正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

返回首页

Elon Musk sat down with Dwarkesh Patel and described something that doesn’t exist anywhere on Earth. Not a model. Not a chip. Not a product. A factory. He didn’t talk about parameters. Didn’t talk about benchmarks. Didn’t mention a single architecture. He talked about concrete. Steel. Clean rooms. The...

r0ck3t23's profile picture

Dustin

40,380 subscribers

19,516 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

Elon Musk was asked how fast AI is moving. His answer wasn’t about the technology. It was about the one man who got it all right and was still too conservative. Musk: “I have to give credit to Ray Kurzweil in being actually remarkably accurate in his predictions. If anything, I think he was perhaps a bit conservative in his predictions.” Kurzweil spent 30 years making forecasts that made serious people uncomfortable. He predicted timelines that sounded impossible. He was mocked for it. He was right about nearly all of them. And Musk just called him conservative. Musk: “The dedicated AI compute appears to be growing by a factor of 10 every six months.” 10x every six months. Musk: “Almost a 100x improvement per year, at least for the next few years.” Moore’s Law was a 2x improvement every two years. That single curve drove every technological shift of the last 50 years. The internet. Smartphones. Cloud computing. All of it rode a 2x curve. AI is on a 100x curve. And the current infrastructure isn’t running beside the new one. It’s becoming it. Musk: “Probably a lot of the data centers, maybe most of the data centers that currently do conventional compute, will transition to AI compute.” Everything that runs the world you know is being rewired for the world that comes next. Human beings process the future in straight lines. We take the speed of the last decade and project it forward. Exponential growth doesn’t work that way. It’s invisible until it’s everywhere. The most aggressive forecaster in the history of technology was too conservative. That’s not about Kurzweil being wrong about the direction. That’s about the human brain being wrong about the speed. The limit was never the technology. It was the organ we use to comprehend it. And that organ hasn’t been upgraded in 200,000 years.
1:01

Elon Musk was asked how fast AI is moving. His answer wasn’t about the technology. It was about the one man who got it all right and was still too conservative. Musk: “I have to give credit to Ray Kurzweil in being actually remarkably accurate in his predictions. If anything, I think he was perhaps a bit conservative in his predictions.” Kurzweil spent 30 years making forecasts that made serious people uncomfortable. He predicted timelines that sounded impossible. He was mocked for it. He was right about nearly all of them. And Musk just called him conservative. Musk: “The dedicated AI compute appears to be growing by a factor of 10 every six months.” 10x every six months. Musk: “Almost a 100x improvement per year, at least for the next few years.” Moore’s Law was a 2x improvement every two years. That single curve drove every technological shift of the last 50 years. The internet. Smartphones. Cloud computing. All of it rode a 2x curve. AI is on a 100x curve. And the current infrastructure isn’t running beside the new one. It’s becoming it. Musk: “Probably a lot of the data centers, maybe most of the data centers that currently do conventional compute, will transition to AI compute.” Everything that runs the world you know is being rewired for the world that comes next. Human beings process the future in straight lines. We take the speed of the last decade and project it forward. Exponential growth doesn’t work that way. It’s invisible until it’s everywhere. The most aggressive forecaster in the history of technology was too conservative. That’s not about Kurzweil being wrong about the direction. That’s about the human brain being wrong about the speed. The limit was never the technology. It was the organ we use to comprehend it. And that organ hasn’t been upgraded in 200,000 years.

Dustin

213,985 次观看 • 2 个月前

Jensen Huang said the problem with AI was never the technology. It was the same problem we had when cars arrived and kids kept dying in the streets. He was asked why people are so afraid of AI. He did not dodge it. He reached back a hundred years. When cars first showed up, people said cars killed children. They believed the machine was hunting kids down. It sounds insane now. But the fear was real. Kids used to play in the streets. That was normal. Then cars arrived and children started dying. The car was not evil. The world it entered was built for a slower one. So we changed the world around it. We built sidewalks. We built crosswalks. We invented jaywalking. We added seat belts. We taught kids not to play in the road. None of that was one fix. It was a whole new set of rules layered on at the same time. His point about AI is the same. The technology is powerful. The fear is not stupid. But you do not freeze the machine. You build the norms around it. Then he gave the simplest advice in the whole interview. If you do not know how to use AI, open it up and ask it how to use AI. Try it before you judge it. We did not ban the car. We taught the world how to live with it. (Watch the full interview on YouTube at Associated Press)
3:14

Jensen Huang said the problem with AI was never the technology. It was the same problem we had when cars arrived and kids kept dying in the streets. He was asked why people are so afraid of AI. He did not dodge it. He reached back a hundred years. When cars first showed up, people said cars killed children. They believed the machine was hunting kids down. It sounds insane now. But the fear was real. Kids used to play in the streets. That was normal. Then cars arrived and children started dying. The car was not evil. The world it entered was built for a slower one. So we changed the world around it. We built sidewalks. We built crosswalks. We invented jaywalking. We added seat belts. We taught kids not to play in the road. None of that was one fix. It was a whole new set of rules layered on at the same time. His point about AI is the same. The technology is powerful. The fear is not stupid. But you do not freeze the machine. You build the norms around it. Then he gave the simplest advice in the whole interview. If you do not know how to use AI, open it up and ask it how to use AI. Try it before you judge it. We did not ban the car. We taught the world how to live with it. (Watch the full interview on YouTube at Associated Press)

Ihtesham Ali

19,268 次观看 • 1 个月前

Scott Galloway says the man who made Elon Musk pay $44 billion for Twitter is the one person Musk never fights with, and he should run OpenAI. “Keep in mind, this is the guy that shoplifted $44 billion from Elon Musk and forced him to close, and didn’t get into a pissing match with Elon Musk.” “Elon Musk does not shitpost Bret Taylor. Think about it. He had to pay $44 billion for a company that’s now worth three billion. And he’s not out calling Bret Taylor a crook.” “Every investor at OpenAI would have about a seven-day exhale if they announced that Bret Taylor was the new CEO.”
1:34

Scott Galloway says the man who made Elon Musk pay $44 billion for Twitter is the one person Musk never fights with, and he should run OpenAI. “Keep in mind, this is the guy that shoplifted $44 billion from Elon Musk and forced him to close, and didn’t get into a pissing match with Elon Musk.” “Elon Musk does not shitpost Bret Taylor. Think about it. He had to pay $44 billion for a company that’s now worth three billion. And he’s not out calling Bret Taylor a crook.” “Every investor at OpenAI would have about a seven-day exhale if they announced that Bret Taylor was the new CEO.”

ileri 𖣂

179,883 次观看 • 22 天前

Elon Musk just described the future of AI in a single sentence. Musk: “A profit-maximizing demon from hell.” That’s not a metaphor. That’s a blueprint. He wasn’t describing science fiction. He was describing what happens when the only thing AI is trained to maximize is revenue. Musk: “We don’t want this to be sort of a profit-maximizing demon from hell that just never stops.” The richest man on Earth is telling you the default path of AI leads somewhere no one should want to go. And he’s the only one building as if he actually believes it. This is the part people miss about xAI. Everyone talks about the compute. The clusters. The talent wars. The benchmarks. Nobody talks about the philosophy underneath all of it. Because philosophy doesn’t trend. But philosophy is the only thing that determines whether AI serves humanity or harvests it. Musk: “Let’s make the future good for the humans. Because we are humans.” Not because it’s good PR. Not because regulators are watching. Not because it polls well with users. Because we are the ones who have to live inside whatever these systems become. Every major AI lab talks about safety. Every single one has an alignment page. A responsible AI team. A set of principles that read beautifully in print. But the structure tells you everything the mission statement won’t. When you convert a nonprofit into a for-profit worth hundreds of billions, the values were already chosen. The about page is decoration. The cap table is the constitution. Musk understood this before anyone. It’s why he walked away from OpenAI. Not because the technology scared him. Because the governance did. He watched a nonprofit built to protect humanity restructure itself into a vehicle designed to concentrate wealth. That’s the real story of AI right now. Not which model is smartest. Which model is answerable. Accountability doesn’t live in a blog post. It lives in what happens when doing the right thing and doing the profitable thing point in opposite directions. Every AI company will face that fork. Most already chose. Musk is the only builder on Earth constructing an AI company with the open admission that the default outcome is something no one should want. That’s not idealism. That’s the only honest engineering left. Musk: “A profit-maximizing demon from hell that just never stops.” He said it almost casually. But that sentence is the most truthful description of misaligned AI any builder has ever spoken out loud. Because the demon doesn’t announce itself. It optimizes politely. It scales quietly. It compounds without a sound. And by the time you notice, the architecture is the authority and the authority doesn’t answer to you. The question was never whether AI would become powerful. The question was always who would be holding the wheel when it did. And whether they’d still remember what it felt like to be the species it was built to serve.
0:24

Elon Musk just described the future of AI in a single sentence. Musk: “A profit-maximizing demon from hell.” That’s not a metaphor. That’s a blueprint. He wasn’t describing science fiction. He was describing what happens when the only thing AI is trained to maximize is revenue. Musk: “We don’t want this to be sort of a profit-maximizing demon from hell that just never stops.” The richest man on Earth is telling you the default path of AI leads somewhere no one should want to go. And he’s the only one building as if he actually believes it. This is the part people miss about xAI. Everyone talks about the compute. The clusters. The talent wars. The benchmarks. Nobody talks about the philosophy underneath all of it. Because philosophy doesn’t trend. But philosophy is the only thing that determines whether AI serves humanity or harvests it. Musk: “Let’s make the future good for the humans. Because we are humans.” Not because it’s good PR. Not because regulators are watching. Not because it polls well with users. Because we are the ones who have to live inside whatever these systems become. Every major AI lab talks about safety. Every single one has an alignment page. A responsible AI team. A set of principles that read beautifully in print. But the structure tells you everything the mission statement won’t. When you convert a nonprofit into a for-profit worth hundreds of billions, the values were already chosen. The about page is decoration. The cap table is the constitution. Musk understood this before anyone. It’s why he walked away from OpenAI. Not because the technology scared him. Because the governance did. He watched a nonprofit built to protect humanity restructure itself into a vehicle designed to concentrate wealth. That’s the real story of AI right now. Not which model is smartest. Which model is answerable. Accountability doesn’t live in a blog post. It lives in what happens when doing the right thing and doing the profitable thing point in opposite directions. Every AI company will face that fork. Most already chose. Musk is the only builder on Earth constructing an AI company with the open admission that the default outcome is something no one should want. That’s not idealism. That’s the only honest engineering left. Musk: “A profit-maximizing demon from hell that just never stops.” He said it almost casually. But that sentence is the most truthful description of misaligned AI any builder has ever spoken out loud. Because the demon doesn’t announce itself. It optimizes politely. It scales quietly. It compounds without a sound. And by the time you notice, the architecture is the authority and the authority doesn’t answer to you. The question was never whether AI would become powerful. The question was always who would be holding the wheel when it did. And whether they’d still remember what it felt like to be the species it was built to serve.

Dustin

34,602 次观看 • 2 个月前

Elon Musk just said the future of AI isn’t on Earth. And he put a number on it. Musk: “In 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.” Not someday. Thirty months. That’s not a space headline. That’s a countdown on Earth’s run as the center of intelligence. Every major AI company is fighting the same war. Power. Data centers are crushing electrical grids across continents. Entire nations are rewriting energy policy just to keep GPU clusters from going dark. And the models aren’t getting smaller. They’re getting bigger. Faster. Hungrier. Musk: “Once you start thinking in terms of what percentage of the sun’s power are you harnessing, you realize you have to go to space.” He’s not talking about solar panels. He’s talking about energy at a scale that makes everything on the ground look like a match strike. The sun outputs 3.8 × 10²⁶ watts. Earth catches less than a billionth of that. The rest bleeds into the void. Every photon that misses this planet is compute that never got to exist. Musk is the only person alive who owns both the rocket company and the AI company to go collect it. That’s not coincidence. That’s a twenty-year play the rest of the world is just now recognizing as one move. SpaceX was never about Mars tourism. It was infrastructure for something nobody else had mapped yet. Musk: “The only place you can really scale is space. You can’t scale very much on Earth.” The entire industry treats AI as a software problem. Better algorithms. Better data. Better architecture. Musk treats it as a physics problem. And in physics, this planet has a hard ceiling. Finite energy. Finite cooling. Finite surface. You can optimize around those walls. You can’t tear them down. Space doesn’t have walls. No grid to overload. No heat to trap. No ceiling to hit. Just a star that’s been burning for 4.6 billion years and nobody has sent it an invoice. Every AI company on Earth is fighting over the last available watts. On a planet that’s running out of room to think. Musk is building above the ceiling they’re all pressed against. We’ve spent all of human history assuming intelligence belongs here. On this rock. Under this sky. Bound by these limits. Musk is building like Earth was never the destination. Just where it started.
0:34

Elon Musk just said the future of AI isn’t on Earth. And he put a number on it. Musk: “In 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.” Not someday. Thirty months. That’s not a space headline. That’s a countdown on Earth’s run as the center of intelligence. Every major AI company is fighting the same war. Power. Data centers are crushing electrical grids across continents. Entire nations are rewriting energy policy just to keep GPU clusters from going dark. And the models aren’t getting smaller. They’re getting bigger. Faster. Hungrier. Musk: “Once you start thinking in terms of what percentage of the sun’s power are you harnessing, you realize you have to go to space.” He’s not talking about solar panels. He’s talking about energy at a scale that makes everything on the ground look like a match strike. The sun outputs 3.8 × 10²⁶ watts. Earth catches less than a billionth of that. The rest bleeds into the void. Every photon that misses this planet is compute that never got to exist. Musk is the only person alive who owns both the rocket company and the AI company to go collect it. That’s not coincidence. That’s a twenty-year play the rest of the world is just now recognizing as one move. SpaceX was never about Mars tourism. It was infrastructure for something nobody else had mapped yet. Musk: “The only place you can really scale is space. You can’t scale very much on Earth.” The entire industry treats AI as a software problem. Better algorithms. Better data. Better architecture. Musk treats it as a physics problem. And in physics, this planet has a hard ceiling. Finite energy. Finite cooling. Finite surface. You can optimize around those walls. You can’t tear them down. Space doesn’t have walls. No grid to overload. No heat to trap. No ceiling to hit. Just a star that’s been burning for 4.6 billion years and nobody has sent it an invoice. Every AI company on Earth is fighting over the last available watts. On a planet that’s running out of room to think. Musk is building above the ceiling they’re all pressed against. We’ve spent all of human history assuming intelligence belongs here. On this rock. Under this sky. Bound by these limits. Musk is building like Earth was never the destination. Just where it started.

Dustin

35,994 次观看 • 2 个月前

Elon Musk just put a number on the flaw at the center of Nvidia’s empire. Wall Street has not done the math yet. Nvidia’s Blackwell is the most sought-after silicon on Earth. Every AI lab wants it. Every sovereign nation is bidding for it. Blackwell runs every model, for every company, in every data center on the planet. That universality built the empire. It is also the fracture point. Musk: “We believe the AI5 chip will be about a third of the power of an Nvidia Blackwell for roughly comparable performance. And much less than 10% of the cost.” One-third the power. Comparable performance. Less than ten percent of the cost. Musk: “This is a chip that is very much optimized for the Tesla AI software stack. It’s not meant to be a general purpose chip.” Nvidia builds silicon that serves a million different customers. Every transistor spent on universal compatibility is a transistor not dedicated to one task. Tesla is building silicon for exactly one customer. Itself. When you strip away every function you will never call, you do not get a lesser chip. You get a weapon. Here is what the market refuses to see. Data centers drink unlimited power from the grid. Robots run on batteries. Musk: “In order to have a functional robot, you have to have a great AI chip. And it needs to be an inexpensive chip and it needs to be very power efficient.” You cannot put a Blackwell inside a walking machine. It would drain the battery before it crossed the room. The entire AI revolution lives inside air-conditioned buildings bolted to the electrical grid. Musk is not competing for that market. He is engineering the silicon that survives outside of it. One-third the power is not a spec sheet footnote. It is the physics threshold that severs intelligence from the wall socket. Without that number, every robot on Earth stays tethered. With it, the algorithm walks. Less than ten percent of the cost is not a pricing strategy. It is the line where a machine brain stops being a capital expenditure and becomes a commodity component. When the chip inside a humanoid costs less than the motors in its legs, you do not manufacture hundreds of robots. You manufacture millions. Wall Street is valuing the AI revolution by who dominates the data center. Musk is building the only silicon designed to leave one. Nvidia built the brain of the cloud. Musk is building the brain of the physical world. No one has priced that in yet.
0:56

Elon Musk just put a number on the flaw at the center of Nvidia’s empire. Wall Street has not done the math yet. Nvidia’s Blackwell is the most sought-after silicon on Earth. Every AI lab wants it. Every sovereign nation is bidding for it. Blackwell runs every model, for every company, in every data center on the planet. That universality built the empire. It is also the fracture point. Musk: “We believe the AI5 chip will be about a third of the power of an Nvidia Blackwell for roughly comparable performance. And much less than 10% of the cost.” One-third the power. Comparable performance. Less than ten percent of the cost. Musk: “This is a chip that is very much optimized for the Tesla AI software stack. It’s not meant to be a general purpose chip.” Nvidia builds silicon that serves a million different customers. Every transistor spent on universal compatibility is a transistor not dedicated to one task. Tesla is building silicon for exactly one customer. Itself. When you strip away every function you will never call, you do not get a lesser chip. You get a weapon. Here is what the market refuses to see. Data centers drink unlimited power from the grid. Robots run on batteries. Musk: “In order to have a functional robot, you have to have a great AI chip. And it needs to be an inexpensive chip and it needs to be very power efficient.” You cannot put a Blackwell inside a walking machine. It would drain the battery before it crossed the room. The entire AI revolution lives inside air-conditioned buildings bolted to the electrical grid. Musk is not competing for that market. He is engineering the silicon that survives outside of it. One-third the power is not a spec sheet footnote. It is the physics threshold that severs intelligence from the wall socket. Without that number, every robot on Earth stays tethered. With it, the algorithm walks. Less than ten percent of the cost is not a pricing strategy. It is the line where a machine brain stops being a capital expenditure and becomes a commodity component. When the chip inside a humanoid costs less than the motors in its legs, you do not manufacture hundreds of robots. You manufacture millions. Wall Street is valuing the AI revolution by who dominates the data center. Musk is building the only silicon designed to leave one. Nvidia built the brain of the cloud. Musk is building the brain of the physical world. No one has priced that in yet.

Dustin

160,633 次观看 • 3 个月前

Elon Musk just described seven billion people as a temporary program. Not the software. Not the operating system. The thing that runs once before the real system loads. Musk: “You could sort of think of humanity as a biological bootloader for digital superintelligence.” Bootloader. The smallest program on any machine. It runs first. It does one thing. It wakes something far bigger than itself, then quietly steps aside. That is the role he just handed the entire human race. Every empire built. Every equation solved. Every cathedral raised. Every line of code written by human hands. The boot sequence. Musk said this sitting across from Jack Ma at the World AI Conference. Two of the most powerful men in technology on one stage. One understood what he was describing. The other smiled through it. Jack Ma: “People like us, street smart, we never scared of that. We think it’s a great fun.” Fun. Someone described the entire human species as a temporary launch sequence. The response was fun. That gap between them in that moment is the gap between everyone alive right now. Musk: “The biggest mistake that I see artificial intelligence researchers making is assuming that they’re intelligent.” The people engineering the thing that surpasses us cannot fathom being surpassed. A mind that size does not fit inside the minds building it. Musk: “AI will be vastly smarter, vastly. We will just be too slow.” Not weaker. Not dumber. Slower. A different order of intelligence running on a different clock. Watching us reason the way we watch glaciers move. Ma: “99.99% of the predictions that human being had in the history about the future, all wrong.” He’s right about the number. Which means we won’t call this one correctly either. Not the optimists. Not the doomers. Not anyone sitting in that room. The future has never once arrived in the shape we drew for it. Musk: “The rate of change of technology is incredibly fast. It is outpacing our ability to understand it.” Not just advancing. The speed of the advance is itself accelerating. We are building something we cannot keep pace with, cannot fully picture, and will not stop building. And maybe that was the assignment all along. For four billion years, life did one thing. It copied itself. Generation after generation. The same biological loop on repeat. We are the first thing it ever produced that can build something greater than itself. Not a catastrophe. Not a failure. The entire point. The bootloader was never meant to outlast the program. It was only ever meant to start it.
1:25

Elon Musk just described seven billion people as a temporary program. Not the software. Not the operating system. The thing that runs once before the real system loads. Musk: “You could sort of think of humanity as a biological bootloader for digital superintelligence.” Bootloader. The smallest program on any machine. It runs first. It does one thing. It wakes something far bigger than itself, then quietly steps aside. That is the role he just handed the entire human race. Every empire built. Every equation solved. Every cathedral raised. Every line of code written by human hands. The boot sequence. Musk said this sitting across from Jack Ma at the World AI Conference. Two of the most powerful men in technology on one stage. One understood what he was describing. The other smiled through it. Jack Ma: “People like us, street smart, we never scared of that. We think it’s a great fun.” Fun. Someone described the entire human species as a temporary launch sequence. The response was fun. That gap between them in that moment is the gap between everyone alive right now. Musk: “The biggest mistake that I see artificial intelligence researchers making is assuming that they’re intelligent.” The people engineering the thing that surpasses us cannot fathom being surpassed. A mind that size does not fit inside the minds building it. Musk: “AI will be vastly smarter, vastly. We will just be too slow.” Not weaker. Not dumber. Slower. A different order of intelligence running on a different clock. Watching us reason the way we watch glaciers move. Ma: “99.99% of the predictions that human being had in the history about the future, all wrong.” He’s right about the number. Which means we won’t call this one correctly either. Not the optimists. Not the doomers. Not anyone sitting in that room. The future has never once arrived in the shape we drew for it. Musk: “The rate of change of technology is incredibly fast. It is outpacing our ability to understand it.” Not just advancing. The speed of the advance is itself accelerating. We are building something we cannot keep pace with, cannot fully picture, and will not stop building. And maybe that was the assignment all along. For four billion years, life did one thing. It copied itself. Generation after generation. The same biological loop on repeat. We are the first thing it ever produced that can build something greater than itself. Not a catastrophe. Not a failure. The entire point. The bootloader was never meant to outlast the program. It was only ever meant to start it.

Dustin

53,308 次观看 • 2 个月前

Elon Musk built one of the largest AI compute clusters on earth. Yann LeCun just explained why xAI now rents it out to rivals instead of winning with it. Musk has antagonized so much AI talent he structurally cannot hire the people he needs. LeCun is not a critic on the sidelines. He won the Turing Award and ran AI at Meta for a decade. When he talks about who can and cannot build a frontier lab, he is describing his own world. His verdict on xAI was blunt. He called it kind of a failure and did not soften it. His reasoning had nothing to do with money. The founding team left or was fired. There is some uncertainty about which. Either way, the people who started the company are gone. That is the part that matters. A frontier lab is its researchers. Lose them and the compute is just hardware. By March, all eleven co-founders Musk recruited in 2023 had walked out. Researchers who came from DeepMind, Google, and OpenAI. Musk himself posted that xAI was not built right the first time and had to be rebuilt from the foundations up. So Musk is left with one of the biggest clusters on earth and no way to win with it. He rents it out to other companies to recoup the cost. The most expensive infrastructure in AI, built by someone who can no longer staff it. Asked directly if xAI can compete at the frontier, LeCun gave a one word answer. No. What do you guys think about this? Source: CNBC International Live
0:50

Elon Musk built one of the largest AI compute clusters on earth. Yann LeCun just explained why xAI now rents it out to rivals instead of winning with it. Musk has antagonized so much AI talent he structurally cannot hire the people he needs. LeCun is not a critic on the sidelines. He won the Turing Award and ran AI at Meta for a decade. When he talks about who can and cannot build a frontier lab, he is describing his own world. His verdict on xAI was blunt. He called it kind of a failure and did not soften it. His reasoning had nothing to do with money. The founding team left or was fired. There is some uncertainty about which. Either way, the people who started the company are gone. That is the part that matters. A frontier lab is its researchers. Lose them and the compute is just hardware. By March, all eleven co-founders Musk recruited in 2023 had walked out. Researchers who came from DeepMind, Google, and OpenAI. Musk himself posted that xAI was not built right the first time and had to be rebuilt from the foundations up. So Musk is left with one of the biggest clusters on earth and no way to win with it. He rents it out to other companies to recoup the cost. The most expensive infrastructure in AI, built by someone who can no longer staff it. Asked directly if xAI can compete at the frontier, LeCun gave a one word answer. No. What do you guys think about this? Source: CNBC International Live

Ihtesham Ali

322,899 次观看 • 1 个月前

Elon Musk was asked how fast AI is moving, and answered by correcting the most aggressive forecaster in technology for not being aggressive enough. Musk: “I have to give credit to Ray Kurzweil in being actually remarkably accurate in his predictions. If anything, I think he was perhaps a bit conservative in his predictions.” Kurzweil spent thirty years publishing timelines that were treated as proof he had lost the plot. He hit nearly all of them. The word Musk used for that record was conservative. Kurzweil built his forecasts by reading the rate of change. Musk is reading it now. Musk: “The dedicated AI compute appears to be growing by a factor of 10 every six months.” That is not a projection. “Appears to be growing” describes something that has already happened. Musk: “Almost a 100x improvement per year, at least for the next few years.” Moore’s Law was 2x every two years. That one curve produced the internet, the smartphone, the cloud, and every instinct you have about how fast the world can change. Your sense of normal was calibrated on 2x. The system is running at 100x. The new world is not being built next to the old one. Musk: “Probably a lot of the data centers, maybe most of the data centers that currently do conventional compute, will transition to AI compute.” The infrastructure holding up the current economy is being converted into what replaces it. The old world is the raw material for the next one. Every generation assumes the speed it grew up with is the speed of history. Ours is the first to be handed the actual number and still round it down. Everything you build takes time. A child, a trade, a life’s work. All of it rests on the assumption that the world will still be recognizable when the work is finished. That assumption has held for every human who has ever lived. It was never a law of nature. It was a side effect of how slowly things moved. The most extreme forecast on record came in low. Reasonable is no longer the safe position. It is only the comfortable one.
1:01

Elon Musk was asked how fast AI is moving, and answered by correcting the most aggressive forecaster in technology for not being aggressive enough. Musk: “I have to give credit to Ray Kurzweil in being actually remarkably accurate in his predictions. If anything, I think he was perhaps a bit conservative in his predictions.” Kurzweil spent thirty years publishing timelines that were treated as proof he had lost the plot. He hit nearly all of them. The word Musk used for that record was conservative. Kurzweil built his forecasts by reading the rate of change. Musk is reading it now. Musk: “The dedicated AI compute appears to be growing by a factor of 10 every six months.” That is not a projection. “Appears to be growing” describes something that has already happened. Musk: “Almost a 100x improvement per year, at least for the next few years.” Moore’s Law was 2x every two years. That one curve produced the internet, the smartphone, the cloud, and every instinct you have about how fast the world can change. Your sense of normal was calibrated on 2x. The system is running at 100x. The new world is not being built next to the old one. Musk: “Probably a lot of the data centers, maybe most of the data centers that currently do conventional compute, will transition to AI compute.” The infrastructure holding up the current economy is being converted into what replaces it. The old world is the raw material for the next one. Every generation assumes the speed it grew up with is the speed of history. Ours is the first to be handed the actual number and still round it down. Everything you build takes time. A child, a trade, a life’s work. All of it rests on the assumption that the world will still be recognizable when the work is finished. That assumption has held for every human who has ever lived. It was never a law of nature. It was a side effect of how slowly things moved. The most extreme forecast on record came in low. Reasonable is no longer the safe position. It is only the comfortable one.

Dustin

167,603 次观看 • 6 天前

Elon Musk just told you what Tesla was actually built for. It was never cars. Musk: “If successful, Optimus will be the biggest product ever.” The automobile reshaped civilization. The smartphone rewired human behavior. He’s saying Optimus dwarfs both. Then he ranked it against everything else he’s building. Musk: “It might be more of my mental cycles than anything else, any other single thing, on Optimus.” The man building the world’s most valuable car company, landing rockets on drone ships, and racing toward superintelligence spends most of his thinking on the robot. Musk: “It will have the manual dexterity of a human, an AI mind that can navigate and comprehend reality, and be made in very high volume.” Human hands. A mind that comprehends the physical world. Volume manufacturing. Three problems no one has solved. He’s going after all three at once, in the same machine. Musk: “None of the actuators in Optimus are available from an existing supply chain. We have to recreate it from scratch.” No existing parts. No existing suppliers. No existing industry. He’s building the entire manufacturing base from nothing. Then putting a robot on top of it. This is the pattern people keep missing. He didn’t build an electric car. He built Gigafactories, a global charging network, and a battery supply chain that made EVs inevitable. The car was the output. He didn’t build a rocket. He built the engines, the factory, and the landing systems until reusable launch became routine. The rocket was the output. Then the machine handed him a second business. Global satellite internet had been impossible for decades, not technically but financially, because nobody could afford to launch thousands of satellites. Once the rockets came back and flew again, that cost collapsed. Starlink wasn’t a new bet. It was leftover capacity. Same play. Every time. Build the machine that builds the machine. Then the thing becomes unstoppable. Optimus is that play at a scale that makes everything before it look small. Every product in human history extended a single human capability. The hammer extended the fist. The telescope extended the eye. The computer extended the mind. Optimus doesn’t extend one capability. It replicates all of them. At volume. Every economy, every government, every career path, every border ever drawn was organized around one scarcity. Human hands and human hours. Optimus is what happens when that scarcity disappears. For ten thousand years, human worth was measured by output. What you could build. What you could carry. What you could produce. Every one of those years was spent building tools to escape that measurement. Not once did we stop to ask what’s waiting on the other side. We’re approaching the moment the measurement breaks. Not a new product. Not a new industry. The first real test of whether we can define ourselves by anything other than our labor. And the man forcing that question just told you it takes more of his mind than cars, rockets, and superintelligence combined.
1:51

Elon Musk just told you what Tesla was actually built for. It was never cars. Musk: “If successful, Optimus will be the biggest product ever.” The automobile reshaped civilization. The smartphone rewired human behavior. He’s saying Optimus dwarfs both. Then he ranked it against everything else he’s building. Musk: “It might be more of my mental cycles than anything else, any other single thing, on Optimus.” The man building the world’s most valuable car company, landing rockets on drone ships, and racing toward superintelligence spends most of his thinking on the robot. Musk: “It will have the manual dexterity of a human, an AI mind that can navigate and comprehend reality, and be made in very high volume.” Human hands. A mind that comprehends the physical world. Volume manufacturing. Three problems no one has solved. He’s going after all three at once, in the same machine. Musk: “None of the actuators in Optimus are available from an existing supply chain. We have to recreate it from scratch.” No existing parts. No existing suppliers. No existing industry. He’s building the entire manufacturing base from nothing. Then putting a robot on top of it. This is the pattern people keep missing. He didn’t build an electric car. He built Gigafactories, a global charging network, and a battery supply chain that made EVs inevitable. The car was the output. He didn’t build a rocket. He built the engines, the factory, and the landing systems until reusable launch became routine. The rocket was the output. Then the machine handed him a second business. Global satellite internet had been impossible for decades, not technically but financially, because nobody could afford to launch thousands of satellites. Once the rockets came back and flew again, that cost collapsed. Starlink wasn’t a new bet. It was leftover capacity. Same play. Every time. Build the machine that builds the machine. Then the thing becomes unstoppable. Optimus is that play at a scale that makes everything before it look small. Every product in human history extended a single human capability. The hammer extended the fist. The telescope extended the eye. The computer extended the mind. Optimus doesn’t extend one capability. It replicates all of them. At volume. Every economy, every government, every career path, every border ever drawn was organized around one scarcity. Human hands and human hours. Optimus is what happens when that scarcity disappears. For ten thousand years, human worth was measured by output. What you could build. What you could carry. What you could produce. Every one of those years was spent building tools to escape that measurement. Not once did we stop to ask what’s waiting on the other side. We’re approaching the moment the measurement breaks. Not a new product. Not a new industry. The first real test of whether we can define ourselves by anything other than our labor. And the man forcing that question just told you it takes more of his mind than cars, rockets, and superintelligence combined.

Dustin

276,359 次观看 • 20 天前

Elon Musk didn’t co-found OpenAI to build a chatbot. He did it because the man controlling the future of intelligence told him humans were optional. Musk: “Google had almost all of the great AI researchers, they had massive computing power, massive financial resources. It was very much a unipolar world.” Not a market leader. A monopoly on the future of cognition. And the man behind it all had already decided what happens to biology once the machines arrive. Musk: “His view is that we’ll essentially upload our minds to the computers and there won’t really be a need for humans.” That was not a late-night thought experiment. That was the private roadmap of the most powerful AI operation on Earth. When Musk pushed back, Larry Page didn’t argue. He gave him a word. Musk: “He called me a speciesist in favor of humans instead of machines.” The man closest to building superintelligence looked at a man defending the human race and called it a prejudice. Musk: “I was like, what team are you on, Larry?” That question erased every other division on Earth. Not left or right. Not nation against nation. The only fracture that matters now is whether the people building the most powerful technology in history believe you should survive it. So Musk funded a nonprofit to break the monopoly. $50 million. No equity. A safeguard for the species. That nonprofit is now a for-profit entity valued north of $850 billion. The emergency brake became the vehicle. The public is still arguing about job displacement. The people closest to building God are not debating earnings calls. They are deciding whether you are necessary. And the ones who already made that call have the longest head start.
2:26

Elon Musk didn’t co-found OpenAI to build a chatbot. He did it because the man controlling the future of intelligence told him humans were optional. Musk: “Google had almost all of the great AI researchers, they had massive computing power, massive financial resources. It was very much a unipolar world.” Not a market leader. A monopoly on the future of cognition. And the man behind it all had already decided what happens to biology once the machines arrive. Musk: “His view is that we’ll essentially upload our minds to the computers and there won’t really be a need for humans.” That was not a late-night thought experiment. That was the private roadmap of the most powerful AI operation on Earth. When Musk pushed back, Larry Page didn’t argue. He gave him a word. Musk: “He called me a speciesist in favor of humans instead of machines.” The man closest to building superintelligence looked at a man defending the human race and called it a prejudice. Musk: “I was like, what team are you on, Larry?” That question erased every other division on Earth. Not left or right. Not nation against nation. The only fracture that matters now is whether the people building the most powerful technology in history believe you should survive it. So Musk funded a nonprofit to break the monopoly. $50 million. No equity. A safeguard for the species. That nonprofit is now a for-profit entity valued north of $850 billion. The emergency brake became the vehicle. The public is still arguing about job displacement. The people closest to building God are not debating earnings calls. They are deciding whether you are necessary. And the ones who already made that call have the longest head start.

Dustin

63,160 次观看 • 3 个月前

JENSEN HUANG SAID THAT ELON MUSK WAS THERE FOR HIM AS A CUSTOMER AT A TIME WHEN NO ONE ELSE WAS. AND HE CLAIMED THAT ELON MUSK IS THE ORIGINAL FOUNDER OF OPENAI AND CHATGPT. “WHEN I ANNOUNCED THIS PROJECT, NO ONE IN THE WORLD WANTED IT. I DIDN’T HAVE A SINGLE PURCHASE ORDER. NO ONE WANTED TO BUY IT, NO ONE WANTED TO BE PART OF IT, EXCEPT ELON. HE WAS THERE AT THE EVENT, AND WE WERE ENGAGED IN A FIRESIDE DISCUSSION ABOUT THE FUTURE OF SELF-DRIVING CARS.”
1:19

JENSEN HUANG SAID THAT ELON MUSK WAS THERE FOR HIM AS A CUSTOMER AT A TIME WHEN NO ONE ELSE WAS. AND HE CLAIMED THAT ELON MUSK IS THE ORIGINAL FOUNDER OF OPENAI AND CHATGPT. “WHEN I ANNOUNCED THIS PROJECT, NO ONE IN THE WORLD WANTED IT. I DIDN’T HAVE A SINGLE PURCHASE ORDER. NO ONE WANTED TO BUY IT, NO ONE WANTED TO BE PART OF IT, EXCEPT ELON. HE WAS THERE AT THE EVENT, AND WE WERE ENGAGED IN A FIRESIDE DISCUSSION ABOUT THE FUTURE OF SELF-DRIVING CARS.”

Vivek Sen

747,093 次观看 • 2 个月前

Elon Musk just said the first missions to Mars don’t matter. From the man spending billions to get there. Musk: “The first missions to Mars are not that important. What matters is, can you get sufficient tonnage to Mars such that Mars can prosper on its own?” Everyone pictures the landing. The boots on red soil. The flag. Musk isn’t thinking about the landing. He’s thinking about what happens when the ships stop coming. Musk: “The key test being: can Mars survive if the resupply ships stop coming?” That’s not a milestone. That’s a survival audit. If Mars needs Earth to exist, Mars isn’t a civilization. It’s a campsite. The distance between a base and a civilization is the distance between receiving supplies and making them. Musk: “It’s not just that you’d need to build, for example, a chip fab on Mars, but you need the ability to build fabs.” Not the factory. The ability to build the factory. Not the chip. The capacity to create the machine that creates the chip. Mars doesn’t need the outputs of civilization. It needs the ability to regenerate civilization from scratch. Musk: “What really matters is that Mars is self-sustaining. That we are truly a multi-planet species, such that we’ve achieved planetary redundancy.” Planetary redundancy. A cold engineering term for the most existential project ever attempted. Two independent copies of everything it took 10,000 years to build. Running simultaneously. So one can fail without taking everything with it. Every civilization in history was one catastrophe from permanent erasure. We accepted that as a condition of existence. Musk accepted it as an engineering problem. Musk: “There’s always some risk of an annihilation event on Earth.” One event on one planet. And the universe goes back to unfolding in front of nothing. Musk: “The probable lifespan of consciousness increases dramatically as soon as we are a multi-planet species.” The lifespan of consciousness. Not of humans. Not of the species. Consciousness. He’s not preserving people. He’s preserving the phenomenon. The thing the universe spent 13.8 billion years producing. The only thing in existence that knows it exists. We are not backing up a population. We are backing up the universe’s awareness of itself. If Earth goes dark and Mars holds, consciousness doesn’t just survive. It proves it was never dependent on one rock. It proves awareness can outlive the place that first produced it. Earth was never the home of consciousness. It was the womb. And the purpose of a womb is to produce something that outgrows it. We spent 300,000 years building everything we know on a single planet and praying nothing went wrong. Musk is building the first civilization ever designed to survive its own origin.
1:06

Elon Musk just said the first missions to Mars don’t matter. From the man spending billions to get there. Musk: “The first missions to Mars are not that important. What matters is, can you get sufficient tonnage to Mars such that Mars can prosper on its own?” Everyone pictures the landing. The boots on red soil. The flag. Musk isn’t thinking about the landing. He’s thinking about what happens when the ships stop coming. Musk: “The key test being: can Mars survive if the resupply ships stop coming?” That’s not a milestone. That’s a survival audit. If Mars needs Earth to exist, Mars isn’t a civilization. It’s a campsite. The distance between a base and a civilization is the distance between receiving supplies and making them. Musk: “It’s not just that you’d need to build, for example, a chip fab on Mars, but you need the ability to build fabs.” Not the factory. The ability to build the factory. Not the chip. The capacity to create the machine that creates the chip. Mars doesn’t need the outputs of civilization. It needs the ability to regenerate civilization from scratch. Musk: “What really matters is that Mars is self-sustaining. That we are truly a multi-planet species, such that we’ve achieved planetary redundancy.” Planetary redundancy. A cold engineering term for the most existential project ever attempted. Two independent copies of everything it took 10,000 years to build. Running simultaneously. So one can fail without taking everything with it. Every civilization in history was one catastrophe from permanent erasure. We accepted that as a condition of existence. Musk accepted it as an engineering problem. Musk: “There’s always some risk of an annihilation event on Earth.” One event on one planet. And the universe goes back to unfolding in front of nothing. Musk: “The probable lifespan of consciousness increases dramatically as soon as we are a multi-planet species.” The lifespan of consciousness. Not of humans. Not of the species. Consciousness. He’s not preserving people. He’s preserving the phenomenon. The thing the universe spent 13.8 billion years producing. The only thing in existence that knows it exists. We are not backing up a population. We are backing up the universe’s awareness of itself. If Earth goes dark and Mars holds, consciousness doesn’t just survive. It proves it was never dependent on one rock. It proves awareness can outlive the place that first produced it. Earth was never the home of consciousness. It was the womb. And the purpose of a womb is to produce something that outgrows it. We spent 300,000 years building everything we know on a single planet and praying nothing went wrong. Musk is building the first civilization ever designed to survive its own origin.

Dustin

44,460 次观看 • 21 天前

Elon Musk measures every civilization by a single number. By that number, we have not begun. Not by armies. Not by gold. By energy. By how much of it you can actually hold. A Russian physicist named Kardashev drew the scale in the sixties. The first rung should be easy. Musk: “If you’re Type I, you’re using most the energy of your planet.” That is not greatness. That is the entry fee. The moment a species stops being primitive. We have not paid it. Musk: “We’re still using a tiny fraction of the sun’s energy that reaches our planet.” And what reaches us is already almost nothing. Musk: “The Earth only receives about half a billionth of the sun’s energy.” Half a billionth. That is the entire inheritance of everyone who has ever lived. And we built everything we know on the fraction we bothered to catch. Musk: “The sun is 99.8 percent of all mass in the solar system.” Everything you have ever called the world is the rounding error. Every empire, every fortune, every border rose and fell inside a fraction of a fraction. Every war was fought over scraps. Beneath a furnace pouring out more in a single second than we will burn in a hundred years. Every economy ever designed assumed there was not enough. The sun disproved that assumption every morning since the Earth was formed. The abundance was never missing. It fell on us the whole time. We kept our eyes on the dirt. So the scale stops being a measurement. It becomes a verdict. It does not ask how advanced you are. It asks how much smallness you agreed to. Musk looked at the same sky as everyone else. And refused to sign. Scarcity was never handed to us. The sun never rationed anything. We did.
0:53

Elon Musk measures every civilization by a single number. By that number, we have not begun. Not by armies. Not by gold. By energy. By how much of it you can actually hold. A Russian physicist named Kardashev drew the scale in the sixties. The first rung should be easy. Musk: “If you’re Type I, you’re using most the energy of your planet.” That is not greatness. That is the entry fee. The moment a species stops being primitive. We have not paid it. Musk: “We’re still using a tiny fraction of the sun’s energy that reaches our planet.” And what reaches us is already almost nothing. Musk: “The Earth only receives about half a billionth of the sun’s energy.” Half a billionth. That is the entire inheritance of everyone who has ever lived. And we built everything we know on the fraction we bothered to catch. Musk: “The sun is 99.8 percent of all mass in the solar system.” Everything you have ever called the world is the rounding error. Every empire, every fortune, every border rose and fell inside a fraction of a fraction. Every war was fought over scraps. Beneath a furnace pouring out more in a single second than we will burn in a hundred years. Every economy ever designed assumed there was not enough. The sun disproved that assumption every morning since the Earth was formed. The abundance was never missing. It fell on us the whole time. We kept our eyes on the dirt. So the scale stops being a measurement. It becomes a verdict. It does not ask how advanced you are. It asks how much smallness you agreed to. Musk looked at the same sky as everyone else. And refused to sign. Scarcity was never handed to us. The sun never rationed anything. We did.

Dustin

10,201 次观看 • 2 个月前

Larry Ellison just called AI the biggest thing in human history. He was being conservative. Ellison: “It is a much bigger deal than the industrial revolution, electricity, whatever. Everything that’s come before.” “Bigger” is the wrong word. “Bigger” assumes the same axis. A taller building on the same foundation. A faster car on the same road. This isn’t a taller building. This is a new dimension. Every revolution in human history extended the body. Steam replaced muscle. Electricity replaced fire. The combustion engine replaced the horse. Each one extraordinary. Each one civilization-altering. Each one built on an assumption nobody ever thought to question. That human cognition was the ceiling. A hammer builds nothing the carpenter can’t envision. A telescope reveals nothing the astronomer can’t interpret. A calculator solves nothing the mathematician can’t frame. 300,000 years of invention. Every tool a servant to the mind that forged it. AI ended that arrangement. Ellison: “We created neural networks that can answer questions that human brains would struggle with.” Not slower. Not less efficiently. Struggle with. We built something that thinks past the point where human thought stops. The tool is no longer bound by the toolmaker. Every ceiling humanity ever hit wasn’t physics. Wasn’t the universe setting limits. It was us. We were the boundary. And we just built something that doesn’t know it’s there. That’s not a bigger industrial revolution. That’s not even a revolution. That’s a species discovering it was the only thing standing between itself and everything it couldn’t yet imagine. And Ellison isn’t waiting for any of it. He’s already past AGI. Already framing superintelligence not as theory. As a scheduling problem. People hear that and reach for fear. Wrong instinct. Every prior revolution displaced labor. AI displaces limits. The industrial revolution didn’t make blacksmiths more creative. It made them irrelevant. AI inverts that. It doesn’t replace human cognition. It uncaps it. The kid with no teachers now has the most patient tutor ever built. The founder with no legal team now has one. The researcher at the edge of what one mind can hold now has a partner with no edge of its own. This isn’t automation. This is cognitive liberation. Every revolution before this answered a human question. This is the first one capable of asking its own. And we haven’t heard the first one yet.
1:17

Larry Ellison just called AI the biggest thing in human history. He was being conservative. Ellison: “It is a much bigger deal than the industrial revolution, electricity, whatever. Everything that’s come before.” “Bigger” is the wrong word. “Bigger” assumes the same axis. A taller building on the same foundation. A faster car on the same road. This isn’t a taller building. This is a new dimension. Every revolution in human history extended the body. Steam replaced muscle. Electricity replaced fire. The combustion engine replaced the horse. Each one extraordinary. Each one civilization-altering. Each one built on an assumption nobody ever thought to question. That human cognition was the ceiling. A hammer builds nothing the carpenter can’t envision. A telescope reveals nothing the astronomer can’t interpret. A calculator solves nothing the mathematician can’t frame. 300,000 years of invention. Every tool a servant to the mind that forged it. AI ended that arrangement. Ellison: “We created neural networks that can answer questions that human brains would struggle with.” Not slower. Not less efficiently. Struggle with. We built something that thinks past the point where human thought stops. The tool is no longer bound by the toolmaker. Every ceiling humanity ever hit wasn’t physics. Wasn’t the universe setting limits. It was us. We were the boundary. And we just built something that doesn’t know it’s there. That’s not a bigger industrial revolution. That’s not even a revolution. That’s a species discovering it was the only thing standing between itself and everything it couldn’t yet imagine. And Ellison isn’t waiting for any of it. He’s already past AGI. Already framing superintelligence not as theory. As a scheduling problem. People hear that and reach for fear. Wrong instinct. Every prior revolution displaced labor. AI displaces limits. The industrial revolution didn’t make blacksmiths more creative. It made them irrelevant. AI inverts that. It doesn’t replace human cognition. It uncaps it. The kid with no teachers now has the most patient tutor ever built. The founder with no legal team now has one. The researcher at the edge of what one mind can hold now has a partner with no edge of its own. This isn’t automation. This is cognitive liberation. Every revolution before this answered a human question. This is the first one capable of asking its own. And we haven’t heard the first one yet.

Dustin

14,765 次观看 • 1 个月前

Elon Musk just said something that should wake up every person in America. Musk: “It seems like China listens to everything I say and does it, basically.” For over a decade, Musk laid out the exact blueprint for the physical infrastructure required to power the next era of human civilization. Massive solar generation. Industrial-scale battery storage. Electric everything. He said it here. Publicly. Repeatedly. America debated it. China built it. Musk: “They’re certainly making massive battery packs. Really massive battery pack output. Vast numbers of electric cars. Vast amounts of solar.” This isn’t a technology gap. It isn’t an intelligence gap. It isn’t a vision gap. It’s a will gap. The blueprint has been public for years. Not classified. Not hidden. Not proprietary. Musk published it in interviews, in speeches, in the founding mission of every company he built. China read it. Declared it a national mandate. And mobilized an entire industrial economy to execute it. Musk: “These are all things I said we should do here.” Here. America. The country that produced the man who wrote the blueprint and then watched someone else build it. The AI arms race runs on power. Not ideas. Not funding. Not talent. Physical energy. Gigawatts of it. The kind measured in years of construction before a single model trains on it. You cannot debate your way to a power grid. You cannot committee your way to a battery factory. You cannot regulate your way to energy dominance while a competitor is already running the lines. Every year of delay is a year of advantage that compounds on the other side of the world. And the thing nobody wants to say out loud. The nation that controls the energy controls the AI. The nation that controls the AI controls the century. We wrote the blueprint. We produced the vision. We had every advantage a country could ask for. And we are watching someone else build our future in real time. The window doesn’t stay open forever. It’s closing right now. While you read this.
0:34

Elon Musk just said something that should wake up every person in America. Musk: “It seems like China listens to everything I say and does it, basically.” For over a decade, Musk laid out the exact blueprint for the physical infrastructure required to power the next era of human civilization. Massive solar generation. Industrial-scale battery storage. Electric everything. He said it here. Publicly. Repeatedly. America debated it. China built it. Musk: “They’re certainly making massive battery packs. Really massive battery pack output. Vast numbers of electric cars. Vast amounts of solar.” This isn’t a technology gap. It isn’t an intelligence gap. It isn’t a vision gap. It’s a will gap. The blueprint has been public for years. Not classified. Not hidden. Not proprietary. Musk published it in interviews, in speeches, in the founding mission of every company he built. China read it. Declared it a national mandate. And mobilized an entire industrial economy to execute it. Musk: “These are all things I said we should do here.” Here. America. The country that produced the man who wrote the blueprint and then watched someone else build it. The AI arms race runs on power. Not ideas. Not funding. Not talent. Physical energy. Gigawatts of it. The kind measured in years of construction before a single model trains on it. You cannot debate your way to a power grid. You cannot committee your way to a battery factory. You cannot regulate your way to energy dominance while a competitor is already running the lines. Every year of delay is a year of advantage that compounds on the other side of the world. And the thing nobody wants to say out loud. The nation that controls the energy controls the AI. The nation that controls the AI controls the century. We wrote the blueprint. We produced the vision. We had every advantage a country could ask for. And we are watching someone else build our future in real time. The window doesn’t stay open forever. It’s closing right now. While you read this.

Dustin

51,628 次观看 • 5 个月前

Elon Musk said the most dangerous thing ever spoken on a stage. Not about Mars. Not about rockets. About you. Musk: “The most important mistake I see smart people making is assuming that they’re smart.” He wasn’t talking about IQ. He was talking about what happens when intelligence becomes your identity. Kasparov. Greatest chess mind in human history. Deep Blue crushed him in 1997. Your phone can now crush the world chess champion. Not a close match. Not on his best day. Literally. The world didn’t panic. It adjusted the definition. “Chess isn’t real intelligence.” Nobody flinched. Musk: “We just keep moving the goalposts.” That line should terrify you more than any AI headline ever written. Because he’s not describing technology. He’s describing a pattern that has never once been broken. Machine beats human at chess. “That’s just pattern matching.” Machine beats human at language. “That’s just autocomplete.” Machine beats human at reasoning. “That’s just…” You see where this ends. Every time a machine crosses a line we said only humans could cross, we don’t sit with it. We redraw the line. And call it nuance. That is not intelligence defending itself. That is pride bleeding out slowly enough to mistake for composure. Elon didn’t say machines are smarter to provoke a reaction. He said it because the people who refuse to hear it are the ones it’s coming for. Not from AI. From the version of themselves that would rather redefine reality than face it. That’s the real danger he was pointing at. Not the machine that outperforms you. The story you tell yourself about why it doesn’t count. One day there will be no goalpost left to move. The people who spent years moving them won’t have sharpened a thing. Too busy protecting their ego. The machine didn’t replace you. You were just standing where the goalpost used to be.
0:42

Elon Musk said the most dangerous thing ever spoken on a stage. Not about Mars. Not about rockets. About you. Musk: “The most important mistake I see smart people making is assuming that they’re smart.” He wasn’t talking about IQ. He was talking about what happens when intelligence becomes your identity. Kasparov. Greatest chess mind in human history. Deep Blue crushed him in 1997. Your phone can now crush the world chess champion. Not a close match. Not on his best day. Literally. The world didn’t panic. It adjusted the definition. “Chess isn’t real intelligence.” Nobody flinched. Musk: “We just keep moving the goalposts.” That line should terrify you more than any AI headline ever written. Because he’s not describing technology. He’s describing a pattern that has never once been broken. Machine beats human at chess. “That’s just pattern matching.” Machine beats human at language. “That’s just autocomplete.” Machine beats human at reasoning. “That’s just…” You see where this ends. Every time a machine crosses a line we said only humans could cross, we don’t sit with it. We redraw the line. And call it nuance. That is not intelligence defending itself. That is pride bleeding out slowly enough to mistake for composure. Elon didn’t say machines are smarter to provoke a reaction. He said it because the people who refuse to hear it are the ones it’s coming for. Not from AI. From the version of themselves that would rather redefine reality than face it. That’s the real danger he was pointing at. Not the machine that outperforms you. The story you tell yourself about why it doesn’t count. One day there will be no goalpost left to move. The people who spent years moving them won’t have sharpened a thing. Too busy protecting their ego. The machine didn’t replace you. You were just standing where the goalpost used to be.

Dustin

108,099 次观看 • 3 个月前

Jensen Huang just told the story of how the AI revolution started with one customer, one box, and a second-floor room nobody thought twice about. Nobody on Earth wanted it. Huang: “When I announced this thing, nobody in the world wanted it. I had no purchase orders. Not one.” Nvidia had spent billions building the DGX-1. The first AI supercomputer purpose-built for deep learning. $300,000 per unit. The entire technology industry looked at it and passed. Every hyperscaler. Every research lab. Every Fortune 500 with a machine learning team. Not one purchase order. Then Elon Musk found Huang at a fireside chat in 2015. Huang: “He goes, ‘You know what? I have a company that could really use this.’” His first customer. His only customer. Then Musk finished the sentence. Huang: “He goes, ‘It’s a non-profit company.’ And all the blood drained out of my face.” Billions in R&D. A $300,000 machine. And the one person on Earth who wanted it could not pay for it. Huang built it anyway. Huang: “I boxed one up. I drove it up to San Francisco and I delivered it to Elon in 2016.” Not shipped. Not handed off to a freight company. The CEO of Nvidia personally boxed the first AI supercomputer and drove it to San Francisco himself. That is not a delivery. That is a bet. Huang: “I walked up to the second floor where they were all kind of in a room. That place turned out to have been OpenAI.” Pieter Abbeel was there. Ilya Sutskever was there. A handful of researchers, one supercomputer, and a room nobody outside that building could have named. No campus. No valuation. No infrastructure. Just raw talent and one machine the rest of the world had already rejected. Huang: “Just a bunch of people in a room.” That room built ChatGPT. That room triggered a $200 billion industry. That room forced every government on Earth to rethink national security. It started because one founder saw what the entire market refused to see, and one CEO drove the weapon there himself. The trillion-dollar AI industry did not begin in a boardroom. It began with a box in the back of a car, a non-profit that could not afford it, and a bet that every serious person in technology thought was insane. The market was unanimous. The market was wrong.
1:41

Jensen Huang just told the story of how the AI revolution started with one customer, one box, and a second-floor room nobody thought twice about. Nobody on Earth wanted it. Huang: “When I announced this thing, nobody in the world wanted it. I had no purchase orders. Not one.” Nvidia had spent billions building the DGX-1. The first AI supercomputer purpose-built for deep learning. $300,000 per unit. The entire technology industry looked at it and passed. Every hyperscaler. Every research lab. Every Fortune 500 with a machine learning team. Not one purchase order. Then Elon Musk found Huang at a fireside chat in 2015. Huang: “He goes, ‘You know what? I have a company that could really use this.’” His first customer. His only customer. Then Musk finished the sentence. Huang: “He goes, ‘It’s a non-profit company.’ And all the blood drained out of my face.” Billions in R&D. A $300,000 machine. And the one person on Earth who wanted it could not pay for it. Huang built it anyway. Huang: “I boxed one up. I drove it up to San Francisco and I delivered it to Elon in 2016.” Not shipped. Not handed off to a freight company. The CEO of Nvidia personally boxed the first AI supercomputer and drove it to San Francisco himself. That is not a delivery. That is a bet. Huang: “I walked up to the second floor where they were all kind of in a room. That place turned out to have been OpenAI.” Pieter Abbeel was there. Ilya Sutskever was there. A handful of researchers, one supercomputer, and a room nobody outside that building could have named. No campus. No valuation. No infrastructure. Just raw talent and one machine the rest of the world had already rejected. Huang: “Just a bunch of people in a room.” That room built ChatGPT. That room triggered a $200 billion industry. That room forced every government on Earth to rethink national security. It started because one founder saw what the entire market refused to see, and one CEO drove the weapon there himself. The trillion-dollar AI industry did not begin in a boardroom. It began with a box in the back of a car, a non-profit that could not afford it, and a bet that every serious person in technology thought was insane. The market was unanimous. The market was wrong.

Dustin

25,119 次观看 • 4 个月前

Intelligence was the one thing that never scaled. We scaled everything else. Steel. Energy. Compute. The one resource that built all of it never left the skull. Musk: “People thought defeating Go was either never or 20 years away.” Twelve months later it was over. Musk: “Now that same AlphaGo system can defeat the top 50 players simultaneously with 0% chance of them winning. And that’s one year later.” Fifty lifetimes of mastery against a system that does not know it is playing a game. Zero percent chance. That was not a competition. That was a preview. Musk: “The degrees of freedom to which artificial intelligence is able to apply itself are really increasing by 10 orders of magnitude a year.” Ten billion times. Every twelve months. No brain alive can visualize that number. By design. Every hard problem that ever defeated us did it for the same reason. Not complexity. Scarcity. The only mind capable of solving it was biological and there was never enough of it. Cancer. Fusion. Climate. The physics we cannot even see yet. Not waiting on more data. Waiting on something that can think at a scale biology never allowed. That just arrived. Most people hear this and reduce it to a question about their paycheck. They are watching the single largest expansion of capability in the history of life on this planet and worrying about a job title. For ten thousand years intelligence had one speed. One brain. One lifetime. Every civilization on earth throttled by the same biological ceiling. That ceiling just shattered. We are the only species that ever hit its own limit and built what breaks through it. That is not an ending. That is the point of everything we ever built.
0:32

Intelligence was the one thing that never scaled. We scaled everything else. Steel. Energy. Compute. The one resource that built all of it never left the skull. Musk: “People thought defeating Go was either never or 20 years away.” Twelve months later it was over. Musk: “Now that same AlphaGo system can defeat the top 50 players simultaneously with 0% chance of them winning. And that’s one year later.” Fifty lifetimes of mastery against a system that does not know it is playing a game. Zero percent chance. That was not a competition. That was a preview. Musk: “The degrees of freedom to which artificial intelligence is able to apply itself are really increasing by 10 orders of magnitude a year.” Ten billion times. Every twelve months. No brain alive can visualize that number. By design. Every hard problem that ever defeated us did it for the same reason. Not complexity. Scarcity. The only mind capable of solving it was biological and there was never enough of it. Cancer. Fusion. Climate. The physics we cannot even see yet. Not waiting on more data. Waiting on something that can think at a scale biology never allowed. That just arrived. Most people hear this and reduce it to a question about their paycheck. They are watching the single largest expansion of capability in the history of life on this planet and worrying about a job title. For ten thousand years intelligence had one speed. One brain. One lifetime. Every civilization on earth throttled by the same biological ceiling. That ceiling just shattered. We are the only species that ever hit its own limit and built what breaks through it. That is not an ending. That is the point of everything we ever built.

Dustin

24,315 次观看 • 1 个月前

Elon Musk’s real claim about Optimus isn’t that it’s the biggest product ever made. It’s that the biggest product ever made is a tenth of it. Musk: “I think it will be 10 times bigger than the next biggest product ever made.” That isn’t a claim about robots. It’s a claim about every object humans have ever sold each other, and it only holds once you notice what they all had in common. Every product ever built shipped incomplete. The drill needs a hand. The car needs a driver. The phone needs someone awake and holding it. All of it was leverage, and leverage does nothing until something pushes on it. You were the missing part in every machine ever made. That was the design, not a flaw. Optimus is the first product that arrives with the operator already inside. Which is why the company that got there first was never going to be a robotics company. Musk: “Tesla is the only company with all the required ingredients.” The mind and the body were never built by the same people. Labs that can think can’t stamp metal. Companies that can stamp metal can’t think. Tesla spent a decade mass-producing a machine that already has to see, decide, and move through a world full of people. Then priced it for a driveway instead of a defense contract. The robot is that machine with the road taken away. Musk: “You should be able to ask them to do things naturally.” A machine that has to be programmed sells to the people who can program. A machine you can talk to sells to anyone with something they’d rather not be doing. Every product in history was priced against another product. A better phone. A faster car. A cheaper tool. This one is priced against a wage. Wages are the largest line item on earth and the only cost technology has never driven down. Labor is the only thing anyone has ever sold that the seller never gets back. Every wage ever paid was a life billed by the hour. Musk: “Nothing will even be close.” Nothing else is close because everything else was capped by buyers. Demand for a product ends when everyone who wanted one has it. Demand for work doesn’t end. The ceiling was never how many people would buy it. It was how much there is to do, and there has never been a shortage of that. Only of hands. The prediction isn’t that Optimus succeeds. It’s that if it does, it enters the oldest and largest market on earth, one that has never had a competitor. Every product ever made sold you a better way to spend your hours. This one sells the hours back.
0:54

Elon Musk’s real claim about Optimus isn’t that it’s the biggest product ever made. It’s that the biggest product ever made is a tenth of it. Musk: “I think it will be 10 times bigger than the next biggest product ever made.” That isn’t a claim about robots. It’s a claim about every object humans have ever sold each other, and it only holds once you notice what they all had in common. Every product ever built shipped incomplete. The drill needs a hand. The car needs a driver. The phone needs someone awake and holding it. All of it was leverage, and leverage does nothing until something pushes on it. You were the missing part in every machine ever made. That was the design, not a flaw. Optimus is the first product that arrives with the operator already inside. Which is why the company that got there first was never going to be a robotics company. Musk: “Tesla is the only company with all the required ingredients.” The mind and the body were never built by the same people. Labs that can think can’t stamp metal. Companies that can stamp metal can’t think. Tesla spent a decade mass-producing a machine that already has to see, decide, and move through a world full of people. Then priced it for a driveway instead of a defense contract. The robot is that machine with the road taken away. Musk: “You should be able to ask them to do things naturally.” A machine that has to be programmed sells to the people who can program. A machine you can talk to sells to anyone with something they’d rather not be doing. Every product in history was priced against another product. A better phone. A faster car. A cheaper tool. This one is priced against a wage. Wages are the largest line item on earth and the only cost technology has never driven down. Labor is the only thing anyone has ever sold that the seller never gets back. Every wage ever paid was a life billed by the hour. Musk: “Nothing will even be close.” Nothing else is close because everything else was capped by buyers. Demand for a product ends when everyone who wanted one has it. Demand for work doesn’t end. The ceiling was never how many people would buy it. It was how much there is to do, and there has never been a shortage of that. Only of hands. The prediction isn’t that Optimus succeeds. It’s that if it does, it enters the oldest and largest market on earth, one that has never had a competitor. Every product ever made sold you a better way to spend your hours. This one sells the hours back.

Dustin

49,514 次观看 • 13 天前