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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷For the first time since May, missile alerts sounded over the UAE. Iran's answer tonight reached four countries at once The retaliation for the evening's strikes didn't follow the usual script. Ballistic missiles and drones went at Jordan's bases, Kuwait, then Qatar and the UAE, confirmed by Axios, with...

335,844 просмотров • 29 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Every major American base in the Gulf has been hit in Iran's July campaign except one. Prince Sultan base, just outside Riyadh. The reported price of that immunity is the strangest fact of this war. Saudi Arabia grounded America's own warplanes. The March 2026 record shows what Riyadh was buying its way out of. Iran struck Prince Sultan three times, killing a 26 year old American sergeant, wounding dozens, setting a KC-135 tanker ablaze, six ballistic missiles and 29 drones in a single night. Saudi defenses intercepted a missile aimed at Riyadh itself. Then the pattern broke. Defense trade reporting says that since early May the base has been operationally locked down, with Riyadh unilaterally grounding dozens of US aircraft under its own national posture. When the IRGC Revolutionary Guard numbered its July phases, Kuwait and Bahrain first, Jordan and Qatar second, and warned that no American base would be spared, Prince Sultan base was spared anyway. The only one. Iran's argument all war has been that hosting the launcher makes you the target. Riyadh ran the experiment in reverse. Ground the launcher. Leave the target list. It is the only Gulf capital paying Iran in America's coin, and for ten weeks the fire stopped coming. The logic is older than this war. In 2019 Abqaiq burned and Washington did not shoot back, so Riyadh stopped renting its safety from one landlord. The 2023 detente with Tehran, brokered in Beijing, was the second policy. The grounding of American wings on Saudi concrete is its wartime form. Tonight, sirens sounded near Riyadh and Yanbu. The warnings were lifted quickly, nothing confirmed hit, and the loudest strike claims trace to a parody account. If a real missile lands on Saudi soil, the experiment is over. Until then, the experiment is the story. Every other host has learned what the bases cost. MBS & Saudi Arabia is testing what grounding them buys. In this war, the safest place for an American aircraft is parked, on the soil of an ally that will not let it fly. That’s what I think ..

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

806,694 просмотров • 23 дней назад

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran's Foreign Ministry says Washington just breached Article 10 of the MOU, and the mystery deepening tonight: power outages hitting Bahrain AND Kuwait as the strikes roll on... The US wave continues into its second and third rounds, Sirik, Qeshm, Bandar Abbas, with officials telling reporters it could run for hours and is designed to punish, not to be proportionate. Larry Johnson's scorecard has Washington now in violation of clauses one, five, and TEN of a deal it signed three weeks ago, and Tehran's statement says exactly that, holding the US responsible for the consequences. Then the strangeness: both Gulf states that Iran traditionally answers through went partially dark at the same time, with no missile launches reported. Kuwait blamed transmission lines. Larry doesn't believe in coincidence, and reads it as possible sabotage or cyber, a retaliation that leaves no contrail. His larger warning was about timing. Fifteen MILLION people filled Tehran's streets, more than the population of most countries on Earth, with Najaf and Mashhad still ahead, and the crowds are chanting revenge. Striking into that, he argues, guarantees Iran skips the symbolic response, and Hezbollah may finally get the leash taken off. One more report landed tonight, from CNN: commanders allegedly bypassed warnings that targeting intelligence was a DECADE old before the Minab school strike that killed nearly 200, most of them children. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

335,477 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 China gave Iran's missiles new eyes, and American bases are paying the price... Reports out of Iran say tonight's strikes reached three bridges around Bandar Abbas, one with cars on it and at least one person reportedly killed, plus a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport at Iranshahr. Iran's military central command answered within hours, threatening to level every piece of infrastructure in the region "as if it never existed." Larry Johnson explained why that threat lands differently than it would have a year ago. In last June's 12 day war, Iranian missiles navigated by GPS, and American and Israeli spoofing, feeding them false location data, pulled them off target. Since February 28, by his account, they fly on BeiDou, China's independent satellite network, which Washington cannot touch and which shoots straighter. That is his explanation for the satellite photos showing clean hits on radars, fuel pumps, and parked aircraft across the Gulf. His map of what comes next follows the launch sites. Kuwait and Bahrain keep absorbing fire because missiles keep leaving them, and launches left Kuwait again during this conversation. Qatar and Saudi stay untouched because nothing flies from there. The reported pullback of the $250 MILLION Triton drone from Jordan to Europe reads to him like the attrition already working. His clock: a week or two before the weapons ledger forces the issue, with the Pacific commands fighting CENTCOM for every remaining missile. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

333,945 просмотров • 24 дней назад

"I think the UAE is probably the most interesting case because it has shifted significantly along the continuum. At the beginning of the war, Oman was on one side, taking a very clear position: neutrality, diplomacy, and the view that negotiation was the only viable way forward. At the other end of the spectrum was the UAE, which at the time was talking about defiance and projecting strength. Its posture was centred on coercion and deterrence. Now, however, the UAE appears to have moved. It has reportedly pulled $3 billion from Pakistan as punishment for Islamabad taking a more conciliatory approach towards Iran. At the same time, Abu Dhabi now seems to have come around to embracing the MOU and the wider diplomatic process, including support for Qatari efforts. What is particularly interesting is that there are clearly tensions within Abu Dhabi, and also between Abu Dhabi and the northern Emirates, over how to deal with Iran. MBZ’s position has been one of defiance, strength, and deterrence, rather than entanglement and engagement. Then you have Tahnoun, who has suddenly reappeared on the surface. He had been largely absent from public view for months, but has now returned to lead on this policy issue. Tahnoun’s strategic mindset has always been built around entanglement and weaponised interdependence through commercial networks. This approach shaped the UAE’s earlier policy: allowing the IRGC to do business in the UAE in the expectation that, in return, the UAE would not be attacked. That equation clearly did not ultimately deliver the desired outcome. Nonetheless, there was no obvious alternative. Tahnoun’s argument appears to have been that the UAE cannot win this militarily. Israel is not going to win the war on behalf of the UAE, because Israel cannot win the war for itself. The United States does not want an all-out war. The GCC partners around the UAE do not want a war either. As a result, Abu Dhabi has little choice but to come to the negotiating table. It therefore seems that Tahnoun has won this internal debate, at least for now, over MBZ’s earlier and more assertive approach. The underlying calculation appears to be that a united GCC position may ultimately serve the UAE’s national interest far better than a situation in which everyone pulls in different directions"

Dr Andreas Krieg

174,202 просмотров • 1 месяц назад