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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ending the war is Iran's first condition. Netanyahu refusing it is why nothing moves. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier says Trump isn't mature enough for a deal yet, and is simply waiting for Israel to be ready, which it isn't. "He's not yet mature to have a... show more

Mario Nawfal

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69,014 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran isn't refusing a deal out of stubbornness, but because a bad peace is more dangerous to the regime than the war itself. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "The Iranians understand very well that Donald Trump is seeking a victory they cannot offer him. This is why there is no deal for now." If the war ends without sanctions lifted, Iran loses its people. They know it, and so does Washington. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 The retaliation is already decided. The only question is when it hurts most. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier lays out the Iranian calculation in cold detail. "The Iranians will effectively intervene unwittingly in both elections with the Americans and with the Israelis, to make sure that Trump is going to lose, while the Republicans will lose the midterms and that Benjamin Netanyahu will not be reelected." Tehran is not rushing anything. It's just watching the calendar. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇮🇱 The retaliation is already decided. The only question is when it hurts most. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier lays out the Iranian calculation in cold detail. "The Iranians will effectively intervene unwittingly in both elections with the Americans and with the Israelis, to make sure that Trump is going to lose, while the Republicans will lose the midterms and that Benjamin Netanyahu will not be reelected." Tehran is not rushing anything. It's just watching the calendar. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

24,262 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷 Iran retaliates from exactly where the attack originates, and every Gulf capital knows it. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier explains why the entire region is now quietly lining up to cut a deal. "They have to live with them for many long years. They don't have to live with the Americans." The Gulf isn't choosing Iran. It's choosing survival. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

62,876 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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90,928 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

The MOU has been signed! However, Israel, which is meant to stop all military operations, already bombed a car in South Lebanon, and advanced towards another town Will Trump be able to force Netanyahu to abide by the deal, or will Israel drag Iran back into war in defence of Hezbollah? Enjoy my interview with Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

The MOU has been signed! However, Israel, which is meant to stop all military operations, already bombed a car in South Lebanon, and advanced towards another town Will Trump be able to force Netanyahu to abide by the deal, or will Israel drag Iran back into war in defence of Hezbollah? Enjoy my interview with Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

276,538 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israel was kept out of the deal entirely. The security cabinet meeting was canceled so Netanyahu and Trump could have a call. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says Israel will press ahead with military operations regardless of whatever Trump signs. Netanyahu listing demands he knows are not in the deal is political cover, not a threat to block it. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israel was kept out of the deal entirely. The security cabinet meeting was canceled so Netanyahu and Trump could have a call. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says Israel will press ahead with military operations regardless of whatever Trump signs. Netanyahu listing demands he knows are not in the deal is political cover, not a threat to block it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸 🇮🇱 The 2 biggest threats to Israel have quietly vanished from the negotiating table. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It seems that those two things have been removed from Trump on the negotiating table now." Israel pushed Trump into this war, and now Trump doesn't trust them to lead him out of it. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 The 2 biggest threats to Israel have quietly vanished from the negotiating table. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It seems that those two things have been removed from Trump on the negotiating table now." Israel pushed Trump into this war, and now Trump doesn't trust them to lead him out of it. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

51,447 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israel's political establishment is in absolute consensus that stopping the war in Lebanon right now is a fatal mistake. Military analyst Elijah Magnier points out that Prime Minister Netanyahu is facing fierce backlash from both his allies and the opposition for supposedly submitting to U.S. pressure over a ceasefire. Magnier notes that because Netanyahu is structurally unable to pull troops out without destroying his political career, the massive burden of actually enforcing any regional truce will fall entirely on Donald Trump's shoulders. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 Israel's political establishment is in absolute consensus that stopping the war in Lebanon right now is a fatal mistake. Military analyst Elijah Magnier points out that Prime Minister Netanyahu is facing fierce backlash from both his allies and the opposition for supposedly submitting to U.S. pressure over a ceasefire. Magnier notes that because Netanyahu is structurally unable to pull troops out without destroying his political career, the massive burden of actually enforcing any regional truce will fall entirely on Donald Trump's shoulders. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸 The ceasefire framework Lebanon signed is riddled with traps, and almost no one noticed. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier broke down exactly how deep the deception goes. "I managed to take out 183 points after that communique from the U.S. State Department that are really in favor of Israel." Lebanon thought it made a deal. Israel made a manual. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸 The ceasefire framework Lebanon signed is riddled with traps, and almost no one noticed. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier broke down exactly how deep the deception goes. "I managed to take out 183 points after that communique from the U.S. State Department that are really in favor of Israel." Lebanon thought it made a deal. Israel made a manual. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump publicly threatened Iran so many times he can no longer walk away without looking weak. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the clock is running out on diplomacy. "Iran will be committing suicide if it ends the war with no deal that is in favor of the Iranian economy." The question is no longer if pressure escalates. It's whether either side has a real exit left. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump publicly threatened Iran so many times he can no longer walk away without looking weak. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the clock is running out on diplomacy. "Iran will be committing suicide if it ends the war with no deal that is in favor of the Iranian economy." The question is no longer if pressure escalates. It's whether either side has a real exit left. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

45,019 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran's strategy is clear: trade Hormuz access for sanctions relief and unfreezing of assets, then negotiate the nuclear program separately from a stronger position. Defense Analyst Jennifer Kavanagh says it's smart given how the war went, and creates a political nightmare for Trump. A deal is still possible, Trump just needs something that sounds better than Obama's deal, even if it isn't. "Both sides have to be willing to make compromises. It's not clear that's the case yet." Jennifer Kavanagh

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran's strategy is clear: trade Hormuz access for sanctions relief and unfreezing of assets, then negotiate the nuclear program separately from a stronger position. Defense Analyst Jennifer Kavanagh says it's smart given how the war went, and creates a political nightmare for Trump. A deal is still possible, Trump just needs something that sounds better than Obama's deal, even if it isn't. "Both sides have to be willing to make compromises. It's not clear that's the case yet." Jennifer Kavanagh

Mario Nawfal

41,837 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

118,023 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺$

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰 The fragile U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding is already fracturing as Israel sets its sights on major military operations inside Beirut. Veteran war analyst Elijah Magnier warns that because the preliminary Pakistani-mediated framework explicitly included Lebanon, Tehran is ready to restart a multi-front conflict if the ceasefire terms are violated. Magnier observes that Donald Trump's perceived protection of Benjamin Netanyahu risks plunging the entire region back into a brutal war of attrition that will choke global shipping at both the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

28,076 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Vague diplomatic wording regarding Lebanese sovereignty is the only reason the latest U.S.-Iran electronic agreement didn't collapse before it even started. Renowned military analyst Elijah Magnier reveals that the Americans deliberately softened the language to avoid an immediate, catastrophic political clash between Trump and a deeply defiant Netanyahu over a full troop withdrawal. Magnier also highlights that Iran’s new leadership views its organic, ideological bond with Hezbollah as entirely non-negotiable, meaning Tehran is now fully prepared to go to war directly to protect its regional axis. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Vague diplomatic wording regarding Lebanese sovereignty is the only reason the latest U.S.-Iran electronic agreement didn't collapse before it even started. Renowned military analyst Elijah Magnier reveals that the Americans deliberately softened the language to avoid an immediate, catastrophic political clash between Trump and a deeply defiant Netanyahu over a full troop withdrawal. Magnier also highlights that Iran’s new leadership views its organic, ideological bond with Hezbollah as entirely non-negotiable, meaning Tehran is now fully prepared to go to war directly to protect its regional axis. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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JUST IN 🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱: TRUMP CLAIMS IRAN WANTS TO MAKE A DEAL or If They Rebuild “We Will Knock the Hell Out of Them” Also, NETANYAHU PARDON is “On The Way” US should not be dragged into a war for Israel and Netanyahu should be LOCKED UP

JUST IN 🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱: TRUMP CLAIMS IRAN WANTS TO MAKE A DEAL or If They Rebuild “We Will Knock the Hell Out of Them” Also, NETANYAHU PARDON is “On The Way” US should not be dragged into a war for Israel and Netanyahu should be LOCKED UP

Ryan Rozbiani

27,615 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel's "withdrawal" is from land it never occupied. Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier on the Rome meeting between Aoun's team and Israel: The plan sends the Lebanese army into Hezbollah villages, not Israeli-held ones, doing Israel's work for it, while Israel keeps north and south of the Litani. And Israel's right-wing government is heading into elections, when it has historically grabbed more land, not less. Lebanon's negotiators have no one reading Israeli politics. Whose deal is this really? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel's "withdrawal" is from land it never occupied. Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier on the Rome meeting between Aoun's team and Israel: The plan sends the Lebanese army into Hezbollah villages, not Israeli-held ones, doing Israel's work for it, while Israel keeps north and south of the Litani. And Israel's right-wing government is heading into elections, when it has historically grabbed more land, not less. Lebanon's negotiators have no one reading Israeli politics. Whose deal is this really? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

48,823 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

67,676 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Every prediction Netanyahu made turned out to be wrong, and Trump has apparently had enough. Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier reads Trump's recent public comments as a direct message to Netanyahu ahead of the next White House visit, and the message is blunt: "Don't come here and lie to me. I had enough of your lies and everything you said turned out to be false." That's Magnier's paraphrase of where the relationship now stands, a president openly telegraphing that his closest ally's assessments have stopped being trusted. Once the deception gets named out in the open, the dynamic between Washington and Jerusalem has already shifted underneath everyone's feet. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Every prediction Netanyahu made turned out to be wrong, and Trump has apparently had enough. Military and political analyst Elijah Magnier reads Trump's recent public comments as a direct message to Netanyahu ahead of the next White House visit, and the message is blunt: "Don't come here and lie to me. I had enough of your lies and everything you said turned out to be false." That's Magnier's paraphrase of where the relationship now stands, a president openly telegraphing that his closest ally's assessments have stopped being trusted. Once the deception gets named out in the open, the dynamic between Washington and Jerusalem has already shifted underneath everyone's feet. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

61,975 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat