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🚨 FACT: While Japanese TAXPAYERS are being EXPLOITED, an African-origin so-called “LEGAL” immigrant woman is proudly bragging that she “MADE A HUGE PROFIT! 🤑” in Japan! “Childbirth in Japan isn’t free. The government gave ME a 500,000 yen childbirth and childcare lump-sum grant!” 🎁 “I was entitled to a...

50,516 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 JAPAN JUST DID THE IMPOSSIBLE The Bank of Japan just raised rates to 1.25%. The highest since 1995. And the yen FELL. Now ask yourself one question: WHY CAN’T JAPAN JUST KEEP HIKING UNTIL THE YEN RECOVERS? For years, the BOJ kept rates near zero or NEGATIVE to fight deflation. Japan built its entire financial system around almost FREE MONEY. Japanese investors could borrow yen cheaply and buy higher-yielding assets overseas. That became the famous YEN CARRY TRADE. But there was a cost: 1) Negative rates crushed bank margins. 2) Massive BOJ bond buying distorted the government bond market. And years of cheap money left Japan extremely sensitive to higher rates. And this is where the trap appears. Japan’s government debt pile is enormous. As rates rise, old cheap debt eventually gets refinanced at higher rates. Japan’s government interest bill has already gone from roughly: ¥8.5T in 2023 → ¥13T in 2026 And that is BEFORE Japan gets anywhere close to U.S. rates. Today: - Japan: 1.25% - U.S.: 3.75%-4.00% The carry trade is still alive. Dollars still pay far more than yen. To really close that gap, Japan would have to tighten MUCH harder. But aggressive hikes would hit: → Government borrowing costs → Corporate borrowing → Mortgages → Bond prices → Economic growth That is why Japan cannot simply keep smashing rates higher. And that is why today’s hike wasn’t enough to save the yen. The market understood something retail didn’t: 1.25% IS STILL CHEAP MONEY. The rate gap is still huge. And the BOJ gave no signal that it is prepared to close that gap aggressively. So Japan faces an ugly choice: Raise rates fast and put enormous pressure on the system built around cheap money. Or normalize slowly and tolerate a weaker yen for longer. Right now, the market is betting on the second option. And a weak yen has its own cost. Japan imports huge amounts of energy and raw materials. A weaker currency makes those imports more expensive and pushes inflation higher. But it also helps exporters and increases the yen value of overseas profits. Japan doesn’t necessarily WANT a weak yen. It is tolerating one because aggressively defending it could be even more painful. Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years. The biggest opportunities come when central banks get trapped between two bad choices. That’s exactly what I’m watching now. When I see where the money moves next, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

136,567 просмотров • 14 дней назад

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE JUST HAPPENED Japan just hit the panic button. They dumped over $70 BILLION in U.S. Treasuries again. The BOJ is threatening to crash the entire market if the yen continues to collapse. If you hold any assets right now, you MUST read this today: The U.S. Treasury Secretary openly dared traders to short the yen. BUT JAPAN IS NOT PLAYING DEFENSE ANYMORE. In response, The BoJ and Japan's finance ministry have threatened bold action to defend the yen. Then Washington stepped in. The U.S. Treasury intervened as fears grew that aggressive Japanese tightening or large Treasury sales could send shockwaves through global bond markets and liquidity. Now both sides are talking like they control the outcome. One man says he is the house. The other says Japan is ready to bring the house down. And that's where things get extremely dangerous. Japan is sitting on massive foreign reserves. The yen is under pressure. The BoJ is preparing to tighten policy. And Japan's finance ministry is threatening intervention. But this is no longer just about the yen. It is about the world's biggest hidden carry trade. For years, traders have borrowed cheaply in yen and deployed that capital across global markets. When Japan tightens financial conditions, that trade starts moving in reverse. Yen funding becomes more expensive. Carry trades start unwinding. Global assets come under pressure. Treasury markets absorb additional selling. And liquidity starts disappearing. That is the chain reaction markets are watching. → Japan threatens yen intervention → BoJ prepares tighter policy → Yen funding costs rise → Carry trades unwind → Global liquidity comes under pressure → Treasury markets absorb more selling → Financial markets face a much larger shock The next few weeks will be MUCH bigger than another BoJ rate decision. The world's biggest hidden carry trade is about to collide. And when that happens, someone gets margin-called. Most people won't understand why markets are crashing until it's already happening. I’ve studied markets for over a decade and called nearly every major top and bottom. If you want to survive the 2026 cycle, follow and turn notifications on. I warned you before. And I'll warn you again soon. A lot of people will wish they paid attention earlier.

0xNobler

139,471 просмотров • 22 дней назад