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Everything is going exactly as I predicted. The S&P 500 dump has begun. But it's still 20% above its 200 EMA. 3 out of 3 previous cycles proved one thing: Huge pump above 200 EMA always ends in a brutal crash. 2020 → 2022 → 2025 This time won't... show more
543,778 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)
41 Kommentare

Bro, you’ve been calling the top since last summer, one of these days you’ll be right but markets don’t just roll over because someone on X says so

What the actual fuck are you on about? You're just making shit up. Show me proof that I've been calling the top since last summer or gtfo

I certainly wouldn’t call this a dump. Most stocks have recovered nicely today.

Give it time. Still sitting -3.3% off the highs.

$SPX dips every couple months and youve called every one of them the big one. it was 20% above the 200 EMA in 2021 and 2023 too, those just didnt make your screenshot the chart only agrees with you after it already moved

The correction may have started, but the process may not be over.

👍

Thanks

Hope youre right i sold all my portfolio today

My posts are my personal view. You should use your own head.

Didnt sell because of your post, but if it plays out as you said then selling was good today

🫡

👍

Thanks

I bet this tweet hits hard to stupid ass people lol

反発したものは無視ですか

Historical data shows that the S&P 500 often deviates significantly from the 200 EMA and is indeed followed by mean reversion. However, in the 2020-2022 cycle, the extreme deviation caused by the pandemic stimulus policies lasted for nearly 18 months, far exceeding the ordinary "pump-and-dump" model. If the Federal Reserve is still observing, this round of correction may just be profit-taking rather than a systemic collapse.

Silly goose…

👀😶👍

👀

Unless this current ending diagonal turns into a larger diagonal, this correction might be bigger, as this whole move up would complete all 5-waves. Meaning a 3-wave macro correction is next.

🤔

The dichotomy of FT

By the time price gets there the EMA Should churn enough that it will line up almost perfectly with that box you have drawn.

Eat shit "Account based in Eastern Europe [non-EU]" So fucking tired of you people

I'm in at 2500

👍

Flat 20% above the 200 EMA with that kind of conviction usually means the crowd is already leaning short. That’s the tension nobody wants to admit.

过去几次周期的崩盘都伴随流动性收紧,现在美联储政策路径不同,简单套用历史容易高估风险。市场参与者结构也已改变,散户和机构持仓更分散,支撑力度比以往更强。

Such a smart guy. Modest too.

2020 2026

@grok can this happen

Any updates?

说崩溃?这是正常波动。美国基本面还在,AI 应用需求和企业开支都稳着,短期情绪宣泄多过实质变化。真正的风险点看企业下半年指引会不会集体下调,以及高利率对再融资企业的冲击。市场要的是实打实的 earnings 支撑,不是 forecast。200EMA 给不了你什么 edge,看基本面和估值。

One more pump before the decline

same cycle story every cycle

Exactly

Show us you shorts? Or you too 🐓

Moving average. Lol cute, that line means nothing, it follows price.

Thank you for this advice. I sold all my stocks today. This is definitely very good financial advice.

20% above the 200 EMA with rate cuts off the table feels different from 2022 though.
