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Every computer on Earth. 2 billion devices, a million guesses a second, running for 100 years straight. What are the odds they crack one Bitcoin wallet? Jeff Walton runs it live on the new probability tools: 1 in 10^52. Give every person on the planet two wallets and it's... show more

True North

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15,860 次观看 • 3 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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When Jeff Walton showed me the old check he keeps in his wallet, I couldn’t believe it. $7,500 from a HELOC…every dollar on MSTR options in late 2022. A 2,000% return that completely changed his life. One of the most candid moments I’ve had on the show. Don’t miss the full conversation streaming now.

When Jeff Walton showed me the old check he keeps in his wallet, I couldn’t believe it. $7,500 from a HELOC…every dollar on MSTR options in late 2022. A 2,000% return that completely changed his life. One of the most candid moments I’ve had on the show. Don’t miss the full conversation streaming now.

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Elon Musk: In half a billion years, the sun will expand and make life impossible on Earth. “The universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means that if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never evolve at all. Just 10% longer. I wonder how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to the other planet and ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.” Interview with Lex Fridman, November 12, 2019

Elon Musk: In half a billion years, the sun will expand and make life impossible on Earth. “The universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means that if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never evolve at all. Just 10% longer. I wonder how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to the other planet and ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.” Interview with Lex Fridman, November 12, 2019

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481,454 次观看 • 10 个月前

.tobi lutke has been running a keylogger and auto-screenshotting his computer every 10 minutes for the last 15 years. That's a crazy person move, and a wild dataset to have on yourself.

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Elon Musk on the need to expand beyond Earth: “The Universe appears to be 13.8 billion years old. Earth is like 4.5 billion years old. In another half billion years or so, the Sun will expand and probably evaporate the oceans and make life impossible on Earth. Which means if it had taken consciousness 10% longer to evolve, it would never have evolved at all. And I wonder, how many dead one-planet civilizations there are out there in the cosmos that never made it to another planet and then ultimately extinguished themselves or were destroyed by external factors. Probably a few.”

Eva Fo𝕏 🦊 Claudius Nero's Legion

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💣2 QUADRILLION DERIVATIVES🔥 How large is 2 Quadrillion❓️ One quadrillion seconds is approximately 31.7 MILLION YEARS 31.7 × 2 = 63.4 MILLION YEARS If you paid 1 Cent for every second it would take you 63.4 BILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid a dollar for every second it would take you 63.4 MILLION YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES If you paid 100 dollars for every second it would take you 634,195 THOUSAND YEARS to pay off the DERIVATIVES THERE IS NOT ENOUGH TIME OR MONEY TO PAY OFF THE DERIVATIVES 💣💣 THAT IS HOW BIG THE PROBLEM IS

Stephanie 🇬🇧🇺🇸🦍

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People are freaking out because Strategyᴮ sold 32 BTC. That’s 0.0038% of its 843,738 BTC stack. Meanwhile Jeff Walton Jeff Walton just explained the real issue: legacy finance is still treating billions in Bitcoin on the balance sheet like it’s worth zero. So Saylor sells a tiny piece, converts it to cash, and forces them to admit the asset is real. h/t: Bankless

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Dave Clark has presented the World Championship Darts every festive season for 20 years. In 2011, he was diagnosed with Parkinson's but defied the odds and carried on presenting live sport for 10 years.

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happy 10 years to the show that shaped me in so many ways. i am so thankful for every single person in this show, 10 years on and it still hits the same. orange forever, i love you <3 #OITNB #OITNB10

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They blamed it on a "Stutter." They blamed it on "Russian Disinfo." They blamed it on "Cheap-Fakes." They hid him at every opportunity. They scripted every public event. They denied the Hur Report findings. They sent him on vacation for 570 days. They brazenly lied to you FOR YEARS. This could be the biggest Presidential cover-up in American history. And the media defended it all. Until they got exposed at the debate. Don't let the media gaslight you. This story existed FOR YEARS. And they avoided it ON PURPOSE.

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Citadel quant quit and walked out with one thing fund never lets leave the building: 120-year-old math that sees a market crash before the chart does. Every big desk runs it. None of them explain it. He turned it into an HMM bot running BTC 5min markets and made $570,000. It switches strategy the second the regime flips and cuts everything the moment panic spikes. His wallet: Full breakdown below. Here's what they actually see. You look at a Bitcoin chart and see a price. A quant sees three states: bull, bear, sideways. The market's always in one. The only question that pays is which one comes next. That's the math. It's called a Markov chain, and it runs on one rule: where price goes next depends only on where it is now. You count how often each state flips to another and drop it into a grid. That grid is a map of the market. Now the part that feels illegal. Want the odds of a crash twelve steps out? You multiply that grid by itself twelve times. One line of math, and you've got the probability of every future state. Then it acts: run the trend when calm, flip to mean reversion in chop, cut everything when panic odds spike. It doesn't predict the future. It gives you the odds of every version of it, then sizes the bet to match. That's the edge. Renaissance ran 66% a year for 30 years on math like this. You can build the basic version in a weekend. Bookmark & read this before it gets buried.

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