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I keep wondering which analysts are being completely honest about what they think they are seeing right now. I will readily admit one of my own limitations is longevity. I have studied a lot of economic history, but I have not personally lived through enough cycles as an analyst... to have the kind of pattern recognition that comes from watching turning points develop in real time over decades. There are people who do have that intuition. They have seen enough cycles to recognize when the headline data and the underlying economy start telling different stories. They can look at a low hire, low fire labor market, understand how seasonal adjustments and lagging models can make deterioration look deceptively stable, and diagnose where we are in the cycle before the consensus catches up. Those are the people I want to hear from right now. Who do you all think has that kind of judgment and is willing to say what they actually see?show more

EndGame Macro

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11,731 просмотров • 6 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 JAMIE CARRAGHER: “ARSENAL ARE ONLY BETTER DEFENSIVELY — THEY’VE GOT NOTHING TO OFFER AFTER THAT.” 🎙️ Jamie Carragher: “Look, you are looking at arguably the best defensive team in world football. Arsenal are incredibly difficult to break down, they are organised, disciplined and they make life very uncomfortable for the opposition. But if we’re being honest, what else are they giving you? It wasn’t a classic. There wasn’t amazing attacking play, there weren’t loads of chances and there wasn’t that much creativity. As a former defender, I can appreciate what Arsenal do without the ball because, defensively, they are excellent. But football isn’t only about defending. When Arsenal have the ball, I still don’t see enough to convince me that they are a complete team. They can control games, they can keep clean sheets, they can frustrate you, but where is the real attacking threat? Where is the creativity? Where is that fear factor going forward? For me, that is the difference. Arsenal are better defensively, absolutely. But after that, I’m not sure what they offer that makes you think they are genuinely superior to the top attacking sides in this league. You can have the best defensive structure in the world, but eventually you have to create something, score goals and win games with the ball. And right now, I think Arsenal’s defending is carrying far more of the conversation than their football going forward.”

🚨 JAMIE CARRAGHER: “ARSENAL ARE ONLY BETTER DEFENSIVELY — THEY’VE GOT NOTHING TO OFFER AFTER THAT.” 🎙️ Jamie Carragher: “Look, you are looking at arguably the best defensive team in world football. Arsenal are incredibly difficult to break down, they are organised, disciplined and they make life very uncomfortable for the opposition. But if we’re being honest, what else are they giving you? It wasn’t a classic. There wasn’t amazing attacking play, there weren’t loads of chances and there wasn’t that much creativity. As a former defender, I can appreciate what Arsenal do without the ball because, defensively, they are excellent. But football isn’t only about defending. When Arsenal have the ball, I still don’t see enough to convince me that they are a complete team. They can control games, they can keep clean sheets, they can frustrate you, but where is the real attacking threat? Where is the creativity? Where is that fear factor going forward? For me, that is the difference. Arsenal are better defensively, absolutely. But after that, I’m not sure what they offer that makes you think they are genuinely superior to the top attacking sides in this league. You can have the best defensive structure in the world, but eventually you have to create something, score goals and win games with the ball. And right now, I think Arsenal’s defending is carrying far more of the conversation than their football going forward.”

MatchReport

25,285 просмотров • 24 дней назад

This is what men with low self esteem who are not confident in their sexuality do in their free time. They are so scared of being called "gay" or are not sure if they might be that they have to prove to the world and themselves that they are not. This is not a turn-on for women by the way. At least not any I have ever met.

This is what men with low self esteem who are not confident in their sexuality do in their free time. They are so scared of being called "gay" or are not sure if they might be that they have to prove to the world and themselves that they are not. This is not a turn-on for women by the way. At least not any I have ever met.

Brian Krassenstein

1,803,759 просмотров • 2 лет назад

There is a state park by me that closes when the sun goes down for safety reasons. I always see people find a way in there to do what they need to do. No matter what they do mayor be add a gate or even have more law enforcement, there’s no stopping it. These people are sitting in their car. They see people walking in and out of the woods while they are sitting there eating and chatting. The people going in and out look so out of place, like they are in a zombie apocalypse. If I saw people just struggling in and out of the woods, looking dirty, no flashlights at all. I would think they are up to something. Especially for the hikers making their way back and hearing rumbling and voices I would be creeped out too.

There is a state park by me that closes when the sun goes down for safety reasons. I always see people find a way in there to do what they need to do. No matter what they do mayor be add a gate or even have more law enforcement, there’s no stopping it. These people are sitting in their car. They see people walking in and out of the woods while they are sitting there eating and chatting. The people going in and out look so out of place, like they are in a zombie apocalypse. If I saw people just struggling in and out of the woods, looking dirty, no flashlights at all. I would think they are up to something. Especially for the hikers making their way back and hearing rumbling and voices I would be creeped out too.

SonnyBoy🇺🇸

1,158,672 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

One of the followers sent these videos in. I am sent so many videos like this lately. This has gone past the point of “racism”. People are just sick and tired of this shit and they are using my page as an outlet to make themselves heard. What makes it worse is these people dont even like us. It’s sad to see this is coming from one of our churches. They have every right to feel this way and they have every right to post it. We live in a society of free speech and if anyone doesn’t like it you can just unfollow or block the page. I don’t want anything to do with you and I have no interest in your opinion. I refuse to silence people from having an opinion on what is happening to their home.

One of the followers sent these videos in. I am sent so many videos like this lately. This has gone past the point of “racism”. People are just sick and tired of this shit and they are using my page as an outlet to make themselves heard. What makes it worse is these people dont even like us. It’s sad to see this is coming from one of our churches. They have every right to feel this way and they have every right to post it. We live in a society of free speech and if anyone doesn’t like it you can just unfollow or block the page. I don’t want anything to do with you and I have no interest in your opinion. I refuse to silence people from having an opinion on what is happening to their home.

Around Liverpool

55,277 просмотров • 13 дней назад

Some people say that I have an identity crisis, but here is the answer: My name is Cherinet, I was born in Ethiopia, grew up in Kenya, and studied from high school to University in America. I fluently speak 6 languages: English, Swahili, Tigregna, Amharic, Afan Oromo, and French. I have traveled to over 23 countries and continue to and I have worked with all types of race, creed, religion, gender and etc. In all of it I have come to realize that we are all humans and Ethics is what sets as apart from each other not who we are as human. Without ethics and rationality you are doomed.

Some people say that I have an identity crisis, but here is the answer: My name is Cherinet, I was born in Ethiopia, grew up in Kenya, and studied from high school to University in America. I fluently speak 6 languages: English, Swahili, Tigregna, Amharic, Afan Oromo, and French. I have traveled to over 23 countries and continue to and I have worked with all types of race, creed, religion, gender and etc. In all of it I have come to realize that we are all humans and Ethics is what sets as apart from each other not who we are as human. Without ethics and rationality you are doomed.

Cherinet Hariffo

38,924 просмотров • 2 лет назад

VTubing is for everyone! I don't like to bring this up, but recent events in the VTuber community made some people really vile. I had my M&G at HolMat last week and had people come up and just yell at me for being a girl in the "womans world", that is VTubing, no idea about who I was, or why I was there. I had the same group return to my handler multiple times, I felt really worried about the person carrying me around having to deal with this repeatedly and tried to steer them away from the group. It seems they found my YT and left me a handful of the same comments, luckily all caught by moderation tools. While I will refrain from M&G's for a little until this calms down I want to say this; I have been managing for over 1.5 years now, I deliberately take on male VTubers to show them that they can still do it. I take on people that have babiniku accounts, those that are changing from one gender presentation to another and want help, and those that have no gender presentation in their avatar. A lot of male VTubers struggle to find a manager because the stereotype is that all male VTubers are evil and it perpetuates a stereotype that extends beyond entertainment industry subcultures like streaming. VTubing has always been a medium, while character and marketing matters, it's about what makes you happy, YOU are the person that makes the content. Use whatever you want as an avatar, use a voice changer if that's what you want to do. Every month I have a male client bring up they can't do it the same way, that it's easier if jiggle physics or a cute voice is the answer to fast growth. And I tell them yeah, I can also do ASMR, I can do drama content, collab with a larger person, and get to x amount of viewers. There are shortcuts in every entertainment profession and subculture. Does it last? Do quick fixes for anything ever last? Yes, great physics and an expensive model can get people in, but if your value, your way of interacting with people, your content plan and marketing is ass, you can pack up. Most of us start on a small budget, premade or resold models, and it's the same in the big league entertainment industry too. Can I take out a loan and put myself on a billboard tomorrow, can I pay the most expensive model artist and rigger and get in along corporate VTubers tomorrow? Sure. Will it last, will it be genuine, will people trust me? Hell no. Genuine communities and growth build trust. I think streaming, creative industries, entertainment, are full of people, regardless of gender, that will see success and call it "easy", because of what they see as the end product. They don't see most VTubers working a second job, they don't see the managers, they don't see 100+ hours a month going into content production, years invested in singing and voice lessons, model redebut after redebut. I think a lot of male VTubers get a bad rep, because so many boys are raised without putting emphasis on empathy and creativity, watching my brothers be told they should not pursue art, that theatre class is a waste of time, and that they needed to go study x or y to make money for their families in the future was heartbreaking. Nobody should have to look at others and feel so much hatred for society they turn against a whole group of people. If you want to pursue entertainment, please do. If you want to grow and try and make a name for yourself, you should start there, not with yelling about how you already failed. "Oh but I can't", "Oh but the odds are stacked against me", look at the big streamers, look at Ironmouse who overcame everything with hard work, look at Kiara who rose from the ashes, look at everyone that fights against their odds every day and give it your all. If you already think you lost, then you have nothing to lose. Don't give up on your dreams because others tell you to.

Kuromiya Lucien

15,552 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

What kind of existence is Moomoo to you? 휘인(Whee In) 🐶 Members are my youth and Moomoo is the light that makes our youth sparkle. I think they are the ones who shine brighter than us. It's not that i shine by myself, but because of those lights, I can shine.

What kind of existence is Moomoo to you? 휘인(Whee In) 🐶 Members are my youth and Moomoo is the light that makes our youth sparkle. I think they are the ones who shine brighter than us. It's not that i shine by myself, but because of those lights, I can shine.

정휘인🧡

19,152 просмотров • 1 год назад

🕌 HUNDREDS of ARABS attending #JalsaGermany who have accepted Hazrat Mirza Ghulam Ahmad (as). Some say Arabs won't accept #Islam Ahmadiyya. Read Hazrat Ahmad's reply… “There are those who think that the people of the Arab world will not accept me and will not even listen: I have no response for their foolish thinking except to utter ‘La hawla wa la quwwata illa billah’, i.e. ‘There is no power and no strength save in Allah’ over their statements and recite ‘Inna lillahi wa-inna ilaihi raji‘un’, i.e. ‘Surely, to Allah we belong and to Him do we return’ over their thinking. Do they not know that the Arabs have been foremost in accepting the truth from time immemorial? Indeed, they are like the root [of a tree] in this and others are their branches. I say that this is Allah’s work as a mercy from Him, and that the Arabs have the greatest right to His mercy and are the closest and most deserving of it. I can sense the fragrance of Allah’s blessings, so speak not the words of despair nor be among the disheartened.” (Nur-ul-Haqq, p. 15)

🕌 HUNDREDS of ARABS attending #JalsaGermany who have accepted Hazrat Mirza Ghulam Ahmad (as). Some say Arabs won't accept #Islam Ahmadiyya. Read Hazrat Ahmad's reply… “There are those who think that the people of the Arab world will not accept me and will not even listen: I have no response for their foolish thinking except to utter ‘La hawla wa la quwwata illa billah’, i.e. ‘There is no power and no strength save in Allah’ over their statements and recite ‘Inna lillahi wa-inna ilaihi raji‘un’, i.e. ‘Surely, to Allah we belong and to Him do we return’ over their thinking. Do they not know that the Arabs have been foremost in accepting the truth from time immemorial? Indeed, they are like the root [of a tree] in this and others are their branches. I say that this is Allah’s work as a mercy from Him, and that the Arabs have the greatest right to His mercy and are the closest and most deserving of it. I can sense the fragrance of Allah’s blessings, so speak not the words of despair nor be among the disheartened.” (Nur-ul-Haqq, p. 15)

Al Hakam

42,962 просмотров • 3 лет назад

Dear AfiaTvOfficial, you guys are sleeping on the Agbero Documentary in Onitsha. I am inside the market, Onitsha Main Market, Haruna Street to be precise, and this is what is going on, like right now. Who are these guys working for if not Anambra State Government? Who has the right to collect revenue if not empowered by Government? Are they hiding, or did they cover theory face? Are they in a rush so they can run away if anything happens? Do you see they are a common face? I don't want to risk my life, reason I have to hide and take these videos, but this is to tell the whole world that Anambra State Government is lying. They boldly empowered touts, and they are 100% aware of their activities. As it is happening in Haruna Street, so is it happening in all major streets in Onitsha. They work for the man in 3rd frame, who in turn work for Anambra State Government.

Dear AfiaTvOfficial, you guys are sleeping on the Agbero Documentary in Onitsha. I am inside the market, Onitsha Main Market, Haruna Street to be precise, and this is what is going on, like right now. Who are these guys working for if not Anambra State Government? Who has the right to collect revenue if not empowered by Government? Are they hiding, or did they cover theory face? Are they in a rush so they can run away if anything happens? Do you see they are a common face? I don't want to risk my life, reason I have to hide and take these videos, but this is to tell the whole world that Anambra State Government is lying. They boldly empowered touts, and they are 100% aware of their activities. As it is happening in Haruna Street, so is it happening in all major streets in Onitsha. They work for the man in 3rd frame, who in turn work for Anambra State Government.

IFEANYịCHUKWU!!

158,055 просмотров • 2 лет назад

REPORTER: “What can Iran do to avoid attack?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Give us the deal that they should have given us the first time. If they give us the right deal, we won't do that." "Historically they haven't done that. I will say they want to talk, but so far they do a lot of talking and no action.”

REPORTER: “What can Iran do to avoid attack?” PRESIDENT TRUMP: "Give us the deal that they should have given us the first time. If they give us the right deal, we won't do that." "Historically they haven't done that. I will say they want to talk, but so far they do a lot of talking and no action.”

Fox News

294,291 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Wondering if you are “quad dominant” in your throw and if you should change it? Maybe you shouldn’t 🤷‍♂️ A coach’s post coming from Austin Roark 🚀⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ One question I get from a lot of athletes is whether they should change their lower half because their knee is over their toe during their loading phase down the mound. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ The biggest thing that I look for when trying to figure out if it is an issue or not is to see how they are able to get out of that position. Some guys are able to leverage and rotate from that position extremely well, which then I would say that it’s not an issue.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ On the other hand, there are some guys who will get out of this position by driving extension out of their back leg, killing their ability to rotate their pelvis and get it in an open position into landing.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ This is when I would suggest trying to make a change. I think a lot of people jump into certain ideologies that you shouldn’t do certain things because it’s “inefficient” or it looks “wrong”. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ Take a look at these pitchers shown in the video. All 3 of these high level arms have some degree of knee flexion over their toe. Now, granted, they all have insane levers to help them, but the way they are moving is what makes them efficient in how they throw. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ I think if you told Dustin May that he had to hold a vertical shin down the mound, it would be a disaster and mess a lot of things up upstream that would impact him in a negative way.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ The big takeaway here is that there are no absolutes. One thing that may look inefficient to you could be the thing that makes someone else very efficient.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ When trying to figure out if you should change something about someone's delivery, make sure to look at the entire unit as a whole and don’t jump into any quick changes.

Wondering if you are “quad dominant” in your throw and if you should change it? Maybe you shouldn’t 🤷‍♂️ A coach’s post coming from Austin Roark 🚀⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ One question I get from a lot of athletes is whether they should change their lower half because their knee is over their toe during their loading phase down the mound. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ The biggest thing that I look for when trying to figure out if it is an issue or not is to see how they are able to get out of that position. Some guys are able to leverage and rotate from that position extremely well, which then I would say that it’s not an issue.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ On the other hand, there are some guys who will get out of this position by driving extension out of their back leg, killing their ability to rotate their pelvis and get it in an open position into landing.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ This is when I would suggest trying to make a change. I think a lot of people jump into certain ideologies that you shouldn’t do certain things because it’s “inefficient” or it looks “wrong”. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ Take a look at these pitchers shown in the video. All 3 of these high level arms have some degree of knee flexion over their toe. Now, granted, they all have insane levers to help them, but the way they are moving is what makes them efficient in how they throw. ⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ I think if you told Dustin May that he had to hold a vertical shin down the mound, it would be a disaster and mess a lot of things up upstream that would impact him in a negative way.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ The big takeaway here is that there are no absolutes. One thing that may look inefficient to you could be the thing that makes someone else very efficient.⠀⁠ -⠀⁠ When trying to figure out if you should change something about someone's delivery, make sure to look at the entire unit as a whole and don’t jump into any quick changes.

Tread Athletics

25,070 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

👤 there are a lot of different types of lego, right? what do you like? 🦊 i’m not picky and i like them all but the ones i have built and up right now are the roller coaster lego and the disney castle? i think that’s the one 🦊 it’s at a price point that i wouldn’t have even dreamt of when i was younger so i was really proud as soon as i bought it for the first time…like “i’ve succeeded 😎”

👤 there are a lot of different types of lego, right? what do you like? 🦊 i’m not picky and i like them all but the ones i have built and up right now are the roller coaster lego and the disney castle? i think that’s the one 🦊 it’s at a price point that i wouldn’t have even dreamt of when i was younger so i was really proud as soon as i bought it for the first time…like “i’ve succeeded 😎”

💬

40,989 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Q: Officials have been telling us that they’re certain Iran is getting help. Who is it coming from, and what is the U.S. going to do? Marco Rubio: I don’t know what official you that. These are anonymous people, they make stuff up all the time.

Q: Officials have been telling us that they’re certain Iran is getting help. Who is it coming from, and what is the U.S. going to do? Marco Rubio: I don’t know what official you that. These are anonymous people, they make stuff up all the time.

Clash Report

26,269 просмотров • 15 дней назад

Can I just say how lucky we are to have TizzyEnt and ThatDaneshGuy? The work that they do, especially right now, is soooo important. Their latest social justice masterpiece:

Can I just say how lucky we are to have TizzyEnt and ThatDaneshGuy? The work that they do, especially right now, is soooo important. Their latest social justice masterpiece:

MAGA Cult Slayer

140,478 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

Tragic scenes last night in Southampton. I condemn that behaviour. Separately, I have a few points: - Why are people blaming Farage for people’s rage? Are they really that thick or is it desperation to score political points? People are raging, not because of Farage, but because they have had ENOUGH of what is happening in and to this country. - Why, when white working class people protest are they consistently met with batons, shields and provocative force? That doesn’t seem to happen as standard elsewhere (Harehills springs to mind) - Why do the police, given people are already furious with their actions, think it’s a good idea to repeatedly strike a lone individual - who is already prone on the ground - while another officer then moves to try and block the camera view?

Tragic scenes last night in Southampton. I condemn that behaviour. Separately, I have a few points: - Why are people blaming Farage for people’s rage? Are they really that thick or is it desperation to score political points? People are raging, not because of Farage, but because they have had ENOUGH of what is happening in and to this country. - Why, when white working class people protest are they consistently met with batons, shields and provocative force? That doesn’t seem to happen as standard elsewhere (Harehills springs to mind) - Why do the police, given people are already furious with their actions, think it’s a good idea to repeatedly strike a lone individual - who is already prone on the ground - while another officer then moves to try and block the camera view?

Michelle Dewberry

159,594 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад