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📍Explaining the CEP (Circular Error Probable) of Fatah-2 Fatah-2 MaRV capable Ballistic missile / rocket offers a CEP of around 4-5m (<10m), which is significantly good as a GMLRS, considering their role and mass operationalization. CEP (Circular Error Probable) for a missile is a measure of its accuracy, defined...

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AM Raad

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35,862 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Pakistan successfully test-fired the Fatah-4 cruise missile — a 750km-range, terrain-hugging weapon flying at ~50 meters to evade radar and air defenses. The test validated upgraded navigation and precision systems, with a claimed accuracy of 5 meters CEP.
0:21

Pakistan successfully test-fired the Fatah-4 cruise missile — a 750km-range, terrain-hugging weapon flying at ~50 meters to evade radar and air defenses. The test validated upgraded navigation and precision systems, with a claimed accuracy of 5 meters CEP.

Clash Report

104,674 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Observe the trajectory: 1. The missile initially boosts and follows a parabolic trajectory. 2. It appears accurate, but impacts the target in a straight terminal path with no visible manoeuvring. 3. In the boost phase, the turn is not instantaneous; instead, it is sustained and occurs at a higher altitude. PS : Video of Pakistani Fatah IV missile
0:21

Observe the trajectory: 1. The missile initially boosts and follows a parabolic trajectory. 2. It appears accurate, but impacts the target in a straight terminal path with no visible manoeuvring. 3. In the boost phase, the turn is not instantaneous; instead, it is sustained and occurs at a higher altitude. PS : Video of Pakistani Fatah IV missile

Alpha Defense™🇮🇳

108,261 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Kremenchuk. I want to remind you what a deliberate act of terrorism actually looks like. This is when the terrorist country Russia deliberately attacks a shopping mall full of people with a missile that cannot be used in populated areas even to attack military targets due to its inaccuracy. The shopping center was attacked by an X-22 missile. The missile has an inertial navigation system based on a gyroscope and primitive radar, which is known for its low accuracy: only about half of the shots hit within 600 meters of the target point. X-22 was intended to destroy aircraft carriers. The combination of high power and low accuracy results in significant damage in use. The launch of such missiles on the city, no matter what object they are aimed at, due to its inaccuracy, is a deliberate act of terrorism. And this is one of thousands of examples of Russian terror…
0:30

Kremenchuk. I want to remind you what a deliberate act of terrorism actually looks like. This is when the terrorist country Russia deliberately attacks a shopping mall full of people with a missile that cannot be used in populated areas even to attack military targets due to its inaccuracy. The shopping center was attacked by an X-22 missile. The missile has an inertial navigation system based on a gyroscope and primitive radar, which is known for its low accuracy: only about half of the shots hit within 600 meters of the target point. X-22 was intended to destroy aircraft carriers. The combination of high power and low accuracy results in significant damage in use. The launch of such missiles on the city, no matter what object they are aimed at, due to its inaccuracy, is a deliberate act of terrorism. And this is one of thousands of examples of Russian terror…

Igor Kyivskyi

726,444 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

A shocking development for India… Pakistan has successfully tested its indigenous Fatah‑4 surface‑to‑surface missile, in a fresh display of its advancing military capabilities. Footage showed the missile shooting into the sky at high speed before striking its target with precision, triggering a massive explosion that erupted into a giant fireball.
0:21

A shocking development for India… Pakistan has successfully tested its indigenous Fatah‑4 surface‑to‑surface missile, in a fresh display of its advancing military capabilities. Footage showed the missile shooting into the sky at high speed before striking its target with precision, triggering a massive explosion that erupted into a giant fireball.

China pulse 🇨🇳

61,708 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Putin announces that next-generation Sarmat ICBM will be deployed by end of 2026, after successful test. "It is the most powerful missile system in the world... The total power of the delivered warhead is over 4 times greater than the power of any existing Western analogue. Secondly, and most importantly, the missile can move not only along a ballistic trajectory, but also along a suborbital trajectory, which, thirdly, allows for a range of over 35,000 km while simultaneously doubling its accuracy characteristics. Finally, it has the ability to overcome all existing and prospective missile defense systems."
1:21

Putin announces that next-generation Sarmat ICBM will be deployed by end of 2026, after successful test. "It is the most powerful missile system in the world... The total power of the delivered warhead is over 4 times greater than the power of any existing Western analogue. Secondly, and most importantly, the missile can move not only along a ballistic trajectory, but also along a suborbital trajectory, which, thirdly, allows for a range of over 35,000 km while simultaneously doubling its accuracy characteristics. Finally, it has the ability to overcome all existing and prospective missile defense systems."

Margarita Simonyan

137,109 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

About Patriot Air Defense Systems Another video where three PAC-3 missiles from the Patriot air defense system, launched at an Iranian missile, fail to hit their target. The missile somehow evades them and manages to reach its target. The cost of a single PAC-3 missile is a million US dollars. The expenditure is so high that they'll only last for a couple of weeks, and that's it. - Slavyangrad
1:13

About Patriot Air Defense Systems Another video where three PAC-3 missiles from the Patriot air defense system, launched at an Iranian missile, fail to hit their target. The missile somehow evades them and manages to reach its target. The cost of a single PAC-3 missile is a million US dollars. The expenditure is so high that they'll only last for a couple of weeks, and that's it. - Slavyangrad

Zlatti71

15,965 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

❗️Putin’s statements on the use of the “Oreshnik” missile system during a meeting with the Ministry of Defense and defense industry leadership: •Yesterday, the “Oreshnik” tests were successful. We have a stockpile of these systems; •The “Oreshnik” system is not a modernization of Soviet systems but the result of work in the conditions of the new Russia; •Russia will continue testing the latest missiles, including in combat conditions; •No other country in the world has such weapons yet, but sooner or later, they will appear in other nations as well; •The “Oreshnik” system is not a strategic weapon or a weapon of mass destruction; it is a precision weapon; •As of today, there are no systems capable of intercepting the “Oreshnik”; •A decision has been made to begin mass production of the “Oreshnik.” It will be deployed in the Strategic Missile Forces; •Russia is also developing several other systems similar to the “Oreshnik.” 🔎And of course more threats in the end: Commander of the Strategic Missile Forces Karakayev: The “Oreshnik” complex can target the entirety of Europe.
8:28

❗️Putin’s statements on the use of the “Oreshnik” missile system during a meeting with the Ministry of Defense and defense industry leadership: •Yesterday, the “Oreshnik” tests were successful. We have a stockpile of these systems; •The “Oreshnik” system is not a modernization of Soviet systems but the result of work in the conditions of the new Russia; •Russia will continue testing the latest missiles, including in combat conditions; •No other country in the world has such weapons yet, but sooner or later, they will appear in other nations as well; •The “Oreshnik” system is not a strategic weapon or a weapon of mass destruction; it is a precision weapon; •As of today, there are no systems capable of intercepting the “Oreshnik”; •A decision has been made to begin mass production of the “Oreshnik.” It will be deployed in the Strategic Missile Forces; •Russia is also developing several other systems similar to the “Oreshnik.” 🔎And of course more threats in the end: Commander of the Strategic Missile Forces Karakayev: The “Oreshnik” complex can target the entirety of Europe.

Maria Drutska 🇺🇦

102,476 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Russia most likely fired a RS-26 „Rubezh“ ICBM against the Ukrainian city of Dnipro at 5am local time. The launch site was presumably Astrakhan. The warheads were non-nuclear. The accuracy of this missile is 90m-250m CEP and for conventional strikes absolutely inaccurate, though judging from this video it seems more to be like a CEP of 500-1000m. Even hitting an object such as football stadium is a gamble. But accuracy is not the point. Terror is the point. Just like a terrorist with its suicide vest, Russia wants to deliver random violence. It is irrelevant that those missiles hit hospitals, schools and kindergartens. In the contrary, hitting those civilian facilities just strengthen the terror character and drive people from their homes, if they survive the attack. Refugee streams are just another weapon against the West, and an effective one. I warned for decades that you cannot reason with the Kremlin. Russia proves once again that it is the largest terrorist entity in the world. Appeasement enabled Russia to become what it is and it is time to correct that mistakes. You don’t negotiate with terrorists, you respond with deadly force, in order to make sure that this will not come to your home. It is only the latest episode which show that no treaty or even ceasefire is going to change that fact. And last but not least, for Olaf Scholz and the SPD: this one is on you.
0:20

Russia most likely fired a RS-26 „Rubezh“ ICBM against the Ukrainian city of Dnipro at 5am local time. The launch site was presumably Astrakhan. The warheads were non-nuclear. The accuracy of this missile is 90m-250m CEP and for conventional strikes absolutely inaccurate, though judging from this video it seems more to be like a CEP of 500-1000m. Even hitting an object such as football stadium is a gamble. But accuracy is not the point. Terror is the point. Just like a terrorist with its suicide vest, Russia wants to deliver random violence. It is irrelevant that those missiles hit hospitals, schools and kindergartens. In the contrary, hitting those civilian facilities just strengthen the terror character and drive people from their homes, if they survive the attack. Refugee streams are just another weapon against the West, and an effective one. I warned for decades that you cannot reason with the Kremlin. Russia proves once again that it is the largest terrorist entity in the world. Appeasement enabled Russia to become what it is and it is time to correct that mistakes. You don’t negotiate with terrorists, you respond with deadly force, in order to make sure that this will not come to your home. It is only the latest episode which show that no treaty or even ceasefire is going to change that fact. And last but not least, for Olaf Scholz and the SPD: this one is on you.

(((Tendar)))

491,506 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

BREAKDOWN | Fire Point's FP-7 footage is doing the rounds, and it's worth understanding what the thing actually is. It's a Ukrainian-made ground-launched ballistic missile, and it's pretty clearly Kyiv's answer to running out of ATACMS early last year. Here are the figures the company is putting out, up to 200 km of range, a 150 kg warhead, around 1,500 m/s top speed, and a claimed 14-meter CEP. On paper that lands it in roughly the same class as ATACMS. The difference Shtilerman keeps hammering is price, about half the cost, and that's really the whole logic of it. The point is to have something cheap enough to fire in volume, so that the enemy knocking down a handful doesn't decide anything.
0:34

BREAKDOWN | Fire Point's FP-7 footage is doing the rounds, and it's worth understanding what the thing actually is. It's a Ukrainian-made ground-launched ballistic missile, and it's pretty clearly Kyiv's answer to running out of ATACMS early last year. Here are the figures the company is putting out, up to 200 km of range, a 150 kg warhead, around 1,500 m/s top speed, and a claimed 14-meter CEP. On paper that lands it in roughly the same class as ATACMS. The difference Shtilerman keeps hammering is price, about half the cost, and that's really the whole logic of it. The point is to have something cheap enough to fire in volume, so that the enemy knocking down a handful doesn't decide anything.

GeoInsider

12,966 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨 IRAN LAUNCHES FATAH “HYPERSONIC” MISSILE AT TEL AVIV Iran’s Revolutionary Guard claims it has launched retaliatory strikes against Israel, targeting military centers and airbases. Among the weapons reportedly used: the Fatah-1 missile — described by Iran as a hypersonic, precision-guided system capable of evasive manoeuvres. Explosions were heard across Tel Aviv, with residents reporting heavy blasts and sustained rumbling. Iran unveiled the Fatah in 2023, presenting it as a breakthrough system designed to challenge layered missile defenses. If deployed as claimed, this marks a serious escalation in both technology and intent. The conflict is no longer just about volume of fire. It is about capability. Stand by.
3:03

🚨 IRAN LAUNCHES FATAH “HYPERSONIC” MISSILE AT TEL AVIV Iran’s Revolutionary Guard claims it has launched retaliatory strikes against Israel, targeting military centers and airbases. Among the weapons reportedly used: the Fatah-1 missile — described by Iran as a hypersonic, precision-guided system capable of evasive manoeuvres. Explosions were heard across Tel Aviv, with residents reporting heavy blasts and sustained rumbling. Iran unveiled the Fatah in 2023, presenting it as a breakthrough system designed to challenge layered missile defenses. If deployed as claimed, this marks a serious escalation in both technology and intent. The conflict is no longer just about volume of fire. It is about capability. Stand by.

Jim Ferguson

117,202 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇹🇷 Turkey unveils its first hypersonic missile — Tayfun Block-4 Ankara has officially presented a new version of its longest-range ballistic missile — Tayfun Block-4. It is the first hypersonic missile fully developed in Turkey. According to the manufacturer Roketsan, the missile weighs over 7 tons, reaches speeds above Mach 5, and can strike strategic targets with an accuracy margin of less than 5 meters. Tayfun Block-4 is approximately 10 meters long and 938 mm in diameter. It marks one of Turkey’s most ambitious steps in the field of precision weaponry.
0:49

🇹🇷 Turkey unveils its first hypersonic missile — Tayfun Block-4 Ankara has officially presented a new version of its longest-range ballistic missile — Tayfun Block-4. It is the first hypersonic missile fully developed in Turkey. According to the manufacturer Roketsan, the missile weighs over 7 tons, reaches speeds above Mach 5, and can strike strategic targets with an accuracy margin of less than 5 meters. Tayfun Block-4 is approximately 10 meters long and 938 mm in diameter. It marks one of Turkey’s most ambitious steps in the field of precision weaponry.

NEXTA

37,799 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

⚡️‼️🇷🇺The Russian side has effectively confirmed for the first time that the "Orion" (also known as "Inokhodets") drone is a carrier for the small-sized cruise missile "Banderol." Ukraine designates this missile as S-8000. According to reports, the munition is capable of hitting targets at a maximum range of up to 500 km. The "Banderol's" cruising speed is 520–560 km/h, with a maximum speed of up to 650 km/h. The warhead weighs approximately 114–150 kg (with a net explosive weight of around 50 kg). It appears that the "Orion" is capable of carrying only one such missile. The most interesting aspect is the model and manufacturer of the jet engine. For a long time, a Chinese commercial engine, the Swiwin SW800Pro, was used on these missiles.
1:08

⚡️‼️🇷🇺The Russian side has effectively confirmed for the first time that the "Orion" (also known as "Inokhodets") drone is a carrier for the small-sized cruise missile "Banderol." Ukraine designates this missile as S-8000. According to reports, the munition is capable of hitting targets at a maximum range of up to 500 km. The "Banderol's" cruising speed is 520–560 km/h, with a maximum speed of up to 650 km/h. The warhead weighs approximately 114–150 kg (with a net explosive weight of around 50 kg). It appears that the "Orion" is capable of carrying only one such missile. The most interesting aspect is the model and manufacturer of the jet engine. For a long time, a Chinese commercial engine, the Swiwin SW800Pro, was used on these missiles.

SIMPLICIUS Ѱ

108,924 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

👇This is the Commanding officer/CO of Pakistan🇵🇰 Army’s unfortunate unit of Fatah Weapon System which failed to carry out its task— Lt Col Mirza Jahantab Khalid 😄 🔺Satellite imagery confirmed that Fatah-1 and Fatah-2 missiles did not create any significant damage to Indian facilities. Pakistan’s Fatah-1 missile getting intercepted by India’s Air Defence sys. 🔺 Towards the end you’ll see an unexploded Fatah-1 series rocket that was recovered from Dal Lake during a cleanup drive; far-far away from Srinagar base (the target) . 😊
0:45

👇This is the Commanding officer/CO of Pakistan🇵🇰 Army’s unfortunate unit of Fatah Weapon System which failed to carry out its task— Lt Col Mirza Jahantab Khalid 😄 🔺Satellite imagery confirmed that Fatah-1 and Fatah-2 missiles did not create any significant damage to Indian facilities. Pakistan’s Fatah-1 missile getting intercepted by India’s Air Defence sys. 🔺 Towards the end you’ll see an unexploded Fatah-1 series rocket that was recovered from Dal Lake during a cleanup drive; far-far away from Srinagar base (the target) . 😊

Levina🇮🇳

16,580 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨TRUMP IN PANIC: Here's Iran’s DEADLIEST Missile The Fattah-2 missile introduces a totally new concept: instead of relying solely on a ballistic reentry vehicle, it uses a hypersonic glide vehicle designed to manoeuvre during the final phase of flight. This glide vehicle separates after the booster phase and continues toward its target while remaining inside the atmosphere. Unlike traditional ballistic warheads, which follow a largely predictable descent, a glide vehicle can adjust its path, making tracking and interception more difficult, especially for systems optimised to counter classic ballistic trajectories. The missile has a range of around 1,400 kilometres, placing it within the same general category as several other medium-range systems in Iran’s arsenal. The key difference lies in the vehicle’s flight behaviour rather than its distance. The ability to manoeuvre at hypersonic speed requires precise guidance, heat-resistant materials, and stable control under extreme aerodynamic stress. The development of systems like Fattah-2 reflects a long-term trend in Iran’s missile programme. Over the past two decades, Iranian engineers have steadily improved propulsion, accuracy, and survivability. Much of this work has taken place domestically, under sanctions and technological isolation, which has helped the country to develop internal research and production. If Israel and its NATO allies struggled with Iran’s previous retaliatory strike, how prepared are they for a larger one given Iran’s recent military advances?
1:12

🚨TRUMP IN PANIC: Here's Iran’s DEADLIEST Missile The Fattah-2 missile introduces a totally new concept: instead of relying solely on a ballistic reentry vehicle, it uses a hypersonic glide vehicle designed to manoeuvre during the final phase of flight. This glide vehicle separates after the booster phase and continues toward its target while remaining inside the atmosphere. Unlike traditional ballistic warheads, which follow a largely predictable descent, a glide vehicle can adjust its path, making tracking and interception more difficult, especially for systems optimised to counter classic ballistic trajectories. The missile has a range of around 1,400 kilometres, placing it within the same general category as several other medium-range systems in Iran’s arsenal. The key difference lies in the vehicle’s flight behaviour rather than its distance. The ability to manoeuvre at hypersonic speed requires precise guidance, heat-resistant materials, and stable control under extreme aerodynamic stress. The development of systems like Fattah-2 reflects a long-term trend in Iran’s missile programme. Over the past two decades, Iranian engineers have steadily improved propulsion, accuracy, and survivability. Much of this work has taken place domestically, under sanctions and technological isolation, which has helped the country to develop internal research and production. If Israel and its NATO allies struggled with Iran’s previous retaliatory strike, how prepared are they for a larger one given Iran’s recent military advances?

NewRulesGeopolitics

45,957 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin: They have no chance of shooting down the Oreshnik missile. If any Western experts doubt this, let's have a high-tech duel of the 21st century. Let them choose a target; for example, a point in Kiev. Let them gather all their air and missile defense systems in that area, and we will strike that target with the Oreshnik, and then we will see what happens. We are ready for such an experiment. The real question is whether they are ready for it.
1:32

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin: They have no chance of shooting down the Oreshnik missile. If any Western experts doubt this, let's have a high-tech duel of the 21st century. Let them choose a target; for example, a point in Kiev. Let them gather all their air and missile defense systems in that area, and we will strike that target with the Oreshnik, and then we will see what happens. We are ready for such an experiment. The real question is whether they are ready for it.

Aleksey The Great 🇷🇺🎖

1,123,137 görüntüleme • 29 gün önce

#WATCH | ANI National Security Summit 2.0: DRDO Chairman Dr Samir V Kamat says, "For short-range ballistic missiles, the Pralay is now in the final stages of testing. With respect to hypersonic, we are working on two programs, the hypersonic glide missile and the hypersonic cruise missiles. The glide missile will come out first. We should be doing the first trials fairly soon. And that is at a more advanced stage than the cruise missile. The cruise missile program has not yet been sanctioned, although we are working on the various technologies which will get into the cruise missile..." "For short-range ballistic missiles, the Pralay is now in the final stages of testing and should be ready. Then we have some of our strategic missiles, which can be converted to tactical usage for the medium range and the long range. With respect to hypersonic, we are working on two programs, the hypersonic glide missile and the hypersonic cruise missiles. The hypersonic cruise missiles is one which has a scramjet engine and it is powered during its flight. The hypersonic glide missile is a missile which uses a booster to give it initial velocity, and then it just glides without any powering. The glide missile will come out first. We should be doing the first trials fairly soon. And that is at a more advanced stage than the cruise missile. The cruise missile program has not yet been sanctioned, although we are working on the various technologies which will get into the cruise missile. Recently, we have done a scramjet propulsion for more than 1,000 seconds. So that's been a major achievement, and once the program is sanctioned, we'll convert the scramjet propulsion into a working missile system. And I think that should take about five years after the sanction."
2:19

#WATCH | ANI National Security Summit 2.0: DRDO Chairman Dr Samir V Kamat says, "For short-range ballistic missiles, the Pralay is now in the final stages of testing. With respect to hypersonic, we are working on two programs, the hypersonic glide missile and the hypersonic cruise missiles. The glide missile will come out first. We should be doing the first trials fairly soon. And that is at a more advanced stage than the cruise missile. The cruise missile program has not yet been sanctioned, although we are working on the various technologies which will get into the cruise missile..." "For short-range ballistic missiles, the Pralay is now in the final stages of testing and should be ready. Then we have some of our strategic missiles, which can be converted to tactical usage for the medium range and the long range. With respect to hypersonic, we are working on two programs, the hypersonic glide missile and the hypersonic cruise missiles. The hypersonic cruise missiles is one which has a scramjet engine and it is powered during its flight. The hypersonic glide missile is a missile which uses a booster to give it initial velocity, and then it just glides without any powering. The glide missile will come out first. We should be doing the first trials fairly soon. And that is at a more advanced stage than the cruise missile. The cruise missile program has not yet been sanctioned, although we are working on the various technologies which will get into the cruise missile. Recently, we have done a scramjet propulsion for more than 1,000 seconds. So that's been a major achievement, and once the program is sanctioned, we'll convert the scramjet propulsion into a working missile system. And I think that should take about five years after the sanction."

ANI

25,700 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Ukraine could have struck Putin's bunker in the Kursk region with a Storm Shadow missile The video of the missile strikes was filmed near the historic Baratynskys' estate, now a sanatorium under the control of the Russian presidential administration. The target, located in the eastern part of the estate, is described as a "communications hub." "With a high degree of certainty, this is not just a regular communications facility, but an underground command post. Given the proximity of the sanatorium, it is highly likely that it was used by the command of the Russian forces in the Kursk region. And considering that North Korean troops are also operating there, it is possible that North Korean generals were present," the publication notes. Such a facility justifies the use of a significant number of Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles. Moreover, their 450 kg warhead is specifically designed to target protected facilities. The video allegedly is the moment of Storm Shadow's attack. 📰 Defense Express
1:44

Ukraine could have struck Putin's bunker in the Kursk region with a Storm Shadow missile The video of the missile strikes was filmed near the historic Baratynskys' estate, now a sanatorium under the control of the Russian presidential administration. The target, located in the eastern part of the estate, is described as a "communications hub." "With a high degree of certainty, this is not just a regular communications facility, but an underground command post. Given the proximity of the sanatorium, it is highly likely that it was used by the command of the Russian forces in the Kursk region. And considering that North Korean troops are also operating there, it is possible that North Korean generals were present," the publication notes. Such a facility justifies the use of a significant number of Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles. Moreover, their 450 kg warhead is specifically designed to target protected facilities. The video allegedly is the moment of Storm Shadow's attack. 📰 Defense Express

NEXTA

409,494 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Terrorist nation Pakistan launched a deadly Fatah-II ballistic missile straight at 2 crore Delhiites — aiming for mass civilian slaughter after India crushed its airbases & terror camps in Operation Sindoor! But India's heroic IAF warriors at Sirsa fired the Barak-8 and BLASTED it out of the sky mid-air. Debris rained down in Haryana fields. Pakistan only knows how to target innocents when it can't fight fair. Never forget: Pakistan is and will always be a terrorist nation
4:02

Terrorist nation Pakistan launched a deadly Fatah-II ballistic missile straight at 2 crore Delhiites — aiming for mass civilian slaughter after India crushed its airbases & terror camps in Operation Sindoor! But India's heroic IAF warriors at Sirsa fired the Barak-8 and BLASTED it out of the sky mid-air. Debris rained down in Haryana fields. Pakistan only knows how to target innocents when it can't fight fair. Never forget: Pakistan is and will always be a terrorist nation

Megh Updates 🚨™

306,804 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce