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Eric Schmidt on how he uses 5-year plans to predict if a startup can become a $100 billion company “If you went to business school, you would’ve been taught: build a great product, organize a sales force, charge a fair price, make the customer happy.” But, as the former...

58,465 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 10

Фото профиля Startup Archive
Startup Archive1 год назад

Watch the full @StartupGrind interview with Eric Schmidt here:

Фото профиля Startup Archive
Startup Archive1 год назад

Want even more startup insights from the world's best founders? Join the 8,000+ founders who read our free newsletter here:

Фото профиля in essence
in essence1 год назад

So, Tesla’s FSD feature. Learn from your users and sell fsd with increased safety over any one person. Are there any other companies that do similar? X? Learn behaviors from a hive mind and sell grok.

Фото профиля New account @rd_leclerc
New account @rd_leclerc1 год назад

His fund must be killing it!

Фото профиля DAO Dev
DAO Dev1 год назад

@MunirulAbedin

Фото профиля KO_Sulli
KO_Sulli1 год назад

Like Russia and China?

Фото профиля kame hame
kame hame1 год назад

@readwise save thread

Фото профиля Joanna Accordi
Joanna Accordi1 год назад

Spot on!

Фото профиля AIXEL
AIXEL1 год назад

@readwise save thread

Фото профиля brandon kim
brandon kim1 год назад

easier just to feed the milatary industrial complex

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Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt explains how he uses 5-year plans to predict if a startup can become a $100B+ company “If you went to business school, you would’ve been taught: build a great product, organize a sales force, charge a fair price, make the customer happy.” But Eric explains that strategy is insufficiently scalable in the Internet era. “It’ll produce a reasonable business, but it’s not going to produce a huge business. It’s just too hard to hire all of those salespeople, work with every customer, and so forth. You have to have a more clever strategy.” He continues: “All of the really big companies have invented a new way to access information or a new way to do something that didn’t require [a large salesforce].” Eric argues that lots of the startup ideas he hears are good, but not good enough. He tells these founders to create a 5-year plan and map their growth rate. Then try to figure out what a more scalable strategy might be. For example, if you’re building an app that you want to charge $10 for, Eric asks: “Why can’t you give the app away for free and then upsell the users?" This is similar to the advice of Peter Thiel who famously asks founders: “How can you achieve your 10 year plan in the next 6 months?” Thinking big and optimizing for scalability is one key factor that separates the ultra successful companies from the rest. Another way to use a five-year plan to determine if your company can be a $100B+ company is to ask yourself what the big platforms will be five years from now and make sure your company is aligned with those platforms. In this interview from 2016 and he predicted that Android, iOS, and machine learning would be the dominant platforms of the next five years.

Startup Archive

611,873 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Marc Andreessen on the 3 things he looks for when investing in a startup The first thing Marc Andreesen looks for is a big market: “Is there a big existing market that you think you can go after and displace incumbents? Or do you believe there will be a new market that will be big?” The second thing he looks for is a 10x better product: “Is there a fundamental technology or economic change that justifies a new company? And the way I always think about that is: Is there a 10x change happening in the technology landscape? Is something 10x faster, 10x cheaper, or 10x better? If it’s not 10x, we as both VCs and entrepreneurs have to ask ourselves if it’s really worth doing because it’s really hard to start new companies . . . Existing companies are usually pretty good at what they do. So for a new company to exist, it has to bring a product to market that’s so much better than what exists that it punches through the status quo.” The third is the team: “Is the team outstanding? . . . You want to have a founding team of complementary skillsets. You want to have at least one super strong technologist — quite possibly more than one. Some of the best startups are actually more than one founding technologist. And then it often helps to have someone who is a marketing or salesperson who has a really good understanding of business.” Marc believes that you need all three of these, but if you’re going to compromise on one of those as an investor, it should be the product: “A great market is a lot easier to make up for with iterative product execution. The problem with a poor or small market is that even if you do a good job on the product, there just aren’t that many customers so it’s hard to ever get big and people get demoralized . . . And then we evaluate the team of a startup by its ability to get into a big market with a good product.”

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Google's former CEO Eric Schmidt on the data strategy behind the next hundred billion dollar companies: He explains that he evaluates startup ideas by looking at 5-year growth trajectories and asking whether there's a more scalable strategy available. Take a founder building an app they want to charge $10 for. Eric Schmidt's challenge: "Why not give it away for free and upsell users instead?" But the real insight is his framework for predicting which companies will dominate — and it all comes down to data. "5 years ago, I said publicly that the future will be apps that are on smartphones that use Google Maps, GPS, and do something useful. Now, what I should have said was Uber." So what does he think will define the next wave of massive companies? Systems built on Android and iOS, fast networks, and powerful machine learning, with a crucial data advantage: "They're going to use the crowd to learn something." He illustrates with this example: Pay dermatologists $1 each to categorize skin samples. Feed that into a machine learning system. Then sell the diagnostic service back to them, because a system trained on thousands of experts will outperform any individual. Schmidt summarizes the winning data strategy: "You crowdsource information in, you learn it, and then you sell it. [This] is in my view a highly likely candidate for the next hundred billion dollar corporations." The blueprint: Aggregate expert data at scale → train ML systems on that data → sell superior insights back to the market. This is how the next generation of dominant companies will be built.

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104,511 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Marissa Mayer on scaling Google and the internal black market CEO Eric Schmidt created for new hires “One of the things that [former Google CEO Eric Schmidt] talked about a lot was that at every order of magnitude, you should expect every process to break—and you should expect to have to completely reinvent it. It’s very different to deal with tens of people versus hundreds of people versus thousands of people” Marissa shares a story of how one time Eric reinvented Google’s hiring process in a way that initially frustrated everyone: “We had closed the year at about 200 people, and we had a plan to double the size of the company over the coming year. Eric showed up in March, looked at the plan, and said: ‘there’s just no way you guys are going to be able to double the number of employees and keep the quality and culture the way you want it to be.’” Eric then told the company that he would let them collectively hire 50 people that year—versus the 200 they were planning on hiring. And to enforce this, he created 50 laminated dollar bills with Larry Page and Sergey Brin’s faces on them and distributed them to Google’s VPs. Every new hire that year would require one “Larry & Sergey” bill. Naturally, a black market for these “Larrys & Sergeys” developed, and as Marissa describes, it became surprisingly efficient: “What would happen is the Head of Sales would have one and he would really need a new feature to make a sale. So he would [say to the engineer]: ‘look, I’m going to give you this Larry & Sergey but you have to promise you’re going to use it to hire someone who is going to build this feature to secure this revenue.’” She continues: “As painful as it was because there was way too much work to slow down our hiring like this, [the new process] was actually a really good moment for the company because it made us be really thoughtful about how we were scaling and where we were putting our resources. We had to be that much more thoughtful about what to prioritize and where the opportunities were. Yes, hypergrowth is really fun, but you also need to realize that you want that hypergrowth to happen in terms of users and revenue—and not necessarily in terms of the size of the company.”

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162,101 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Q: Why is it easier to start a hard company than an easy company? In the clip below, Sam Altman tells the class at Stanford: “It’s easier to start a hard company than an easy company. Most people—especially young people—want to pick something that doesn’t sound too ambitious. They say to themselves: ‘starting a company sounds really hard. I better pick the easiest possible company.’” But as Sam explains: “Starting a company is always hard and it’s about equally hard no matter what you do. If you start a hard company though and you inspire passionate people—for example, if you are working on general AI or supersonic airplanes or nuclear power—you’ll find a lot more people who are excited about that than another derivative idea.” He elaborates on this idea even further in a blog post from four years ago: “The most precious commodity in the startup ecosystem right now is talented people, and for the most part talented people want to work on something they find meaningful… An easy startup is a headwind; a hard startup is a tailwind. If people care about your success because you seem committed to doing something significant, it’s a background force helping you with hiring, advice, partnerships, fundraising, etc.” He continues: “Let yourself become more ambitious—figure out the most interesting version of where what you’re working on could go. Then talk about that big vision and work relentlessly towards it, but always have a reasonable next step. You don’t want step one to be incorporating the company and step two to be going to Mars. Be willing to make a very long-term commitment to what you’re doing. Most people aren’t, which is part of the reason they pick ‘easy’ startups. In a world of compounding advantages where most people are operating on a 3 year timeframe and you’re operating on a 10 year timeframe, you’ll have a very large edge.”

Michael McGuiness

504,007 просмотров • 2 лет назад

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Vinod Khosla on the right way to execute a business plan Vinod Khosla, who founded Sun Microsystems and Khosla Ventures, likes to say: “Be obstinate about your vision, but be really flexible about your tactics.” He explains what he means by this: “It’s important to have a vision of where you’re trying to go, but how you get there is a series of experiments… What entrepreneurs do is effectual reasoning. They have a big vision, but they don’t try and get there in one leap… You take a step in the right direction so you can garner more resources and then try the next experiment… You try and garner resources for the next step, every step — not do the whole thing in one step.” This, Vinod believes, is one of the reasons raising too much money can lead founders astray: “People who raise too much money get too much confidence in their own plan, which is normally BS. The right way to do a business plan is flex-planning: have a vision, but plan the next 3-6 months to test every assumption you have. A business plan is about testing every assumption. Even if you’re sure it’s true, test it if you can in the marketplace by running an experiment.” He gives another analogy for the point he’s trying to make: “You want to shoot for Mount Everest, but nobody ever got to Mount Everest without getting to base camp first. You build a base camp of a stable place where you’ve learned a lot and where you can tread water for a while… Maybe you get to cash flow breakeven at base camp. But you want to set up base camp where it helps you scope out the path to Mount Everest.” Video source: Startup Grind (2015)

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Jeff Bezos on how to build a business strategy “I very frequently get the question: ‘What’s going to change in the next 10 years?” And that is an interesting question… But I almost never get the question: ‘What’s not going to change in the next 10 years?’ And I submit to you that that second question is actually the more important of the two.” Jeff argues: “You can build a business strategy around the things that are stable in time. In our retail business, we know that customers want low prices, and I know that’s going to be true 10 years from now. They want fast delivery. They want vast selection. It’s impossible to imagine a future 10 years from now where a customer comes up and says, ‘Jeff I love Amazon, I just wish the prices were a little higher.’ Or, ‘I love Amazon, I just wish you’d deliver a little slower.’ Impossible. And so we know the energy we put into these things today will still be paying dividends for our customers 10 years from now.” He gives AWS as another example. It’s impossible to imagine AWS customers asking for a less reliable or more expensive service. ”When you have something that you know is true, even over the long term, you can afford to put a lot of energy into it… The big ideas in business are often very obvious, but it’s very hard to maintain a firm grasp of the obvious at all times. But if you can do that and continue to spin up those flywheels and put energy into those things, over time, you build a better service for your customers on the things that genuinely matter to them.” Video source: Amazon Web Services (2012)

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61,894 просмотров • 1 год назад