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EVERY MIDTERM YEAR, S&P 500 DROPPED Every single one going back 60 years: 1962: -28% 1974: -48% 2002: -34% 2018: -19% 2022: -15% 2026: -__% Not some of them. Not most of them. The pattern has never broken once in six decades. 2026 is a midterm year, and most...

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🚨 S&P 500 FALLS IN THIS PERIOD 93% OF CASES 🚨 Every midterm election year since 1962 (May to October) = market dump Not sometimes. 15 out of 16 times The worst ones: - 1962: -22.16% - 1966: -21.22% - 1974: -33.1% - 2002: -30.54% - 2022: -18.9% Recessions, bubbles, rate cycles - none of it broke the pattern So what's actually driving this? Three things And they hit at the same time. every single cycle 1. THE PRESIDENTIAL CYCLE New presidents always front-load the difficult decisions - Tax reform - Spending cuts - Policy shifts Nobody wants to do this close to re-election So they push it all into the FIRST TWO YEARS The market absorbs all of that pain during the midterm window Years 3 and 4 flip the script - stimulus, rate cuts, liquidity back in the system Markets recover. President takes the credit Nobody mentions who caused the pain two years earlier 2. POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY Most people focus only on the president. They miss the bigger story Midterms can flip Congress overnight When that happens - taxes change, spending changes, every regulation is on the table Big money doesn't wait to find out which way it goes It reduces exposure before the vote and comes back once the dust settles Uncertainty doesn't just slow markets. It empties them That's exactly why smart money moves in May And why "Sell in May and go away" exists 3. THE FED TIMING PROBLEM There's a reason the Fed always seems to get the timing wrong They don't. It's intentional Rates go up in year 1 and 2. That's the pain nobody talks about on camera Then rates come down in year 3 and 4 - right when the president needs good headlines before re-election Midterm year always lands at the top of that rate cycle The most expensive moment to borrow. The hardest moment to grow The Fed didn't miscalculate. The calendar just exposed them And then there's 2026 New president in year 2. Fed still restrictive. Congress up for grabs Every condition is in place. All three forces active at the same time My target: 6,200 by October That's a 17% decline from current levels History says this move is more likely than not Are you positioned for it? NOTIFS ON!

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