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How much would Alberta independence actually cost? We’ve heard $50B. $170B. Even an initial estimate approaching $400B. Keith Wilson, Dennis Kalma and the Alberta Transition Council have done the work to examine a different question: Can Alberta actually afford to govern itself? Forward to Freedom estimates $22.2–$32.1B in annual... fiscal capacity after accounting for existing services and the federal and sovereign responsibilities Alberta would assume. Read the Transition Plan. Read Forward to Freedom. Read the Budget and Costing Report. Read the opposing studies too. Then compare the assumptions and decide what you think. We’ve spent plenty of time asking what Alberta might lose. It’s worth asking what Alberta could GAIN. Read the Alberta Transition Council research⁠ at:show more

FarmGeek

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10,165 views • 8 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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45 Comments

Following the Threads 🇨🇦🇨🇦8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Your numbers and policies are not believable until the people who came up with them take some responsibility. Identify themselves and their credentials. I don’t believe a word you say. No accountability, no credibility.

FarmGeek8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Did you ask the same of our Premier when she threw out a $400 billion price tag for independence?

Following the Threads 🇨🇦🇨🇦8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma I don’t need to. I I already don’t trust a word that comes out of her mouth.

Ron Walton7 days ago

@miss_tanyac @ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma How about reading the starting point and the report Albertans are entitled to, at minimum, 12% ownership of all Dominion of Canada Net International assets and holdings. Plus CPP

Following the Threads 🇨🇦🇨🇦7 days ago

@miss_tanyac @ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma The CPP is mine and everyone else’s that has paid into it. Not the Separatists. Also I am not going to believe or trust a report that the authors have not taken accountability for writing.

Ron S. Friedman8 days ago

At the moment, the referendum is not even about independence. It's about: 1. Keep the situation as is, with less available options. 2. Keep the seperation option on the table, that can be used in negotiations with Ottawa as leverage. My take, more options is better than fewer options.

Brian8 days ago

@ikwilson @ATCAlberta @DennisKalma It’s well worth the chance to be rid of the east.

Clay Thompson.7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Give it up and crawl back in your hole

Jeffrey Rath8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma You mean THE VALUE OF FREEDOM that Keith is putting his name on? 😂

Third Most Albertan Man in the World8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Alberta has been the economic engine of Canada despite Ottawa putting every roadblock possible in our path while siphoning off tens of billions each year to assist the ne'er do wells. It boggles the mind that anyone could think Alberta can't prosper on our own. No costing needed.

aggs8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma This whole thing is a bad look for those at the helm. They’re fighting amongst themselves, with no clear plan for government or its structure. The divide is real, and it’s sad we’ve reached this point. All Canadians deserve equal representation and a voice. 🇨🇦

FarmGeek8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma I really wish folks would look less at being LEAD and more at taking individual action to secure Alberta’s future.

aggs8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma You can’t run a province without structure! There are other government systems out there that work very well, but this isn’t going to change anything. All it does is divide us further. Maybe that’s the point? 🤔

Mikey118 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Get a grip..all of your leaders are either stealing from their own family over 1,000,000 dollars,rath owes over 11,000,000 to indigenous people who stole and the crib keeper from his sport store is a racist ...can't make this shit up..go back under the rock you people came from.

FarmGeek8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma That’s a weird way of saying have a nice day. ✌🏽

Shug Mungus (thee/thou)🇨🇦7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma You people have no plausible plan beyond burning it all down. Of course Alberta separation would be a disaster.

TW7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma

Rock Quarry8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma

RogueKiwi7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Wow you're getting some hate and crazy comments. Hang in there girl! I love your combine videos ❤️ The thing is say when people ask if we can afford it....of course we can. We're already subsidizing the rest of Canada!

WillyJim🍁7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Legit question, why don’t you all start an Alberta separatist party?

The Harsh Reality 🇨🇦7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Have you considered that the Forward to Freedom estimate is so low because they estimated $0 for all of the costs they didn't know?

Thesis Pi7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Separatists are bad at math. Maybe stop counting other people's money...

2 + 2 = 47 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma In some way shape or form, Alberta needs to govern itself. If that is through separation, so be it.

hopper9907 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma The Unionized Elbows up crowd will never allow us to break free of our yokes. I hope so but I'll be very surprised if we'll be successful this round. Then they'll probably pass a phoney law to remove our ability to even vote on it ever again. The plan is to indenture us for life

Relicdog667 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Alberta Independance cost = billions, Alberta Independence and sovereignty value = priceless.

Ron Walton7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma All my life

Aaron Weeks8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Hey Tanya, none of that matters when none of you are adult enough to have a conversation with people who disagree with you… You can’t have democracy without dialogue… None of that matters when your ring leaders are raging liberals…

Watch_Dawg8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma You ZERO balanced the big ticket items...you have no credibility!!

Kasei Todou | Privacy for AB8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Guys I would like to let you guys know that if the binding vote passes, I will be proposing my #ABATAct at convention. Foreign censors will either have to get in line or pay the costs.

David Ferretti7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma It wouldn’t cost anything because Alberta won’t leave. What we’ll gain is leverage if Ottawa THINKS we’ll leave. Vote accordingly.

Glenn8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Everyone’s got an opinion… we all do and you know what that means! Oh save the “experts”. Why are they all libtards or NDP weaklings?

P.Rose8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Are you telling me the people you guys used which you won't give names for are more qualified? Trevor Tombe - economic professor Kent Fellows — a. professor of economics John Lester — public-finance/economic-policy specialist Robert Johnston Carlo Dade Anthony Sayers Jen Winter

Jeff Hutton8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma ROTFL

Wizard8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Keep ot up

Brian Poncelet7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Education time Alberta couldn’t even run the Heritage fund. They squandered billions using it as an ATM. Thinking a new set of politicians is going to fix the problem means you are delusional. The numbers they are using is assuming oil is going to remain high. That’s wrong.

FarmGeek6 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma So after those points, your solution is to vote for more of the same??

Brian Poncelet6 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma No most politicians will tell you what you want to hear. The problem is the people who want to separate are trying to tell you that everything is going to be fantastic. The reality is Canada is stronger together. The #Trump fiasco is a perfect example.

TiredOfTech 🇺🇸7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma How do you put a price on freedom? The cost of not doing it is perpetual servitude.

Jr T7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Laughable estimates. You should be ashamed trying to swindle people.

Hrafin7 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma The transition council is a shadow group, how can you trust a shadow organization that operates in secrecy ?

FarmGeek6 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma lol says the guy hiding behind a shadowy, secret X account

RSM8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma

alancaster8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Seeing you sit in the combine while you share your thoughts really makes me buy into the farmer narrative you have cultivated so well.

FarmGeek8 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma Don’t have many options for where to make a video these days unless it’s from the combine cab. I’m not sure if that was a compliment or a backhanded dig, but you have a good day!

alancaster6 days ago

@ATCAlberta @ikwilson @DennisKalma I guess you'll never know...

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Mocha Bezirgan 🇨🇦

117,452 views • 4 months ago

Something is changing in Alberta… and you can feel it. Drone shots of a convoy rolling into Mirror. Trucks and cars lined up. Horns blaring. Alberta flags waving in the wind. An anthem playing over top that captures exactly what this moment feels like. Pride. Unity. Momentum. This wasn’t just a group of people showing up. These were volunteers and canvassers who had just spent an entire day traveling town to town, knocking on doors, reaching communities with no permanent signing locations, and collecting hundreds of signatures for Alberta independence. And then they came together to celebrate. Young and old. Rural and urban. All united by one idea: 👉 Alberta can stand on its own 👉 Alberta deserves a future built by Albertans 👉 Alberta is waking up I’m proud to have been part of it. And here’s the truth… If you’re watching this and thinking “I wish I was there” — you can be part of the next one. We are just getting warmed up. There are going to be more convoys, more rallies, and bigger gatherings all summer long. So here’s what you do: Get yourself a big blue beautiful Alberta flag Grab a few friends Show up next time Be part of something that actually matters. 🚨 HOW TO SIGN THE PETITION If you haven’t signed yet, this is critical: • You must sign in person • Look for an official Elections Alberta canvasser (badge required) • There are pop-up signing locations happening all over Alberta • There are permanent signing locations listed at • And there are canvassers going door-to-door right now This is how we turn momentum into real action. This isn’t just about a petition. It’s about the future of this province. And from what I saw in Mirror… Alberta is ready.

Something is changing in Alberta… and you can feel it. Drone shots of a convoy rolling into Mirror. Trucks and cars lined up. Horns blaring. Alberta flags waving in the wind. An anthem playing over top that captures exactly what this moment feels like. Pride. Unity. Momentum. This wasn’t just a group of people showing up. These were volunteers and canvassers who had just spent an entire day traveling town to town, knocking on doors, reaching communities with no permanent signing locations, and collecting hundreds of signatures for Alberta independence. And then they came together to celebrate. Young and old. Rural and urban. All united by one idea: 👉 Alberta can stand on its own 👉 Alberta deserves a future built by Albertans 👉 Alberta is waking up I’m proud to have been part of it. And here’s the truth… If you’re watching this and thinking “I wish I was there” — you can be part of the next one. We are just getting warmed up. There are going to be more convoys, more rallies, and bigger gatherings all summer long. So here’s what you do: Get yourself a big blue beautiful Alberta flag Grab a few friends Show up next time Be part of something that actually matters. 🚨 HOW TO SIGN THE PETITION If you haven’t signed yet, this is critical: • You must sign in person • Look for an official Elections Alberta canvasser (badge required) • There are pop-up signing locations happening all over Alberta • There are permanent signing locations listed at • And there are canvassers going door-to-door right now This is how we turn momentum into real action. This isn’t just about a petition. It’s about the future of this province. And from what I saw in Mirror… Alberta is ready.

Jon Alberta Patriot

56,386 views • 6 months ago

In Stettler, I talked with a cattle rancher sitting in his pickup with his child. We had a frank conversation about Alberta independence, the United States, staying in Canada, and what kind of future he wants for his family. He told us he strongly supports Alberta independence and most of his friends do as well. He agreed to take an Alberta independence sign for his property. That matters. Because this movement grows one honest conversation at a time. One truck window at a time. One farm gate at a time. One highway property at a time. One Alberta flag at a time. If you live in rural Alberta, put up a sign. Put up an Alberta flag. Especially if your property is along a highway where thousands of people pass by and see it. But this needs to happen everywhere. Towns. Cities. Farms. Acreages. Suburbs. Main streets. Donate to Pathway to Independence so more signs can be printed. Volunteer to help hand them out. Get one for your own lawn. Signs and info: Cory Morgan Watch the full video: Alberta independence will not happen by accident. It will happen because ordinary Albertans decide to stand up publicly.

In Stettler, I talked with a cattle rancher sitting in his pickup with his child. We had a frank conversation about Alberta independence, the United States, staying in Canada, and what kind of future he wants for his family. He told us he strongly supports Alberta independence and most of his friends do as well. He agreed to take an Alberta independence sign for his property. That matters. Because this movement grows one honest conversation at a time. One truck window at a time. One farm gate at a time. One highway property at a time. One Alberta flag at a time. If you live in rural Alberta, put up a sign. Put up an Alberta flag. Especially if your property is along a highway where thousands of people pass by and see it. But this needs to happen everywhere. Towns. Cities. Farms. Acreages. Suburbs. Main streets. Donate to Pathway to Independence so more signs can be printed. Volunteer to help hand them out. Get one for your own lawn. Signs and info: Cory Morgan Watch the full video: Alberta independence will not happen by accident. It will happen because ordinary Albertans decide to stand up publicly.

Jon Alberta Patriot

15,343 views • 3 months ago

🚨 We're launching an Alberta independence campaign — and this is why we had to do it We’re going 'all in' on the independence referendum on October 19. I have major news to share with you. We are officially launching Act For Alberta — a legally registered third-party campaign group supporting the Alberta independence petition drive, which is ending on May 2, 2026. When Alberta independence goes to a referendum later this Fall, Act for Alberta will also be there. "Third party" doesn't mean we're forming a political party. Think of it as a SuperPAC: the same kind of organization we've set up federally for past elections. In Alberta, this registration is the only legal path for us toadvertise in support of Alberta independence, both during the petition drive, and during this Fall’s referendum. If we don't register, Elections Alberta can — and will — prosecute us. So: reason number one is legal protection. Act for Alberta will advocate fearlessly in favour of the Yes campaign, you know the bureaucrats would come for us otherwise. Reason number two is that the mainstream media, and the entire establishment — every major political party, every major media outlet, every union, every TV talk show — is going to go to war against Alberta. Alberta is about to be overrun by pro-Liberal, pro-Carney, anti-Alberta propaganda. Someone needs to fight back. Reason number three is even more simple: we genuinely believe in this independence referendum, and we believe Albertans should have their say. Two weeks ago, a citizens' petition with more than 170,000 signatures was submitted to trigger a constitutional referendum on Alberta independence. I love the idea of a referendum. Let the people speak! There are issues that politicians refuse to touch because they're too scared or politically correct — and Alberta independence is exactly the kind of thing ordinary people talk about privately that official people are terrified to mention publicly. Now, ordinary people get a vote, even if politicians are afraid. This is your chance to be part of it. Please visit our website at right now to learn more and find out how you can help — before this campaign really heats up. Here’s what's at stake. Quebec has had two independence referendums — the last one came within 0.5% of passing — and no one called them traitors for it. The Supreme Court of Canada has confirmed these votes are legal. Parliament passed the Clarity Act specifically to govern how such a vote works. And yet when Albertans ask for the same democratic remedy, the regime media calls it treason, and government lawyers line up to say why only Quebec gets those votes, not Albertans. Why the double standard? Because the establishment makes a very good living off Alberta, and they will say and do anything to protect that arrangement. Alberta sends $20 billion a year to Ottawa — only to have its pipelines blocked, its oil tankers banned (while OPEC tankers sail freely into eastern ports), and its workers ruled out of senior federal jobs for not speaking French. Here's the question I keep coming back to: if Alberta were its own country today, would it vote to join Ottawa on these terms? I doubt it. Visit to see how we're going to make that case. going to fight on the Yes side using real professional campaign tools: TV ads, digital ads, our billboard truck, and public events. Because every powerful institution in Canada has already lined up against this referendum. Alberta needs a fearless, unapologetic voice on the other side. That's us. We need your help. Please go to to join us. The independence referendum is October 19th, barely six months away. Elections Alberta bureaucrats would love nothing more than to prosecute Rebel News for daring to speak up during this campaign. So we registered Act For Alberta as a third-party campaign group. Now they can't touch us. We're going all in - stand with us. This is the exact playbook Quebec used — twice. The separatist Bloc Québécois has sat in Parliament for decades and no one blinks. The Parti Québécois is currently leading the polls in Quebec. But when Albertans ask for the same democratic conversation, the regime calls it treason. That double standard is exactly why this referendum matters — and why we're fighting for it. Alberta sends $20 billion to Ottawa every year. In return: blocked pipelines, cancelled LNG projects, banned oil tankers, and sneers at us because they think Alberta has nowhere else to go. Well, now Alberta does have somewhere else to go. The U.S. has already said they'd buy Alberta oil if Alberta were independent.

🚨 We're launching an Alberta independence campaign — and this is why we had to do it We’re going 'all in' on the independence referendum on October 19. I have major news to share with you. We are officially launching Act For Alberta — a legally registered third-party campaign group supporting the Alberta independence petition drive, which is ending on May 2, 2026. When Alberta independence goes to a referendum later this Fall, Act for Alberta will also be there. "Third party" doesn't mean we're forming a political party. Think of it as a SuperPAC: the same kind of organization we've set up federally for past elections. In Alberta, this registration is the only legal path for us toadvertise in support of Alberta independence, both during the petition drive, and during this Fall’s referendum. If we don't register, Elections Alberta can — and will — prosecute us. So: reason number one is legal protection. Act for Alberta will advocate fearlessly in favour of the Yes campaign, you know the bureaucrats would come for us otherwise. Reason number two is that the mainstream media, and the entire establishment — every major political party, every major media outlet, every union, every TV talk show — is going to go to war against Alberta. Alberta is about to be overrun by pro-Liberal, pro-Carney, anti-Alberta propaganda. Someone needs to fight back. Reason number three is even more simple: we genuinely believe in this independence referendum, and we believe Albertans should have their say. Two weeks ago, a citizens' petition with more than 170,000 signatures was submitted to trigger a constitutional referendum on Alberta independence. I love the idea of a referendum. Let the people speak! There are issues that politicians refuse to touch because they're too scared or politically correct — and Alberta independence is exactly the kind of thing ordinary people talk about privately that official people are terrified to mention publicly. Now, ordinary people get a vote, even if politicians are afraid. This is your chance to be part of it. Please visit our website at right now to learn more and find out how you can help — before this campaign really heats up. Here’s what's at stake. Quebec has had two independence referendums — the last one came within 0.5% of passing — and no one called them traitors for it. The Supreme Court of Canada has confirmed these votes are legal. Parliament passed the Clarity Act specifically to govern how such a vote works. And yet when Albertans ask for the same democratic remedy, the regime media calls it treason, and government lawyers line up to say why only Quebec gets those votes, not Albertans. Why the double standard? Because the establishment makes a very good living off Alberta, and they will say and do anything to protect that arrangement. Alberta sends $20 billion a year to Ottawa — only to have its pipelines blocked, its oil tankers banned (while OPEC tankers sail freely into eastern ports), and its workers ruled out of senior federal jobs for not speaking French. Here's the question I keep coming back to: if Alberta were its own country today, would it vote to join Ottawa on these terms? I doubt it. Visit to see how we're going to make that case. going to fight on the Yes side using real professional campaign tools: TV ads, digital ads, our billboard truck, and public events. Because every powerful institution in Canada has already lined up against this referendum. Alberta needs a fearless, unapologetic voice on the other side. That's us. We need your help. Please go to to join us. The independence referendum is October 19th, barely six months away. Elections Alberta bureaucrats would love nothing more than to prosecute Rebel News for daring to speak up during this campaign. So we registered Act For Alberta as a third-party campaign group. Now they can't touch us. We're going all in - stand with us. This is the exact playbook Quebec used — twice. The separatist Bloc Québécois has sat in Parliament for decades and no one blinks. The Parti Québécois is currently leading the polls in Quebec. But when Albertans ask for the same democratic conversation, the regime calls it treason. That double standard is exactly why this referendum matters — and why we're fighting for it. Alberta sends $20 billion to Ottawa every year. In return: blocked pipelines, cancelled LNG projects, banned oil tankers, and sneers at us because they think Alberta has nowhere else to go. Well, now Alberta does have somewhere else to go. The U.S. has already said they'd buy Alberta oil if Alberta were independent.

Rebel News

83,429 views • 5 months ago

This is it - the final push. With just one week to go until the April 22 membership deadline, our journey is at a crucial juncture. I’m asking for your help to get your friends, family and neighbours to sign up for a $10 Alberta NDP membership to ensure they can vote in the leadership race in June. Visit buy your membership today. Our ability to shape a better Alberta hinges on what we do right now. For Alberta. For all of us.

This is it - the final push. With just one week to go until the April 22 membership deadline, our journey is at a crucial juncture. I’m asking for your help to get your friends, family and neighbours to sign up for a $10 Alberta NDP membership to ensure they can vote in the leadership race in June. Visit buy your membership today. Our ability to shape a better Alberta hinges on what we do right now. For Alberta. For all of us.

Naheed Nenshi

76,155 views • 2 years ago

One of my jobs as Premier is to prove Alberta can be strong and prosperous within Canada. We’ve spent months negotiating with the federal government and have come to an agreement that includes the cancellation of the oil and gas production cap, and the net-zero power regs in Alberta. My hope is that as we work to implement this agreement, and advance a new million barrel per day oil pipeline to Asian markets, Albertans will see a bright future as a strong and sovereign province within a united Canada.

One of my jobs as Premier is to prove Alberta can be strong and prosperous within Canada. We’ve spent months negotiating with the federal government and have come to an agreement that includes the cancellation of the oil and gas production cap, and the net-zero power regs in Alberta. My hope is that as we work to implement this agreement, and advance a new million barrel per day oil pipeline to Asian markets, Albertans will see a bright future as a strong and sovereign province within a united Canada.

Danielle Smith

47,939 views • 10 months ago

Alberta separatism poses a real threat to our nation. Danielle Smith is entirely responsible for allowing the separatist rhetoric to continue. It’s also a distraction from the real issues facing Alberta right now, like the health care crisis in our hospitals and emergency rooms. We’ve already seen in Quebec and the UK the immense economic damage separatism referenda leave in their wake. Don’t forget, this Premier and her UCP government changed the rules on citizen initiatives to allow this petition to move forward. They lowered the threshold for signatures, they took away powers from Elections Alberta and the Chief Electoral Officer and gave them to the Minister of Justice. They conveniently raised the application fee only after this separatist petition was approved by the Minister himself. This isn’t leadership for Alberta or for Canada. We can do better for all of us.

Alberta separatism poses a real threat to our nation. Danielle Smith is entirely responsible for allowing the separatist rhetoric to continue. It’s also a distraction from the real issues facing Alberta right now, like the health care crisis in our hospitals and emergency rooms. We’ve already seen in Quebec and the UK the immense economic damage separatism referenda leave in their wake. Don’t forget, this Premier and her UCP government changed the rules on citizen initiatives to allow this petition to move forward. They lowered the threshold for signatures, they took away powers from Elections Alberta and the Chief Electoral Officer and gave them to the Minister of Justice. They conveniently raised the application fee only after this separatist petition was approved by the Minister himself. This isn’t leadership for Alberta or for Canada. We can do better for all of us.

Naheed Nenshi

94,541 views • 8 months ago