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How much action can you get into half a minute? Incredibly innovating insertions 🔥 LEADING EDGE SEX What should we call the turning around, the helicopter position? #threesomeMFM #alpha #rough #dominate #Alfie #Malik #rimming #DP #doubledoggy #brotime #innovating #leadingedge #novanillasex #notyouraveragesexposition #proximity #nohangups #noinhibitions #slap #DAP #batsen #hammer Alphas...

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People of Nabi Ball!❤️✌🏾 There is progress in this team👏🏾 The patterns need time to develop and for the team to be consistent in them. ■ The left side looked better with Mmodi and Shinga✅️ ■ We needed Duba to attack the box and be available more when these 2 attacked on the left. He dropped to the edge of the box very often. ■ Unlike in the 1st half, there was a better understanding between Shinga and the LW. When Shinga overlapped, Mmodi was willing to occupy the pockets and combine. ▪︎ When Shinga inverted, Mmodi was happy to hug the line and take his man on. This understanding was key in that side coming to life in the 2nd half. ■ What was also impressive was the ability for them to create good combinations and movements with Mdu and Duba on the offense from the left side. ■ Lilepo from the right was getting into good goal scoring positions when the left was creating in the 2nd half, but poor decisions on the ball and slow reactions were a problem. He should compete on the LW with Mmodi. ■ In the 1st half, it was Monyane and Vilakazi on the right, and 2nd half it was Mmodi and Shinga with some of our best moments in attack. Overall, you can see the general attitude of this team changing. They want to play now. They want to stay on the ball and create chances from a position of control, not rely heavily on transitional moments to create chances. We have shown signs that we can control and be patient, but when opportunities to attack comes we are relentless, and we use a lot of speed to enter the final 3rd. We just need to work on the combinations and finishing in the final 3rd. Like I said before, we are a work in progress, and we will get better only if we build on the positives and remove the negatives. Protagonist Tiki-taka is coming!❤️✌🏾

El Capitano⚪

21,726 次观看 • 1 年前

🐻‍❄️ We’ve done… about four series together, right? There was the Kiss series… 🫍 All the Kiss series, Cherry Magic… Does Peaceful Property count? 🐻‍❄️ That counts too? But Peaceful Property isn’t a BL. It’s more of a friendship. Does that still count? 🫍 It counts. 🎤 If you’re acting together, it counts. 🐻‍❄️ Then does I’m Tee, Me Too count as well? 🫍 So… around four or five projects. We’ve been working together for so long that we don’t really need to say much to each other anymore. 🎤 But we want to hear it. 🫍 Thank you… 🎤 Look at him when you say it. 🐻‍❄️ He means the fans. 🫍 Thank you… Umm… you. Yeah, you. 🫍 Thank you for playing Kanit and letting Toto fall so hopelessly in love. I’ve never gotten to portray this kind of lovestruck character before. Usually, Karan is the gentle, warm kind of romantic. But this rough-around-the-edges, scrappy kind of love? I’d never done that until Toto. He gave me the chance to explore something completely different. It’s always a joy acting with New. Looking forward to working together again next year. 🐻‍❄️ As for me, I’d like to start by thanking everyone. Not just the people here today, but everyone watching from home and all around the world for always supporting us. Like everyone says… New and Tay… uh, I mean, TayNew. 🫍 Say it in the right order, or it’ll turn into A Plane And A Dog instead. 🎤 Don’t swap the names. 🐻‍❄️ TayNew have been working together for over ten years now. We’ve been by each other’s side for a long time. Along the way, we’ve done so many series together, but we always talk about: What’s the next chapter for us? What should we do together next? How do we keep moving forward together? 🐻‍❄️ We’ve even got a child who’s been incredibly successful, so you could say that chapter of our journey has already been a success. So now we keep asking ourselves, What’s the next chapter? What path do we want to go next? What kind of space do we want to grow into next? 🐻‍❄️ No matter what, I’m always ready to keep going because we’ve got all of you supporting us and waiting for our next projects. Tay and I always talk about how we can keep growing, how we can keep improving, and what the next step should look like. 🐻‍❄️ That’s why we really hope everyone will look forward to our next project. After we talked about it together, read the synopsis, met the director, and looked at everything surrounding it, we both felt this was the kind of project that would help us grow as actors. 🫍 It’s going to be very challenging, and we’re going to have to dedicate ourselves to it completely. 🐻‍❄️ That’s right… and dedicate merit too! Let me be serious and funny too. Thank you so much. ADAAP HAPPY LANDING #ADogAndAPlaneFinalEP

WittySmirK

43,942 次观看 • 10 天前

How can you solve complex tasks using a Large Language Model? Here is a 2-minute introduction to everything you need to know to 10x the quality of your results. Let's talk about three techniques, in order of complexity, starting with the easiest one: • In-Context Learning • Indexing + In-Context Learning • Fine-tuning In-Context Learning The team that trained GPT-3 found something they couldn't explain: You can condition a model using examples of how you want it to behave. I included an example prompt in the attached video. You can "teach" the model how you want it to interpret questions, select the correct answers, and format the results by giving a few examples. You can also give specific knowledge to the model that will be helpful when formulating answers. We call this approach "grounding the model." There's another example in the video. Indexing + In-Context Learning Unfortunately, there is a limit to how much data you can include in a prompt. We call this the "context size." One version of GPT-4 supports a context of approximately 6,000 words, while the other supports 25,000 words. Although this sounds like a lot, many applications need more than that. Imagine you wrote a book and want to build an application to answer any questions about your story. What happens if your book is longer than the context? That's where Indexing comes in. Using a model, you can turn every book passage into an embedding. These are vectors, numbers that "encode" the passage's text. You can then store these embeddings in a particular database that supports fast retrieval of these vectors. You can then turn any question into an embedding and search the database for the list of passages that are similar to that query. Instead of using the entire book to ask the model, you can now use the relevant passages as in-context information, effectively working around the context size limitation. Fine-tuning Fine-tuning can give you an extra boost to get reliable outputs from your LLM. It is, however, the most complex approach on the list. There are different approaches to fine-tuning a model with your data. A popular technique is to process your data with your LLM and use the outputs to train a new classifier that solves your specific task. Notice that here you aren't modifying the LLM. Instead, you are chaining it with your trained classifier. Another approach is to modify the parameters of the LLM using your data. Think of this as "rewiring" the model in a way that solves your particular task. The results and costs will vary depending on how many layers you want to fine-tune from the original model. Many companies think that fine-tuning is the solution to their problems. In my experience, many will benefit from exploring the other two approaches. I love explaining Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence ideas. If you enjoy in-depth content like this, follow me Santiago so you don't miss what comes next.

Santiago

384,510 次观看 • 3 年前

Poor life choices at an early age when we feel like we’re going to live forever soon hits you in the face with a cold slap of reality, that reality is that our lives on this earth is finite and keeping the wrong type of company can devour huge chunks of the relative terms of (time and money) once they pass us by we can never get neither one back. If this hits you in the chest, it’s because it’s universal. 🏔️💔 Don’t wait until you’re standing on your own cliff. The decisions you make at 18, 22, or 25 don’t just affect you. They can ripple for decades — into your 30s, 40s, and onto the people who love you. One bad chapter can become a ten-year bill you’re still paying. The numbers don’t lie. 📊 According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, of people released from state prisons, 62% were rearrested within three years and 71% within five years. For those released at 24 or younger, that rearrest rate jumps to 81% in just five years. Nearly half end up back behind bars. Early choices compound fast. When trouble starts young, the records, the lost time, the broken trust, and the habits stack up. That’s how so many people end up standing exactly where she is right now. To her — and to anyone watching who feels that same weight right now: You’ve already paid more than most people ever will. Get the lawyer. Ask the judge for relief. Explore every legal avenue available to you. ⚖️ Clean up what can be cleaned up. Stabilize what can be stabilized. And then start building. 🛠️ To everyone else watching: Choose better now. Build the habits, the circle, and the discipline that makes turning your life around the default — not a miracle. 💪 Support real rehabilitation when it’s earned. Because accountability without a realistic path forward just creates more cliffs. This young woman’s story on that cliff is a warning wrapped in raw honesty. The data shows the pattern clearly… but it also shows something else: not everyone stays on the cycle. Some people break it. They get the help, do the work, and slowly turn the page. 📖 The past doesn’t have to be a life sentence… but only if we stop pretending the consequences will just disappear on their own. What would you do in her shoes? Drop real, practical advice below. 👇 If this hit home, share it. Let’s talk about actually breaking these cycles instead of just watching people stand on the edge. #ChoicesHaveConsequences #RestitutionReality #TurnThePage

ℳ𝒜𝒢𝒜_𝒳_𝒯𝒾𝓂𝑒𝓈 𝒟𝒶𝒾𝓁𝓎 𝒩𝑒𝓌𝓈🇺🇸

27,589 次观看 • 1 个月前

🦾🔥 2026 will be the year of robotics. And you should start a robotic company right now! Let me explain you why and show you the opportunities in the video – but here is an outline: We're in an Will Smith spaghetti moment. Remember how AI-generated video looked horrific two years ago? That's where robotics is right now. Computer vision is solved. VLAs (vision language action models) are starting to work. The reliability problem is being cracked as we speak. And unlike software, where you're competing against 15,000 marketing AI startups, humanoids has maybe 200 companies worldwide. Warehousing, the most crowded robotics vertical, has 700. Plus what are you going to do? Build a SaaS that claude can one-shot? The macro tailwinds are also obvious: Dark factories. Self-driving everything. Drones dominating warfare. China pushing automation hard. The West needing to reindustrialize with an aging workforce. But the real unlock is that small teams can now move incredibly fast. In the video we show robots built by one person, that is a year later already shown at CES, and raised couple million euros. Components costs are also dropping. Plus production suppliers actually want to work with startups now. In the video we are also going into opportunities. One mental model is simple: robotics is the next SaaS. Look at any industry, find one specific task, and build a robot that can do it better, faster, or around the clock. But we go through multiple mental models more in the video I uploaded the full video right here on X. But if you got a second, i'd appreciate a share, like, subscribe on youtube (link below!) ⬇️

Andreas Klinger 🦾

64,853 次观看 • 6 个月前

🚨NAFO Please Read🚨You are not alone🚨 We are at a pivotal moment of Good VS Evil My story: So............. as one man, I have made little difference to help Ukraine, like the rest of us, I have done my part on Twitter working my NAFO 9-5 alongside my real world 9-5, donating when I can, fighting disinformation. Whilst trying to live a normal social life and trying to be a good family man and father, like many of us, son's, daughters, mothers, dad's grandad's and grandma's, aunties, uncles.... Normal people, not soldiors. And as one person, this hasn't been much. Not you or me. None of us, alone, have made a single difference. Our Story: You feel week... because your voice isn't loud enough, not enough people see or understand your anger and hatred for Russia and the fucking evils that they do. You feel frustrated because the people around you, such as your family and friends, don't understand why this fight is so important to you? You live in a foreign land to Ukraine, why is it your fight, why should you care, why does it bother you? There are no bombs dropping on your families when you sleep....... You go to work and you don't have to run to bomb shelters midday rather than taking lunch whilst getting coffee..... Who gives a fuck right? But you, NAFO. Have something inside yourself, Love, Compasion, Knowledge and Understanding. You do not live blindly. You can not look away from the fucking evilness of the Russian scumbag dictators. This is why you are not alone, and why we are all the same, and why this is a family. This is why we love and respect each other. We come from so many different countries, our countries used to hate each other and compete, we were in some ways racist in our misconceptions of each other, but Ukraine brought us together. through the devastation of our souls through the pain of seeing what Russia did and trying to do to the Ukrainian people every day, we realised, we are the same and we only speak different languages and eat different food. But inherently, we are human, we live to love the people we care about, and we can sympathise with people we do not now, people we have never met, and with a nation we have never been too..... because, we are human... anything else is inhumane..... anything else is despicable and disgusting and inexcusable. You cannot distinguish this from the start of World War 2. You cannot tell how this is not the same. When good people fail to do enough. And the devastation that followed. But we are here. Regardless of a belief that this would stop in Ukraine, which it won't. We know that just for this one country, this is too much, this is not okay. And that we will never fucking turn a blind eye. Every day we care, and we do small things, small things that multiply, and together we achieve big things. Together, we have been fucking fierce and mighty, a force to be reconned with. Something that cannot be stopped. We know within ourselves that we will never stop fighting and doing what we can. People may not understand us. But i'm reaching into my heart and telling you. What YOU do. YOU the person reading this. You have changed opinions. You have stopped at least one person believing Russian propaganda. YOU have saved at least one life, Atleast. Through your passion of being a good fucking human. You have made a difference in this world. Never underestimate the power of us. We have learned to love each other through the devastation in Ukraine, We have learned how important these people we never knew are to us. Never give up on them. Now, this is nothing, but I'm sure we all know there are people among us that do things that we cannot fathom or understand. The gods among us that started charities, and took physical action, we must always help them in any way we can. You have no fucking idea how much a $2 donation means to them, a £5 donation rather than buying a coffee, they turn our everday money into life saving money. The smaller donations are the backbone to many of these charities, they keep them going. You would not believe the power of many. Please donate and give what you can. If you cannot give, then I admire you more, if you struggle yourself, then it's more commendable to care about people across the world struggling in different ways rather than thinking about yourself. But one thing we can all do is share the cause we support. Give them exposure, and make them understand we believe in their causes. Remember, that in the future, when Ukraine is free and Russia is done. We can tell our children, our grandchildren........ That we did our part. And that we did, just a little and did what we could, but we never turned a blind eye, and we never looked away. My final and personal part. I want to say thank you to 桐生 信之助 for giving me constant amazing media. You have a great team. And I hope you understand that I wanted to use your material in some of my videos to give people hope. You seriously produce some amazing material with a very talented team that is putting out a truthful word in a sea of propaganda and hate. I have joined all the videos I have made so far everyone. And I hope this video as a whole gives you hope in the sheer power of Ukraine when it has its friends behind it. What it can do with our countries backing, and why it is so important. Ukraine will never give up, Ukraine will never surrender. And we should never give up on it. Never underestimate how much your support can multiple across many. Please enjoy this 19 Minutes and 21 seconds of sheer Ukrainian Power and Hope. People fighting for good, their families, and the right to simply call themselves Ukrainian. All footage and video here was filmed by braver people, i simply cut it into pieces and then put their work together and added music to it. Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦 And glory to whatever country you are from, if you care too. We are not just Ukrainian or NAFO or NATO, we are fucking Human and this is what we do! #NAFO

Bricktop_NAFO

918,956 次观看 • 2 年前

📺🎓How ATR Reveals The Best Stock Entry Points Please ❤️like, 🔖bookmark, and 🔁share with fellow growth stock traders/investors In this educational Short, Don Vandenbord explains why Average True Range (ATR) is one of the most valuable tools for improving stock entries and avoiding costly FOMO trades. * After analyzing roughly 1,000 completed trades at Revere Asset Management, we found a clear pattern: the farther a stock has already moved off its intraday low before you buy it, the lower your probability of success. Instead of chasing momentum after a stock has already made a large move, our data shows traders should aim to enter within roughly half an ATR of the day's low whenever possible. Once a stock has already traveled around three-quarters of its ATR for the day, the odds of an immediate pullback increase sharply. In our study, those late entries produced only about a 29% win rate and were far more likely to finish the day in the red. * The lesson isn't that strong stocks should be avoided—it’s that entry timing matters just as much as stock selection. Even fundamentally strong leaders can become poor trades if they're purchased after an extended intraday rally. Better entries improve win rates, first-day performance, and overall trade expectancy. * The discussion also highlights how today's leading growth stocks have much wider ATRs than in previous years. Traditional 7–8% stop losses can now represent just one normal day's movement, making traders more vulnerable to being stopped out during routine pullbacks if they chase entries. That makes both patience and proper position sizing even more important. * To adapt, our team is incorporating these findings directly into our trading process. Half of the portfolio remains invested in index exposure $SPX $QQQ to capture market rotations, while the other half focuses on leading stocks and sectors. Position sizes are adjusted based on volatility so that one highly volatile stock cannot disproportionately impact overall portfolio performance. * The bottom line is that don't let FOMO dictate your entries. Use ATR to determine whether a stock is extended, wait for higher-probability entry points, size positions according to volatility, and let data drive your trading decisions. Better entries won't guarantee every trade is a winner, but they can significantly improve the odds over hundreds of trades. * You can find more details about Revere Asset Management in the FAQ section on our website, along with additional insights into our investment process, portfolio structure, and onboarding. ▶️

Revere Asset Management

59,246 次观看 • 28 天前

Liam & alcohol addiction and substance use. Or maybe I should say Liam & depression Before any of you start calling him an alcoholic and drug addict again, let me tell you what addiction is. I'm not talking about the “dictionary“ definition; you can search for it yourself. I'm talking about the “real life” definition. Addiction is a survival mechanism. No one starts drinking out of nowhere or because they get bored at home. Addiction is much more than this. Addiction happens when the outside world is too much to bear and you have to find a way to survive. You're anxious, you're depressed, everything becomes too much and you don't know what to do. You don't want to feel anymore; you just want to be numb. So you start with “Just one glass.” and end with “Just one more.”, after having several. You know it’s not right at some point, but all you can think of is, “So what?”. That happens when you want to forget about the world. A world that can't understand you, a world that's too much to bear. The same goes for drugs. So, no, you don't start drinking or using substances for fun. Many of those who get on this path have a terrible depression. The problem with depression is that some can very easily hide it. There's one called high-functioning depression, and it’s the most dangerous one because no one can see it. You are crumbling on the inside but look happy and sunny on the outside. You usually do that because you realise the people around you don't and can't understand what you are going through. So you just hide it. Because it’s easier. Addiction is never the main problem, but that's all the people outside see. People never try to find the real problem. It’s easier to call someone addicted than to search for the actual reason that's behind it all. But we all know Liam was open about his struggles. He was in recovery, he tried his best to be fine. He fought every single second of his life to survive. That man went through so much sh*t some of you can't even imagine, in a world full of hate pointed at him. Yes, he probably had a bad depression too, among other things. And God forbid any of you to have a bad depression because you don't know how fucking hard it is to even wake up in the morning. Properly functioning requires a new level of mental strength. And he was fucking STRONG and BRAVE and KIND and I can go on for 2 days, and he DIDN'T deserve anything that happened to him. Keep this in mind. So, if you don't know about a subject, you don't have to talk about it. You know nothing. You have no idea what he'd been through. He openly talked about mental health and his struggles. He wore his heart out on his sleeve all the time. He was honest. And all you heard was “alcohol and drug use”. You never cared about him. You never cared about the people around him who didn't support him at all, the people who harmed him in a lot of different ways. You don't care at all. You should be embarrassed of yourselves for being this blind. Open your eyes. It’s already late but do it at least now

Vicky Nicole ⁷ ❯❯❯❯❯

36,471 次观看 • 1 年前

Full victory speech of The Green Party's Hannah Spencer who wins the Gorton and Denton by Election: 14,980 - Greens 10,578 - Reform UK 9,364 - Labour "Okay. with me because this is a lot" "I didn't grow up wanting to be a politician. I'm a plumber" "And two weeks ago, during all this, I also qualified as a plasterer" "Because even in chaos, even under pressure, I get things done" "I am no different to every single person here in this constituency. I work hard. That is what we do" "Except things have changed a lot over the last few decades. Because working hard used to get you something" "It got you a house, a nice life, holidays. It got you somewhere" "But now? Working hard? What does that get you?" "Because talk to anyone here and they will tell you, the people who work hard but can't put food on the table, can't get their kids school uniforms, can't put their heating on, can't live off the pension they worked hard to save for, can't even begin to dream about ever having a holiday, ever "Because life has changed" "Instead of working for a nice life, we're working to line the pockets of billionaires" "We are being bled dry" "And I don't think it's extreme or radical to think working hard should get you a nice life" "And I don't think that if you're not able to work that you should still have a nice life" "I think that absolutely everybody should get a nice life" "And clearly, I'm not the only person who thinks that" "Because I've made clear my position and my commitment to working class communities, the community that I am from" "People in their thousands told me on the doorsteps and at the ballot box, that what we are sick of is being let down and looked down on, that we are sick of our hard work making other people rich" "I lived in this constituency at one of the most difficult and challenging periods of my life" "I saw how strong the community was at holding things together" "But I saw how much harder life is when the things around you are broken, the litter, the fly-tipping, the dirty air" "And when I moved, it became even clearer. And this is why I am fighting for the community that I lived in and that I still work in" "Because I absolutely refuse to accept that we should ever have to move and leave our our communities for good schools, a thriving high street, and clean air. And I will not accept a society where having more money gets you a longer life expectancy" "And so when it came to fighting for people here, to stand in this election, well, how could I not fight? Because here, this is what we do" "We fight for each other in this very diverse constituency, where our struggles might not always be the same, but where we know how hard life can be and we stick together" "Whatever our beliefs, our backgrounds, our color, or our level of education, we stick up for each other" "And to those who voted for me, I know that earning your trust starts now" "One vote on one night is not something I will take for granted or assume will happen again" "I will earn your trust" "And to those who didn't vote for me, I will always work hard for you, and I will always be honest, and I will always be decent" "To our Muslim communities, who this week suffered an attempted attack during Ramadan, whilst I was being welcomed by women at a mosque in Longsight, someone just down the road walked into a mosque carrying an axe" "And whilst we were gathered and eating together, an act of terror could easily have taken place" "And I can't and won't accept this victory tonight without calling out the politicians and divisive figures who constantly scapegoat and blame our communities for all the problems in society" "My Muslim friends and neighbors are just like me, human" "And of course, to our White working class communities, the background that I have become so proud to be from" "We know how it feels to be looked down on, maybe because we didn't do well at school, maybe because we do dirty manual jobs, because we are shut out of places we should be in" "To people here in Gorton and Denton, who feel left behind and isolated, I see you and I will fight for you" "Because whilst our communities may sometimes be labeled in different ways, the thing everyone seems to have underestimated here, especially over the last few weeks, is how similar we all actually are. How we have common ground, how we get along, how we stand up for each other" "The cracks that were starting to show can be healed, and I believe that it is through offering people hope and a chance to do things differently and do things better" "Now to my customers, I'm sorry, but I think I might have to cancel the work that you have booked in, because I'm heading to Parliament" "And when I get there, I will make space for everyone doing jobs like mine. We will finally get a seat at the table" "And to Layla, the little girl who had the pleasure of meeting and holding this week, I promised you I would try and improve the world that you are growing up in. I told you that I am not perfect, but that I always try my best" "I always try and do the right thing" "Now something exciting is definitely happening and I invite you all to be part of it" "Come and join the Green Party so that we can spread hope and win everywhere across the country" "Our strength will grow as more and more of us come together. We have shown that we don't have to accept being turned against each other" "We can demand better without hating each other. We can do that together" "We ran a hopeful campaign backed by thousands of volunteers and activists" "We defeated the parties of billionaire donors" "We have shown that we don't have to accept being turned against each other at all, and we did this with the people who live here side by side, shoulder to shoulder, just as we have always done in this constituency and in the whole of Greater Manchester. Because this is is Manchester and we do things differently here" "Thank you so, so much to everybody" "Thank you"

Farrukh

513,394 次观看 • 5 个月前

The last 20 Moni Wizards NFTs. WL Application is live. The Wizards collection is the highest access to everything Moni. Apply to get whitelisted: 20 seats left. After these, primary closes for good and the only way in is the secondary market. Funds from this sale go straight back into the build: more research, more Smarts coverage, more API surface, more community infrastructure. What’s inside? Full Moni platform access. The off-chain side of our stack and how you find alpha before it's alpha. Discover tracks where smart money is already looking: VCs, founders, alpha hunters, and influencers, in real time. You see the projects they're moving toward one to three weeks before they trend on the main timeline. Behind it: 15,000 hand-curated Smarts and millions of smart mentions collected over five years. Wizards get every filter, every list, every signal we expose internally. Daily and weekly Alpha Reports. Written by the Moni Research team, not aggregated from elsewhere. Our analysts hand-pick the best of what the engine surfaces each day and each week, then write up what the Smarts are watching, why it matters, and where the narrative is forming. Reports usually land in the Wizards Discord before any public version exists. Moni Social API. New for Wizards. The same API we give access to launchpads, exchanges, VCs, and analytical platforms. 30+ data types, 100,000+ tracked events per day, 5,000+ projects under coverage, Smart Mindshare endpoints, real-time and historical social signals. Think of it as the social intelligence layer you'd otherwise have to build yourself. Wizards get a data they can plug into their own tools, alert systems, or agents. Deep Research. One project at a time, long form, the same work we run inside Moni Research. Each one takes the team about a week. Thesis, ecosystem map, mechanism, risks, Smart positioning, what to watch for. Structured the way an analyst would actually use it, not a Twitter thread version of it. Private Wizards-only chats and community. The room where the 180 holders and the private Moni community already share early calls, deal flow, research drafts, and "look at this" moments before anything goes public. Most of the real work happens here, not in the Twitter version of Moni. Alpha bots and curated Smarts lists. The bots that track Smart movements in real time. The Twitter lists we don't share publicly because they are the actual edge. Wizards get both. Early access to every new Moni product. Whatever ships next, Wizards see it first. Sometimes the prototype, sometimes weeks before public release. The feedback loop runs straight back into the team. Partnership raffles and early-stage deal flow. Pre-seed and seed allocations from partner projects. Raffles, intros, primary access to things that come through the table and never leave it. Custom hand-drawn PFP. Designed by our artist around your call. Yours forever. How to buy. Fill the form. The team reads every answer. If your fit makes sense for what this circle is, we'll come back to you with everything you need to complete the purchase. Moni Wizards Opensea Page:

Moni 🧙‍♂️

49,244 次观看 • 2 个月前

When I was 8 years old, growing up in Taipei, I called my aunt in San Francisco and asked: What is the best science and technology school in the world? She said MIT. I went on the internet, found it, and decided that was where I was going. All because of a Steven Spielberg movie about a little robot boy who wanted to find his mom. I grew up as an only child. What stayed with me from that movie was not just the technology. It was the possibility that one day, an artificial companion could understand how I felt. That was the first time I remember being moved by a technology that could change how humans experience reality. Years later, I did get to MIT. I studied AI before it became obvious. I became a machine learning engineer, built my first company, joined a $3.5B VC fund, left to build again, failed, started again, moved to New York alone, and built through one of the hardest crypto markets as a solo founder after the collapse of FTX. I kept going because I have always been drawn to technologies that change how humans understand the world. AI was the first version of that. Crypto and prediction markets are the next. I believe the future I am building toward is inevitable. The only question is whether I get to be one of the people who helps realize it. That future is a world where markets become information-first. The old model of trading was asset-first. It rewarded people with capital, financial education, institutional access, and better tools. But the next generation of markets will be shaped by information flow, narrative, attention, politics, culture, sentiment, and collective belief. Prediction markets make this shift obvious. They are one of the first asset classes where the value is informational, not purely financial in the traditional sense. Your edge does not have to come from technical analysis or a traditional finance background. Your edge can come from knowing something before it becomes consensus. From seeing reality shift before the market prices it in. Someone with firsthand knowledge of an unfolding event can have more alpha than an institution with a much bigger balance sheet. They turn belief into price. But price alone is not enough. Polymarket shows what the market thinks will happen. ARES is built to understand why the market is changing. We are building an information-first trading platform for prediction markets and other narrative-driven assets. One that does not just show traders what is moving, but helps them understand why odds are shifting, why narratives are forming, and why the future is moving in a certain direction. But the bigger vision is not just a better trading terminal. We want to turn every trade into an information object. Every position can become a piece of content. Every market view can become a signal. Every trader can build a reputation around conviction and accuracy. Most feeds rank information by engagement. Who got the most likes. Who already has the biggest audience. Markets allow us to rank information differently. How much are you willing to stake on what you believe? How often have you been right? That creates a fundamentally different kind of media feed. One powered by conviction, track record, and market incentives. One that becomes harder to fake. One that can help people understand not just what the market thinks will happen, but why reality is changing. I also believe prediction markets are one of the few markets where humans can still have a real edge over AI. AI knows what is already on the internet. But humans experience reality before it becomes data. We see things before they become headlines. We hear things before they become reports. We feel shifts before they become consensus. If those signals can be priced, organized, and made legible, then more people can gain access to financial opportunity, information agency, and power. That is what Ares is building toward. I spent years watching founders from the VC side of the table, always thinking: I wish that was me. Now it is. I talked about this journey and the thesis behind Ares in my conversation with Dmitry on Predict Time If you are building, trading, investing, or thinking deeply about prediction markets and information markets, I would love for you to watch it. And if you want to collaborate on what we are building, contribute to the vision, or join the team, we are always open to exceptional people across functions. DMs are open.

Morgan Lai

302,663 次观看 • 3 个月前

Chamath: Frontier AI Leaders “Created a Total F*cking Mess” Short-sighted fearmongering and immaturity from frontier AI leaders has created deep mistrust, threatening AI’s potential as an open engine of economic mobility. That mistrust gives hyperscalers the chance to position themselves as trusted gatekeepers, using KYC, audit trails, and compliance infrastructure to turn AI into an oligopoly. Chamath Palihapitiya on the All-In Pod: “I think the leaders of the frontier labs leave a lot to be desired. I think what we're seeing is a consistent pattern of evasiveness and immaturity, and I think that does a huge disservice to the entire movement of AI. The key to a vibrant life is rooted in economic mobility, and I think AI is the grand leveler. It is the thing that can enable everyone to have unique amounts of economic mobility because they are unencumbered to figure out what their upper bound is. And against that backdrop, we have to live in this constant doomerism, hype cycle, naivety, and I think it holds us back. How does it hold us back? Tactically, number one, it creates mistrust. I think that Silicon Valley was already decaying in the prestige that it held in American society. We built important things. Then we veered away from that, and we started building less important things. And now we're at a point where we've potentially started to rebuild important things again, but we have this veneer of negativity and mistrust that are created in large part because we just cannot get our sh*t together. And the leaders of the frontier labs are public enemy number one. Number two, I think what it creates, which I think is bad, but what it creates is an incredible opportunity for the hyperscalers. And the very simple opportunity is to convince governments all around the world, not just America, that they should be the gatekeeper. A: You can't trust these guys. B: These models are all over the place. C: Let us be the ones that provision them to the world. We will wrap it in KYC. I've been now talking about KYC for a while, right? Who are these customers? Do they have identification? Why are they allowed to run these models? What are they prompting? Let's keep them so that there's an audit trail. All of these things are going to become issues. The Frontier Lab folks made it an issue because of how they've handled all of this up until now. And what does that create? Now that creates an oligopoly for AI, the most powerful economically leveling instrument we've ever seen in the hands of maybe a handful of hyperscalers, who by the way, would make an incredibly compelling argument, and they would be right. And the only counterfactual to it would be, ‘Well, trust us, guys, it should actually be much more open and in a far more distributed environment.’ Can you imagine the cost and the complexity if you ask the neoscaler to build the same robust KYC or the same VPC infrastructure that Amazon and Microsoft and Google have spent decades investing trillions of dollars in? It's an impossibility, Jason. So you can take all of those datacenters off the map. You can take all of the neoscaler market off the map. All of this was preventable. So instead of a diverse, robust, open ecosystem giving a tool that is the fundamental unlock for humans, we are now going to debate gatekeeping and duopoly versus oligopoly. They have created a total f*cking mess, and it's a shame.”

The All-In Podcast

141,660 次观看 • 1 个月前

Kobe Bryant cold-called Jony Ive, Oprah, and Nike's CEO to learn how they think: "I just cold-call people. Absolutely. I just cold-call people and pick their brain about stuff. Some of the questions I'll ask will seem really, really simple and stupid, quite honestly, for them. But if I don't know, I don't know. I have to ask. I want to learn more about how they build their business, how they run their companies, how they see the world." On who he calls: "We could start in the Nike family. I cold-call Mark Parker all the time. Johnny Ive. Dan Wieden. Oprah Winfrey. Arianna Huffington. Hillary Swank. It just goes on and on and on." Kobe explains why he called Jony Ive: "He's obviously unique in what he does. I want to know how does he view product? How does he view the process of designing product? How does he know when he has the product exactly where he wants it to be? How is he seeing the world differently than everybody else who's manufacturing hardware? There's something going on from the moment he sees something to when it goes into his brain, that's a different process than other designers. I'm curious to know what that is." Kobe visited Apple to learn: "I spent the day there, talking with Johnny, picking his brain about product. What makes them who they are? And why? Once you have the passion the thing that you're passionate about, now you can look at other people, other entities, works of art, and draw things from that to help you be better at what you do. By looking for those common denominators." Jony Ive asked Kobe the same questions in return: "Johnny wanted to know, how do I prepare? How do I study? How do I view the game? How do you build your game? My response is much like the way he builds products. You think sequentially. You look at the end result of what you want to create. But in order to create that, there are so many little things that go into this massive entity or device." Kobe continues: "It's no different than building my basketball game. You start with: where do you want your game to be? What would make your game most unstoppable or hard to deal with? Now you work backwards from there. You start building it one piece at a time. One move at a time. One counter at a time. There's a lot of similarities." On building his company, Kobe Inc: "We're just cranking away every day, building out the internal structure. Communicating the culture internally. Where are we going? Building out that model, that plan. We also don't want to get too far ahead of ourselves. I have this vision of where I'd like us to go, but it's important for us to go one step at a time." On what he'd tell other athletes about marketing: "For me, doing that, it seems like I should really just do it for free. Because what I'm going to tell them is: be yourself. That's it. Be you. There's no gimmick. You don't have to contrive anything. Who are you? Where are you today? What is your story? Where does that come from? Then all you're doing is communicating that story to the public." Kobe reflects on LeBron going back to Cleveland: "It depends how you shape the story. You stay in Miami, there's a great story you can mold around that. You go to Cleveland, there's a way you can mold that too. It really just depends on what his personal truth is. I think he communicated his truth extremely well, and that's what you have to stick to."

Jaynit

144,192 次观看 • 4 个月前