of all mass in the solar system, so you have to expand beyond the tiny dust mode that is earth to make any significant dent in using the sun's energy like says, you'd have to expand roughly a million times just to get to 1,000,000th of our sun's energy, and then going beyond that, exploring extending to the Galaxy. So the the next step beyond Earth data centers is our Earth orbital data centers, and we'll be launching with SpaceX orbital data centers at the 100 to 200 gigawatt per year level, not cumulative, I mean, per year. And ultimately, we see a path to maybe launching as much as a terawatt per year of compute from Earth."

DogeDesigner

510,925 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

ELON MUSK: “Our progress toward a Kardashev Type II civilization, let’s have an aspiration that if we say that our goal is to get even a millionth of the Sun’s energy, that would be more than 1,000 times as much energy as could possibly be produced on Earth. About half a billionth of the Sun’s energy reaches Earth, so you would have to go up three orders of magnitude from that just to get to a millionth. We are very, very, very far from even having a billionth of the Sun’s energy harnessed in any way. So a reasonable goal would be to try to get to a millionth.”
1:36

ELON MUSK: “Our progress toward a Kardashev Type II civilization, let’s have an aspiration that if we say that our goal is to get even a millionth of the Sun’s energy, that would be more than 1,000 times as much energy as could possibly be produced on Earth. About half a billionth of the Sun’s energy reaches Earth, so you would have to go up three orders of magnitude from that just to get to a millionth. We are very, very, very far from even having a billionth of the Sun’s energy harnessed in any way. So a reasonable goal would be to try to get to a millionth.”

DogeDesigner

7,431,407 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Elon Musk says one millionth of the Sun's energy is 100,000X Earth's economy. Yes you read that right. For a century, every advance had run on a tiny fraction of the Sun's output. Oil. Coal. Solar. Natural gas. Combined, they powered everything every human had ever built. The total: about half a billionth of what hit the planet each day. "Earth only receives about half a billionth of the Sun's energy." Then Musk pulled up the Kardashev scale: "The Sun is essentially all the energy." He named the framework: **the Kardashev scale**. A Soviet astronomer's idea from 1964, repurposed for AI scaling. Musk, who needed a terawatt a year, knew civilization ran on a rounding error. A Kardashev Type I civilization harnesses all the energy that reaches its home planet, a Type II harnesses the full output of its star, and Earth in 2026 sat at neither. Earth was nowhere close to Type I. Not 1%. Not 0.1%. Not 0.001%. "Let's say you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, which sounds pretty small." "That would be about, call it roughly, 100,000x more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization." A million times Earth's economy. From one millionth of the Sun. Take a billionth and you still have a thousand-Earth economy. After Musk did the math, modular nuclear reactors looked like rounding errors. Musk, on what scale required: "Obviously, the only way to scale is to go to space with solar." P.S. Pull the thread on any story like this and you'll find the hidden incentive at the other end. As Munger said: "Show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome." So I wrote a short book on how to spot them and design your own. Comment "INCENTIVES" and I'll send you the details. If you're new here, GeniusThinking is a gallery for the greatest minds in economics, psychology, and history. Follow along for more similar content. — Elon Musk ( Elon Musk ), CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, on Dwarkesh Patel's ( Dwarkesh Patel ) podcast
1:03

Elon Musk says one millionth of the Sun's energy is 100,000X Earth's economy. Yes you read that right. For a century, every advance had run on a tiny fraction of the Sun's output. Oil. Coal. Solar. Natural gas. Combined, they powered everything every human had ever built. The total: about half a billionth of what hit the planet each day. "Earth only receives about half a billionth of the Sun's energy." Then Musk pulled up the Kardashev scale: "The Sun is essentially all the energy." He named the framework: **the Kardashev scale**. A Soviet astronomer's idea from 1964, repurposed for AI scaling. Musk, who needed a terawatt a year, knew civilization ran on a rounding error. A Kardashev Type I civilization harnesses all the energy that reaches its home planet, a Type II harnesses the full output of its star, and Earth in 2026 sat at neither. Earth was nowhere close to Type I. Not 1%. Not 0.1%. Not 0.001%. "Let's say you wanted to harness a millionth of the sun's energy, which sounds pretty small." "That would be about, call it roughly, 100,000x more electricity than we currently generate on Earth for all of civilization." A million times Earth's economy. From one millionth of the Sun. Take a billionth and you still have a thousand-Earth economy. After Musk did the math, modular nuclear reactors looked like rounding errors. Musk, on what scale required: "Obviously, the only way to scale is to go to space with solar." P.S. Pull the thread on any story like this and you'll find the hidden incentive at the other end. As Munger said: "Show me the incentive and I'll show you the outcome." So I wrote a short book on how to spot them and design your own. Comment "INCENTIVES" and I'll send you the details. If you're new here, GeniusThinking is a gallery for the greatest minds in economics, psychology, and history. Follow along for more similar content. — Elon Musk ( Elon Musk ), CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, on Dwarkesh Patel's ( Dwarkesh Patel ) podcast

GeniusThinking

29,177 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Elon Musk on how ridiculously small we are compared to the Sun: “We are like a dust mote compared to the Sun All of human civilization currently uses much less than a trillionth of the power emitted by the Sun Even if we increased our energy use by a million times, we would still be much less than a millionth of the Sun’s energy The Sun is 99.8% of the mass in the solar system. If you burned every single other planet and added two more Jupiters, the Sun would still round up to 100% of the energy in the solar system Everything is just extremely tiny compared to the Sun”
1:16

Elon Musk on how ridiculously small we are compared to the Sun: “We are like a dust mote compared to the Sun All of human civilization currently uses much less than a trillionth of the power emitted by the Sun Even if we increased our energy use by a million times, we would still be much less than a millionth of the Sun’s energy The Sun is 99.8% of the mass in the solar system. If you burned every single other planet and added two more Jupiters, the Sun would still round up to 100% of the energy in the solar system Everything is just extremely tiny compared to the Sun”

X Freeze

639,447 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад