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Every computer on Earth. 2 billion devices, a million guesses a second, running for 100 years straight. What are the odds they crack one Bitcoin wallet? Jeff Walton runs it live on the new probability tools: 1 in 10^52. Give every person on the planet two wallets and it's... show more

True North

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17,076 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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A viewer asked when $MSTR goes back to its peak price. Jeff Walton does not give a date. However a scenario. If 1 million Bitcoin ever sits on that balance sheet at $500,000 a coin, that's $500 billion, and the portion at risk is small next to what banks and Berkshire carry. Once that much Bitcoin is on Strategy's balance sheet, no company can buy its way past it. That's the moat. bitcoin:native $STRC

A viewer asked when $MSTR goes back to its peak price. Jeff Walton does not give a date. However a scenario. If 1 million Bitcoin ever sits on that balance sheet at $500,000 a coin, that's $500 billion, and the portion at risk is small next to what banks and Berkshire carry. Once that much Bitcoin is on Strategy's balance sheet, no company can buy its way past it. That's the moat. bitcoin:native $STRC

True North

31,078 görüntüleme • 23 gün önce

What is $100 million of GPUs worth 6 years from now? Scrap metal. Grain of Salt Jeff Walton The debt raised against them still comes due as a balloon payment at the end, on an agreed amount and a growth rate. Now reverse it. 8% fixed, $15 billion of Bitcoin, and ask whether it is worth more or less in 6 or 8 years. All Bitcoiners answer that the same way. Same structure. Opposite collateral. Then Italy. Cheese producers borrowed against the cheese, a heat wave hit on Monday, and the collateral started melting in professional storage. "Jeff, do you model heat waves in Italy from melting cheese when you're writing an insurance policy?" bitcoin:native $MSTR $STRC

What is $100 million of GPUs worth 6 years from now? Scrap metal. Grain of Salt Jeff Walton The debt raised against them still comes due as a balloon payment at the end, on an agreed amount and a growth rate. Now reverse it. 8% fixed, $15 billion of Bitcoin, and ask whether it is worth more or less in 6 or 8 years. All Bitcoiners answer that the same way. Same structure. Opposite collateral. Then Italy. Cheese producers borrowed against the cheese, a heat wave hit on Monday, and the collateral started melting in professional storage. "Jeff, do you model heat waves in Italy from melting cheese when you're writing an insurance policy?" bitcoin:native $MSTR $STRC

True North

15,135 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

When Jeff Walton showed me the old check he keeps in his wallet, I couldn’t believe it. $7,500 from a HELOC…every dollar on MSTR options in late 2022. A 2,000% return that completely changed his life. One of the most candid moments I’ve had on the show. Don’t miss the full conversation streaming now.

When Jeff Walton showed me the old check he keeps in his wallet, I couldn’t believe it. $7,500 from a HELOC…every dollar on MSTR options in late 2022. A 2,000% return that completely changed his life. One of the most candid moments I’ve had on the show. Don’t miss the full conversation streaming now.

Natalie Brunell ⚡️

148,622 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Elon Musk: In half a billion years, the sun will expand and make life impossible on Earth. “The universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means that if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never evolve at all. Just 10% longer. I wonder how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to the other planet and ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.” Interview with Lex Fridman, November 12, 2019

Elon Musk: In half a billion years, the sun will expand and make life impossible on Earth. “The universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means that if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never evolve at all. Just 10% longer. I wonder how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to the other planet and ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.” Interview with Lex Fridman, November 12, 2019

ELON CLIPS

481,482 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

i built a tool that lets me never work again in my life it watches smart wallets on robinhood chain and finds the next runner before anyone else knows it exists not joking $100 → $2,640 in 41 minutes STAMPEDE. it watches wallets on robinhood chain the idea is stupid simple: a runner isn't new money. it's a herd of wallets leaving one coin and piling into the next. the chart moves after the herd. STAMPEDE sees the herd every few seconds it: → reads every trade on the robinhood chain launchpads (146,329 in one hour) → catches the move: one wallet sold coin A, then bought coin B, within minutes → counts the herd: 54 wallets making the same move in 8 minutes is a stampede. one wallet buying 9 times is noise → ranks every coin by how many wallets are running into it and how fast that's growing → draws it on a 3D map and flies the camera to the biggest herd → shows the wallets and the transactions under every number so you can check i'm not lying only the launchpad coins on robinhood chain for now, not the whole market runs on a laptop, zero api keys for the replay the video is a recorded replay of one real hour at 20x $100 → $2,640 in 41 minutes. the herd was already in, i was right behind it three of those back to back and $100 is $1,839,000 not joking should i post every stampede it catches here, live?

i built a tool that lets me never work again in my life it watches smart wallets on robinhood chain and finds the next runner before anyone else knows it exists not joking $100 → $2,640 in 41 minutes STAMPEDE. it watches wallets on robinhood chain the idea is stupid simple: a runner isn't new money. it's a herd of wallets leaving one coin and piling into the next. the chart moves after the herd. STAMPEDE sees the herd every few seconds it: → reads every trade on the robinhood chain launchpads (146,329 in one hour) → catches the move: one wallet sold coin A, then bought coin B, within minutes → counts the herd: 54 wallets making the same move in 8 minutes is a stampede. one wallet buying 9 times is noise → ranks every coin by how many wallets are running into it and how fast that's growing → draws it on a 3D map and flies the camera to the biggest herd → shows the wallets and the transactions under every number so you can check i'm not lying only the launchpad coins on robinhood chain for now, not the whole market runs on a laptop, zero api keys for the replay the video is a recorded replay of one real hour at 20x $100 → $2,640 in 41 minutes. the herd was already in, i was right behind it three of those back to back and $100 is $1,839,000 not joking should i post every stampede it catches here, live?

Argona

103,192 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

Strategy $MSTR has built more capital in six years than Lloyd’s of London, an insurance market that has been building capital for roughly 300 years. Jeff puts the scale into perspective: - Strategy currently has ~$8B more capital than Lloyd’s - If Bitcoin bitcoin:native returns to its all-time high: ~$125B-$150B balance sheet - Total reinsurance market risk capital: ~$800B - One company could represent a significant share of that entire market “You’re thinking about a company with potentially the largest liquid treasury on the planet very quickly.” - Jeff Walton

Strategy $MSTR has built more capital in six years than Lloyd’s of London, an insurance market that has been building capital for roughly 300 years. Jeff puts the scale into perspective: - Strategy currently has ~$8B more capital than Lloyd’s - If Bitcoin bitcoin:native returns to its all-time high: ~$125B-$150B balance sheet - Total reinsurance market risk capital: ~$800B - One company could represent a significant share of that entire market “You’re thinking about a company with potentially the largest liquid treasury on the planet very quickly.” - Jeff Walton

The Hurdle Rate Podcast

19,885 görüntüleme • 24 gün önce

.tobi lutke has been running a keylogger and auto-screenshotting his computer every 10 minutes for the last 15 years. That's a crazy person move, and a wild dataset to have on yourself.

.tobi lutke has been running a keylogger and auto-screenshotting his computer every 10 minutes for the last 15 years. That's a crazy person move, and a wild dataset to have on yourself.

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Elon Musk on the need to expand beyond Earth: “The Universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is like 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the Sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never have evolved at all. And I wonder, how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to another planet and then ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.”

Elon Musk on the need to expand beyond Earth: “The Universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is like 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the Sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never have evolved at all. And I wonder, how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to another planet and then ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.”

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A Bitcoin wallet that sat untouched for 14 years woke up and moved $51 MILLION in Bitcoin These coins were last touched in 2012, when Bitcoin traded around $10 Whoever holds them is up roughly 8,000x They moved 600 Bitcoin in a single transaction after 14 years Every time one of these wallets wake up, the whole market watches to see if the oldest hands are finally selling

A Bitcoin wallet that sat untouched for 14 years woke up and moved $51 MILLION in Bitcoin These coins were last touched in 2012, when Bitcoin traded around $10 Whoever holds them is up roughly 8,000x They moved 600 Bitcoin in a single transaction after 14 years Every time one of these wallets wake up, the whole market watches to see if the oldest hands are finally selling

Jeremy

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💣2 QUADRILLION DERIVATIVES🔥 How large is 2 Quadrillion❓️ One quadrillion seconds is approximately 31.7 MILLION YEARS 31.7 × 2 = 63.4 MILLION YEARS If you paid 1 Cent for every second it would take you 63.4 BILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid a dollar for every second it would take you 63.4 MILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid 100 dollars for every second it would take you 634,195 THOUSAND YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES THERE IS NOT ENOUGH TIME OR MONEY TO PAY OFF THE DERIVATIVES 💣💣 THAT IS HOW BIG THE PROBLEM IS

💣2 QUADRILLION DERIVATIVES🔥 How large is 2 Quadrillion❓️ One quadrillion seconds is approximately 31.7 MILLION YEARS 31.7 × 2 = 63.4 MILLION YEARS If you paid 1 Cent for every second it would take you 63.4 BILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid a dollar for every second it would take you 63.4 MILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid 100 dollars for every second it would take you 634,195 THOUSAND YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES THERE IS NOT ENOUGH TIME OR MONEY TO PAY OFF THE DERIVATIVES 💣💣 THAT IS HOW BIG THE PROBLEM IS

Stephanie 🇬🇧🇺🇸🦍

32,783 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

People are freaking out because Strategyᴮ sold 32 BTC. That’s 0.0038% of its 843,738 BTC stack. Meanwhile Jeff Walton Jeff Walton just explained the real issue: legacy finance is still treating billions in Bitcoin on the balance sheet like it’s worth zero. So Saylor sells a tiny piece, converts it to cash, and forces them to admit the asset is real. h/t: Bankless

People are freaking out because Strategyᴮ sold 32 BTC. That’s 0.0038% of its 843,738 BTC stack. Meanwhile Jeff Walton Jeff Walton just explained the real issue: legacy finance is still treating billions in Bitcoin on the balance sheet like it’s worth zero. So Saylor sells a tiny piece, converts it to cash, and forces them to admit the asset is real. h/t: Bankless

Alex 👽

217,456 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

The Green Party is calling for a 1% tax on wealth over £10 million and a 2% tax on wealth over £1 billion. They say it would raise £14.8 billion a year. So, should we tax the rich? Zack Polanski and former Conservative Minister Sir John Redwood debate.

The Green Party is calling for a 1% tax on wealth over £10 million and a 2% tax on wealth over £1 billion. They say it would raise £14.8 billion a year. So, should we tax the rich? Zack Polanski and former Conservative Minister Sir John Redwood debate.

Good Morning Britain

64,968 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

This is the one. 🧩 10+ years of Drake getting blamed for everything wrong in rap. There’s a pattern underneath it that’s older than hip-hop… and the same fingerprints on the scene every time. New video is live 🔗⬇️

This is the one. 🧩 10+ years of Drake getting blamed for everything wrong in rap. There’s a pattern underneath it that’s older than hip-hop… and the same fingerprints on the scene every time. New video is live 🔗⬇️

a - p o x

38,011 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Dave Clark has presented the World Championship Darts every festive season for 20 years. In 2011, he was diagnosed with Parkinson's but defied the odds and carried on presenting live sport for 10 years.

Dave Clark has presented the World Championship Darts every festive season for 20 years. In 2011, he was diagnosed with Parkinson's but defied the odds and carried on presenting live sport for 10 years.

Good Morning Britain

2,442,427 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Two runs is all it took for EHS Baseball to hold off Wayzata, 2-1 in the section 6-4A final. Chase Bjorgaard scored the go-ahead run in the third and set up Edina’s second run in the fifth. Just the second time in 42 years that Edina Hornets baseball is headed to state.

Two runs is all it took for EHS Baseball to hold off Wayzata, 2-1 in the section 6-4A final. Chase Bjorgaard scored the go-ahead run in the third and set up Edina’s second run in the fifth. Just the second time in 42 years that Edina Hornets baseball is headed to state.

Chaz Mootz

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happy 10 years to the show that shaped me in so many ways. i am so thankful for every single person in this show, 10 years on and it still hits the same. orange forever, i love you <3 #OITNB #OITNB10

happy 10 years to the show that shaped me in so many ways. i am so thankful for every single person in this show, 10 years on and it still hits the same. orange forever, i love you <3 #OITNB #OITNB10

m is seeing gracie

279,768 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce

Said it before, I’ll say it again: We’re about ~3 years away from EVERY SINGLE PERSON ON PLANET EARTH agreeing that this type of Machine is LIGHT YEARS better than Barbell Bench Press for building the Chest Just give it a little more time…the stragglers will catch up shortly!

Said it before, I’ll say it again: We’re about ~3 years away from EVERY SINGLE PERSON ON PLANET EARTH agreeing that this type of Machine is LIGHT YEARS better than Barbell Bench Press for building the Chest Just give it a little more time…the stragglers will catch up shortly!

Dean Turner

3,983,055 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

25 years ago, Lil' Kim released "No Matter What They Say". It peaked at #60 on the Hot 100, and sold 1 million units in the US.

25 years ago, Lil' Kim released "No Matter What They Say". It peaked at #60 on the Hot 100, and sold 1 million units in the US.

music data

75,238 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

HORIZON V0.3 JUST HANDED RETAIL TRADERS THE EXACT TOOLS THAT USED TO COST A QUANT $400,000 A YEAR Backtest one strategy across BTC, ETH and SOL in a single run. Scale out in pieces with partial exits. Then deploy it live on Hyperliquid, the biggest perp DEX on the planet, running 24/7 with no broker and no KYC. Type an idea in plain English, test it across every asset in seconds, run it live while you sleep.

HORIZON V0.3 JUST HANDED RETAIL TRADERS THE EXACT TOOLS THAT USED TO COST A QUANT $400,000 A YEAR Backtest one strategy across BTC, ETH and SOL in a single run. Scale out in pieces with partial exits. Then deploy it live on Hyperliquid, the biggest perp DEX on the planet, running 24/7 with no broker and no KYC. Type an idea in plain English, test it across every asset in seconds, run it live while you sleep.

0xMarioNawfal

47,717 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

I’ll give it ~3 more years before EVERY SINGLE PERSON ON PLANET EARTH agrees that this type of Machine is LIGHT YEARS better than Barbell Bench Press for building the Chest We are very very close to consensus on this….only a few stubborn people holding us up!

I’ll give it ~3 more years before EVERY SINGLE PERSON ON PLANET EARTH agrees that this type of Machine is LIGHT YEARS better than Barbell Bench Press for building the Chest We are very very close to consensus on this….only a few stubborn people holding us up!

Dean Turner

558,651 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce