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Episode 69: Volatility! Bitcoin is NOT Volatile in Log-Log Space: It's remarkably stable! It's a quasi-exponential asset. Most people are focused on "risk" Will fail to embrace it Monte Carlo Simulation Watch on my YouTube along with 59 other Bitcoin only videos! And Subscribe!
26,823 次观看 • 2 年前 •via X (Twitter)
10 条评论

Fred/Giovanni - the sinusoidal waves on the Log-Log space has had peaks slightly above 2 STD's and on 1 STD to the downside. My sense is that these sinusoidal waves are dampening through time and in log-log space, we should expect to see wave of diminishing differentials from the predicted price. Do you agree? @Giovann35084111

question is how much.

have no idea what you are talking about, but I listen and try to learn a bit... just here for the hopium

Thanks for your insightful content!

Could you not sell when the price is 2 standard deviations above, knowing that it will mean revert and indeed will go 1 std deviation below? Even with 20% long-term capital gains, seems you'd come out significantly ahead--agree?/disagree?

A bitcoin will be like having a 1,000,000$ watch in the not distant future. A thing of marvel

Very much appreciate your level-headedness, Fred 🤝

You should have Giovanni an @nntaleb on to debate Bitcoin volatility with you moderating.

Very interesting

Hey Fred! Would be great to hear you analysis on how long grayscale can continue their sell off
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