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Here is a model projection of how a weather system will interact with deep moisture from Hurricanes (Polo and Odalys) to potentially bring widespread heavy rain to much of the Desert Southwest early next week. This will lead to a heightened risk for flash flooding. #azwx

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NWS Phoenix

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A big pattern change is coming to Florida this week. The week starts off with typical rain chances, however, a plume of deep tropical moisture will impact the state late in the week into next weekend, bringing a threat of heavy flooding rains. #flwx
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A big pattern change is coming to Florida this week. The week starts off with typical rain chances, however, a plume of deep tropical moisture will impact the state late in the week into next weekend, bringing a threat of heavy flooding rains. #flwx

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We will see typical storms over the next few days in Florida. However, a plume of deep tropical moisture associated with #Dolly will bring a heavy rain threat to Florida late week -- regardless of redevelopment. #flwx
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We will see typical storms over the next few days in Florida. However, a plume of deep tropical moisture associated with #Dolly will bring a heavy rain threat to Florida late week -- regardless of redevelopment. #flwx

Dylan Federico

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A firehose of Caribbean moisture is forecast to impact Florida late this week into next week, bringing the threat of heavy rain and flooding. Widespread rainfall totals of 3 - 5" are expected, with isolated totals over a foot are possible over the next ten days. #flwx
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A firehose of Caribbean moisture is forecast to impact Florida late this week into next week, bringing the threat of heavy rain and flooding. Widespread rainfall totals of 3 - 5" are expected, with isolated totals over a foot are possible over the next ten days. #flwx

Dylan Federico

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A deep area of low pressure is set to form close to the UK next week, meaning unsettled weather with a risk of coastal gales and heavy rain on Tuesday There is some uncertainty in the track of this low and where the strongest winds will be, so keep an eye on the forecast ⚠️
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A deep area of low pressure is set to form close to the UK next week, meaning unsettled weather with a risk of coastal gales and heavy rain on Tuesday There is some uncertainty in the track of this low and where the strongest winds will be, so keep an eye on the forecast ⚠️

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Tropical moisture will flow into a stalling front this week. While the exact placement of the greatest rain should be taken with a grain of salt, this model speaks well to the excellent setup for heavy storms.
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Tropical moisture will flow into a stalling front this week. While the exact placement of the greatest rain should be taken with a grain of salt, this model speaks well to the excellent setup for heavy storms.

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An upper level low is forecast to develop near Cuba this weekend. The lurking low is expected to bring a surge of tropical moisture and higher rain chances to Florida through early next week.#flwx
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An upper level low is forecast to develop near Cuba this weekend. The lurking low is expected to bring a surge of tropical moisture and higher rain chances to Florida through early next week.#flwx

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A developing early-season Nor'easter will bring a prolonged period of strong winds, coastal flooding, and rain from New York City to Boston this Friday into the weekend! A developing coastal storm is forecast to track up the Eastern Seaboard and stall off the Northeast coast, delivering a prolonged period of wet and windy weather from Friday through Sunday. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible along the coast, particularly from the New York City area up through Boston. Even stronger wind gusts exceeding 40 mph are possible over Cape Cod and the islands! The storm will also generate significant marine hazards, starting with a high risk of rip currents and building surf ahead of the system through the middle of the week. By Friday and Saturday, persistent northeast winds combined with high astronomical tides from a full moon will pile water along the shoreline. This combination will likely result in multiple cycles of minor coastal flooding and significant beach erosion, with eastern-facing beaches at the greatest risk. While exact rainfall totals will depend on how close the center of the storm tracks to the coast, the heaviest rain is currently favored over eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and eastern Long Island. These areas could see up to 3-5 inches of rain through Saturday night, though widespread freshwater flooding is not currently a major concern.
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A developing early-season Nor'easter will bring a prolonged period of strong winds, coastal flooding, and rain from New York City to Boston this Friday into the weekend! A developing coastal storm is forecast to track up the Eastern Seaboard and stall off the Northeast coast, delivering a prolonged period of wet and windy weather from Friday through Sunday. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible along the coast, particularly from the New York City area up through Boston. Even stronger wind gusts exceeding 40 mph are possible over Cape Cod and the islands! The storm will also generate significant marine hazards, starting with a high risk of rip currents and building surf ahead of the system through the middle of the week. By Friday and Saturday, persistent northeast winds combined with high astronomical tides from a full moon will pile water along the shoreline. This combination will likely result in multiple cycles of minor coastal flooding and significant beach erosion, with eastern-facing beaches at the greatest risk. While exact rainfall totals will depend on how close the center of the storm tracks to the coast, the heaviest rain is currently favored over eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and eastern Long Island. These areas could see up to 3-5 inches of rain through Saturday night, though widespread freshwater flooding is not currently a major concern.

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Low pressure situated to the west of the UK by the end of the week will combine with the heat and humidity to bring the risk of some heavy rain and thunderstorms ⛈️ Initially these will be in the northwest on Friday before becoming more widespread on Saturday
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Low pressure situated to the west of the UK by the end of the week will combine with the heat and humidity to bring the risk of some heavy rain and thunderstorms ⛈️ Initially these will be in the northwest on Friday before becoming more widespread on Saturday

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76,668 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

Top weather story this week will be the "drenching" from tropical moisture feeds. Hurrican Polo remnants + Caribbean/Gulf moisture will combine into an "atmospheric stream" delivering heavy precipitation to normally arid geography. Don't float away! 🌧
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Top weather story this week will be the "drenching" from tropical moisture feeds. Hurrican Polo remnants + Caribbean/Gulf moisture will combine into an "atmospheric stream" delivering heavy precipitation to normally arid geography. Don't float away! 🌧

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Hurricane Polo is one of the most incredible tropical cyclones in modern history: - Went from a tropical storm to Category 5 in ~21 hours - Reached Category 5 intensity three separate times - Second-most intense eastern Pacific hurricane on record (892 mb) - Forecast to make the first documented major-hurricane landfall on the west coast of Baja California tonight - Spent more than 60 hours at Category 5 intensity, an all-time record for the Northeast Pacific - Remnant moisture will bring widespread heavy rain and flooding to the Southwest and central United States - Fastest storm on record in the eastern Pacific to intensify from a tropical depression to a Category 5 hurricane
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Hurricane Polo is one of the most incredible tropical cyclones in modern history: - Went from a tropical storm to Category 5 in ~21 hours - Reached Category 5 intensity three separate times - Second-most intense eastern Pacific hurricane on record (892 mb) - Forecast to make the first documented major-hurricane landfall on the west coast of Baja California tonight - Spent more than 60 hours at Category 5 intensity, an all-time record for the Northeast Pacific - Remnant moisture will bring widespread heavy rain and flooding to the Southwest and central United States - Fastest storm on record in the eastern Pacific to intensify from a tropical depression to a Category 5 hurricane

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This is the scene in #Brooklyn where heavy rain has lead to widespread flooding. 1-2" of rain have already fallen with 1-3" more on the way! Flash #flood alerts are in effect and avoid travel if you can! #NYC
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This is the scene in #Brooklyn where heavy rain has lead to widespread flooding. 1-2" of rain have already fallen with 1-3" more on the way! Flash #flood alerts are in effect and avoid travel if you can! #NYC

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Tropical moisture + slow front = scattered to numerous heavy rain and storms. Localized flooding is a negative, but this setup is a definite positive from a drought standpoint.
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Tropical moisture + slow front = scattered to numerous heavy rain and storms. Localized flooding is a negative, but this setup is a definite positive from a drought standpoint.

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