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Escalating South China Sea Tensions: Philippines Risking Ukraine-Style Proxy Trap and Martial Law Revival? On June 11, 2026, China imposed measured sanctions on Philippine Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. and his family — travel ban and restrictions on dealings with Chinese entities. Reason: his repeated irresponsible remarks harming China’s...

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13,242 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Philippine Coast Guard Continues Vigilant Patrol Amidst China Coast Guard’s Dangerous Maneuver The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel, BRP Cabra, remains steadfast in its mission to challenge the illegal patrol conducted by the China Coast Guard vessel 3302. Despite continuous radio communications from the PCG asserting the illegitimacy of these actions, the China Coast Guard continues to claim that it is engaged in lawful maritime operations. Significantly, the presence of BRP Cabra has effectively pushed the China Coast Guard vessel further away, now located approximately 92-96 nautical miles off the coast of Capones Island. This demonstrates the PCG's commitment to safeguarding Philippine maritime interests and preventing the normalization of unlawful activities by the People’s Republic of China in the West Philippine Sea. Furthermore, it is important to note that the China Coast Guard vessel 3302 has engaged in reckless and dangerous maneuvers, displaying a blatant disregard for safety. An alarming incident this afternoon involved an attempted head-on collision with the smaller PCG vessel, raising concerns about the China Coast Guard's adherence to the Convention on the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972 (COLREGs), of which they are a signatory. It is only through the seamanship skills and professionalism of the crew of BRP Cabra that such collision was narrowly averted. Despite these provocative actions, the PCG maintains a composed and professional approach, prioritizing safety and the prevention of any untoward incidents. PCG Commandant, Admiral Ronnie Gil Gavan, continues to emphasize to the PCG sailors deployed in the West Philippine Sea the importance of asserting Philippine sovereignty and sovereign rights without escalating tensions. This directive aligns with the explicit guidance of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., reinforcing the commitment of the PCG to uphold national interests while maintaining peace in the West Philippine Sea.
0:07

Philippine Coast Guard Continues Vigilant Patrol Amidst China Coast Guard’s Dangerous Maneuver The Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel, BRP Cabra, remains steadfast in its mission to challenge the illegal patrol conducted by the China Coast Guard vessel 3302. Despite continuous radio communications from the PCG asserting the illegitimacy of these actions, the China Coast Guard continues to claim that it is engaged in lawful maritime operations. Significantly, the presence of BRP Cabra has effectively pushed the China Coast Guard vessel further away, now located approximately 92-96 nautical miles off the coast of Capones Island. This demonstrates the PCG's commitment to safeguarding Philippine maritime interests and preventing the normalization of unlawful activities by the People’s Republic of China in the West Philippine Sea. Furthermore, it is important to note that the China Coast Guard vessel 3302 has engaged in reckless and dangerous maneuvers, displaying a blatant disregard for safety. An alarming incident this afternoon involved an attempted head-on collision with the smaller PCG vessel, raising concerns about the China Coast Guard's adherence to the Convention on the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972 (COLREGs), of which they are a signatory. It is only through the seamanship skills and professionalism of the crew of BRP Cabra that such collision was narrowly averted. Despite these provocative actions, the PCG maintains a composed and professional approach, prioritizing safety and the prevention of any untoward incidents. PCG Commandant, Admiral Ronnie Gil Gavan, continues to emphasize to the PCG sailors deployed in the West Philippine Sea the importance of asserting Philippine sovereignty and sovereign rights without escalating tensions. This directive aligns with the explicit guidance of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., reinforcing the commitment of the PCG to uphold national interests while maintaining peace in the West Philippine Sea.

Jay Tarriela

41,440 просмотров • 1 год назад

Statement of the National Task Force-West Philippine Sea December 10, 2023, Manila, Philippines Today, 10 December 2023, China Coast Guard (CCG) and Chinese Maritime Militia (CMM) vessels harassed, blocked, and executed dangerous maneuvers on Philippine civilian supply vessels, in another attempt to illegally impede or obstruct a routine resupply and rotation mission (RORE) to BRP SIERRA MADRE (LS 57) at Avungin Shoal. CCG vessel 5204 deployed a water cannon against the Philippine supply vessels causing severe damage to M/L Kalavaan's engines, disabling the vessel and seriously endangering the lives of its crew. Currently, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel BRP Sindangan (MRRV-4407) is safely towing M/ Kalavaan back to Ulugan Bay, Palawan. Additionally, BRP Cabra (MRRV-4409) suffered damage to its mast after being directly targeted by the full strength of the water cannon of the China Coast Guard. The PCG vessels and the resupply boats Unaizah Mae 1 (UM1) and M/L Kalayaan were subjected to reckless and dangerous harassment at close range by CCG and Chinese Maritime Militia vessels on their approach to Avungin Shoal. Contrary to China Coast Guard disinformation, UM1 was rammed by CCG 21556. Despite these extreme and reckless actions, UM1 successfully reached BRP Sierra Madre, and resupply is ongoing as of this writing. The Task Force reiterates that Avungin Shoal is a low-tide elevation within the Philippine's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and continental shelf, in accordance with UNCLOS and as upheld by the 2016 Arbitral Award. The Philippines exercises sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the feature. As a low tide elevation, Avungin Shoal can neither be the subject of a sovereignty claim nor is it capable of appropriation under international law. China cannot lawfully exercise sovereignty over it. In this regard, the assertion of China that its actions in the vicinity of Avungin Shoal are a legitimate exercise of law enforcement measures, has no basis in international law. Further, we express grave concern over the deliberate disinformation conducted through official channels, that distort facts on the ground. We condemn, once again, China's latest unprovoked acts of coercion and dangerous maneuvers against a legitimate and routine Philippine rotation and resupply mission to Avungin Shoal that has put the lives of our people at risk. The systematic and consistent manner in which the People's Republic of China carries out these illegal and irresponsible actions puts into question and significant doubt the sincerity of its calls for peaceful dialogue. Peace and stability cannot be achieved without due regard for the legitimate, well-established, and legally settled rights of others. We demand that China demonstrate that it is a responsible and trustworthy member of the international community. The Philippines continues to act in accordance with international law, particularly UNCLOS and the 2016 Arbitral Award. The Philippines will not be deterred from exercising our legal rights over our maritime zones, including Akungin Shoal which forms part of our EEZ and continental shelf.
0:23

Statement of the National Task Force-West Philippine Sea December 10, 2023, Manila, Philippines Today, 10 December 2023, China Coast Guard (CCG) and Chinese Maritime Militia (CMM) vessels harassed, blocked, and executed dangerous maneuvers on Philippine civilian supply vessels, in another attempt to illegally impede or obstruct a routine resupply and rotation mission (RORE) to BRP SIERRA MADRE (LS 57) at Avungin Shoal. CCG vessel 5204 deployed a water cannon against the Philippine supply vessels causing severe damage to M/L Kalavaan's engines, disabling the vessel and seriously endangering the lives of its crew. Currently, Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel BRP Sindangan (MRRV-4407) is safely towing M/ Kalavaan back to Ulugan Bay, Palawan. Additionally, BRP Cabra (MRRV-4409) suffered damage to its mast after being directly targeted by the full strength of the water cannon of the China Coast Guard. The PCG vessels and the resupply boats Unaizah Mae 1 (UM1) and M/L Kalayaan were subjected to reckless and dangerous harassment at close range by CCG and Chinese Maritime Militia vessels on their approach to Avungin Shoal. Contrary to China Coast Guard disinformation, UM1 was rammed by CCG 21556. Despite these extreme and reckless actions, UM1 successfully reached BRP Sierra Madre, and resupply is ongoing as of this writing. The Task Force reiterates that Avungin Shoal is a low-tide elevation within the Philippine's exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and continental shelf, in accordance with UNCLOS and as upheld by the 2016 Arbitral Award. The Philippines exercises sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the feature. As a low tide elevation, Avungin Shoal can neither be the subject of a sovereignty claim nor is it capable of appropriation under international law. China cannot lawfully exercise sovereignty over it. In this regard, the assertion of China that its actions in the vicinity of Avungin Shoal are a legitimate exercise of law enforcement measures, has no basis in international law. Further, we express grave concern over the deliberate disinformation conducted through official channels, that distort facts on the ground. We condemn, once again, China's latest unprovoked acts of coercion and dangerous maneuvers against a legitimate and routine Philippine rotation and resupply mission to Avungin Shoal that has put the lives of our people at risk. The systematic and consistent manner in which the People's Republic of China carries out these illegal and irresponsible actions puts into question and significant doubt the sincerity of its calls for peaceful dialogue. Peace and stability cannot be achieved without due regard for the legitimate, well-established, and legally settled rights of others. We demand that China demonstrate that it is a responsible and trustworthy member of the international community. The Philippines continues to act in accordance with international law, particularly UNCLOS and the 2016 Arbitral Award. The Philippines will not be deterred from exercising our legal rights over our maritime zones, including Akungin Shoal which forms part of our EEZ and continental shelf.

Jay Tarriela

417,437 просмотров • 2 лет назад

It is already possible to speak about the outcome of the Russia-China talks, to which Putin traveled as a partner, appeared at as a guest, and bargained like a supplicant. ▪️ The greeting ceremony as a mirror of relations The difference in protocol between the two visits - Trump’s and Putin’s - became the clearest symbolic indicator. President Trump was greeted on the tarmac by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng, while Putin was met by the lower-ranking Foreign Minister Wang Yi. Trump’s delegation was accompanied by the heads of Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia, while Putin’s delegation was accompanied by square-jawed security personnel and a few officials. Xi demonstrated that he can host both Washington and Moscow in the same week - and that both come to him, not the other way around. Beijing placed itself at the center of the U.S.-China-Russia triangle. Despite the same red-carpet ceremony, Putin’s visit stood in sharp contrast to President Trump’s trip a week earlier. Putin quoted a Chinese proverb - "not seeing you for a day is like not seeing you for three autumns" - and invited Xi to Moscow next year. Xi responded with generic remarks about "development and rejuvenation" and never once stepped beyond protocol. ▪️ Economic and political dependence Economically, China is not a better trading partner for Russia than the European Union once was. It buys oil and gas at discounted prices, invests far less in Russia, and its products are often technologically inferior. Unlike the West, which provided Ukraine with billions in grants, Russia pays full price for Chinese imports. But in the absence of alternatives, China has become Russia’s economic lifeline. Russia’s dependence on China for sanctioned technology imports has risen to 90%, up from roughly 80% a year earlier. This comes despite Kremlin efforts to promote import substitution and achieve "technological sovereignty." China has purchased more than $367 billion worth of Russian oil and gas since the war began. At the same time, between April 2022 and February 2026, China’s average discount on Russian oil reached 7.7%, saving Beijing approximately $18.3 billion. Russia sells - China sets the price. The key evidence of this asymmetry is Power of Siberia 2. For Russia, it is a strategically critical project meant to compensate for the loss of the European gas market. Yet once again, no full agreement was signed during the visit: there is only a "general understanding," without pricing, timelines, or a final contractual framework. Politically, the dependence runs even deeper. Russia receives from China what it cannot secure on its own: an international stage, symbolic normalization, proof of "non-isolation," a shared language about a "multipolar world," and an anti-American framework. But China does not offer Moscow a formal alliance and does not allow Russia to dictate economic terms. The conclusion is straightforward: Russia received a stage, a declaration, and symbolic confirmation of status. China demonstrated that it fully controls its junior partner.
0:19

It is already possible to speak about the outcome of the Russia-China talks, to which Putin traveled as a partner, appeared at as a guest, and bargained like a supplicant. ▪️ The greeting ceremony as a mirror of relations The difference in protocol between the two visits - Trump’s and Putin’s - became the clearest symbolic indicator. President Trump was greeted on the tarmac by Chinese Vice President Han Zheng, while Putin was met by the lower-ranking Foreign Minister Wang Yi. Trump’s delegation was accompanied by the heads of Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia, while Putin’s delegation was accompanied by square-jawed security personnel and a few officials. Xi demonstrated that he can host both Washington and Moscow in the same week - and that both come to him, not the other way around. Beijing placed itself at the center of the U.S.-China-Russia triangle. Despite the same red-carpet ceremony, Putin’s visit stood in sharp contrast to President Trump’s trip a week earlier. Putin quoted a Chinese proverb - "not seeing you for a day is like not seeing you for three autumns" - and invited Xi to Moscow next year. Xi responded with generic remarks about "development and rejuvenation" and never once stepped beyond protocol. ▪️ Economic and political dependence Economically, China is not a better trading partner for Russia than the European Union once was. It buys oil and gas at discounted prices, invests far less in Russia, and its products are often technologically inferior. Unlike the West, which provided Ukraine with billions in grants, Russia pays full price for Chinese imports. But in the absence of alternatives, China has become Russia’s economic lifeline. Russia’s dependence on China for sanctioned technology imports has risen to 90%, up from roughly 80% a year earlier. This comes despite Kremlin efforts to promote import substitution and achieve "technological sovereignty." China has purchased more than $367 billion worth of Russian oil and gas since the war began. At the same time, between April 2022 and February 2026, China’s average discount on Russian oil reached 7.7%, saving Beijing approximately $18.3 billion. Russia sells - China sets the price. The key evidence of this asymmetry is Power of Siberia 2. For Russia, it is a strategically critical project meant to compensate for the loss of the European gas market. Yet once again, no full agreement was signed during the visit: there is only a "general understanding," without pricing, timelines, or a final contractual framework. Politically, the dependence runs even deeper. Russia receives from China what it cannot secure on its own: an international stage, symbolic normalization, proof of "non-isolation," a shared language about a "multipolar world," and an anti-American framework. But China does not offer Moscow a formal alliance and does not allow Russia to dictate economic terms. The conclusion is straightforward: Russia received a stage, a declaration, and symbolic confirmation of status. China demonstrated that it fully controls its junior partner.

Anton Gerashchenko

70,423 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

China has flatly rejected Reuters’ claim that it planned to supply Iran with 400 surface-to-air missiles. Beijing barely concealed its impatience—because it knows that what Washington needs is not the truth, but an excuse. The United States has been fighting Iran for more than five months without achieving the clean victory it expected. It has not broken Iran on the battlefield. It has not won the information war. It has not restored the illusion of effortless American supremacy. So now it needs a hidden mastermind. Washington cannot admit that a country it sanctioned, isolated, and impoverished for decades still refuses to collapse. The preferred explanation must therefore be: America is not failing against Iran. China is secretly controlling the war. Hence the convenient fantasy of 400 Chinese missiles. China is the perfect villain because blaming China preserves every other myth: American weapons remain invincible. American sanctions remain omnipotent. American strategy remains flawless. Only an unseen Chinese hand could possibly explain Iran’s resistance. At this point, it is no longer intelligence reporting. It is an empire writing fan fiction to avoid looking directly at the limits of its own power.
0:11

China has flatly rejected Reuters’ claim that it planned to supply Iran with 400 surface-to-air missiles. Beijing barely concealed its impatience—because it knows that what Washington needs is not the truth, but an excuse. The United States has been fighting Iran for more than five months without achieving the clean victory it expected. It has not broken Iran on the battlefield. It has not won the information war. It has not restored the illusion of effortless American supremacy. So now it needs a hidden mastermind. Washington cannot admit that a country it sanctioned, isolated, and impoverished for decades still refuses to collapse. The preferred explanation must therefore be: America is not failing against Iran. China is secretly controlling the war. Hence the convenient fantasy of 400 Chinese missiles. China is the perfect villain because blaming China preserves every other myth: American weapons remain invincible. American sanctions remain omnipotent. American strategy remains flawless. Only an unseen Chinese hand could possibly explain Iran’s resistance. At this point, it is no longer intelligence reporting. It is an empire writing fan fiction to avoid looking directly at the limits of its own power.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

121,386 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

SCOTT RITTER is an external Contributor to Energy Intelligence. He is a former US Marine Corps Intelligence Officer whose service over a 20-plus-year career included tours of duty in the former Soviet Union implementing arms control agreements, serving on the staff of US Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf during the Gulf War and later as a Chief Weapons Inspector with the UN in Iraq from 1991-98. “Just so you know, I have a little bit of background in the Philippines. In 1986, I was deployed there as a platoon commander to reinforce the Subic garrison. After the fall of the Marcos regime, there was concern about the new people’s army. “So I have a warm spot in my heart for the Philippines. Let’s build upon what Colonel Wilkerson had said earlier. The United States is incapable of fighting a sustained conflict against a peer-level force. “The United States cannot fight and engage China and win. We will not beat the Chinese. We cannot beat the Chinese. “And we know this, and yet we’re using the Philippines to create the conditions of potential conflict with the Chinese. Please understand that for the Filipino people, this is a recipe for disaster. You think America is your friend. “So too did the Ukrainian people, and they are dying by the hundreds of thousands. Friends don’t let friends die in those quantities. The Ukrainians have been displaced by the tens of millions. “Friends don’t let friends have their cities destroyed in this manner. Friends don’t let friends have families separated, have mothers and children destined to a life of refugee status in perpetual poverty. That’s not how friends behave. “America has never been the friend of Ukrainians, and we are not the friends of the Filipinos. We don’t like you. If we did like you, we wouldn’t be doing this to you. “We are using you. You are a tool, nothing but a tool. And when the tool ceases to be useful, we will discard you. “And discard you means usually after a war that devastates you. We are using you to gain some sort of momentary leverage over the Chinese. We will fail. “The Chinese will win, and you will be destroyed. End of story. It’s high time the Filipino people pressure their government to start sitting down and engaging the Chinese government responsibly. “China is not your enemy. China is your neighbor. China is your friend. “China doesn’t want war. And if you would engage China in diplomacy, and as we’ve all indicated here, America has long since lost the skill set necessary to carry out diplomacy. But the Filipinos, the Philippine people can reignite this, to relearn it, to use this skill to prevent a war. “But if you continue to behave as colonial subjects, and I know that’s a sore, sore, sore subject of the Filipino, because you were the colonial subjects of America. We still view you as our colonial subjects. We don’t like you. “We don’t care about you. We just want to use you. Grow up. “Grow up and act responsibly. Take control of your own future. America is not here to help you. America is here only to use you until there’s nothing left. And then we will discard you on the trash heap of history.”
0:16

SCOTT RITTER is an external Contributor to Energy Intelligence. He is a former US Marine Corps Intelligence Officer whose service over a 20-plus-year career included tours of duty in the former Soviet Union implementing arms control agreements, serving on the staff of US Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf during the Gulf War and later as a Chief Weapons Inspector with the UN in Iraq from 1991-98. “Just so you know, I have a little bit of background in the Philippines. In 1986, I was deployed there as a platoon commander to reinforce the Subic garrison. After the fall of the Marcos regime, there was concern about the new people’s army. “So I have a warm spot in my heart for the Philippines. Let’s build upon what Colonel Wilkerson had said earlier. The United States is incapable of fighting a sustained conflict against a peer-level force. “The United States cannot fight and engage China and win. We will not beat the Chinese. We cannot beat the Chinese. “And we know this, and yet we’re using the Philippines to create the conditions of potential conflict with the Chinese. Please understand that for the Filipino people, this is a recipe for disaster. You think America is your friend. “So too did the Ukrainian people, and they are dying by the hundreds of thousands. Friends don’t let friends die in those quantities. The Ukrainians have been displaced by the tens of millions. “Friends don’t let friends have their cities destroyed in this manner. Friends don’t let friends have families separated, have mothers and children destined to a life of refugee status in perpetual poverty. That’s not how friends behave. “America has never been the friend of Ukrainians, and we are not the friends of the Filipinos. We don’t like you. If we did like you, we wouldn’t be doing this to you. “We are using you. You are a tool, nothing but a tool. And when the tool ceases to be useful, we will discard you. “And discard you means usually after a war that devastates you. We are using you to gain some sort of momentary leverage over the Chinese. We will fail. “The Chinese will win, and you will be destroyed. End of story. It’s high time the Filipino people pressure their government to start sitting down and engaging the Chinese government responsibly. “China is not your enemy. China is your neighbor. China is your friend. “China doesn’t want war. And if you would engage China in diplomacy, and as we’ve all indicated here, America has long since lost the skill set necessary to carry out diplomacy. But the Filipinos, the Philippine people can reignite this, to relearn it, to use this skill to prevent a war. “But if you continue to behave as colonial subjects, and I know that’s a sore, sore, sore subject of the Filipino, because you were the colonial subjects of America. We still view you as our colonial subjects. We don’t like you. “We don’t care about you. We just want to use you. Grow up. “Grow up and act responsibly. Take control of your own future. America is not here to help you. America is here only to use you until there’s nothing left. And then we will discard you on the trash heap of history.”

Mark Lopez

30,241 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Cat Playing With Its Mouse: The Meaning Behind China’s Radar Lock on Japan’s F-15J on December 6th There is real tension in the air between Japan and China. Washington is slowly retreating from the Western Pacific, abandoning the region to Japan and telling it to hold the line alone. The world has shifted. There was a time when China was weak and poor, when every bully felt entitled to trample it. Those days are over. China rose for one purpose: to never again be abused and bullied. And now, strong and self-assured, China can finally settle accounts with the old tormentors — and Japan is at the top of that list. But the age of war has changed. The modern battlefield is not measured by bayonets or trenches, but by fire-control radars, AI-driven targeting systems, and the kind of technological superiority that lets you toy with your opponent without firing a shot. And this is exactly what unfolded on December 6. The Fire-Control Radar Incident: A Gun to the Forehead Koizumi Shinzorō, Japan’s Prime Minister, wanted confrontation, and China responded with precision. On December 6, Japan’s Defense Minister publicly admitted that J-15s launched from the Liaoning carrier had twice locked Japan’s F-15Js with fire-control radar over the high seas southeast of Okinawa. He called it “dangerous” and expressed “deep regret.” He is right to feel danger. This was no accident, no miscalculation. This was the PLA presenting a complete offensive posture, signaling that the region is one fingertip away from war — and China is fully prepared to exercise their rights under UN Charter Article 107. Most people have no idea how deadly serious “fire-control illumination” is. Japan’s F-15J pilot certainly knew: his cockpit must have exploded into warning alarms; Imagine that shrill beeping screaming through the cockpit for half an hour - enough to drive any normal person mad; his breathing must have turned shallow; his hands probably shook as he tried to maneuver away from the lock. However, even under that level of crushing psychological pressure, the Japanese pilot chose to stay inside the zone rather than fleeing. This is kamicaze level provocation. Because the moment fire-control goes live, the radar narrows into a focused beam, feeding exact parameters to the missile under the jet’s wing. In peacetime exercises, a sustained lock counts as a confirmed kill. In real combat, nobody activates it unless they are ready to shoot. And China kept that beam on the F-15J for over half an hour. First lock: 16:32–16:35, three full minutes. Second lock: 18:37–19:08, more than thirty minutes. There is no suspense about how this confrontation would end in a real war. It would be a guaranteed kill. The Cat and the Mouse To be precise, the J-15 wasn’t merely locking and unlocking. It was playing — the way a cat toys with a mouse trapped under its paw. Japan’s F-15J was that mouse.
0:12

Cat Playing With Its Mouse: The Meaning Behind China’s Radar Lock on Japan’s F-15J on December 6th There is real tension in the air between Japan and China. Washington is slowly retreating from the Western Pacific, abandoning the region to Japan and telling it to hold the line alone. The world has shifted. There was a time when China was weak and poor, when every bully felt entitled to trample it. Those days are over. China rose for one purpose: to never again be abused and bullied. And now, strong and self-assured, China can finally settle accounts with the old tormentors — and Japan is at the top of that list. But the age of war has changed. The modern battlefield is not measured by bayonets or trenches, but by fire-control radars, AI-driven targeting systems, and the kind of technological superiority that lets you toy with your opponent without firing a shot. And this is exactly what unfolded on December 6. The Fire-Control Radar Incident: A Gun to the Forehead Koizumi Shinzorō, Japan’s Prime Minister, wanted confrontation, and China responded with precision. On December 6, Japan’s Defense Minister publicly admitted that J-15s launched from the Liaoning carrier had twice locked Japan’s F-15Js with fire-control radar over the high seas southeast of Okinawa. He called it “dangerous” and expressed “deep regret.” He is right to feel danger. This was no accident, no miscalculation. This was the PLA presenting a complete offensive posture, signaling that the region is one fingertip away from war — and China is fully prepared to exercise their rights under UN Charter Article 107. Most people have no idea how deadly serious “fire-control illumination” is. Japan’s F-15J pilot certainly knew: his cockpit must have exploded into warning alarms; Imagine that shrill beeping screaming through the cockpit for half an hour - enough to drive any normal person mad; his breathing must have turned shallow; his hands probably shook as he tried to maneuver away from the lock. However, even under that level of crushing psychological pressure, the Japanese pilot chose to stay inside the zone rather than fleeing. This is kamicaze level provocation. Because the moment fire-control goes live, the radar narrows into a focused beam, feeding exact parameters to the missile under the jet’s wing. In peacetime exercises, a sustained lock counts as a confirmed kill. In real combat, nobody activates it unless they are ready to shoot. And China kept that beam on the F-15J for over half an hour. First lock: 16:32–16:35, three full minutes. Second lock: 18:37–19:08, more than thirty minutes. There is no suspense about how this confrontation would end in a real war. It would be a guaranteed kill. The Cat and the Mouse To be precise, the J-15 wasn’t merely locking and unlocking. It was playing — the way a cat toys with a mouse trapped under its paw. Japan’s F-15J was that mouse.

America-China Watcher

21,361 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Nobody is telling you how FUCKED the "America First" diplomatic playbook just became. Everyone is watching Trump's Beijing visit. The state banquet. The garden walk with Xi. The handshakes. Nobody is talking about the fact that four days later, Putin landed at the same airport and got something Trump didn't. China sent its Foreign Minister to the runway to personally wait for him. Trump got the Vice President. Putin got Wang Yi — the architect of Chinese foreign policy — standing on the tarmac with a military guard of honor and a red carpet. → Trump's visit yield: a factsheet. No concrete deals. → Putin's visit yield: ~40 bilateral documents. An energy megadeal. A joint declaration on a "multipolar world." → That is not a typo. Forty. Documents. Russia's oil exports to China are up 35% this year. China now takes nearly 50% of Russia's entire fossil fuel export revenue. Russia-China bilateral trade has exceeded $200 billion for three consecutive years. 💀 Here's what nobody is explaining to you: This doesn't just change THIS summit. This changes ALL summits. Forever. → The country that just sanctioned Russia is getting outmaneuvered by the country it sanctioned → The "isolation of Russia" narrative just got a 40-document rebuttal → China didn't choose sides — it chose outcomes. And the outcomes are going to Moscow. → Every country watching this learned the same lesson: protocol hierarchy IS foreign policy. Who meets you at the runway tells you everything. Trump flew home with photos. Putin is flying home with pipelines. The post-WWII assumption that America sets the terms of great-power diplomacy — that the US is the sun every other nation orbits — just got tested on a Beijing runway. And the sun didn't show up first. Bookmark this. You're watching the biggest shift in great-power alignment since the end of the Cold War. follow for more of whatever the hell this is becoming..
0:43

Nobody is telling you how FUCKED the "America First" diplomatic playbook just became. Everyone is watching Trump's Beijing visit. The state banquet. The garden walk with Xi. The handshakes. Nobody is talking about the fact that four days later, Putin landed at the same airport and got something Trump didn't. China sent its Foreign Minister to the runway to personally wait for him. Trump got the Vice President. Putin got Wang Yi — the architect of Chinese foreign policy — standing on the tarmac with a military guard of honor and a red carpet. → Trump's visit yield: a factsheet. No concrete deals. → Putin's visit yield: ~40 bilateral documents. An energy megadeal. A joint declaration on a "multipolar world." → That is not a typo. Forty. Documents. Russia's oil exports to China are up 35% this year. China now takes nearly 50% of Russia's entire fossil fuel export revenue. Russia-China bilateral trade has exceeded $200 billion for three consecutive years. 💀 Here's what nobody is explaining to you: This doesn't just change THIS summit. This changes ALL summits. Forever. → The country that just sanctioned Russia is getting outmaneuvered by the country it sanctioned → The "isolation of Russia" narrative just got a 40-document rebuttal → China didn't choose sides — it chose outcomes. And the outcomes are going to Moscow. → Every country watching this learned the same lesson: protocol hierarchy IS foreign policy. Who meets you at the runway tells you everything. Trump flew home with photos. Putin is flying home with pipelines. The post-WWII assumption that America sets the terms of great-power diplomacy — that the US is the sun every other nation orbits — just got tested on a Beijing runway. And the sun didn't show up first. Bookmark this. You're watching the biggest shift in great-power alignment since the end of the Cold War. follow for more of whatever the hell this is becoming..

🇺🇸 Ronald Carter

71,468 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

A Ransom Was Paid and Two Chinese Executives Were Killed in Manila, the Suspect Fled to the USA Xia Ke Fu and his Chinese-American partner went to Manila in June 2024 for what they were told was a business deal. Their families paid 3 million RMB to get them back, and both were killed anyway, their bodies left in a ravine in Camarines Sur. On July 20 the man China calls the ringleader, named only as Liu, walked off a commercial flight at Beijing Capital Airport in handcuffs, repatriated from the United States. The Ministry of Public Security says Liu led a group that repeatedly kidnapped and killed Chinese nationals in the Philippines. He fled to the US after the 2024 killings. Beijing issued an Interpol Red Notice, shared evidence with US law enforcement, and the US arrested him in October 2024. MPS is presenting the handover as a product of the Xi-Trump summit and a China-US win against transnational crime. Xia was a marketing director at Suzhou RainMed Medical Technology; his partner held US citizenship, and a friend reported the kidnapping to the FBI's Los Angeles office. Philippine police named eight persons of interest in 2024, five foreigners and three Filipinos, but the man Beijing wanted was already in the US. MPS gave no charge against Liu and did not say under what legal mechanism the US sent him back.
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A Ransom Was Paid and Two Chinese Executives Were Killed in Manila, the Suspect Fled to the USA Xia Ke Fu and his Chinese-American partner went to Manila in June 2024 for what they were told was a business deal. Their families paid 3 million RMB to get them back, and both were killed anyway, their bodies left in a ravine in Camarines Sur. On July 20 the man China calls the ringleader, named only as Liu, walked off a commercial flight at Beijing Capital Airport in handcuffs, repatriated from the United States. The Ministry of Public Security says Liu led a group that repeatedly kidnapped and killed Chinese nationals in the Philippines. He fled to the US after the 2024 killings. Beijing issued an Interpol Red Notice, shared evidence with US law enforcement, and the US arrested him in October 2024. MPS is presenting the handover as a product of the Xi-Trump summit and a China-US win against transnational crime. Xia was a marketing director at Suzhou RainMed Medical Technology; his partner held US citizenship, and a friend reported the kidnapping to the FBI's Los Angeles office. Philippine police named eight persons of interest in 2024, five foreigners and three Filipinos, but the man Beijing wanted was already in the US. MPS gave no charge against Liu and did not say under what legal mechanism the US sent him back.

Jacob in Cambodia 🇺🇸 🇰🇭

35,988 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

PCG Aircraft Conducts MDA Flight and Responds to Radio Challenges from PLA Navy Warship Near Bajo de Masinloc The Philippine Coast Guard recently conducted a routine Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) flight over the vicinity of Bajo de Masinloc, located within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone in the West Philippine Sea. During the patrol, the PCG aircraft detected the unauthorized presence of several Chinese maritime forces. These included two China Coast Guard vessels—one bearing an unidentified bow number and positioned approximately 84.6 nautical miles west of Capones Island, while the other was located 7.8 nautical miles southeast of Bajo de Masinloc—as well as two People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) warships with hull numbers 553 and 909 near the Southeast of BDM. In addition, five vessels believed to be Chinese maritime militia were observed at distances ranging from 6.16 to 11.82 nautical miles from Bajo de Masinloc. The PLAN warship with hull number 553 issued multiple radio challenges to the PCG Islander aircraft. The PCG aircrew responded professionally, asserting that the MDA flight was fully compliant with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), the 2016 Arbitral Award, and the Philippine Maritime Zones Act. These legal instruments affirm the Philippines’ sovereignty, sovereign rights, and maritime jurisdiction over the West Philippine Sea. The crew further emphasized the Philippines’ lawful authority to conduct MDA operations within its maritime zones and reminded the PLAN warship that China, as a signatory to UNCLOS, had no legal basis to interfere with legitimate Philippine activities. The PCG remains firmly committed to upholding the Philippines’ sovereignty and sovereign rights in the West Philippine Sea through transparent and peaceful operations, undeterred by any unlawful interference. This aerial patrol underscores the PCG’s unwavering resolve to protect Filipino fishermen, preserve our marine resources, and highlight the illegal presence of Chinese maritime forces to prevent its normalization—fully aligned with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s pledge to yield not a single inch of our territory to any foreign power.
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PCG Aircraft Conducts MDA Flight and Responds to Radio Challenges from PLA Navy Warship Near Bajo de Masinloc The Philippine Coast Guard recently conducted a routine Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) flight over the vicinity of Bajo de Masinloc, located within the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone in the West Philippine Sea. During the patrol, the PCG aircraft detected the unauthorized presence of several Chinese maritime forces. These included two China Coast Guard vessels—one bearing an unidentified bow number and positioned approximately 84.6 nautical miles west of Capones Island, while the other was located 7.8 nautical miles southeast of Bajo de Masinloc—as well as two People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) warships with hull numbers 553 and 909 near the Southeast of BDM. In addition, five vessels believed to be Chinese maritime militia were observed at distances ranging from 6.16 to 11.82 nautical miles from Bajo de Masinloc. The PLAN warship with hull number 553 issued multiple radio challenges to the PCG Islander aircraft. The PCG aircrew responded professionally, asserting that the MDA flight was fully compliant with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), the 2016 Arbitral Award, and the Philippine Maritime Zones Act. These legal instruments affirm the Philippines’ sovereignty, sovereign rights, and maritime jurisdiction over the West Philippine Sea. The crew further emphasized the Philippines’ lawful authority to conduct MDA operations within its maritime zones and reminded the PLAN warship that China, as a signatory to UNCLOS, had no legal basis to interfere with legitimate Philippine activities. The PCG remains firmly committed to upholding the Philippines’ sovereignty and sovereign rights in the West Philippine Sea through transparent and peaceful operations, undeterred by any unlawful interference. This aerial patrol underscores the PCG’s unwavering resolve to protect Filipino fishermen, preserve our marine resources, and highlight the illegal presence of Chinese maritime forces to prevent its normalization—fully aligned with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s pledge to yield not a single inch of our territory to any foreign power.

Jay Tarriela

39,065 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

NSC Press Release Strategic Communications Office 22 October 2023 7:30pm PHILIPPINES REMAINS COMMITTED TO PROTECTING AND SECURING THE NATIONAL INTEREST, DESPITE PROVOCATIONS “We will not be deterred and we will continue to resupply our troops in BRP Sierra Madre despite provocations.” This was the sentiment of National Security Adviser Secretary Eduardo M. Ano when informed of the collision incidents during the resupply mission to, and the upkeep of, the BRP Sierra Madre stationed at Ayungin Shoal, legitimate activities in the PH exclusive economic zone which are in accordance with international law. Earlier today two incidents of dangerous maneuvering by Chinese Coast Gaurd and militia vessels resulted in collisions during the latest routine and regular rotation and resupply (RORE) mission to BRP SIERRA MADRE (LS57). The first took place on or about 0604H and involved China Coast Guard vessel 5203 (CCGV 5203) colliding with supply boat Unaiza May 2 (UM 2) due to the former vessel recklessly and irresponsibly conducting illegal and dangerous blocking maneuvers against Philippine vessels. The second incident happened at approximately 0814H when Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel MRRV 4409 was struck by Chinese Maritime Militia vessel 00003 that was actively engaged in coordinated maneuvers to harass, impede. and obstruct the Philippine vessels. The PCG reports that crews of the Philippine vessels involved in the collisions were safe and unharmed. Reacting to the incident, Vice Admiral Alberto Carlos, Commander of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) Western Command (WESCOM), stated: “Through the years, our resupply sorties have always been regular and routinary. Our sailors have met Chinese vessels’ dangerous maneuvers with utmost patience, competence, and professionalism to avoid any accidents or untoward incidents.” For newly appointed PCG Commandant Admiral Ronnie Gil Gavan the importance of the recent resupply mission's success, though partial, demonstrated the AFP’s and PCG's “…capability to manage and overcome provocative, irresponsible, and reckless conduct from their Chinese counterparts in a professional and resolute manner, without escalating tensions.” He urged the China Coast Guard (CCG) to adhere to the maritime safety provisions of UNCLOS and the Convention on the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972 (COLREGs) to ensure the safety of both parties involved, avoiding any unfortunate incidents that could put lives at risk. When asked to describe the mood and morale of the personnel under his command, Vice Admiral Carlos said that the men and women of the WESCOM are “…resolute in exercising our mandate of protecting our maritime territory and delivering the needed supplies in Ayungin Shoal. We remain determined to secure our sovereignty, sovereign rights, and our jurisdiction. Your WESCOM is undaunted. “ When asked about the actions today of the China Coast Guard and their maritime militia and Chinese claims, made through their Ministry of Foreign Affairs and their Embassy here in Manila, that these acted in a “reasonable, lawful, and professional” manner, Secretary Año responded that "The professionalism, restraint, and gallantry of our officers and personnel put them to shame every time we go out there.” As of writing, PCG vessels MRRV-4407 and MRRV-4409 are currently escorting supply boats Unaiza May 1 and 2 back to their home port. According to the PCG MRRV-4409 will stay with the supply boats to ensure that the damaged supply boat will safely make the trip.
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NSC Press Release Strategic Communications Office 22 October 2023 7:30pm PHILIPPINES REMAINS COMMITTED TO PROTECTING AND SECURING THE NATIONAL INTEREST, DESPITE PROVOCATIONS “We will not be deterred and we will continue to resupply our troops in BRP Sierra Madre despite provocations.” This was the sentiment of National Security Adviser Secretary Eduardo M. Ano when informed of the collision incidents during the resupply mission to, and the upkeep of, the BRP Sierra Madre stationed at Ayungin Shoal, legitimate activities in the PH exclusive economic zone which are in accordance with international law. Earlier today two incidents of dangerous maneuvering by Chinese Coast Gaurd and militia vessels resulted in collisions during the latest routine and regular rotation and resupply (RORE) mission to BRP SIERRA MADRE (LS57). The first took place on or about 0604H and involved China Coast Guard vessel 5203 (CCGV 5203) colliding with supply boat Unaiza May 2 (UM 2) due to the former vessel recklessly and irresponsibly conducting illegal and dangerous blocking maneuvers against Philippine vessels. The second incident happened at approximately 0814H when Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) vessel MRRV 4409 was struck by Chinese Maritime Militia vessel 00003 that was actively engaged in coordinated maneuvers to harass, impede. and obstruct the Philippine vessels. The PCG reports that crews of the Philippine vessels involved in the collisions were safe and unharmed. Reacting to the incident, Vice Admiral Alberto Carlos, Commander of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) Western Command (WESCOM), stated: “Through the years, our resupply sorties have always been regular and routinary. Our sailors have met Chinese vessels’ dangerous maneuvers with utmost patience, competence, and professionalism to avoid any accidents or untoward incidents.” For newly appointed PCG Commandant Admiral Ronnie Gil Gavan the importance of the recent resupply mission's success, though partial, demonstrated the AFP’s and PCG's “…capability to manage and overcome provocative, irresponsible, and reckless conduct from their Chinese counterparts in a professional and resolute manner, without escalating tensions.” He urged the China Coast Guard (CCG) to adhere to the maritime safety provisions of UNCLOS and the Convention on the International Regulations for Preventing Collisions at Sea, 1972 (COLREGs) to ensure the safety of both parties involved, avoiding any unfortunate incidents that could put lives at risk. When asked to describe the mood and morale of the personnel under his command, Vice Admiral Carlos said that the men and women of the WESCOM are “…resolute in exercising our mandate of protecting our maritime territory and delivering the needed supplies in Ayungin Shoal. We remain determined to secure our sovereignty, sovereign rights, and our jurisdiction. Your WESCOM is undaunted. “ When asked about the actions today of the China Coast Guard and their maritime militia and Chinese claims, made through their Ministry of Foreign Affairs and their Embassy here in Manila, that these acted in a “reasonable, lawful, and professional” manner, Secretary Año responded that "The professionalism, restraint, and gallantry of our officers and personnel put them to shame every time we go out there.” As of writing, PCG vessels MRRV-4407 and MRRV-4409 are currently escorting supply boats Unaiza May 1 and 2 back to their home port. According to the PCG MRRV-4409 will stay with the supply boats to ensure that the damaged supply boat will safely make the trip.

Jay Tarriela

385,980 просмотров • 2 лет назад

🧵 Why China Does Not Want War With the United States—Even If It Has Military Supremacy It is becoming increasingly clear that China now holds a decisive military edge in many areas over the United States. It has built a war machine optimized for network-centric warfare, outpacing the U.S. in electronic jamming, long-range missile precision, radar integration, and regional air dominance. It can deny access, blind satellites, and overwhelm fleets. But military supremacy doesn’t mean recklessness. China has the ability to win battles. But it has no interest in starting a war—because it understands the cost of victory might be national suicide. Let us begin with a basic truth. China is not self-sufficient when it comes to economic demand. Its internal market is still maturing. Who feeds the Chinese people economically? The answer is: the world—especially the rich, Western world. China’s total foreign trade in 2024 hit 43.85 trillion yuan (~US$6 trillion), with exports accounting for 25.45 trillion yuan (~US$3.47 trillion). This figure is often downplayed by critics who claim “exports only represent around 18–30% of China’s GDP.” But such figures miss the structural importance of exports: they power the coastal provinces, which in turn power the entire nation. The bulk of China’s industrial and export muscle is concentrated in six coastal provinces: 1. Guangdong (~US$888 billion exports) 2. Zhejiang (~US$532 billion) 3. Jiangsu (~US$518 billion) 4. Shandong (~US$272 billion) 5. Shanghai (~US$255 billion) 6. Fujian (~US$167 billion) Together, these provinces account for the majority of China's exports. They are also home to China’s largest ports—Shenzhen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Qingdao—which function as lifelines for both imports and exports. Once war breaks out, these ports will shut down—either by enemy blockade, missile strikes, or insurance collapse. That means factories stop, logistics freeze, and tens of millions are thrown into unemployment. Some believe China can pivot to trade with the Global South—BRICS, Belt and Road nations, Africa, Latin America. It’s a comforting illusion. Here’s the problem: China mainly imports resources from the Global South—oil, gas, lithium, bauxite, copper, iron ore—not finished goods. It uses these to manufacture high-end products. But who consumes these products? The West. In 2024: Exports to the United States totaled 3.73 trillion yuan (approx. 514 billion USD) Exports to the European Union: 3.68 trillion yuan (approx. 508 billion USD) Exports to Japan and South Korea: over 1.5 trillion yuan combined (approx. 207 billion USD) - ASEAN nations were the top partner bloc, but much of this was processing trade with end-markets in the West This adds up to nearly half of China's total exports going to Western or high-income markets. These are the only markets with the income level and consumer appetite to absorb the full output of Chinese industry. Remove them from the equation—and the entire chain collapses. Here’s how a war, or even a serious blockade, would detonate the economy: 1. Western demand disappears 2. China stops exporting to Europe, the U.S., Japan, South Korea. 3. China no longer needs to import energy, iron ore, or copper from BRICS and the Global South 4. Global South trade drastically drops—because there’s no downstream use 5. Coastal factories go silent 6. Wealth stops flowing inland 7. Domestic consumption drops 8. Local governments collapse under fiscal pressure 9. Unemployment skyrockets 10. Social unrest erupts That’s the chain reaction. It would a few months, not years. Despite all efforts to de-dollarize, to promote RMB trade, to build an alternative system—this is still a Western-centric global economy. Even in 2024, over 59% of Chinese exports were mechanical and electrical products—designed for Western consumers, not subsistence economies. 👇
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🧵 Why China Does Not Want War With the United States—Even If It Has Military Supremacy It is becoming increasingly clear that China now holds a decisive military edge in many areas over the United States. It has built a war machine optimized for network-centric warfare, outpacing the U.S. in electronic jamming, long-range missile precision, radar integration, and regional air dominance. It can deny access, blind satellites, and overwhelm fleets. But military supremacy doesn’t mean recklessness. China has the ability to win battles. But it has no interest in starting a war—because it understands the cost of victory might be national suicide. Let us begin with a basic truth. China is not self-sufficient when it comes to economic demand. Its internal market is still maturing. Who feeds the Chinese people economically? The answer is: the world—especially the rich, Western world. China’s total foreign trade in 2024 hit 43.85 trillion yuan (~US$6 trillion), with exports accounting for 25.45 trillion yuan (~US$3.47 trillion). This figure is often downplayed by critics who claim “exports only represent around 18–30% of China’s GDP.” But such figures miss the structural importance of exports: they power the coastal provinces, which in turn power the entire nation. The bulk of China’s industrial and export muscle is concentrated in six coastal provinces: 1. Guangdong (~US$888 billion exports) 2. Zhejiang (~US$532 billion) 3. Jiangsu (~US$518 billion) 4. Shandong (~US$272 billion) 5. Shanghai (~US$255 billion) 6. Fujian (~US$167 billion) Together, these provinces account for the majority of China's exports. They are also home to China’s largest ports—Shenzhen, Shanghai, Ningbo, Qingdao—which function as lifelines for both imports and exports. Once war breaks out, these ports will shut down—either by enemy blockade, missile strikes, or insurance collapse. That means factories stop, logistics freeze, and tens of millions are thrown into unemployment. Some believe China can pivot to trade with the Global South—BRICS, Belt and Road nations, Africa, Latin America. It’s a comforting illusion. Here’s the problem: China mainly imports resources from the Global South—oil, gas, lithium, bauxite, copper, iron ore—not finished goods. It uses these to manufacture high-end products. But who consumes these products? The West. In 2024: Exports to the United States totaled 3.73 trillion yuan (approx. 514 billion USD) Exports to the European Union: 3.68 trillion yuan (approx. 508 billion USD) Exports to Japan and South Korea: over 1.5 trillion yuan combined (approx. 207 billion USD) - ASEAN nations were the top partner bloc, but much of this was processing trade with end-markets in the West This adds up to nearly half of China's total exports going to Western or high-income markets. These are the only markets with the income level and consumer appetite to absorb the full output of Chinese industry. Remove them from the equation—and the entire chain collapses. Here’s how a war, or even a serious blockade, would detonate the economy: 1. Western demand disappears 2. China stops exporting to Europe, the U.S., Japan, South Korea. 3. China no longer needs to import energy, iron ore, or copper from BRICS and the Global South 4. Global South trade drastically drops—because there’s no downstream use 5. Coastal factories go silent 6. Wealth stops flowing inland 7. Domestic consumption drops 8. Local governments collapse under fiscal pressure 9. Unemployment skyrockets 10. Social unrest erupts That’s the chain reaction. It would a few months, not years. Despite all efforts to de-dollarize, to promote RMB trade, to build an alternative system—this is still a Western-centric global economy. Even in 2024, over 59% of Chinese exports were mechanical and electrical products—designed for Western consumers, not subsistence economies. 👇

America-China Watcher

25,099 просмотров • 1 год назад

🇬🇧🇨🇳BRITAIN WARNS CHINA AS "JUSTICE MISSION 2025" CHOKES TAIWAN The Taiwan Strait is currently a powder keg of high-velocity hardware and diplomatic fury. The UK Foreign Office issued a blunt warning to Beijing, stating that China's massive "Justice Mission 2025" military exercises have pushed cross-strait tensions to a dangerous "risk of escalation." London is calling for immediate restraint, emphasizing that the fate of Taiwan must be settled through dialogue, not the "threat or use of force." Beijing’s response? A sharp rebuke, labeling the British concerns a "misrepresentation of facts." But the facts on the water are hard to ignore. For 48 hours, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has conducted what analysts are calling a "full invasion rehearsal," simulating a total blockade of Taiwan’s primary ports, including Keelung and Kaohsiung. It seems to be a punitive strike in response to a record-breaking $11.1 billion U.S. arms sale to Taipei announced earlier this month. The scale of this "Iron Ring" is unprecedented. On Tuesday alone, the PLA fired at least 27 missiles and long-range rockets into waters dangerously close to Taiwan's 24-nautical-mile contiguous zone. Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense reported a swarm of 130 warplanes and 14 naval vessels, including an amphibious assault strike group, saturating the region. The message from the Eastern Theater Command is crystal clear: any "external interference," a direct shot at Washington and London, will be met with what they call the "Shield of Justice." While the UK and Japan remain on high alert, the reaction from Mar-a-Lago has been notably stoic. Trump, when asked about the drills, downplayed the threat, noting he has a "great relationship with President Xi" and that China has been doing naval exercises for decades. However, for the 6,000 passengers whose flights were cancelled and the millions of Taiwanese watching rockets streak across the horizon, this feels less like a routine exercise and more like the final countdown. Source: Reuters, GovUK, Al Jazeera
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🇬🇧🇨🇳BRITAIN WARNS CHINA AS "JUSTICE MISSION 2025" CHOKES TAIWAN The Taiwan Strait is currently a powder keg of high-velocity hardware and diplomatic fury. The UK Foreign Office issued a blunt warning to Beijing, stating that China's massive "Justice Mission 2025" military exercises have pushed cross-strait tensions to a dangerous "risk of escalation." London is calling for immediate restraint, emphasizing that the fate of Taiwan must be settled through dialogue, not the "threat or use of force." Beijing’s response? A sharp rebuke, labeling the British concerns a "misrepresentation of facts." But the facts on the water are hard to ignore. For 48 hours, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has conducted what analysts are calling a "full invasion rehearsal," simulating a total blockade of Taiwan’s primary ports, including Keelung and Kaohsiung. It seems to be a punitive strike in response to a record-breaking $11.1 billion U.S. arms sale to Taipei announced earlier this month. The scale of this "Iron Ring" is unprecedented. On Tuesday alone, the PLA fired at least 27 missiles and long-range rockets into waters dangerously close to Taiwan's 24-nautical-mile contiguous zone. Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense reported a swarm of 130 warplanes and 14 naval vessels, including an amphibious assault strike group, saturating the region. The message from the Eastern Theater Command is crystal clear: any "external interference," a direct shot at Washington and London, will be met with what they call the "Shield of Justice." While the UK and Japan remain on high alert, the reaction from Mar-a-Lago has been notably stoic. Trump, when asked about the drills, downplayed the threat, noting he has a "great relationship with President Xi" and that China has been doing naval exercises for decades. However, for the 6,000 passengers whose flights were cancelled and the millions of Taiwanese watching rockets streak across the horizon, this feels less like a routine exercise and more like the final countdown. Source: Reuters, GovUK, Al Jazeera

Mario Nawfal

79,673 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

STATEMENT OF THE NATIONAL TASK FORCE FOR THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA 9 December 2023 Manila, Philippines The National Task Force West Philippine Sea (NTFWPS) vehemently condemns the illegal and aggressive actions carried out by the Chinese Coast Guard and Chinese Maritime Militia against the civilian Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources (BFAR) vessels Datu Sanday, Datu Bankaw, and Datu Tamblot today during a regular BFAR humanitarian and support mission of providing oil subsidy and grocery packs to over 30 Filipino fishing vessels near Bajo De Masinloc in the West Philippine Sea. As of this reporting the mission is on-going. Based on the reports received, as the BFAR vessels approached 1.4 to 1.9 nautical miles from Bajo de Masinloc, the Chinese Coast Guard ships utilized water cannons to obstruct and prevent BFAR vessels from approaching the Filipino fishing vessels eagerly awaiting the oil subsidy and grocery packs. The water cannons had been used at least eight (8) times at the time of reporting. Additionally, the Chinese Maritime Militia vessels are reported to have engaged in dangerous maneuvers and deployed what is understood to be a Long-Range Acoustic Device (LRAD) against the BFAR vessels - causing severe temporary discomfort and incapacitation to some Filipino crew. Water cannon action have resulted in significant damage to BFAR vessel Datu Tamblot's communication and navigation equipment, as it was directly and deliberately targeted by the China Coast Guard. The Task Force likewise denounces the deployment of Rigid Hull Inflatable Boats (RHIBs) to disperse and drive away Filipino fishing vessels eagerly awaiting the distribution of fuel subsidies and food supplies from the BFAR ships. To prevent the distribution of humanitarian support is not only illegal but also inhumane. Moreover, Filipino fishermen have reported and documented the Chinese Coast Guard launching a small boat early this morning to illegally install a floating barrier at the southeast entrance of Bajo De Masinloc. The actions of Chinese Coast Guard and Chinese Maritime Militia hindered the BFAR vessel from accessing the entrance of the shoal. We stress that Bajo de Masinloc is a high-tide feature with territorial sea, per the 2016 Arbitral Award. It forms an integral part of the Philippine national territory under the Constitution. The Philippines exercises sovereignty and jurisdiction over the shoal and its territorial sea. The 2016 Arbitral Award has also clarified that Filipinos have traditional fishing rights in the water of Bajo de Masinloc protected by international law. China's illegal exercise of maritime law enforcement powers, interference with Philippine vessels, harassment and intimidation of Filipino fisherfolk, or any other activity that infringes upon the Philippines' sovereignty and jurisdiction in Bajo de Masinloc are violations of international law, particularly UNCLOS and the Arbitral Award. We firmly insist that these Chinese vessels leave Bajo de Masinloc immediately. We demand that the Chinese government take immediate action to halt these aggressive activities and uphold the principles of international law and desist from actions that would infringe on Philippine Sovereignty and endanger the lives and livelihood of Filipino fishermen who have traditionally fished in the area. The NTF-WPS remains committed to protecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Philippines in the West Philippine Sea.
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STATEMENT OF THE NATIONAL TASK FORCE FOR THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA 9 December 2023 Manila, Philippines The National Task Force West Philippine Sea (NTFWPS) vehemently condemns the illegal and aggressive actions carried out by the Chinese Coast Guard and Chinese Maritime Militia against the civilian Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources (BFAR) vessels Datu Sanday, Datu Bankaw, and Datu Tamblot today during a regular BFAR humanitarian and support mission of providing oil subsidy and grocery packs to over 30 Filipino fishing vessels near Bajo De Masinloc in the West Philippine Sea. As of this reporting the mission is on-going. Based on the reports received, as the BFAR vessels approached 1.4 to 1.9 nautical miles from Bajo de Masinloc, the Chinese Coast Guard ships utilized water cannons to obstruct and prevent BFAR vessels from approaching the Filipino fishing vessels eagerly awaiting the oil subsidy and grocery packs. The water cannons had been used at least eight (8) times at the time of reporting. Additionally, the Chinese Maritime Militia vessels are reported to have engaged in dangerous maneuvers and deployed what is understood to be a Long-Range Acoustic Device (LRAD) against the BFAR vessels - causing severe temporary discomfort and incapacitation to some Filipino crew. Water cannon action have resulted in significant damage to BFAR vessel Datu Tamblot's communication and navigation equipment, as it was directly and deliberately targeted by the China Coast Guard. The Task Force likewise denounces the deployment of Rigid Hull Inflatable Boats (RHIBs) to disperse and drive away Filipino fishing vessels eagerly awaiting the distribution of fuel subsidies and food supplies from the BFAR ships. To prevent the distribution of humanitarian support is not only illegal but also inhumane. Moreover, Filipino fishermen have reported and documented the Chinese Coast Guard launching a small boat early this morning to illegally install a floating barrier at the southeast entrance of Bajo De Masinloc. The actions of Chinese Coast Guard and Chinese Maritime Militia hindered the BFAR vessel from accessing the entrance of the shoal. We stress that Bajo de Masinloc is a high-tide feature with territorial sea, per the 2016 Arbitral Award. It forms an integral part of the Philippine national territory under the Constitution. The Philippines exercises sovereignty and jurisdiction over the shoal and its territorial sea. The 2016 Arbitral Award has also clarified that Filipinos have traditional fishing rights in the water of Bajo de Masinloc protected by international law. China's illegal exercise of maritime law enforcement powers, interference with Philippine vessels, harassment and intimidation of Filipino fisherfolk, or any other activity that infringes upon the Philippines' sovereignty and jurisdiction in Bajo de Masinloc are violations of international law, particularly UNCLOS and the Arbitral Award. We firmly insist that these Chinese vessels leave Bajo de Masinloc immediately. We demand that the Chinese government take immediate action to halt these aggressive activities and uphold the principles of international law and desist from actions that would infringe on Philippine Sovereignty and endanger the lives and livelihood of Filipino fishermen who have traditionally fished in the area. The NTF-WPS remains committed to protecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Philippines in the West Philippine Sea.

Jay Tarriela

1,299,255 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Up to ~2,000 🇨🇳 fishing boats had gathered together and formed a “wall” near the Japan-China median line in the East China Sea on two occasions, in late 2025 and Jan 2026. The area where the fishing boats gathered was near the Japan-China median line, which defines the boundary of Japan's EEZ. The first time, around Dec 25, 2025 (Japan time), ~2,000 boats formed a huge inverted L-shape stretching 470km north to south and 230km east to west. The second time, around Jan 11, 2026, ~1,300 boats lined up in a stretch of 370km north to south. The two clusters coincided at 125 degrees east longitude. The fleet had been there for more than 24 hours, suggesting organized mobilization. Strong winds were forecast at the time. South Korean fishing boats returned to port, but the Chinese fishing boats crowded together at sea. "Even if they were trying to avoid bad weather, it's odd for them to form a formation on this scale for such a long period of time. It's hard to imagine them lining up for normal fishing operations or along the border of a fisheries agreement, so it's possible they were training." The gathering of fishing boats occurred amid worsening diplomatic tensions between Japan and China. "Following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks (last November) regarding a Taiwan emergency, China may have chosen this location to mobilize its maritime militia as a demonstration." Satellite imagery of the second gathering, taken just before noon on Jan 11, confirmed the closely packed, stopped fleet. Spoofing of ship location information is unlikely. In some places, the distance between ships was less than 500m. "Considering the risk of being swept away by the tide, this is not a distance that can be considered safe." "China has the ability to disrupt international maritime logistics." Some fishing boat crews are known to cooperate with the 🇨🇳 government and military as maritime militia. Positioned as both soldiers and civilians, they are believed to have engaged in "gray zone operations," short of using military force, and have been involved in China's effective control of the South China Sea. Many of the vessels that gathered this time had departed from Zhejiang Province, home to one of China's largest fishing bases. At a meeting held in Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, in Dec last year, discussions focused on military-civilian integration and national defense mobilization under the 15th Five-Year Plan, which begins in 2026.
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Up to ~2,000 🇨🇳 fishing boats had gathered together and formed a “wall” near the Japan-China median line in the East China Sea on two occasions, in late 2025 and Jan 2026. The area where the fishing boats gathered was near the Japan-China median line, which defines the boundary of Japan's EEZ. The first time, around Dec 25, 2025 (Japan time), ~2,000 boats formed a huge inverted L-shape stretching 470km north to south and 230km east to west. The second time, around Jan 11, 2026, ~1,300 boats lined up in a stretch of 370km north to south. The two clusters coincided at 125 degrees east longitude. The fleet had been there for more than 24 hours, suggesting organized mobilization. Strong winds were forecast at the time. South Korean fishing boats returned to port, but the Chinese fishing boats crowded together at sea. "Even if they were trying to avoid bad weather, it's odd for them to form a formation on this scale for such a long period of time. It's hard to imagine them lining up for normal fishing operations or along the border of a fisheries agreement, so it's possible they were training." The gathering of fishing boats occurred amid worsening diplomatic tensions between Japan and China. "Following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks (last November) regarding a Taiwan emergency, China may have chosen this location to mobilize its maritime militia as a demonstration." Satellite imagery of the second gathering, taken just before noon on Jan 11, confirmed the closely packed, stopped fleet. Spoofing of ship location information is unlikely. In some places, the distance between ships was less than 500m. "Considering the risk of being swept away by the tide, this is not a distance that can be considered safe." "China has the ability to disrupt international maritime logistics." Some fishing boat crews are known to cooperate with the 🇨🇳 government and military as maritime militia. Positioned as both soldiers and civilians, they are believed to have engaged in "gray zone operations," short of using military force, and have been involved in China's effective control of the South China Sea. Many of the vessels that gathered this time had departed from Zhejiang Province, home to one of China's largest fishing bases. At a meeting held in Zhoushan, Zhejiang Province, in Dec last year, discussions focused on military-civilian integration and national defense mobilization under the 15th Five-Year Plan, which begins in 2026.

Byron Wan

24,329 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Vulnerable Oil Pipelines and the UAE’s Existential Delusion If the problem is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in the event of a conflict, I would say that these ideas only last until the conflict actually begins. Once it starts, both the terminals and the oil pipelines will be bombed. The Gulf countries have not yet understood that they need to reach some kind of arrangement among themselves. And the United States should encourage this, focusing on regional stability. It has become clear that U.S military control of the region no longer exists. The bases only serve to waste money and expose the Arab countries to confrontation with Iran. The Emirates are living in an existential delusion, believing they can return to previous levels of prosperity while maintaining a confrontational stance toward Iran. The UAE is face-to-face with Iran. After what happened in this war, who will invest in Dubai without the certainty that the country has reached an understanding with Iran? The illusion of American protection no longer exists. The same applies to all Gulf countries. Both the appeasement of Iranian-backed militias and the reduction of the American military presence around Iran are political decisions that need to mature through greater dialogue, something that will not be achieved with the confrontational tone the Emirates have maintained. On the contrary, the Emirates are deluded and will see their economy face serious difficulties if they continue down this path. Carrying out persuasion through military encirclement with bases against a missile power is no longer viable today. Decades ago, those bases might have received the occasional imprecise Scud. Today, they face showers of missiles and drones. These bases are no longer practical in the current era, and the same applies to bases in Asia surrounding China, or NATO bases surrounding Russia. The new reality is simple: only underground bases supported by a vast ecosystem will survive future conflicts. The Cold War strategy of containment has proven to be a failure in modern wars. It merely exposes troops to grave danger without delivering real security. The entire model must be completely rethought. The war with Iran has demonstrated that military bases now require a minimum safe distance from adversary missile and drone threats, and even then, they must be built underground. Surface bases have become liabilities rather than assets.
0:15

Vulnerable Oil Pipelines and the UAE’s Existential Delusion If the problem is the closure of the Strait of Hormuz in the event of a conflict, I would say that these ideas only last until the conflict actually begins. Once it starts, both the terminals and the oil pipelines will be bombed. The Gulf countries have not yet understood that they need to reach some kind of arrangement among themselves. And the United States should encourage this, focusing on regional stability. It has become clear that U.S military control of the region no longer exists. The bases only serve to waste money and expose the Arab countries to confrontation with Iran. The Emirates are living in an existential delusion, believing they can return to previous levels of prosperity while maintaining a confrontational stance toward Iran. The UAE is face-to-face with Iran. After what happened in this war, who will invest in Dubai without the certainty that the country has reached an understanding with Iran? The illusion of American protection no longer exists. The same applies to all Gulf countries. Both the appeasement of Iranian-backed militias and the reduction of the American military presence around Iran are political decisions that need to mature through greater dialogue, something that will not be achieved with the confrontational tone the Emirates have maintained. On the contrary, the Emirates are deluded and will see their economy face serious difficulties if they continue down this path. Carrying out persuasion through military encirclement with bases against a missile power is no longer viable today. Decades ago, those bases might have received the occasional imprecise Scud. Today, they face showers of missiles and drones. These bases are no longer practical in the current era, and the same applies to bases in Asia surrounding China, or NATO bases surrounding Russia. The new reality is simple: only underground bases supported by a vast ecosystem will survive future conflicts. The Cold War strategy of containment has proven to be a failure in modern wars. It merely exposes troops to grave danger without delivering real security. The entire model must be completely rethought. The war with Iran has demonstrated that military bases now require a minimum safe distance from adversary missile and drone threats, and even then, they must be built underground. Surface bases have become liabilities rather than assets.

Patricia Marins

218,335 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Iran has warned Trump that a blockade on the SOH will be considered a declaration of war and Iran will respond. Day 44, the Iran war! Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee of the Iranian Shura Council: Trump's talk of starting a naval blockade of Iran is more of a deception than a reality. If Trump tried his blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, it will be considered an act of war, and we will respond to it. -Trump's action will increase market instability. -We may reveal our other cards that we have not yet used in this game. Iran has more surprises prepared. Meanwhile, Iran has released footage of the Iranian Navy warning two US destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson to turn away from the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, or risk being targeted “Attention U.S. Navy warship, transiting near Fujairah Port and Oman Sea; this is IRGC Navy; LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING”. The ships left. Another capitulation for the Trump regime. -Israel is waiting on the U.S. for now resume attacks on Iran. -Netanyahu happy negotiations are over. -Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has put the IDF on alert for immediate readiness to return to war with Iran -Yediot Ahronoth Trump: “I could take out Iran in one day. One hour. So why doesn’t he? Trump also predicts Iran will give him whatever he wants? More hoes like Epstein did? Meanwhile the UK has backed out of supporting trump’s blockade! -Trump begged for UK warships. -Trump threatens 50% tariff on China if it sends weapons to Iran. -China is having a good laugh!
0:11

Iran has warned Trump that a blockade on the SOH will be considered a declaration of war and Iran will respond. Day 44, the Iran war! Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the National Security and Foreign Policy Committee of the Iranian Shura Council: Trump's talk of starting a naval blockade of Iran is more of a deception than a reality. If Trump tried his blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, it will be considered an act of war, and we will respond to it. -Trump's action will increase market instability. -We may reveal our other cards that we have not yet used in this game. Iran has more surprises prepared. Meanwhile, Iran has released footage of the Iranian Navy warning two US destroyers USS Michael Murphy and USS Frank E. Peterson to turn away from the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, or risk being targeted “Attention U.S. Navy warship, transiting near Fujairah Port and Oman Sea; this is IRGC Navy; LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING, LAST WARNING”. The ships left. Another capitulation for the Trump regime. -Israel is waiting on the U.S. for now resume attacks on Iran. -Netanyahu happy negotiations are over. -Israeli Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir has put the IDF on alert for immediate readiness to return to war with Iran -Yediot Ahronoth Trump: “I could take out Iran in one day. One hour. So why doesn’t he? Trump also predicts Iran will give him whatever he wants? More hoes like Epstein did? Meanwhile the UK has backed out of supporting trump’s blockade! -Trump begged for UK warships. -Trump threatens 50% tariff on China if it sends weapons to Iran. -China is having a good laugh!

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

26,196 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

“黑子为国家做了什么？” (What have those who criticize me done for their country?) The question was written in simplified Chinese in this video posted on Douyin in Aug 2024 — the video mentioned by Melissa Chen in her post below; so presumably it’s for the local Chinese audience. It’s a very weird — and ridiculous — question from someone who’s so privileged that “dual citizenship” — not allowed under China’s law — is not a problem, someone who just parachuted into her part-time Chinese athlete job and earned millions of dollars in endorsement deals, someone for whom Beijing had spent hundreds of millions of yuan on training while hundreds of millions of Chinese are just earning 1,000 yuan or less per month… While she scornfully questions others about what they’ve done for their country, what, I beg to ask, exactly has she done for hers — assuming it’s still America? “Assuming” because the way she poses that question implies that China is her country. True, she’s won lots of medals and is the most decorated athlete in freestyle skiing so far, but she did all this for herself and China, not America. (So I’m baffled why most American media and commentators are not only glorifying her — even more so than Chinese media are — who stands with the CCP regime but also bashing those who criticize her for doing this.) Oh, Gu also crows about speaking for China and women in the world… um, remember Zhang Zhan? The chained woman in Xuzhou? Sophia Huang (Huang Xueqin)? Or more recently Tara Zhang (Zhang Yadi)? and many others… Are they women too? (By the way, where are the media and her defenders on this? 🤫) Hypocrisy… hypocrisy… hypocrisy…
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Sensitive content

“黑子为国家做了什么？” (What have those who criticize me done for their country?) The question was written in simplified Chinese in this video posted on Douyin in Aug 2024 — the video mentioned by Melissa Chen in her post below; so presumably it’s for the local Chinese audience. It’s a very weird — and ridiculous — question from someone who’s so privileged that “dual citizenship” — not allowed under China’s law — is not a problem, someone who just parachuted into her part-time Chinese athlete job and earned millions of dollars in endorsement deals, someone for whom Beijing had spent hundreds of millions of yuan on training while hundreds of millions of Chinese are just earning 1,000 yuan or less per month… While she scornfully questions others about what they’ve done for their country, what, I beg to ask, exactly has she done for hers — assuming it’s still America? “Assuming” because the way she poses that question implies that China is her country. True, she’s won lots of medals and is the most decorated athlete in freestyle skiing so far, but she did all this for herself and China, not America. (So I’m baffled why most American media and commentators are not only glorifying her — even more so than Chinese media are — who stands with the CCP regime but also bashing those who criticize her for doing this.) Oh, Gu also crows about speaking for China and women in the world… um, remember Zhang Zhan? The chained woman in Xuzhou? Sophia Huang (Huang Xueqin)? Or more recently Tara Zhang (Zhang Yadi)? and many others… Are they women too? (By the way, where are the media and her defenders on this? 🤫) Hypocrisy… hypocrisy… hypocrisy…

Byron Wan

45,907 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Trump’s Long Game to Topple the Iranian Regime Trump’s strike on Iran was not a random move. It was the final piece of a larger strategy that has been unfolding since he returned to office. Most people look at the February 28th strikes on Iran’s military targets and assume it was simply about protecting Israel or stopping an immediate threat. That is only the last scene. The groundwork had been laid for over a year. From the start of 2025, the administration moved on multiple fronts. Early 2025 focused on China. New tariffs and aggressive efforts to bring manufacturing back to the United States were framed as economic policy, but they also squeezed Beijing’s ability to fund partners and expand its military reach. Reduce the cash flow and you weaken the network. Throughout 2025, Russia remained locked in Ukraine. The United States kept support flowing while pressing Europe to shoulder more of the burden. The result was strategic containment. Moscow stayed preoccupied in its own region, limiting its ability to meaningfully back Iran or Venezuela if tensions escalated elsewhere. By mid-2025, the strategy escalated with Operation Midnight Hammer. During the intense Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran in June, U.S. forces launched precision strikes using B-2 Spirit stealth bombers and submarine-launched Tomahawk missiles against Iran’s primary nuclear enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The operation delivered a devastating blow to Iran’s nuclear program with Massive Ordnance Penetrators, significantly setting back Tehran’s ambitions while remaining narrowly tailored to avoid full-scale war. Late 2025 brought a targeted operation inside Iran. US forces struck senior Quds Force figures and disrupted coordination hubs tied to partners in Latin America and the Middle East. Weapons pipelines were slowed. It was a demonstration of reach and precision without triggering a full scale war. A shaping move. On January 3, 2026, US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas. This dismantled a sanctions evasion channel that helped Iran move oil revenue. It also disrupted Iranian and Hezbollah networks operating out of Venezuela. The signal was blunt. Geographic distance would not guarantee safety. By February 28th, the stage was set. The strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and key military sites followed. Iran’s Supreme Leader and several senior commanders were killed. The stated objective was not occupation, but degradation. Set back the nuclear program, weaken proxy confidence, and deter a broader regional arms race. Now we are seeing rapid reactions from activist groups linked to Neville Singham. Singham, an American businessman living in Shanghai, has been associated with funding organizations such as The People’s Forum and Code Pink. After prior US actions involving Iran and Venezuela, these groups mobilized quickly with coordinated statements and protests. Trump’s moves were cutting off key money routes and strategic partnerships that help China. Venezuela and Iran were important pieces in Beijing’s bigger global plan for cash, influence, and power. Whenever the U.S. took action, the 2025 Iran hit, grabbing Maduro, or the large strikes in Iran, these well-funded organizations quickly organized protests, statements, and rallies as pushback. When you connect the dots, it becomes super clear: The tariffs on China, the ongoing support for Ukraine, the targeted ops inside Iran in 2025, capturing Maduro in Venezuela, and the strikes that occurred today, these weren’t random or separate moves at all. They were all connected steps in one smart, long-term plan. The goal was simple: break up this loose group of countries working together before they could team up tighter and become a real, lasting challenge to America’s power in the world.
0:10

Trump’s Long Game to Topple the Iranian Regime Trump’s strike on Iran was not a random move. It was the final piece of a larger strategy that has been unfolding since he returned to office. Most people look at the February 28th strikes on Iran’s military targets and assume it was simply about protecting Israel or stopping an immediate threat. That is only the last scene. The groundwork had been laid for over a year. From the start of 2025, the administration moved on multiple fronts. Early 2025 focused on China. New tariffs and aggressive efforts to bring manufacturing back to the United States were framed as economic policy, but they also squeezed Beijing’s ability to fund partners and expand its military reach. Reduce the cash flow and you weaken the network. Throughout 2025, Russia remained locked in Ukraine. The United States kept support flowing while pressing Europe to shoulder more of the burden. The result was strategic containment. Moscow stayed preoccupied in its own region, limiting its ability to meaningfully back Iran or Venezuela if tensions escalated elsewhere. By mid-2025, the strategy escalated with Operation Midnight Hammer. During the intense Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran in June, U.S. forces launched precision strikes using B-2 Spirit stealth bombers and submarine-launched Tomahawk missiles against Iran’s primary nuclear enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The operation delivered a devastating blow to Iran’s nuclear program with Massive Ordnance Penetrators, significantly setting back Tehran’s ambitions while remaining narrowly tailored to avoid full-scale war. Late 2025 brought a targeted operation inside Iran. US forces struck senior Quds Force figures and disrupted coordination hubs tied to partners in Latin America and the Middle East. Weapons pipelines were slowed. It was a demonstration of reach and precision without triggering a full scale war. A shaping move. On January 3, 2026, US forces captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas. This dismantled a sanctions evasion channel that helped Iran move oil revenue. It also disrupted Iranian and Hezbollah networks operating out of Venezuela. The signal was blunt. Geographic distance would not guarantee safety. By February 28th, the stage was set. The strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and key military sites followed. Iran’s Supreme Leader and several senior commanders were killed. The stated objective was not occupation, but degradation. Set back the nuclear program, weaken proxy confidence, and deter a broader regional arms race. Now we are seeing rapid reactions from activist groups linked to Neville Singham. Singham, an American businessman living in Shanghai, has been associated with funding organizations such as The People’s Forum and Code Pink. After prior US actions involving Iran and Venezuela, these groups mobilized quickly with coordinated statements and protests. Trump’s moves were cutting off key money routes and strategic partnerships that help China. Venezuela and Iran were important pieces in Beijing’s bigger global plan for cash, influence, and power. Whenever the U.S. took action, the 2025 Iran hit, grabbing Maduro, or the large strikes in Iran, these well-funded organizations quickly organized protests, statements, and rallies as pushback. When you connect the dots, it becomes super clear: The tariffs on China, the ongoing support for Ukraine, the targeted ops inside Iran in 2025, capturing Maduro in Venezuela, and the strikes that occurred today, these weren’t random or separate moves at all. They were all connected steps in one smart, long-term plan. The goal was simple: break up this loose group of countries working together before they could team up tighter and become a real, lasting challenge to America’s power in the world.

Jammles

123,677 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

The upcoming weeks could be a period that requires close attention in terms of the geopolitical direction of East Africa. The overall picture in Addis Ababa indicates that the region is passing through a critical threshold. We are in Addis Ababa as part of President Erdoğan’s visit to Ethiopia. 1. This year marks the 100th anniversary of Ethiopia–Türkiye relations. Türkiye’s first embassy in Sub-Saharan Africa was opened in Addis Ababa in 1926. The main theme of the visit, consistent with this historical continuity, is a “Permanent Partnership.” 2. Ethiopia occupies an extremely sensitive position within the conflict-prone and competitive environment of the Horn of Africa. The leadership seeks to consolidate its position on issues it considers vital. At the same time, it tends to turn any emerging opportunity into a strategic gain. 3. However, growing demographic pressure, economic challenges, the fatigue of internal conflict, and other domestic vulnerabilities-combined with the structural disadvantages of being a landlocked country-are pushing Addis Ababa toward alternative strategic options. 4. In this context, the strategy of “access to the sea” is seen as a form of strategic relief-both for managing internal pressures and deepening regional influence. Creating economic breathing space, reducing logistical dependence, and increasing strategic maneuverability are the core motivations behind this approach. 5. This places Ethiopia in a difficult equation: it must produce policy within a competitive-and at times confrontational-regional environment where its ambitions may clash with the sovereignty sensitivities of its neighbors. The search for maritime access therefore stands out as an issue that could easily harden the region’s fragile balance. 6. Its closer alignment with the UAE in the Sudan civil war reflects the cumulative pressures of multiple security and economic challenges. Recent developments suggest that Ethiopia may seek a more active and visible role in the Sudan file in the near term. 7. At the same time, military movements along the Eritrean border carry risks that could trigger a new confrontation. For Ethiopia, the Eritrea issue is directly linked to its most critical maritime option. Access to the sea through Assab remains central to its strategic thinking. Historical grievances and current security concerns are deeply intertwined in this file. 8. Another critical relationship is with Egypt. The core issue here is the Nile Basin and water security. While the GERD dam represents energy production, development, and strategic leverage for Ethiopia, it is perceived by Egypt as a high-risk scenario. What began as a technical water management issue has evolved into a geopolitical matter directly tied to regional power balances. 9. When regional dynamics and the engagement of external actors are considered together, it becomes clear that Ethiopia is navigating a multilayered but high-risk foreign policy landscape-one that affects fault lines across North Africa, the Middle East, the Gulf, and the Horn of Africa. 10. Within this broader tension environment, Türkiye-Ethiopia relations remain in a positive trajectory. Despite differences in certain areas, the potential for deeper cooperation is high. Today, both leaders delivered strong messages in this direction. 11. President Erdoğan’s visit comes at a time when regional conflict dynamics are becoming increasingly visible. Ankara is seeking to develop a balancing approach aimed at preventing potential conflicts and lowering rising regional tensions. Given that Türkiye has both direct and indirect interests tied to the nature of its relationship with Ethiopia, the process is being managed with careful strategic consideration. 12. From arrival to departure, President Erdoğan was warmly received in Addis Ababa. The key areas of focus included economic cooperation, defense industry partnerships, and critical regional issues. Murat Yeşiltaş SETA
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The upcoming weeks could be a period that requires close attention in terms of the geopolitical direction of East Africa. The overall picture in Addis Ababa indicates that the region is passing through a critical threshold. We are in Addis Ababa as part of President Erdoğan’s visit to Ethiopia. 1. This year marks the 100th anniversary of Ethiopia–Türkiye relations. Türkiye’s first embassy in Sub-Saharan Africa was opened in Addis Ababa in 1926. The main theme of the visit, consistent with this historical continuity, is a “Permanent Partnership.” 2. Ethiopia occupies an extremely sensitive position within the conflict-prone and competitive environment of the Horn of Africa. The leadership seeks to consolidate its position on issues it considers vital. At the same time, it tends to turn any emerging opportunity into a strategic gain. 3. However, growing demographic pressure, economic challenges, the fatigue of internal conflict, and other domestic vulnerabilities-combined with the structural disadvantages of being a landlocked country-are pushing Addis Ababa toward alternative strategic options. 4. In this context, the strategy of “access to the sea” is seen as a form of strategic relief-both for managing internal pressures and deepening regional influence. Creating economic breathing space, reducing logistical dependence, and increasing strategic maneuverability are the core motivations behind this approach. 5. This places Ethiopia in a difficult equation: it must produce policy within a competitive-and at times confrontational-regional environment where its ambitions may clash with the sovereignty sensitivities of its neighbors. The search for maritime access therefore stands out as an issue that could easily harden the region’s fragile balance. 6. Its closer alignment with the UAE in the Sudan civil war reflects the cumulative pressures of multiple security and economic challenges. Recent developments suggest that Ethiopia may seek a more active and visible role in the Sudan file in the near term. 7. At the same time, military movements along the Eritrean border carry risks that could trigger a new confrontation. For Ethiopia, the Eritrea issue is directly linked to its most critical maritime option. Access to the sea through Assab remains central to its strategic thinking. Historical grievances and current security concerns are deeply intertwined in this file. 8. Another critical relationship is with Egypt. The core issue here is the Nile Basin and water security. While the GERD dam represents energy production, development, and strategic leverage for Ethiopia, it is perceived by Egypt as a high-risk scenario. What began as a technical water management issue has evolved into a geopolitical matter directly tied to regional power balances. 9. When regional dynamics and the engagement of external actors are considered together, it becomes clear that Ethiopia is navigating a multilayered but high-risk foreign policy landscape-one that affects fault lines across North Africa, the Middle East, the Gulf, and the Horn of Africa. 10. Within this broader tension environment, Türkiye-Ethiopia relations remain in a positive trajectory. Despite differences in certain areas, the potential for deeper cooperation is high. Today, both leaders delivered strong messages in this direction. 11. President Erdoğan’s visit comes at a time when regional conflict dynamics are becoming increasingly visible. Ankara is seeking to develop a balancing approach aimed at preventing potential conflicts and lowering rising regional tensions. Given that Türkiye has both direct and indirect interests tied to the nature of its relationship with Ethiopia, the process is being managed with careful strategic consideration. 12. From arrival to departure, President Erdoğan was warmly received in Addis Ababa. The key areas of focus included economic cooperation, defense industry partnerships, and critical regional issues. Murat Yeşiltaş SETA

Tunç Demirtaş

14,131 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

❗️ Donald Trump and Kamala Harris had their first televised debate: key statements What Harris talked about: ▪️"Trump will surrender Ukraine within 24 hours of winning the election. If Trump were president, Putin would already be sitting in Kyiv looking out for the rest of Europe, starting with Poland." ▪️ On Trump's idea about negotiating with Putin: "You think you're friends with a dictator, but he would eat you for lunch." ▪️ Accused Trump of “selling out” America to China and leaving the country with poor health care and an economy in dire straits. ▪️ Emphasized that Trump's administration has led to the highest trade deficit in American history, "He's been fighting trade wars and he's talking about a deal with China." ▪️ Claims Trump plans to sign a federal abortion ban. Claimed he would repeal the bill if he became president. ▪️"It's well known that Trump told Putin he can do whatever he wants; it's well known that he called the moment when Russia invaded Ukraine ‘genius.’" ▪️"World leaders are laughing at Trump. I've talked to military leaders, some of whom have worked with you, and they say you are a disgrace." What Trump was talking about ▪️ Still does not recognize his defeat in the previous U.S. presidential election, when Biden won. ▪️ Called Harris a Marxist: “Everything she believed in three years ago has been thrown out and now she's studying my philosophy. She's a Marxist, and her parents are Marxists.” ▪️ Blamed Harris and Biden for high inflation: "There was no inflation during my presidency. And they have the highest inflation in the history of our country." ▪️ Blamed Democrats for the increase in illegal immigrants and crime: "In Springfield, migrants are eating our residents' pets." ▪️ Criticized Biden for his lack of contact with the Russian leadership: "Biden has no idea how to talk to the Russian president." ▪️ "I know Zelensky, I know Putin, we have good relations, they respect me. They don't respect Biden. What is there to respect him for?". ▪️ Trump when asked if a Kyiv victory was in the U.S. interest: "it is in our interest to reach an agreement and end the war."
0:09

❗️ Donald Trump and Kamala Harris had their first televised debate: key statements What Harris talked about: ▪️"Trump will surrender Ukraine within 24 hours of winning the election. If Trump were president, Putin would already be sitting in Kyiv looking out for the rest of Europe, starting with Poland." ▪️ On Trump's idea about negotiating with Putin: "You think you're friends with a dictator, but he would eat you for lunch." ▪️ Accused Trump of “selling out” America to China and leaving the country with poor health care and an economy in dire straits. ▪️ Emphasized that Trump's administration has led to the highest trade deficit in American history, "He's been fighting trade wars and he's talking about a deal with China." ▪️ Claims Trump plans to sign a federal abortion ban. Claimed he would repeal the bill if he became president. ▪️"It's well known that Trump told Putin he can do whatever he wants; it's well known that he called the moment when Russia invaded Ukraine ‘genius.’" ▪️"World leaders are laughing at Trump. I've talked to military leaders, some of whom have worked with you, and they say you are a disgrace." What Trump was talking about ▪️ Still does not recognize his defeat in the previous U.S. presidential election, when Biden won. ▪️ Called Harris a Marxist: “Everything she believed in three years ago has been thrown out and now she's studying my philosophy. She's a Marxist, and her parents are Marxists.” ▪️ Blamed Harris and Biden for high inflation: "There was no inflation during my presidency. And they have the highest inflation in the history of our country." ▪️ Blamed Democrats for the increase in illegal immigrants and crime: "In Springfield, migrants are eating our residents' pets." ▪️ Criticized Biden for his lack of contact with the Russian leadership: "Biden has no idea how to talk to the Russian president." ▪️ "I know Zelensky, I know Putin, we have good relations, they respect me. They don't respect Biden. What is there to respect him for?". ▪️ Trump when asked if a Kyiv victory was in the U.S. interest: "it is in our interest to reach an agreement and end the war."

NEXTA

107,817 просмотров • 2 лет назад