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Gas turbines face big headwinds: ⚡ Manufacturing can’t keep pace w/ demand 📈 Costs doubled to $2,500/kW for 2030 delivery 🔥 Gas projected $4–$5/MMBtu next year That's why renewables + batteries, are 90% of new supply added globally. 🎧

15,000 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨BREAKING: Iran is striking major ports and oil tankers in the Middle East and this could trigger a crash in stock markets. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively blocked. Around 20 million barrels of oil per day pass through this route. Nearly 20% of global LNG exports, mainly from Qatar, also move through here. If this route stays disrupted, the impact spreads fast. 1. It could push oil toward $100–$120 per barrel. If that happens, petrol and diesel prices rise globally. Electricity costs also increase in countries that rely on gas. Airlines, logistics companies, and manufacturers all face higher fuel costs. 2. Qatar is one of the world’s largest LNG exporters. If LNG shipments are delayed or blocked, Europe and Asia face tighter gas supply. Power generation costs go up. Governments may need to use emergency reserves again. That’s why some analysts are comparing this to the 2022 energy crisis. 3. Shipping routes are being rerouted around Africa. That adds: 10–14 extra days to deliveries, higher fuel costs, and higher freight rates. Car manufacturers depend on just-in-time parts. If parts are delayed for weeks, production lines slow or temporarily stop. 4. The Gulf region exports key petrochemicals used to make fertilizer. If fertilizer supply tightens, farming costs rise and food prices increase in the coming months. This doesn’t hit instantly, but it builds over time. 5. War-risk insurance costs have reportedly jumped around 50%. For large vessels, that means hundreds of thousands of dollars in extra cost per trip. That reduces trade flow and pushes freight costs higher globally. The UAE has already shut its stock market for two days. Global markets are reacting. This is not just about oil prices moving up. It impacts energy supply, trade routes, inflation pressure, and global growth. If the disruption lasts more than a few weeks, the economic effects will compound quickly.

Bull Theory

1,417,400 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🌍 Africa holds roughly 10% of the world's proven gas reserves and could keep producing at today's rates for the next seventy years. Yet just 3% of that gas ever crosses an African border to reach another African market. That contradiction framed the opening diagnosis delivered by Acha Leke, Chairman of McKinsey Africa, on the main stage of the Africa CEO Forum Annual Summit in Kigali. ⚡ Africa is the fastest-growing gas demand region in the world, expanding five times faster than the global average, with power generation and industry alone driving 85% of that appetite. Seven countries concentrate 90% of the continent's reserves. The resource is plentiful, the demand is rising, but the plumbing connecting one to the other simply does not exist at continental scale. 🔄 Today, 34% of African gas heads to export markets, mostly as LNG bound for Europe where prices are higher and offtakers more bankable. The 63% that stays domestic sounds reassuring until you notice it is concentrated in just four countries: Algeria, Nigeria, Egypt and Libya. Look at the continent's pipeline map and the verdict is plain. African gas infrastructure has been engineered to leave the continent, not to circulate within it. 🏗️ Leke's prescription lands squarely on the New Deal the Forum has been pushing since day one. Credible offtakers in the power sector, blended capital pooling DFIs, national development banks, governments and private financiers, regulatory harmonisation under the AfCFTA banner, and the political resolve to underwrite cross-border infrastructure for the long haul. Without that combined push, production costs sitting 25% above the global average will keep tilting the economics towards exports. 🇷🇼 The question Kigali keeps returning to is unavoidable. Who will power Africa, with African gas, for African industries, and on what terms? Follow the discussion live! #ACF2026 #AfricaCEOForum

Africa CEO Forum

17,406 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨Merz loses it: Government statement in the Bundestag! Alice Weidel (AfD) shakes the Bundestag 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Do you want to continue financing one of the most corrupt countries in the world with hundreds of billions, to prolong a hopeless war, so that maybe Ukraine can still keep a few more percent of the Donbass? Is what you are doing here in Germany’s interest, or is it not rather time to reopen dialogue with Russia, to work toward ending the war and negotiating the resumption of gas deliveries through the Nord Stream pipeline? What are you doing to pick up the threads of conversation with Russia again and to end the policy of sanctions, as the USA is doing right now? And what precautions are you taking, to prevent new waves of migration? German industry is collapsing. Every 20 minutes, a German company goes bankrupt. Volkswagen recorded a drop in profits of about half, Daimler Truck by more than a third, Porsche by over 90%. The exodus is well underway, the manufacturing industry is seeking salvation in flight. 100 000 of local skilled workers leave each year. VW will cut 50 000 jobs in the next few years, Mercedes up to 20 000. The arrogant delusion is coming back to haunt us, that we could forgo cheap Russian gas and oil and would instead have to buy expensiveliquefied natural gas at daily rates. You sit on empty gas storage facilities and fantasize about using the missing electricity from the blasted nuclear power plants by sourcing it from gas power plants you haven't even built yet.

Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil

92,265 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🎙 The Sujal Show Ep. 9: Crypto Exchange CEO “The 4‑Year Cycle Isn’t Dead, 2026 Will Be Bullish” Bitget CEO Gracy Chen @Bitget reveals why Bitcoin hits $1M by 2035, how she helped save Bybit after their $1.5B hack, why 90% of Bitcoin treasuries will fail, and warns that perp DEXs aren’t truly decentralized We Discussed on The Sujal Show: - The TV host who became CEO of a top 10 exchange - How she got hooked on Bitcoin in 2014 at $300 - Why she offered 40k ETH to Bybit after their hack (no collateral, no interest) - Why MicroStrategy’s 3% Bitcoin supply is a concentration risk - Hidden danger of Bitcoin treasury companies: 90% will go bust - Why the 4 year cycle isn't dead yet - Why perp DEXs like Hyperliquid are not really decentralized (the Jelly incident) - Why CEX & DEX will integrate, not fight - Why RWA and PayFi are the next killer apps - Her 2026 price target for Bitcoin - $BGB price prediction - Narrative that will die next cycle - Meme coins: net damage for crypto, not net positive - Her 3‑step framework for young women TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:06 Gracy’s journey 04:12 The turning point 10:55 Why Bitget now offers gold, stocks & oil 13:48 Vision for $BGB 15:01 Can $BGB become the next BNB? Her roadmap 16:56 Where BGB will be in 2027 & 2030 20:11 The Jelly incident: why Hyperliquid isn’t really a DEX 23:12 Will DEXs kill CEXs? 27:06 Views on MicroStrategy & Michael Saylor 32:30 Future of AI tokens (and their risks) 40:46 Is the 4‑year cycle dead? 43:10 Bitcoin price target for 2026 44:09 Bitcoin price target for 2030 & $1M prediction 46:30 Advice and roadmap for young girls entering crypto 51:12 Creepy behavior women face in crypto 57:24 Next big thing in crypto to watch 59:25 Rapid fire She began as a journalist, now she runs a platform serving 120 million users. Watch the full episode 👇

Sujal Jethwani

54,953 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Dylan Patel just mapped out the most important investment theme in AI infrastructure (Save this). "In about two years, solar plus battery will be cheaper than gas." Every new NVIDIA Blackwell rack pulls 120 kilowatts, Rubin Ultra rack pulls 600 kilowatts and the next generation hits a megawatt. The US grid cannot keep up, interconnection queues now run five years in many markets so the entire industry is being forced to solve power from first principles. The solar thesis is already happening. BloombergNEF's 2026 LCOE report, covering 800+ financed projects across 50+ markets puts solar plus 4 hour battery storage at $57 per megawatt-hour. Combined cycle gas turbines hit $102 per megawatt hour, the highest on record, up 16% year over year. In California and parts of Texas, solar plus storage is already cheaper than gas for data center power today and solar panel costs are expected to drop another 30% by 2035. Getting power from the grid into the form chips actually require is an entire industry unto itself and NVIDIA just rewrote the rules. The 800 volt DC transition is the most important infrastructure shift that's happening right now. Today's data centers run on 48 volt DC power delivery, a single next-generation GPU pulls over 2,500 watts and at 48 volts, the current required to power a megawatt rack would melt the copper wiring. The investment thesis breaks into four layers and the first layer is power semiconductors, specifically silicon carbide and gallium nitride. At 800 volts, traditional silicon based IGBTs hit their physical limits. SiC and GaN devices are the mandatory replacement. Infineon estimates $175,000 of semiconductor content per megawatt of AI rack power, versus almost nothing today and by 2030, power semiconductor content per AI cabinet grows from $15,000 to $115,000+. The names here are Infineon ($IFNNY), ON Semiconductor ($ON), Wolfspeed ($WOLF), Navitas ($NVTS), and STMicroelectronics ($STM). The second layer is power management and conversion. Vertiv ($VRT) is NVIDIA's lead architectural collaborator for the 800V transition, building the hardware that converts grid AC to 800V DC and the DC to DC power shelves for ultra dense racks. Eaton ($ETN) and Monolithic Power Systems ($MPWR) round out this layer. The third layer is grid to site infrastructure, GE Vernova ($GEV) builds the heavy electrical equipment that connects utility power to the data center campus. Orders are running at twice the rate of shipments, the classic leading indicator of sustained multi year revenue growth. The fourth layer is behind the meter power generation like your bloom energy because grid interconnection queues run five years, hyperscalers are bypassing the grid entirely, building dedicated gas, solar and battery systems on site. Make sure to follow me Melvin for more opportunities across the AI supply chain.

Melvin

107,791 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Rick Rule: The Iran oil spike was temporary... the next one will be structural. The oil industry is a cyclical, capital-intensive business with clear boom-and-bust cycles. --Low prices lead to underinvestment. - Underinvestment leads to supply shortages. - Supply shortages lead to high prices. We are currently still in the underinvestment part of the cycle. The industry has been underinvesting in sustaining capital by roughly $1B/day. Cumulatively, we're talking about roughly $1.5T of underinvestment. On top of that, the war has exacerbated this chronic lack of investment. Meanwhile, global decline rates have doubled over the past 2 decades. We are now losing roughly 6 mbpd of production every year. In other words, we need to replace the equivalent of roughly 50% of US oil production annually just to maintain current global production. At the same time, we're barely looking for new oil fields. Annual oil & gas discoveries have fallen sharply over the past decades: - Down 60% since 2010 - Down ~90% since 1960 When we do find new fields, it takes much longer to bring them online: - 1990-1999: ~14 years - 2020-2024: ~19 years And the fields we discover? They are also getting smaller: - 1970s avg: 150 Mboe - 2010s avg: 40 Mboe The combination of these factors means there are no quick fixes for the coming supply shortfall. The next oil crisis won't be caused by a temporary geopolitical shock. It'll be the result of decades of underinvestment finally catching up with the industry.

Lukas Ekwueme

27,671 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

Renewables are the key to preventing resource scarcity, argue European leaders, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, whose bestselling book Abundance became one of Barack Obama’s favorite books of 2025 and launched a political movement dedicated to what Klein calls “a politics of plenty.” The logic is straightforward and appealing. Solar panel costs have fallen more than 90% since 2010. Wind power costs have dropped by 70%. Battery storage prices have collapsed. If governments would simply clear the regulatory obstacles to building solar farms, wind turbines, and transmission lines, the abundance argument goes, clean energy would flow so abundantly that fossil fuel dependence would become a choice rather than a necessity. “The miracles of solar and wind and battery power,” Klein told the Long Now Foundation, “have given us the only shot we have to avoid catastrophic climate change.” But if renewables could prevent resource scarcity, then the world would not be in the midst of what the International Energy Agency’s Executive Director Fatih Birol called “the greatest global energy security challenge in history,” with global supply losses now totaling 12 million barrels per day, compared to about 5 million during each of the 1973 and 1979 crises. The United Kingdom is receiving its last shipment of jet fuel from the Middle East with nothing behind it. Australia saw over 500 gas stations run dry. And South Korea is considering driving restrictions for the first time since 1991. “In April,” warned Birol, “there is nothing.” It is true that solar and batteries have made enormous progress. Solar electricity costs roughly 3 to 5 cents per kilowatt-hour at the point of generation, cheaper than any fossil fuel in most locations. Battery costs have fallen below $115 per kilowatt-hour. China produces more solar panels than the rest of the world combined. But the world has installed more than 1,600 gigawatts of solar capacity and over 1,000 gigawatts of wind, and still we are in crisis. Global green energy investment was $2.3 trillion in 2025 alone. And yet when Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, none of that capacity mattered, because solar panels do not produce jet fuel, diesel, ammonia, or the petrochemical feedstocks that underpin modern civilization. Electricity accounts for roughly 20% of final energy consumption worldwide. The other 80%, the part that moves ships, flies planes, heats buildings, and makes fertilizer, runs overwhelmingly on oil and gas. Solar and wind cannot substitute for these fuels at any price, because the energy density of liquid hydrocarbons exceeds batteries by a factor of 40 to 80 by weight. Klein and Thompson, to their credit, also support some forms of nuclear power. Abundance opens with a vision of cities powered by “clean (nuclear) and renewable (wind and solar) energy sources.” They lament America’s nuclear stagnation compared to France’s successful buildout. Klein has said that he supports advancing nuclear power alongside renewables. But, the new nuclear power plants that Klein and Thompson support do not exist. The “small modular reactors” that populate the abundance fantasy have not produced a single commercial kilowatt-hour of electricity. NuScale, the most advanced American SMR developer, canceled its flagship project in 2023 after costs doubled. No SMR has received a commercial operating license anywhere in the world. The first commercially operating SMR, if all goes well, may produce power in the early 2030s, but SMR developers have for years said that their reactors are just a few years away. Scaling to a meaningful share of global energy supply would take decades, as opposed to building conventional nuclear plants, which Japan and China have shown they can build in just two years, so long as they are standardized and the same construction crews are used. Democrats, progressives, environmental groups, and left-wing parties across Europe diverted hundreds of billions of dollars over the last two decades from developing the new oil and gas production, pipelines, refineries, and LNG terminals needed to make energy cheap and abundant. California’s aggressive climate mandates drove residential electricity prices to 34 cents per kilowatt-hour, nearly double the national average, while the state simultaneously blocked new natural gas infrastructure. And global investment in oil and gas exploration and production peaked at roughly $780 billion in 2014 and fell to approximately $350 billion by 2020, a decline driven by deliberate policy choices to restrict fossil fuel development. The European Union’s Green Deal, America’s Inflation Reduction Act, and climate policies across the developed world channeled subsidies toward solar and wind while imposing carbon taxes, windfall levies, and permitting restrictions on fossil fuel projects. The UK’s Energy Profits Levy, introduced in 2022, discouraged investment in the North Sea at precisely the moment when more domestic production was needed. The UK Labor government then banned new exploration licenses in November 2025. Germany’s Energiewende spent over €500 billion on renewables while shutting down its nuclear plants, leaving the country dependent on Russian gas and then, after the Ukraine war, on LNG that must now compete with Asian buyers for cargoes that can no longer transit Hormuz. And the UK has lost a third of its refineries in the last 18 months, meaning that even if crude oil arrived tomorrow, the country lacks the capacity to refine it into the jet fuel, diesel, and heating oil its citizens need. The only energy abundance solution that works at the scale of civilization right now is piped natural gas and oil. A pipeline delivers energy continuously, at near-zero marginal cost per unit delivered, with no exposure to shipping chokepoints, insurance markets, or geopolitical disruption. A ton of natural gas moved through a pipeline costs a fraction of what the same gas costs when liquefied, shipped by tanker across an ocean, and regasified at a terminal. The logical endpoint is a world powered by natural gas delivered through continental pipeline networks, eventually transitioning to hydrogen produced from natural gas and nuclear power. America built pipelines while Europe and Asia built LNG dependency. Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, which has ramped from 770,000 barrels per day to 2.9 million since the war began, is the emergency proof of concept. If the Gulf states had built sufficient pipeline capacity to bypass Hormuz before the war, the crisis would be a fraction of its current severity. So why do so many on the Left continue to preach renewables as the solution to a crisis that renewables manifestly cannot solve?... Please subscribe now to support Public's award-winning investigative reporting, read the rest of the article, and watch the rest of the video!

Michael Shellenberger

129,394 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨 BREAKING: Bitwise CIO Drops Bombshell — “XRP’s Limited Supply + Wall Street Demand = A MAJOR CATALYST.” Says Their XRP ETF Is One of the Top Launches of the ENTIRE YEAR — And Big Advisors Keep Asking About XRP 💥📈 So here’s what went down in the new Spaces — Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, sat with Eleanor Terrett from Crypto in America (Crypto In America) and accidentally revealed just how big the $XRP floodgate moment really is. 💥 “Open a LIMITED-SUPPLY asset to Wall Street? That’s a massive catalyst.” “When you have more people able to buy an asset with limited supply… that’s very positive.” Institutional money + XRP’s fixed supply = price pressure upward. 📈 “If you exclude a big portion of the world’s money… and then you open that up — that is a MAJOR catalyst.” 😳 That’s Wall Street language for: “We just unlocked a new demand engine.” 📊 $XRP ETF = “One of the Top ETF Launches of the Entire Year — Across ALL ETFs.” “Over $20M traded on day one… on a DOWN market day. More than a million shares.” Matt Hougan said: “It’s probably one of the top day-one volume days for any ETF this year.” 🏦 “When we meet with the BIGGEST advisors… $XRP keeps coming up.” This was the part he almost whispered: “ does 15,000 institutional meetings a year. When I meet with the largest financial advisors, $XRP DOES come up. They want to know what we think.” And now? “We finally have a vehicle they can use to express that view.” The biggest advisory firms in the U.S. — the ones managing trillions — are now actively asking about $XRP and finally have a regulated door to walk through. 🚀 Matt added: "I'd call it something David (David 'JoelKatz' Schwartz) said, which is that, you know, it's not going to be a one asset world. Multiple are going to win." ☄️

Diana

71,133 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce