Загрузка видео...
Не удалось загрузить видео
Excited to share something I was working on for a while now: the Before AGI podcast! There is a lot of talking about AGI. But what’s less explored is an equally important question: What happens before AGI arrives? And what should we be doing to prepare? First episode with... show more
34,517 просмотров • 2 лет назад •via X (Twitter)
Комментарии: 8
We dig into AI’s promise of productivity and concerns of job displacement and inequality. @erikbryn is a mindful optimist, and believes we can ensure AI will complement, and not replace, human labor. Watch here: YouTube: Spotify: Apple Podcasts:
In the coming weeks, I’ll continue to bring on different thinkers in the AI space, from educators to AI researchers to people with policy experience. My hope is to create a place for genuine discussions about what are the goals, what are the problems, and what lies ahead as the world develops AI—and, maybe most importantly, how to make sense of this whole space. And to have conversations that are grounded in facts and science, not just vibes. Disclaimer: This podcast is supported by @OpenAI, where I work right now (although the editorial oversight is solely mine).
There’s no AGI or even “intelligence” in current AI models. AI giants abuse anthropomorphic narratives to misrepresent current and future AI capabilities beyond its technological limits. Breaking the illusion is not easy but a necessary step for better AI literacy.
really nice to have a podcast by an authentic MIT professor
Thanks a lot, I want to suggest interviewing @GaryMarcus in the future so we can have a balanced view given his stance on the current path of AI development.
Would be nice to see someone from @ssi 🙃👀 in one of your podcast episodes.
Interesting conversation Will be following this podcast
This is much needed, subscribed. Please cover the military escalation and deescalation dynamics of a US-China ASI arms race. Podcasts are about authenticity; please don't shy away from an honest discussion of war if you feel it's a real risk. Also, dream guest: Carl Shulman.
![AGI risk seems lower than it is because the people who know that AGI risk exists are almost all incentivized against talking about it openly. I just made a YouTube video about this that (I think) explains why. Broadly, there are two groups of people not talking about AGI risk: -- People who know AGI risk is real (i.e. AGI lab leaders) -- People who know nothing about AGI risk (i.e. politicians, citizens) To catalyze wide scale discourse about AGI risk, I argue that the following two strategies are strong candidates: 1. [Bottom-Up] Get Citizens Concerned: Find ways to meld AGI risk narratives into legacy media and more understandable political talking points which are already in the Overton window. This work is bound to be messy, and to ultimately soil the core of the message with left-right political gunk, but (barring an AI disaster) its likely the only way that AGI risk catches on with enough of a core base of citizens. As I explain in the video essay, the citizens are the lynchpin to getting everyone (those who don’t know, and those who know) to discuss AGI risk more frankly. 2. [Top-Down] Get a Losing AGI Lab Leader to “Flip”: Those closest to achieving AGI are not going to flip and start talking about AGI risk, the rewards are too great. But those who are losing the race (and don’t want to live to see their rivals achieve the final flex before them) might be able to feign virtue by claiming “Now I see AGI is dangerous, I’m a concerned expert and this needs to be regulated!” They can cloak themselves in pretended virtue while also preventing a rival from crossing the finish line first. I argue that hoping for more Jeff Hintons and Daniel Kokotajlo-like people isn't a good strategy when the incentives are still structured to keep most of them from wanting to talk about it. Here’s the full video essay:](https://image.24vids.com/tw-1913225941330837699/amplify_video_thumb/1913223775220322304/img/udrThSwGuphxFFc3.jpg)
![I was honored to share the TED AI stage with Ilya on Oct. 17. His speech video is out today (mine's still being edited). I think it provides relevant context tokens to the ongoing events. Transcript starting at ~10'20": As AI continues to progress, as technology advances, [...] What I claim will happen is that people will start to act in unprecedentedly collaborative ways out of their own self-interest. It's already happening right now. You see the leading AGI companies starting to collaborate, such as the Frontiers model forum. And we will expect that companies, even competitors, will share technical information to make their AI safe. We may even see governments do this. As another example, at OpenAI, we really believed in how dramatic AGI is going to be. So, one of the ideas that we were operating by, and it's been written on our website for 5 years now, is that when technology gets such that we are very close to AGI, to computers smarter than humans, if some other company is far ahead of us, then rather than compete with them, we will help them out, join them, in a sense. And why do that? Because we appreciate how incredibly dramatic AGI is going to be. And my claim is that with each generation of capability advancements, as AI gets better and as all of you experience what AI can do, as people who run AI efforts and AGI efforts, and people who work on them will experience it as well, this will change the way we see AI and AGI. And that will change collective behavior. And this is an important reason why I'm hopeful that, despite the great challenges posed by this technology, we will overcome them. @TEDAI2023](https://image.24vids.com/tw-1726763792556839253/amplify_video_thumb/1726761633660497920/img/x_EXQcjYHPxsm0Y5.jpg)