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Humanoids will do the testing and assembly, and eventually robots will make and manufacture themselves. Maybe in 10 years?

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Tuo Liu

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194,929 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Talking at CES 2025, Elon Musk says Tesla will build 500,000 humanoid robots in 3 years and there will eventually be 20-30 billion robots in the world, resulting in unbounded economic growth and a Universal High Income for everyone
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Talking at CES 2025, Elon Musk says Tesla will build 500,000 humanoid robots in 3 years and there will eventually be 20-30 billion robots in the world, resulting in unbounded economic growth and a Universal High Income for everyone

Tsarathustra

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This is Figure III announced today. I’m sorry but every other form factor besides humanoids will be crushed 🦾🤖🦾 I keep hearing people starting specialized robotics companies, “like robots for laundry”. And the pitch is: “you don’t need a humanoid form factor to do laundry, it can be much simpler”. That’s true. But, humanoids can do everything and will become the default form factor and so will be mass manufactured and so will be extremely cheap compared to lower volume robots. Its so obvious, it will be humanoids doing laundry, not a specialized laundry robot 🤦‍♂️ The one main exception to that might be line work in a factory where you do just need the arms and you can mass manufacture them (a al Proception)
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This is Figure III announced today. I’m sorry but every other form factor besides humanoids will be crushed 🦾🤖🦾 I keep hearing people starting specialized robotics companies, “like robots for laundry”. And the pitch is: “you don’t need a humanoid form factor to do laundry, it can be much simpler”. That’s true. But, humanoids can do everything and will become the default form factor and so will be mass manufactured and so will be extremely cheap compared to lower volume robots. Its so obvious, it will be humanoids doing laundry, not a specialized laundry robot 🤦‍♂️ The one main exception to that might be line work in a factory where you do just need the arms and you can mass manufacture them (a al Proception)

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it's been 60 years and then it'll be 100 years and then eventually 500 years will pass and nobody will ever be able to make a movie as good as the sound of music
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it's been 60 years and then it'll be 100 years and then eventually 500 years will pass and nobody will ever be able to make a movie as good as the sound of music

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“Coffee with Kenny” Will robots cook and clean for you in 20 years. Cars are driving you around by themselves right now.
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Elon Musk: In the future, robots and AI will make working optional, leading to universal high income. But there will be trauma and disruption along the way.
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Elon Musk: In the future, robots and AI will make working optional, leading to universal high income. But there will be trauma and disruption along the way.

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- In 10 years, AI will be smarter than the smartest human. - There will be billions of humanoid robots. - All cars will be self driving, 90% of miles driven will be autonomous. - Goods and services will become close to free.
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I’ve been in medical for 10 years. The nurses will laugh in the break rooms and so do the doctors.
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I’ve been in medical for 10 years. The nurses will laugh in the break rooms and so do the doctors.

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In 5-10 years, every office is going to need a few humanoids. They will grab water, organize deliveries, clean the office, and basically work as your office assistant or secretary.
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Jensen Huang says humanoid robots will become as common as cars and there will be significant breakthroughs in robotics in the next 2-3 years
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🚨NEW: Andrew Tate says Influencers and Streamers will be GONE in the next 10 years: "In 10 years, Influencers will be nobodies."
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Bernt Bornich says the distinction between digital AI and robotics AI will go away – robots help AI learn by testing hypotheses in the real world.
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Unfortunately Frank, Rose, Bob and Gary the humanoids all just lost their jobs to a pair of faster, lower cost, more reliable robot arms. Superhuman robots will beat humanoids for every industrial application with scale.
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Unfortunately Frank, Rose, Bob and Gary the humanoids all just lost their jobs to a pair of faster, lower cost, more reliable robot arms. Superhuman robots will beat humanoids for every industrial application with scale.

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I NEED YOU TO UNDERSTAND SOMETHING. You will be the first and the very few. AI and robots will be able to do what this 1949 film series I have in—10 years. I train personal AI that will detect this BEFORE it happens. This effect of AI hypnosis is very real. WATCH the film…
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I NEED YOU TO UNDERSTAND SOMETHING. You will be the first and the very few. AI and robots will be able to do what this 1949 film series I have in—10 years. I train personal AI that will detect this BEFORE it happens. This effect of AI hypnosis is very real. WATCH the film…

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Not using your humanoid to make humanoids is proof that humanoids are a scam. All commercial applications with scale will be won by super-human, purpose-build robots.
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Not using your humanoid to make humanoids is proof that humanoids are a scam. All commercial applications with scale will be won by super-human, purpose-build robots.

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ELON: WILL OUR LIVES STILL HAVE MEANING IF COMPUTERS AND ROBOTS OUTPERFORM US? “At some point, as AI and robotics get better, eventually AI will be able to do everything that humans can do. Any task you do will be optional, like a hobby. It does beg the question, will our lives have meaning if the computers and the robots can do everything better than we can? That is a real question. I do wonder about that myself. That's maybe why we need the Neuralink, so we can enhance human capability, so we can keep up with the machines.” Source: Interview with Mark Penn at CES, January 8, 2025
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ELON: WILL OUR LIVES STILL HAVE MEANING IF COMPUTERS AND ROBOTS OUTPERFORM US? “At some point, as AI and robotics get better, eventually AI will be able to do everything that humans can do. Any task you do will be optional, like a hobby. It does beg the question, will our lives have meaning if the computers and the robots can do everything better than we can? That is a real question. I do wonder about that myself. That's maybe why we need the Neuralink, so we can enhance human capability, so we can keep up with the machines.” Source: Interview with Mark Penn at CES, January 8, 2025

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Elon Musk: There's an 80%-90% chance AI will usher humanity into a phase of extreme prosperity. “In 10 years, AI can probably do almost anything better than a human cognitively. Based on the current rate of improvement, AI will be smarter than the smartest human. There will also be a massive number of robots, ultimately billions of humanoid robots. All cars will be self-driving. Goods and services will become close to free. Tens of billions of robots will make you anything or provide any service you want for basically next to nothing. People will actually have a much higher standard of living. The challenge will be how do you derive fulfillment and meaning in life? [An AI Apocalypse] is 20% likely, maybe 10%, but you can look at it in this way: The glass is 80% to 90% full—meaning it's 80% likely we will have extreme prosperity for all.” Verdict with Ted Cruz, March 17, 2025
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Elon Musk: There's an 80%-90% chance AI will usher humanity into a phase of extreme prosperity. “In 10 years, AI can probably do almost anything better than a human cognitively. Based on the current rate of improvement, AI will be smarter than the smartest human. There will also be a massive number of robots, ultimately billions of humanoid robots. All cars will be self-driving. Goods and services will become close to free. Tens of billions of robots will make you anything or provide any service you want for basically next to nothing. People will actually have a much higher standard of living. The challenge will be how do you derive fulfillment and meaning in life? [An AI Apocalypse] is 20% likely, maybe 10%, but you can look at it in this way: The glass is 80% to 90% full—meaning it's 80% likely we will have extreme prosperity for all.” Verdict with Ted Cruz, March 17, 2025

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Ukraine has received two humanoid robots, Phantom MK-1, for testing on the front lines. According to Time, the machines are currently being used for reconnaissance, but their creators claim that these robots will eventually be able to use any weapon accessible to humans and could perform combat tasks in the future. The developers believe that deploying humanoid machines on the battlefield could reduce soldier casualties and increase operational accuracy, as robots do not experience fear or fatigue and can operate in extreme conditions.

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🇺🇸 Elon: in 10 years, 90% of all distance driven will be driven by AI, and owning your own car will be a niche thing. He expects humanoid robots to be pretty much everywhere in the same timeframe, and says the economic output of a world with highly productive robots could be 10 to 100 times bigger than today. His term for it: not universal basic income, but universal high income, where pretty much anyone can have whatever they want. The cars drive themselves, the robots do the work, and everyone gets rich. That's the pitch. Source: Samson International Smart Mobility Summit, Elon Musk

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According to Bill Gates, widespread automation—from AI to robots and autonomous vehicles—will reduce the need for human jobs within 2-4 years. "That'll free up resources to do other things." "Eventually, society is better off."
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According to Bill Gates, widespread automation—from AI to robots and autonomous vehicles—will reduce the need for human jobs within 2-4 years. "That'll free up resources to do other things." "Eventually, society is better off."

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