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"Everyone may be positioned for the wrong economy" Mark Moss says growth has stopped being rate sensitive, and the gap between what the economy and the government can tolerate is the Bitcoin case "Everyone's still the generals fighting the last war. We're waiting for 2008 to happen again. We're... show more
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FT @1MarkMoss This clip is brought to you by @hodlwithLedn

government cant tolerate its own rates is the most honest sentence in that clip

if the economy can actually tolerate 5% rates while the government can’t then that’s a very different Bitcoin argument than the usual inflation story

Moss prolly right here!

I can't tell whether I want to laugh or happy-cry. I could write a whole diary entry about the feeling.

The government debt angle is probably the strongest part of this thesis. If the economy can handle higher rates but the government can’t, Bitcoin’s fixed supply starts looking like a pretty interesting hedge against that mismatch.

yeah the market keeps pricing the last crisis while the real shift is happening now

Private capex can shrug at 50bp. The Treasury cannot

the govt cant tolerate higher rates part is the whole thesis tbh
