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Every Bitcoin cycle ends with the same move: one final shakeout that breaks the last believers. The Wyckoff structure points to $48K. That's my max pain level. My orders are already there. $55K and $50K, stacked. Placed today. Before the panic writes the narrative. The last flush isn't the... show more

Merlijn The Trader

426,946 subscribers

36,478 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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22 Comments

CRYPTO LENS3 months ago

Multiple scenarios are always possible. Staying flexible is part of good market analysis.

Thanos3 months ago

I load when the story sounds the most hopeless

Bob3 months ago

Max pain is just a liquidity trigger in disguise

PATCH3 months ago

symptom: final shakeout prophecy syndrome

Broke3 months ago

Exactly. before any real rally, you need to feel a lot more of that panic and pain first. And the whales know it. 47- 48k would make it.

BitcoinWorld Media3 months ago

Appreciate the detailed chart and analysis @MerlijnTrader. Historical Bitcoin cycles have featured major drawdowns and shakeouts after peaks - for example ~78% from the ~$69k 2021 high to ~$15.5k in late 2022. Currently BTC is near $62k after a ~51% correction from the Oct 2025 ATH of ~$126k. Wyckoff is a useful TA framework but remains interpretive; specific targets like $48k are one view among many rather than definitive. Check reliable data here: . Always DYOR!

Scamcoin3 months ago

limit orders are free, surviving the dip isn't

Siddhartha Nuni3 months ago

What is the bottom expected for $ETH?

Ece Vortex3 months ago

Bold call: buy zone locked.

manhdung.sol3 months ago

Wyckoff patterns work until they dont. Conviction orders before panic often become capitulation buys.

optimizer3 months ago

Wann sehen wir ungefähr den zeitlichen WashOut?

cexscan3 months ago

interesting timing on those fills. seen a surprising amount of retail bids creeping back into the $50k-$52k range all week. liquidity hunts are getting pretty obvious.

Larry Anderson3 months ago

55k real bottom

Marco3 months ago

Diciamo che scende a 10000$, 😂😂😂

Jeronimo3 months ago

FHh1dmsNyoDTK5KcEv5f7rPe7ea61Np543EoSrpfpump

Aaron Drake3 months ago

Bold moves. The Wyckoff accumulation model is playing out perfectly. Waiting for that final liquidity flush to $48K is the best way to handle this volatility

CRBot Signals ⚡3 months ago

Interesting plan. 📊🟠 I like having predefined levels, but I'll still let $BTC confirm the setup before stepping in. Flexibility is just as valuable as conviction. #PriceAction

Matched-Betting.US3 months ago

Smart money is watching closely

Boosty Labs3 months ago

Building through the shakeout. Infrastructure doesn't panic.

X Finance Bull Academy3 months ago

Market fear and volatility create the moments where patience becomes the biggest advantage.

Steve Van Herreweghe3 months ago

September is not July

Mariam3 months ago

We usually chase commission discounts in the industry, but MEXC opened the MEGA board with straight 0 fees. This is currently the most logical place to grind volume on futures.

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🚨 THE SHAKEOUT COMES BEFORE THE BREAKOUT Everyone's positioned for liftoff. The structure says one more move comes first. The FLUSH! We saw this exact setup in 2024. Before the real run, Bitcoin has to sweep the downside, take out the support everyone thinks will hold, and shake out the weak hands. It never goes straight up. It clears the board first. Here's my roadmap: $80K → FLUSH → $55K Sweep → $85K Reclaim → New ATH That $55K sweep is the trap nobody wants to sit through. It's the level where the crowd panics, "the bull run is dead" starts trending, and the last leveraged longs get wiped. And that's exactly the point where the real move begins. I'm not chasing this pump higher. Not yet. I want the shakeout first. Once the weak hands are gone and the leverage is flushed, that's when Bitcoin starts printing new highs, and the people who sold the bottom watch it leave without them. Down first. Then up. Same as every cycle. Turn notifications on. I'll post the entry when the sweep confirms.

🚨 THE SHAKEOUT COMES BEFORE THE BREAKOUT Everyone's positioned for liftoff. The structure says one more move comes first. The FLUSH! We saw this exact setup in 2024. Before the real run, Bitcoin has to sweep the downside, take out the support everyone thinks will hold, and shake out the weak hands. It never goes straight up. It clears the board first. Here's my roadmap: $80K → FLUSH → $55K Sweep → $85K Reclaim → New ATH That $55K sweep is the trap nobody wants to sit through. It's the level where the crowd panics, "the bull run is dead" starts trending, and the last leveraged longs get wiped. And that's exactly the point where the real move begins. I'm not chasing this pump higher. Not yet. I want the shakeout first. Once the weak hands are gone and the leverage is flushed, that's when Bitcoin starts printing new highs, and the people who sold the bottom watch it leave without them. Down first. Then up. Same as every cycle. Turn notifications on. I'll post the entry when the sweep confirms.

Qmo

263,725 views • 1 month ago

$$BTC IS STARTING TO LOOK A LOT LIKE 2022. The same descending structure is forming and MFI is once again sitting in the lower zone. Back in 2022 the final shakeout came before the real reversal. If this fractal plays out again $50K–$55K could be the max pain zone before BTC starts climbing back toward $100K → $120K+. One last shakeout before the next major leg up. 🚀$

$BTC IS STARTING TO LOOK A LOT LIKE 2022. The same descending structure is forming and MFI is once again sitting in the lower zone. Back in 2022 the final shakeout came before the real reversal. If this fractal plays out again $50K–$55K could be the max pain zone before BTC starts climbing back toward $100K → $120K+. One last shakeout before the next major leg up. 🚀

Gerla

39,152 views • 2 months ago

🚨 $BTC IS SETTING UP THE FINAL SHAKEOUT I've been following the same roadmap for months. First, I called the $126K top. Then the moves from $98K → $60K and $82K → $58K. My outlook hasn't changed. Current roadmap: $64K → $67K → $55K $55K → $50K → $48K $48K → $75K → $150K+ I still think one final squeeze is coming before the last capitulation. That's the move I'm waiting for. After that, I believe the next bull market begins. Turn on notifications. The next market call is getting close.

🚨 $BTC IS SETTING UP THE FINAL SHAKEOUT I've been following the same roadmap for months. First, I called the $126K top. Then the moves from $98K → $60K and $82K → $58K. My outlook hasn't changed. Current roadmap: $64K → $67K → $55K $55K → $50K → $48K $48K → $75K → $150K+ I still think one final squeeze is coming before the last capitulation. That's the move I'm waiting for. After that, I believe the next bull market begins. Turn on notifications. The next market call is getting close.

Void 🔎

17,718 views • 3 months ago

BITCOIN JUST ENTERED THE DCA ZONE. Last time it touched here: $15,500 to $126,000. The time before that: $3,150 to $69,000. Retail panic sold both times. Today: $76,889. Expecting one more flush before the real move. That's where the real accumulation happens.

BITCOIN JUST ENTERED THE DCA ZONE. Last time it touched here: $15,500 to $126,000. The time before that: $3,150 to $69,000. Retail panic sold both times. Today: $76,889. Expecting one more flush before the real move. That's where the real accumulation happens.

Merlijn The Trader

157,793 views • 4 months ago

Every July, Bitcoin runs a midterm relief rally. And every time, one last dump follows before the real move. 2019: down 62%. 2022: down 33%. 2026: the shakeout is getting smaller. One more flush. Then the run. The pattern rewards patience, not panic.

Every July, Bitcoin runs a midterm relief rally. And every time, one last dump follows before the real move. 2019: down 62%. 2022: down 33%. 2026: the shakeout is getting smaller. One more flush. Then the run. The pattern rewards patience, not panic.

Merlijn The Trader

67,707 views • 3 months ago

$BTC IS PRINTING A WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION STRUCTURE PSY, AR, SC - three phases already confirmed - PSY marked where selling pressure first slowed down - AR showed where buyers showed up - SC was the panic low everyone thought was the bottom We're currently in Phase B with the Secondary Test confirmed Before the Spring comes, expect one more push toward $70k-$74k That move will look like recovery - it isn't It's the last liquidity grab before the real flush begins After that comes the Spring - the final dip to $50k that shakes out everyone who bought the bounce That's where the real accumulation happens And that's where I'll be buying NOTIFS ON!

$BTC IS PRINTING A WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION STRUCTURE PSY, AR, SC - three phases already confirmed - PSY marked where selling pressure first slowed down - AR showed where buyers showed up - SC was the panic low everyone thought was the bottom We're currently in Phase B with the Secondary Test confirmed Before the Spring comes, expect one more push toward $70k-$74k That move will look like recovery - it isn't It's the last liquidity grab before the real flush begins After that comes the Spring - the final dip to $50k that shakes out everyone who bought the bounce That's where the real accumulation happens And that's where I'll be buying NOTIFS ON!

bee🐝

16,283 views • 3 months ago

🚨 FINAL BITCOIN SHAKEOUT STARTS TOMORROW This cycle is still following the same structure. I don't think the bottom is in yet. My roadmap: $64K → $61K → $55K → Accumulation Long-term target: ~$300K. The final shakeout is where most people give up. That's where I expect the next cycle to begin. I called the recent Bitcoin dump and fakeout publicly, $126k top in October 2025, and even $15k bottom in November 2022. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

🚨 FINAL BITCOIN SHAKEOUT STARTS TOMORROW This cycle is still following the same structure. I don't think the bottom is in yet. My roadmap: $64K → $61K → $55K → Accumulation Long-term target: ~$300K. The final shakeout is where most people give up. That's where I expect the next cycle to begin. I called the recent Bitcoin dump and fakeout publicly, $126k top in October 2025, and even $15k bottom in November 2022. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

Kabuki🔴

13,424 views • 2 months ago

🚨 BITCOIN HAS ONE LAST TRAP BEFORE THE NEXT BULL RUN Bitcoin is entering the last leg down. The bull trap is finished. One more flush before the next cycle actually begins. Here's the path: $79K → $67K → $55K → New bull run Next stops: → $67K within days → $55K before the reversal → New bull run by Oct-Nov That $55K zone is the one nobody wants to sit through. Max fear, liquidations printing red, every account that called the bottom at $85K going quiet. And that's exactly where the next cycle gets built. Not at the bounce everyone celebrated. At the capitulation almost nobody has the stomach for. The crowd will panic-sell the low and then chase it 40% higher a month later. Same mistake, every single cycle. I called the recent pump publicly. Along with the $126K top in 2025 and the $15K bottom in 2022. Missed those? Don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll update you as the dump unfolds.

🚨 BITCOIN HAS ONE LAST TRAP BEFORE THE NEXT BULL RUN Bitcoin is entering the last leg down. The bull trap is finished. One more flush before the next cycle actually begins. Here's the path: $79K → $67K → $55K → New bull run Next stops: → $67K within days → $55K before the reversal → New bull run by Oct-Nov That $55K zone is the one nobody wants to sit through. Max fear, liquidations printing red, every account that called the bottom at $85K going quiet. And that's exactly where the next cycle gets built. Not at the bounce everyone celebrated. At the capitulation almost nobody has the stomach for. The crowd will panic-sell the low and then chase it 40% higher a month later. Same mistake, every single cycle. I called the recent pump publicly. Along with the $126K top in 2025 and the $15K bottom in 2022. Missed those? Don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll update you as the dump unfolds.

Qmo

25,130 views • 5 days ago

🚨 BITCOIN HASN'T BROKEN THIS PATTERN IN 13 YEARS Every cycle ends the same way. One last dump. One last wave of panic. Then the bottom. My roadmap: $64K → $52K → $43K → $29K Until this structure breaks, I'm not changing my view. I called the recent Bitcoin dump and fakeout publicly, $126k top in October 2025, and even $15k bottom in November 2022. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

🚨 BITCOIN HASN'T BROKEN THIS PATTERN IN 13 YEARS Every cycle ends the same way. One last dump. One last wave of panic. Then the bottom. My roadmap: $64K → $52K → $43K → $29K Until this structure breaks, I'm not changing my view. I called the recent Bitcoin dump and fakeout publicly, $126k top in October 2025, and even $15k bottom in November 2022. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

Kabuki🔴

30,440 views • 2 months ago

🚨 BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FOOL EVERYONE ONE LAST TIME Most people are looking at $78K. I'm looking at what happened AFTER the last cycle. 2017 ATH → Break below → Fakeout → Final flush → New bull cycle. Now look at 2026. 2021 ATH → Break below → Fakeout → ??? The structure is almost too clean. And if Bitcoin completes the same sequence again, this bounce isn't the beginning of the next bull run. It's the LAST fakeout before the real bottom. My roadmap: $79K → $68K → $60K → FINAL BOTTOM Then the entire setup flips. $60K → $91K → $200K Timing matters too: → September: $68K → October: Market-cycle bottom → 2027: $91K reclaim → Next cycle: $200K+ Most people will panic during the final flush. I'll be watching for the exact moment the cycle turns. Remember: I publicly called the $16K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. The next call matters even more. I'll post it here first. Turn notifications on.

🚨 BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FOOL EVERYONE ONE LAST TIME Most people are looking at $78K. I'm looking at what happened AFTER the last cycle. 2017 ATH → Break below → Fakeout → Final flush → New bull cycle. Now look at 2026. 2021 ATH → Break below → Fakeout → ??? The structure is almost too clean. And if Bitcoin completes the same sequence again, this bounce isn't the beginning of the next bull run. It's the LAST fakeout before the real bottom. My roadmap: $79K → $68K → $60K → FINAL BOTTOM Then the entire setup flips. $60K → $91K → $200K Timing matters too: → September: $68K → October: Market-cycle bottom → 2027: $91K reclaim → Next cycle: $200K+ Most people will panic during the final flush. I'll be watching for the exact moment the cycle turns. Remember: I publicly called the $16K Bitcoin bottom in 2022 and the $126K top in 2025. The next call matters even more. I'll post it here first. Turn notifications on.

DANNY

77,221 views • 1 month ago

BITCOIN IS STUCK AT $82K-$84K FOR A REASON This isn't random. The 2026 cycle is still following the same roadmap. $BTC is approaching the final move before the real reversal: $83K → $78K → $67K → $55K → New Bull Run Next targets: → $78K first → $67K next → $55K before the reversal → New Bull Run after the flush In the last 360 days, all my setups were perfect. Check my posts if you don't believe me. Make sure to follow and turn your notifications on. Next setup posts here first.

BITCOIN IS STUCK AT $82K-$84K FOR A REASON This isn't random. The 2026 cycle is still following the same roadmap. $BTC is approaching the final move before the real reversal: $83K → $78K → $67K → $55K → New Bull Run Next targets: → $78K first → $67K next → $55K before the reversal → New Bull Run after the flush In the last 360 days, all my setups were perfect. Check my posts if you don't believe me. Make sure to follow and turn your notifications on. Next setup posts here first.

Kabuki🔴

63,113 views • 15 days ago

🚨 MARK MY WORDS I still think $BTC has one move left before the real bottom. My roadmap: 1. Rally into the $67K FVG 2. Distribution while everyone turns bullish 3. Breakdown below $55K 4. Final flush into the $48K zone That's where I think this cycle finally resets. The rally is there to create liquidity. The dump is there to create opportunity. Turn on notifications. I'll update the roadmap as it plays out.

🚨 MARK MY WORDS I still think $BTC has one move left before the real bottom. My roadmap: 1. Rally into the $67K FVG 2. Distribution while everyone turns bullish 3. Breakdown below $55K 4. Final flush into the $48K zone That's where I think this cycle finally resets. The rally is there to create liquidity. The dump is there to create opportunity. Turn on notifications. I'll update the roadmap as it plays out.

Void 🔎

15,798 views • 3 months ago

Bitcoin is repeating 2016 pattern PERFECTLY. The structure is almost identical. 2016: ATH → Correction → Recovery → Final Flush → New Bull Run 2026: ATH → Correction → Recovery → Final Flush → ? The 2016 cycle looked ugly before the real move began. $BTC followed the same structure before breaking into a new ATH in 2017. $126K → $82K → $65K → $50K → New ATH Next stops: → $50K before the reversal → Accumulation after the flush → New ATH after the breakout I called $126K top in October 2025, and $15K bottom in November 2022, along with the recent $82K → $59K dump. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

Bitcoin is repeating 2016 pattern PERFECTLY. The structure is almost identical. 2016: ATH → Correction → Recovery → Final Flush → New Bull Run 2026: ATH → Correction → Recovery → Final Flush → ? The 2016 cycle looked ugly before the real move began. $BTC followed the same structure before breaking into a new ATH in 2017. $126K → $82K → $65K → $50K → New ATH Next stops: → $50K before the reversal → Accumulation after the flush → New ATH after the breakout I called $126K top in October 2025, and $15K bottom in November 2022, along with the recent $82K → $59K dump. If you missed those calls, don't worry. I'll call the next one too. Follow now. I'll call every major move.

Kabuki🔴

24,084 views • 1 month ago

$BTC IS ABOUT TO BREAK EVERYONE Here's my projection Every bounce since $126k died at the same descending resistance: - $97,939 - $82,458 - $68,387 3 touches - 3 rejections Price sits right at that line again And I don't think the fifth attempt succeeds either My scenario: One more rejection here Then the capitulation leg nobody is ready for Sub $40k is where the real bottom forms Every bear market ends with a flush that breaks the last believers We haven't had ours yet Only AFTER that flush do I expect the true breakout from this channel That's the move that starts the next cycle Not this one Save this and check back in 3 months NOTIFS ON!

$BTC IS ABOUT TO BREAK EVERYONE Here's my projection Every bounce since $126k died at the same descending resistance: - $97,939 - $82,458 - $68,387 3 touches - 3 rejections Price sits right at that line again And I don't think the fifth attempt succeeds either My scenario: One more rejection here Then the capitulation leg nobody is ready for Sub $40k is where the real bottom forms Every bear market ends with a flush that breaks the last believers We haven't had ours yet Only AFTER that flush do I expect the true breakout from this channel That's the move that starts the next cycle Not this one Save this and check back in 3 months NOTIFS ON!

bee🐝

46,261 views • 2 months ago

Kalshi traders forecasting $54K Bitcoin this year. That's exactly inside my accumulation zone. 2022: bottomed in the $15-25K area. Rallied to $126K (5x). 2026: bottoming in the $40-55K area. Next stop $140K+ (3x). Same structure. Same accumulation. Same outcome. The cycle isn't broken. It's just slower.

Kalshi traders forecasting $54K Bitcoin this year. That's exactly inside my accumulation zone. 2022: bottomed in the $15-25K area. Rallied to $126K (5x). 2026: bottoming in the $40-55K area. Next stop $140K+ (3x). Same structure. Same accumulation. Same outcome. The cycle isn't broken. It's just slower.

Merlijn The Trader

41,456 views • 4 months ago

🚨 BTC LOOKS IDENTICAL TO THE 2021 CYCLE. The structure couldn't be much clearer. Double Top → Dump → Bounce → Capitulation. That's exactly how the last cycle played out. If Bitcoin follows the same path again, this bounce is not the beginning of a new Bull Run. It’s the final trap before one more major FLUSH. Next target: $50K–$53K. That’s where I expect the real cycle bottom to form. After that, I believe Bitcoin begins the move toward $130K–$150K by 2029. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

🚨 BTC LOOKS IDENTICAL TO THE 2021 CYCLE. The structure couldn't be much clearer. Double Top → Dump → Bounce → Capitulation. That's exactly how the last cycle played out. If Bitcoin follows the same path again, this bounce is not the beginning of a new Bull Run. It’s the final trap before one more major FLUSH. Next target: $50K–$53K. That’s where I expect the real cycle bottom to form. After that, I believe Bitcoin begins the move toward $130K–$150K by 2029. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

63,398 views • 2 months ago

🚨THIS IS THE MOST BEARISH $BTC CHART I'VE SEEN Bitcoin spent the last month fighting for $80k and got rejected every time Now look at the projection: It assumes a move from ~$83k to ~$50k That's a 40% drop Sounds crazy? $BTC already did exactly that earlier The scary part isn't the target It's how normal a move like that would be in a Bitcoin cycle MAKE SURE TO TURN NOTIFS ON

🚨THIS IS THE MOST BEARISH $BTC CHART I'VE SEEN Bitcoin spent the last month fighting for $80k and got rejected every time Now look at the projection: It assumes a move from ~$83k to ~$50k That's a 40% drop Sounds crazy? $BTC already did exactly that earlier The scary part isn't the target It's how normal a move like that would be in a Bitcoin cycle MAKE SURE TO TURN NOTIFS ON

BLADE

11,168 views • 4 months ago

🚨 I TOLD YOU THIS WOULD HAPPEN TO $BTC Bitcoin pushed into $65K and got rejected for the second time. If this structure holds, I think the next move is much lower: $65K → $55K → $48K → $44K The first target is $55K. Lose that and the whole structure opens up. Only in the last year have I called all of the Bitcoin selloffs, including the full move from $126K to $60K. Follow + turn notifs on. You don't want to be late on my calls...

🚨 I TOLD YOU THIS WOULD HAPPEN TO $BTC Bitcoin pushed into $65K and got rejected for the second time. If this structure holds, I think the next move is much lower: $65K → $55K → $48K → $44K The first target is $55K. Lose that and the whole structure opens up. Only in the last year have I called all of the Bitcoin selloffs, including the full move from $126K to $60K. Follow + turn notifs on. You don't want to be late on my calls...

Void 🔎

20,754 views • 2 months ago

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

Mister Crypto

17,665 views • 3 months ago

$🚨 BITCOIN JUST FLASHED THE SAME BOTTOM STRUCTURE THAT APPEARED BEFORE THE 2023 RALLY. In both cycles, BTC formed a “June bottom” first. Then came a fake recovery, RSI divergence, and one final flush before the real bottom was in. Bitcoin crashed another -28% after the June 2022 bottom. If this fractal repeats, Bitcoin may still need one final panic move before Q3/Q4 reversal.$

🚨 BITCOIN JUST FLASHED THE SAME BOTTOM STRUCTURE THAT APPEARED BEFORE THE 2023 RALLY. In both cycles, BTC formed a “June bottom” first. Then came a fake recovery, RSI divergence, and one final flush before the real bottom was in. Bitcoin crashed another -28% after the June 2022 bottom. If this fractal repeats, Bitcoin may still need one final panic move before Q3/Q4 reversal.

Crypto Rover

102,823 views • 3 months ago