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🚨🚨🇮🇳 Fraud Indian Modi Regime Exposed Once Again Forging Documents And Importing US Sanctioned Urea 🔺Evidence based reports have emerged that Indian company Aditya Birla Global Trading (ABGT) loaded US sanctioned Iranian Origin Urea produced at South pars gas complex at Iran’s 🇮🇷 Asaluyeh port that too 8 days...

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Indus Sentinel Grid

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🚨🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING | If this is confirmed, we can say that the US has lost the war with Iran. The Iranian news agency Mehr, citing the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has published all 14 clauses of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the US: 1. Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 2. The US commitment to non-interference in Iran's internal affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 3. Complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days. 4. The US commitment to withdraw its forces from around Iran. 5. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under Iranian arrangements. 6. Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and derivatives, and full access of Iran to its financial resources. 7. The necessity for the US and its allies to present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least 300 billion dollars. 8. 60 days of negotiations to reach a final agreement based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of primary, secondary, US sanctions, and UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions. 9. Reiteration of Iran's commitment under the NPT treaty not to produce nuclear weapons. 10. During the negotiation period, the US has committed not to add forces in the region and not to impose new sanctions. 11. Release of 24 billion dollars of Iran's blocked funds during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before the start of negotiations. 12. Formation of a supervisory mechanism to implement the agreement. 13. The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council resolution. 14. Final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran's blocked funds, suspension of Iran's oil sanctions, and lifting of the naval blockade, and the final agreement will only cover the fate of enriched materials and enrichment, lifting of sanctions, and Iran's economic reconstruction plan. Discussions about Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups are definitively removed from the agenda. As a reminder, the official signing of the memorandum is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. See the latest updates with us: Visioner
0:33

🚨🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING | If this is confirmed, we can say that the US has lost the war with Iran. The Iranian news agency Mehr, citing the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has published all 14 clauses of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the US: 1. Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 2. The US commitment to non-interference in Iran's internal affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 3. Complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days. 4. The US commitment to withdraw its forces from around Iran. 5. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under Iranian arrangements. 6. Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and derivatives, and full access of Iran to its financial resources. 7. The necessity for the US and its allies to present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least 300 billion dollars. 8. 60 days of negotiations to reach a final agreement based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of primary, secondary, US sanctions, and UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions. 9. Reiteration of Iran's commitment under the NPT treaty not to produce nuclear weapons. 10. During the negotiation period, the US has committed not to add forces in the region and not to impose new sanctions. 11. Release of 24 billion dollars of Iran's blocked funds during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before the start of negotiations. 12. Formation of a supervisory mechanism to implement the agreement. 13. The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council resolution. 14. Final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran's blocked funds, suspension of Iran's oil sanctions, and lifting of the naval blockade, and the final agreement will only cover the fate of enriched materials and enrichment, lifting of sanctions, and Iran's economic reconstruction plan. Discussions about Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups are definitively removed from the agenda. As a reminder, the official signing of the memorandum is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

476,858 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Possibly the best analysis on the Iran-US war and how it could end. As part of much broader conversation with Drop Site, Trita Parsi search. .. makes the case for why Iran cannot end this conflict without imposing a high enough cost on Israel and the US to deter them from coming after Iran again. Effectively: “ • Iran’s core goal is to end the war in a way that makes it impossible to restart. They refuse to accept a simple ceasefire that lets the US and Israel regroup, rearm, and attack again in six or eight months — a “mowing the lawn” cycle Iran literally cannot survive. • To achieve lasting deterrence, Iran must make the war as costly as possible for the United States, Israel, and others involved. The aim is for everyone to conclude this war was a grave mistake that should never be repeated. • Iran will not agree to end the war without some form of sanctions relief. This isn’t just leverage — it’s survival. Without relief, Iran emerges weakened and degraded, making future attacks even more likely because weakness is exactly what invited this war in the first place. • Sanctions relief is therefore part of Iran’s long-term deterrence strategy. It prevents the country from sliding into continuous decline and removes the incentive for the US and Israel to strike again. • Negotiations are inevitable. The US has already quietly opened the door by lifting sanctions on Iranian oil at sea to help bring down global oil prices — a clear sign that sanctions relief is now on the table. • Continuing the war carries huge risk: if it drags on and Trump can no longer credibly claim victory, he loses any incentive to end it. The conflict could then become a low-intensity “forever war” that destroys his presidency.”
2:42

Possibly the best analysis on the Iran-US war and how it could end. As part of much broader conversation with Drop Site, Trita Parsi search. .. makes the case for why Iran cannot end this conflict without imposing a high enough cost on Israel and the US to deter them from coming after Iran again. Effectively: “ • Iran’s core goal is to end the war in a way that makes it impossible to restart. They refuse to accept a simple ceasefire that lets the US and Israel regroup, rearm, and attack again in six or eight months — a “mowing the lawn” cycle Iran literally cannot survive. • To achieve lasting deterrence, Iran must make the war as costly as possible for the United States, Israel, and others involved. The aim is for everyone to conclude this war was a grave mistake that should never be repeated. • Iran will not agree to end the war without some form of sanctions relief. This isn’t just leverage — it’s survival. Without relief, Iran emerges weakened and degraded, making future attacks even more likely because weakness is exactly what invited this war in the first place. • Sanctions relief is therefore part of Iran’s long-term deterrence strategy. It prevents the country from sliding into continuous decline and removes the incentive for the US and Israel to strike again. • Negotiations are inevitable. The US has already quietly opened the door by lifting sanctions on Iranian oil at sea to help bring down global oil prices — a clear sign that sanctions relief is now on the table. • Continuing the war carries huge risk: if it drags on and Trump can no longer credibly claim victory, he loses any incentive to end it. The conflict could then become a low-intensity “forever war” that destroys his presidency.”

Javed Hassan

48,068 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨Iran’s Chabahar Port VITAL for the global south, India’s🇮🇳 PM Modi may be the ONLY ONE capable of bringing peace to the region ‘The US or Israelis have attacked not only the Bandar Abbas Port, there has been attack on the Kharg island which happens to be quite an important port for energy exports. Now Chabahar Port will definitely play an important role, but there is ambiguity towards that. India was working on developing the Chabahar Port. Given the recent political issues, there has been a slowdown on the development of Chabahar Port. So whether that will be reactivated by India, that needs to be seen. 85% of the exports from that region is catered to the Global South. So it’s not only India that will benefit, the entire Global South will benefit out of this. Iran has been under embargo and sanctions for decades now. India has taken the initiative to develop that port, and they have achieved considerable success in that, and they wanted to move forward on that. However, in the recent past we have seen that there had been a slowdown. We feel that India should relook into activating that port, and to bring sanity, as that could be part of one of the peace talks. As far as BRICS is concerned, BRICS has become a very strong body. The next BRICS meeting is in a couple of months, so they may play a very important role to bring sanity in this region. The Global South should stand up to this and find sanity. There has been talk that the Prime Minister of India is perhaps the only person who can bring peace to this region. The Israelis have said they don’t want to accept Pakistanis as a mediator. So the world may have to go back to India, to Prime Minister Modi. Whether he’ll accept or not accept, that remains to be seen. But for the sanity of the world, probably he may have to look at that positively and come forward for peace.’ -Dr. S. V. Anchan, Chairman of the Safesea Group, which owns the Safesea Vishnu which was attacked by the IRGC Watch the full interview in the quoted post below👇
3:57

🚨Iran’s Chabahar Port VITAL for the global south, India’s🇮🇳 PM Modi may be the ONLY ONE capable of bringing peace to the region ‘The US or Israelis have attacked not only the Bandar Abbas Port, there has been attack on the Kharg island which happens to be quite an important port for energy exports. Now Chabahar Port will definitely play an important role, but there is ambiguity towards that. India was working on developing the Chabahar Port. Given the recent political issues, there has been a slowdown on the development of Chabahar Port. So whether that will be reactivated by India, that needs to be seen. 85% of the exports from that region is catered to the Global South. So it’s not only India that will benefit, the entire Global South will benefit out of this. Iran has been under embargo and sanctions for decades now. India has taken the initiative to develop that port, and they have achieved considerable success in that, and they wanted to move forward on that. However, in the recent past we have seen that there had been a slowdown. We feel that India should relook into activating that port, and to bring sanity, as that could be part of one of the peace talks. As far as BRICS is concerned, BRICS has become a very strong body. The next BRICS meeting is in a couple of months, so they may play a very important role to bring sanity in this region. The Global South should stand up to this and find sanity. There has been talk that the Prime Minister of India is perhaps the only person who can bring peace to this region. The Israelis have said they don’t want to accept Pakistanis as a mediator. So the world may have to go back to India, to Prime Minister Modi. Whether he’ll accept or not accept, that remains to be seen. But for the sanity of the world, probably he may have to look at that positively and come forward for peace.’ -Dr. S. V. Anchan, Chairman of the Safesea Group, which owns the Safesea Vishnu which was attacked by the IRGC Watch the full interview in the quoted post below👇

New Order with Afshin Rattansi

83,158 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's 24-minute 14-second speech in the Lok Sabha on the West Asia crisis is actually much ado about nothing. ▪️ The seriousness of the situation is clear from the way Modi ji read every single word from a prepared text today. No chest thumping. No blaming Pandit Nehru, instead, he appealed for unity with the opposition. The Prime Minister mentioned the Corona crisis today several times - a grim reminder that the challenge and crisis have not yet been overcome. ▪️ But the nation which wanted to know what is India’s stand on the horrific war and devastation in West Asia - was offered empty statistics, some bluster about solar energy, and hollow claims. ▪️ In fact, Mr Modi did not name America and Israel even once. ▪️ But unlike his ill-informed bhakts, PM Modi acknowledged that the war poses a big threat, and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting our gas supplies. A shortage, his spokespersons and ministers even refuse to acknowledge. ▪️ However, the Prime Minister did not clearly tell the House how oil and gas supplies will be ensured. He did not explain what talks are ongoing with Iran, Israel, and America regarding supplies? ▪️ Setting up 6 urea plants, as claimed by him won't ensure supply if urea, so where will the urea come from? Even when there was no disruption in supply, fertiliser shortage from Madhya Pradesh to Uttar Pradesh was visible to one and all. ▪️ After sacrificing the interests of our farmers in the US trade deal, it was weird to see Mr Modi talk about their trust. ▪️ It was indeed ironical, to witness PM Modi speak on energy security after handing it over to America on a platter. Will he care to explain that the very same Russian oil which we bought at huge discounts is now being purchased at a premium after getting America's “approval”? ▪️ He did not mention that LPG, petrol, industrial diesel, mustard oil, refined oil everything has become more expensive. Thousands of factories running on gas have shut down, and once again, workers are being forced to return to their villages. ▪️ The Prime Minister said that the country's refining capacity has increased. But he did not explain why crude oil production in the country has declined by 28% in the last 12 years? 👉 In his speech, the Prime Minister of India did not utter a single word on the targeted killing of a supreme leader of a sovereign country by America and Israel. 👉 Modi ji opposed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz but did not say a word of remorse about the killing of 165 innocent schoolgirls in Iran during the US-Israel attacks. 👉 And he also did not explain how our foreign policy has failed so badly that even now so many of our ships are stuck in Hormuz. 👉👉 After hearing references to Corona and call for unity twice in 24 minutes, one thing is clear - the challenge is serious, no matter what the BJP IT cell tells you and the Prime Minister has thrown in the towel already. By recalling the Corona era, it is clear that you have been left to fend for yourselves. All that’s left to be done is to get people to clap and bang plates, yet again.
1:39

Prime Minister Narendra Modi's 24-minute 14-second speech in the Lok Sabha on the West Asia crisis is actually much ado about nothing. ▪️ The seriousness of the situation is clear from the way Modi ji read every single word from a prepared text today. No chest thumping. No blaming Pandit Nehru, instead, he appealed for unity with the opposition. The Prime Minister mentioned the Corona crisis today several times - a grim reminder that the challenge and crisis have not yet been overcome. ▪️ But the nation which wanted to know what is India’s stand on the horrific war and devastation in West Asia - was offered empty statistics, some bluster about solar energy, and hollow claims. ▪️ In fact, Mr Modi did not name America and Israel even once. ▪️ But unlike his ill-informed bhakts, PM Modi acknowledged that the war poses a big threat, and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting our gas supplies. A shortage, his spokespersons and ministers even refuse to acknowledge. ▪️ However, the Prime Minister did not clearly tell the House how oil and gas supplies will be ensured. He did not explain what talks are ongoing with Iran, Israel, and America regarding supplies? ▪️ Setting up 6 urea plants, as claimed by him won't ensure supply if urea, so where will the urea come from? Even when there was no disruption in supply, fertiliser shortage from Madhya Pradesh to Uttar Pradesh was visible to one and all. ▪️ After sacrificing the interests of our farmers in the US trade deal, it was weird to see Mr Modi talk about their trust. ▪️ It was indeed ironical, to witness PM Modi speak on energy security after handing it over to America on a platter. Will he care to explain that the very same Russian oil which we bought at huge discounts is now being purchased at a premium after getting America's “approval”? ▪️ He did not mention that LPG, petrol, industrial diesel, mustard oil, refined oil everything has become more expensive. Thousands of factories running on gas have shut down, and once again, workers are being forced to return to their villages. ▪️ The Prime Minister said that the country's refining capacity has increased. But he did not explain why crude oil production in the country has declined by 28% in the last 12 years? 👉 In his speech, the Prime Minister of India did not utter a single word on the targeted killing of a supreme leader of a sovereign country by America and Israel. 👉 Modi ji opposed the closure of the Strait of Hormuz but did not say a word of remorse about the killing of 165 innocent schoolgirls in Iran during the US-Israel attacks. 👉 And he also did not explain how our foreign policy has failed so badly that even now so many of our ships are stuck in Hormuz. 👉👉 After hearing references to Corona and call for unity twice in 24 minutes, one thing is clear - the challenge is serious, no matter what the BJP IT cell tells you and the Prime Minister has thrown in the towel already. By recalling the Corona era, it is clear that you have been left to fend for yourselves. All that’s left to be done is to get people to clap and bang plates, yet again.

Supriya Shrinate

41,153 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

The Empire Backs Down, For Now Trump has announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran after previously threatening to exterminate their “entire civilization”, citing “a 10 point proposal from Iran” as the reason for the climb-down. Trump and his cronies are spinning this as a colossal victory for the United States and framing Tehran’s 10-point plan as a major capitulation to the president’s threats. But some reporters are noting that Iran has had the same terms on the table for weeks — which would mean that it is in fact the White House who is backing down. Hours before the president’s announcement, Drop Site’s Ryan Grim posted a TikTok video arguing that Trump could save face while walking back from his apocalyptic threats by simply accepting Iran’s 10-point peace plan and acting like it’s a new proposal the Iranians had only just put forward. Grim argued that Trump could get away with this because the western media have been completely ignoring Iran’s stated terms for a ceasefire this entire time. Interestingly, this appears to have been precisely what Trump wound up doing. After previously rejecting Iran’s proposals as “not good enough”, the president turned around and framed the Iranian offer as a brand new response to the pressures his administration was able to impose upon them. All the way back on March 28, Drop Site News reported the following: “Among Iran’s terms for permanently ending the war are a longterm guarantee that the U.S. and Israel will not attack Iran again and that any ceasefire also apply to Lebanon, Iraq and Palestine; reparations for the damages done to Iran during the war; sanctions relief; and that Iran retain control over the Strait of Hormuz.” These are the same terms Iran is claiming it pressured the US to accept today. Iranian state media outlet Press TV cited Iran’s supreme national security council as saying “Iran achieved historic victory by forcing criminal US to accept its 10-point plan. US has accepted Iran’s control over Strait of Hormuz, enrichment right, removal of all sanctions.” The New York Times reports the following: “Two senior Iranian officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive negotiations, said the proposal included a guarantee that Iran would not be attacked again, an end to Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon and the lifting of all sanctions. “In return, Iran would lift its de facto blockade of the key shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran would also impose a fee of roughly $2 million per ship that it would split with Oman, which sits across the strait. Iran would use its share of the proceeds to reconstruct infrastructure destroyed by American and Israeli attacks, rather than demand direct compensation, according to the plan.” So as things stand right now this certainly looks like a humiliating defeat for the empire. Iran gets a lot of things it didn’t have before the war, including tolling the Strait of Hormuz and relief from the US sanctions that have been crushing its economy for years, while the empire gets to resume its shipping for a hefty fee and pretend it just rescued the world from a nuclear Iran. Quite the turnaround from a White House that just last month was saying “There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!” Quincy Institute’s Trita Parsi, who always has great insights regarding western warmongering toward Iran, writes the following: “I cannot emphasize this enough. A new dynamic will be at play when the US and Iran meet in Islamabad to negotiate a final deal based on Iran’s 10-point plan: Trump’s failed war has eliminated the potency of American military threats in US-Iran diplomacy. The US can still issue threats, but everyone will know that they no longer carry much weight. Essentially, war with Iran was tried and failed. As a result, negotiations will have to be based on genuine compromises from both sides, rather than coercion from either side.” There are of course many, many reasons to be pessimistic. The US and Israel have demonstrated time and time again that they will attack Iran during negotiations, and even if the US holds up its end of the bargain we can always see Israel sabotage the deal with its own aggressions. By now Iran has to know that the only way to protect itself from Israel is to impose costs for Israeli aggression on the entire western world; Tehran will have us all heating our homes with trash fires and growing carrots in our backyards if the west can’t find a way to rein in Israel. For what it’s worth, Zionist Twitter is in absolute meltdown right now, with notorious Israel apologists like Laura Loomer, Eve Barlow and Eli David rending their garments in outrage that the killing has ended with Iran positioned as it is. I’m as skeptical about this ceasefire as anyone, but the fact that the world’s worst people are in meltdown about it right now does provide a faint glimmer of hope. We shall see.
5:24

The Empire Backs Down, For Now Trump has announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran after previously threatening to exterminate their “entire civilization”, citing “a 10 point proposal from Iran” as the reason for the climb-down. Trump and his cronies are spinning this as a colossal victory for the United States and framing Tehran’s 10-point plan as a major capitulation to the president’s threats. But some reporters are noting that Iran has had the same terms on the table for weeks — which would mean that it is in fact the White House who is backing down. Hours before the president’s announcement, Drop Site’s Ryan Grim posted a TikTok video arguing that Trump could save face while walking back from his apocalyptic threats by simply accepting Iran’s 10-point peace plan and acting like it’s a new proposal the Iranians had only just put forward. Grim argued that Trump could get away with this because the western media have been completely ignoring Iran’s stated terms for a ceasefire this entire time. Interestingly, this appears to have been precisely what Trump wound up doing. After previously rejecting Iran’s proposals as “not good enough”, the president turned around and framed the Iranian offer as a brand new response to the pressures his administration was able to impose upon them. All the way back on March 28, Drop Site News reported the following: “Among Iran’s terms for permanently ending the war are a longterm guarantee that the U.S. and Israel will not attack Iran again and that any ceasefire also apply to Lebanon, Iraq and Palestine; reparations for the damages done to Iran during the war; sanctions relief; and that Iran retain control over the Strait of Hormuz.” These are the same terms Iran is claiming it pressured the US to accept today. Iranian state media outlet Press TV cited Iran’s supreme national security council as saying “Iran achieved historic victory by forcing criminal US to accept its 10-point plan. US has accepted Iran’s control over Strait of Hormuz, enrichment right, removal of all sanctions.” The New York Times reports the following: “Two senior Iranian officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive negotiations, said the proposal included a guarantee that Iran would not be attacked again, an end to Israeli strikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon and the lifting of all sanctions. “In return, Iran would lift its de facto blockade of the key shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran would also impose a fee of roughly $2 million per ship that it would split with Oman, which sits across the strait. Iran would use its share of the proceeds to reconstruct infrastructure destroyed by American and Israeli attacks, rather than demand direct compensation, according to the plan.” So as things stand right now this certainly looks like a humiliating defeat for the empire. Iran gets a lot of things it didn’t have before the war, including tolling the Strait of Hormuz and relief from the US sanctions that have been crushing its economy for years, while the empire gets to resume its shipping for a hefty fee and pretend it just rescued the world from a nuclear Iran. Quite the turnaround from a White House that just last month was saying “There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!” Quincy Institute’s Trita Parsi, who always has great insights regarding western warmongering toward Iran, writes the following: “I cannot emphasize this enough. A new dynamic will be at play when the US and Iran meet in Islamabad to negotiate a final deal based on Iran’s 10-point plan: Trump’s failed war has eliminated the potency of American military threats in US-Iran diplomacy. The US can still issue threats, but everyone will know that they no longer carry much weight. Essentially, war with Iran was tried and failed. As a result, negotiations will have to be based on genuine compromises from both sides, rather than coercion from either side.” There are of course many, many reasons to be pessimistic. The US and Israel have demonstrated time and time again that they will attack Iran during negotiations, and even if the US holds up its end of the bargain we can always see Israel sabotage the deal with its own aggressions. By now Iran has to know that the only way to protect itself from Israel is to impose costs for Israeli aggression on the entire western world; Tehran will have us all heating our homes with trash fires and growing carrots in our backyards if the west can’t find a way to rein in Israel. For what it’s worth, Zionist Twitter is in absolute meltdown right now, with notorious Israel apologists like Laura Loomer, Eve Barlow and Eli David rending their garments in outrage that the killing has ended with Iran positioned as it is. I’m as skeptical about this ceasefire as anyone, but the fact that the world’s worst people are in meltdown about it right now does provide a faint glimmer of hope. We shall see.

Caitlin Johnstone

24,177 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

THE CONSEQUENCES HAVE ARRIVED - US ARMY STOPPING “SMUGGLING” OF OIL BY INDIA’S MODI GOVERNMENT MESSAGE TO THE INDIA’S MODI REGIME: SMUGGLING IRANIAN OIL; EXPORTING FENTANYL; ORCHESTRATING ASSASSINATION PLOTS; AND DEFYING THE US SANCTIONS The United States under President Trump is watching Modi’s India, and the mask has completely fallen off. India can summon American diplomats, but the Indian government’s diplomatic theatre cannot hide the Modi regime’s global lawlessness and transnational terrorism. What happened near the coast of Oman this week is the direct and inevitable result of the Modi regime running a “Global Criminal Enterprise” with defiance. Let’s call a spade a spade. Smuggling is the right word. The international community needs to understand the truth: India’s Modi government is running a “Global Criminal Enterprise” that stretches from illicit oil smuggling and exporting fentanyl to orchestrating transnational assassination plots against Khalistan Referendum organizers on foreign soil. India’s Modi has become the face of transnational repression, believing he can operate entirely above international law. I. Illicit Maritime Smuggling and Sanctions Evasion Under the guise of global trade, India’s shadow fleet of ships was caught red-handed illegally transporting Iranian crude oil, directly financing rogue entities, and openly violating international laws and U.S. embargoes. Modi’s India thought it could run this illicit shadow fleet with total impunity. But the United States under President Trump has a clear and unyielding rule: if you try to bypass U.S. sanctions and fund forbidden regimes, the U.S. military will strike. That is the rule, and that is exactly what happened in the Gulf of Oman. The precision missile strikes on these tankers are a direct, undeniable message to the Modi regime’s illegal networks. II. Transnational Trafficking of Controlled Fentanyl Precursors Official intelligence assessments have formally identified India as a premier global supplier of illicit fentanyl precursor chemicals, functioning as a primary manufacturing hub feeding transnational narcotics cartels. Federal criminal indictments have been unsealed against pharmaceutical executives operating out of major Indian industrial centers. Indian corporate entities were intercepted conspiring with cartels to transport raw synthetic opioid ingredients, deliberately executing fraudulent customs declarations by mislabeling lethal chemical compounds as commercial commodities to evade border security enforcement. III. Extrajudicial Assassination Plots Against Khalistan Referendum Activists From the sovereign territory of Canada to the federal jurisdiction of New York City, the Modi regime has deployed covert state agents and contracted hitmen to extrajudicially stop Khalistan Referendum political dissidents, assassinating Shaheed Hardeep Singh Nijjar and attempting to assassinate Gurpatwant Singh Pannun. Modi Government stands formally indicted in United States federal court for conspiring to assassinate SFJ General Counsel Pannun on American soil, acting under the explicit, documented direction of senior government officials in New Delhi. Furthermore, multilateral intelligence findings from the Five Eyes alliance have exposed an institutionalized mandate within the Indian security apparatus to track, target, and physically eliminate Khalistan Referendum organizers across Europe and North America. Modi’s India — “Consequences have arrived” — that is the message from the United States under President Trump. No amount of diplomatic posturing or summoning envoys will change the fact that the Modi regime’s global criminal operations have finally hit a wall.
0:33

THE CONSEQUENCES HAVE ARRIVED - US ARMY STOPPING “SMUGGLING” OF OIL BY INDIA’S MODI GOVERNMENT MESSAGE TO THE INDIA’S MODI REGIME: SMUGGLING IRANIAN OIL; EXPORTING FENTANYL; ORCHESTRATING ASSASSINATION PLOTS; AND DEFYING THE US SANCTIONS The United States under President Trump is watching Modi’s India, and the mask has completely fallen off. India can summon American diplomats, but the Indian government’s diplomatic theatre cannot hide the Modi regime’s global lawlessness and transnational terrorism. What happened near the coast of Oman this week is the direct and inevitable result of the Modi regime running a “Global Criminal Enterprise” with defiance. Let’s call a spade a spade. Smuggling is the right word. The international community needs to understand the truth: India’s Modi government is running a “Global Criminal Enterprise” that stretches from illicit oil smuggling and exporting fentanyl to orchestrating transnational assassination plots against Khalistan Referendum organizers on foreign soil. India’s Modi has become the face of transnational repression, believing he can operate entirely above international law. I. Illicit Maritime Smuggling and Sanctions Evasion Under the guise of global trade, India’s shadow fleet of ships was caught red-handed illegally transporting Iranian crude oil, directly financing rogue entities, and openly violating international laws and U.S. embargoes. Modi’s India thought it could run this illicit shadow fleet with total impunity. But the United States under President Trump has a clear and unyielding rule: if you try to bypass U.S. sanctions and fund forbidden regimes, the U.S. military will strike. That is the rule, and that is exactly what happened in the Gulf of Oman. The precision missile strikes on these tankers are a direct, undeniable message to the Modi regime’s illegal networks. II. Transnational Trafficking of Controlled Fentanyl Precursors Official intelligence assessments have formally identified India as a premier global supplier of illicit fentanyl precursor chemicals, functioning as a primary manufacturing hub feeding transnational narcotics cartels. Federal criminal indictments have been unsealed against pharmaceutical executives operating out of major Indian industrial centers. Indian corporate entities were intercepted conspiring with cartels to transport raw synthetic opioid ingredients, deliberately executing fraudulent customs declarations by mislabeling lethal chemical compounds as commercial commodities to evade border security enforcement. III. Extrajudicial Assassination Plots Against Khalistan Referendum Activists From the sovereign territory of Canada to the federal jurisdiction of New York City, the Modi regime has deployed covert state agents and contracted hitmen to extrajudicially stop Khalistan Referendum political dissidents, assassinating Shaheed Hardeep Singh Nijjar and attempting to assassinate Gurpatwant Singh Pannun. Modi Government stands formally indicted in United States federal court for conspiring to assassinate SFJ General Counsel Pannun on American soil, acting under the explicit, documented direction of senior government officials in New Delhi. Furthermore, multilateral intelligence findings from the Five Eyes alliance have exposed an institutionalized mandate within the Indian security apparatus to track, target, and physically eliminate Khalistan Referendum organizers across Europe and North America. Modi’s India — “Consequences have arrived” — that is the message from the United States under President Trump. No amount of diplomatic posturing or summoning envoys will change the fact that the Modi regime’s global criminal operations have finally hit a wall.

Gurpatwant Singh Pannun

10,782 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

‼️🇺🇲🇮🇷 The US-Iran memorandum looks more like a US capitulation than a victory. There is also a second scenario, where the US is simply trying to avoid escalation with Iran until the World Cup concludes, and that is precisely why they signed this Memorandum of Understanding—to buy time. Bloomberg discloses the full text of the 14-point Memorandum of Understanding reached between the US and Iran, which is set to be signed on June 19 in Geneva: 1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and undertake that from now on they will not launch any hostile action against each other, and will refrain from the threat or use of force against each other. The final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article and the remaining Articles. 2. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs. 3. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to negotiate and reach a final agreement within a maximum period of of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent. 4. Immediately upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, the United States Lift the naval blockade and prevent any interference or obstruction against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and restore traffic within a maximum of 30 days to its full capacity; the traffic of ships shall be proportional to the pre-war volume of traffic on the part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement. 5. Upon signing this Memorandum of Understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran will immediately take steps to ensure that the movement of merchant ships from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa is resumed within 30 days to the pre-war volume, taking into account the need for the removal of technical obstacles and the neutralization of mines by Iran. 6. The United States undertakes, together with its regional partners, to create a comprehensive plan agreed upon by both parties for the rehabilitation and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran, While ensuring financing of at least $300 billion. The implementation mechanism of this plan, as part of the final agreement, will be formulated within 60 days. 7. The United States commits to ending, on a schedule to be agreed upon as part of the final agreement, all types of sanctions currently facing the Islamic Republic of Iran, including resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary. 8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reiterates that it will never produce nuclear weapons. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have agreed that the fate of enriched material and the fate of all other mutually agreed nuclear-related issues, including Iran’s nuclear needs, will be adequately addressed in a final agreement; the final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article. 9. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that, pending a final agreement, they will maintain the status quo: Iran will maintain the status quo on its nuclear program, and the United States will not impose new sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region. 10. The United States undertakes that immediately after the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and until the date of the lifting of sanctions, the United States Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like.
0:33

‼️🇺🇲🇮🇷 The US-Iran memorandum looks more like a US capitulation than a victory. There is also a second scenario, where the US is simply trying to avoid escalation with Iran until the World Cup concludes, and that is precisely why they signed this Memorandum of Understanding—to buy time. Bloomberg discloses the full text of the 14-point Memorandum of Understanding reached between the US and Iran, which is set to be signed on June 19 in Geneva: 1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon, and undertake that from now on they will not launch any hostile action against each other, and will refrain from the threat or use of force against each other. The final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article and the remaining Articles. 2. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs. 3. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States undertake to negotiate and reach a final agreement within a maximum period of of 60 days, extendable by mutual consent. 4. Immediately upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, the United States Lift the naval blockade and prevent any interference or obstruction against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and restore traffic within a maximum of 30 days to its full capacity; the traffic of ships shall be proportional to the pre-war volume of traffic on the part of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement. 5. Upon signing this Memorandum of Understanding, the Islamic Republic of Iran will immediately take steps to ensure that the movement of merchant ships from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa is resumed within 30 days to the pre-war volume, taking into account the need for the removal of technical obstacles and the neutralization of mines by Iran. 6. The United States undertakes, together with its regional partners, to create a comprehensive plan agreed upon by both parties for the rehabilitation and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran, While ensuring financing of at least $300 billion. The implementation mechanism of this plan, as part of the final agreement, will be formulated within 60 days. 7. The United States commits to ending, on a schedule to be agreed upon as part of the final agreement, all types of sanctions currently facing the Islamic Republic of Iran, including resolutions of the United Nations Security Council and the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), and all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary. 8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reiterates that it will never produce nuclear weapons. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have agreed that the fate of enriched material and the fate of all other mutually agreed nuclear-related issues, including Iran’s nuclear needs, will be adequately addressed in a final agreement; the final agreement will confirm the provisions of this Article. 9. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States agree that, pending a final agreement, they will maintain the status quo: Iran will maintain the status quo on its nuclear program, and the United States will not impose new sanctions on Iran or strengthen its forces in the region. 10. The United States undertakes that immediately after the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding, and until the date of the lifting of sanctions, the United States Treasury Department will issue waivers for exports of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like.

Visioner

11,880 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

JUST IN: Vice President JD Vance touched down at Nur Khan Airbase on April 11 and was received on the tarmac by Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, who wore a civilian suit, and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar. A special US convoy of bulletproof Suburbans and a dedicated ambulance had been pre-positioned via C-17 transport flights the night before. Islamabad is locked down. Cell signals are jammed along the motorcade route. The Secret Service detail is the largest deployed outside the United States since the start of the war. Across the Serena Hotel, Iran’s delegation has been present since Friday night. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, a former IRGC commander, posted on X: “Two of the measures mutually agreed upon between the parties have yet to be implemented: a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets prior to the commencement of negotiations. These two matters must be fulfilled before negotiations begin.” He arrived anyway. The preconditions are the opening position, not the walkout trigger. Here is what each side brought to the table. Iran’s 10-point framework, delivered via Pakistan before the ceasefire and reaffirmed today: commitment to non-aggression, continuation of Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz including toll authority, acceptance of uranium enrichment rights, lifting of all primary sanctions, lifting of all secondary sanctions, termination of all UN Security Council resolutions against Iran, termination of all IAEA Board of Governors resolutions, payment of compensation for wartime damage, withdrawal of all US combat forces from the region, and cessation of war on all fronts including against Hezbollah in Lebanon. The United States’ counter: complete verifiable permanent end to Iran’s nuclear weapons program with zero enrichment and full surrender of all enriched uranium stockpile, the Strait of Hormuz fully open safe and free of Iranian tolls or control, major verifiable curbs on Iran’s ballistic missile program, immediate cessation of support for all regional proxies including Hezbollah disarmament, and no full sanctions relief without ironclad compliance. Trump posted: “NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS and the Strait of Hormuz WILL BE OPEN AND SAFE.” Vance told reporters before departure: “If the Iranians are willing to negotiate in good faith, we’re certainly willing to extend the open hand. If they’re gonna try and play us, then they’re gonna find that the negotiating team is not that receptive.” Read the two lists side by side. Iran demands enrichment rights. The US demands zero enrichment. Iran demands Hormuz control with tolls. The US demands Hormuz open with no tolls. Iran demands full sanctions lift. The US demands no sanctions relief without compliance. Iran demands compensation. The US demands uranium handover. Iran demands US troop withdrawal. The US demands proxy cessation. Iran demands Lebanon ceasefire as precondition. The US says Lebanon was never part of the deal. Every single core demand from one side is the exact inverse of the other side’s non-negotiable red line. They are not negotiating from different positions. They are negotiating from opposite ends of the same sentence. The distance between the two lists is not a gap. It is a mirror. And the ceasefire expires on April 22. Eleven days. The mines are still in the strait. The tolls are still being collected. Hezbollah is still firing rockets. China is preparing MANPADs for delivery. And the two delegations sitting in the same hotel in Islamabad tonight hold documents that cannot both be true at the same time.
1:29

JUST IN: Vice President JD Vance touched down at Nur Khan Airbase on April 11 and was received on the tarmac by Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, who wore a civilian suit, and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar. A special US convoy of bulletproof Suburbans and a dedicated ambulance had been pre-positioned via C-17 transport flights the night before. Islamabad is locked down. Cell signals are jammed along the motorcade route. The Secret Service detail is the largest deployed outside the United States since the start of the war. Across the Serena Hotel, Iran’s delegation has been present since Friday night. Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, a former IRGC commander, posted on X: “Two of the measures mutually agreed upon between the parties have yet to be implemented: a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran’s blocked assets prior to the commencement of negotiations. These two matters must be fulfilled before negotiations begin.” He arrived anyway. The preconditions are the opening position, not the walkout trigger. Here is what each side brought to the table. Iran’s 10-point framework, delivered via Pakistan before the ceasefire and reaffirmed today: commitment to non-aggression, continuation of Iran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz including toll authority, acceptance of uranium enrichment rights, lifting of all primary sanctions, lifting of all secondary sanctions, termination of all UN Security Council resolutions against Iran, termination of all IAEA Board of Governors resolutions, payment of compensation for wartime damage, withdrawal of all US combat forces from the region, and cessation of war on all fronts including against Hezbollah in Lebanon. The United States’ counter: complete verifiable permanent end to Iran’s nuclear weapons program with zero enrichment and full surrender of all enriched uranium stockpile, the Strait of Hormuz fully open safe and free of Iranian tolls or control, major verifiable curbs on Iran’s ballistic missile program, immediate cessation of support for all regional proxies including Hezbollah disarmament, and no full sanctions relief without ironclad compliance. Trump posted: “NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS and the Strait of Hormuz WILL BE OPEN AND SAFE.” Vance told reporters before departure: “If the Iranians are willing to negotiate in good faith, we’re certainly willing to extend the open hand. If they’re gonna try and play us, then they’re gonna find that the negotiating team is not that receptive.” Read the two lists side by side. Iran demands enrichment rights. The US demands zero enrichment. Iran demands Hormuz control with tolls. The US demands Hormuz open with no tolls. Iran demands full sanctions lift. The US demands no sanctions relief without compliance. Iran demands compensation. The US demands uranium handover. Iran demands US troop withdrawal. The US demands proxy cessation. Iran demands Lebanon ceasefire as precondition. The US says Lebanon was never part of the deal. Every single core demand from one side is the exact inverse of the other side’s non-negotiable red line. They are not negotiating from different positions. They are negotiating from opposite ends of the same sentence. The distance between the two lists is not a gap. It is a mirror. And the ceasefire expires on April 22. Eleven days. The mines are still in the strait. The tolls are still being collected. Hezbollah is still firing rockets. China is preparing MANPADs for delivery. And the two delegations sitting in the same hotel in Islamabad tonight hold documents that cannot both be true at the same time.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

71,712 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Russia has devised a new way to exploit African countries - actively using the continent as a testing ground for building an alternative financial system based on cryptocurrencies. As of April 2026, this has become a key tool for bypassing international sanctions and conducting transactions outside SWIFT. The A7 platform is linked to Ilan Shor - a fugitive convicted in Moldova for his role in the $1 billion banking fraud - and to Russia’s state-owned Promsvyazbank (PSB), which services the country’s defense sector. Shor is a fraudster: in 2014-2015, around $1 billion - roughly 12% of Moldova’s GDP - disappeared from three Moldovan banks, and he was sentenced to 15 years in prison. It appears that Russia sees his "skills" as useful for extracting money from citizens of African countries. The A7 crypto payment network: ▪️ A project controlled by the sanctioned Russian Promsvyazbank. Offices have already been opened in Nigeria, with plans to launch a branch in Zimbabwe and active recruitment underway in Togo. ▪️ Instruments. Transactions are conducted using ruble-pegged stablecoins and digital debt instruments. ▪️ Commodities for crypto. Cryptocurrencies are used to pay for exports of Russian goods and imports of African raw materials (gold, uranium, diamonds). This allows Russian companies to repatriate revenue without attracting the attention of Western regulators. ▪️ Sanctions evasion. In 2025, the volume of crypto transactions used to bypass sanctions (including by Russia, Iran, and North Korea) increased by 700%, exceeding $100 billion. Russia talks about "Russia-Africa partnership," but in reality behaves like a predator. ▪️ People. Exploitation of human resources. Russia is using Africa as a reservoir of cheap and vulnerable labor. This is a large-scale scheme. According to Ukrainian data, more than 1,780 Africans are fighting in the Russian army. Reuters has reported separately on over 1,000 recruited Kenyans. South Africa officially confirmed 17 of its citizens involved in the scheme, with 11 expected to return home, while Cameroon has already confirmed 16 fatalities. Russia is also bringing in cheap labor from African countries for its defense sector. An AP investigation found that around 200 young women from Africa, aged 18-22, were brought to the Alabuga special economic zone in Tatarstan. They were recruited through advertisements for "education" and "jobs," but ended up assembling strike drones used against Ukraine. ▪️ Gold and minerals. Russia supplies weapons and "regime security" to African governments in exchange for deposits, concessions, and long-term mineral contracts. OFAC has reported that Wagner-linked entities profited from illegal resource extraction in the Central African Republic. The company Midas had access to the Ndassima gold mine, with reserves exceeding $1 billion, and, together with Wagner, prevented CAR government officials from inspecting the site. ▪️ Control over financial flows. Russia is seeking not only control over mining, but also over processing and export hubs. Reuters reported that Mali has begun construction of a Russian-backed gold refinery with a capacity of 200 tons per year, in partnership with Russia’s Yadran Group. This suggests that Moscow aims to control not just extraction, but also refining, accounting, logistics, and sales. Russia claims it is "helping Africa." In reality, it is building a system of extraction and exploitation.
2:59

Russia has devised a new way to exploit African countries - actively using the continent as a testing ground for building an alternative financial system based on cryptocurrencies. As of April 2026, this has become a key tool for bypassing international sanctions and conducting transactions outside SWIFT. The A7 platform is linked to Ilan Shor - a fugitive convicted in Moldova for his role in the $1 billion banking fraud - and to Russia’s state-owned Promsvyazbank (PSB), which services the country’s defense sector. Shor is a fraudster: in 2014-2015, around $1 billion - roughly 12% of Moldova’s GDP - disappeared from three Moldovan banks, and he was sentenced to 15 years in prison. It appears that Russia sees his "skills" as useful for extracting money from citizens of African countries. The A7 crypto payment network: ▪️ A project controlled by the sanctioned Russian Promsvyazbank. Offices have already been opened in Nigeria, with plans to launch a branch in Zimbabwe and active recruitment underway in Togo. ▪️ Instruments. Transactions are conducted using ruble-pegged stablecoins and digital debt instruments. ▪️ Commodities for crypto. Cryptocurrencies are used to pay for exports of Russian goods and imports of African raw materials (gold, uranium, diamonds). This allows Russian companies to repatriate revenue without attracting the attention of Western regulators. ▪️ Sanctions evasion. In 2025, the volume of crypto transactions used to bypass sanctions (including by Russia, Iran, and North Korea) increased by 700%, exceeding $100 billion. Russia talks about "Russia-Africa partnership," but in reality behaves like a predator. ▪️ People. Exploitation of human resources. Russia is using Africa as a reservoir of cheap and vulnerable labor. This is a large-scale scheme. According to Ukrainian data, more than 1,780 Africans are fighting in the Russian army. Reuters has reported separately on over 1,000 recruited Kenyans. South Africa officially confirmed 17 of its citizens involved in the scheme, with 11 expected to return home, while Cameroon has already confirmed 16 fatalities. Russia is also bringing in cheap labor from African countries for its defense sector. An AP investigation found that around 200 young women from Africa, aged 18-22, were brought to the Alabuga special economic zone in Tatarstan. They were recruited through advertisements for "education" and "jobs," but ended up assembling strike drones used against Ukraine. ▪️ Gold and minerals. Russia supplies weapons and "regime security" to African governments in exchange for deposits, concessions, and long-term mineral contracts. OFAC has reported that Wagner-linked entities profited from illegal resource extraction in the Central African Republic. The company Midas had access to the Ndassima gold mine, with reserves exceeding $1 billion, and, together with Wagner, prevented CAR government officials from inspecting the site. ▪️ Control over financial flows. Russia is seeking not only control over mining, but also over processing and export hubs. Reuters reported that Mali has begun construction of a Russian-backed gold refinery with a capacity of 200 tons per year, in partnership with Russia’s Yadran Group. This suggests that Moscow aims to control not just extraction, but also refining, accounting, logistics, and sales. Russia claims it is "helping Africa." In reality, it is building a system of extraction and exploitation.

Anton Gerashchenko

29,338 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Desperate for some sort of 'win'. The US attempt to run a warship through the Straits of Hormuz was an extremely high-risk move that could have easily turned into a disaster for the United States and its military. 🔺The destroyers were only a few minutes away from complete destruction after Iranian cruise missiles locked onto the vessel and attack drones were deployed. 🔺When the two destroyers and the accompanying fleet reached the mouth of the Persian Gulf, Iran's cruise missiles locked onto them, and the destroyers were given only 30-minutes to turn back. The vessels immediately retreated. 🔺They had attempted to use electronic warfare tactics, including turning off its position reporting system, in a bid to deceive the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) naval forces. 🔺By spoofing their identity, they sought to present themselves as commercial vessels belonging to Oman, purportedly engaged in coastal transit in the southern part of the Sea of Oman, the investigation revealed. 🔺The destroyers also chose a route very close to the coast and through shallow waters, taking a high risk to pass through this route and enter the Persian Gulf through concealment, deception, expecting that Iranian forces might be negligent during the ceasefire 🔺However, the IRGC naval forces, while patrolling around Fujairah, had already detected the deception and taken swift action. 🔺The USS Frank Peterson first tried to continue on its course but immediately realized that cruise missile radars had locked onto it, and it was stopped by IRGC vessels. 🔺Simultaneously, IRGC drones flew over the two destroyers. The USS Peterson then received a notification on international channel 16 that it must either turn back and leave the area within thirty minutes or it would become a target of the Iranian Armed Forces. 🔺As the destroyer insisted on continuing, a final warning was issued to it, such that the destroyer was only minutes away from being destroyed 🔺According to the investigation, the conversation between the IRGC naval forces operator and the American destroyers indicates their full compliance with the IRGC's warning 🔺The investigation further revealed that the failed operation was specifically designed to exploit the ceasefire in order to test the readiness of Iran's naval forces. 🔺It also sought to have an impact on the negotiators in Islamabad, where high-stakes Iran-US talks were underway under Pakistani mediation. 🔺 According to the findings of the investigation, the operation of the two US destroyers failed and was defeated in achieving both goals. 🔺Support helicopters were also flying above destroyers. Simultaneously with the warning to these two destroyers, all vessels in the area were warned to stay at least 10 miles away from them so that if they were targeted by the IRGC, the surrounding vessels would not be harmed. 🔺The investigation also noted that the high-risk and botched US operation was the result of the expulsion of top military generals from the army on the orders of War Secretary Pete Hegseth in recent days. Press TV 🔻
0:26

Desperate for some sort of 'win'. The US attempt to run a warship through the Straits of Hormuz was an extremely high-risk move that could have easily turned into a disaster for the United States and its military. 🔺The destroyers were only a few minutes away from complete destruction after Iranian cruise missiles locked onto the vessel and attack drones were deployed. 🔺When the two destroyers and the accompanying fleet reached the mouth of the Persian Gulf, Iran's cruise missiles locked onto them, and the destroyers were given only 30-minutes to turn back. The vessels immediately retreated. 🔺They had attempted to use electronic warfare tactics, including turning off its position reporting system, in a bid to deceive the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) naval forces. 🔺By spoofing their identity, they sought to present themselves as commercial vessels belonging to Oman, purportedly engaged in coastal transit in the southern part of the Sea of Oman, the investigation revealed. 🔺The destroyers also chose a route very close to the coast and through shallow waters, taking a high risk to pass through this route and enter the Persian Gulf through concealment, deception, expecting that Iranian forces might be negligent during the ceasefire 🔺However, the IRGC naval forces, while patrolling around Fujairah, had already detected the deception and taken swift action. 🔺The USS Frank Peterson first tried to continue on its course but immediately realized that cruise missile radars had locked onto it, and it was stopped by IRGC vessels. 🔺Simultaneously, IRGC drones flew over the two destroyers. The USS Peterson then received a notification on international channel 16 that it must either turn back and leave the area within thirty minutes or it would become a target of the Iranian Armed Forces. 🔺As the destroyer insisted on continuing, a final warning was issued to it, such that the destroyer was only minutes away from being destroyed 🔺According to the investigation, the conversation between the IRGC naval forces operator and the American destroyers indicates their full compliance with the IRGC's warning 🔺The investigation further revealed that the failed operation was specifically designed to exploit the ceasefire in order to test the readiness of Iran's naval forces. 🔺It also sought to have an impact on the negotiators in Islamabad, where high-stakes Iran-US talks were underway under Pakistani mediation. 🔺 According to the findings of the investigation, the operation of the two US destroyers failed and was defeated in achieving both goals. 🔺Support helicopters were also flying above destroyers. Simultaneously with the warning to these two destroyers, all vessels in the area were warned to stay at least 10 miles away from them so that if they were targeted by the IRGC, the surrounding vessels would not be harmed. 🔺The investigation also noted that the high-risk and botched US operation was the result of the expulsion of top military generals from the army on the orders of War Secretary Pete Hegseth in recent days. Press TV 🔻

tim anderson

58,574 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Russia is bringing in large numbers of Indian citizens, explaining this by the need to address a labor shortage. According to preliminary information, about 70,000 Indians are expected to arrive in Russia. Given the frequent previous cases of Indian citizens in Russia being deceived into going to war with Ukraine, the question arises: how many of those who come to Russia now will go to die on Ukrainian soil? Let's take a look at what happened earlier: ◾️ Feb-Mar 2024: from "support jobs" to criminal cases of trafficking. On February 23, 2024, the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs officially acknowledged that some Indian citizens had signed up for "support jobs" with the Russian army and reported that the Indian embassy regularly raised the issue of their early discharge. On the same day, Reuters, citing The Hindu, reported that this concerned about 100 Indians recruited over the previous year on contracts lasting at least a year. On February 29, 2024, the Indian press reported that, according to a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 20 Indians who had left as "support staff/helpers" had appealed to the government. The turning point came on March 8, 2024: Reuters reported that India had uncovered a "major trafficking network" that was deceiving young men into going to Russia with promises of work or education, after which they were forced to take part in the war. The case involved about 35 victims (compared to the previously mentioned ~20), and at least two deaths were reported. ◾️ July 2024: Political escalation of the issue and the first systematic "exits" from the Russian army. The issue of early discharge of Indians who were "misled" by recruiters was raised during Prime Minister Modi's visit to Moscow; public estimates by the Indian side at the time indicated that 30-40 citizens could remain in the Russian forces, and at least four had been killed. On July 9, 2024, Reuters reported that Russia had promised to discharge Indians who had been misled during recruitment; the Indian side said the situation affected an estimated 35-50 Indians, of whom 10 had already been brought home. In the following months, the issue of "discharge" began to take on the characteristics of a controlled track: the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in a parliamentary answer (Lok Sabha, February 7, 2025), said that thanks to regular engagement, "most" Indians in the Russian forces had been discharged, while the Russian side announced that it would stop accepting Indians from April 2024. In addition, Reuters reported in September 2024 that about 45 Indians had been discharged from service and that work on other cases was ongoing. ◾️ 2025: scale and details of losses. The most conclusive source is the official answer of the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs to the Rajya Sabha on December 18, 2025: 202 Indian citizens are "believed to have been recruited" into the Russian armed forces; government efforts have resulted in 119 early discharges. 26 Indians lost their lives, seven are reported missing; efforts are ongoing for the early discharge of 50 individuals. Taken together, these data indicate that the risk of recruitment is organized (networks of intermediaries/trafficking) and cumulative in nature, persisting even after political agreements on discharge. Therefore, there is no guarantee that some of the newly arrived Indians in Russia will not be sent as cannon fodder to Russia's war in Ukraine.
0:20

Russia is bringing in large numbers of Indian citizens, explaining this by the need to address a labor shortage. According to preliminary information, about 70,000 Indians are expected to arrive in Russia. Given the frequent previous cases of Indian citizens in Russia being deceived into going to war with Ukraine, the question arises: how many of those who come to Russia now will go to die on Ukrainian soil? Let's take a look at what happened earlier: ◾️ Feb-Mar 2024: from "support jobs" to criminal cases of trafficking. On February 23, 2024, the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs officially acknowledged that some Indian citizens had signed up for "support jobs" with the Russian army and reported that the Indian embassy regularly raised the issue of their early discharge. On the same day, Reuters, citing The Hindu, reported that this concerned about 100 Indians recruited over the previous year on contracts lasting at least a year. On February 29, 2024, the Indian press reported that, according to a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 20 Indians who had left as "support staff/helpers" had appealed to the government. The turning point came on March 8, 2024: Reuters reported that India had uncovered a "major trafficking network" that was deceiving young men into going to Russia with promises of work or education, after which they were forced to take part in the war. The case involved about 35 victims (compared to the previously mentioned ~20), and at least two deaths were reported. ◾️ July 2024: Political escalation of the issue and the first systematic "exits" from the Russian army. The issue of early discharge of Indians who were "misled" by recruiters was raised during Prime Minister Modi's visit to Moscow; public estimates by the Indian side at the time indicated that 30-40 citizens could remain in the Russian forces, and at least four had been killed. On July 9, 2024, Reuters reported that Russia had promised to discharge Indians who had been misled during recruitment; the Indian side said the situation affected an estimated 35-50 Indians, of whom 10 had already been brought home. In the following months, the issue of "discharge" began to take on the characteristics of a controlled track: the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, in a parliamentary answer (Lok Sabha, February 7, 2025), said that thanks to regular engagement, "most" Indians in the Russian forces had been discharged, while the Russian side announced that it would stop accepting Indians from April 2024. In addition, Reuters reported in September 2024 that about 45 Indians had been discharged from service and that work on other cases was ongoing. ◾️ 2025: scale and details of losses. The most conclusive source is the official answer of the Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs to the Rajya Sabha on December 18, 2025: 202 Indian citizens are "believed to have been recruited" into the Russian armed forces; government efforts have resulted in 119 early discharges. 26 Indians lost their lives, seven are reported missing; efforts are ongoing for the early discharge of 50 individuals. Taken together, these data indicate that the risk of recruitment is organized (networks of intermediaries/trafficking) and cumulative in nature, persisting even after political agreements on discharge. Therefore, there is no guarantee that some of the newly arrived Indians in Russia will not be sent as cannon fodder to Russia's war in Ukraine.

Anton Gerashchenko

933,987 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

JUDGE, JURY, EXECUTIONER: AMERICAN EXCESS. 3 INDIAN LIVES & A TEST FOR INDIAN DIPLOMACY. This is the story of American military and executive excess on the one hand and the INEFFECTUALITY of Indian diplomacy on the other. It’s a story about the killing of three Indians on the high seas by a Trump led America that, critics argue, has increasingly exercised powers beyond those recognised under international law. Three Indian seafarers, deck cadet Aditya Sharma, engine fitter Shivanand Chaurasia, and chief engineer Patnala Suresh, found themselves in the crosshairs of the American Navy just off the coast of Oman in the Arabian Sea. The three Indian seafarers, along with 21 other crew members, were aboard the Settebello, a Palau-flagged vessel. Little did they know that they had been arbitrarily awarded a death sentence by a US Navy that was acting as judge, jury, and executioner. The munition fired by the US Navy that tore through the engine room vapourised the seafarers. The US Central Command said that the crew was guilty of violating an arbitrary American blockade by "attempting to transport oil from Iran". In fact, the statement accused the crew of having "repeatedly failed to comply" with American forces. Manoj Yadav, general secretary of the Forward Seamen's Union of India, has said that he "refused to believe" that the US lacked information regarding the nationalities of the people on board those ships. Why didn’t, he asked, the US simply detain the ship, especially since the ship was unarmed and its crew was absolutely defenceless? To be sure, Washington would argue that the vessel was engaged in sanctions-busting activity linked to Iran and that American forces were acting under their own rules of engagement. Yet even if one accepts that contention, serious questions remain about proportionality, due process, and jurisdiction. Was an unarmed merchant vessel posing an imminent threat? Could interception, boarding, or detention have achieved the same objective without loss of life? Those questions deserve answers. But the bigger and more immediate one is, who has given the US Navy the right to assume the role of lawmaker, law enforcer, and lawgiver? No one, if one were to strictly apply the tenets of the UN Charter. The Articles of the UN Charter strictly prohibit the use of force between states except in two scenarios: when authorised by the UN Security Council or in self-defence against an active or imminent armed attack (Article 51). Critics argue that the strikes lack a valid self-defence justification or Security Council mandate. Second, the US is, according to critics, enforcing an illegal blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The UN's maritime agency, the International Maritime Organization, has consistently upheld the principle that no country has a unilateral right to obstruct international transit through strategic straits. If that principle is accepted, then the legal basis for the use of force against civilian shipping becomes even more questionable. While the US under Trump may be in contempt of the spirit of international law, the point is that the law needs to be read persuasively to the United States at the highest diplomatic level. Unfortunately, this is where Delhi appears to have arguably fallen short.
7:10

JUDGE, JURY, EXECUTIONER: AMERICAN EXCESS. 3 INDIAN LIVES & A TEST FOR INDIAN DIPLOMACY. This is the story of American military and executive excess on the one hand and the INEFFECTUALITY of Indian diplomacy on the other. It’s a story about the killing of three Indians on the high seas by a Trump led America that, critics argue, has increasingly exercised powers beyond those recognised under international law. Three Indian seafarers, deck cadet Aditya Sharma, engine fitter Shivanand Chaurasia, and chief engineer Patnala Suresh, found themselves in the crosshairs of the American Navy just off the coast of Oman in the Arabian Sea. The three Indian seafarers, along with 21 other crew members, were aboard the Settebello, a Palau-flagged vessel. Little did they know that they had been arbitrarily awarded a death sentence by a US Navy that was acting as judge, jury, and executioner. The munition fired by the US Navy that tore through the engine room vapourised the seafarers. The US Central Command said that the crew was guilty of violating an arbitrary American blockade by "attempting to transport oil from Iran". In fact, the statement accused the crew of having "repeatedly failed to comply" with American forces. Manoj Yadav, general secretary of the Forward Seamen's Union of India, has said that he "refused to believe" that the US lacked information regarding the nationalities of the people on board those ships. Why didn’t, he asked, the US simply detain the ship, especially since the ship was unarmed and its crew was absolutely defenceless? To be sure, Washington would argue that the vessel was engaged in sanctions-busting activity linked to Iran and that American forces were acting under their own rules of engagement. Yet even if one accepts that contention, serious questions remain about proportionality, due process, and jurisdiction. Was an unarmed merchant vessel posing an imminent threat? Could interception, boarding, or detention have achieved the same objective without loss of life? Those questions deserve answers. But the bigger and more immediate one is, who has given the US Navy the right to assume the role of lawmaker, law enforcer, and lawgiver? No one, if one were to strictly apply the tenets of the UN Charter. The Articles of the UN Charter strictly prohibit the use of force between states except in two scenarios: when authorised by the UN Security Council or in self-defence against an active or imminent armed attack (Article 51). Critics argue that the strikes lack a valid self-defence justification or Security Council mandate. Second, the US is, according to critics, enforcing an illegal blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The UN's maritime agency, the International Maritime Organization, has consistently upheld the principle that no country has a unilateral right to obstruct international transit through strategic straits. If that principle is accepted, then the legal basis for the use of force against civilian shipping becomes even more questionable. While the US under Trump may be in contempt of the spirit of international law, the point is that the law needs to be read persuasively to the United States at the highest diplomatic level. Unfortunately, this is where Delhi appears to have arguably fallen short.

Rahul Shivshankar

11,187 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

How will the US-Iran war end, and what was it really about? On January 3, 2026, the US carried out an easy regime change in Venezuela. (I predicted it one year prior here) On February 28, 2026, the US assassinated Iran’s Supreme Leader and began its air campaign against Iran. Fooled by the easy regime change in Venezuela, Trump believed that the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader and top commanders would cause the Iranian regime to collapse and that anti-regime protests would spread, leading to regime change in Iran. With Iran, Venezuela and the Gulf “states,” the US would have control over most of the world’s oil reserves. The US president’s visit to China, originally scheduled for March 31–April 2, 2026, was postponed to May 14–15, 2026, after the US air campaign against Iran began. What was the reason for pursuing regime change in Iran before that visit to China? According to political analyst Wadah Khanfar, Trump wanted to go to China holding all the oil cards, including Iranian oil, around 90% of which is exported to China and paid for in Chinese yuan rather than USD. He was going to say to Xi: “We have no problem with China being the world’s manufacturer, but we control the world’s oil reserves. Drop your efforts to expand CIPS as an alternative to SWIFT for international transactions in currencies other than the USD, and we can both coexist as global powers.” However, what Iran did, and continues to do, not only collapsed the US plan but also threatens its control over the Gulf “states’” oil. Now the populations of these states know they are being bombed because they host US bases. On top of that, they now know that these bases may have been used in the bombing of Gaza, or at least to provide fuel and air support to Israeli jets bombing Gaza. So far, it has been a strategic loss for the US. One of the most hilarious moments during Trump’s visit to China was when President Xi showed him a 400-year-old tree as a subtle message to the US president: “This tree is older than your country, which is celebrating the 250th anniversary of its independence this year. We are a civilization thousands of years old.” But Trump’s ego prevented him from understanding the message, and he asked: Does XI bring other presidents to see this garden too? Xi replied: “Very rarely, but Putin visited it too.” -Videos: The 400-year old tree And an honest slow motion.
0:47

How will the US-Iran war end, and what was it really about? On January 3, 2026, the US carried out an easy regime change in Venezuela. (I predicted it one year prior here) On February 28, 2026, the US assassinated Iran’s Supreme Leader and began its air campaign against Iran. Fooled by the easy regime change in Venezuela, Trump believed that the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader and top commanders would cause the Iranian regime to collapse and that anti-regime protests would spread, leading to regime change in Iran. With Iran, Venezuela and the Gulf “states,” the US would have control over most of the world’s oil reserves. The US president’s visit to China, originally scheduled for March 31–April 2, 2026, was postponed to May 14–15, 2026, after the US air campaign against Iran began. What was the reason for pursuing regime change in Iran before that visit to China? According to political analyst Wadah Khanfar, Trump wanted to go to China holding all the oil cards, including Iranian oil, around 90% of which is exported to China and paid for in Chinese yuan rather than USD. He was going to say to Xi: “We have no problem with China being the world’s manufacturer, but we control the world’s oil reserves. Drop your efforts to expand CIPS as an alternative to SWIFT for international transactions in currencies other than the USD, and we can both coexist as global powers.” However, what Iran did, and continues to do, not only collapsed the US plan but also threatens its control over the Gulf “states’” oil. Now the populations of these states know they are being bombed because they host US bases. On top of that, they now know that these bases may have been used in the bombing of Gaza, or at least to provide fuel and air support to Israeli jets bombing Gaza. So far, it has been a strategic loss for the US. One of the most hilarious moments during Trump’s visit to China was when President Xi showed him a 400-year-old tree as a subtle message to the US president: “This tree is older than your country, which is celebrating the 250th anniversary of its independence this year. We are a civilization thousands of years old.” But Trump’s ego prevented him from understanding the message, and he asked: Does XI bring other presidents to see this garden too? Xi replied: “Very rarely, but Putin visited it too.” -Videos: The 400-year old tree And an honest slow motion.

Warfare Analysis

15,444 Aufrufe • vor 12 Tagen

Iran war, day 89! Trump keeps breaching the ceasefire! Just how compromised is Oman? -4 American vessels, attempted to cross the SOH without coordinating with IRGC security forces -They were warned, and following their disregard, warning shots were fired at them, forcing them to turn back. -4 drones were fired as warning shots Meanwhile, Kosher media lies as usual and claims: -that IRGC fired 4 one-way drones at a U.S. commercial ship! -The U.S. military shot down all the drones and attacked another Iranian drone launching unit on the ground before it launched in Bandar Abbas, the official added -no mentions of the 4 invader vessels attempting to breach iran’s control of the SOH, and failing miserably! Per Reuters, the U.S. military has executed new strikes on an Iranian military facility that “posed a threat to U.S. forces and commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz”. -no mention of the U.S. military invasion of a sovereign territory. However, -U.S. official told CBS News the Iran ceasefire holds following tonight's strikes. -interesting how no accusation was made against Iran breaching the ceasefire despite kosher media’s bs claims. Analysis: The U.S. is testing out Iran’s ability to strike U.S. ships with limited breaches to gauge where Iran is striking from each time. Iran isn’t providing a predictable pattern and is sticking to its protocol of warnings, warning shots, and then on standby to escalate. Ynet Hebrew news on Iran’s demand for compensation: Tehran sets new conditions - the US must pay $300 billion in compensation! -Trump/Israel keep raising the price for a peace deal How is Trump’s bs blockade working out? Per WSJ: Despite the naval blockade, Iran continues to sell its oil! -The ship-to-ship transfer of oil in the middle of the sea reveals Iran's main strength and the main reason for its ability to resist US pressure for a long time. -Per the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission, Tehran earned about $31 billion in oil revenues from China last year. -this is conservative figure as most of sales are unaccounted for -The Chinese government explicitly ordered local companies not to comply with US sanctions against five Chinese refineries. And now Iran is selling its oil and maximum capacity, at higher prices. Pre war oil was at $70/b. It’s around $100/b. Trump did that! Nobody fears Trump’s bs blockade, sanctions and tariffs! Trump keeps barking anyway! Trump reserved the right to now wipe out Oman and finish off Iran! -I thought Iran was already beat according to Trump! As for Oman: Oman can be considered the most staunch supporter of the U.S. presence in the Persian Gulf region. The first military agreement between the two countries was signed in 1980. Currently, 26,000 American air force units are stationed on the territory of this Arab state. In addition, U.S. military aviation units assigned the private security firm DynCorp International to guard various parts of the base, including aircraft hangars, fuel storage, ammunition depots, automobiles, and administrative buildings. Oman hosts multiple US military bases: -the bases of the Navy in Rycote, Sit Lahsa and Muscat. -the U.S. air force bases are in al-Hasib, Siba, Markaz Tamarid, and masir. -the air force base in masir and the port of Matra are permanent bases of the US armed forces. -Oman hosts the command post of the US air force. -From American air bases in Oman, drones (UAVs) are periodically flown over the territories of many countries, up to Afghanistan. Iran for whatever reason trusted Oman as a mediator state at one time. Trump said he is not sure the U.S. should sign a deal to end the war with Iran if Saudi Arabia and other gulf slave states don't agree to join the Abraham Accords! They owe it to us he says! Kosher media calls out Netanyahu’s bs! "Haaretz" quoting an Israeli field officer: Netanyahu's claim of killing 600 Hezbollah fighters in recent weeks is laughable
0:24

Iran war, day 89! Trump keeps breaching the ceasefire! Just how compromised is Oman? -4 American vessels, attempted to cross the SOH without coordinating with IRGC security forces -They were warned, and following their disregard, warning shots were fired at them, forcing them to turn back. -4 drones were fired as warning shots Meanwhile, Kosher media lies as usual and claims: -that IRGC fired 4 one-way drones at a U.S. commercial ship! -The U.S. military shot down all the drones and attacked another Iranian drone launching unit on the ground before it launched in Bandar Abbas, the official added -no mentions of the 4 invader vessels attempting to breach iran’s control of the SOH, and failing miserably! Per Reuters, the U.S. military has executed new strikes on an Iranian military facility that “posed a threat to U.S. forces and commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz”. -no mention of the U.S. military invasion of a sovereign territory. However, -U.S. official told CBS News the Iran ceasefire holds following tonight's strikes. -interesting how no accusation was made against Iran breaching the ceasefire despite kosher media’s bs claims. Analysis: The U.S. is testing out Iran’s ability to strike U.S. ships with limited breaches to gauge where Iran is striking from each time. Iran isn’t providing a predictable pattern and is sticking to its protocol of warnings, warning shots, and then on standby to escalate. Ynet Hebrew news on Iran’s demand for compensation: Tehran sets new conditions - the US must pay $300 billion in compensation! -Trump/Israel keep raising the price for a peace deal How is Trump’s bs blockade working out? Per WSJ: Despite the naval blockade, Iran continues to sell its oil! -The ship-to-ship transfer of oil in the middle of the sea reveals Iran's main strength and the main reason for its ability to resist US pressure for a long time. -Per the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission, Tehran earned about $31 billion in oil revenues from China last year. -this is conservative figure as most of sales are unaccounted for -The Chinese government explicitly ordered local companies not to comply with US sanctions against five Chinese refineries. And now Iran is selling its oil and maximum capacity, at higher prices. Pre war oil was at $70/b. It’s around $100/b. Trump did that! Nobody fears Trump’s bs blockade, sanctions and tariffs! Trump keeps barking anyway! Trump reserved the right to now wipe out Oman and finish off Iran! -I thought Iran was already beat according to Trump! As for Oman: Oman can be considered the most staunch supporter of the U.S. presence in the Persian Gulf region. The first military agreement between the two countries was signed in 1980. Currently, 26,000 American air force units are stationed on the territory of this Arab state. In addition, U.S. military aviation units assigned the private security firm DynCorp International to guard various parts of the base, including aircraft hangars, fuel storage, ammunition depots, automobiles, and administrative buildings. Oman hosts multiple US military bases: -the bases of the Navy in Rycote, Sit Lahsa and Muscat. -the U.S. air force bases are in al-Hasib, Siba, Markaz Tamarid, and masir. -the air force base in masir and the port of Matra are permanent bases of the US armed forces. -Oman hosts the command post of the US air force. -From American air bases in Oman, drones (UAVs) are periodically flown over the territories of many countries, up to Afghanistan. Iran for whatever reason trusted Oman as a mediator state at one time. Trump said he is not sure the U.S. should sign a deal to end the war with Iran if Saudi Arabia and other gulf slave states don't agree to join the Abraham Accords! They owe it to us he says! Kosher media calls out Netanyahu’s bs! "Haaretz" quoting an Israeli field officer: Netanyahu's claim of killing 600 Hezbollah fighters in recent weeks is laughable

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

32,618 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Na’eem Jeenah and Prof David Monyae are confident that if South Africa does not toe the US line, there will be “sanctions and more”. I’m not sure how they arrived at that particular conclusion because unlike Venezuela and Iran, South Africa’s Establishment is made up of a brittle but powerful financial and banking sector run by British, Dutch, French and German descendents, and of course, you-know-who. Yes, those ones. This is not a small detail. Unlike the state-dominated economies of Iran or Venezuela, South Africa’s economy, aka White Monopoly Capital, is deeply integrated into Western capital markets, and any sanctions would rip those sectors and their White billionaire owners apart long before it reaches the man on the street, which is what sanctions are meant to do. If the US Treasury were to impose secondary sanctions on the Big Five banks, for instance, they would be wiping out the assets of institutional investors in London, New York, and Frankfurt. Furthermore, entities like Anglo American, Glencore and Sibanye-Stillwater are heavily capitalised by Western shareholders. Sanctioning these would be a massive own goal for Western pension funds and the global green-energy supply chain, given SA’s dominance in Platinum Group Metals. Of course, there are mechanisms like AGOA, which if activated, would remove duty-free access for SA cars, fruit, and wine sectors that employ hundreds of thousands of ordinary people. But again, the owners of these sectors are the groups mentioned above. US Old Money would never allow its Amerikaners to suffer and embarrass them. (See the Canergie Commission). To truly break South Africa, the US would have to sanction the private sector, which would be an act of financial fratricide against Western billionaire interests. The US and Europe will never burn the house down with their own families inside. They already did the FATF grey listing thing. For 9 years straight they unleashed credit ratings agencies and rigged the currency. And South Africa shrugged it off. We might take those financial weapons for granted today, but these are the sort of things that would have sent a most middle income countries into a total hyperinflationary death spiral. My take is that Jeenah and Monyae are interpreting the rhetoric coming out of the US Congress as a precursor to action. However, there is a huge gap between a Senator's “tough-on-SA” speech and the US Treasury actually pulling the trigger. The US knows that if they push too hard, they would drive the Establishment to seek new partners. If Western capital is forced out, Chinese and Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds are waiting to buy those world-class mining and financial assets at a discount. That is a strategic nightmare for the US. Remember how quickly John Steenhuisen started twerking for China when America threatened to cut off AGOA not so long ago? Yes. They can't sanction ANC leaders either, because when you sanction an individual, you simultaneously sanction the companies on whose board the person sits. ANC people sit on White Monopoly Capital boards. So, yeah. I’m sure the US will try some things, but sanctioning White Monopoly Capital...🙂‍↔️🙂‍↔️
1:12

Na’eem Jeenah and Prof David Monyae are confident that if South Africa does not toe the US line, there will be “sanctions and more”. I’m not sure how they arrived at that particular conclusion because unlike Venezuela and Iran, South Africa’s Establishment is made up of a brittle but powerful financial and banking sector run by British, Dutch, French and German descendents, and of course, you-know-who. Yes, those ones. This is not a small detail. Unlike the state-dominated economies of Iran or Venezuela, South Africa’s economy, aka White Monopoly Capital, is deeply integrated into Western capital markets, and any sanctions would rip those sectors and their White billionaire owners apart long before it reaches the man on the street, which is what sanctions are meant to do. If the US Treasury were to impose secondary sanctions on the Big Five banks, for instance, they would be wiping out the assets of institutional investors in London, New York, and Frankfurt. Furthermore, entities like Anglo American, Glencore and Sibanye-Stillwater are heavily capitalised by Western shareholders. Sanctioning these would be a massive own goal for Western pension funds and the global green-energy supply chain, given SA’s dominance in Platinum Group Metals. Of course, there are mechanisms like AGOA, which if activated, would remove duty-free access for SA cars, fruit, and wine sectors that employ hundreds of thousands of ordinary people. But again, the owners of these sectors are the groups mentioned above. US Old Money would never allow its Amerikaners to suffer and embarrass them. (See the Canergie Commission). To truly break South Africa, the US would have to sanction the private sector, which would be an act of financial fratricide against Western billionaire interests. The US and Europe will never burn the house down with their own families inside. They already did the FATF grey listing thing. For 9 years straight they unleashed credit ratings agencies and rigged the currency. And South Africa shrugged it off. We might take those financial weapons for granted today, but these are the sort of things that would have sent a most middle income countries into a total hyperinflationary death spiral. My take is that Jeenah and Monyae are interpreting the rhetoric coming out of the US Congress as a precursor to action. However, there is a huge gap between a Senator's “tough-on-SA” speech and the US Treasury actually pulling the trigger. The US knows that if they push too hard, they would drive the Establishment to seek new partners. If Western capital is forced out, Chinese and Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds are waiting to buy those world-class mining and financial assets at a discount. That is a strategic nightmare for the US. Remember how quickly John Steenhuisen started twerking for China when America threatened to cut off AGOA not so long ago? Yes. They can't sanction ANC leaders either, because when you sanction an individual, you simultaneously sanction the companies on whose board the person sits. ANC people sit on White Monopoly Capital boards. So, yeah. I’m sure the US will try some things, but sanctioning White Monopoly Capital...🙂‍↔️🙂‍↔️

Sizwe SikaMusi

10,811 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Countries thinking there's going to be a global reset creating a China led world order, as CCP has made everyone believe for years are mistaken. The US has already put in place a sequence of events that is going to prevent this, and put China in its place, starting with the election of Donald Trump - as I had written months before he got elected (attached post). The US has already taken control of Panama canal and Venezuela. It is a matter of time before Cuba and all of South America are in US control. The US also wants Russia on its side and Russia will mostly pivot. It knows about the China influenced US deep state that created the Ukraine war and also removed Trump in 2020. It knows China is quietly taking over Russia's north east and may invade one day. It knows China's partnership with the US was one of reasons for the fall of the USSR. For which China got rewarded with business and tech by the US. Russia will silently pivot to be friendly with the west as soon as the Ukraine war is ended (the old DS is still preventing this influencing Europe against US wishes.) The US is already at work in Iran. Once the regime goes, most of the middle east will be under US control. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Pakistan, Bangladesh all have already been prepared to be under US fold. China has lost influence in South Asia. The US is also in control of most of the world's energy except Russia's. It is getting control of all shipping lanes and channels, especially if it exerts control on Greenland, which it is trying and may get, directly or indirectly. Those who can see all these events and connect them can understand what's happening. To think somehow China will be able to break the US hegemony, collapse the dollar without collapsing itself, and upend the world order in its favor is delusional as of now. A delusion created by the China propaganda in the last decade by influencing most of world's mainstream media and infiltrating world's social media. Not just people but many countries are still in this delusion I think. The CCP, of course, is not going to collapse without a fight causing a lot of issues in the world. Now, where this fight will be and how it will be done is anybody's guess. But my opinion has been it won't go for Taiwan. It won't go fight the US directly or indirectly. Which rules out Japan, Phillipines, and Korea. That leaves only India and Vietnam. But Vietnam's own communist party seems more aligned with China now. So that's why I say China will create conflict with India when things start going south at home. Because this conflict is manageable with no risk of US intervention and no threat of India escalating it into a devastating nuclear war as a responsible power. And by using Pakistan, it has a possibility of a limited propaganda win to keep citizens in China supporting the CCP. It already made preparation for this starting a conflict in 2020 during Covid when China was sure everything was going as per plan. It has tested India, found weaknesses and strengths, prepared itself to fill gaps, and is sitting tight for the next move. But whatever move China makes, the US will ensure it gets trapped and weakened. Be it India or Taiwan, be it another plandemic or planned dumping of US treasuries to hit the dollar, China can't escape without issues. Being a single party dictatorship, the political collapse is inevitable one day. India or the US can fight a war, lose some territory or strategic interest to China, the worst that can happen is public disillusionment, protests, a collapse of the govt and a new one elected. Think about this in China's case. This is where it is headed as economic issues hit. And that economic hit and manufactured recession is coming, mostly in the next two years (after mid terms), created by the US by Trump's actions, trade wars, and takeovers around the world.
0:29

Countries thinking there's going to be a global reset creating a China led world order, as CCP has made everyone believe for years are mistaken. The US has already put in place a sequence of events that is going to prevent this, and put China in its place, starting with the election of Donald Trump - as I had written months before he got elected (attached post). The US has already taken control of Panama canal and Venezuela. It is a matter of time before Cuba and all of South America are in US control. The US also wants Russia on its side and Russia will mostly pivot. It knows about the China influenced US deep state that created the Ukraine war and also removed Trump in 2020. It knows China is quietly taking over Russia's north east and may invade one day. It knows China's partnership with the US was one of reasons for the fall of the USSR. For which China got rewarded with business and tech by the US. Russia will silently pivot to be friendly with the west as soon as the Ukraine war is ended (the old DS is still preventing this influencing Europe against US wishes.) The US is already at work in Iran. Once the regime goes, most of the middle east will be under US control. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Pakistan, Bangladesh all have already been prepared to be under US fold. China has lost influence in South Asia. The US is also in control of most of the world's energy except Russia's. It is getting control of all shipping lanes and channels, especially if it exerts control on Greenland, which it is trying and may get, directly or indirectly. Those who can see all these events and connect them can understand what's happening. To think somehow China will be able to break the US hegemony, collapse the dollar without collapsing itself, and upend the world order in its favor is delusional as of now. A delusion created by the China propaganda in the last decade by influencing most of world's mainstream media and infiltrating world's social media. Not just people but many countries are still in this delusion I think. The CCP, of course, is not going to collapse without a fight causing a lot of issues in the world. Now, where this fight will be and how it will be done is anybody's guess. But my opinion has been it won't go for Taiwan. It won't go fight the US directly or indirectly. Which rules out Japan, Phillipines, and Korea. That leaves only India and Vietnam. But Vietnam's own communist party seems more aligned with China now. So that's why I say China will create conflict with India when things start going south at home. Because this conflict is manageable with no risk of US intervention and no threat of India escalating it into a devastating nuclear war as a responsible power. And by using Pakistan, it has a possibility of a limited propaganda win to keep citizens in China supporting the CCP. It already made preparation for this starting a conflict in 2020 during Covid when China was sure everything was going as per plan. It has tested India, found weaknesses and strengths, prepared itself to fill gaps, and is sitting tight for the next move. But whatever move China makes, the US will ensure it gets trapped and weakened. Be it India or Taiwan, be it another plandemic or planned dumping of US treasuries to hit the dollar, China can't escape without issues. Being a single party dictatorship, the political collapse is inevitable one day. India or the US can fight a war, lose some territory or strategic interest to China, the worst that can happen is public disillusionment, protests, a collapse of the govt and a new one elected. Think about this in China's case. This is where it is headed as economic issues hit. And that economic hit and manufactured recession is coming, mostly in the next two years (after mid terms), created by the US by Trump's actions, trade wars, and takeovers around the world.

Aravind

431,734 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

The global oil market is changing. Events surrounding Venezuela and Iran show that the global energy market is entering a period of major restructuring. The main difference is that the previous oil market was more unified, predictable, and transparent: prices were mainly formed around common benchmarks, trade went through understandable routes, and the rules of the game were set by a relatively stable combination of exchanges, traders, and producers. The new format will be more fragmented, politicized, and multi-layered: part of the oil goes through sanctioned and 'shadow' channels, logistics and insurance are becoming instruments of pressure, maritime chokepoints are regaining strategic importance, and market influence is increasingly determined not only by production, but also by control over finances, sanctions, routes, and access to major buyers, primarily China and India. The current conflicts are accelerating changes that have already been underway for some time. One of the most important changes concerns the so-called oil benchmarks - the main reference prices. For a long time, Brent, which is primarily associated with the UK and London's financial infrastructure, has been the main benchmark for a large part of the global market. However, the American WTI, which is traded through the US, NYMEX/CME, and is based on huge American production and exports, is becoming increasingly important. This means that the American factor in global pricing has become stronger. Today, we can speak about a gradual convergence between Brent and WTI. The US is strengthening its position not only because it produces a lot, but also because its oil, exchanges, financial system, and logistics are increasingly influencing the global market. The UK retains an important role through Brent, London, as an insurance center, and its broader maritime infrastructure. Another important trend is sanctions fragmentation. Sanctions against Russia, Iran, and Venezuela have not completely removed their oil from the market. But they have created a parallel, less transparent trading segment. There are more intermediaries, complex routes, discounts, and opacity. As a result, the global market formally remains unified, but in practice it is increasingly divided into separate segments. In this situation, China and India gain additional opportunities. They can buy cheaper oil and strengthen their role as key buyers. For China, this is also a chance to gradually develop its own trade and pricing mechanisms. But it is too early to say that China is already replacing the old global system. For Russia, this situation has a dual effect. In the short term, it may benefit if some Iranian or Venezuelan oil temporarily disappears from the market. Then demand for Russian oil will increase, and discounts may decrease. But in the long term, this situation is risky for Russia. Excessive dependence on a narrow circle of buyers, sanctions restrictions, and general market instability create many vulnerabilities. The main conclusion is that today, the struggle is not only for oil itself but also for the rules of the game. Whoever controls routes, exchanges, insurance, logistics, sanctions infrastructure, and pricing mechanisms gains increasing influence. And here, it is important to understand that this control is not concentrated in one place. The US and the UK have the greatest influence on pricing rules, finance, insurance, and sanctions. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, and Kuwait remain critical to the physical market balance. Iran and Oman are important because of the Strait of Hormuz. Egypt is important because of the Suez Canal and SUMED, and Yemen because of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore are important because of the Strait of Malacca. And China and India are increasingly influencing the direction of flows as the main buyers.
1:27

The global oil market is changing. Events surrounding Venezuela and Iran show that the global energy market is entering a period of major restructuring. The main difference is that the previous oil market was more unified, predictable, and transparent: prices were mainly formed around common benchmarks, trade went through understandable routes, and the rules of the game were set by a relatively stable combination of exchanges, traders, and producers. The new format will be more fragmented, politicized, and multi-layered: part of the oil goes through sanctioned and 'shadow' channels, logistics and insurance are becoming instruments of pressure, maritime chokepoints are regaining strategic importance, and market influence is increasingly determined not only by production, but also by control over finances, sanctions, routes, and access to major buyers, primarily China and India. The current conflicts are accelerating changes that have already been underway for some time. One of the most important changes concerns the so-called oil benchmarks - the main reference prices. For a long time, Brent, which is primarily associated with the UK and London's financial infrastructure, has been the main benchmark for a large part of the global market. However, the American WTI, which is traded through the US, NYMEX/CME, and is based on huge American production and exports, is becoming increasingly important. This means that the American factor in global pricing has become stronger. Today, we can speak about a gradual convergence between Brent and WTI. The US is strengthening its position not only because it produces a lot, but also because its oil, exchanges, financial system, and logistics are increasingly influencing the global market. The UK retains an important role through Brent, London, as an insurance center, and its broader maritime infrastructure. Another important trend is sanctions fragmentation. Sanctions against Russia, Iran, and Venezuela have not completely removed their oil from the market. But they have created a parallel, less transparent trading segment. There are more intermediaries, complex routes, discounts, and opacity. As a result, the global market formally remains unified, but in practice it is increasingly divided into separate segments. In this situation, China and India gain additional opportunities. They can buy cheaper oil and strengthen their role as key buyers. For China, this is also a chance to gradually develop its own trade and pricing mechanisms. But it is too early to say that China is already replacing the old global system. For Russia, this situation has a dual effect. In the short term, it may benefit if some Iranian or Venezuelan oil temporarily disappears from the market. Then demand for Russian oil will increase, and discounts may decrease. But in the long term, this situation is risky for Russia. Excessive dependence on a narrow circle of buyers, sanctions restrictions, and general market instability create many vulnerabilities. The main conclusion is that today, the struggle is not only for oil itself but also for the rules of the game. Whoever controls routes, exchanges, insurance, logistics, sanctions infrastructure, and pricing mechanisms gains increasing influence. And here, it is important to understand that this control is not concentrated in one place. The US and the UK have the greatest influence on pricing rules, finance, insurance, and sanctions. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, and Kuwait remain critical to the physical market balance. Iran and Oman are important because of the Strait of Hormuz. Egypt is important because of the Suez Canal and SUMED, and Yemen because of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Malaysia, Indonesia, and Singapore are important because of the Strait of Malacca. And China and India are increasingly influencing the direction of flows as the main buyers.

Anton Gerashchenko

25,703 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨US AND ISRAEL BEGIN REGIME CHANGE WAR ON IRAN Donald Trump has discarded the mask he wore of being an anti-establishment candidate during the Presidential campaign, the rhetoric against regime change wars were nothing but lies to get votes. You may have woken up thinking you have time travelled back to 2003 with obvious lies about WMDs being used by the White House to go to war in the Middle East, because the forces that led the US to war in 2003 are more powerful than ever. The neoconservatives are back, having repackaged their agenda for total hegemonic domination using all the destructive power the US has at its disposal, with anti-establishment MAGA wrapping paper. Israel, allied with the neocons, is effectively using the United States and the lives of American military personnel as its battering ram to destroy the last remaining obstacle to its military domination of the Middle East and its Greater Israel plans. Once Iran is annihilated, the Greater Israel plan that is conveniently being talked about more and more within Israel, and even being supported by the US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, will start to be put into action. Make no mistake, this is not just a war on Iran, but a war on the global south and against any country that wants real sovereignty, that refuses to submit as a vassal for Washington. If they can do this to Iran, they can do this to any member of BRICS. The will of the United States has been underestimated time and time again, it will not tolerate any opposition to its ambitions of total imperialist domination of the Earth, or a peer competitor. The American people will pay for this disaster with their taxes and lives, the elite oligarch class will reap the profits. The military-industrial complex has another war to profit off of, and once Iran has been obliterated and the government overgrown, it will be US companies given contracts for ‘rebuilding Iran’, and US corporations will swoop in like vultures to privatise Iran’s natural resources and industries on the cheap. Russia🇷🇺 and China🇨🇳, and any nation that does not wish to suffer as a vassal of the US must understand that the time to prepare is now. And time is running out. Washington was witnessing its hegemony weaken, and having nothing left to offer, Washington has resorted to bombing its way to re-cementing its hegemony.
2:57

🚨US AND ISRAEL BEGIN REGIME CHANGE WAR ON IRAN Donald Trump has discarded the mask he wore of being an anti-establishment candidate during the Presidential campaign, the rhetoric against regime change wars were nothing but lies to get votes. You may have woken up thinking you have time travelled back to 2003 with obvious lies about WMDs being used by the White House to go to war in the Middle East, because the forces that led the US to war in 2003 are more powerful than ever. The neoconservatives are back, having repackaged their agenda for total hegemonic domination using all the destructive power the US has at its disposal, with anti-establishment MAGA wrapping paper. Israel, allied with the neocons, is effectively using the United States and the lives of American military personnel as its battering ram to destroy the last remaining obstacle to its military domination of the Middle East and its Greater Israel plans. Once Iran is annihilated, the Greater Israel plan that is conveniently being talked about more and more within Israel, and even being supported by the US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee, will start to be put into action. Make no mistake, this is not just a war on Iran, but a war on the global south and against any country that wants real sovereignty, that refuses to submit as a vassal for Washington. If they can do this to Iran, they can do this to any member of BRICS. The will of the United States has been underestimated time and time again, it will not tolerate any opposition to its ambitions of total imperialist domination of the Earth, or a peer competitor. The American people will pay for this disaster with their taxes and lives, the elite oligarch class will reap the profits. The military-industrial complex has another war to profit off of, and once Iran has been obliterated and the government overgrown, it will be US companies given contracts for ‘rebuilding Iran’, and US corporations will swoop in like vultures to privatise Iran’s natural resources and industries on the cheap. Russia🇷🇺 and China🇨🇳, and any nation that does not wish to suffer as a vassal of the US must understand that the time to prepare is now. And time is running out. Washington was witnessing its hegemony weaken, and having nothing left to offer, Washington has resorted to bombing its way to re-cementing its hegemony.

Afshin Rattansi

219,194 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

//The Wire//2300Z May 08, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: UNITED ARAB EMIRATES CONDUCTS STRIKES IN IRAN, IRANIAN RETALIATION STRIKES TARGET DUBAI AND SHIPPING IN THE STRAIT. USA INCREASES TARGETING AND INTERDICTION OPERATIONS IN THE GULF OF OMAN. MAJOR FIRE REPORTED AT REFINERY IN LOUISIANA.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Overnight, multiple targeting efforts took place in the Strait of Hormuz. The United Arab Emirates conducted multiple airstrikes in Iran, targeting facilities on Qeshm Island as well as the port of Bandar Abbas. This attack was reportedly conducted in conjunction with the United States (or with some US support), and resulted in Iranian counterattacks on the UAE as several drones and missile attacks were reported in Dubai. Officials did not state how many munitions hit their targets, however "3 moderate injuries" were reported on the ground in the UAE as a result of this first wave of attacks. As the fighting continued throughout the night, the UAE traded bombs and missiles with Iran for a few hours, and several merchant ships in the Strait were also struck. American warships struck a total of three merchant vessels throughout the region (possibly to include in the Strait itself) overnight, all of which were empty tanker vessels attempting to run the American blockade to onload a cargo of oil from Iranian ports. Similarly, the Iranians also reportedly hit several merchant vessels, though which ones remain unknown at the moment. After the shooting subsided in the early hours of this morning, the Iranians seized a tanker in the Gulf of Oman. The M/T OCEAN KOI (IMO: 9255933) was boarded by the IRGCN for allegedly "taking advantage of regional conditions to damage and disrupt Iran’s oil exports and the interests of the Iranian nation". Analyst Comment: It's not clear as to why this vessel was boarded, as this is one of Iran's own shadow tankers which has been on the sanctions list for many years, and has previously helped export Iran's oil in violation of international sanctions. Her most recent name is the M/V JIN LI and last night she was inbound to the Persian Gulf to take on a cargo of Iranian oil at Iran's own ports. At the moment, the best guess is that the Iranians might have discovered that the oil was going to an unauthorized end customer and thus conducted the boarding. However it's also possible that during the events of the night, the Iranians needed to assert dominance, so they took the only ship that was within their reach, which happened to be one of their own. -HomeFront- Louisiana: This afternoon a major fire was reported at the PBF Chalmette Refinery. The cause of the fire has not been released, and as of this report firefighters are attempting to bring the fire under control. This facility is a comparatively smaller refinery that produces almost 200,000 bbl/d and in 2021, $550 million was invested in this facility to covert an older unit to produce diesel. Analyst Comment: Fires at refineries are more common than one might think, but this is the second fire at a refinery in the same area in a week's time. A few miles to the west, Shell reported a fire at their Norco facility last week, which was the result of a gas leak. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: At this point, it is hard to argue that the ceasefire is still in effect in the Middle East, but that definition probably doesn't matter at this point. Over the past 48 hours, multiple offensive actions have taken place throughout the region. Nevertheless, as CJCS Gen. Caine said yesterday, these attacks are "below the threshold" for the United States to consider the ceasefire violated. The effect of this policy is two-fold: For one, gas prices don't spike by admitting the war is back on, and two, Oman and the UAE (the nations getting hit by the Iranians) are rather slighted by attacks on their homeland not being considered serious enough to warrant US intervention. From the perspective of the Emirs, their entire motivation for siding with the US and allowing the use of their territory...is for their own defense. Their oil terminals (the only reason for their wealth), getting hit by the Iranians, and the US saying that this is not important enough for us to even acknowledge it as a ceasefire violation (much less retaliate), is not going over super well, and was probably the motivating factor for the UAE conducting strikes in Iran overnight. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//
3:49

//The Wire//2300Z May 08, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: UNITED ARAB EMIRATES CONDUCTS STRIKES IN IRAN, IRANIAN RETALIATION STRIKES TARGET DUBAI AND SHIPPING IN THE STRAIT. USA INCREASES TARGETING AND INTERDICTION OPERATIONS IN THE GULF OF OMAN. MAJOR FIRE REPORTED AT REFINERY IN LOUISIANA.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: Overnight, multiple targeting efforts took place in the Strait of Hormuz. The United Arab Emirates conducted multiple airstrikes in Iran, targeting facilities on Qeshm Island as well as the port of Bandar Abbas. This attack was reportedly conducted in conjunction with the United States (or with some US support), and resulted in Iranian counterattacks on the UAE as several drones and missile attacks were reported in Dubai. Officials did not state how many munitions hit their targets, however "3 moderate injuries" were reported on the ground in the UAE as a result of this first wave of attacks. As the fighting continued throughout the night, the UAE traded bombs and missiles with Iran for a few hours, and several merchant ships in the Strait were also struck. American warships struck a total of three merchant vessels throughout the region (possibly to include in the Strait itself) overnight, all of which were empty tanker vessels attempting to run the American blockade to onload a cargo of oil from Iranian ports. Similarly, the Iranians also reportedly hit several merchant vessels, though which ones remain unknown at the moment. After the shooting subsided in the early hours of this morning, the Iranians seized a tanker in the Gulf of Oman. The M/T OCEAN KOI (IMO: 9255933) was boarded by the IRGCN for allegedly "taking advantage of regional conditions to damage and disrupt Iran’s oil exports and the interests of the Iranian nation". Analyst Comment: It's not clear as to why this vessel was boarded, as this is one of Iran's own shadow tankers which has been on the sanctions list for many years, and has previously helped export Iran's oil in violation of international sanctions. Her most recent name is the M/V JIN LI and last night she was inbound to the Persian Gulf to take on a cargo of Iranian oil at Iran's own ports. At the moment, the best guess is that the Iranians might have discovered that the oil was going to an unauthorized end customer and thus conducted the boarding. However it's also possible that during the events of the night, the Iranians needed to assert dominance, so they took the only ship that was within their reach, which happened to be one of their own. -HomeFront- Louisiana: This afternoon a major fire was reported at the PBF Chalmette Refinery. The cause of the fire has not been released, and as of this report firefighters are attempting to bring the fire under control. This facility is a comparatively smaller refinery that produces almost 200,000 bbl/d and in 2021, $550 million was invested in this facility to covert an older unit to produce diesel. Analyst Comment: Fires at refineries are more common than one might think, but this is the second fire at a refinery in the same area in a week's time. A few miles to the west, Shell reported a fire at their Norco facility last week, which was the result of a gas leak. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: At this point, it is hard to argue that the ceasefire is still in effect in the Middle East, but that definition probably doesn't matter at this point. Over the past 48 hours, multiple offensive actions have taken place throughout the region. Nevertheless, as CJCS Gen. Caine said yesterday, these attacks are "below the threshold" for the United States to consider the ceasefire violated. The effect of this policy is two-fold: For one, gas prices don't spike by admitting the war is back on, and two, Oman and the UAE (the nations getting hit by the Iranians) are rather slighted by attacks on their homeland not being considered serious enough to warrant US intervention. From the perspective of the Emirs, their entire motivation for siding with the US and allowing the use of their territory...is for their own defense. Their oil terminals (the only reason for their wealth), getting hit by the Iranians, and the US saying that this is not important enough for us to even acknowledge it as a ceasefire violation (much less retaliate), is not going over super well, and was probably the motivating factor for the UAE conducting strikes in Iran overnight. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

10,859 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten