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How and why, in the process of evolution, did specific lifespans form among different species? Why are some granted mere days, while others enjoy long decades? What factors defined this span? : The author explores how specific lifespans evolved across species, shaped by trade-offs between reproduction and somatic maintenance....

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Zafar Mirzo | Quotes

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🚨 A HYDROGEN FUEL CELL SUBMARINE DRONE JUST ACHIEVED WHAT BATTERY-POWERED AUVs HAVE FAILED AT FOR 15 YEARS LONG ENDURANCE, DEEP DEPTH, AND ACOUSTIC STEALTH ALL AT ONCE. The Envoy AUV from Cellula Robotics completed a fully submerged mission covering 2,023 km over 385 hours. Crucially, it did this with a realistic, punishing profile: more than 4,000 turns and maneuvers, not a simple straight-line test. It also operates at depths up to 3,000 meters and produces almost no acoustic signature. Powered by proton exchange membrane (PEM) hydrogen fuel cells, the only byproduct is water. This breaks the long-standing trade-off in autonomous underwater vehicle design where improving one capability (range, depth, or stealth) usually destroys the others. Why this matters: • Battery AUVs have been fundamentally limited by energy density adding more batteries increases weight and drag, which cancels out the gains • Hydrogen fuel cells deliver more than twice the energy density of lithium-ion batteries while enabling true long-endurance missions without frequent surfacing • The vehicle can loiter on the seabed using a suction anchor for days or weeks, dramatically changing operational concepts for pipeline inspection, cable monitoring, and naval surveillance • It is already in the hands of Defence Research and Development Canada The deeper implication: This is more than just an impressive endurance record. It represents a genuine shift in what is possible for persistent, covert subsea operations. For navies and offshore industries that have spent years compromising between mission duration, depth capability, and detectability, hydrogen fuel cells are now offering a practical way to stop making those trade-offs. As these systems mature and scale, we could see a new generation of autonomous underwater platforms that operate for weeks or months with minimal support fundamentally changing how we monitor critical infrastructure, conduct scientific surveys, and maintain undersea awareness. How do you think hydrogen-powered AUVs will change subsea operations compared to today’s battery-limited systems? Follow for more frontier robotics, energy, and defense technology.

TheNewPhysics

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I keep thinking about one of the original moments that the Left really started targeting Charlie and making Turning Point the enemy and how Charlie never backed down. When we hired Candace Owens, I had the honor of it being the three of us traveling around quite a bit… we went everywhere. Between work and building organizationally, to putting her on tour for the very first time with Charlie, helping with her personal socials and website— just everything. Charlie wanted to do everything he possibly could to maximize her voice as he did with so many because he loved her and saw her ability to do so much good for America. But this was in the era of the rise of Antifa that was manufactured by the Left. The first real danger I think we ever experienced where we were just living our lives and it made us realize we were in for a larger long term war was when we were together, just eating breakfast before some meetings and suddenly outside our window a large gang of antifa had assembled and harassed us out of our meal and then, while shouting “fascists” over and over took us to the streets to surround us and scream in our faces. They poured water on us and I’m sure wanted to throw other things at us had the police not arrived on the street and got us out of there. Charlie never backed down, in fact, instead of getting angry or physical, he stood bravely and tried have a debate with these obviously paid antifa bad actors. My young and honorable friend, (he was always genuine in his desire to save every single person he could) stood there and gave those people as he did everyone the chance to talk about ideas and I personally witnessed how fearless he was many times in the face of dangerous, unhinged activists, early early on. He never once feared these people. He just wanted to do right by what he knew was right. He knew other bystanders were always watching and learning and there was no way he could back down and let these people lie and falsely frame America the way they were trying to do. I’ll never forget his smiling face, “have a wonderful day, enjoy your capitalist breakfast.” He would have tried to talk sense into anyone and everyone and that is what he did every single day. That is why Charlie won over America. He was honest, true and genuine. Never gave up and stood in the pocket in the face of paid agitators and evil.
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I keep thinking about one of the original moments that the Left really started targeting Charlie and making Turning Point the enemy and how Charlie never backed down. When we hired Candace Owens, I had the honor of it being the three of us traveling around quite a bit… we went everywhere. Between work and building organizationally, to putting her on tour for the very first time with Charlie, helping with her personal socials and website— just everything. Charlie wanted to do everything he possibly could to maximize her voice as he did with so many because he loved her and saw her ability to do so much good for America. But this was in the era of the rise of Antifa that was manufactured by the Left. The first real danger I think we ever experienced where we were just living our lives and it made us realize we were in for a larger long term war was when we were together, just eating breakfast before some meetings and suddenly outside our window a large gang of antifa had assembled and harassed us out of our meal and then, while shouting “fascists” over and over took us to the streets to surround us and scream in our faces. They poured water on us and I’m sure wanted to throw other things at us had the police not arrived on the street and got us out of there. Charlie never backed down, in fact, instead of getting angry or physical, he stood bravely and tried have a debate with these obviously paid antifa bad actors. My young and honorable friend, (he was always genuine in his desire to save every single person he could) stood there and gave those people as he did everyone the chance to talk about ideas and I personally witnessed how fearless he was many times in the face of dangerous, unhinged activists, early early on. He never once feared these people. He just wanted to do right by what he knew was right. He knew other bystanders were always watching and learning and there was no way he could back down and let these people lie and falsely frame America the way they were trying to do. I’ll never forget his smiling face, “have a wonderful day, enjoy your capitalist breakfast.” He would have tried to talk sense into anyone and everyone and that is what he did every single day. That is why Charlie won over America. He was honest, true and genuine. Never gave up and stood in the pocket in the face of paid agitators and evil.

Tyler Bowyer

25,495 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🚨 Scientists discover wisdom teeth contain stem cells capable of repairing the heart, brain, and bones. Wisdom teeth contain dental pulp, a soft connective tissue threaded with blood vessels and nerves. Inside that pulp lives a dense population of mesenchymal stem cells, a class of undifferentiated cells that researchers classify as among the most therapeutically valuable biological material a human body produces. These are not ordinary cells maintaining routine tissue. They are blueprint cells, capable of receiving chemical signals from damaged environments and reshaping themselves into whatever the body needs most, neurons, cardiomyocytes, osteoblasts, even hepatic cells under the right conditions. The brain operates under a brutal rule: most of its neurons do not regenerate after damage. A stroke, a traumatic injury, a neurodegenerative disease removes cells the brain cannot replace through normal biological processes. Researchers have spent decades attempting to solve this through synthetic means, engineered cell therapies, growth factor injections, gene editing approaches that cost extraordinary resources and produce inconsistent results. What dental pulp stem cells demonstrated in laboratory conditions is that they can migrate toward neural damage sites, integrate with existing tissue architecture, and begin producing neurons and glial support cells. The mechanism involves neurotrophic factor secretion, essentially the cells releasing signaling proteins that stimulate the surrounding neural environment to repair itself from within. Cardiac muscle operates under a similarly unforgiving rule. After a heart attack, the dead muscle tissue becomes fibrotic scar material. The heart compensates by making surviving muscle work harder, a process that gradually leads to enlargement, weakening, and eventual failure. Dental pulp stem cells introduced into cardiac tissue in multiple studies produced measurable reductions in scar formation and demonstrated the ability to differentiate into functional cardiomyocytes, beating in synchrony with native heart cells. Some studies recorded improved ejection fraction in animal models, the core measurement of how effectively the heart pumps blood. Bone regeneration represents the most clinically advanced application already moving toward human trials. Dental pulp stem cells express high levels of osteogenic markers and respond rapidly to bone morphogenetic proteins, the chemical messengers that trigger skeletal repair. Their application in craniofacial reconstruction, spinal fusion, and long bone defect repair is being studied across multiple institutions simultaneously. What separates these cells from other stem cell sources is the combination of accessibility and biological youth. Bone marrow aspiration requires sedation and produces significant post procedure pain. Umbilical cord blood requires planning around birth. Wisdom teeth emerge between 17 and 25, during peak cellular vitality, and come out during a procedure most people already schedule. The extraction window is permanent. Once the teeth are gone and the pulp degrades, that specific population of young, highly potent cells is irretrievable from that individual. Cryogenic preservation protocols now exist that maintain dental pulp stem cell viability for over two decades. Several countries have commercial dental stem cell banks operating with the same institutional model as cord blood banking, long term frozen storage, indexed against future therapeutic need. The science supporting the value of preservation is no longer speculative. What lags behind is public awareness and clinical infrastructure in markets where this remains obscure. The wider pattern is worth recognizing. Medicine has repeatedly discovered that profound biological tools were present in tissues it previously categorized as vestigial, unnecessary, or inconvenient. The appendix was considered evolutionary junk for over a century before researchers identified its role in gut microbiome preservation. Wisdom teeth carried the same dismissal, a developmental relic from ancestors who needed extra molars for coarse diets, relevant only in their capacity to cause orthodontic problems. The pulp inside them was never junk. It was a repair system the body built during youth and stored in one of the most protected anatomical locations, surrounded by enamel, the hardest substance the human body produces. Evolution rarely wastes that kind of architecture.
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🚨 Scientists discover wisdom teeth contain stem cells capable of repairing the heart, brain, and bones. Wisdom teeth contain dental pulp, a soft connective tissue threaded with blood vessels and nerves. Inside that pulp lives a dense population of mesenchymal stem cells, a class of undifferentiated cells that researchers classify as among the most therapeutically valuable biological material a human body produces. These are not ordinary cells maintaining routine tissue. They are blueprint cells, capable of receiving chemical signals from damaged environments and reshaping themselves into whatever the body needs most, neurons, cardiomyocytes, osteoblasts, even hepatic cells under the right conditions. The brain operates under a brutal rule: most of its neurons do not regenerate after damage. A stroke, a traumatic injury, a neurodegenerative disease removes cells the brain cannot replace through normal biological processes. Researchers have spent decades attempting to solve this through synthetic means, engineered cell therapies, growth factor injections, gene editing approaches that cost extraordinary resources and produce inconsistent results. What dental pulp stem cells demonstrated in laboratory conditions is that they can migrate toward neural damage sites, integrate with existing tissue architecture, and begin producing neurons and glial support cells. The mechanism involves neurotrophic factor secretion, essentially the cells releasing signaling proteins that stimulate the surrounding neural environment to repair itself from within. Cardiac muscle operates under a similarly unforgiving rule. After a heart attack, the dead muscle tissue becomes fibrotic scar material. The heart compensates by making surviving muscle work harder, a process that gradually leads to enlargement, weakening, and eventual failure. Dental pulp stem cells introduced into cardiac tissue in multiple studies produced measurable reductions in scar formation and demonstrated the ability to differentiate into functional cardiomyocytes, beating in synchrony with native heart cells. Some studies recorded improved ejection fraction in animal models, the core measurement of how effectively the heart pumps blood. Bone regeneration represents the most clinically advanced application already moving toward human trials. Dental pulp stem cells express high levels of osteogenic markers and respond rapidly to bone morphogenetic proteins, the chemical messengers that trigger skeletal repair. Their application in craniofacial reconstruction, spinal fusion, and long bone defect repair is being studied across multiple institutions simultaneously. What separates these cells from other stem cell sources is the combination of accessibility and biological youth. Bone marrow aspiration requires sedation and produces significant post procedure pain. Umbilical cord blood requires planning around birth. Wisdom teeth emerge between 17 and 25, during peak cellular vitality, and come out during a procedure most people already schedule. The extraction window is permanent. Once the teeth are gone and the pulp degrades, that specific population of young, highly potent cells is irretrievable from that individual. Cryogenic preservation protocols now exist that maintain dental pulp stem cell viability for over two decades. Several countries have commercial dental stem cell banks operating with the same institutional model as cord blood banking, long term frozen storage, indexed against future therapeutic need. The science supporting the value of preservation is no longer speculative. What lags behind is public awareness and clinical infrastructure in markets where this remains obscure. The wider pattern is worth recognizing. Medicine has repeatedly discovered that profound biological tools were present in tissues it previously categorized as vestigial, unnecessary, or inconvenient. The appendix was considered evolutionary junk for over a century before researchers identified its role in gut microbiome preservation. Wisdom teeth carried the same dismissal, a developmental relic from ancestors who needed extra molars for coarse diets, relevant only in their capacity to cause orthodontic problems. The pulp inside them was never junk. It was a repair system the body built during youth and stored in one of the most protected anatomical locations, surrounded by enamel, the hardest substance the human body produces. Evolution rarely wastes that kind of architecture.

The Curious Tales

24,267 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨PHYSICS NEWS🚨: Scientists Finally Complete Schrödinger’s 100-Year-Old Color Theory — Uniphics Reveals the Deeper Structure Behind Perception 🧨 On June 7, 2026, researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory announced that they have finally resolved a long-standing problem in Erwin Schrödinger’s 1920s theory of color perception. Their work shows that the way humans experience qualities like hue, saturation, and brightness is not arbitrary but emerges directly from the mathematical structure of color space itself. **Uniphics provides a natural explanation for why color perception has such a precise underlying geometry.** In Uniphics, what we experience as color ultimately arises from how light (electron spin waves) interacts with matter within the ξM-field. When light encounters different materials, the spin-wave patterns are modified in specific ways depending on the local energy density and the arrangement of Gyrotrons in the material. These modifications create distinct interference patterns that our visual system then interprets as different colors. The fact that color perception follows clean mathematical rules — as Schrödinger suspected and Los Alamos researchers have now confirmed — makes sense in Uniphics because the underlying spin interactions and energy density gradients are themselves highly structured. Negentropy favors organized, low-energy configurations, which leads to consistent and predictable ways that spin waves are altered by different materials. This produces the orderly geometry of perceived color space rather than random or chaotic sensations. In this view, the mathematics of color is not just a useful model — it reflects real physical organization in the ξM-field. The qualities we perceive as color are downstream effects of how spin waves propagate and interfere under varying energy density conditions. This breakthrough in understanding color perception is another example of how fundamental organizing principles can explain phenomena that once seemed mysterious or purely subjective. Could many other aspects of human perception ultimately trace back to the same energy density and spin-wave dynamics that govern the physical world? **A Theory of Everything should be able to answer everything.** Uniphics Explained Simply PDF: Chapters 1–10 free: Grokipedia: #Uniphics #TheoryOfEverything #ColorPerception #Physics #LosAlamos Grok xAI
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🚨PHYSICS NEWS🚨: Scientists Finally Complete Schrödinger’s 100-Year-Old Color Theory — Uniphics Reveals the Deeper Structure Behind Perception 🧨 On June 7, 2026, researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory announced that they have finally resolved a long-standing problem in Erwin Schrödinger’s 1920s theory of color perception. Their work shows that the way humans experience qualities like hue, saturation, and brightness is not arbitrary but emerges directly from the mathematical structure of color space itself. **Uniphics provides a natural explanation for why color perception has such a precise underlying geometry.** In Uniphics, what we experience as color ultimately arises from how light (electron spin waves) interacts with matter within the ξM-field. When light encounters different materials, the spin-wave patterns are modified in specific ways depending on the local energy density and the arrangement of Gyrotrons in the material. These modifications create distinct interference patterns that our visual system then interprets as different colors. The fact that color perception follows clean mathematical rules — as Schrödinger suspected and Los Alamos researchers have now confirmed — makes sense in Uniphics because the underlying spin interactions and energy density gradients are themselves highly structured. Negentropy favors organized, low-energy configurations, which leads to consistent and predictable ways that spin waves are altered by different materials. This produces the orderly geometry of perceived color space rather than random or chaotic sensations. In this view, the mathematics of color is not just a useful model — it reflects real physical organization in the ξM-field. The qualities we perceive as color are downstream effects of how spin waves propagate and interfere under varying energy density conditions. This breakthrough in understanding color perception is another example of how fundamental organizing principles can explain phenomena that once seemed mysterious or purely subjective. Could many other aspects of human perception ultimately trace back to the same energy density and spin-wave dynamics that govern the physical world? **A Theory of Everything should be able to answer everything.** Uniphics Explained Simply PDF: Chapters 1–10 free: Grokipedia: #Uniphics #TheoryOfEverything #ColorPerception #Physics #LosAlamos Grok xAI

Paul Maley

38,662 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Investing in RWA Property Tokenization: A Comprehensive Checklist Propbase encourages everyone to research heavily into finding future proof tech with market fit. This is what you should look for and how we achieve it! Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization is transforming real estate by allowing fractional ownership, increased liquidity, and global access to property investments through blockchain. 1. Experienced Team with Relevant Expertise Look for founders and executives with proven backgrounds in real estate, blockchain, finance, and tech to ensure the project can navigate complex markets. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. The team includes Kevin Goos (Founder & CEO) with over a decade in property marketplaces, Hudson Leung (Executive Director) in strategy and ventures across Asia-US, and Jesse Gage (Executive Director) in digital media in Southeast Asia. Their combined expertise in Web3, SaaS, and global marketplaces positions them well for success. 2. Innovative Technology and Blockchain Integration The project should use a secure, scalable blockchain with low fees, supporting features like smart contracts for transparent transactions and cross-chain compatibility for broader access. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Built on Aptos for high-speed, low-cost transactions (~$0.01 each), it also integrates with BASE and Ethereum via bridges for seamless cross-chain transfers. This enables efficient tokenization and fractional ownership, turning properties into liquid digital assets. 3. Strong Regulatory Compliance and Legal Framework Ensure the project adheres to laws in its operating regions, with structures like LLCs for legal ownership to protect investors from regulatory risks. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Every tokenized property is held in a U.S.-registered LLC, providing true legal ownership and compliance, unlike synthetic RWAs that only track prices. 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Robust Security Measures and Audits Prioritize projects with blockchain immutability, secure smart contracts, and ideally third-party audits to mitigate hacks or vulnerabilities. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. All transactions are on-chain for transparency and immutability, with a focus on secure ownership recording. While specific audit details aren't highlighted in recent overviews, the Aptos foundation emphasizes security, and the platform's decentralized nature reduces fraud risks. 7. Market Potential and User Adoption Assess demand in target regions, user growth, and features like low entry barriers to gauge scalability and real-world utility. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Targeting Southeast Asia's booming property markets, it allows investments from $100, enabling fractional ownership and diversification. Features like monthly rental yields and P2P trading drive adoption in underserved areas. 8. 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Legal LLC backing, professional property management, and staking incentives provide protection, while focusing on resilient assets minimizes volatility. Highlighting How Propbase Is Doing It Right While no other project is without risks in the evolving RWA space, Propbase exemplifies thoughtful execution by blending blockchain efficiency with real estate fundamentals. Its low-barrier entry (starting at $100) democratizes access to high-yield Southeast Asian properties, addressing traditional market pain points like high fees and illiquidity. By prioritizing legal compliance through U.S. LLCs and on-chain transparency, it builds genuine trust—something not all tokenization projects achieve. The integration of DeFi elements, like lending in Propbase 2.0 (Coming Soon), adds innovative liquidity without overcomplicating things, and partnerships with top hotel brands ensure steady yields. 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Investing in RWA Property Tokenization: A Comprehensive Checklist Propbase encourages everyone to research heavily into finding future proof tech with market fit. This is what you should look for and how we achieve it! Real World Asset (RWA) tokenization is transforming real estate by allowing fractional ownership, increased liquidity, and global access to property investments through blockchain. 1. Experienced Team with Relevant Expertise Look for founders and executives with proven backgrounds in real estate, blockchain, finance, and tech to ensure the project can navigate complex markets. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. The team includes Kevin Goos (Founder & CEO) with over a decade in property marketplaces, Hudson Leung (Executive Director) in strategy and ventures across Asia-US, and Jesse Gage (Executive Director) in digital media in Southeast Asia. Their combined expertise in Web3, SaaS, and global marketplaces positions them well for success. 2. Innovative Technology and Blockchain Integration The project should use a secure, scalable blockchain with low fees, supporting features like smart contracts for transparent transactions and cross-chain compatibility for broader access. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Built on Aptos for high-speed, low-cost transactions (~$0.01 each), it also integrates with BASE and Ethereum via bridges for seamless cross-chain transfers. This enables efficient tokenization and fractional ownership, turning properties into liquid digital assets. 3. Strong Regulatory Compliance and Legal Framework Ensure the project adheres to laws in its operating regions, with structures like LLCs for legal ownership to protect investors from regulatory risks. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Every tokenized property is held in a U.S.-registered LLC, providing true legal ownership and compliance, unlike synthetic RWAs that only track prices. This verifiable structure adds a layer of investor security in Southeast Asia's growing markets. 4. Clear and Sustainable Tokenomics Token supply, distribution, utility (e.g., governance, fees), and incentives should be transparent, with mechanisms like staking for long-term value. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. The PROPS token (on Aptos) powers governance, transaction fees, staking for benefits like fee discounts and early access, and rewards (35% allocation). With 75% community allocation and an 8.68% annual inflation rate, it fosters engagement without excessive dilution. 5. Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Support Collaborations with real estate developers, hotel brands, or financial institutions can enhance credibility and property sourcing. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Properties are managed by established brands like Wyndham Garden and CASSIA Banyan Tree, eliminating investor hassle in maintenance or tenancy. This ties into a broader ecosystem for resilient, high-yield assets. 6. Robust Security Measures and Audits Prioritize projects with blockchain immutability, secure smart contracts, and ideally third-party audits to mitigate hacks or vulnerabilities. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. All transactions are on-chain for transparency and immutability, with a focus on secure ownership recording. While specific audit details aren't highlighted in recent overviews, the Aptos foundation emphasizes security, and the platform's decentralized nature reduces fraud risks. 7. Market Potential and User Adoption Assess demand in target regions, user growth, and features like low entry barriers to gauge scalability and real-world utility. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Targeting Southeast Asia's booming property markets, it allows investments from $100, enabling fractional ownership and diversification. Features like monthly rental yields and P2P trading drive adoption in underserved areas. 8. Liquidity and Accessibility Tokens should be listed on reputable exchanges, with easy buy/sell options and global reach to avoid illiquidity traps. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. PROPS is tradable on platforms like Coinmetro, with cross-chain bridges enhancing accessibility. The P2P marketplace allows anytime trading of property tokens, boosting overall liquidity. 9. Transparency and Community Engagement Regular updates, roadmaps, and community tools (e.g., governance voting) build trust and long-term support. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Through Nexus Governance, users vote on proposals, and the roadmap (e.g., Propbase 2.0 with DeFi lending) shows clear progress. Active community rewards and referrals encourage involvement. 10. Risk Management and Investor Protection Features like insurance, diversified assets, and clear exit strategies help manage crypto and real estate risks. Propbase Ticks This: Yes. Legal LLC backing, professional property management, and staking incentives provide protection, while focusing on resilient assets minimizes volatility. Highlighting How Propbase Is Doing It Right While no other project is without risks in the evolving RWA space, Propbase exemplifies thoughtful execution by blending blockchain efficiency with real estate fundamentals. Its low-barrier entry (starting at $100) democratizes access to high-yield Southeast Asian properties, addressing traditional market pain points like high fees and illiquidity. By prioritizing legal compliance through U.S. LLCs and on-chain transparency, it builds genuine trust—something not all tokenization projects achieve. The integration of DeFi elements, like lending in Propbase 2.0 (Coming Soon), adds innovative liquidity without overcomplicating things, and partnerships with top hotel brands ensure steady yields. 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Propbase

33,589 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

The earliest man-made mirrors were crafted around 6,000 BC in Anatolia. These were made from polished obsidian — a naturally occurring, glossy volcanic glass. Later, around 4,000 to 3,000 BC, civilizations in Mesopotamia and Egypt began making mirrors out of polished copper and bronze. China made copper mirrors around 4,000 BC and bronze mirrors as early as 2,000 BC, and they were mass-producing them by the 2nd Century BC. In the Indus Valley, bronze mirrors were made between 2,800 and 2500 BC. In Europe, Minoan and Mycenean mirrors date from the Second millenium BC. Celts made them up their conquest by the Romans, who were the first to make crude, glass mirrors out of tin and lead in the First Century. So what happened in sub-Saharan Africa? If, as we have repeatedly been told by woke-science since the Second World War, we are ‘all the same’, all homo-sapiens with the same DNA, and race is a construct of White supremacism rather than the genetic and environmental inheritance of thousands of years, why didn’t Africans invent the mirror, along with pretty much every other technology since the Iron Age? We accept that the Danish are the tallest people on the planet; that South-east Asians are the smallest; that Ethiopians are the best long-distance runners; that Pacific Island rugby players are genetically built for rugby; and that the inheritance of generations of farmers makes French players from the south uncommonly strong. But as soon as we come to the brain, which is part of our body, differences are all attributed to environmental and social factors, and anyone saying otherwise is racist. The average IQ in sub-Saharan Africa is 68. Out of 49 countries, 10 have average IQs below 60, indicating feeble-mindedness. 18 have average IQs between 60 and 69, indicative of what in the West is categorised as an intellectual disability. 15 are between 70 and 79, indicative of of cognitive impairment, difficulty with learning and abstract thinking. The remaining countries have produced no data. None are above 80. This disparity continues even among Africans in Western countries, where their improved health, medical, environmental and educational conditions have failed to raise their average IQ to anything approaching that of Europeans. In the USA and around the world, Europeans have an average IQ of about 100, while Africans have an average IQ of about 85, only slightly above the highest average IQ in Africa. Even this is indicative of difficulty in learning skills or graduating from a secondary school or only doing so with low grades. Studies show that these racial differences show up before the age of 5 and, most importantly, they last a lifetime. When we look at the ongoing inability to socialise, educate and civilise Africans in Europe and across the world, particularly in the Western countries to which they are being imported in their tens of millions, we should recall this footage of members of the Hadzabe tribe in Tanzania being shown a mirror for the first time. Unsurprisingly, both their fellow Africans and the acolytes of woke have denied the veracity of this footage, which does not accord with the fantasies of their ideology, and of course have denounced it as ‘racist’. But it is genuine. Africans got their first bronze mirrors from trading with Romans, not from making them themselves. It is significant that, like the Africans setting off fireworks in an AirBnB let in the video on the right, the Africans in Tanzania in the video on the left react to the mirror first with fright and then by trying to smash it. Like the Black immigrants who go on rampages of destruction whether celebrating the victory of a football team or protesting the arrest of an African for the numerous murders they commit, Africans do not create; rather, they destroy. We have been trying for centuries to get Africans to pick up the mirror and discover how it works, then to imitate it and build one for themselves; but whether it’s in the home of a White family or the bush of Tanzania, that will never happen. The mirror is smashed, the firework is lit, the bottles are smashed, the car window is broken, the bus stop torn down, the woman is raped, the White person is stabbed, our towns and countries are turned into African slums and jungles. This won’t change. Under the UN programme of replacement migration, it will only get worse. If you want to know more about this programme and what we, the people of Britain, Europe and the West who have to live with the behaviour of Africans every day, can do to stop being overrun by incompatible cultures, races and behaviours that are destroying our own, you may be interested in my new book, The Great Replacement and the Islamisation of Britain. The link is below.
0:37

The earliest man-made mirrors were crafted around 6,000 BC in Anatolia. These were made from polished obsidian — a naturally occurring, glossy volcanic glass. Later, around 4,000 to 3,000 BC, civilizations in Mesopotamia and Egypt began making mirrors out of polished copper and bronze. China made copper mirrors around 4,000 BC and bronze mirrors as early as 2,000 BC, and they were mass-producing them by the 2nd Century BC. In the Indus Valley, bronze mirrors were made between 2,800 and 2500 BC. In Europe, Minoan and Mycenean mirrors date from the Second millenium BC. Celts made them up their conquest by the Romans, who were the first to make crude, glass mirrors out of tin and lead in the First Century. So what happened in sub-Saharan Africa? If, as we have repeatedly been told by woke-science since the Second World War, we are ‘all the same’, all homo-sapiens with the same DNA, and race is a construct of White supremacism rather than the genetic and environmental inheritance of thousands of years, why didn’t Africans invent the mirror, along with pretty much every other technology since the Iron Age? We accept that the Danish are the tallest people on the planet; that South-east Asians are the smallest; that Ethiopians are the best long-distance runners; that Pacific Island rugby players are genetically built for rugby; and that the inheritance of generations of farmers makes French players from the south uncommonly strong. But as soon as we come to the brain, which is part of our body, differences are all attributed to environmental and social factors, and anyone saying otherwise is racist. The average IQ in sub-Saharan Africa is 68. Out of 49 countries, 10 have average IQs below 60, indicating feeble-mindedness. 18 have average IQs between 60 and 69, indicative of what in the West is categorised as an intellectual disability. 15 are between 70 and 79, indicative of of cognitive impairment, difficulty with learning and abstract thinking. The remaining countries have produced no data. None are above 80. This disparity continues even among Africans in Western countries, where their improved health, medical, environmental and educational conditions have failed to raise their average IQ to anything approaching that of Europeans. In the USA and around the world, Europeans have an average IQ of about 100, while Africans have an average IQ of about 85, only slightly above the highest average IQ in Africa. Even this is indicative of difficulty in learning skills or graduating from a secondary school or only doing so with low grades. Studies show that these racial differences show up before the age of 5 and, most importantly, they last a lifetime. When we look at the ongoing inability to socialise, educate and civilise Africans in Europe and across the world, particularly in the Western countries to which they are being imported in their tens of millions, we should recall this footage of members of the Hadzabe tribe in Tanzania being shown a mirror for the first time. Unsurprisingly, both their fellow Africans and the acolytes of woke have denied the veracity of this footage, which does not accord with the fantasies of their ideology, and of course have denounced it as ‘racist’. But it is genuine. Africans got their first bronze mirrors from trading with Romans, not from making them themselves. It is significant that, like the Africans setting off fireworks in an AirBnB let in the video on the right, the Africans in Tanzania in the video on the left react to the mirror first with fright and then by trying to smash it. Like the Black immigrants who go on rampages of destruction whether celebrating the victory of a football team or protesting the arrest of an African for the numerous murders they commit, Africans do not create; rather, they destroy. We have been trying for centuries to get Africans to pick up the mirror and discover how it works, then to imitate it and build one for themselves; but whether it’s in the home of a White family or the bush of Tanzania, that will never happen. The mirror is smashed, the firework is lit, the bottles are smashed, the car window is broken, the bus stop torn down, the woman is raped, the White person is stabbed, our towns and countries are turned into African slums and jungles. This won’t change. Under the UN programme of replacement migration, it will only get worse. If you want to know more about this programme and what we, the people of Britain, Europe and the West who have to live with the behaviour of Africans every day, can do to stop being overrun by incompatible cultures, races and behaviours that are destroying our own, you may be interested in my new book, The Great Replacement and the Islamisation of Britain. The link is below.

Simon Elmer

48,399 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen

Here is the New Year Amur Falcon Migration -Very long Q&A Part II Q1. What is the longest non-stop distance covered by these satellite-tagged Amur Falcons? A: Published tracking shows Amur Falcons can do multi-day, non-stop flights of approx. 5,600–6,000 km during the India→Africa leg, depending on the individual & year. Also, peer-reviewed/technical tracking confirms their open-sea crossings can be about 2,364–3,138 km (Somalia↔India), typically completed in roughly 44–80 hours. Q2. Do satellite tags interfere with their flight, health, or mating? A: Properly fitted tags are designed to minimise interference, but no tag is “zero-impact.”. Best practice is to keep transmitter mass very small relative to body weight and use well-tested harness designs; the recent India work has been described as using very lightweight transmitters (a few grams). However, ethical review, careful fitting, and post-deployment evaluation should be done & is being done Q3. Do jet streams or high-altitude winds help them on this journey? A: Yes winds are a major part of the “physics” that makes the journey possible. The best-documented help is from seasonal monsoon tailwinds and strong, persistent wind systems over the Arabian Sea/Indian Ocean that can provide sustained push. Q4. How many other falcons are “accompanying” these famous three? A: These famous three are just the tagged individuals we can follow in reality, Amur Falcons migrate and roost in huge aggregations, often tens of thousands to over 100,000 at key stopovers, and broader estimates discuss movements involving very large numbers of birds across the flyway. Q5. Why have these three gone to different destinations? A: It’s common for individuals of the same species to winter in different areas within southern/eastern Africa. Differences can be driven by wind and weather, refuelling success and timing at stopovers, individual strategy/experience (age, condition, learned routes) etc. Q6. When will they return and what route will they take? A: In broad terms, Amur Falcons winter in Africa and then move north in late winter/early spring, reaching breeding regions in northeast Asia around May–June. Routes can differ between autumn vs spring, and tracking shows spring and autumn ocean crossings can follow different lines. Q7. Does part of the falcon’s brain “sleep” during the long flight? A: We have strong evidence that some birds can sleep in flight (including unihemispheric sleep) famously shown in frigatebirds. For Amur Falcons specifically, it’s not proven. Q8. How do they decide their destination, and do they return to the same places each year? A: The best-supported explanation is a mix of: Innate navigation programmes (genetically guided ) Environmental cues (winds, weather, geography, magnetic and celestial cues), learning/experience (older birds often show more consistent routes). Satellite work indicates the species follows remarkably consistent large-scale timing and corridors, even though individuals may vary. Q9. What do they eat to fuel such massive journeys? A: During the crucial Northeast India stopover, studies show they are highly insectivorous, with termites often dominant, along with other insect groups exactly the kind of high-abundance prey that allows rapid fattening before an ocean crossing. This is why protecting stopover habitats (and the insect “boom” they depend on) is so important. Q10. Is Ahu expected to move further? Why she is stationery ? A. Periods of little movement usually indicate resting or feeding in suitable habitat. This is normal behaviour and not a cause for concern Q11. How long does the GPS tag stay on the bird? A. The tag is fixed as a backpack & expected to stay for long, however this may come off from prolonged wear and tear, the tags may also stop transmitting after prolonged battery use. As told to Supriya Sahu IAS by Suresh Kumar Wildlife Institute of India #AmurFalconMigration video - The stopover tagging site in Manipur
0:18

Here is the New Year Amur Falcon Migration -Very long Q&A Part II Q1. What is the longest non-stop distance covered by these satellite-tagged Amur Falcons? A: Published tracking shows Amur Falcons can do multi-day, non-stop flights of approx. 5,600–6,000 km during the India→Africa leg, depending on the individual & year. Also, peer-reviewed/technical tracking confirms their open-sea crossings can be about 2,364–3,138 km (Somalia↔India), typically completed in roughly 44–80 hours. Q2. Do satellite tags interfere with their flight, health, or mating? A: Properly fitted tags are designed to minimise interference, but no tag is “zero-impact.”. Best practice is to keep transmitter mass very small relative to body weight and use well-tested harness designs; the recent India work has been described as using very lightweight transmitters (a few grams). However, ethical review, careful fitting, and post-deployment evaluation should be done & is being done Q3. Do jet streams or high-altitude winds help them on this journey? A: Yes winds are a major part of the “physics” that makes the journey possible. The best-documented help is from seasonal monsoon tailwinds and strong, persistent wind systems over the Arabian Sea/Indian Ocean that can provide sustained push. Q4. How many other falcons are “accompanying” these famous three? A: These famous three are just the tagged individuals we can follow in reality, Amur Falcons migrate and roost in huge aggregations, often tens of thousands to over 100,000 at key stopovers, and broader estimates discuss movements involving very large numbers of birds across the flyway. Q5. Why have these three gone to different destinations? A: It’s common for individuals of the same species to winter in different areas within southern/eastern Africa. Differences can be driven by wind and weather, refuelling success and timing at stopovers, individual strategy/experience (age, condition, learned routes) etc. Q6. When will they return and what route will they take? A: In broad terms, Amur Falcons winter in Africa and then move north in late winter/early spring, reaching breeding regions in northeast Asia around May–June. Routes can differ between autumn vs spring, and tracking shows spring and autumn ocean crossings can follow different lines. Q7. Does part of the falcon’s brain “sleep” during the long flight? A: We have strong evidence that some birds can sleep in flight (including unihemispheric sleep) famously shown in frigatebirds. For Amur Falcons specifically, it’s not proven. Q8. How do they decide their destination, and do they return to the same places each year? A: The best-supported explanation is a mix of: Innate navigation programmes (genetically guided ) Environmental cues (winds, weather, geography, magnetic and celestial cues), learning/experience (older birds often show more consistent routes). Satellite work indicates the species follows remarkably consistent large-scale timing and corridors, even though individuals may vary. Q9. What do they eat to fuel such massive journeys? A: During the crucial Northeast India stopover, studies show they are highly insectivorous, with termites often dominant, along with other insect groups exactly the kind of high-abundance prey that allows rapid fattening before an ocean crossing. This is why protecting stopover habitats (and the insect “boom” they depend on) is so important. Q10. Is Ahu expected to move further? Why she is stationery ? A. Periods of little movement usually indicate resting or feeding in suitable habitat. This is normal behaviour and not a cause for concern Q11. How long does the GPS tag stay on the bird? A. The tag is fixed as a backpack & expected to stay for long, however this may come off from prolonged wear and tear, the tags may also stop transmitting after prolonged battery use. As told to Supriya Sahu IAS by Suresh Kumar Wildlife Institute of India #AmurFalconMigration video - The stopover tagging site in Manipur

Supriya Sahu IAS

14,176 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

I’m excited to announce my new role as Growth Lead at Plume! 🐦‍🔥 6 months ago, I had my first call with Chris Yin and surprisingly, he changed my mind. I was skeptical of a web3-native project trying to bridge the traditional world into ours. His thesis of a permissionless blockchain environment was antithesis to what I believed in at the time. After about 45 minutes of deep discussion, I could finally see it. I dropped all of my other RWA investment prospects and pointed myself towards Plume. From there, things got quiet for a while. Myself and the 280 partners debated the RWA sector as a whole and quietly observed Plume’s progress on the sidelines. Fast forward a few months and I had finally realized a thesis of my own; In crypto, you’ll generally find two key types of participants: speculators and yield chasers. Speculators lower their risk threshold in search of the next 100x, closely following trends and trying to capture opportunities early. It is a game that requires forward-thinking, intuition, and a lot of luck. These people range in financial status, with some looking to make their first bucket of gold, with the others trying to hit another big win and buy their second lambo. Yield chasers are a different breed of folks. They may not want to ape their entire portfolio into memes, rather they enjoy the attractive returns that DeFi offers that they generally wouldn’t be able to find in the traditional world. These folks generally aren’t looking for lambo, but believe that they will still be living well without the stress of going to zero. But as we see every cycle, Bitcoin crashes, DeFi collapses, and another round of fuzzy-haired fellas find their way over to the Metropolitan Detention Centre. Crypto dies, retail gets burned, the regulators swoop in and start raising hell, and the cycle repeats. Why does it have to be this way? Of course market cycles are natural and perhaps healthy, but why the catastrophe at the end each time? There must be a better way. And then it hit me. RWAfi is and always was the answer. The road at the end of all roads. It’s a nice road, paved with the blood, sweat, and tears of those truly trying to connect the entire world to our industry. Whether you made a major bag and want to move into wealth preservation or lost it all and no longer want to live the life of a degenerate gambler and are comfortable with a more stable approach to wealth building, eventually, everyone ends up chasing juicy yields. And we all know that there is only one sector of our industry that can consistently deliver attractive yields through bull and bear. There is only one sector that can support all the TVL that is currently sitting in vaults that are unable to sustain the yields they promised. The nature of the vertical makes it constantly aware of regulatory considerations. RWAfi is a sleeping giant, and not only will it unlock a $400T market, it will also catalyze an incredible amount of growth resembling tens of trillion in newly created value and opportunity. We are so early. That, paired with the incredible team Teddy @shukyeerwa Ivy Kang and the other 40 cracked believers that are pushing beyond their limits is the reason I bet on Plume. We have everything it takes to make it 🤝 I have to give a special shout out to J for how supportive he has been with this move. 280 Capital is married to Plume now and I’m sure we will be collaborating on a lot moving forward. Another shoutout to one of the great minds of this industry JacobK whose conviction in Plume really pushed me to purse this role🙏🏾 Vibes are all-time high with this team, and bring a fresh combination of competence, experience, and true belief in the platform that we are building. Mark my words, Plume will unify the RWAfi sector and pave the way as one of the giants of this industry. Let’s fucking do this. 🐦‍🔥 Goons in complete control.
0:11

I’m excited to announce my new role as Growth Lead at Plume! 🐦‍🔥 6 months ago, I had my first call with Chris Yin and surprisingly, he changed my mind. I was skeptical of a web3-native project trying to bridge the traditional world into ours. His thesis of a permissionless blockchain environment was antithesis to what I believed in at the time. After about 45 minutes of deep discussion, I could finally see it. I dropped all of my other RWA investment prospects and pointed myself towards Plume. From there, things got quiet for a while. Myself and the 280 partners debated the RWA sector as a whole and quietly observed Plume’s progress on the sidelines. Fast forward a few months and I had finally realized a thesis of my own; In crypto, you’ll generally find two key types of participants: speculators and yield chasers. Speculators lower their risk threshold in search of the next 100x, closely following trends and trying to capture opportunities early. It is a game that requires forward-thinking, intuition, and a lot of luck. These people range in financial status, with some looking to make their first bucket of gold, with the others trying to hit another big win and buy their second lambo. Yield chasers are a different breed of folks. They may not want to ape their entire portfolio into memes, rather they enjoy the attractive returns that DeFi offers that they generally wouldn’t be able to find in the traditional world. These folks generally aren’t looking for lambo, but believe that they will still be living well without the stress of going to zero. But as we see every cycle, Bitcoin crashes, DeFi collapses, and another round of fuzzy-haired fellas find their way over to the Metropolitan Detention Centre. Crypto dies, retail gets burned, the regulators swoop in and start raising hell, and the cycle repeats. Why does it have to be this way? Of course market cycles are natural and perhaps healthy, but why the catastrophe at the end each time? There must be a better way. And then it hit me. RWAfi is and always was the answer. The road at the end of all roads. It’s a nice road, paved with the blood, sweat, and tears of those truly trying to connect the entire world to our industry. Whether you made a major bag and want to move into wealth preservation or lost it all and no longer want to live the life of a degenerate gambler and are comfortable with a more stable approach to wealth building, eventually, everyone ends up chasing juicy yields. And we all know that there is only one sector of our industry that can consistently deliver attractive yields through bull and bear. There is only one sector that can support all the TVL that is currently sitting in vaults that are unable to sustain the yields they promised. The nature of the vertical makes it constantly aware of regulatory considerations. RWAfi is a sleeping giant, and not only will it unlock a $400T market, it will also catalyze an incredible amount of growth resembling tens of trillion in newly created value and opportunity. We are so early. That, paired with the incredible team Teddy @shukyeerwa Ivy Kang and the other 40 cracked believers that are pushing beyond their limits is the reason I bet on Plume. We have everything it takes to make it 🤝 I have to give a special shout out to J for how supportive he has been with this move. 280 Capital is married to Plume now and I’m sure we will be collaborating on a lot moving forward. Another shoutout to one of the great minds of this industry JacobK whose conviction in Plume really pushed me to purse this role🙏🏾 Vibes are all-time high with this team, and bring a fresh combination of competence, experience, and true belief in the platform that we are building. Mark my words, Plume will unify the RWAfi sector and pave the way as one of the giants of this industry. Let’s fucking do this. 🐦‍🔥 Goons in complete control.

CrabLegs 🦀

41,333 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Mexico is the home to an ancient and spectacular ceremony that still succeeds - Danza de los Voladores (game of the fliers), a ceremonial ritual dance of Mexico, with deep spiritual significance originating from Veracruz, Mexico. The tradition ultimately originating among pre-Columbian Totonac and Huastec Indians of the region now occupied by Veracruz and Puebla, where it is still danced and spread across Mexico and down as far as Nicaragua. While it is now most closely associated with Totonac peoples of Veracruz, in particular in Papantla, (hence once of its names), this intriguing danza was likely invention of Nahua, Huastecs and Otomi. The original significance of the Danza de los Voladores was, like many other Mesoamerican rituals, connected with fertility, corn, and the harvest. According to Totonac myth, the Danza de los Voladores originated as a way to appease the gods and end severe drought. This theory perhaps explains why the ritual is most closely associated with rain and solar gods such as Tlazotlteotl, Xipe and Totec, as well as notable solar events such as the Spring Equinox. The Danza de los Voladores has been significantly revived in recent years (albeit mainly for commercial purposes) and nowadays, it’s so important to the cultural heritage of Mexico that it was recognised by UNESCO in 2009. Typically, five men dressed in striking red and white outfits, bedecked with mirrored elements and rainbow headdresses representing sun and rainbows, respectively, shimmy up, as all men (voladores, or “flyers”) dance on a platform atop a pole, 30m high, before four of them proceed to tie themselves to the top of the pole with rope. The 5th member, known as Caporal, either plays the flute, bangs on a drum or sings at the top of pole. The 4 voladores (representative of the earth’s cardinal directions and elements) then launch themselves backwards from pole, beginning their elegant (but terrifying) descent towards the ground. While it may look rather ill-calculated, a total of 13 rotations are completed each totaling 52 and cleverly mirrors the years in the Aztec calendar’s ‘Century.’ At the end of the dance, they circle downward around the pole as the ropes that fasten them to it unwind. Although the modern-day performance is close to what the original iterations would have been like, there have undoubtedly been modifications throughout the years. While early versions began with the felling of a tree that would become the central pole (process known as tsakáe kiki), it’s now far more common to see permanent metal poles used instead. Furthermore, the ritual was once far more complex, involving meditation and the impersonation of birds, whereas in Nahua and Otomí cultures, there is no pre-pole climbing dance. Other iterations feature six voladores, rather than five. According to some scholars their costumes and music show Spanish influence, the dance itself survives almost exactly in its original form. The ancient agricultural fertility significance of the dance has disappeared, but there remains in the number of dancers 4 or 6, pre-Christian ritual orientation to the four points of the compass plus the zenith and the nadir. Nowadays, the Voladores de Papantla are a popular tourist attraction, with shows being performed regularly in tourist destinations across the country, such as Puerto Vallarta, Playa del Carmen, and Mexico City’s Chapultepec Park. However, there are plenty of other more off-the-beaten-path places to catch a glimpse of the famous ‘flyers, ’including at the annual Encuentro de Voladores at El Tajín, Veracruz, the historic centre de Papantla, Veracruz and Cuetzalán, Puebla. Alternatively, you can catch the Guatemalan take on Danza de los Voladores, which is known as Palo Volador in Joyabaj, Chichicastenango or Cubulco on specific days of the year. 🎥© TheGlobeWonderer (IG) #archaeohistories
0:19

Mexico is the home to an ancient and spectacular ceremony that still succeeds - Danza de los Voladores (game of the fliers), a ceremonial ritual dance of Mexico, with deep spiritual significance originating from Veracruz, Mexico. The tradition ultimately originating among pre-Columbian Totonac and Huastec Indians of the region now occupied by Veracruz and Puebla, where it is still danced and spread across Mexico and down as far as Nicaragua. While it is now most closely associated with Totonac peoples of Veracruz, in particular in Papantla, (hence once of its names), this intriguing danza was likely invention of Nahua, Huastecs and Otomi. The original significance of the Danza de los Voladores was, like many other Mesoamerican rituals, connected with fertility, corn, and the harvest. According to Totonac myth, the Danza de los Voladores originated as a way to appease the gods and end severe drought. This theory perhaps explains why the ritual is most closely associated with rain and solar gods such as Tlazotlteotl, Xipe and Totec, as well as notable solar events such as the Spring Equinox. The Danza de los Voladores has been significantly revived in recent years (albeit mainly for commercial purposes) and nowadays, it’s so important to the cultural heritage of Mexico that it was recognised by UNESCO in 2009. Typically, five men dressed in striking red and white outfits, bedecked with mirrored elements and rainbow headdresses representing sun and rainbows, respectively, shimmy up, as all men (voladores, or “flyers”) dance on a platform atop a pole, 30m high, before four of them proceed to tie themselves to the top of the pole with rope. The 5th member, known as Caporal, either plays the flute, bangs on a drum or sings at the top of pole. The 4 voladores (representative of the earth’s cardinal directions and elements) then launch themselves backwards from pole, beginning their elegant (but terrifying) descent towards the ground. While it may look rather ill-calculated, a total of 13 rotations are completed each totaling 52 and cleverly mirrors the years in the Aztec calendar’s ‘Century.’ At the end of the dance, they circle downward around the pole as the ropes that fasten them to it unwind. Although the modern-day performance is close to what the original iterations would have been like, there have undoubtedly been modifications throughout the years. While early versions began with the felling of a tree that would become the central pole (process known as tsakáe kiki), it’s now far more common to see permanent metal poles used instead. Furthermore, the ritual was once far more complex, involving meditation and the impersonation of birds, whereas in Nahua and Otomí cultures, there is no pre-pole climbing dance. Other iterations feature six voladores, rather than five. According to some scholars their costumes and music show Spanish influence, the dance itself survives almost exactly in its original form. The ancient agricultural fertility significance of the dance has disappeared, but there remains in the number of dancers 4 or 6, pre-Christian ritual orientation to the four points of the compass plus the zenith and the nadir. Nowadays, the Voladores de Papantla are a popular tourist attraction, with shows being performed regularly in tourist destinations across the country, such as Puerto Vallarta, Playa del Carmen, and Mexico City’s Chapultepec Park. However, there are plenty of other more off-the-beaten-path places to catch a glimpse of the famous ‘flyers, ’including at the annual Encuentro de Voladores at El Tajín, Veracruz, the historic centre de Papantla, Veracruz and Cuetzalán, Puebla. Alternatively, you can catch the Guatemalan take on Danza de los Voladores, which is known as Palo Volador in Joyabaj, Chichicastenango or Cubulco on specific days of the year. 🎥© TheGlobeWonderer (IG) #archaeohistories

Archaeo - Histories

268,065 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

"PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY. VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET." I keep buying $Kekec and I have a strong conviction. Here's Why: While the market is down, and Kekec is declining with it, there are data points that few are considering. Kekec borned in October and since then has been posting a different and original 30-second video every day, which I find extremely funny. For the past couple of months, they have also been posting daily on Instagram, and the attention on Kekec (which doesn't present itself on social media as a memecoin) is growing, moreover, it's increasing exponentially. The number of followers is increasing by about 500-1000 a day. This is largely due to the fact that they are not just focused on the main account but have several others that post reels and redirect to the main one. In short, an excellent strategy to keep growing more and more. Instagram link: Guess What? Not only are the followers increasing, but the team's workload is also growing. In fact, for a little over a month, they have also started pushing on YouTube, and the data here is promising as well. YouTube link: If we want to make a comparison, we can take Pudgy Penguins as an example, which has shown it can reach millions and millions of users without mentioning that they are a WEB3 company that owns an NFT collection. Or, if we want to be more appropriate by comparing one memecoin to another, we could take PONKE. Thanks to the use of social media and the quality of their content, they managed to achieve incredible numbers, which then translated into an increase in the coin's price. Kekec came before PONKE, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's better than PONKE. I believe PONKE is unbeatable in terms of content, but I want to make you reflect on an important point. PONKE came after KEKEC, and after PONKE's success, many coins have emerged trying to imitate it. One of KEKEC's strengths, in my opinion, is precisely the fact that it leverages social media without being a copy-paste. Instead, it is a unique meme derived from a 90's film, and it uses a unique form of content. In short, KEKEC > KEKEC and no one else. I want to conclude by suggesting you follow them on Instagram and evaluate not only the exponential growth of their followers day by day but also observe how the views of each reel increase accordingly. Pay special attention to the comments. Many of the people commenting have no idea what it is, and you can see from the comments how Kekec generates particular emotions in people—strange but still emotions. Personally, I believe that when something is unique and even very strange, it needs time to be adopted. However, once it happens, it usually explodes and spreads like never before. A few days ago, a Kekec video was posted by a very popular meme page. They probably don't know what Kekec is about but thought the video could spark interest among their followers. How many other pages will do the same? Lastly, but not least, I want to point out how Kekec maintains a good market cap despite everything that has happened in the crypto world since October 2023. As far as I know and have personally observed, everything is extremely organic. There is no cabal behind it, and the quality is not reflected in a single jpeg but in work that has been ongoing daily for months. Every day they work harder, and the quality of their videos grows as well. I have no affiliations with the team, but I believe that Kekec truly deserves more in this world where we push celebrity or cabal-backed coins to hundreds of millions in market cap. I keep buying because the numbers suggest so. Don't just evaluate the chart (price), evaluate the data (value). BÂLKÂN DWÂRF
0:15

"PRICE IS WHAT YOU PAY. VALUE IS WHAT YOU GET." I keep buying $Kekec and I have a strong conviction. Here's Why: While the market is down, and Kekec is declining with it, there are data points that few are considering. Kekec borned in October and since then has been posting a different and original 30-second video every day, which I find extremely funny. For the past couple of months, they have also been posting daily on Instagram, and the attention on Kekec (which doesn't present itself on social media as a memecoin) is growing, moreover, it's increasing exponentially. The number of followers is increasing by about 500-1000 a day. This is largely due to the fact that they are not just focused on the main account but have several others that post reels and redirect to the main one. In short, an excellent strategy to keep growing more and more. Instagram link: Guess What? Not only are the followers increasing, but the team's workload is also growing. In fact, for a little over a month, they have also started pushing on YouTube, and the data here is promising as well. YouTube link: If we want to make a comparison, we can take Pudgy Penguins as an example, which has shown it can reach millions and millions of users without mentioning that they are a WEB3 company that owns an NFT collection. Or, if we want to be more appropriate by comparing one memecoin to another, we could take PONKE. Thanks to the use of social media and the quality of their content, they managed to achieve incredible numbers, which then translated into an increase in the coin's price. Kekec came before PONKE, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's better than PONKE. I believe PONKE is unbeatable in terms of content, but I want to make you reflect on an important point. PONKE came after KEKEC, and after PONKE's success, many coins have emerged trying to imitate it. One of KEKEC's strengths, in my opinion, is precisely the fact that it leverages social media without being a copy-paste. Instead, it is a unique meme derived from a 90's film, and it uses a unique form of content. In short, KEKEC > KEKEC and no one else. I want to conclude by suggesting you follow them on Instagram and evaluate not only the exponential growth of their followers day by day but also observe how the views of each reel increase accordingly. Pay special attention to the comments. Many of the people commenting have no idea what it is, and you can see from the comments how Kekec generates particular emotions in people—strange but still emotions. Personally, I believe that when something is unique and even very strange, it needs time to be adopted. However, once it happens, it usually explodes and spreads like never before. A few days ago, a Kekec video was posted by a very popular meme page. They probably don't know what Kekec is about but thought the video could spark interest among their followers. How many other pages will do the same? Lastly, but not least, I want to point out how Kekec maintains a good market cap despite everything that has happened in the crypto world since October 2023. As far as I know and have personally observed, everything is extremely organic. There is no cabal behind it, and the quality is not reflected in a single jpeg but in work that has been ongoing daily for months. Every day they work harder, and the quality of their videos grows as well. I have no affiliations with the team, but I believe that Kekec truly deserves more in this world where we push celebrity or cabal-backed coins to hundreds of millions in market cap. I keep buying because the numbers suggest so. Don't just evaluate the chart (price), evaluate the data (value). BÂLKÂN DWÂRF

m0ment0

133,194 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

CFO: what's with this ad? it has driven ZERO revenue. are you crazy? CMO: actually, it's one of our best performers CFO: in terms of WHAT? CMO: engagements, especially follows CFO: how does that relate to revenue? we're focused on profit. wasting money doesn't support this focus CMO: look at our results. revenue growth is re-accelerating, and our EBITDA margin is nearly doubling. something's working CFO: no way it's because of this ad CMO: i think it is—not just this ad, but the campaign. it's great for our brand and earning high-quality engagements like follows CFO: heartily disagree. our growth is due to COGS savings and new products CMO: true, but this has also contributed significantly. we've measured how these engagements lead to long-term growth in the types of high-margin purchase behaviors we want more of CFO: what are our "highest-margin purchase behaviors"? CMO: purchases from people who search for our brand name or enter our URL directly. brand is likely the primary purchase driver CFO: fair, but how is that different from ad clicks leading to purchases? CMO: it's different. while both are valuable, purchases from ad clicks often focus on product, price, or promotions, whereas branded searches indicate the brand brand is a bigger driver CFO: are you saying revenue from ad clicks is bad? CMO: not at all. but we've relied too much on purchases via paid clicks to drive growth—nearly all our growth came from them in the last two years CFO: really? hmm. but what's your point? CMO: as shown (shares the measurement data), revenue per session and lifetime value from ad clicks are lower than from branded organic searches CFO: where's this data? why haven't i seen it? CMO: i send it weekly in slack. CFO: (embarrassed) ummm, busted? CMO: all good—maybe now you'll open it. this campaign helps balance our approach, generating an emotional connection and reaching people we'd never hit with our conversion-optimized spend. it fills the funnel in a measurable, precise way. and yes, as an added benefit, it increases our direct response efficiency and effectiveness, but the under-appreciated and more important benefit is that it has measurably driven more of those high-margin purchase behaviors we want CFO: how do you know? CMO: we see how follower growth drives incremental revenue from organic search, direct sessions, and organic social referrals over the following six months. we can quantify revenue and ROAS just like our direct response campaigns CFO: why haven't i seen this data? CMO: it's in the same report i send you weekly CFO: (scans report for two minutes... awkward silence) this is awesome. keep doing what you're doing CMO: (surprised) excuse me? CFO: actually, spend more CMO: well, look at you—this is quite the surprise. appreciate the excitement, but i'm testing and scaling in a way that aligns with the process we follow CFO: let's speed up that process a bit, shall we? CMO: gladly
0:12

CFO: what's with this ad? it has driven ZERO revenue. are you crazy? CMO: actually, it's one of our best performers CFO: in terms of WHAT? CMO: engagements, especially follows CFO: how does that relate to revenue? we're focused on profit. wasting money doesn't support this focus CMO: look at our results. revenue growth is re-accelerating, and our EBITDA margin is nearly doubling. something's working CFO: no way it's because of this ad CMO: i think it is—not just this ad, but the campaign. it's great for our brand and earning high-quality engagements like follows CFO: heartily disagree. our growth is due to COGS savings and new products CMO: true, but this has also contributed significantly. we've measured how these engagements lead to long-term growth in the types of high-margin purchase behaviors we want more of CFO: what are our "highest-margin purchase behaviors"? CMO: purchases from people who search for our brand name or enter our URL directly. brand is likely the primary purchase driver CFO: fair, but how is that different from ad clicks leading to purchases? CMO: it's different. while both are valuable, purchases from ad clicks often focus on product, price, or promotions, whereas branded searches indicate the brand brand is a bigger driver CFO: are you saying revenue from ad clicks is bad? CMO: not at all. but we've relied too much on purchases via paid clicks to drive growth—nearly all our growth came from them in the last two years CFO: really? hmm. but what's your point? CMO: as shown (shares the measurement data), revenue per session and lifetime value from ad clicks are lower than from branded organic searches CFO: where's this data? why haven't i seen it? CMO: i send it weekly in slack. CFO: (embarrassed) ummm, busted? CMO: all good—maybe now you'll open it. this campaign helps balance our approach, generating an emotional connection and reaching people we'd never hit with our conversion-optimized spend. it fills the funnel in a measurable, precise way. and yes, as an added benefit, it increases our direct response efficiency and effectiveness, but the under-appreciated and more important benefit is that it has measurably driven more of those high-margin purchase behaviors we want CFO: how do you know? CMO: we see how follower growth drives incremental revenue from organic search, direct sessions, and organic social referrals over the following six months. we can quantify revenue and ROAS just like our direct response campaigns CFO: why haven't i seen this data? CMO: it's in the same report i send you weekly CFO: (scans report for two minutes... awkward silence) this is awesome. keep doing what you're doing CMO: (surprised) excuse me? CFO: actually, spend more CMO: well, look at you—this is quite the surprise. appreciate the excitement, but i'm testing and scaling in a way that aligns with the process we follow CFO: let's speed up that process a bit, shall we? CMO: gladly

Preston Rutherford

12,672 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Since my account is somewhat anonymous I’m going to disclose where some of the California high-speed rail money gets wasted. 99% of you don’t realize where giant chunks of the money is disappearing to. The California high-speed rail authority, literally owns thousands of parcels of land that are in various stages continued litigation, tenant improvements, eviction, and constant maintenance. For example, there are many homes and apartment complexes in the plant path that have been purchased years ahead of construction. Removing those tenants is a slow and expensive process. (let’s ignore the extra stress on housing that all of these destroyed properties are causing) In some cases, these are low rent apartments with a lengthy eviction process During that process, the state of California is the landlord and has to maintain the property codes the same as any other landlord. This means repairs, adding smoke detectors, fixing roofs, vegetation management, landscaping, paying off tenants to leave early, boarding up Windows, constant trash cleanups, towing vehicles etc. But the High Speed Rail Authority doesn’t just have to maintain these properties at normal cost. Every single bit of that work has to be done at California prevailing wage rates. The work can only be done through qualified contractors that have passed through a long series of idiotic mazes to qualify to perform the work. An average rate per hour (charge rate) for a worker to perform any service on these properties is approximately $200 an hour for labor only. The cost go up for specialized work, like electricians, plumbers, or machine operators. Properties that are literally worthless are being maintained at huge expense just so the next round of homeless transients can break into the property and cause more damage. For reasons I can’t explain, the process to finally demo and remove the structures takes years. I’m only mentioning the tip of the iceberg regarding my firsthand knowledge. Completely separate from those outlandish costs are the inflation caused by the construction. The prevailing word on the street is that nothing is getting done. The truth is that a lot is getting done and none of it efficiently. The amount of concrete being poured daily and monthly to build gigantic overpasses for both the rail and roadways is not understood. In these work areas, every concrete mixing company is fully scheduled out and cannot offer building materials for other basic services such as building a house often times for weeks when the average lead time for many of these services used to be one day. And that’s just the schedule, never mind the huge cost increases from straining the supply chain and Labor pool. The amount of concrete and steel that has gone into the structures so far is massive. Dozens and dozens of new water wells have been dug just for dust control. Thousands upon thousands of acres of highly productive tree fruits and nuts have been torn up and shredded. Utility scale solar fields have been uprooted and sometimes relocated at extravagant costs. Every type of business you can imagine has gone through either a closure, relocation, or a long-term tenant agreement with the rail authority. In some cases, it’s just a buyout where the business closes its doors forever. The owners get something all of the workers get nothing. Don’t get me started on how thick the layers of bureaucracy are for these minute tasks that occur on all of these properties. The inefficiency is far beyond your wildest dreams. In many cases, this is not related to fraud in any way it’s just absolute ignorance, red tape, and failed leadership. I can go much deeper into specific examples, but I think that gives some of you an idea of what’s actually happening in California. If a rail is ever usable, some portions of the structures will be decades old and already in disrepair.
0:16

Since my account is somewhat anonymous I’m going to disclose where some of the California high-speed rail money gets wasted. 99% of you don’t realize where giant chunks of the money is disappearing to. The California high-speed rail authority, literally owns thousands of parcels of land that are in various stages continued litigation, tenant improvements, eviction, and constant maintenance. For example, there are many homes and apartment complexes in the plant path that have been purchased years ahead of construction. Removing those tenants is a slow and expensive process. (let’s ignore the extra stress on housing that all of these destroyed properties are causing) In some cases, these are low rent apartments with a lengthy eviction process During that process, the state of California is the landlord and has to maintain the property codes the same as any other landlord. This means repairs, adding smoke detectors, fixing roofs, vegetation management, landscaping, paying off tenants to leave early, boarding up Windows, constant trash cleanups, towing vehicles etc. But the High Speed Rail Authority doesn’t just have to maintain these properties at normal cost. Every single bit of that work has to be done at California prevailing wage rates. The work can only be done through qualified contractors that have passed through a long series of idiotic mazes to qualify to perform the work. An average rate per hour (charge rate) for a worker to perform any service on these properties is approximately $200 an hour for labor only. The cost go up for specialized work, like electricians, plumbers, or machine operators. Properties that are literally worthless are being maintained at huge expense just so the next round of homeless transients can break into the property and cause more damage. For reasons I can’t explain, the process to finally demo and remove the structures takes years. I’m only mentioning the tip of the iceberg regarding my firsthand knowledge. Completely separate from those outlandish costs are the inflation caused by the construction. The prevailing word on the street is that nothing is getting done. The truth is that a lot is getting done and none of it efficiently. The amount of concrete being poured daily and monthly to build gigantic overpasses for both the rail and roadways is not understood. In these work areas, every concrete mixing company is fully scheduled out and cannot offer building materials for other basic services such as building a house often times for weeks when the average lead time for many of these services used to be one day. And that’s just the schedule, never mind the huge cost increases from straining the supply chain and Labor pool. The amount of concrete and steel that has gone into the structures so far is massive. Dozens and dozens of new water wells have been dug just for dust control. Thousands upon thousands of acres of highly productive tree fruits and nuts have been torn up and shredded. Utility scale solar fields have been uprooted and sometimes relocated at extravagant costs. Every type of business you can imagine has gone through either a closure, relocation, or a long-term tenant agreement with the rail authority. In some cases, it’s just a buyout where the business closes its doors forever. The owners get something all of the workers get nothing. Don’t get me started on how thick the layers of bureaucracy are for these minute tasks that occur on all of these properties. The inefficiency is far beyond your wildest dreams. In many cases, this is not related to fraud in any way it’s just absolute ignorance, red tape, and failed leadership. I can go much deeper into specific examples, but I think that gives some of you an idea of what’s actually happening in California. If a rail is ever usable, some portions of the structures will be decades old and already in disrepair.

No Safe Words

271,563 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Lads. Sit down and give me your ear a while, for I have watched from the water long enough and the hour is upon us whether we have the stomach for it or not. You remember. Or your fathers told you, or their fathers did, and the knowledge of it is in the marrow of you whether you drew breath in those days or not. The moors in the grey hour before dawn. Wet heather soft under the boot. Peat smoke rising from a low stone chimney a mile out across the bog, thin as a prayer. A sky the colour of a gun barrel and the gulls lamenting above the headland. The smell of turf burning, and wet wool, and the ferrous tang of the sea when the wind swung around out of the Atlantic and put the taste of iron on your tongue. A man could walk that land and know every stone of it was his by inheritance, because his grandfather had broken his back upon it, and his grandfather before him, back through the generations until you reach men whose names are lost and whose bones are in the soil you are standing on. The potato fields. God be good to us, the potato fields. Lazy beds cut straight as a gunwale, the ridges black and shining after a night of rain, women bent double with creels lashed to their backs and the children at their skirts, drawing the crop up by the hand for there was never any other means devised nor wanted. Hands split open at the knuckles and never entirely healed in this life. Hunger within living memory. Grandmothers who had seen the blight with their own eyes and would not speak of it from the year of it until the day they were laid down, save that a crust was kept always on the dresser which no soul in that house was permitted to touch. Not ever. Not for any reason under heaven. And the chimney sweeps. Wee lads no heavier than a sack of meal, black to the bone with soot, their lungs ruined before they were old enough to marry and old men entirely by thirty. Up the flues at first light, the skin worn off them by the brick, eyes crimson at the rim, breathing the black in with every draw of air. And the coal miners a half mile beneath our feet, down in the wet dark, the roof of the world muttering over their heads, the canary gone silent, a man's whole existence measured out in the shilling a ton and the dust he carried home in his chest to cough up of a Sunday morning into a rag. Fathers who descended and were never hauled up again. Widows at the pit head with the shawl drawn over the head and no tears remaining in them for they had spent those long ago. That was the tariff paid to keep the hearth lit. That was the reckoning of being warm in winter in the Ireland that was. And after the labouring week, Friday evening, and a man had earned the peace of what followed. Home first. Peeled the day off him in the yard. A shower of ice cold moor river water out of a tin bucket punctured with holes, hung on a nail on the gable wall, the water running clean down the back of him and carrying the week's dust and sweat away into the drain. Scrubbed till the skin was pink beneath the grime. Clean shirt laid out by the wife. The hair combed down with a drop of water. Then, and only then, did a man set himself to the table. A meat pie from the baker, tenpence if he was known to you, a shilling and no change if he was not, put down upon a proper plate. Fish and chips for threepence, the salt and vinegar soaked through the newspaper, but carried home and ate slowly at your own table with your people around you, not walked with through the streets like some vagrant tinker off the road. A man ate as a man who had earned his portion, for he had. And later, with the dishes cleared and the kettle set, down the road to the tavern. Low beams black with a century of smoke. A turf fire muttering in the grate. The air thick with pipe smoke and the vapour of wet overcoats steaming themselves dry on the backs of chairs. A pint of stout, cold and black as a cove at midnight, elevenpence laid down on the counter, a head on it thick enough to strike a match upon. A second one because you had it coming to you and no man present would dispute it. A fiddle starting up in the corner of its own accord. The old men in the snug who remembered matters the history books had long since mislaid. A song before the bolt was thrown on the door. The walk home beneath a firmament crowded with stars, the stout warm in the gut of you, the week behind you, and your own door waiting with the latch unlocked for you had no enemies in that parish. That was the country. That was the covenant. Honest labour, plain food, a cold wash, a hot meal, a cold pint, your own tongue in your own mouth, your own soil beneath your boots, and no man standing above you save the Almighty Himself. Now regard her. Regard her close. The fields disposed of to men who have never set foot upon them and never shall. The harbours signed away by the stroke of a pen in a room you were not admitted to, and foreign keels dragging out of our waters the living that sustained this island for a thousand years, while our own boats rot at their moorings for want of a quota. The tradesmen undercut by imported labour and imported goods. The shops shuttered along every main street from Donegal to Cork. The young ones scattered to London and Sydney and Boston and the Gulf because there is nothing remaining for them beneath their own roof. And the entirety of this rotten arrangement dressed up in the soft mannerly language of progress by men in towers of glass who could not tell a lazy bed from a grave, nor a trawler from a tugboat, nor an honest day's work from a pension plan. And now they arrive with the next imposition. A digital identity. A number assigned to each soul. A card required to buy your bread. A code required to draw your own earnings out of your own account. A file kept on every man, woman and child from the cradle forward. Permission asked to move. Permission asked to speak. Permission asked to earn. A levy upon every breath drawn and a regulation upon every step taken. No. And no again. And no for a third time so there is no misunderstanding of it. We do not require your digital identity. We did not request it. We did not vote upon it. We do not consent to it. We do not need your permission to exist upon the soil our forefathers are buried in. We are a free people. We have carried ourselves this far upon our own two backs. Through famine and empire and civil war and black lung and blight and the emigrant ship out of Cobh, we have come this distance under our own steam, and the arrangement appears to be serving us well enough without your intervention. We buried our own. We fed our own. We raised our own roofs and took our own fish and reared our own children in our own tongue. We are in your debt for nothing. Not a signature. Not a biometric scan. Not a single solitary inch. And while we are upon the subject, let us speak plainly of the tax man, for he has gone too long without proper introduction. The tax collector and the tax man are the one article under two names, and the article is a parasite. There is no dressing it up finer than that. A man who produces nothing, who grows nothing, who catches nothing, who builds nothing, who mends nothing, who has never in his professional life lifted anything heavier than a pen, and who arrives at your door with the full apparatus of the state at his back to carry off the fruits of labour he did not perform. He is a middleman between your sweat and some scheme dreamt up in a committee room by his own kind, and the great majority of what he takes is consumed by the machinery of the taking itself before ever a penny of it reaches the road or the hospital or the schoolhouse he claims to be funding. And I will go further while I have the floor. Finance itself, the whole apparatus of it, money breeding money in the dark without a hand laid upon a tool or a spade turned in the earth, is slavery dressed in a good suit. It is the oldest swindle known to man and it has never been anything other. A man who produces nothing yet lives off the productive labour of others through the charging of interest upon money conjured out of nothing is a parasite of a rarer and more refined order than the tax man, but a parasite all the same, and between the pair of them they have the working people of this island bled white and lectured at for the pleasure. A man who will not work with his hands, nor with his back, nor with his mind at some honest problem of the real physical world, is no man that I recognise. He is a ledger entry in a suit. The country was not built by ledger entries. The country was built by farmers and fishermen and masons and smiths and sweeps and miners and shipwrights and midwives and mothers, and those are the people whose say should carry in her councils, and no other. Here is what I put to you. Let each man and woman of this island direct the first tenth of their earnings themselves, by their own judgement, to the purpose they see as worthy. The school down the road. The lifeboat station. The hospice. The widow on the corner. The roof of the chapel. The harbour wall. Whatever it may be. Let the people who earned the money decide where the money travels. You will find the roads mended and the ports dredged and the schools standing and the old ones cared for inside of five years, and done better and for less, because the hand that earned the coin knows the weight of it and will not squander it upon consultants and committees. And let us have done with the paper currency and the numbers in a screen that can be frozen at the whim of a clerk in a tower. Bring back the coin. Gold for the great transactions. Silver for the weekly commerce of a working life. Copper for the small change of the day. Metal you can bite. Metal you can weigh. Metal that cannot be conjured out of nothing by a keystroke, nor erased out of existence by another. Real money for real labour. A coin in the hand is a free man's wage. A number in a database is a collar around a free man's neck, and they are fitting that collar now while we stand arguing over the colour of it. Feel it in your gut. That is not nothing. That is your blood relating to you what your ears will not hear. That is every forebear who starved and fought and coughed the black dust into a rag and descended the shaft regardless, standing at your shoulder and saying no further. Not one more field. Not one more harbour. Not one more son upon a plane. Not one more free man converted into a number in a ledger for the convenience of the parasites. This is the hour. Make no error about it. Ireland is redeemed in this generation or she is lost beyond recovery, and every true son and daughter of her knows it in the marrow. There is no middle ground remaining. There is no waiting it out. There is standing now, upon your own two feet, or there is watching her go under the waves for the last and final time. So stand. Stand with your farmers. Stand with your fishermen. Stand with your tradesmen and your miners and your sweeps and your mothers and your old ones. Raise the tricolour. Speak the tongue. Walk the land. Hold the line in the streets of every town and city and do not break it, for they are relying upon you to break and to go home and to forget by Tuesday. She is calling her children home. Every stone of her, every breaker on her western shore, every acre of wet heather and every coal in every hearth the length and breadth of her is calling. Answer her. Take her back. Every field, every harbour, every last inch of her. Take her back, or lose her entirely. There is no third road open to us.
0:10

Lads. Sit down and give me your ear a while, for I have watched from the water long enough and the hour is upon us whether we have the stomach for it or not. You remember. Or your fathers told you, or their fathers did, and the knowledge of it is in the marrow of you whether you drew breath in those days or not. The moors in the grey hour before dawn. Wet heather soft under the boot. Peat smoke rising from a low stone chimney a mile out across the bog, thin as a prayer. A sky the colour of a gun barrel and the gulls lamenting above the headland. The smell of turf burning, and wet wool, and the ferrous tang of the sea when the wind swung around out of the Atlantic and put the taste of iron on your tongue. A man could walk that land and know every stone of it was his by inheritance, because his grandfather had broken his back upon it, and his grandfather before him, back through the generations until you reach men whose names are lost and whose bones are in the soil you are standing on. The potato fields. God be good to us, the potato fields. Lazy beds cut straight as a gunwale, the ridges black and shining after a night of rain, women bent double with creels lashed to their backs and the children at their skirts, drawing the crop up by the hand for there was never any other means devised nor wanted. Hands split open at the knuckles and never entirely healed in this life. Hunger within living memory. Grandmothers who had seen the blight with their own eyes and would not speak of it from the year of it until the day they were laid down, save that a crust was kept always on the dresser which no soul in that house was permitted to touch. Not ever. Not for any reason under heaven. And the chimney sweeps. Wee lads no heavier than a sack of meal, black to the bone with soot, their lungs ruined before they were old enough to marry and old men entirely by thirty. Up the flues at first light, the skin worn off them by the brick, eyes crimson at the rim, breathing the black in with every draw of air. And the coal miners a half mile beneath our feet, down in the wet dark, the roof of the world muttering over their heads, the canary gone silent, a man's whole existence measured out in the shilling a ton and the dust he carried home in his chest to cough up of a Sunday morning into a rag. Fathers who descended and were never hauled up again. Widows at the pit head with the shawl drawn over the head and no tears remaining in them for they had spent those long ago. That was the tariff paid to keep the hearth lit. That was the reckoning of being warm in winter in the Ireland that was. And after the labouring week, Friday evening, and a man had earned the peace of what followed. Home first. Peeled the day off him in the yard. A shower of ice cold moor river water out of a tin bucket punctured with holes, hung on a nail on the gable wall, the water running clean down the back of him and carrying the week's dust and sweat away into the drain. Scrubbed till the skin was pink beneath the grime. Clean shirt laid out by the wife. The hair combed down with a drop of water. Then, and only then, did a man set himself to the table. A meat pie from the baker, tenpence if he was known to you, a shilling and no change if he was not, put down upon a proper plate. Fish and chips for threepence, the salt and vinegar soaked through the newspaper, but carried home and ate slowly at your own table with your people around you, not walked with through the streets like some vagrant tinker off the road. A man ate as a man who had earned his portion, for he had. And later, with the dishes cleared and the kettle set, down the road to the tavern. Low beams black with a century of smoke. A turf fire muttering in the grate. The air thick with pipe smoke and the vapour of wet overcoats steaming themselves dry on the backs of chairs. A pint of stout, cold and black as a cove at midnight, elevenpence laid down on the counter, a head on it thick enough to strike a match upon. A second one because you had it coming to you and no man present would dispute it. A fiddle starting up in the corner of its own accord. The old men in the snug who remembered matters the history books had long since mislaid. A song before the bolt was thrown on the door. The walk home beneath a firmament crowded with stars, the stout warm in the gut of you, the week behind you, and your own door waiting with the latch unlocked for you had no enemies in that parish. That was the country. That was the covenant. Honest labour, plain food, a cold wash, a hot meal, a cold pint, your own tongue in your own mouth, your own soil beneath your boots, and no man standing above you save the Almighty Himself. Now regard her. Regard her close. The fields disposed of to men who have never set foot upon them and never shall. The harbours signed away by the stroke of a pen in a room you were not admitted to, and foreign keels dragging out of our waters the living that sustained this island for a thousand years, while our own boats rot at their moorings for want of a quota. The tradesmen undercut by imported labour and imported goods. The shops shuttered along every main street from Donegal to Cork. The young ones scattered to London and Sydney and Boston and the Gulf because there is nothing remaining for them beneath their own roof. And the entirety of this rotten arrangement dressed up in the soft mannerly language of progress by men in towers of glass who could not tell a lazy bed from a grave, nor a trawler from a tugboat, nor an honest day's work from a pension plan. And now they arrive with the next imposition. A digital identity. A number assigned to each soul. A card required to buy your bread. A code required to draw your own earnings out of your own account. A file kept on every man, woman and child from the cradle forward. Permission asked to move. Permission asked to speak. Permission asked to earn. A levy upon every breath drawn and a regulation upon every step taken. No. And no again. And no for a third time so there is no misunderstanding of it. We do not require your digital identity. We did not request it. We did not vote upon it. We do not consent to it. We do not need your permission to exist upon the soil our forefathers are buried in. We are a free people. We have carried ourselves this far upon our own two backs. Through famine and empire and civil war and black lung and blight and the emigrant ship out of Cobh, we have come this distance under our own steam, and the arrangement appears to be serving us well enough without your intervention. We buried our own. We fed our own. We raised our own roofs and took our own fish and reared our own children in our own tongue. We are in your debt for nothing. Not a signature. Not a biometric scan. Not a single solitary inch. And while we are upon the subject, let us speak plainly of the tax man, for he has gone too long without proper introduction. The tax collector and the tax man are the one article under two names, and the article is a parasite. There is no dressing it up finer than that. A man who produces nothing, who grows nothing, who catches nothing, who builds nothing, who mends nothing, who has never in his professional life lifted anything heavier than a pen, and who arrives at your door with the full apparatus of the state at his back to carry off the fruits of labour he did not perform. He is a middleman between your sweat and some scheme dreamt up in a committee room by his own kind, and the great majority of what he takes is consumed by the machinery of the taking itself before ever a penny of it reaches the road or the hospital or the schoolhouse he claims to be funding. And I will go further while I have the floor. Finance itself, the whole apparatus of it, money breeding money in the dark without a hand laid upon a tool or a spade turned in the earth, is slavery dressed in a good suit. It is the oldest swindle known to man and it has never been anything other. A man who produces nothing yet lives off the productive labour of others through the charging of interest upon money conjured out of nothing is a parasite of a rarer and more refined order than the tax man, but a parasite all the same, and between the pair of them they have the working people of this island bled white and lectured at for the pleasure. A man who will not work with his hands, nor with his back, nor with his mind at some honest problem of the real physical world, is no man that I recognise. He is a ledger entry in a suit. The country was not built by ledger entries. The country was built by farmers and fishermen and masons and smiths and sweeps and miners and shipwrights and midwives and mothers, and those are the people whose say should carry in her councils, and no other. Here is what I put to you. Let each man and woman of this island direct the first tenth of their earnings themselves, by their own judgement, to the purpose they see as worthy. The school down the road. The lifeboat station. The hospice. The widow on the corner. The roof of the chapel. The harbour wall. Whatever it may be. Let the people who earned the money decide where the money travels. You will find the roads mended and the ports dredged and the schools standing and the old ones cared for inside of five years, and done better and for less, because the hand that earned the coin knows the weight of it and will not squander it upon consultants and committees. And let us have done with the paper currency and the numbers in a screen that can be frozen at the whim of a clerk in a tower. Bring back the coin. Gold for the great transactions. Silver for the weekly commerce of a working life. Copper for the small change of the day. Metal you can bite. Metal you can weigh. Metal that cannot be conjured out of nothing by a keystroke, nor erased out of existence by another. Real money for real labour. A coin in the hand is a free man's wage. A number in a database is a collar around a free man's neck, and they are fitting that collar now while we stand arguing over the colour of it. Feel it in your gut. That is not nothing. That is your blood relating to you what your ears will not hear. That is every forebear who starved and fought and coughed the black dust into a rag and descended the shaft regardless, standing at your shoulder and saying no further. Not one more field. Not one more harbour. Not one more son upon a plane. Not one more free man converted into a number in a ledger for the convenience of the parasites. This is the hour. Make no error about it. Ireland is redeemed in this generation or she is lost beyond recovery, and every true son and daughter of her knows it in the marrow. There is no middle ground remaining. There is no waiting it out. There is standing now, upon your own two feet, or there is watching her go under the waves for the last and final time. So stand. Stand with your farmers. Stand with your fishermen. Stand with your tradesmen and your miners and your sweeps and your mothers and your old ones. Raise the tricolour. Speak the tongue. Walk the land. Hold the line in the streets of every town and city and do not break it, for they are relying upon you to break and to go home and to forget by Tuesday. She is calling her children home. Every stone of her, every breaker on her western shore, every acre of wet heather and every coal in every hearth the length and breadth of her is calling. Answer her. Take her back. Every field, every harbour, every last inch of her. Take her back, or lose her entirely. There is no third road open to us.

SiriusB

15,437 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

#ZimElection2023 CHAMISA RAN HIS CAMPAIGN LIKE AN INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE WITH NO STRUCTURES AND EXPECTED TO WIN AND BECOME PRESIDENT WITH NO MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT This is what Nelson Chamisa said on 21 June 2023 about the strategic thrust of the campaign of his CCC in the 2023 harmonised general election held last week: "our [CCC] campaign is going to be basically a presidential... our [CCC] focus is not to be in parliament but to be in government. We [as MDC opposition] have been in parliament for a long time, that's not our [CCC] station of choice at the moment". The fact that Chamisa thought he could win the presidential election even if, or regardless of whether, his CCC won a majority in Parliament, explains his crushing defeat. An election in Zimbabwe is defined in terms of section 4 of the Electoral Act which provides that: election” means— (a) the election of a member of Parliament; or (b) an election to the office of President; or (c) an election for the purposes of the Rural District Councils Act [Chapter 29:13] or the Urban Councils Act [Chapter 29:15]; as the case may be. These three elections used to be held separately before they were harmonised for the first time in the 2008 election in terms of section 38 of the Act. It is odd and even irrational, and it defies the logic of the harmonised general election for any political party that seeks power to govern the country as a whole to only target – as did Chamisa in the 2023 harmonised general election held last week –winning only one of the three elections, just the presidential election. It is foolhardy for a political party to say its strategy and focus is only to win the presidential election, without basing that strategy and focus on winning the local authority and parliamentary elections, as well. Such a strategy, if it can be called a strategy, renders the presidential candidate no different from an independent presidential candidate who contests for the presidency without the advantage of the structures of a political party. Simply put, a presidential candidate in Zimbabwe cannot win a presidential election if the candidate does not have a campaign strategy that is based on his or her political party winning a majority of wards in the local authority election, and a majority of constituencies in the parliamentary election. If it’s an independent presidential candidate, then he or she must have ground structures of one sort or another, or forget it. Chamisa contested the presidential election as if he was an independent candidate, and he boasted about it, without relying on his CCC and without any ground structures. In the circumstances, just how or why did Chamisa expect to win the presidential election by effectively running as an independent candidate? Which structures did Chamisa expect to use, or did he in fact use to campaign for the presidency in every street and every village, across the length and breadth of the country? Since by his own admission, as quoted above and reflected on the attached video clip, Chamisa was clearly not relying on his CCC to win the presidency. This begs the question: by not relying on CCC structures, and by not having alternative ground structures in the streets and in villages, did Chamisa think that ZanuPF members and supports would vote for him, as an act of God, perhaps? Was Chamisa's presidential election campaign, for him an article of faith, in other words was it about his belief that God had chosen him, and that he would win regardless of whether or not CCC won a majority in the local authority and parliamentary elections? Where did Chamisa and his supporters in Zimbabwe and among the legions of his fans in America and Europe think he would get the necessary number of polling agents to monitor the voting and vote counting at the country’s 12,374 polling stations, and to secure the 12,374 V11s from those polling stations, given the fact that he actually ran for the presidency as an independent candidate, expecting to be supported less by his own CCC party and more by the members and supporters of ZanuPF? Does this kind of strategy make sense to anyone on earth? And, does that strategy make sense to Nerves Mumba and his Sadc Election Observation Mission or to any other foreign election observation mission that was in Zimbabwe last week like, say for example, the European Union Observer Mission or any of the several observer missions from the United States that were in Zimbabwe to observe the elections? How did the various foreign election observer missions and Chamisa’s social media supporters expect him to win the presidential election, not only where and when his CCC party was losing the local authority and parliamentary elections but, and critically, where Chamisa himself did not believe that the local authority and parliamentary elections were important or necessary for him to win the presidency? The fact that the loquacious, belligerent and inflammatory foreign election observer missions that are peddling falsehoods about the elections, and Chamisa’s social media supporters who claim with no evidence that Chamisa won, did not raise a finger against the results of the local and parliamentary elections that were declared at 1970 wards and 209 constituencies well ahead of the declaration of the result for the presidential election on 26 August, clearly means that there was no problem with two of the three elections that make up Zimbabwe’s harmonised general election. Only after the declaration of the presidential election result on 26 August did all hell break loose. It must be asked, again, how did anyone expect Chamisa to win a presidential election whose campaign was – as per Chamisa’s deliberate strategy – organised and pursued as if it was the presidential campaign of an independent candidate? Chamisa’s presidential election campaign was not based on the CCC parliamentary election campaign or on CCC’s structural capacity on the ground, strangely, it was based on the expectation that ZanuPF members and supporters would vote for Chamisa. Why on earth did anyone expect ZanuPF members and supporters to vote for someone whose base is ever singing cacophonic noise that ZanuPF must go, and hurling insults at the incumbent party, its officials and its supporters? What kind of politics is that? You are contemptuous of ZanuPF and anyone associated with it, but you expect ZanuPF members and supporters to vote for you. This expectation does not compute, certainly not in electoral politics. As things turned out, ZanuPF members and supporters who are registered voters voted for their party candidates in all the three elections: local authority election, the parliamentary election and the presidential election. As a result, in the parliamentary election, CCC won just 73 constituency seats. There's just no way that CCC's 73 constituency seats in the National Assembly would have boosted Chamisa to win the presidency. No ways. In Zimbabwe's first harmonised general election in 2008, Morgan Tsvangirai did well in the first round of the presidential election primarily if not only because the two MDC formations used their round structures to win a majority in Parliament with a combined strength of 110 constituency seats, while ZanuPF garnered 99 seats and an independent got one seat. This was the first time since independence in 1980 that the opposition commanded the majority in Parliament. So, clearly, in 2008 Tsvangirai was propelled by the solid parliamentary performance of the MDC formations. The same structural dynamic was conspicuously absent for Chamisa in the just ended harmonised general election. Chamisa ran a solo presidential election campaign and, predictably, it went horribly wrong. The fact that CCC did not field local authority candidates in 90 wards made a bad situation worse for Chamisa, and it was further compounded by the fact that CCC did not have ground structures to harness and harvest from the loose and unreliable protest vote, especially in the wards and constituencies outside CCC strongholds, which in fact used to be MDC strongholds in the days of Morgan Tsvangirai!
0:11

#ZimElection2023 CHAMISA RAN HIS CAMPAIGN LIKE AN INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE WITH NO STRUCTURES AND EXPECTED TO WIN AND BECOME PRESIDENT WITH NO MAJORITY IN PARLIAMENT This is what Nelson Chamisa said on 21 June 2023 about the strategic thrust of the campaign of his CCC in the 2023 harmonised general election held last week: "our [CCC] campaign is going to be basically a presidential... our [CCC] focus is not to be in parliament but to be in government. We [as MDC opposition] have been in parliament for a long time, that's not our [CCC] station of choice at the moment". The fact that Chamisa thought he could win the presidential election even if, or regardless of whether, his CCC won a majority in Parliament, explains his crushing defeat. An election in Zimbabwe is defined in terms of section 4 of the Electoral Act which provides that: election” means— (a) the election of a member of Parliament; or (b) an election to the office of President; or (c) an election for the purposes of the Rural District Councils Act [Chapter 29:13] or the Urban Councils Act [Chapter 29:15]; as the case may be. These three elections used to be held separately before they were harmonised for the first time in the 2008 election in terms of section 38 of the Act. It is odd and even irrational, and it defies the logic of the harmonised general election for any political party that seeks power to govern the country as a whole to only target – as did Chamisa in the 2023 harmonised general election held last week –winning only one of the three elections, just the presidential election. It is foolhardy for a political party to say its strategy and focus is only to win the presidential election, without basing that strategy and focus on winning the local authority and parliamentary elections, as well. Such a strategy, if it can be called a strategy, renders the presidential candidate no different from an independent presidential candidate who contests for the presidency without the advantage of the structures of a political party. Simply put, a presidential candidate in Zimbabwe cannot win a presidential election if the candidate does not have a campaign strategy that is based on his or her political party winning a majority of wards in the local authority election, and a majority of constituencies in the parliamentary election. If it’s an independent presidential candidate, then he or she must have ground structures of one sort or another, or forget it. Chamisa contested the presidential election as if he was an independent candidate, and he boasted about it, without relying on his CCC and without any ground structures. In the circumstances, just how or why did Chamisa expect to win the presidential election by effectively running as an independent candidate? Which structures did Chamisa expect to use, or did he in fact use to campaign for the presidency in every street and every village, across the length and breadth of the country? Since by his own admission, as quoted above and reflected on the attached video clip, Chamisa was clearly not relying on his CCC to win the presidency. This begs the question: by not relying on CCC structures, and by not having alternative ground structures in the streets and in villages, did Chamisa think that ZanuPF members and supports would vote for him, as an act of God, perhaps? Was Chamisa's presidential election campaign, for him an article of faith, in other words was it about his belief that God had chosen him, and that he would win regardless of whether or not CCC won a majority in the local authority and parliamentary elections? Where did Chamisa and his supporters in Zimbabwe and among the legions of his fans in America and Europe think he would get the necessary number of polling agents to monitor the voting and vote counting at the country’s 12,374 polling stations, and to secure the 12,374 V11s from those polling stations, given the fact that he actually ran for the presidency as an independent candidate, expecting to be supported less by his own CCC party and more by the members and supporters of ZanuPF? Does this kind of strategy make sense to anyone on earth? And, does that strategy make sense to Nerves Mumba and his Sadc Election Observation Mission or to any other foreign election observation mission that was in Zimbabwe last week like, say for example, the European Union Observer Mission or any of the several observer missions from the United States that were in Zimbabwe to observe the elections? How did the various foreign election observer missions and Chamisa’s social media supporters expect him to win the presidential election, not only where and when his CCC party was losing the local authority and parliamentary elections but, and critically, where Chamisa himself did not believe that the local authority and parliamentary elections were important or necessary for him to win the presidency? The fact that the loquacious, belligerent and inflammatory foreign election observer missions that are peddling falsehoods about the elections, and Chamisa’s social media supporters who claim with no evidence that Chamisa won, did not raise a finger against the results of the local and parliamentary elections that were declared at 1970 wards and 209 constituencies well ahead of the declaration of the result for the presidential election on 26 August, clearly means that there was no problem with two of the three elections that make up Zimbabwe’s harmonised general election. Only after the declaration of the presidential election result on 26 August did all hell break loose. It must be asked, again, how did anyone expect Chamisa to win a presidential election whose campaign was – as per Chamisa’s deliberate strategy – organised and pursued as if it was the presidential campaign of an independent candidate? Chamisa’s presidential election campaign was not based on the CCC parliamentary election campaign or on CCC’s structural capacity on the ground, strangely, it was based on the expectation that ZanuPF members and supporters would vote for Chamisa. Why on earth did anyone expect ZanuPF members and supporters to vote for someone whose base is ever singing cacophonic noise that ZanuPF must go, and hurling insults at the incumbent party, its officials and its supporters? What kind of politics is that? You are contemptuous of ZanuPF and anyone associated with it, but you expect ZanuPF members and supporters to vote for you. This expectation does not compute, certainly not in electoral politics. As things turned out, ZanuPF members and supporters who are registered voters voted for their party candidates in all the three elections: local authority election, the parliamentary election and the presidential election. As a result, in the parliamentary election, CCC won just 73 constituency seats. There's just no way that CCC's 73 constituency seats in the National Assembly would have boosted Chamisa to win the presidency. No ways. In Zimbabwe's first harmonised general election in 2008, Morgan Tsvangirai did well in the first round of the presidential election primarily if not only because the two MDC formations used their round structures to win a majority in Parliament with a combined strength of 110 constituency seats, while ZanuPF garnered 99 seats and an independent got one seat. This was the first time since independence in 1980 that the opposition commanded the majority in Parliament. So, clearly, in 2008 Tsvangirai was propelled by the solid parliamentary performance of the MDC formations. The same structural dynamic was conspicuously absent for Chamisa in the just ended harmonised general election. Chamisa ran a solo presidential election campaign and, predictably, it went horribly wrong. The fact that CCC did not field local authority candidates in 90 wards made a bad situation worse for Chamisa, and it was further compounded by the fact that CCC did not have ground structures to harness and harvest from the loose and unreliable protest vote, especially in the wards and constituencies outside CCC strongholds, which in fact used to be MDC strongholds in the days of Morgan Tsvangirai!

Prof Jonathan Moyo

98,205 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

Ending 2025 Take On The U.S. Economy…And An Apology From The Bottom Of My Heart For My Realistic Yet Pessimistic Takes On The State Of The Economy…. As 2025 ends, the U.S. economy still looks solid at the surface. Stocks are higher. GDP prints are strong. Unemployment remains low by historical standards. But once you step back and connect households, labor, credit, and real world activity, the picture becomes more fragile. This isn’t an economy in freefall. But it is one being carried by a shrinking set of supports while pressure builds underneath. Growth and Markets: Real Numbers, Narrow Support Real GDP grew at a 4.3% annualized pace in Q3, the strongest in two years, driven mainly by consumer spending (+3.5%) and exports (+8.8%). On paper, that looks like acceleration. The issue is what kind of spending is doing the work. Roughly 70% of GDP is consumption, and an increasing share reflects non discretionary or imputed costs, not confidence. Healthcare alone accounts for 17% of PCE, running near $3.6T annualized. That lifts GDP, but it says more about rising mandatory expenses than broad consumer strength. Markets told a different story. The S&P 500 gained 17–19%, the Nasdaq 21%, and the Dow 11%, powered by AI optimism and expectations of easier Fed policy. Asset prices moved ahead. Household reality did not. Labor and Sentiment: Cooling Is Becoming Visible The labor market is no longer tightening. Unemployment rose to 4.6% in November, up from 4.1% in January, with just 64,000 jobs added. Underemployment (U-6) climbed to 8.7%. Layoffs reached 1.17 million through November, up 54% year over year, concentrated in tech, healthcare, and industrials. Consumer sentiment reflects that shift. The University of Michigan index ended December at 52.9, nearly 30% lower YoY, while the Conference Board index fell to 89.1, its fifth straight monthly decline. Household Stress Is Broadening Debt pressure is spreading across categories… • Credit card delinquencies: 12.4%, exceeding 20% in lower income areas • Auto loans: 5.02%, a 15 year high • Student loans: 9.4%, rising sharply after repayment resumed • Mortgages: 3.76%, with FHA near 10.8% Bankruptcies are rising alongside it. Filings are up 8–10% YoY, with 717 large corporate cases, the highest since 2010. Individual filings rose 8%, with roughly 41,000 in November alone. CRE, Trade, and the Physical Economy Commercial real estate remains a pressure point. Office vacancy rates sit near 19%, well above long term norms. Industrial vacancies have edged higher, while retail remains comparatively tight. Trade policy added another layer of strain in 2025. Average tariffs moved above 15%, including 50% on steel and aluminum and 35% on Canadian goods complicating supply chains. Trucking: A Quiet Signal Freight continues to confirm the slowdown in goods demand. Truck tonnage rose just 0.2% in November, but remains down nearly 7% YoY. Spot rates are lower, and load postings are down 15–22%, pointing to soft volumes and ongoing capacity adjustment. Overall The U.S. economy is increasingly unbalanced. Growth is being padded by non discretionary spending, markets are running ahead of household fundamentals, labor is cooling, and credit stress is spreading. This is the late cycle phase where momentum fades quietly, long before the data forces a name onto it.
0:10

Ending 2025 Take On The U.S. Economy…And An Apology From The Bottom Of My Heart For My Realistic Yet Pessimistic Takes On The State Of The Economy…. As 2025 ends, the U.S. economy still looks solid at the surface. Stocks are higher. GDP prints are strong. Unemployment remains low by historical standards. But once you step back and connect households, labor, credit, and real world activity, the picture becomes more fragile. This isn’t an economy in freefall. But it is one being carried by a shrinking set of supports while pressure builds underneath. Growth and Markets: Real Numbers, Narrow Support Real GDP grew at a 4.3% annualized pace in Q3, the strongest in two years, driven mainly by consumer spending (+3.5%) and exports (+8.8%). On paper, that looks like acceleration. The issue is what kind of spending is doing the work. Roughly 70% of GDP is consumption, and an increasing share reflects non discretionary or imputed costs, not confidence. Healthcare alone accounts for 17% of PCE, running near $3.6T annualized. That lifts GDP, but it says more about rising mandatory expenses than broad consumer strength. Markets told a different story. The S&P 500 gained 17–19%, the Nasdaq 21%, and the Dow 11%, powered by AI optimism and expectations of easier Fed policy. Asset prices moved ahead. Household reality did not. Labor and Sentiment: Cooling Is Becoming Visible The labor market is no longer tightening. Unemployment rose to 4.6% in November, up from 4.1% in January, with just 64,000 jobs added. Underemployment (U-6) climbed to 8.7%. Layoffs reached 1.17 million through November, up 54% year over year, concentrated in tech, healthcare, and industrials. Consumer sentiment reflects that shift. The University of Michigan index ended December at 52.9, nearly 30% lower YoY, while the Conference Board index fell to 89.1, its fifth straight monthly decline. Household Stress Is Broadening Debt pressure is spreading across categories… • Credit card delinquencies: 12.4%, exceeding 20% in lower income areas • Auto loans: 5.02%, a 15 year high • Student loans: 9.4%, rising sharply after repayment resumed • Mortgages: 3.76%, with FHA near 10.8% Bankruptcies are rising alongside it. Filings are up 8–10% YoY, with 717 large corporate cases, the highest since 2010. Individual filings rose 8%, with roughly 41,000 in November alone. CRE, Trade, and the Physical Economy Commercial real estate remains a pressure point. Office vacancy rates sit near 19%, well above long term norms. Industrial vacancies have edged higher, while retail remains comparatively tight. Trade policy added another layer of strain in 2025. Average tariffs moved above 15%, including 50% on steel and aluminum and 35% on Canadian goods complicating supply chains. Trucking: A Quiet Signal Freight continues to confirm the slowdown in goods demand. Truck tonnage rose just 0.2% in November, but remains down nearly 7% YoY. Spot rates are lower, and load postings are down 15–22%, pointing to soft volumes and ongoing capacity adjustment. Overall The U.S. economy is increasingly unbalanced. Growth is being padded by non discretionary spending, markets are running ahead of household fundamentals, labor is cooling, and credit stress is spreading. This is the late cycle phase where momentum fades quietly, long before the data forces a name onto it.

EndGame Macro

33,011 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

A new wave of protests is underway in Iran, a strategic partner of Russia. They started in late December 2025 and quickly became the most significant in several years. This time, the initial driving force has not primarily been cultural or human rights slogans such as "Woman, Life, Freedom" (as in 2022), but rather an economic shock. People are joining the protests because of rapid impoverishment, price increase, and a growing sense that the state has lost control over basic economic rules. The main trigger is a currency collapse. On the "open" (effectively parallel) market in late December, the US dollar was valued at roughly 1.39-1.42 million rials, while inflation in December reached over 40% in some estimates. For ordinary families, this means one simple thing: wages and savings are losing value faster than people can adapt, and basic purchases are becoming increasingly unaffordable. The protests were the largest in Tehran, particularly in commercial districts linked to major markets and urban trade. Notably, a key form of pressure has been not only street demonstrations but also merchants’ strikes - mass shop closures and an effective shutdown of trade. Such actions are harder to neutralize through targeted arrests, as they immediately affect urban life and the economy. Within days, the protest wave started spreading to other cities and reached parts of the university sector as well. Students and young people have taken up economic demands and quickly moved on to political questions about the accountability of those in power. The authorities’ response has been mixed. On the one hand, the government has publicly spoken of readiness for dialogue with representatives of the protesters and the trading community. On the other hand, reports from the ground indicate coercive containment measures: arrests, dispersals, and crackdowns. In several provinces, deaths and injuries have already been reported. The figures vary across sources, which is typical for Iran due to information restrictions, but the very fact of fatalities during clashes has been confirmed by several major media outlets. What makes this wave of protests particularly risky for the regime is that it rests on the urban economic base: small and medium-sized businesses, commerce, and the "bazaar." Even if these groups have not always been at the forefront of political protests, they serve as a sensitive barometer of legitimacy. When the "bazaar" shuts down, it signals not only discontent, but also doubt about the state’s ability to maintain basic order. Alongside the internal crisis, external risks are also mounting. Sanctions continue to narrow Iran’s financial and technological room for maneuver, while signals are emerging in the media about the possibility of a new round of coercive pressure on Iran in 2026 - particularly following discussions within the Israel-US-Iran triangle. ❓ What could come next? Four trajectories appear most realistic, and they may even overlap. ▪️ First, controlled de-escalation: the authorities attempt to "cool things down" through targeted economic measures and negotiations with the trading community. This would work only if the exchange rate and prices stabilize. ▪️ Second, wave-like protests: smaller in scale but more frequent and more radical, with repeated flare-ups across different cities and sectors. ▪️ Third, harsh repression: a tightening of the security apparatus and severe sentences, which may temporarily suppress mobilization but typically accumulate deferred anger. ▪️ Fourth, external escalation: which could either temporarily shift the domestic agenda or, conversely, sharply worsen economic conditions and bring people back onto the streets even faster. ‼️ Iran is one of Russia’s authoritarian partners, which raises a logical question: what consequences could the current crisis have for Russian-Iranian relations? If the situation in Iran deteriorates but the regime as a whole survives, the partnership with Russia is likely to be preserved or even strengthened. For Tehran, Moscow remains one of the few major partners available under sanctions and diplomatic isolation; for Moscow, Iran is an important component of its "anti-sanctions" infrastructure and political rear. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly weaken Russia’s position. The most critical military component for Russia - the Shahed/Geran drone line - has already been largely integrated into Russian domestic production, meaning that a direct disruption of Iranian supplies would probably not be a turning point. More tangible risks for Russia emerge in the medium term if Iran enters a phase of governance paralysis or prolonged instability that undermines its ability to honor agreements. In that case, logistics and infrastructure projects would be hit first - especially those Russia views as alternative sanction-era routes, including the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its critical segments. In such a scenario, Moscow would lose the Iranian vector for trade and transit and would face a less predictable partner in technology transfers and financial settlements. The most ambiguous scenario is one in which Iran’s deterioration is linked to a new external escalation (strikes or war). The effects for Russia could be mixed: on the one hand, heightened risks in the Persian Gulf often push oil prices higher, potentially boosting Russian oil revenues; on the other hand, war increases the likelihood of tighter sanctions enforcement and maritime controls, complicating both Iranian and Russian sanction-evasion schemes and disrupting logistics. In other words, "deterioration in Iran" does not guarantee a weakening of Russia, but it does increase environmental instability. Moscow may gain from higher energy prices, but lose in terms of partner predictability and transport capacity. ‼️ Russia’s position would weaken most sharply in a scenario where a new leadership in Tehran moves toward normalization with the West or at least distances itself from Moscow. In that case, the entire "anti-sanctions" framework - financial settlements, technological cooperation, and joint projects - would come under pressure, including the North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its key Rasht-Astara segment, in which Russia is investing both financially and politically. For Russia, this would mean the loss of an important (though not the only) route and partner infrastructure in the region. While the purely military Shahed/Geran component may be somewhat less critical due to partial localization of production inside Russia, Iran’s political and logistical value as a partner would nonetheless diminish.
0:05

A new wave of protests is underway in Iran, a strategic partner of Russia. They started in late December 2025 and quickly became the most significant in several years. This time, the initial driving force has not primarily been cultural or human rights slogans such as "Woman, Life, Freedom" (as in 2022), but rather an economic shock. People are joining the protests because of rapid impoverishment, price increase, and a growing sense that the state has lost control over basic economic rules. The main trigger is a currency collapse. On the "open" (effectively parallel) market in late December, the US dollar was valued at roughly 1.39-1.42 million rials, while inflation in December reached over 40% in some estimates. For ordinary families, this means one simple thing: wages and savings are losing value faster than people can adapt, and basic purchases are becoming increasingly unaffordable. The protests were the largest in Tehran, particularly in commercial districts linked to major markets and urban trade. Notably, a key form of pressure has been not only street demonstrations but also merchants’ strikes - mass shop closures and an effective shutdown of trade. Such actions are harder to neutralize through targeted arrests, as they immediately affect urban life and the economy. Within days, the protest wave started spreading to other cities and reached parts of the university sector as well. Students and young people have taken up economic demands and quickly moved on to political questions about the accountability of those in power. The authorities’ response has been mixed. On the one hand, the government has publicly spoken of readiness for dialogue with representatives of the protesters and the trading community. On the other hand, reports from the ground indicate coercive containment measures: arrests, dispersals, and crackdowns. In several provinces, deaths and injuries have already been reported. The figures vary across sources, which is typical for Iran due to information restrictions, but the very fact of fatalities during clashes has been confirmed by several major media outlets. What makes this wave of protests particularly risky for the regime is that it rests on the urban economic base: small and medium-sized businesses, commerce, and the "bazaar." Even if these groups have not always been at the forefront of political protests, they serve as a sensitive barometer of legitimacy. When the "bazaar" shuts down, it signals not only discontent, but also doubt about the state’s ability to maintain basic order. Alongside the internal crisis, external risks are also mounting. Sanctions continue to narrow Iran’s financial and technological room for maneuver, while signals are emerging in the media about the possibility of a new round of coercive pressure on Iran in 2026 - particularly following discussions within the Israel-US-Iran triangle. ❓ What could come next? Four trajectories appear most realistic, and they may even overlap. ▪️ First, controlled de-escalation: the authorities attempt to "cool things down" through targeted economic measures and negotiations with the trading community. This would work only if the exchange rate and prices stabilize. ▪️ Second, wave-like protests: smaller in scale but more frequent and more radical, with repeated flare-ups across different cities and sectors. ▪️ Third, harsh repression: a tightening of the security apparatus and severe sentences, which may temporarily suppress mobilization but typically accumulate deferred anger. ▪️ Fourth, external escalation: which could either temporarily shift the domestic agenda or, conversely, sharply worsen economic conditions and bring people back onto the streets even faster. ‼️ Iran is one of Russia’s authoritarian partners, which raises a logical question: what consequences could the current crisis have for Russian-Iranian relations? If the situation in Iran deteriorates but the regime as a whole survives, the partnership with Russia is likely to be preserved or even strengthened. For Tehran, Moscow remains one of the few major partners available under sanctions and diplomatic isolation; for Moscow, Iran is an important component of its "anti-sanctions" infrastructure and political rear. In the short term, this is unlikely to significantly weaken Russia’s position. The most critical military component for Russia - the Shahed/Geran drone line - has already been largely integrated into Russian domestic production, meaning that a direct disruption of Iranian supplies would probably not be a turning point. More tangible risks for Russia emerge in the medium term if Iran enters a phase of governance paralysis or prolonged instability that undermines its ability to honor agreements. In that case, logistics and infrastructure projects would be hit first - especially those Russia views as alternative sanction-era routes, including the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its critical segments. In such a scenario, Moscow would lose the Iranian vector for trade and transit and would face a less predictable partner in technology transfers and financial settlements. The most ambiguous scenario is one in which Iran’s deterioration is linked to a new external escalation (strikes or war). The effects for Russia could be mixed: on the one hand, heightened risks in the Persian Gulf often push oil prices higher, potentially boosting Russian oil revenues; on the other hand, war increases the likelihood of tighter sanctions enforcement and maritime controls, complicating both Iranian and Russian sanction-evasion schemes and disrupting logistics. In other words, "deterioration in Iran" does not guarantee a weakening of Russia, but it does increase environmental instability. Moscow may gain from higher energy prices, but lose in terms of partner predictability and transport capacity. ‼️ Russia’s position would weaken most sharply in a scenario where a new leadership in Tehran moves toward normalization with the West or at least distances itself from Moscow. In that case, the entire "anti-sanctions" framework - financial settlements, technological cooperation, and joint projects - would come under pressure, including the North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and its key Rasht-Astara segment, in which Russia is investing both financially and politically. For Russia, this would mean the loss of an important (though not the only) route and partner infrastructure in the region. While the purely military Shahed/Geran component may be somewhat less critical due to partial localization of production inside Russia, Iran’s political and logistical value as a partner would nonetheless diminish.

Anton Gerashchenko

83,100 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Universities and High Schools have not moved rapidly enough to guide students to have skills for the next decade. THEY HAVE FAILED. It is a massive crisis that can be averted by understanding what AI and Robotics will bring about. Solutions are knowing how to use these tools and new industries that will rise. But this situation is also on ALL OF US. No “job” is safe from founder to entry level in most industries. You and I, by what we do, will be “replaced” ultimately. What to do? AI and Robotics are tools, the next decade is owned by those who know how to use them expertly, but this is also temporary. We have to understand that what we do for “work” will change giving ultimately a greater value to those that are: Creative Flexible Always learning Willing to be wrong Love being human Love being alive Know history Covet wisdom Knowing all tech has downsides Building strong family and friends Realize many institutions have failed The first four are required for you to be able to live through this period with your sanity intact. The rest will allow you to thrive. There are no true careers at this point anymore. There are advocation and vocations which will either earn you money or give life meaning. We will learn that we are not “what we do”, just like we knew for 99% of human existence. Let that sink in. — You and I are far, far ahead of knowing this and we can do two things: 1) Laugh at the “clueless” 2) Help people understand with grace Go to Reddit if you are 1, in fact don’t follow me because you will not like this next decade and what I post. You are 2 and thank you. Even if you and I have not solved this issue, we can help people understand what is ahead and with determination and creativity bound together to solve it locally. Or human family has done this millions of times. The evidence is: you are here. The Neo Luddite movement has not even begun and it will potentially rip apart society even more than all the fashionable moment in the recent past has. These Luddites will have a good point with the wrong answers cooked up by dying academics that cling to labels, “virtues” and victim hood. It will be readymade for some governments to enter in as “big daddy” to “help us”. You will not like what they do, but you will only know when it is too late. It will include YOU “volunteering” to “leave” by 60, to “help out” CanadaPod style. “Brian, I’m 24 what do I do?”. I hope to do much more here to help. But I do know this: 1) Learn a trade or vocation because it’s valuable. It may also be free to low cost if you do it right. 2) Learn everything you can about USING AI and TRAINING YOUR AI. Your expertise will be in the top 1% for a decade. But not forever. 3) Understand Bitcoin and how it will rise while other things sink. This is a short list for now. We will know more moving forward. When you see videos like this posted below, know one thing: Many of these folks had no real family of mental and physical support. Maybe no parent or one parent. Maybe only a broke system to prepare them for—nothing. This was not their doing. Now it is not your “job” to help them, it is your survival to help them if that is what you need. See some day after the dust settles these 20 year olds will be 40 year olds and running YOUR world. And at some point you may need them more than you think you do. You will need them, as they need you now. THIS IS WHAT PAST WISDOM KNEW. The elders of the past never found the need to piss on the youth and hope for the best. THE YOUTH ARE OUR BEST, let us all find ways to change it, even if every aspect of “the system” wants us to berate them into the ground.
0:17

Universities and High Schools have not moved rapidly enough to guide students to have skills for the next decade. THEY HAVE FAILED. It is a massive crisis that can be averted by understanding what AI and Robotics will bring about. Solutions are knowing how to use these tools and new industries that will rise. But this situation is also on ALL OF US. No “job” is safe from founder to entry level in most industries. You and I, by what we do, will be “replaced” ultimately. What to do? AI and Robotics are tools, the next decade is owned by those who know how to use them expertly, but this is also temporary. We have to understand that what we do for “work” will change giving ultimately a greater value to those that are: Creative Flexible Always learning Willing to be wrong Love being human Love being alive Know history Covet wisdom Knowing all tech has downsides Building strong family and friends Realize many institutions have failed The first four are required for you to be able to live through this period with your sanity intact. The rest will allow you to thrive. There are no true careers at this point anymore. There are advocation and vocations which will either earn you money or give life meaning. We will learn that we are not “what we do”, just like we knew for 99% of human existence. Let that sink in. — You and I are far, far ahead of knowing this and we can do two things: 1) Laugh at the “clueless” 2) Help people understand with grace Go to Reddit if you are 1, in fact don’t follow me because you will not like this next decade and what I post. You are 2 and thank you. Even if you and I have not solved this issue, we can help people understand what is ahead and with determination and creativity bound together to solve it locally. Or human family has done this millions of times. The evidence is: you are here. The Neo Luddite movement has not even begun and it will potentially rip apart society even more than all the fashionable moment in the recent past has. These Luddites will have a good point with the wrong answers cooked up by dying academics that cling to labels, “virtues” and victim hood. It will be readymade for some governments to enter in as “big daddy” to “help us”. You will not like what they do, but you will only know when it is too late. It will include YOU “volunteering” to “leave” by 60, to “help out” CanadaPod style. “Brian, I’m 24 what do I do?”. I hope to do much more here to help. But I do know this: 1) Learn a trade or vocation because it’s valuable. It may also be free to low cost if you do it right. 2) Learn everything you can about USING AI and TRAINING YOUR AI. Your expertise will be in the top 1% for a decade. But not forever. 3) Understand Bitcoin and how it will rise while other things sink. This is a short list for now. We will know more moving forward. When you see videos like this posted below, know one thing: Many of these folks had no real family of mental and physical support. Maybe no parent or one parent. Maybe only a broke system to prepare them for—nothing. This was not their doing. Now it is not your “job” to help them, it is your survival to help them if that is what you need. See some day after the dust settles these 20 year olds will be 40 year olds and running YOUR world. And at some point you may need them more than you think you do. You will need them, as they need you now. THIS IS WHAT PAST WISDOM KNEW. The elders of the past never found the need to piss on the youth and hope for the best. THE YOUTH ARE OUR BEST, let us all find ways to change it, even if every aspect of “the system” wants us to berate them into the ground.

Brian Roemmele

36,512 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours ✳️The war is entering its final phase, but the battlefield is becoming more dangerous, not less. For the first time since the conflict began, the United States has signaled that its objectives against Iran have largely been achieved and that military operations could conclude within 2 to 3 weeks. At the same time, the operational picture tells a more complex story. Strikes inside Iran are intensifying, not slowing. Iran’s responses are becoming less concentrated but more geographically expansive. And across the region, the risk of broader escalation remains very real. This is no longer an open-ended war. It is a race between final military objectives and the risk of wider regional destabilization. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏁 POLITICAL ENDGAME SIGNAL EMERGES President Donald Trump stated that the war could end within weeks, indicating that core objectives have been achieved, including the degradation of Iran’s strategic capabilities and the disruption of its leadership structure. He also signaled that the United States does not intend to remain indefinitely engaged, suggesting that responsibility for securing critical global nfrastructure, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, may shift to regional and international stakeholders. At the same time, tensions with NATO allies are surfacing. Frustration over limited allied participation in the war has raised the possibility of a broader fracture within the Western alliance structure. Parallel reporting indicates that elements within Iran are signaling openness to a ceasefire framework, particularly if maritime access through Hormuz is restored. Taken together, this marks a clear transition: the war now has a defined political end state, even as military operations continue. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ FINAL PHASE STRIKE CAMPAIGN INSIDE IRAN The intensity of strikes over the past 24 hours reflects what appears to be end-stage shaping operations. Israeli and US-aligned strikes targeted a wide range of sites across Iran, including weapons production facilities, research and development centers, and critical infrastructure nodes tied to the regime’s military capabilities. Tehran remains a central focus. Approximately twenty military-industrial sites were struck, along with infrastructure at Mehrabad Airport and locations linked to Basij coordination. A senior Quds Force engineering figure, Mahdi Vafaei, was eliminated in a precision strike. His role in developing underground weapons infrastructure across Lebanon and Syria made him a key long-term asset for Iran’s regional military network. Additional strikes hit industrial targets, including steel production facilities and a site identified as supporting materials linked to Iran’s chemical weapons development pipeline. This is not a campaign aimed at symbolic damage. It is a systematic effort to dismantle Iran’s ability to produce, coordinate, and sustain war over time. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 IRANIAN RESPONSE AND CIVILIAN IMPACT Iran continues to launch missiles toward Israel, but at a reduced scale compared to earlier phases of the war. Limited salvos were recorded over the past 24 hours, causing injuries and localized damage. One of the most significant developments was the reported use of cluster munitions in central Israel, critically injuring a child and causing multiple casualties. At the same time, Iran appears to be adapting operationally. Rather than attempting large-scale saturation attacks, it is increasingly relying on smaller strikes, drones, and diversified targeting strategies. This does not indicate de-escalation. It reflects an effort to remain operational under sustained pressure. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 REGIONAL EXPANSION: THE WAR SPREADS While direct attacks on Israel have become more limited in scale, Iran is expanding the conflict across the region. In the Gulf, infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain was struck, including fuel storage facilities at Kuwait International Airport. Fires and damage were reported, adding to a growing pattern of attacks on energy and logistical nodes. A commercial tanker was also struck near Qatar, further extending the conflict into maritime space. These developments mark a continued shift where Iran is targeting not just Israel, but the broader economic and energy architecture of the region. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚢 THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ The strategic center of gravity in this war is now unmistakable. The Strait of Hormuz remains contested, with ongoing disruption to global shipping and energy flows. The United States is actively evaluating options to reopen and secure the waterway, including potential direct military action against Iranian coastal capabilities. At the same time, Gulf states, particularly the UAE, are pushing for a coordinated military effort to ensure the strait is reopened. However, regional positioning remains complex, with some actors balancing public caution and private pressure. Notably, the United States has signaled that it may not take long-term responsibility for securing Hormuz, instead shifting that burden to global stakeholders. The implication is clear: control of Hormuz will determine not only the outcome of the war, but its aftermath. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 NORTHERN AND PROXY FRONTS Iran’s proxy network remains active, but increasingly strained. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes continue to target Hezbollah leadership and infrastructure, including the reported elimination of a senior commander in Beirut. Rocket fire persists, but Israeli operations are steadily degrading launch capabilities. In Yemen, the Houthis have formally entered the fight against Israel and are likely contributing to the expanding pattern of regional attacks, including those affecting Gulf infrastructure. Across Iraq and Syria, Iranian-aligned militias remain engaged, while underlying instability continues to create openings for additional actors. This is now a multi-front conflict, but one in which Iran’s network is under pressure across every axis. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 WARFARE EVOLUTION A critical and often overlooked development is the role of advanced targeting systems. Israel is employing AI-assisted capabilities to identify threats, prioritize targets, and synchronize strikes across multiple theaters in near real time. This has significantly compressed the operational cycle, allowing for rapid follow-up strikes and reduced recovery time for Iranian forces. The result is a battlefield environment where Iran has less time to act, less time to adapt, and fewer opportunities to rebuild degraded capabilities. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 THE BIG PICTURE The trajectory of the war is now coming into focus. The United States and Israel are executing a campaign designed to dismantle Iran’s ability to function as a coherent military actor. Iran, in response, is expanding the conflict geographically in an attempt to impose broader costs. At the same time, political signals indicate that the war is approaching a defined end state. Markets are already reacting to this expectation, with oil prices declining and global indices rising on the assumption that the conflict may soon conclude. However, the final phase carries its own risks. As Iran’s conventional capabilities degrade, its reliance on asymmetric and regional tactics is increasing. The decisive question is no longer how the war is fought day to day. It is whether the final objectives can be secured before broader escalation overtakes them. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📘 BOOK RECOMMENDATION If you want a deeper understanding of the history, narratives, and strategic realities behind this conflict: Contested Land, Uncontested Truth This book breaks down the ideological, geopolitical, and historical forces that led directly to moments like this, with clarity and evidence. 👉 If you found this report valuable, share it. Follow for daily operational updates.
2:50

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours ✳️The war is entering its final phase, but the battlefield is becoming more dangerous, not less. For the first time since the conflict began, the United States has signaled that its objectives against Iran have largely been achieved and that military operations could conclude within 2 to 3 weeks. At the same time, the operational picture tells a more complex story. Strikes inside Iran are intensifying, not slowing. Iran’s responses are becoming less concentrated but more geographically expansive. And across the region, the risk of broader escalation remains very real. This is no longer an open-ended war. It is a race between final military objectives and the risk of wider regional destabilization. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏁 POLITICAL ENDGAME SIGNAL EMERGES President Donald Trump stated that the war could end within weeks, indicating that core objectives have been achieved, including the degradation of Iran’s strategic capabilities and the disruption of its leadership structure. He also signaled that the United States does not intend to remain indefinitely engaged, suggesting that responsibility for securing critical global nfrastructure, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, may shift to regional and international stakeholders. At the same time, tensions with NATO allies are surfacing. Frustration over limited allied participation in the war has raised the possibility of a broader fracture within the Western alliance structure. Parallel reporting indicates that elements within Iran are signaling openness to a ceasefire framework, particularly if maritime access through Hormuz is restored. Taken together, this marks a clear transition: the war now has a defined political end state, even as military operations continue. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ FINAL PHASE STRIKE CAMPAIGN INSIDE IRAN The intensity of strikes over the past 24 hours reflects what appears to be end-stage shaping operations. Israeli and US-aligned strikes targeted a wide range of sites across Iran, including weapons production facilities, research and development centers, and critical infrastructure nodes tied to the regime’s military capabilities. Tehran remains a central focus. Approximately twenty military-industrial sites were struck, along with infrastructure at Mehrabad Airport and locations linked to Basij coordination. A senior Quds Force engineering figure, Mahdi Vafaei, was eliminated in a precision strike. His role in developing underground weapons infrastructure across Lebanon and Syria made him a key long-term asset for Iran’s regional military network. Additional strikes hit industrial targets, including steel production facilities and a site identified as supporting materials linked to Iran’s chemical weapons development pipeline. This is not a campaign aimed at symbolic damage. It is a systematic effort to dismantle Iran’s ability to produce, coordinate, and sustain war over time. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 IRANIAN RESPONSE AND CIVILIAN IMPACT Iran continues to launch missiles toward Israel, but at a reduced scale compared to earlier phases of the war. Limited salvos were recorded over the past 24 hours, causing injuries and localized damage. One of the most significant developments was the reported use of cluster munitions in central Israel, critically injuring a child and causing multiple casualties. At the same time, Iran appears to be adapting operationally. Rather than attempting large-scale saturation attacks, it is increasingly relying on smaller strikes, drones, and diversified targeting strategies. This does not indicate de-escalation. It reflects an effort to remain operational under sustained pressure. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 REGIONAL EXPANSION: THE WAR SPREADS While direct attacks on Israel have become more limited in scale, Iran is expanding the conflict across the region. In the Gulf, infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain was struck, including fuel storage facilities at Kuwait International Airport. Fires and damage were reported, adding to a growing pattern of attacks on energy and logistical nodes. A commercial tanker was also struck near Qatar, further extending the conflict into maritime space. These developments mark a continued shift where Iran is targeting not just Israel, but the broader economic and energy architecture of the region. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚢 THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ The strategic center of gravity in this war is now unmistakable. The Strait of Hormuz remains contested, with ongoing disruption to global shipping and energy flows. The United States is actively evaluating options to reopen and secure the waterway, including potential direct military action against Iranian coastal capabilities. At the same time, Gulf states, particularly the UAE, are pushing for a coordinated military effort to ensure the strait is reopened. However, regional positioning remains complex, with some actors balancing public caution and private pressure. Notably, the United States has signaled that it may not take long-term responsibility for securing Hormuz, instead shifting that burden to global stakeholders. The implication is clear: control of Hormuz will determine not only the outcome of the war, but its aftermath. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔥 NORTHERN AND PROXY FRONTS Iran’s proxy network remains active, but increasingly strained. In Lebanon, Israeli strikes continue to target Hezbollah leadership and infrastructure, including the reported elimination of a senior commander in Beirut. Rocket fire persists, but Israeli operations are steadily degrading launch capabilities. In Yemen, the Houthis have formally entered the fight against Israel and are likely contributing to the expanding pattern of regional attacks, including those affecting Gulf infrastructure. Across Iraq and Syria, Iranian-aligned militias remain engaged, while underlying instability continues to create openings for additional actors. This is now a multi-front conflict, but one in which Iran’s network is under pressure across every axis. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 WARFARE EVOLUTION A critical and often overlooked development is the role of advanced targeting systems. Israel is employing AI-assisted capabilities to identify threats, prioritize targets, and synchronize strikes across multiple theaters in near real time. This has significantly compressed the operational cycle, allowing for rapid follow-up strikes and reduced recovery time for Iranian forces. The result is a battlefield environment where Iran has less time to act, less time to adapt, and fewer opportunities to rebuild degraded capabilities. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 THE BIG PICTURE The trajectory of the war is now coming into focus. The United States and Israel are executing a campaign designed to dismantle Iran’s ability to function as a coherent military actor. Iran, in response, is expanding the conflict geographically in an attempt to impose broader costs. At the same time, political signals indicate that the war is approaching a defined end state. Markets are already reacting to this expectation, with oil prices declining and global indices rising on the assumption that the conflict may soon conclude. However, the final phase carries its own risks. As Iran’s conventional capabilities degrade, its reliance on asymmetric and regional tactics is increasing. The decisive question is no longer how the war is fought day to day. It is whether the final objectives can be secured before broader escalation overtakes them. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📘 BOOK RECOMMENDATION If you want a deeper understanding of the history, narratives, and strategic realities behind this conflict: Contested Land, Uncontested Truth This book breaks down the ideological, geopolitical, and historical forces that led directly to moments like this, with clarity and evidence. 👉 If you found this report valuable, share it. Follow for daily operational updates.

Inside_Israel_Intel

60,835 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Has been a while since I've given an update so here's a breakdown of where Sappy is at right now and what we're focusing on going into this year. Pre-amble: With altcoins & NFTs the market is definitely not the same as it was before. I think this is obvious to everyone but I've noticed there are still japanese soldiers that are convinced old tricks and mechanics work. They don't. Liquidity is thin; people want to bid assets that feel like "real companies" not vacuous memecoins. There's still room for memecoins, social currencies, and "utility tokens" (I would say without these functions, tokens are hard to justify versus equities). I'm not part of the camp that thinks there will never be hyperspeculation in crypto again, because there will be; we all love ponzis and PvPing each other onchain. Just not with solved games -- people need something new and fresh. So the overarching plan is to continue building for users, sustainable revenues that aren't tied to directly to crypto, and doubling down on the areas that we've already found PMF / Brand Market Fit. Then leaning into crypto during cyclical periods where liquidity is sloshing around at an accelerated rate. Where we've found early PMF / what we're leaning into: Roblox: we're going to continue to go hard and accelerate here. It's our main objective to ship more seal/brainrot focused games across most genres to cast as wide of a net as we can for the brand, and to also iterate and see what works and stays sticky. Our initial incursion into Roblox was very successful peaking at 2M+ MAU and still sustaining a large portion of that player base... for all of its success, that was a relatively amateur first attempt; we've been setting up better AI pipelines for Roblox development that makes it reasonable to ship many more games and 10x those player counts in totality. It's my belief that Roblox is the sandbox whose audience will be the most valuable on the internet once they are grown up. That intense feeling you get when you see a TikTok referencing an old game you enjoyed on the PS2 or the Gamecube, or when you see a Pokemon card is the exact same feeling the youth of today will get when reminiscing on the things they enjoyed engaging with when they were younger. Fortnite and Roblox are functional equivalents to the old school consoles and exactly where that is taking place. Which is why as much as I care about scaling revenues through Roblox, the long term brand equity gained purely through being popular on the platform is totally invaluable. It also can heavily convert to merchandise sales today if all touchpoints for the brand are dialed in (which is why brands get overcharged so much by Roblox dev shops for the same ROI that only cost us a few thousand $). We have the playbook, it's just about iterating new concepts and then aggressively scaling. Brand Expansion & Merchandising: I've started to create a content pipeline that is easily repeatable, cost efficient (costs next to nothing through either AI or smart reusable concepts), while still being very tasteful and meeting our quality standards for the brand. We are mostly focusing here on reaching people where they're at through nostalgic/emotional content, or just being visually stimulating through carefully curated aesthetics. Content that isn't superficial and touches people in a memorable way. I've attached some examples to the post so you can see what I mean rather than just read it. I don't think it's long until larger brands start doing this at scale, but it's always good to be ahead of the curve and most importantly winning on taste -- knowing what will resonate with people and what won't has always been our edge. The purpose for these accounts is not only to rack up attention but also to begin converting those into sales of both of physicals (plushies & gacha collectibles) and digital avenues like our games, and any other apps we produce. Because they're offshoot accounts it's also a lot easier to be aggressive/experimental with said conversion strategies. Sappy Studio: I'm wrapping everything like Omnia, and everything else into this category because they're all tangentially related. Beginning with Omnia, our current focus is gearing up for Season 0 which involves players competing in the ranked ladder for a prize pool that has rewards through Monad Momentum as well as a player-funded prize pool. This season will be fairly simple with us mostly logging retention, deck building habits, as well as qualitatively observing how aggressively players push the combat system. Deeper monetization wont exist yet outside of the player buy-in (to be eligible for P2E rewards). Beyond that our overarching principle this year is to focus heavily on risk-to-earn mechanics where a portion of that excess value is circular i.e. revenues flow back to prize pools or other parts of the economy, treating the game almost like a protocol where the objective is to amass TVL or player liquidity. Social is also a big focus, and that means implementing the Open World hub which from an infrastructure perspective has already been built out and tested by all of you previously. Right now we are scaffolding the environment in 3D and working through how that hub should look and feel, so players are excited to hang out & idle together while they're queuing. For sappydotlol, what I'm about to say is still early days from a design perspective so a lot can change, but I'm pushing the site in the direction of being a virtual game console. An intersection between Nintendo & Myspace where users can play, trade, and socially interact in a way that's deeply personalised; a breathe of fresh air from the hostility of the current internet. If you go back to my thesis on Roblox above and the game console references, you can kind of see how this will all sequentially tie together. In essence, the strategy is to acquire a critical mass of players through traditional platforms like Roblox, and use that attention and trust to provide an onboarding funnel for web2 users into our own sandbox filled with a mixture of our own browser-based experiences as well as an aggregation of others. The aim is to make the platform a breath of fresh air & bunker from the enshittified platforms like TikTok/IG/X where users are actually served in ways that delight rather than agitate, and where self-expression is incentivised. Closing: As always everything here is subject to change but I've never felt more conviction in our direction until now; I know exactly what we need to do and how, with everything aligning with our team's strengths. Very excited and grinding through things to the point where I'm getting headaches and can't sleep from being hyperfocused for long periods of time lol. There probably has never been a better time to join the ecosystem from a price to fuck around and find out perspective.
1:00

Has been a while since I've given an update so here's a breakdown of where Sappy is at right now and what we're focusing on going into this year. Pre-amble: With altcoins & NFTs the market is definitely not the same as it was before. I think this is obvious to everyone but I've noticed there are still japanese soldiers that are convinced old tricks and mechanics work. They don't. Liquidity is thin; people want to bid assets that feel like "real companies" not vacuous memecoins. There's still room for memecoins, social currencies, and "utility tokens" (I would say without these functions, tokens are hard to justify versus equities). I'm not part of the camp that thinks there will never be hyperspeculation in crypto again, because there will be; we all love ponzis and PvPing each other onchain. Just not with solved games -- people need something new and fresh. So the overarching plan is to continue building for users, sustainable revenues that aren't tied to directly to crypto, and doubling down on the areas that we've already found PMF / Brand Market Fit. Then leaning into crypto during cyclical periods where liquidity is sloshing around at an accelerated rate. Where we've found early PMF / what we're leaning into: Roblox: we're going to continue to go hard and accelerate here. It's our main objective to ship more seal/brainrot focused games across most genres to cast as wide of a net as we can for the brand, and to also iterate and see what works and stays sticky. Our initial incursion into Roblox was very successful peaking at 2M+ MAU and still sustaining a large portion of that player base... for all of its success, that was a relatively amateur first attempt; we've been setting up better AI pipelines for Roblox development that makes it reasonable to ship many more games and 10x those player counts in totality. It's my belief that Roblox is the sandbox whose audience will be the most valuable on the internet once they are grown up. That intense feeling you get when you see a TikTok referencing an old game you enjoyed on the PS2 or the Gamecube, or when you see a Pokemon card is the exact same feeling the youth of today will get when reminiscing on the things they enjoyed engaging with when they were younger. Fortnite and Roblox are functional equivalents to the old school consoles and exactly where that is taking place. Which is why as much as I care about scaling revenues through Roblox, the long term brand equity gained purely through being popular on the platform is totally invaluable. It also can heavily convert to merchandise sales today if all touchpoints for the brand are dialed in (which is why brands get overcharged so much by Roblox dev shops for the same ROI that only cost us a few thousand $). We have the playbook, it's just about iterating new concepts and then aggressively scaling. Brand Expansion & Merchandising: I've started to create a content pipeline that is easily repeatable, cost efficient (costs next to nothing through either AI or smart reusable concepts), while still being very tasteful and meeting our quality standards for the brand. We are mostly focusing here on reaching people where they're at through nostalgic/emotional content, or just being visually stimulating through carefully curated aesthetics. Content that isn't superficial and touches people in a memorable way. I've attached some examples to the post so you can see what I mean rather than just read it. I don't think it's long until larger brands start doing this at scale, but it's always good to be ahead of the curve and most importantly winning on taste -- knowing what will resonate with people and what won't has always been our edge. The purpose for these accounts is not only to rack up attention but also to begin converting those into sales of both of physicals (plushies & gacha collectibles) and digital avenues like our games, and any other apps we produce. Because they're offshoot accounts it's also a lot easier to be aggressive/experimental with said conversion strategies. Sappy Studio: I'm wrapping everything like Omnia, and everything else into this category because they're all tangentially related. Beginning with Omnia, our current focus is gearing up for Season 0 which involves players competing in the ranked ladder for a prize pool that has rewards through Monad Momentum as well as a player-funded prize pool. This season will be fairly simple with us mostly logging retention, deck building habits, as well as qualitatively observing how aggressively players push the combat system. Deeper monetization wont exist yet outside of the player buy-in (to be eligible for P2E rewards). Beyond that our overarching principle this year is to focus heavily on risk-to-earn mechanics where a portion of that excess value is circular i.e. revenues flow back to prize pools or other parts of the economy, treating the game almost like a protocol where the objective is to amass TVL or player liquidity. Social is also a big focus, and that means implementing the Open World hub which from an infrastructure perspective has already been built out and tested by all of you previously. Right now we are scaffolding the environment in 3D and working through how that hub should look and feel, so players are excited to hang out & idle together while they're queuing. For sappydotlol, what I'm about to say is still early days from a design perspective so a lot can change, but I'm pushing the site in the direction of being a virtual game console. An intersection between Nintendo & Myspace where users can play, trade, and socially interact in a way that's deeply personalised; a breathe of fresh air from the hostility of the current internet. If you go back to my thesis on Roblox above and the game console references, you can kind of see how this will all sequentially tie together. In essence, the strategy is to acquire a critical mass of players through traditional platforms like Roblox, and use that attention and trust to provide an onboarding funnel for web2 users into our own sandbox filled with a mixture of our own browser-based experiences as well as an aggregation of others. The aim is to make the platform a breath of fresh air & bunker from the enshittified platforms like TikTok/IG/X where users are actually served in ways that delight rather than agitate, and where self-expression is incentivised. Closing: As always everything here is subject to change but I've never felt more conviction in our direction until now; I know exactly what we need to do and how, with everything aligning with our team's strengths. Very excited and grinding through things to the point where I'm getting headaches and can't sleep from being hyperfocused for long periods of time lol. There probably has never been a better time to join the ecosystem from a price to fuck around and find out perspective.

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