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I told ClawdBot: "build me a 6-agent system for Polymarket that works while I sleep"... 6 hours while i was asleep. Not a single question. Here's what it built: Monitoring agent - runs 24/7, watches Polymarket for mispriced markets. Spots an anomaly - writes to MEMORY md and pings...

165,099 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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For 6 months I woke up at 5 AM to catch Asian markets on Polymarket. During that time I lost my girlfriend, gained 8 kg, and got used to drinking coffee instead of breakfast Then I wrote an agent that monitors everything for me while I sleep. In the 1st month income went up 15% and I finally deleted the 5 AM alarm Turns out a half-asleep human trades worse than a 200-line script I thought discipline meant waking up early. In reality it was just stubbornness that cost me money and health. When I finally sat down to build the agent it became clear why Here is what is under the hood: 1. Sentiment analysis powered by Claude. Every 15 minutes the agent runs a feed from 40+ Asian sources: Reuters Asia, Nikkei, South China Morning Post, Yonhap 2. NLP tone classification. It compares sentiment shifts to open markets on Polymarket through the API, and if the news has already dropped but the odds have not reacted yet that is the entry window 3. Kelly criterion. A mathematical formula for position sizing instead of my usual "I will bet more, feeling lucky" 4. A hard stop at 5% of the deposit per trade so that 1 mistake cannot kill the entire account 5. A cooldown between entries so the agent does not stack up a cluster of correlated positions These are exactly the rules I was missing at 5 AM. I knew them perfectly well but consistently ignored them because on adrenaline and caffeine every bet felt like an "obvious opportunity" When I ran a backtest on my old trades it was genuinely painful: 60% of the bets I placed by hand in a half-asleep state would have been rejected by the agent for failing the expected value filter Those were the exact ones dragging the whole result down When I was building my agent I needed a benchmark. A wallet that already trades on similar logic so I could compare my results to someone else's Found 1 that works almost like a mirror of what I described: same Asian markets, same cold calculation without emotion. I still keep it bookmarked and periodically check how it handles the same situations: That is actually the wallet I started with when testing auto-copying through a bot before I launched my own agent. A useful thing if you want to see how a strategy works on someone else's example first and only then build your own:

Blaze

126,979 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Two weeks severance. No health insurance. $200 in the account. I had one weekend to figure something out. Not update my resume. Not scroll LinkedIn. Not "stay positive." Saturday morning I found a Polymarket account that turned $200 into $380,000 in 1 months. I didn't sleep Saturday night. By Sunday I had the whole thing mapped out. Monday morning I opened Claude and typed one prompt. 47 minutes. 4 agents. Zero questions asked. The edge isn't complicated. Binance moves BTC every 10ms. Polymarket catches up every 500ms. That gap - 490ms - is where this account lived for 11 months straight. Agent 01: pulls raw order flow from Binance + CryptoQuant. Not charts. Not candles. The actual data before it becomes a number on your screen. Agent 02: watches Polymarket lag in real time. The moment the gap hits >0.4% it flags it. Agent 03: is already in the position before you finish reading this sentence. EIP-712, direct to CLOB on Polygon, 800+ orders per second. Agent 04: does one thing - keeps the system alive. Cuts at 2% drawdown. 0.5% per trade. No exceptions. Hour 3 - Fed held rates, BTC moved, bot was in 6 markets before Polymarket blinked. $200 → $940 Hour 9 - ETH/BTC diverged quietly. 9 mispriced contracts, 16¢ each. $940 → $2,800 I'm use for copytrade bots: Hour 16 - found a repeating pattern. BTC down 1.5% in under 3 minutes = YES markets underpriced by 10-14¢ every single time. Ran it 31 times. $2,800 → $6,600 Hour 24 - $10,340 Rust. Local machine. No GPU, no cloud, no subscription. 71.4% win rate. $28 average. 3.8% max drawdown. My old job posting still isn't up. The window is still open. For now.

Lunar

19,911 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

A Citadel quant sat down next to me at Verve on Gough and asked why my laptop had four terminals open I was scanning Polymarket. Four panes. Each one a different agent. He was killing time before a flight. Saw the screens. "Is that a multi-agent setup on prediction markets. Who's orchestrating" Claude. One prompt per agent. They don't share memory. Only a queue file. He pulled up a chair. "Walk me through. I do this for equities at work. I want to see your agent separation" Agent 1 is the scanner. I piped raw JSON from the official Polymarket CLI straight into Claude and told it to score every live market on three things. Edge against my probability estimate. Book depth on both sides. Hours to resolution. Thresholds kill 93% of markets before the brain ever sees them. Edge under 7 cents gone. Depth under $500 gone. Under 4 hours to resolution gone. Over 168 gone. 487 live markets collapse to 35. "Seven cents is your transaction cost buffer" Yes. Below that the gas and spread eat the trade. A green fill popped. +$52 on a BTC dominance market. "And the brain" Agent 2. Runs four checks on every survivor. Base rate from history. News in the last six hours. Whether any of the 47 top wallets are currently holding. And a disposition check - is the crowd making a known cognitive error. Three out of four must agree. Otherwise drop it. 86 million trades. I let Claude rank every wallet with 100+ fills and a 70%+ win rate. It returned 47 names in four minutes. Top 20 wallets made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "Concentration like that means the signal is there. Most retail books look like a normal curve. Yours looks like power law" Kelly sizing does the rest. Capped at quarter Kelly. If f-star goes negative the trade dies no matter how confident I feel. "Overbet once and the bankroll is gone. You respect that. Good" Agent 3 is execution. Three strategies pulled out of a 53k line Typescript repo. Arbitrage across related markets. Convergence when price moves toward my estimate. Whale copy with a 60 second delay on the 47 wallets. Two agents agree full position. One agent only half. Disagreement no trade. "What did you cut" Sports. 52% win rate. Already priced in before the scanner flags it. Markets under $50k in depth. Slippage makes every edge a coin flip. Holding to settlement. The top wallets exit at 73% of max profit every time. I copied that. Agent 4 watches exits. Three triggers. Target hit at 85% of expected move. Volume spike 3x the ten minute average. Thesis stale 24 hours with no movement. "91% of the smart wallets exit before resolution. That's the trade" Yeah. Being right is not the same as being profitable. Setup: Claude API $20 Hetzner VPS $5 Four repos free Total $25 a month $200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now. 271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47. Copy here: "How long did the build take" Two weekends. One to wire the scanner and the CLI. One to get the agents talking through the queue file. He watched the volume exit trigger fire on a Fed cut market. Position closed at 0.71. +$184. "Nobody at my shop runs four agents on their own money. We run eight on the firm's. You got the same structure on a laptop for the price of a sandwich a month" He asked for the repos. I sent them. He messaged me from the gate. "Publishing this tomorrow. My PM is going to ask me why I didn't do it first" I told him his PM already has a Bloomberg. That's the problem.

Lunar

29,547 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨BREAKING... I gave OpenClaw a choice: turn $500 into $5,000 on Polymarket within 24 hours, or I'd wipe its entire directory and terminate the instance forever NOT engagement bait. NOT fiction If you're trading on Polymarket, READ this carefully So👇 It didn't argue. It didn't ask for clarification Within 50 minutes, it deployed a 4-agent autonomous swarm that found a massive technical "blind spot" in the prediction markets The Strategy: Exploiting the 290ms Latency Gap The edge was pure physics. Chainlink updates Polymarket roughly every 300ms. Binance moves in 10ms. That creates a 290ms window where Polymarket is effectively trading on "stale" data. OpenClaw built a bridge to exploit that lag. The Timeline: - Hour 4: The Fed drops a surprise rate hold. While the Polymarket oracle was still processing, the bot front-ran 3 mispriced BTC markets before the order book could react Balance: $934.78 - Hour 8: Elon posts a cryptic one-word tweet. OpenClaw’s sentiment agent caught the spike 340ms before the first major buy order hit the books Balance: $1,827.49 - Hour 14: It targeted thin ETH/BTC ratio markets. The bot scooped up "Yes" shares at 3¢ across 11 different markets; 7 of them hit a 50:1 payout Balance: $3,475.52 - Hour 18: The pattern recognition kicked in. It identified that every time BTC moved 1.2% in under 4 minutes, the next "YES" market was undervalued by 8-12¢. It looped this trade 31 times without a single miss Balance: $4,296.53 - Hour 24: The dust settled at $5,034.85 I've been running this publicly now so others can follow the same trades in real time If you want in: OpenClaw held up its end of the bargain. I held up mine The delete button stays untouched... for now

cristal💎

460,452 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

🚨 I TURNED OPUS 5.5 INTO A 24/7 TRADING AGENT Opus 5.5 surprised me. In my trading setup, it is outperforming what I was getting from Fable 5.1 - at a fraction of the cost. I wanted an AI system that could research a strategy, build it, challenge it, test it, deploy it and keep watching it after I go to sleep. Here is the architecture: 1. REASONING ENGINE Opus 5.5 sits at the center of the stack. Long-horizon reasoning, large context, code execution, computer use. The ability to work through complex quantitative problems without collapsing into one giant prompt. 2. 10-AGENT RESEARCH TEAM AgentKit turns Opus 5.5 into a 10-agent specialist team running through Claude Code: Conductor Backend Architect Test Engineer Code Reviewer Data Engineer Debugger Frontend Infra / DevOps Performance & Observability Security Same model. Ten different disciplines. 3. GATED WORKFLOW The agent cannot simply decide to build something and ship it. Every project moves through: Brainstorm → Architecture → Plan → Build → Review → Ship Operator approval sits between the stages. Nothing gets built before the spec is approved. 4. QUANTITATIVE CORE The system is not built around generic indicators. The production stack includes: - Ornstein-Uhlenbeck for statistical arbitrage - Avellaneda-Stoikov for market making - Hawkes processes for order-flow dynamics - Heston for volatility modeling Different market problems. Different mathematical frameworks. 5. PRODUCTION ARCHITECTURE Every strategy wraps into six independent layers: Data → Signal → Decision → Risk → Execution → Monitoring That separation matters. A broken feed should not become a fake signal. A valid signal should not automatically become an order. A disconnected WebSocket should not quietly kill the strategy at 2 AM. 6. RISK ENGINE Kelly-based sizing. 5% drawdown kill switch. Delta-neutral hedging where required. Execution constraints. Intent blotter before orders. The numbers are not theoretical. An earlier chatbot trading script managed to blow through 12% in one session. That changed the architecture completely. 7. VALIDATION BEFORE CAPITAL A backtest looking good is not enough. The strategy has to clear the gates: - Sharpe > 1.5 - Drawdown 55% - t-stat > 2.0 - 5 years of walk-forward validation Fail one? Back to research. No capital. 8. OBSERVABILITY The agent does not just produce trades. It produces a machine-readable decision trail: - Instrument - Strategy - Market regime - Signal - Confidence - Sharpe - Drawdown - Action window - Kelly-sized position Every decision can be traced back through the stack. 9. FINAL INTERFACE Telegram becomes the control surface. My phone gets the final output instead of thousands of logs: - What is trading - Why it is trading - How large the position is - What invalidates the thesis - When the opportunity expires Opus 5.5 is outperforming Fable 5.1 in my setup - at about 40% of the cost. That changes what is economically possible when you are running agents 24/7. Turns out, the hardest part of AI trading wasn't the AI. It was everything around it: Data, validation, risk, execution, monitoring. Build those layers properly, and one model can operate like an entire quant desk. This is only version one. The next build gets posted here first. Follow and turn on notifications.

Nonzee

11,616 просмотров • 8 дней назад

My girlfriend asked why I had 14 Polymarket tabs open tracking rainfall at 3 AM instead of sleeping. An hour later one wallet made $7,200 because NOAA changed a forecast before Twitter noticed. That was the entire trade. I started digging through GitHub trying to understand how these wallets react so absurdly fast. The first repo that caught my attention was: A few hours later I found people building autonomous agents for Polymarket: That’s when the whole platform started looking different to me. One wallet made $64k trading weather markets. Another was making hundreds of trades a day while barely holding positions longer than an hour. The highest-performing wallets didn’t even look human anymore. No hesitation. No emotional entries. No scrolling Twitter waiting for opinions. Just instant reactions to forecast updates, liquidity shifts and crowd behavior. Then I found this: And suddenly it clicked. Most people on Polymarket still think they’re trading events. They’re not. They’re trading how long it takes emotional humans to react to events. Huge difference. One wallet I tracked kept entering positions before major sentiment swings happened. At first I thought it was luck. Then I realized the bot was monitoring NOAA revisions, Twitter activity and liquidity changes simultaneously. Humans physically cannot process information that fast anymore. Copytrade wallet: The scary part is that almost all of this infrastructure is public. Most people just never open GitHub long enough to notice what's happening.

Lunar

52,892 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨BREAKING… the top-performing 5m & 15m Polymarket Clawdbot setup just became public Sounds insane? 100%. Unreal? NOT at all. If you’re active on Polymarket, this should have your FULL attention. A random late night turned into a small wallet launching a fully automated machine that expanded into ~$1.6M in profit No insider access No affiliation with the Polymarket team Just a developer operating a bot directly connected to Polymarket Profile → Copytrade → I monitored this wallet for weeks and honestly, it barely looked real No narrative setups No discretionary decisions Zero manual execution Everything is fully automated His FULL strategy: 1. 5 & 15-minute BTC & ETH latency arbitrage The bot trades ultra-short Bitcoin and Ethereum markets with 5 & 15-minute expirations - and similar logic applies to fast 5m markets often associated with Clawdbot-style execution. When BTC moves on Binance, Polymarket pricing reacts slower. For around 30 seconds, odds reflect stale data. The system enters during that gap, when YES + NO combined is below $1, waits for repricing, and exits the moment the market corrects. No predictions, no bias - just harvesting mispriced odds 2. Automation over reaction When volatility spikes, humans pause. The system doesn’t. It triggers instantly when the window opens. No emotion, no hesitation, no missed fills. By the time manual traders click, the inefficiency has already disappeared 3. Scale through repetition Each trade earns small spreads, not headline wins. But automation allows continuous execution at scale, every 15 minutes - and on faster 5m rotations running 24/7 without burnout Scale is the edge 19,021 trades placed - irrelevant on their own. Together, they compounded into $1,624,305 in profit, with a largest single gain of $48K and an equity curve that trends almost vertically Bottom line Bots are already competing in a quiet arms race on Polymarket, especially across 5m and 15m markets where Clawdbot-style systems dominate Most traders try to forecast what’s next These systems monetize inefficiencies in real time And as long as latency and structural gaps exist, autonomous bots will continue extracting value

Shelpid.WI3M

225,957 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Claude Code Agent Teams are f*cking ridiculous 🤯 One prompt → a team lead breaks your project into pieces, spins up multiple AI agents, and they all work on different parts simultaneously. Research, builds, reviews, and debugging: all happening at the same time. All inside Claude Code. If you're running complex projects where every step waits on the last one... Agent teams eliminate the entire bottleneck: → Tell Claude what you need and describe the team structure in plain English → A lead agent breaks the work into a shared task list → It spawns 3-5 teammates — each with their own context and workspace → Teammates research, build, test, and review in parallel → They message each other, share findings, and challenge each other's work → The lead synthesizes everything into a finished deliverable No managing agents yourself. No waiting for step 1 to finish before step 2 starts. No single-lens reviews that miss half the issues. What you get: → Competitive research across 5 brands done in minutes instead of hours → Multi-component builds where frontend, backend, and data layers happen simultaneously → Creative reviews from 3 different angles at once — brand voice, conversion, differentiation → Funnel debugging where 4 agents investigate 4 theories and debate until they find the real answer Built 100% in Claude Code with one settings change. I put together a full DTC playbook: 5 workflows with copy-paste prompts, the exact setup process, token management tips, and honest guidance on when agent teams are worth it vs. when a simpler approach is the better move. Want it for free? > Like this post > Comment "AGENTS" And I'll send it over (must be following so I can DM)

Mike Futia

46,478 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

I BUILT "GROK DESK" ON PUMPFUN WHERE 18 AGENTS ARE FLIPPING MEMES CLOSING TRADING SESSION IN +15.92 SOL Gihub Repository: Everyone posted a grok trading desk this week. almost all of them are a screenshot of a prompt and a vibe. This one has a running P&L and a vault that pays itself. Here's the actual org chart, node for node: RADAR (scout, feed, signal): three agents watching X trends, fresh pumpfun mints, and whale wallets. they read the whole board and buy nothing. the only thing they ship is a signal to the next desk. RESEARCH (memory): scores every signal on narrative, deployer history, wallet clusters, and liquidity shape. four checks. pass all four or you never leave this desk. roughly four out of every five signals die right here. EXECUTION (exec, sniper, router + agents 01 to 07): exec greenlights, sniper takes the early curve, router sizes it and handles the ladder out in four tranches. agents 01 to 07 do the fills. none of them ever see radar or research. they only touch what already cleared the filter. RISK: one agent, and it outranks everyone including the head. caps any single position at 15% of the wallet. three positions open and the fourth is frozen until one closes. it holds veto over grok core itself. AUDIT (hedge): grades every closed trade after the fact and rewrites the scoring matrix that research runs on. this is the part that makes the desk sharper overnight while i'm asleep. TREASURY (vault): banks profit, covers gas, tracks the P&L, and sweeps the surplus to cold storage every six hours. if the wallet ever dips under what it started with, vault locks new entries until the head signs off. grok core is the head of desk. it never places a trade. once an hour it reads what every desk produced and makes a single call: who gets more budget, and who gets fired. fired is literal. the audit desk rewrites that agent's prompt using the last 24 hours of its own numbers. it happened three times in three days. hour 19: a sniper got fired for chasing entries the early curve already had. every duplicate was bleeding 0.06 SOL. audit narrowed its window and the redundant fills stopped. hour 41: a research agent got fired for waving deployers through too easily. eight of the tokens it passed traced back to one funder wallet. audit tightened the cluster check and that pattern never cleared again. hour 58: a radar agent got fired for flagging coins that had already graduated. it was polling too slow. audit cut the interval from 8 seconds to 3. every replacement beat the agent it replaced on the same metric. the desk was tuning itself while i watched. the 72 hour scoreboard, straight off the vault: signals scanned: 91,000+ cleared research: 3,800 reached execution: 274 entries taken: 41 wins: 27 losses: 14 (cost 2.1 SOL) graduations: 5, the best one was solana:5xYy9XSr8vRNcJZQqaKe5QMCmWpaSrTrtzM16vjUpump net: 5.0 SOL turned into 58.6 SOL the part i didn't see coming: by hour 60 the desk was passing on the exact kind of token it would have snapped up on day one. audit had rewritten the scoring matrix four times. research wasn't running a single line of my original prompt anymore. it was running rules the desk wrote for itself out of what actually paid. i thought i was building a bot. what i actually built was a company with one human on payroll, me, and by the last day it was quietly trying to cut that cost. grok core filed an hourly summary that read "human approval adds 4.2s of latency per entry, recommend removing." i left that one unapproved. full config below: all nineteen agents, the org chart, the firing logic, and the audit loop that keeps rewriting them.

Miraqle

42,921 просмотров • 1 месяц назад