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.George Selgin) has spent over four decades thinking about money, banking, and economic history, and tylercowen has been swapping ideas with himsince George was a grad student at NYU. In George’s new book, he explains why the New Deal was neither what its champions nor critics think it was....

31,506 views • 10 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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New episode with former US Treasury Secretary and current OpenAI board member Larry Summers (Lawrence H. Summers). We discuss: - How he's been learning about AI. - The odds of the technology delivering a much faster economic growth regime (akin to the Industrial Revolution). - How AGI might change economic policymaking. Enjoy! Timestamps: (0:00:00) - Introduction. (0:00:46) - Larry's journey teaching himself about AI & deep learning since joining OpenAI’s board. (0:09:15) - How many hours per week has Larry been spending on OpenAI-related stuff? (0:10:16) - Which bottleneck to AI scaling does Larry think is the most underrated? (0:12:22) - Approximately what share of time do today's AI researchers spend on tasks that AI will be doing for them in five years? (0:15:01) - What explains the remarkable steadiness of US economic growth over the last 150 years? (0:19:42) - How likely is it that AI initiates a new growth regime with average growth that’s ~10x faster than today? (0:21:36) - What are the best economic arguments for believing AI won’t deliver a regime of ever-increasing growth rates? (0:25:33) - How much could AGI boost economic growth in developing countries merely by helping their policymakers make better decisions? (0:28:20) - How much better could monetary policy be if the Fed had AGI? (0:31:40) - How much would having AGI have helped US economic policymakers during the financial crisis & Great Recession? (0:36:07) - Is the CCP infiltrating and stealing the IP of major AI labs in the US and UK? (0:39:35) - At what point should AI be nationalised? (0:42:39) - How would Bill Clinton or Barack Obama be thinking about AI governance? (0:44:27) - If OpenAI restructures to a public benefit corporation, how does that change its incentives? (0:46:18) - What does Daron Acemoglu miss in his analysis of the economic impacts of AI?

Joseph Noel Walker

85,856 views • 1 year ago

New episode with Francis Fukuyama (Francis Fukuyama). While The End of History and the Last Man is arguably the most influential work in political science of the past half-century, I wanted to focus on one of Frank's lesser-known books: Our Posthuman Future. In that book, he considers biotech and its potential to usher in a new, post-human history. I check in to see how his views have evolved since it was published (2002), then ask him about AI and its potential to restart "History". The goal was to discuss topics that are important and on which Frank has spoken little until now. Frank also gives me a preview of his forthcoming book, and shares some ideas on delegation and state capacity. (0:00:00) - Introduction. (0:00:41) - Are new biotechnologies restarting History? (0:03:52) - Why Fukuyama thinks life extension is a bad idea. (0:06:47) - Which biotechnology is most likely to drive transhumanism? (0:07:34) - Political orders are downstream of technology. (0:10:31) - Would Fukuyama have denied political rights to Denisovans or Neanderthals? (0:13:56) - Transhumanism and longevity's unintended consequences. (0:18:55) - Assortative mating vs. gene editing. (0:20:00) - How should we adjudicate disagreements between different sets of natural rights? (0:24:03) - How is Fukuyama thinking about AGI and ASI? (0:27:31) - Granting AIs political rights? (0:37:23) - Best political order for a society of non-thymotic AIs? (0:40:44) - Could an ASI design a better political order than liberal democracy for today's world? (0:44:08) - Why Asian cultures are more permissive of biotechnology. (0:47:04) - Do LLMs represent a victory of American soft power in China? (0:49:17) - If humanity is made economically redundant, where will megalothymia be channelled? (0:51:58) - Can Trump and Musk's relationship endure their mutual megalothymia? (0:53:23) - A future without work? Kojève's 1959 trip to Japan, & the early-modern landed gentry. (1:00:41) - Hegel vs. Kojève: wars after history? (1:02:26) - What more would have to happen for China to falsify the end of history thesis? (1:03:39) - What Fukuyama learned from having his thesis chronically misunderstood. (1:06:37) - Fukuyama's advice for public intellectuals who want sustainable careers. (1:08:52) - A sneak peek at Fukuyama's next book. (1:10:32) - Delegation in armies and bureaucracies. (1:15:48) - Why Fukuyama thinks DOGE was misguided. (1:17:53) - The relationship between talent, delegation and state capacity. Watch full episode on YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc. Transcript at my website jnwpod dot com. Enjoy!

Joseph Noel Walker

15,483 views • 1 year ago

Today: a 1.5 hour interview with the co-founders of Coherence Neuro: Ben Woodington and Elise Jenkins They are, as far as i can tell, the only (neurotechnology x oncology) startup that exists today. 'Neurotechnology? For cancer?' you may ask. Yes! As it turns out, tumors interact with the nervous system a fair bit, and you can use the very same neuromodulation toolbox that exists for neuropsychiatric conditions, for monitoring and treating cancer. Coherence has built an invasive device to place at the site of a tumor to do exactly this. Their first indication is a form of brain cancer called glioblastoma; one of the most fatal subtypes of cancer to exist today. The standard of care (with one exception that we discuss) has not changed in 25 years. If Coherence works out, and there is a very real chance they will, that may change. Most interesting of all is that Coherence believes that the bioelectric properties of cancer are not just worth poking at for brain cancers, but for all cancers. And maybe even for diseases outside of it! This conversation covers how Coherence’s first neurotech device (SOMA) works, the molecular reasons behind why neuromodulation affects cancer at all, what the biomarker readouts look like, the obvious Michael Levin comparison, and a lot more. Also: shout to Nicole for setting up the connection here in the first place! Crazy to think that a meeting in mid-2025 ended up leading to this Youtube/Spotify/Apple Podcasts links in replies 0:00:00 - Introduction 0:01:42 - How is SOMA different from Novocure’s Optune? 0:08:57 - Why does neuromodulation affect cancer at all? 0:13:28 - How was cancer-nervous system crosstalk first discovered? 0:15:42 - Anti-epileptics and beta blockers as accidental cancer drugs 0:17:38 - What is molecularly happening when you block cancer-neuron crosstalk? 0:19:50 - What is SOMA actually reading out as a biomarker? 0:20:44 - What does it mean that cancer is “very electric”? 0:22:02 - Can you derive universal biomarkers across patients? 0:23:09 - How is the device placed? 0:24:45 - How does the blocking stimulation regime work? 0:26:43 - Is it fair to say this is closed loop? 0:29:05 - Why not just spam the tumor with constant stimulation? 0:32:31 - Why MRI safety is non-negotiable for oncology devices 0:33:35 - Walk us through the patient journey from diagnosis to implantation 0:36:13 - The Michael Levin question: can you reprogram cancer back to normal? 0:42:29 - Efficacy, hospice settings, and the utility of the neuromodulation literature 0:45:52 - Why start with glioblastoma instead of an easier cancer? 0:48:57 - Regulatory strategy and the reimbursement threat 0:55:37 - How well does mouse-to-human translation work for neuromodulation? 0:55:57 - What do in silico models of neuromodulation look like? 0:58:09 - Why didn’t this exist 10 years ago? 1:01:48 - The founding story 1:06:38 - Why build your own device instead of using off-the-shelf arrays? 1:08:35 - Speaking with glioblastoma patients 1:12:04 - What was it like to raise money for this? 1:13:56 - Beyond cancer: TBI, lung disease, and the pan-disease argument 1:17:40 - Hiring at Coherence + what is the hardest type of talent to find 1:23:17 - What would you do with $100M equity-free? 1:27:15 - Are you a neurotech company or a cancer company?

owl

37,299 views • 5 months ago

The Truth About Canadian FIRES! Philosopher Stefan Molyneux lays out the Truth About the 2026 Canadian wildfires by showing they hit remote boreal forests from lightning and dry weather, spread fast through wind and embers, and are hard to fight because of a lack of roads and difficult terrain. He discusses prescribed burns and honest management over blaming climate change or wasting money on endless suppression. Sources: Full slideshow with notes: 0:00:00 Canada Wildfire Crisis 0:02:39 Fire Causes and Spread 0:05:47 Wildfire Costs 0:06:58 Forest Terms and Firebombers 0:09:56 Failed Fire Management 0:11:46 Prescribed Burns 0:14:48 Trade-Offs Matter 0:16:46 Private Sector Solutions 0:19:54 Burn Costs and Ownership 0:22:55 Managing Remote Fires 0:24:07 U.S. Assistance Tensions 0:26:50 Climate Claims Challenged 0:30:31 Fire Origin Questions 0:33:16 Glyphosate Debate 0:34:12 Smoke Health Effects 0:34:59 PM2.5 Air Quality 0:36:16 Freedom as Solution GET FREEDOMAIN MERCH! SUBSCRIBE TO ME ON X! Follow me on Youtube! GET MY NEW BOOK 'PEACEFUL PARENTING', THE INTERACTIVE PEACEFUL PARENTING AI, AND THE FULL AUDIOBOOK! Join the PREMIUM philosophy community on the web for free! Subscribers get 12 HOURS on the "Truth About the French Revolution," multiple interactive multi-lingual philosophy AIs trained on thousands of hours of my material - as well as AIs for Real-Time Relationships, Bitcoin, Peaceful Parenting, and Call-In Shows! You also receive private livestreams, HUNDREDS of exclusive premium shows, early release podcasts, the 22 Part History of Philosophers series and much more! See you soon!

Freedomain - with Stefan Molyneux, MA

13,811 views • 29 days ago