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.Elon Musk reusable rockets have gone through many failures and skepticism before the success. But he didn’t give up. Chinese netizens are sharing this video of SpaceX’s path from failure to success. When China does reusable rockets, two failures make us know it’s a difficult task. But trust us,... show more

Li Zexin 李泽欣

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12,615 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Новости и политика Образование Наука и технологии

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When Elon Musk started SpaceX, his closest friends showed him a compilation of rocket failures to talk him out of it The industry joke was brutal: "How do you make a small fortune in the rocket business? Start with a large one” If he had stopped after seeing those failures, we wouldn’t have reusable rockets, Starship, and the multi-planetary dream. All these would be dead in the water humanity would remain a single-planet species forever. Instead, we are on the doorstep of Mars

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ELON IN 2010: FULLY REUSABLE ROCKET NEEDED TO MAKE LIFE MULTI-PLANETARY "The really big breakthrough, the fundamental invention that's needed to make life multi-planetary, is a fully reusable orbit-class rocket system. The Space Shuttle is partly reusable, but the main tank is thrown away every time, and even the parts that are supposed to be reusable are so difficult to reuse or refurbish that the Space Shuttle costs about four times as much per flight as an equivalent expendable vehicle. There have been many attempts to build a reusable rocket system, but they have always been canceled once they discovered that success was not one of the possible outcomes. But this is fundamentally something that has to be solved if life's got to become multi-planetary. At SpaceX, we're hoping to make some progress in that direction." Source: Elon Musk lecture at Yale University. October 14, 2010.

ELON IN 2010: FULLY REUSABLE ROCKET NEEDED TO MAKE LIFE MULTI-PLANETARY "The really big breakthrough, the fundamental invention that's needed to make life multi-planetary, is a fully reusable orbit-class rocket system. The Space Shuttle is partly reusable, but the main tank is thrown away every time, and even the parts that are supposed to be reusable are so difficult to reuse or refurbish that the Space Shuttle costs about four times as much per flight as an equivalent expendable vehicle. There have been many attempts to build a reusable rocket system, but they have always been canceled once they discovered that success was not one of the possible outcomes. But this is fundamentally something that has to be solved if life's got to become multi-planetary. At SpaceX, we're hoping to make some progress in that direction." Source: Elon Musk lecture at Yale University. October 14, 2010.

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Victor vicktop55 commentary

32,808 просмотров • 1 год назад

Elon Musk says building terrestrial data centers is trivial next to reusable rockets, comparing it to the New York Yankees playing a little league team. "Let me tell you what rockets desperately want to do every flight. They desperately want to blow themselves into tiny pieces." "And then the engineering struggle is to convince the rocket not to blow itself into tiny pieces and actually deliver payload to orbit." "But you'll note that some of our competitors do, in fact, blow their rockets up." "This is not a reflection on their – this does not mean they're incapable. In fact, I think our competitors are very smart people, but despite being very smart, the rockets still blow up." "So now, if you apply a small amount of the engineering skill that goes into making gigantic rockets reach orbit on a regular basis, reliably, to terrestrial data centers, this is like, frankly, the New York Yankees going in and playing a little league team."

Elon Musk says building terrestrial data centers is trivial next to reusable rockets, comparing it to the New York Yankees playing a little league team. "Let me tell you what rockets desperately want to do every flight. They desperately want to blow themselves into tiny pieces." "And then the engineering struggle is to convince the rocket not to blow itself into tiny pieces and actually deliver payload to orbit." "But you'll note that some of our competitors do, in fact, blow their rockets up." "This is not a reflection on their – this does not mean they're incapable. In fact, I think our competitors are very smart people, but despite being very smart, the rockets still blow up." "So now, if you apply a small amount of the engineering skill that goes into making gigantic rockets reach orbit on a regular basis, reliably, to terrestrial data centers, this is like, frankly, the New York Yankees going in and playing a little league team."

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Here's Elon Musk in 2011 announcing he believes full and rapidly reusable rockets are achievable. “The pivotal breakthrough that some company has to come up with to make life multiplanetary is a fully and rapidly reusable orbit-class rocket. This is a very difficult thing to do because we live on a planet where that is just barely possible. If gravity were a little lower, it would be easy. If it was a little higher, it would be impossible. It's just a very tough engineering problem. I wasn't sure it could be solved for a while. But then, relatively recently, in the last twelve months or so, I've come to the conclusion that it can be solved. SpaceX is going to try to do it. We could fail. I'm not saying we're certain of success, but we're going to try to do it. We have a design that, on paper, doing the calculations, doing the simulations, does work. We need to make sure that those simulations and reality agree, because generally when they don't, reality wins.” National Press Club, 2011

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China is entering the next phase of the space race: the new bottleneck is launch capacity! The world can manufacture around 2,400 satellites a year, but rockets can launch only about 1,800 satellites into orbit — leaving a gap of roughly 600 satellites every year. Even SpaceX, which controls around 65% of global launch capacity, is struggling to keep up, with some rideshare slots booked well into 2027. And this is where China has a major opportunity. With rapid advances in reusable rockets, satellites, space-based internet, and launch infrastructure, expanding launch capacity will become the next decisive battlefield of the space industry. Whoever controls the rockets controls the road to space — and China is moving fast to dominate that road.

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