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🇮🇷🇴🇲 Explosions keep going off in Omani waters while Iran negotiates with Oman over that exact stretch of sea. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar says the strikes near Kumzar are Tehran demonstrating something rather than achieving something: control over who moves through Hormuz. Monitors have logged projectile strikes along the...

45,894 просмотров • 25 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷 BIG: Iran’s Deputy FM Says Strait of Hormuz Will Remain Closed Until Tehran Secures Oversight of Inbound and Outbound Shipping Lanes Iran will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed unless Oman agrees to a new arrangement handing Tehran control over the waterway's shipping lanes, Iran's deputy foreign minister for legal and international affairs, Kazem Gharibabadi, said in an interview on Iranian state television, offering the clearest official account yet of Iran's thinking about the negotiations around the strait after months of crisis in the world's most important oil chokepoint. 🔶 What Iran is demanding For 60 years, the main shipping lanes through Hormuz, the internationally recognized Traffic Separation Scheme, have run through Omani waters. Gharibabadi said Iran no longer accepts that. Tehran wants to redraw the routes so that it, not Oman, holds oversight of the traffic entering and leaving the Persian Gulf. According to Gharibabadi, the two sides are negotiating over a temporary replacement route, but they are stuck on who controls it: 🔹 Oman proposed a 50-50 split, with one half of the transit corridor under Iranian control and the other half under Omani control. Iran rejected it, saying an even division does not address its security concerns. 🔹 Iran's counter-demand is that one shipping lane pass entirely through Iranian territorial waters, while at least part of the second lane also runs through Iranian waters, giving Tehran oversight of both inbound and outbound traffic. "This is our definitive position, and Iran will accept no other formula," he said. 🔹 Gharibabadi cast the demand as modest, arguing Iran could reasonably insist both routes move entirely to its side after 60 years in Omani waters. "This is not bullying. It is not coercion," he said, adding that Iran stayed silent for decades while the lanes sat in Omani waters. 🔶 Negotiating while the strait stays shut Crucially, Gharibabadi said Iran is refusing to reopen the waterway while talks continue. Oman and other intermediaries have urged Tehran to at least let ships use the southern route in the meantime, he said, but Iran has declined: "At no point, not even for one hour, will we formally recognize the southern (Omani) route." He tied the latest round of fighting directly to that red line, saying the new military confrontation began when a tanker used the southern route along Oman's coast, the corridor Iran refuses to recognize. 🔶 The wider threats In the same interview, Gharibabadi went further than the transit dispute, according to wire reports: 🔹 He warned that any European warship approaching Hormuz would be treated as a "legitimate target," as some European states weigh joining US efforts to reopen the strait. 🔹 He said Iran would not permit any third country, even one invited by Oman, to clear mines from the strait. 🔹 He framed the entire standoff around a broader goal: ensuring Hormuz never returns to its pre-war status. "If the Strait of Hormuz returns to the situation before the war, our success in the war will not be complete," he said. See post below for additional details. 🔺Gharibabadi reiterated that the strait is not open: "If the Americans happen to say that the Strait of Hormuz is open, that is nonsense," he said, describing the occasional vessel that slips through as doing so illegally and "at their own peril." Before the war, roughly 130 to 140 ships transited Hormuz each day; about a fifth of the world's oil passes through it.

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30,541 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is trying to strangle Iran economically, but Prof. Mohammad Marandi says Tehran will answer with force and keep escalating even if the U.S hits back harder. Washington just sanctioned a Turkish bank it describes as a critical financial lifeline for Iran, cutting it out of the U.S financial system. At almost exactly the same time, Iran began firing anti-ship missiles at ships using the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz. Prof. Marandi says those two developments should be viewed as directly connected. Iran can't sanction America in return, so if Washington intensifies the economic siege, Tehran's answer will be to intensify pressure on Hormuz. And Prof. Marandi says Iran still has plenty of rungs left on that escalation ladder: restrict more shipping, potentially shut down Hormuz altogether, expand disruption beyond the Strait, and accept whatever American retaliation follows. He says this is no longer simply a negotiation over sanctions, shipping fees, or freedom of navigation; Iran will not agree to fully normalize the Strait of Hormuz while the war in Gaza continues. In other words, Washington may believe it can squeeze Tehran economically until it compromises over Hormuz, but Prof. Marandi is describing almost the opposite calculation inside Iran: The harder America squeezes, the more Iran will use the one weapon capable of exporting that economic pain back to America and the rest of the world: Hormuz. And that leaves Washington facing a brutal equation: Economic war triggers military retaliation. Military retaliation threatens global trade. And the final Iranian off-ramp now runs all the way through Gaza. Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mario Nawfal

206,445 просмотров • 4 часов назад