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Henrik Zeberg: Expect a Final Rally Before a Dot-Com-Style Crash & Huge Pullback on Gold Henrik Zeberg #Macroeconomics #Recession #Inflation #Valuations #Bubbles #AI #Technology #Stocks #Bonds #Gold #Silver #HardAssets #Commodities #RealEstate #Deflation #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy

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DAVID HUNTER'S MEGA BULL CALL: GOLD TO $6,800 & SILVER TO $180 IN 2026 Legendary macro strategist David Hunter, with over 50 years on Wall Street, just dropped his boldest update yet on precious metals and commodities. Amid a final market melt-up, he's seeing explosive upside for gold, silver, miners, and the broader commodity sector—before a major bust hits. THE SHORT-TERM MELT-UP TARGETS ➡️ Gold now targeted at $6,800 (raised from $5,500 during recent weakness). ➡️ Silver jumped to $180 (up from $125, with prior calls like $75 already crushed). ➡️ These levels could hit as early as summer 2026 or sooner in a parabolic surge. WHY HE KEEPS RAISING TARGETS ➡️ Hunter upgrades during pullbacks, not rallies—classic contrarian conviction. ➡️ "I've raised them a few times... I tend to do it not with momentum, but the opposite." ➡️ Metals have been resilient outliers, and this leg looks vertical ahead. THE MINERS & COMMODITIES BOOST ➡️ Mining ETFs get huge lifts: GDX to $180, GDXJ to $250, SIL to $220, SILJ to $90. ➡️ Post-bust world flips to a massive commodity supercycle—reshoring, infrastructure rebuild, AI power needs. 🌟 Energy, copper, oil join the party: Oil could crash to $30 then rocket to $500; copper potentially to $20+ long-term. THE BIGGER PICTURE: BUST THEN BOOM ➡️ Near-term: Final equities melt-up, then deflationary bust (12-18 months) crushes everything—including 30-70% drops in metals. ➡️ But coming out: Hyperinflation era drives gold potentially to $20,000+, silver to $500-$1,000, commodities explode on supply shortages. ⚡ "The next cycle is going to be huge... commodities, industrial stocks, energy at the top of the list." THE BOTTOM LINE David Hunter sees 2026 as the wild climax for gold, silver, and miners in the melt-up phase—followed by pain, then an epic commodity-led rebirth that could redefine wealth in the inflationary aftermath. HT: YouTube Pinnacle Digest Pinnacle Digest David Hunter Current personal portfolio for this commodity supercycle: #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #Commodities #Miners #DavidHunter #MacroForecast #Investing

Mark

82,908 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

UPDATE: MICHAEL OLIVER - THIS SILVER DROP IS JUST A "JIGGLE IN THE MIDDLE" AND A GREAT BUYING OPPORTUNITY. Silver just suffered one of the most violent single-day drops in history—plunging over 25-30% in a single session on January 30, 2026, after rocketing to new highs above $120. Panic selling has hit hard, but technical analyst Michael Oliver explains in an interesting new interview with Jay Taylor that this is a classic mid-cycle correction – not a peak. MICHAEL OLIVER'S CALM TAKE ✅ "There's too many things wrong with this being a top." ➡️ He points to historical parallels: In 1979-80, silver had a huge correction mid-rally—then exploded higher in the second leg. 📈 Same pattern in 2010-11: Sharp drop looked like the end, but the next move was far bigger. SILVER STILL CHEAP RELATIVE TO GOLD ✅ Silver-to-gold ratio broke out positively in November after a 10-year ceiling. ➡️ Even after the crash, it's well above breakout levels—silver remains undervalued vs gold. 🔍 The trend favors silver catching up, potentially challenging old highs like 3-6% of gold's price. ASSET FLOWS SUPPORT THE BULL CASE ✅ Gold vs S&P breakout from an 11-year base is fresh—money shifting from stocks to metals. ➡️ Commodities overall are just turning up after 15 years of weakness. ⚡ Bonds are anemic despite Fed support—real yields and dollar strength triggered the flush, but fundamentals unchanged. THIS IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY ✅ Oliver: "If you're not in silver... you ought to consider buying right about now." ➡️ Pullback mirrors past bull markets—sharp, scary, but temporary midpoint jiggle. 📊 Overdone short-term momentum suggests a low soon—don't bite on the fear. THE BOTTOM LINE This savage silver correction is shaking out weak hands in a powerful bull market, creating a rare chance to buy before the next explosive leg higher toward much loftier targets. HT: YouTube Jay Taylor Media Jay Taylor Momentum Structural Analysis #Silver #PreciousMetals #SilverCrash #BullMarket #Investing

Mark

105,028 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Ep. 11 Free The Money | Gold to $40,000: The Financial Reset No One Is Ready For In this episode of Free The Money, I sit down with James Henry Anderson, Senior Market Analyst at SD Bullion, to break down what’s really driving the explosive moves in gold and silver. James explains how paper silver is leveraged more than 300:1 against physical metal, why real shortages are forming globally, and how inflation and debt are steadily eroding the dollar’s purchasing power, even as markets try to hide it. James walks through the numbers: • The S&P 500 has lost over 40% of its purchasing power when measured in gold • Silver has outperformed stocks by more than 70% in real terms • BRICS nations have reduced U.S. Treasury holdings by roughly $700 billion, weakening long-term demand for the dollar • Physical gold and silver are trading at significant premiums in Asia, signaling real demand, not speculation We also cover why silver is essential for AI, tech, energy, and defense, why younger generations are increasingly buying physical metals, and how assets like stocks, bonds, and real estate get re-priced when fiat systems are under stress. This conversation isn’t about fear or hype, it’s about understanding what the data is saying and why sound money always reasserts itself when confidence in fiat begins to crack. Sign up for ITrustCapital with this link for $100 funding bonus. See why people are opening a tax-advantaged Crypto, Gold & Silver IRA for their future: 0:42 James’ background: from junk silver as a kid to 17 years in precious metals 4:48 SLV exposed: 300:1 paper silver vs real physical metal 7:14 The endgame of fiat: why inflation is unavoidable 9:26 Why silver matters for tech & AI: the most conductive metal on Earth 12:40 West vs East price disconnect: silver arbitrage explained 20:15 BRICS vs the dollar: falling U.S. Treasury demand & the coming commodity supercycle 22:43 The “destruction phase”: why bullion becomes essential (25% gold allocation argument) 27:02 How to buy silver & gold right now: strategy, timing, and buying dips 34:11 Gold & silver vs the S&P 500: the performance shock most investors miss 37:33 Gold-to-silver ratio: why it signals silver’s next major move 39:47 Younger generations are buying metals (this isn’t a boomer trade) 40:36 $40,000 gold scenario: institutional shifts that change everything 40:41 Junk silver explained: premiums, refineries, and long-term holding 42:48 Is gold becoming the new world reserve asset? Revaluation explained 44:04 What happens to real estate when priced in gold 45:30 Advice for young people: discipline, debt, and building real wealth

Bri Teresi

31,505 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

THIS GOLD BULL MARKET ISN’T 2008 (WHEN GOLD CRASHED WITH STOCKS) — IT’S 1971 ALL OVER AGAIN One keeps hearing “gold will crash with the S&P just like 2008” It’s scaring the hell out of mining stock investors. Momentum Structural Analysis, Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA ⛏⛏ & others are pushing back hard — and their arguments are solid. I’m firmly in their camp. Jordan Roy-Byrne: 🚫 THIS IS NOT A 2008 REPEAT. Forget the last crisis. The setup for precious metals today is fundamentally different—and the potential is far greater. 1️⃣ CHRONIC UNDER-ALLOCATION Private wealth portfolios hold only ~0.4% in gold. Institutional allocations are just ~2.4%. These levels are far below 2008. ➡️ ETF flows are only at ~50% of their 2008 peak. ✅ What it means: A massive wall of money is still on the sidelines. There is enormous room for growth. 2️⃣ THE GOLD VS. PORTFOLIO RATIO IS JUST BREAKING OUT The Gold/60-40 Portfolio ratio broke a 10-year base in 2024. It's up 93% from its low. ➡️ In 2008, it rose 177% over 7 years. ➡️ In the 1970s, it exploded 441% in just 4 years. ✅ What it means: We are in the early-to-mid stages. This move is not extended; it's barely begun. 3️⃣ SECULAR BOND BEAR MARKET = 1970s PLAYBOOK We are in a long-term bond bear market, similar to 1965-1982. ➡️ When bonds fall, they offer no "safe haven" during equity sell-offs. ➡️ Money must find a real store of value. That value is gold & silver. What it means: This is the exact fuel that created the explosive 1971-1974 gold rally. History is repeating. THE TRIGGER TO WATCH: A decisive break below the 12-year uptrend line in the S&P 500 ÷ Gold ratio. This will be the signal for capital to flood from stocks into metals. TAKEAWAYS: ✅ Ignore the perpetual "crash" narrative. It has cost investors dearly since 2009. ✅ The next stock bear market will accelerate the metals bull market. The Bottom Line: This isn't 2008. This is a replay of the early 1970s—a period of under-ownership, monetary distrust, and a secular bond bear market that sent gold parabolic. The setup is complete; we are waiting on the catalyst. #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #BullMarket #Investing #Macro #Stocks #Bonds #Finance HT: Jordan Roy-Byrne CMT, MFTA ⛏⛏ - original video in the comment

Mark

151,465 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

🚨NEW EPISODE🚨 WHY BUY GOLD & SILVER? “This is about being short the behaviour of your government. If you think they're going to be disciplined & they're going to raise rates above inflation & give you a real return on your cash, then don't do it.” This week on The Master Investor Podcast I am joined by Ned Naylor Leyland – Manager of $3bn Jupiter Gold & Silver Fund, & recently crowned Investment Week Fund Manager Of The Year. “You can ask yourself – the Treasury Secretary & the Fed Chair, are they politicians? I mean in my view, absolutely. I mean the idea of independence in my view is rather fanciful – these people say one thing & do another. The idea that there'll be a genuine pullback in the scale of central bank balance sheets is in my view unlikely.” GOLD MINERS: “The producers have never been cheaper than they are today. Ever. So these are the most profitable companies in the world - 50% free cashflow margin is probably double & in some cases triple the free cashflow that tech is making.” SILVER: "Silver is like gold in that you are short politicians, but you're also long the future. So your long green tech, tech, the military, everything really that's running the modern economy, but you're also short politicians. So silver has a nice dual feel to it.” IF TECH SELLS OFF? “It's very likely that if the equity market does go lower, then that creates a more dovish background, which is the fuel for the space I invest in. So you see a very big decoupling then of performance between the wider equity market & this particular part of it.” BITCOIN: "My personal investment style is I want to be early & I don't want to be there for the last two months of the pregnancy. I'd rather be there right at the beginning & then once I reach the point where other people are starting to get excited & jump in & there's a kind of critical mass feel, that doesn't make me feel comfortable. This is a genuine contrarian thing where I don't want to be there." GOLD vs BITCOIN: "You own gold & silver because you are thinking about this over the long term, whereas you might want to trade Bitcoin as a way to fund your holiday." WHERE IS THE GOLD: “Should these bars be audited? They should also be checked for encumbrances, which is really the more important point, presuming they're all there, who owns them? How many times over have they been leased, loaned, swapped into the system? There's one thing that is there. The other thing is how many post-it notes on each bar?" Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 3:05 Long term case for gold 6:14 Long term case for silver 7:06 Why no other metals? 9:54 What drove 2025 surge in gold & silver 13:06 Did Gold peak in January? 15:20 Is debasement priced in? 17:15 Central banks are NOT independent 22:00 Gold not risk-on or risk-off – its risk-free 23:15 Gold vs Bitcoin 27:14 Physical commodity + producers + development assets 29:52 Miners cheaper than ever 33:10 Portfolio construction 34:56 Gold & Silver not normal commodities 37:25 Where Is The Gold? 42:26 Physical gold vs his fund? 43:40 Revaluation of US gold reserves? 50:13 Why buy gold & silver NOW? 51:47 Could governments behave? 54:37 Conclusion

Wilfred Frost

80,971 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

David Hunter says the S&P could hit 10,000, while the NASDAQ could hit 36,000 before the end of the year. Don't worry, precious metal investors won't be left out, as he is also forecasting gold to hit $7,000, and silver to rise to $200 - all before a historic 70–80% market collapse. In our latest interview, David Hunter explains what could drive the final melt-up - and what comes after. Hunter explains why falling interest rates, a weaker U.S. dollar, strong corporate earnings, investor skepticism, and a powerful wave of FOMO could combine to drive one last explosive, parabolic surge across stocks and precious metals. 📢 This video is sponsored by iTrustCapital. Pinnacle Digest is compensated by iTrustCapital for this sponsorship and may also receive a commission if viewers sign up and fund a new account using our link below. 👉 Learn more about opening an IRA account with iTrustCapital here: Follow David Hunter on X: CHAPTERS 00:00 - S&P 10,000 and the Final Market Melt-Up 1:59 - Gold and Silver Get Crushed 4:30 - Gold and Silver Price Targets Revisited 6:31 - Copper and COPX Price Targets 9:03 - Lower Rates, a Weaker Dollar, and the Fed 15:14 - Why the Next Crisis Could Be Bigger Than 2008 19:13 - Kevin Warsh's Long-term Goals 23:00 - Can the S&P Reach 10,000 This Year? 29:10 - When the Bull Market Will End 30:20 - Why ETFs Could Accelerate the Next Crash 35:16 - How Investors Can Avoid Being Left Holding the Bag 42:57 - Financials, Homebuilders and the Market Broadening 47:18 - The 80% Crash, $20,000 Gold and the Next Commodity Cycle ⚠️ Disclaimer and Forward-Looking Statements — Pause the Video and Read Maximus Strategic Consulting Inc. is the owner and operator of Pinnacle Digest. Maximus Strategic Consulting Inc. and Alexander Smith hold investments in gold, silver, copper (including related mining equities), and the broader equity markets. Investments may be bought or sold at any time without notice and may influence the opinions expressed. This video is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Nothing herein is a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security, commodity, currency, or other financial instrument. Investing involves risk, including loss of capital. Alexander Smith and David Hunter are not financial advisors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Guest views are their own, are provided for commentary purposes only, and do not represent the views of Maximus Strategic Consulting Inc. Conduct independent due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. Forward-Looking Statements: This video contains forward-looking statements and speculative commentary regarding future inflation levels, gold, silver and copper prices, oil prices, recession risk, interest rates, equity market performance, and macroeconomic and market trends. These statements are based on opinions, assumptions, and current expectations, and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and changing circumstances that could cause actual outcomes to differ materially. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. #DavidHunter #SP500 #StockMarket #Gold #Silver #Copper #MarketCrash #Commodities #FederalReserve #Investing

Pinnacle Digest

50,665 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

SILVER'S EPIC BREAKOUT: THE 45-YEAR BULL IS JUST STARTING Silver has shattered a 45-year consolidation, surging from $50 to $120 before pulling back to $73. Analyst Christopher Aaron sees this as the launchpad for massive gains ahead, drawing parallels to other commodities' historic runs. THE BIG PICTURE BREAKOUT ✅ Silver's 45-year base from 1980 is the longest in commodity history. ➡️ After breaking $50 three months ago, it doubled quickly—but that's just the beginning. ➡️ "The longer the base, the higher the move," Aaron explains, likening it to building a strong foundation for explosive growth. COMPARING TO OTHER COMMODITIES ✅ Gold, copper, oil, platinum, and palladium broke their 1980 peaks decades ago and averaged a triple in four years. ➡️ Silver's consolidation was twice as long, so expect even bigger upside. ❓ If others tripled after 20-28 years, why would silver fizzle after 45 years and only a double? PRICE OUTLOOK: MID-TRIPLE DIGITS ➡️ Aaron targets $250-$350 for silver in the next few years. ➡️ That's based on historical cycles—gold's 7x from its 1980 peak implies similar for silver. 📊 "This market's going to need to consolidate above $50, then round up dramatically." BUYING THE DIP STRATEGY ✅ For physical silver stackers: Average in now at $70s or if it dips to $60s/upper $50s. 🚫 Avoid buying during parabolic spikes when sentiment screams "it can't go lower." ➡️ "You want to be making your final purchases below $100 before silver goes well over." SILVER STOCKS: DEVELOPERS & EXPLORERS SHINE ✅ Focus on undervalued developers with defined deposits—still trading at 1/100th of above-ground silver value. ➡️ Examples like Equity Metals' 85M oz Silver Queen show huge appreciation potential to 5% of spot price. MANIPULATION REALITY CHECK ✅ Spoofing and slams happen—banks like Deutsche got fined, but it's slap-on-wrist stuff. 🤔 All markets are distorted by central banks controlling money's value since 1913. ⚖️ "Markets win in the long run. Play in the ocean with turbulence or hide in manipulated cash." DOW-TO-GOLD RATIO SIGNALS ✅ The ratio's "fourth turning" broke in favor of gold, implying 90% Dow decline vs. gold—or gold to $9,00 📉 After 10 years of sideways, gold outperformed Dow by 150% in the last year alone. 🌟 This puts wind at precious metals' backs for years ahead. PGMS AND THE COMING MANIA ✅ Platinum hit new highs; palladium could buy low at $1,200-1,300 for long-term gains. ➡️ But gold/silver lead—palladium won't match their performance. ➡️ The cycle ends in mania, not subtly: "If you think recent spikes were crazy, wait until the end." THE BOTTOM LINE Silver's historic breakout signals a multi-year bull run to triple digits, offering smart investors prime buying dips now before the inevitable mania unleashes unprecedented highs. Current personal portfolio for this commodity supercycle: HT: YouTube Investing News InvestingNewsNetwork Christopher Aaron #SilverBull #PreciousMetals #CommodityBoom #InvestingWisdom #MarketCycles

Mark

31,713 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨SILVER IS REPEATING THE 2011-2013 CRASH SCENARIO I've seen this before, and I don't like how it ends Since January 2026, silver has dropped around 48% from its all-time high of $121.6/oz, making January and February some of the worst months since 2011 The scenario is repeating almost perfectly: Rally → ATH → Hawkish Fed → ETF outflows → Loss of momentum → Deep Correction 1. After the ATH, profit-taking accelerated Just like in 2011, silver rallied for years on inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of a structural supply deficit But after the peak, the momentum started to fade 2. The Fed is once again the main source of pressure Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance and expectations of tighter monetary policy are strengthening the dollar and pushing real yields higher - a bearish scenario for silver With money rotating from commodities into equities as the U.S. economy stays resilient, silver tends to underperform gold 3. Safe-haven demand is fading If tensions around Iran, the Middle East, or other geopolitical conflicts continue to ease, the safe-haven premium will keep shrinking Money will start flowing back into risk assets again 4. ETF outflows and speculative positions are unwinding During the 2026 correction, silver ETF saw noticeable outflows as investors reduced exposure and risk appetite faded Historically a sign of changing market sentiment 5. Margin requirements and leverage Back in 2011, CME margin hikes were one of the main catalysts behind the crash Today's market once again looks dominated by speculation after a parabolic rally 6. Fundamentally, silver is stronger than in 2011 due to a structural supply deficit and rising industrial demand However, the speculative and investment side of the market is behaving almost the same way it did in 2011 And unlike gold, silver doesn't benefit much from central bank buying, since central banks mainly accumulate gold, not silver If the 2011-2013 analogy keeps playing out: The current decline may not be the end of the correction A move down to the $50-55 range is possible, and in a more bearish scenario, silver could even fall toward $40+ over the next 6-18 months before industrial demand and supply deficits take control again I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

170,045 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

RUSSELL NAPIER'S AI REALITY CHECK: PRODUCTIVITY BOOM WON'T SOLVE DEBT OR DELIVER EASY STOCK GAINS - GOLD IS SET TO PERFORM WELL Russell Napier has studied markets and debt for decades. He is now directly challenging the idea that artificial intelligence will rescue economic growth and government balance sheets. At the same time he sees a very different kind of bear market ahead for American stocks. His message is simple but uncomfortable for anyone hoping for quick fixes or sharp rebounds. THE AI PRODUCTIVITY TRAP ➡️ Napier is skeptical that AI can be relied upon to deliver high growth and solve debt problems in a short period of time. ➡️ Technology does increase productivity yet history demonstrates it does not always lead to strong stock returns. ➡️ High levels of money creation at the same time often prevent those productivity gains from producing low inflation. ➡️ Governments will not wait passively for better days to arrive. ➡️ They will instead move quickly to impose financial repression on savers and investors. THE SIDEWAYS MARKET TRAP ➡️ Napier believes a painful crash on the scale of 2008 remains less likely than most expect. ➡️ The more probable path is a long and volatile sideways market for US stocks similar to the 1966 to 1982 era. ➡️ Corporate profits will rise during this time but valuations will compress steadily. ➡️ Investors will suffer poor overall returns despite the growth in earnings. ➡️ The market can simply go nowhere for years even as companies become more profitable. ➡️ Gold is looking positive due to the massive money printing THE BOTTOM LINE Napier believes the AI-driven productivity story will disappoint on growth and inflation control. This forces governments toward repression while stocks enter a grinding phase of rising earnings but falling multiples. The real bear market is the one that never crashes but still leaves investors with almost nothing to show after more than a decade. #RussellNapier #SidewaysMarket #AIProductivity #FinancialRepression #StockValuations #BearMarketWarning #DebtCycle

Mark

33,954 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

JOCHEN STAIGER'S BOLD CALL: SILVER TO $208, GOLD TO $10,150! Swiss precious metals expert Jochen Staiger announced his chart -based forecast in an interview shortly before the current rise in silver prices – and it's explosive. With silver recently dipping but still way up from last year's levels, he sees massive upside ahead. "This is cheap now," he says. Buckle up for his targets that could redefine the metals bull run. SILVER: FROM CURRENT LEVELS TO THE MOON ✅ Right now on the chart: around $74. ➡️ Next stop: about $164 soon. 🎯 By Christmas this year: $184 per ounce. 🔥 Then climbs to $208 – his chart target for 2027 at the latest. 💥 He even thinks we could hit these levels THIS YEAR. 📈 "We will see $200... possibly $300 in silver." THE $70 ZONE IS THE LAST BARGAIN ✅ Staiger calls $70 "cheap" for buying. ➡️ That's the level to hold – if it does, straight up to higher targets. 🤯 Remember: Silver was at $64 on December 3rd last year. 🔄 Now people cry "crash" after a pullback – but he says this is the gift. GOLD: STEPPING STONE TO FIVE-DIGIT TERRITORY ✅ Intermediate targets: $6000, then around $6780-$6880. ➡️ Next major leg: up to $7880. 🚀 Long-term chart vision: $10,150 by around 2029-2030. 📊 His previous $5600 call last year? Nailed it exactly. CHART CONFIRMATION & TIMING ✅ Point-and-figure charts look clean for both metals. ⚡ Possible last dip attempt around Chinese New Year (mid-Feb to early March). 🛡️ After that thin trading in Shanghai – could be final chance below $70 silver. 🌟 Technicals scream bullish – no major red flags. THE MINDSET SHIFT ✅ A year ago, $70 silver would have been laughable high. ➡️ Now it's viewed as a steal. 🔥 If COMEX breaks or fails, anything goes – even GameStop-style squeezes. 💡 "I close nothing out anymore." THE BOTTOM LINE Jochen Staiger's technical analysis paints a clear path: silver exploding toward $200+ this year or next, gold charging to $10k+ by decade's end – all backed by solid charts and a market that's only getting started. HT: YouTube philoro #Silver #Gold #PreciousMetals #BullMarket #Investing

Mark

38,455 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

GOLD AND SILVER FACE SHORT-TERM PRESSURE BEFORE MASSIVE UPSIDE Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie and Dario, host of the JustDario Cigar podcast,have both mapped out the same clear divergence. Short-term weakness in gold and silver looks likely even if peace talks advance, driven by specific selling flows and the oil situation. Yet the medium- and long-term forces are aligning for immense upside through tighter physical supply and monetary expansion. THE SHORT-TERM WEAKNESS FACTORS ➡️ Turkey’s central bank is selling gold reserves to defend the lira amid a deepening monetary crisis. ➡️ India is offloading gold to secure dollars for oil imports while the rupee weakens under high energy costs. ➡️ Retail investors in Japan and Korea are rotating out of precious metals into stocks showing stronger recent performance. ➡️ Relief rallies remain largely speculative bets on a fast resolution to the oil crisis rather than broad fundamental demand. THE MEDIUM-TERM PHYSICAL SUPPLY TIGHTENING ➡️ Higher energy prices will sharply raise mining and refining costs for both gold and silver. ➡️ Silver production, mostly a byproduct of other metals, will face reduced output as energy-intensive operations squeeze margins. ➡️ Miners will need materially higher prices simply to cover elevated costs and keep supply flowing. ➡️ This setup repeats the pattern seen after the 1970s oil crisis, when precious metals prices surged once supply constraints fully emerged. THE LONG-TERM MONETARY AND DEMAND DRIVERS ➡️ Producer price inflation above 6 percent will eventually pass through to consumers as companies protect their margins. ➡️ Central banks will continue providing ample liquidity to support massive global debt loads and avoid systemic stress. ➡️ Chronic silver deficits near 150 million ounces per year collide with rising industrial demand from EVs, solar, and electronics that cannot be recycled economically at current prices. ➡️ As Jeff Currie highlights, the dedollarization story is still early, with massive upside for gold once monetary conditions turn supportive. THE BOTTOM LINE Peace deal or not, short-term downside pressure on gold and silver is probable until the oil crisis stabilizes and immediate selling pressures ease. The combination of physical supply constraints, persistent inflation, and structural monetary growth creates one of the strongest long-term setups in decades. The same forces that propelled precious metals higher after the 1970s oil shocks are aligning again today from an even stronger base. HT: Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ JustDario #Gold #Silver #PreciousMetals #SupplyCrunch #InflationHedge #Dedollarization #OilCrisis

Mark

53,783 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce