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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧🇮🇷 Even Netanyahu admitted it: after killing Nasrallah, Hezbollah was never a proxy; it was commanding Iran in Lebanon. Elijah J. Magnier says Hezbollah has reverted to its 1982 guerrilla model under Sheikh Kassem, no longer defending territory, just making sure Israelis in the north never feel safe while... show more

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇮🇷🇱🇧🇮🇱 Iran asked Hezbollah to join the war in June 2025. Hezbollah said they weren't ready. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran included Hezbollah in the Islamabad ceasefire not because Hezbollah helped Iran, but because Iran wants to protect them going forward. Israel violated the southern Lebanon ceasefire 10,000 times according to U.N. forces. Hezbollah fired once in 15 months and respected the Litani River agreement. Netanyahu cannot survive politically if he stops the war in Lebanon, so the bombing continues regardless of any deal. "Iran can live without Hezbollah. But Iran will not stop until Hezbollah is protected." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇮🇷🇱🇧🇮🇱 Iran asked Hezbollah to join the war in June 2025. Hezbollah said they weren't ready. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran included Hezbollah in the Islamabad ceasefire not because Hezbollah helped Iran, but because Iran wants to protect them going forward. Israel violated the southern Lebanon ceasefire 10,000 times according to U.N. forces. Hezbollah fired once in 15 months and respected the Litani River agreement. Netanyahu cannot survive politically if he stops the war in Lebanon, so the bombing continues regardless of any deal. "Iran can live without Hezbollah. But Iran will not stop until Hezbollah is protected." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 More bombing will not change the reality on the ground: Hamas is still in Gaza, Hezbollah is still in Lebanon, and the same ruling system remains in Iran. Elijah J. Magnier says Trump and Netanyahu achieved nothing except creating domestic solidarity inside Iran, and the Strait stays closed until every sanction is lifted and war compensation is paid in full. Iran has said things will never return to how they were before the war, and Trump is the one who has to pay the price for starting it. "Donald Trump did not win to impose his terms. That is his problem, not Iran's." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 The retaliation is already decided. The only question is when it hurts most. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier lays out the Iranian calculation in cold detail. "The Iranians will effectively intervene unwittingly in both elections with the Americans and with the Israelis, to make sure that Trump is going to lose, while the Republicans will lose the midterms and that Benjamin Netanyahu will not be reelected." Tehran is not rushing anything. It's just watching the calendar. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇷🇮🇱 The retaliation is already decided. The only question is when it hurts most. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier lays out the Iranian calculation in cold detail. "The Iranians will effectively intervene unwittingly in both elections with the Americans and with the Israelis, to make sure that Trump is going to lose, while the Republicans will lose the midterms and that Benjamin Netanyahu will not be reelected." Tehran is not rushing anything. It's just watching the calendar. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨"For the first time in the history of Iran, Iran goes to war on behalf of an ally. Since 1982, in academia, we've been bombarded by people saying Hezbollah is a proxy of Iran and that Hezbollah will fight on behalf of Iran to damage Israel to make Iran happy. Well, we saw in June 2025 that Iran went to war on its own. Hezbollah refused to intervene. And we have seen how Iran went to war on behalf of Hezbollah and Lebanon to stop the bombardment of the suburb of Beirut, where there are between 700,000 and 800,000 Lebanese," says Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺) in our recent interview. ➤ Watch the full episode on Substack:

🚨"For the first time in the history of Iran, Iran goes to war on behalf of an ally. Since 1982, in academia, we've been bombarded by people saying Hezbollah is a proxy of Iran and that Hezbollah will fight on behalf of Iran to damage Israel to make Iran happy. Well, we saw in June 2025 that Iran went to war on its own. Hezbollah refused to intervene. And we have seen how Iran went to war on behalf of Hezbollah and Lebanon to stop the bombardment of the suburb of Beirut, where there are between 700,000 and 800,000 Lebanese," says Elijah Magnier (Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺) in our recent interview. ➤ Watch the full episode on Substack:

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🇮🇱🇮🇷🇱🇧 Israel staying in Lebanon may actually help Iran keep Hezbollah alive. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says Hezbollah’s entire justification is “resistance” against Israel. “Hezbollah exists as resistance for Israel. As long as Israel is in Lebanese territory, Hezbollah has a reason to exist.” If Israel never fully leaves Lebanon, Iran never has to explain why Hezbollah is still armed.

🇮🇱🇮🇷🇱🇧 Israel staying in Lebanon may actually help Iran keep Hezbollah alive. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says Hezbollah’s entire justification is “resistance” against Israel. “Hezbollah exists as resistance for Israel. As long as Israel is in Lebanese territory, Hezbollah has a reason to exist.” If Israel never fully leaves Lebanon, Iran never has to explain why Hezbollah is still armed.

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🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 A signed deal would be the start of the problem, not the end. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier breaks down why the gaps between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran make any agreement almost impossible to hold. "This is the beginning of a diplomatic battle that is never ending, and it will not end." Don't celebrate the ceasefire. The real fight hasn't even started. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel's "withdrawal" is from land it never occupied. Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier on the Rome meeting between Aoun's team and Israel: The plan sends the Lebanese army into Hezbollah villages, not Israeli-held ones, doing Israel's work for it, while Israel keeps north and south of the Litani. And Israel's right-wing government is heading into elections, when it has historically grabbed more land, not less. Lebanon's negotiators have no one reading Israeli politics. Whose deal is this really? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇮🇱 Israel's "withdrawal" is from land it never occupied. Veteran war correspondent and military analyst Elijah Magnier on the Rome meeting between Aoun's team and Israel: The plan sends the Lebanese army into Hezbollah villages, not Israeli-held ones, doing Israel's work for it, while Israel keeps north and south of the Litani. And Israel's right-wing government is heading into elections, when it has historically grabbed more land, not less. Lebanon's negotiators have no one reading Israeli politics. Whose deal is this really? Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 An anxious, unconfirmed report claims Hezbollah has covertly messaged the White House indicating a willingness to accept a full ceasefire without demanding an immediate Israeli withdrawal. Geopolitical analyst Elijah Magnier suggests that even if a full truce falls through, Israel will heavily regret expanding its presence because Hezbollah is perfectly structured to wage a devastating, long-term war of attrition in southern Lebanon. While Netanyahu fights to avoid prison, Magnier notes that the militants can comfortably sustain small daily casualties while making the occupation incredibly expensive for Israeli troops. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 An anxious, unconfirmed report claims Hezbollah has covertly messaged the White House indicating a willingness to accept a full ceasefire without demanding an immediate Israeli withdrawal. Geopolitical analyst Elijah Magnier suggests that even if a full truce falls through, Israel will heavily regret expanding its presence because Hezbollah is perfectly structured to wage a devastating, long-term war of attrition in southern Lebanon. While Netanyahu fights to avoid prison, Magnier notes that the militants can comfortably sustain small daily casualties while making the occupation incredibly expensive for Israeli troops. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Trump’s casual public dismissal of Iran suspending negotiations reveals a dangerous miscalculation of Tehran’s ultimate red lines. According to regional conflict analyst Elijah Magnier, Israel’s hardline ministers have allegedly agreed in a small war cabinet to reject any diplomatic deal between Washington and Iran. Elijah stresses that because the organic, ideological bond between Iran and Hezbollah is entirely non-negotiable, any further military escalation in Beirut means Netanyahu is actively choosing a return to a full-scale war. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Vague diplomatic wording regarding Lebanese sovereignty is the only reason the latest U.S.-Iran electronic agreement didn't collapse before it even started. Renowned military analyst Elijah Magnier reveals that the Americans deliberately softened the language to avoid an immediate, catastrophic political clash between Trump and a deeply defiant Netanyahu over a full troop withdrawal. Magnier also highlights that Iran’s new leadership views its organic, ideological bond with Hezbollah as entirely non-negotiable, meaning Tehran is now fully prepared to go to war directly to protect its regional axis. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Vague diplomatic wording regarding Lebanese sovereignty is the only reason the latest U.S.-Iran electronic agreement didn't collapse before it even started. Renowned military analyst Elijah Magnier reveals that the Americans deliberately softened the language to avoid an immediate, catastrophic political clash between Trump and a deeply defiant Netanyahu over a full troop withdrawal. Magnier also highlights that Iran’s new leadership views its organic, ideological bond with Hezbollah as entirely non-negotiable, meaning Tehran is now fully prepared to go to war directly to protect its regional axis. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇱🇧 🇱🇾 A charismatic Shia leader confronted Gaddafi in Libya in 1978, and was never seen again. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "Gaddafi said the same sentence to many other peoples who were killed and disappeared." Libya sent a lookalike to Italy to cover it up. Three men gone. Zero accountability. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧 🇱🇾 A charismatic Shia leader confronted Gaddafi in Libya in 1978, and was never seen again. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "Gaddafi said the same sentence to many other peoples who were killed and disappeared." Libya sent a lookalike to Italy to cover it up. Three men gone. Zero accountability. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸 The ceasefire framework Lebanon signed is riddled with traps, and almost no one noticed. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier broke down exactly how deep the deception goes. "I managed to take out 183 points after that communique from the U.S. State Department that are really in favor of Israel." Lebanon thought it made a deal. Israel made a manual. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇱🇧🇮🇱🇺🇸 The ceasefire framework Lebanon signed is riddled with traps, and almost no one noticed. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier broke down exactly how deep the deception goes. "I managed to take out 183 points after that communique from the U.S. State Department that are really in favor of Israel." Lebanon thought it made a deal. Israel made a manual. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇸🇦🇮🇱 The Gaza war failed, so now normalization is the trophy. Military & Political Analyst Elijah Magnier just laid it all out. "It is kind of the cherry to give to Donald Trump so he can give it to Benjamin Netanyahu and ask him to stop the war, because it's going nowhere." Saudi Arabia won't sign without a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu will never give one. The math doesn't work. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran's deputy parliamentary speaker just declared the Strait of Hormuz will never return to its previous state, on direct orders from the Supreme Leader. Elijah J. Magnier points out that Trump claims to have destroyed Iran's nuclear program, while his own intelligence chief told Congress there was never evidence Iran was close to building a bomb. Iran had every opportunity to weaponize its uranium between June 2025 and February 2026. The IAEA confirmed they didn't. "We really don't understand what Donald Trump wants out of this war." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran's deputy parliamentary speaker just declared the Strait of Hormuz will never return to its previous state, on direct orders from the Supreme Leader. Elijah J. Magnier points out that Trump claims to have destroyed Iran's nuclear program, while his own intelligence chief told Congress there was never evidence Iran was close to building a bomb. Iran had every opportunity to weaponize its uranium between June 2025 and February 2026. The IAEA confirmed they didn't. "We really don't understand what Donald Trump wants out of this war." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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The MOU has been signed! However, Israel, which is meant to stop all military operations, already bombed a car in South Lebanon, and advanced towards another town Will Trump be able to force Netanyahu to abide by the deal, or will Israel drag Iran back into war in defence of Hezbollah? Enjoy my interview with Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

The MOU has been signed! However, Israel, which is meant to stop all military operations, already bombed a car in South Lebanon, and advanced towards another town Will Trump be able to force Netanyahu to abide by the deal, or will Israel drag Iran back into war in defence of Hezbollah? Enjoy my interview with Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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"#Iran is fully capable of defending itself," said Elijah Magnier, Strategic analyst specializing in West Asian and European affairs, firmly rejecting claims that the #US and “Israel” aim to violently fragment Iran into smaller ethnic-based states or reduce it to a permanent American vassal. Listen to his argument. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Zeinab Al Saffar | زينب الصفّار

"#Iran is fully capable of defending itself," said Elijah Magnier, Strategic analyst specializing in West Asian and European affairs, firmly rejecting claims that the #US and “Israel” aim to violently fragment Iran into smaller ethnic-based states or reduce it to a permanent American vassal. Listen to his argument. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺 Zeinab Al Saffar | زينب الصفّار

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11,132 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇮🇱🇱🇧 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier addressed the latest violence in Lebanon. Israeli soldiers were killed by an IED inside a house in a village that has been under Israeli occupation for months. Elijah says that is the reality of a war zone and does not justify what followed. Israel then struck other villages that are not occupied, places where families are living and trying to rebuild. Evacuation orders were issued beforehand. He calls those strikes aggressive attacks and potential war crimes. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇮🇱🇱🇧 Veteran Middle East correspondent Elijah Magnier addressed the latest violence in Lebanon. Israeli soldiers were killed by an IED inside a house in a village that has been under Israeli occupation for months. Elijah says that is the reality of a war zone and does not justify what followed. Israel then struck other villages that are not occupied, places where families are living and trying to rebuild. Evacuation orders were issued beforehand. He calls those strikes aggressive attacks and potential war crimes. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is entering a dangerous new phase as the U.S. and Iran move toward a direct military collision over the Strait of Hormuz. Elijah Magnier talked about why Trump is doubling down on "Project Freedom" despite sixteen U.S. bases in the region having suffered severe damage. Elijah warned that with Iran now citing international law to justify strikes on any territory used to launch American attacks, the stakes are higher than ever. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Strait of Hormuz has been mined, and even if the war stops tomorrow, demining takes 8 to 12 months minimum. Elijah J. Magnier says Iran is routing all ships through its national waters, giving it the legal right to charge fees on every vessel with no time limit and extra penalties for countries that participated in the war. The message to Gulf states is simple: the U.S. failed to protect itself and failed to protect you. Saudi, the Emirates, and Iraq are already looking towards Pakistan and Turkey instead. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The MoU is vague in parts and the nature of this war ensures no one will be leaving anything uncapitalized. Elijah Magnier argues that Iran is entitled to force all ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to obtain its approval first His reasoning is simple: If Israel is using the full 60-day period the agreement gives it to withdraw from Lebanon, why shouldn't Iran use the 30 days the MoU grants it to exercise its own rights over the Strait? "This is why a passage through the Strait of Hormuz without Iranian approval is not going to happen." Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

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